gikem
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Post by gikem on Jun 30, 2022 15:52:23 GMT -5
If you include the Hot 100 Airplay Year-Ends for songs that couldn't chart on the Hot 100 at the time, Jagged Little Pill and Yourself Or Someone Like You also had singles making a Year-End for three consecutive years. Jagged Little Pill 1995: You Oughta Know, Hand In My Pocket 1996: Ironic, You Learn(/You Oughta Know), Head Over Feet 1997: Head Over Feet Yourself Or Someone Like You 1997: Push 1998: Push, 3 AM, Real World 1999: Back 2 Good And for the latter album, I'm not sure if it would've been possible, but if the first single Long Day had been bigger in 1996 (the year the album released), we could've potentially had a reality where Matchbox Twenty had four consecutive years of Year-End hits all from the same album. Insane. BTW mikerivera , the title of Luke Combs' 2019 album is What You See Is What You Get. Also, Because Of You made the 2006 YE as well. |
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jun 30, 2022 16:49:05 GMT -5
If you include the Hot 100 Airplay Year-Ends for songs that couldn't chart on the Hot 100 at the time, Jagged Little Pill and Yourself Or Someone Like You also had singles making a Year-End for three consecutive years. Jagged Little Pill 1995: You Oughta Know, Hand In My Pocket 1996: Ironic, You Learn(/You Oughta Know), Head Over Feet 1997: Head Over Feet Yourself Or Someone Like You 1997: Push 1998: Push, 3 AM, Real World 1999: Back 2 Good And for the latter album, I'm not sure if it would've been possible, but if the first single Long Day had been bigger in 1996 (the year the album released), we could've potentially had a reality where Matchbox Twenty had four consecutive years of Year-End hits all from the same album. Insane. BTW mikerivera , the title of Luke Combs' 2019 album is What You See Is What You Get. Also, Because Of You made the 2006 YE as well. It’s crazy to think Morgan Wallen would of done this if not for his controversy last year 2020 More Than My Hometown 2021 More Than My Hometown,7 Summers, 2022 Sand In My Boots Wasted on You |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jun 30, 2022 17:14:03 GMT -5
If you include the Hot 100 Airplay Year-Ends for songs that couldn't chart on the Hot 100 at the time, Jagged Little Pill and Yourself Or Someone Like You also had singles making a Year-End for three consecutive years. Jagged Little Pill 1995: You Oughta Know, Hand In My Pocket 1996: Ironic, You Learn(/You Oughta Know), Head Over Feet 1997: Head Over Feet Yourself Or Someone Like You 1997: Push 1998: Push, 3 AM, Real World 1999: Back 2 Good And for the latter album, I'm not sure if it would've been possible, but if the first single Long Day had been bigger in 1996 (the year the album released), we could've potentially had a reality where Matchbox Twenty had four consecutive years of Year-End hits all from the same album. Insane. BTW mikerivera , the title of Luke Combs' 2019 album is What You See Is What You Get. Also, Because Of You made the 2006 YE as well. It’s crazy to think Morgan Wallen would of done this if not for his controversy last year 2020 More Than My Hometown 2021 More Than My Hometown,7 Summers, 2022 Sand In My Boots Wasted on You Somebody's Problem could've made it in 2021 too. |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jun 30, 2022 17:39:42 GMT -5
I just realized next week, we're gonna get our first 2022 song in the top 10 next week.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Jun 30, 2022 19:28:03 GMT -5
If you include the Hot 100 Airplay Year-Ends for songs that couldn't chart on the Hot 100 at the time, Jagged Little Pill and Yourself Or Someone Like You also had singles making a Year-End for three consecutive years. Jagged Little Pill 1995: You Oughta Know, Hand In My Pocket 1996: Ironic, You Learn(/You Oughta Know), Head Over Feet 1997: Head Over Feet Yourself Or Someone Like You 1997: Push 1998: Push, 3 AM, Real World 1999: Back 2 Good And for the latter album, I'm not sure if it would've been possible, but if the first single Long Day had been bigger in 1996 (the year the album released), we could've potentially had a reality where Matchbox Twenty had four consecutive years of Year-End hits all from the same album. Insane. BTW mikerivera , the title of Luke Combs' 2019 album is What You See Is What You Get. Also, Because Of You made the 2006 YE as well. Yeah I was a bit confused about that too, You Get What You Give was the title of the Zac Brown Band's 2010 album lol, though the titles are somewhat similar so I can see how he made that mistake. And about Maroon 5, surprisingly their 2010 album Hands All Over also belongs in this category (if you include the re-release which had Moves Like Jagger), even though this was far from their most successful album: Hands All Over: 2010: Misery 2011: Moves Like Jagger 2012: Moves Like Jagger |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 1, 2022 13:55:17 GMT -5
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atg
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Posts: 3,004
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Post by atg on Jul 1, 2022 14:21:58 GMT -5
As It Was is the true biggest hit of 2022. I don’t think some of you remembered, but pop music was extremely dead in the first quarter of this year. That is until AIW came along as the first actual #1 hit released in 2022 and setting off big streaming numbers. It technically started a trend of the charts becoming way more active, which was followed immediately by First Class, then the 4 straight weeks of album bombs that finally turned 2022 into its own identity and not just a carbon copy of 2021.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 1, 2022 15:13:39 GMT -5
It looks we may have another drought coming for the YE.
