Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Nov 12, 2021 16:11:13 GMT -5
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Nov 12, 2021 16:16:03 GMT -5
Cold Heart is going to end up very high on this Year End chart.
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on Nov 12, 2021 16:29:14 GMT -5
I’ll make an “official” prediction post for the 2021 chart using Austin Rioux’s predictions
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 12, 2021 16:31:57 GMT -5
Songs currently on the hot 100 that I think will make it -Easy On Me -Stay -Industry Baby -Bad Habits -Shivers -Fancy Like & Need To Know  -Good 4 U -Heat Waves -Cold Heart -Kiss Me More -If I Didn't Love You -Meet Me At Our Spot -Happier Than Ever -Better Days -Til You Can't |
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Nov 12, 2021 16:37:58 GMT -5
Songs currently on the hot 100 that I think will make it -Easy On Me -Stay -Industry Baby -Bad Habits -Shivers -Fancy Like & Need To Know -Good 4 U -Heat Waves -Cold Heart -Kiss Me More -If I Didn't Love You -Meet Me At Our Spot -Happier Than Ever -Better Days -Til You Can't I would also add Ghost, it has good Pop callouts and will likely have a decent radio run after the Christmas freeze. And of course, the obvious AIWFCIY and probably RATCT because this is almost certainly gonna be an annual tradition now. (I wouldn't count out Jingle Bell Rock, either.) |
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Nov 12, 2021 16:40:25 GMT -5
Thank goodness I didn't confused with this and the 2021 thread. But anyways...
Early prediction for 2022 YE re-entries are all of the songs in the Top 20 that were confirmed for 2021 YE.
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Nov 12, 2021 16:43:59 GMT -5
Okay here's my Year End contender predictions in no order
Easy On Me
Stay
Industry Baby
Bad Habits
Fancy Like
Shivers
Way 2 Sexy
Need To Know
Good 4 U
Heat Waves
Essence
Cold Heart
Meet Me At Our Spot
Happier Than Ever
Better Days
That's What I Want
Love Nwantiti
Ghost
One Right Now
No Love
Smokin Out The Window
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 12, 2021 16:57:32 GMT -5
Songs currently on the hot 100 that I think will make it -Easy On Me -Stay -Industry Baby -Bad Habits -Shivers -Fancy Like & Need To Know -Good 4 U -Heat Waves -Cold Heart -Kiss Me More -If I Didn't Love You -Meet Me At Our Spot -Happier Than Ever -Better Days -Til You Can't I would also add Ghost, it has good Pop callouts and will likely have a decent radio run after the Christmas freeze. And of course, the obvious AIWFCIY and probably RATCT because this is almost certainly gonna be an annual tradition now. (I wouldn't count out Jingle Bell Rock, either.) I think AIWFCIY will make it again but that post was just meant to be the songs currently on the hot 100 right now |
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Nov 12, 2021 17:14:04 GMT -5
I’m not sure if Ghost will make it on the Year End. For one, it’s a 6th single. Secondly, now that Halloween has passed, radio may drop this song any day now. I find it difficult to imagine radio holding on to a song called Ghost in the winter months.
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Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ
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Post by Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ on Nov 12, 2021 17:20:26 GMT -5
Secondly, now that Halloween has passed, radio may drop this song any day now. I find it difficult to imagine radio holding on to a song called Ghost in the winter months. you're not serious? right? |
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Nov 12, 2021 17:40:27 GMT -5
I’m not sure if Ghost will make it on the Year End. For one, it’s a 6th single. Secondly, now that Halloween has passed, radio may drop this song any day now. I find it difficult to imagine radio holding on to a song called Ghost in the winter months. Ghost by Ella Henderson peaked at #21 in the winter months of 2015. |
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Nov 12, 2021 17:44:46 GMT -5
I’m not sure if Ghost will make it on the Year End. For one, it’s a 6th single. Secondly, now that Halloween has passed, radio may drop this song any day now. I find it difficult to imagine radio holding on to a song called Ghost in the winter months. Ghost by Ella Henderson peaked at #21 in the winter months of 2015. That's what exactly I had in my mind when I saw that. Though if based by the chart date it peaked, which is March 21, 2015, it would be on Spring instead of Winter. Regardless, the point is just because the song title is something associated with Halloween doesn't always mean it had to be chart strongly only in that time period. |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Nov 12, 2021 17:57:20 GMT -5
I guess I'll join in on this too.
