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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Oct 7, 2021 10:25:03 GMT -5
^ yeah, because his fanbase is as big as Harry’s. He's too far gone dont bother. Let the rambling man scream about his predictions that never come true If my prediction didn’t come through, then why did I get a partial win on predictions last week? I was the only one who correctly predicted IB at #3 and W2S at #4. In fact, believe it or not, the only reason why I didn’t get a perfect prediction (of all things) was because I underestimated Fancy Like. |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 10:33:19 GMT -5
I think it will debut much higher because charts are not that strong and the Barbz are motivated . Who knew being accused of harassing a victim was so rallying Of course the first one to go solo from Little Mix was also the most problematic birds of a feather I guess . I know we rag a lot about the BTS stans but the Barbz are worse for being complicit in this d baggery |
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mylo
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Post by mylo on Oct 7, 2021 10:36:41 GMT -5
Dear Mr Phieagles,
It's not your top 10 predictions that annoy people, it's your inability to get past certain topics. I get that you think FL will go number 1, I get that "Bad Habits is too old for radio" and I get that you are speculating about a possible WS-esque push for FL before Adele. And why do I know this?? Because you've bought it up before. New topics please! Let's not get stuck on the same comment about the same situation
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Enyasurvivor
Platinum Member
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Post by Enyasurvivor on Oct 7, 2021 10:44:27 GMT -5
Looks like they actually are gonna try and push Fancy Like to #1 next week. They just released a new music video for the Kesha remix.
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Clode
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Post by Clode on Oct 7, 2021 10:56:18 GMT -5
At least the Kesha remix of "Fancy Like" sort of made the song better, But the song itself is still awful. I'm not looking forward to seeing "Fancy Like" potentially go to #1 on the Hot 100, Although if Kesha ends up getting credited on the Hot 100 then I wouldn't actually mind it if the song did end up getting to #1 on the Hot 100.
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Oct 7, 2021 11:02:54 GMT -5
Some of you are setting some very unrealistic standards for Adele with this single. We know she's Adele and whatever she drops will do a lot of damage, especially in the first day/first week, but don't start setting ridiculous commercial expectations for her with this new album and then acting disappointed if/when she doesn't meet those expectations. It's been 6 years since her last album. The music industry has changed a whole lot since 2015, so as much as there'll be a lot of social media fanfare around her return, I won't be surprised if her new single doesn't perform half as well as Hello did because I'm honestly not expecting it to. A #1 debut, no matter how strong or weak, is the only commercial expectation I have for the single and one which I think is fairly reasonable. From that point on, it'll be a matter of how much people connect with the song to keep supporting it (as these things usually are). I tried to suggest that she might just miss 1m albums on her first week and damn people here are kinda expecting 25-like numbers... There is nowhere to go for her but down from the 25 highs. It's not her fault, it's the market. Even Taylor and Drake have dropped below the 1m consistently now. yeah, and I agree with pretty much everything, but it's different when you drop from 1,1 or 1,3 and from 3,5m. It's crazy to expect another 3m from her, but I don't see why is 1m that high for Adele? |
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Oct 7, 2021 11:08:44 GMT -5
US Spotify - 10/06/21
1(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 1,403,139 (-1,585)
2(=) The Kid LAROI - STAY 1,195,982 (+4,049)
3(=) Drake - Knife Talk 1,145,979 (-7,434)
4(=) Drake - Way 2 Sexy 1,094,703 (-6,311)
5(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 999,092 (+1,373)
6(=) Doja Cat - Need to Know 833,751 (+29,776)
7(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 792,058 (+7,063)
8(=) Drake - Fair Trade 737,753 (-1,632)
9(=) Baby Keem - family ties 722,077 (-5,654)
10(+2) Doja Cat - Kiss Me More 715,212 (+13,252)
Others:
11(-1) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 712,238 (-4,061)
12(-1) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 710,310 (+6,652)
13(=) Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) 668,406 (-1,048)
14(+47) Tainy - Lo Siento BB:/ 665,257 (+354,605)
15(-1) Doja Cat - Woman 651,790 (+12,234)
16(-1) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 626,163 (+11,899)
17(-1) Sleepy Hallow - 2055 592,402 (+5,286)
18(-1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 573,170 (+2,280)
19(-1) Drake - Girls Want Girls 568,757 (-1,898)