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inverse
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Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on Jul 1, 2022 16:23:55 GMT -5
It looks we may have another drought coming for the YE. I think it'll be the opposite tbh. If you look at the list of songs that have not just an outside chance but a good shot of passing cutoff in the next 10 weeks you got Circles Around This Town To The Moon (really guys?) Flower Shops What Happened To Virgil Me Porto Bonito Titi Me Pregunto Moscow Mule Despues De La Playa Party Ojitos Lindos Efecto Trouble With A Heartbreak Get Into It In A Minute Take My Name Puffin On Zootiez Provenza When You're Gone Damn Strait Running Up That Hill Thousand Miles Late Night Talking Something In The Orange You Proof 2Step Cooped Up Sunroof Jimmy Cooks Break My Soul i doubt all of these would make it but still they're all fairly likely so even if a couple miss out we still got a solid 25 songs coming up real fast. |
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on Jul 1, 2022 16:32:55 GMT -5
Gonna use the list above and make a prediction of what I think will make year end and won't
Circles Around This Town
To The Moon
Flower Shops
What Happened To Virgil
Me Porto Bonito
Titi Me Pregunto
Moscow Mule
Despues De La Playa
Party
Ojitos Lindos
Efecto
Trouble With A Heartbreak
Get Into It
In A Minute
Take My Name
Puffin On Zootiez
Provenza
When You're Gone
Damn Strait
Running Up That Hill
Thousand Miles
Late Night Talking
Something In The Orange
You Proof
2Step
Cooped Up
Sunroof
Jimmy Cooks
Break My Soul
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on Jul 1, 2022 16:52:14 GMT -5
Trouble With A Heartbreak seems a 100% lock. At 7000/week for 6 more weeks it winds up above Never Say Never & Jingle Bell Rock. Its radio is still rock solid right now so this might even be a lowball.
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jul 1, 2022 17:09:45 GMT -5
My prediction of what will make the year end list
I think the cutoff will be 140,000
To The Moon
What Happened to Virgil
Me Porto Bonito
Titi Me Preguno
Moscow Mule
Despuses De La Playa
Party
Trouble With A Heartbreak
Get Into It (Yuh)
In A Minute
Take My Name 😞
Puffin On Zootiez
Provenza
Running Up That Hill
Thousand Miles
Late Night Talking
Something In The Orange
You Proof
Sunroof
Jimmy’s Cooks
Sticky
Break My Soul
The Kind Of Love We Make
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jul 1, 2022 19:24:20 GMT -5
Artists to appear in 2020 Yead End List Now
1 year End so far
Tory Lanz 2020
Lil Wayne 2020
Tones And I 2020
Beyoncé 2020 (Potentially 2022)
Arizona Zervas 2020
Quavo 2020
Lewis Capaldi 2020
Saint JHN 2020
Trevor Daniel 2020
Mustard 2020
Lil Mosey 2020
Selena Gomez 2020
Jason Derulo 2020
Powfu 2020
Shawn Mendes 2020
Travis Scott 2020
J Balvin 2020
The Black Eyed Peas 2020
Blake Shelton 2020
Gwen Stefani 2020
Lady Gaga 2020
SHAED 2020
Juice Wrld 2020
JP Saxe 2020
Julia Michaels 2020
42 Dugg 2020
Old Dominion 2020
Surfaces 2020
Eminem 2020
Young Boy 2020
StaySolidRocky 2020
Maddie & Tae 2020
Sam Hunt 2020
Lee Bryce 2020
Carly Pearce 2020
YNW Melly 2020
50 Cent 2020
Halsey 2020
BENNE 2020
Gus Dapperton 2020
Kid Cudi 2020
Tyga 2020
Sway Lee 2020
Khalid 2020
Miranda Lambert 2020
Jhene Aiko 2020
Surf Mesa 2020
Emilee 2020
H.E.R 2020
YG 2020
NLE Choppa 2020
Daniel Ceasar 2021
Giveon 2021
Masked Wolf 2021
Machine Gun Kelly 2021
Jhay Cortez 2021
Saweetie 2021
Chance The Rapper 2021
6LACK 2021
Tate McRae 2021 (Potentially 2022)
Pooh Sheisty 2021
SpotemGottem 2021
Kali Uchis 2021
CJ 2021
Internet Money 2021
NAV 2021
Don Tolliver 2021
AJR 2021
Ryan Hurd 2021
BLEU 2021