Locks
Easy on Me - Adele
Cold Heart - Elton John & Dua Lipa
Shivers - Ed Sheeran
One Right Now - Post Malone & The Weeknd
Bad Habits - Ed Sheeran
Stay - The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber
Industry Baby - Lil Nas X feat. Jack Harlow
Heat Waves - Glass Animals
Smokin' Out the Window - Silk Sonic
All I Want for Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
Has a good shot
Meet Me at Our Spot - The Anxiety, Willow & Tyler Cole
Need to Know - Doja Cat
Better Days - Neiked, Mae Muller & Polo G
Ghost - Justin Bieber
Happier Than Ever - Billie Eilish
Essence - Wizkid feat. Tems & Justin Bieber
Could make it
Overpass Graffiti - Ed Sheeran
Fancy Like - Walker Hayes
Thats What I Want - Lil Nas X
Good 4 U - Olivia Rodrigo
Kiss Me More - Doja Cat feat. SZA
Darkhorse candidates
Doin' This - Luke Combs
Big Energy - Latto
Bite Me - Avril Lavigne
All Too Well/Enchanted - Taylor Swift
You Should Probably Leave/Cold - Chris Stapleton
My Universe - Coldplay & BTS
Some song off of Still Over It
Songs that have an outside chance
Way 2 Sexy - Drake feat. Future & Young Thug
Love Nwantiti - CKay
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Nov 12, 2021 18:05:28 GMT -5
Ghost by Ella Henderson peaked at #21 in the winter months of 2015. That's what exactly I had in my mind when I saw that. Though if based by the chart date it peaked, which is March 21, 2015, it would be on Spring instead of Winter. Regardless, the point is just because the song title is something associated with Halloween means it had to be chart strongly only in that time period. Yeah, for some reason, I thought it peaked in January or February of that year. But regardless, it was pretty popular in the US around that time. |
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on Nov 12, 2021 20:12:35 GMT -5
One Right Now is either going to be a flop, or it’ll last over a year on the charts. No in between.
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Zoibator
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Post by Zoibator on Nov 13, 2021 16:57:38 GMT -5
Some songs I think will make it to the 2022 year end:
Easy On Me
Stay
Industry Baby
One Right Now
Shivers
Cold Heart
Heat Waves (I mean it’s still rising)
Overpass Graffiti
Already Dead
Smokin Out The Window
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Nov 13, 2021 18:05:12 GMT -5
My guess for 2021 repeats is:
Stay
Industry Baby
Heat Waves
Bad Habits
Need To Know
Good 4 U
Way 2 Sexy
Fancy Like
AIWFCIY
maybe throw in Essence or Beggin' as well but I'm not sure how well those will hold up
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Nov 13, 2021 18:34:20 GMT -5
Could RATCT potentially repeat again? I don't think it's out of the question.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Nov 13, 2021 18:37:31 GMT -5
^^Both of those two seem to have peaked in radio audience and are the two songs in the top 20 most dependent on radio for their weekly points. A lot will depend on how radio holds up given that both songs are getting close to 20 weeks in the Hot 100. They could end up losing a week or two due to the holiday songs in the tracking weeks just before and including Christmas.