20(-1) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 559,892 (-6,925)
21(+6) Kanye West - Hurricane 482,040 (+76,442)
22(-2) Olivia Rodrigo - traitor 555,703 (+874)
23(-2) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 517,051 (-51)
24(=) Måneskin - Beggin' 501,169 (+7,377)
25(-3) Farruko - Pepas 500,005 (+3,138)
26(-3) Eslabon Armado, DannyLux - Jugaste y Sufrí 498,332 (+3,680)
27(-2) Dua Lipa - Levitating 494,857 (+3,888)
28(=) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 493,883 (+13,728)
29(=) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 476,441 (+2,432)
30(-4) Meek Mill - Sharing Locations 471,138 (-17,190)
31(-1) Oliver Tree - Life Goes On 464,368 (+754)
33(=) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 456,443 (+7,441)
34(-3) Coldplay, BTS - My Universe 451,776 (-6,517)
36(=) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 441,097 (-650)
37(+8) Kanye West - Moon 440,796 (+56,918)
39(-2) Skylar Grey - Last One Standing 413,833 (-27,168)
42(=) Surf Curse - Freaks 399,177 (-2,970)
43(-2) Joyner Lucas, J. Cole - Your Heart 395,570 (-9,204)
44(-10) Mitski - Working for the Knife 394,767 (-53,083)
46(=) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 383,029 (+2,517)
47(-3) Drake - Champagne Poetry 378,962 (-6,612)
48(-1) Gunna, Future - Too Easy 372,429 (-6,903)
51(-2) Drake - No Friends In The Industry 354,123 (-3,557)
54(-3) Chlöe - Have Mercy 344,554 (-3,281)
55(+23) Kanye West - Praise God 341,973 (+50,843)
56(-2) Tai Verdes - A-O-K 340,136 (+4,853)
57(-2) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears Remix 336,657 (+1,374)
59(-3) Doja Cat, The Weeknd - You Right 330,463 (+5,347)
62(+12) Ivan Cornejo - Está Dañada 312,722 (+17,767)
64(-4) Yot Club - YKWIM? 310,431 (-466)
66(-3) Lil Tecca - LOT OF ME 307,419 (+1,890)
67(-1) Billie Eilish - Bored 306,733 (+6,694)
68(-3) The Weeknd - Take My Breath 305,203 (+1,133)
73(+11) LISA - MONEY 298,488 (+15,367)
83(=) PinkPantheress - Pain 288,266 (+4,182)
84(+4) A-Wall - Loverboy 285,882 (+4,866)
92(+1) Beach House - Space Song 278,670 (+1,532)
93(+5) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever Edit 277,145 (+5,566)
94(+7) Aventura, Bad Bunny - Volví 274,725 (+7,665)
97(-3) DaBaby - Lonely 272,551 (-2,422)
98(+4) girl in red - we fell in love in october 270,794 (+4,117)
104(-29) Kali Uchis - fue mejor 265,417 (-28,460)
112(+7) CKay - love nwantiti remix 256,679 (+8,195)
113(-3) Lizzo - Rumors 256,535 (-1,102)
128(+1) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 245,648 (+1,400)
132(-20) Lil Wayne, Rich The Kid - Feelin' Like Tunechi 244,933 (-10,041)
133(debut) Russ - Seduce 244,829
149(=) bbno$ - edamame 229,373 (+3,489)
172(+2) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 216,645 (+3,905)
173(-3) Ryan Hurd - Chasing After You 216,288 (+1,863)
174(+1) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 215,596 (+2,888)
180(-40) Meek Mill - Intro (Hate On Me) 212,721 (-23,214)
182(+4) Blxst, Tyga - Chosen 212,005 (+3,193)
183(re-entry) Tiësto, KAROL G - Don't Be Shy 211,654
194(-35) Meek Mill - Blue Notes 2 208,236 (-12,785)
199(-5) The Backseat Lovers - Kilby Girl 206,600 (+283)
Total Streams for Happier Than Ever: 903,308
Total Streams for love nwantiti: 713,122
Total Streams for Save Your Tears: 552,253
Biggest Gains (50K+): Praise God, Moon, Hurricane, Lo Siento BB:/
Apparently some patch for Donda came out yesterday and some songs were changed. That's what caused the big gains for songs
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Post by thegreatdivine on Oct 7, 2021 11:28:02 GMT -5
Some of you are setting some very unrealistic standards for Adele with this single. We know she's Adele and whatever she drops will do a lot of damage, especially in the first day/first week, but don't start setting ridiculous commercial expectations for her with this new album and then acting disappointed if/when she doesn't meet those expectations. It's been 6 years since her last album. The music industry has changed a whole lot since 2015, so as much as there'll be a lot of social media fanfare around her return, I won't be surprised if her new single doesn't perform half as well as Hello did because I'm honestly not expecting it to. A #1 debut, no matter how strong or weak, is the only commercial expectation I have for the single and one which I think is fairly reasonable. From that point on, it'll be a matter of how much people connect with the song to keep supporting it (as these things usually are). I tried to suggest that she might just miss 1m albums on her first week and damn people here are kinda expecting 25-like numbers... There is nowhere to go for her but down from the 25 highs. It's not her fault, it's the market. Even Taylor and Drake have dropped below the 1m consistently now. I think people are just excited for her return and imagine that since her last two albums smashed everything to smithereens, her next album will do the same (seeing as she's really the only person in the entire industry who can release an album and have that level of fanfare and commercial dominance to go along with it) but I feel like people are really just setting her up to fail because the commercial expectations they have for her next album most likely won't be met. I definitely won't be surprised if she doesn't hit the 1M mark (I frankly don't expect her to hit the mark tbh). The fact that Taylor Swift hit that mark 4 consecutive times from 2010-2017 with 4 albums but missed the mark with Lover in 2019 should tell you that it'll be hard for anyone else to hit that mark ever again and like you said, it's less about the artists/their commercial viability dwindling and more about the current mindset of the general public when it comes to buying music vs. how much streaming has grown in the last couple of years. It's simply now a lot more difficult to get people to buy music the way they used to and vinyl sales can keep growing but it'll never grow enough to offset the dips in digital sales/other physical formats. I'm actually more interested in seeing what numbers Adele pulls long-term streaming-wise because I think that'll be the best indication of her current commercial-standing but I know people will only focus on her pure sales figures to get a good guage of that. |
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Oct 7, 2021 13:20:41 GMT -5
I think Adele (hopefully) saved us from a Fancy Like #1, the Kesha remix is helping it but I don't think it's a big enough presence to put it in serious competition with Stay and then Easy On Me is gonna absolutely dominate for the foreseeable future
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s9983
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Post by s9983 on Oct 7, 2021 13:22:21 GMT -5
Ghost should be entering the hot 100 in a couple of weeks. I predict it will go top 10 on the hot 100. LOL. It's not even top 200 on AM or spotify. Highly doubt this. Not sure if a video will give it the streaming numbers it needs to go top 10 when it's numbers r currently incredibly low |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 13:39:51 GMT -5
Looks like they actually are gonna try and push Fancy Like to #1 next week. They just released a new music video for the Kesha remix. is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj |
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s9983
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Post by s9983 on Oct 7, 2021 16:47:57 GMT -5
Looks like they actually are gonna try and push Fancy Like to #1 next week. They just released a new music video for the Kesha remix. is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj ??? Who is really gonna listen to the jesy nelson song? That song will do numbers and not even nicki will save it nor will anyone rly care about her being on it besides her fans. |
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kcdawg13
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Post by kcdawg13 on Oct 7, 2021 16:54:27 GMT -5
Looks like they actually are gonna try and push Fancy Like to #1 next week. They just released a new music video for the Kesha remix. is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj LMAO Nicki "did my research" Minaj isn't gonna take that song to #1, girl hasn't been relevant in years plus with the added bonus of her being f**king stupid she has no appeal to the general public anymore. Just the insane barbs still willing to stick with her pedo apologist ass and her new audience of braindead conservatives. Also Little Mix has never had a hit in the US, no matter how much they tried, the US just doesn't want them. Jesy isn't gonna go #1, maybe Top 20 at the most because barbs love to spend money on their queen of sexual predators. But that's all. I predict it'll debut like #19 and then Adele will sweep that shit away like a tsunami the following week. |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 17:04:56 GMT -5
is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj LMAO Nicki "did my research" Minaj isn't gonna take that song to #1, girl hasn't been relevant in years plus with the added bonus of her being f**king stupid she has no appeal to the general public anymore. Just the insane barbs still willing to stick with her pedo apologist ass and her new audience of braindead conservatives. Also Little Mix has never had a hit in the US, no matter how much they tried, the US just doesn't want them. Jesy isn't gonna go #1, maybe Top 20 at the most because barbs love to spend money on their queen of sexual predators. But that's all. I predict it'll debut like #19 and then Adele will sweep that s**t away like a tsunami the following week. I would be very very happy to be wrong about this 😂😂… I bet you Icki wants a collab with R Kelly . |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 17:06:04 GMT -5
is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj ??? Who is really gonna listen to the jesy nelson song? That song will do numbers and not even nicki will save it nor will anyone rly care about her being on it besides her fans. i sure hope you’re correct 😂. Sadly we live in strange times , charts being no exception |
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Oct 7, 2021 17:15:27 GMT -5
Lord have mercy.