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Nov 13, 2021 20:53:42 GMT -5
Well.. since this is a new thread, just wanna publicly say I’m looking forward to continuing the predictions for 2022, even if they probably won’t be as accurate this year. Looking forward to seeing if this year will be as good music wise as the past couple of years.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 13, 2021 23:33:29 GMT -5
Gonna try for 2022 repeats from highest to lowest, assuming Easy On Me misses
Stay
Heat Waves
Bad Habits
Good 4 U
Industry Baby
Need To Know
Fancy Like
Happier Than Ever
Kiss Me More
All I Want For Christmas Is You
If I Didn't Love You
i actually think RATCT is gonna be a 1 time thing this year but I could be wrong
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Nov 15, 2021 10:48:52 GMT -5
I guess I'll join in on this too. Locks
Easy on Me - Adele Cold Heart - Elton John & Dua Lipa Shivers - Ed Sheeran One Right Now - Post Malone & The Weeknd Bad Habits - Ed Sheeran Stay - The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber Industry Baby - Lil Nas X feat. Jack Harlow Heat Waves - Glass Animals Smokin' Out the Window - Silk Sonic All I Want for Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey Has a good shotMeet Me at Our Spot - The Anxiety, Willow & Tyler Cole Need to Know - Doja Cat Better Days - Neiked, Mae Muller & Polo G Ghost - Justin Bieber Happier Than Ever - Billie Eilish Essence - Wizkid feat. Tems & Justin Bieber Could make itOverpass Graffiti - Ed Sheeran Fancy Like - Walker Hayes Thats What I Want - Lil Nas X Good 4 U - Olivia Rodrigo Kiss Me More - Doja Cat feat. SZA Darkhorse candidatesDoin' This - Luke Combs Big Energy - Latto Bite Me - Avril Lavigne All Too Well/Enchanted - Taylor Swift You Should Probably Leave/Cold - Chris Stapleton My Universe - Coldplay & BTS Some song off of Still Over It Songs that have an outside chanceWay 2 Sexy - Drake feat. Future & Young Thug Love Nwantiti - CKay I also would add Message in a Bottle, Already Dead, I Drink Wine and Bad Man to my darkhorse candidates. |
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Post by nathanalbright on Nov 15, 2021 18:57:01 GMT -5
This is a solid collection of future hot takes.
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mikerivera
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Post by mikerivera on Nov 15, 2021 19:37:04 GMT -5
I’ve been hearing Message in a Bottle on the radio, but its streaming numbers don’t stand out in the slightest from the rest of the Red re-release. Wonder why they aren’t giving All Too Well a radio push, seeing as it’s the one that everyone is seeking out (and has been a fan favorite for over 9 years)
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Nov 16, 2021 1:59:47 GMT -5
I love Taylor to death but I seriously wouldn't consider the possibility of anything from Red TV hitting the year end list or doing anything on radio. Even if it's a greatly beloved song like Love Story or 22 there's pretty much never gonna be all that much demand for a 9 year old song to be in heavy radio rotation
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Zoibator
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Post by Zoibator on Nov 16, 2021 5:56:25 GMT -5
Is this week’s chart (20/11/2021) the first week to be counted for the 2022 year end chart?
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Nov 16, 2021 7:48:39 GMT -5
Is this week’s chart (20/11/2021) the first week to be counted for the 2022 year end chart? Many people believe it will be the first week to be counted for the 2022 YE chart. However, we will not know 100% for sure until the 2021 YE chart is released. |
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Nov 16, 2021 7:59:12 GMT -5
Of the tracks from Red TV, I think I Bet You Think About Me will have the best shot at the 2022 YE. It got a music video, it has country radio’s backing, and it seems to be growing on streaming. Plus, it’s a vault track that hadn’t been heard before, so it’s not like ATW or the big singles from Red’s original run where they already existed in some form for nearly a decade.
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Nov 16, 2021 22:15:52 GMT -5
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Nov 17, 2021 11:05:28 GMT -5
I'm thinking about moving Fancy Like out of the could make it tier and moving it to the outside chance tier. If it keeps this up, it might now make the YE at all.
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