Has Kesha been credited on FL or did I miss it?
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Oct 7, 2021 17:26:51 GMT -5
Lord have mercy. Has Kesha been credited on FL or did I miss it? Not yet, but maybe next week when it (hopefully) goes #1 on the Hot 100. |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Oct 7, 2021 17:29:16 GMT -5
^"Fancy Like" not going #1 confirmed now.
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jaffery
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Post by jaffery on Oct 7, 2021 18:21:14 GMT -5
Ghost should be entering the hot 100 in a couple of weeks. I predict it will go top 10 on the hot 100. LOL. It's not even top 200 on AM or spotify. Highly doubt this. Not sure if a video will give it the streaming numbers it needs to go top 10 when it's numbers r currently incredibly low I know it probably won’t go top 10 or even top 40 but when I want something to happen I just put it out there. Before stay came out I was the only one who even mentioned the song was being released and said it was a future #1 and then it happened. Also I wouldn’t expect high streams from an album track from an album that came out 7 months ago nearly and had no playlist push. 600k on Spotify ain’t awful for that |
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Oct 7, 2021 18:44:26 GMT -5
Yea there's a good chance the Nicki x Jesy Nelson song isn't even a contender for the top 20 next week, she's peaked lower collabing with artists who are MUCH bigger in the US than Jesy
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Oct 7, 2021 19:40:46 GMT -5
I think Adele (hopefully) saved us from a Fancy Like #1, the Kesha remix is helping it but I don't think it's a big enough presence to put it in serious competition with Stay and then Easy On Me is gonna absolutely dominate for the foreseeable future Also, FL's Pop traction appears to have begun stalling out already. I still think it'll stick around a bit longer, but after it peaks on Country in the next month or so, it won't have the same Pop/Hot AC traction to fall back on that I Hope had. This is BLABR all over again. |
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s9983
Charting
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Post by s9983 on Oct 7, 2021 20:40:02 GMT -5
is this actually a possibility based on only the release of a music video ?? I’m not invested in pro or con just asking a genuine question. It hurts me to say next week will belong to Icki Minaj LMAO Nicki "did my research" Minaj isn't gonna take that song to #1, girl hasn't been relevant in years plus with the added bonus of her being f**king stupid she has no appeal to the general public anymore. Just the insane barbs still willing to stick with her pedo apologist ass and her new audience of braindead conservatives. Also Little Mix has never had a hit in the US, no matter how much they tried, the US just doesn't want them. Jesy isn't gonna go #1, maybe Top 20 at the most because barbs love to spend money on their queen of sexual predators. But that's all. I predict it'll debut like #19 and then Adele will sweep that s**t away like a tsunami the following week. Lmao i'd be surprised if the song even debuted on the hot 100. Little mix have no appeal in America and nicki herself has lost a lot of popularity over the years besides her fans who will be the ones carrying the song. |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 21:11:52 GMT -5
LMAO Nicki "did my research" Minaj isn't gonna take that song to #1, girl hasn't been relevant in years plus with the added bonus of her being f**king stupid she has no appeal to the general public anymore. Just the insane barbs still willing to stick with her pedo apologist ass and her new audience of braindead conservatives. Also Little Mix has never had a hit in the US, no matter how much they tried, the US just doesn't want them. Jesy isn't gonna go #1, maybe Top 20 at the most because barbs love to spend money on their queen of sexual predators. But that's all. I predict it'll debut like #19 and then Adele will sweep that s**t away like a tsunami the following week. Lmao i'd be surprised if the song even debuted on the hot 100. Little mix have no appeal in America and nicki herself has lost a lot of popularity over the years besides her fans who will be the ones carrying the song. I think you underestimate your the Barbz . They are not far removed from Army obsession wise and how much money they are willing to shell out |
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atg
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Post by atg on Oct 7, 2021 21:31:59 GMT -5
Didn’t Nicki hop on a remix and collabed with a questionable artist and they both went to #1 just last year, which were not only her first #1s but also the other artists’ only #1s (to date)? If the Barbz come together again for this instance, there’s no doubt they could pull off a #1 if not a high enough peak especially with the charts and stan power being one of the factors now.
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Oct 7, 2021 21:59:47 GMT -5
Didn’t Nicki hop on a remix and collabed with a questionable artist and they both went to #1 just last year, which were not only her first #1s but also the other artists’ only #1s (to date)? If the Barbz come together again for this instance, there’s no doubt they could pull off a #1 if not a high enough peak especially with the charts and stan power being one of the factors now. The big difference is that Say So and TROLLZ had great stats in other categories to fall back on to help them achieve their #1's - Say So was nearing its peak on Pop when Nicki's remix was released, and 6ix9ine had always pulled in great YouTube numbers even when they were heavily inflated by bots.* Jesy Nelson has had nothing like this to speak of on the Hot 100; even when she was with Little Mix, every single song that group charted never even cracked the top 50 here. I get that Boyz will be shipped to Pop upon release, but even if Nicki stans pull all the plugs in the world, I don't see it peaking higher than top 20 simply because of how little Jesy matters in the States. (*EDIT: I forgot that TROLLZ was released at a time when bundles were still allowed to be counted for the Hot 100, so that had to have helped immensely with sales. Had those not been counted, maybe it would still have a shot at #1, but its sales figures would never have been as strong.) |
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rainygirl
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Post by rainygirl on Oct 7, 2021 22:14:24 GMT -5
Didn’t Nicki hop on a remix and collabed with a questionable artist and they both went to #1 just last year, which were not only her first #1s but also the other artists’ only #1s (to date)? If the Barbz come together again for this instance, there’s no doubt they could pull off a #1 if not a high enough peak especially with the charts and stan power being one of the factors now. The big difference is that Say So and TROLLZ had great stats in other categories to fall back on to help them achieve their #1's - Say So was nearing its peak on Pop when Nicki's remix was released, and 6ix9ine had always pulled in great YouTube numbers even when they were heavily inflated by bots.* Jesy Nelson has had nothing like this to speak of on the Hot 100; even when she was with Little Mix, every single song that group charted never even cracked the top 50 here. I get that Boyz will be shipped to Pop upon release, but even if Nicki stans pull all the plugs in the world, I don't see it peaking higher than top 20 simply because of how little Jesy matters in the States. (*EDIT: I forgot that TROLLZ was released at a time when bundles were still allowed to be counted for the Hot 100, so that had to have helped immensely with sales. Had those not been counted, maybe it would still have a shot at #1, but its sales figures would never have been as strong.) that is an excellent logical explanation thank you |
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 7, 2021 22:18:01 GMT -5
I think Adele (hopefully) saved us from a Fancy Like #1, the Kesha remix is helping it but I don't think it's a big enough presence to put it in serious competition with Stay and then Easy On Me is gonna absolutely dominate for the foreseeable future Also, FL's Pop traction appears to have begun stalling out already. I still think it'll stick around a bit longer, but after it peaks on Country in the next month or so, it won't have the same Pop/Hot AC traction to fall back on that I Hope had. This is BLABR all over again. Literally everything you're saying is inaccurate, as FL is still making huge gains on pop, and also gaining on Hot AC, and after huge country crossovers start declining on country, they almost always stick around on pop/Hot AC for a while, serving huge longevity, which BLABR did as well, so I don't know why you'd bring that up. |
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Oct 7, 2021 23:08:18 GMT -5
Also, FL's Pop traction appears to have begun stalling out already. I still think it'll stick around a bit longer, but after it peaks on Country in the next month or so, it won't have the same Pop/Hot AC traction to fall back on that I Hope had. This is BLABR all over again. Literally everything you're saying is inaccurate, as FL is still making huge gains on pop, and also gaining on Hot AC, and after huge country crossovers start declining on country, they almost always stick around on pop/Hot AC for a while, serving huge longevity, which BLABR did as well, so I don't know why you'd bring that up. Well, everyone’s got a bad take in them every once in a while. I probably should’ve looked before I leaped on that one. |
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imbondz
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Post by imbondz on Oct 8, 2021 8:51:26 GMT -5
My Universe - the ending is so cool. Why didn’t they introduce that beat earlier in the song or keep it throughout. Would have been better.
Cold Heart - I can’t think of a song (remake) that takes lyrics from one song for the verses, then a completely different song for the chorus. Genius. Incredible song.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Oct 8, 2021 9:48:30 GMT -5
Actually, Elton's and Pnau's album from 2012 did that on all songs IIRC
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