Benny Blanco 2021
Maneskin 2021
Chris Young 2021
Nelly 2021
Florida Georgia Line 2021
Ava Max 2021
Mooski 2021
Coi Leray 2021
Thomas Rhett 2021
Keith Urban 2021
Pink 2021
Duncan Laurence 2021
Niko Moon 2021
Carrie Underwood 2021
Parmalee 2021 (Potentially 2022)
Blanco Brown 2021
Ritt Momney 2021
Cole Swindell 2021 (Potentially 2022)
Lainey Wilson 2021 Potentially (2022)
BRS Kash 2021
Chase Rice 2021
Rauw Alejandro 2021 (Potentially 2022)
Adele 2022
Kodak Black 2022
Elton John 2022
Latto 2022
GAYLE 2022
Imagine Dragons 2022
JID 2022
Encanto 2022
Cody Johnson 2022
Jordan Davis 2022
Ckay 2022
Muni Long 2022
Becky G 2022
Karol G 2022
Dove Cameron 2022
Em Beihold 2022
Mae Muller 2022
The Anxeity 2022
Lauren Spencer Smith 2022
______________________
Artists On 2 Year Ends
Post Malone 2020,2022
Roddy Rich 2020,2022
Dababy 2020,2021
Harry Styles 2020,2022
Maroon 5 2020,2021
Maren Morris 2020,2021 (Potentially 2022)
Gabby Barrett 2020,2021
Charlie Puth 2020,2021
Billie Eilish 2020,2021
Dan & Shay 2020,2021
Cardi B 2020,2021
Black bear 2020,2021
Lizzo 2020,2022
Morgan Wallen 2020,2022
Chris Brown 2020,2021
Camila Cabello 2020,2022
BTS 2020,2021
Pop Smoke 2020,2021
Rod Wave 2020,2021
24k Golden 2020,2021
Ian Dior 2020,2021
Marshmello 2020,2021
Jason Aldean 2020,2021 (Potentially 2022)
DJ Khalid 2020,2021
Jonas Brothers 2020,2021
Kane Brown 2020,2021 (Potentially 2022)
Eric Church 2020,2021 (Potentially 2022)
Moneybagg Yo 2020,2021
Silk Sonic 2021,2022
The Kid Laroi 2021,2022
Ed Sheeran 2021,2022
Glass Animals 2021,2022
Walker Hayes 2021,2022
Bad Bunny 2021,2022
SZA 2021,2022
Chris Stapleton 2021,2022
Taylor Swift 2021,2022
Wizkid 2021,2022
Tems 2021,2022
Brenda Lee 2021,2022
Lil Baby 2020,2021 (Potentially 2022) _______________________
Artists On All 3
Justin Bieber 2020,2021,2022
Dua Lipa 2020,2021,2022
Lil Nas X 2020,2021,2022
Jack Harlow 2020,2021,2022
Doja Cat 2020,2021,2022
The Weeknd 2020,2021,2022
Ariana Grande 2020,2021,2022 (Assuming The Remix Of SYT is on the YE)
Gunna 2020,2021,2022
Young Thug 2020,2021,2022
Future 2020,2021,2022
Luke Bryan 2020,2021,2022
Drake 2020,2021,2022
Mariah Carey 2020,2021,2022
Luke Combs 2020,2021,2022
Lil Durk 2020,2021,2022
Megan Thee Stallion 2020,2021,2022
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 3, 2022 9:51:24 GMT -5
I gotta ask how does Ghost feel bigger than Thats What I Want, Ghost had a higher peak than TWIW, more weeks in the top 10 and is currently outperforming it.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 3, 2022 11:37:43 GMT -5
Artists to appear in 2020 Yead End List Now 1 year End so far Beyoncé 2020 (Potentially 2022) Beyonce doesn't have a YE appearance this decade, she wasn't credited for Savage on the YE. |
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 3, 2022 18:53:02 GMT -5
Hey how likely is it for Ghost to be in the top 10? Does anyone know?
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ephelia
Charting
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Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Jul 3, 2022 19:00:02 GMT -5
Here's my guess for the range of possible placements for songs in the YE Top 25, in order of my best guess. The high end of the range is if the song overperforms my expectation and every other song underperforms, while the low end is if the song underperforms and every other song overperforms. The ranks do not take into account songs that I don't have enough data on, or that are not yet released.
1. Heat Waves (1-2)
2. Stay (1-3)
3. As It Was (2-4)
4. First Class (3-6)
5. Easy On Me (4-6)
6. Big Energy (4-11)
7. Shivers (6-11)
8. Ghost (6-12)
9. Wait For U (6-13)
10. Super Gremlin (6-12)
11. Cold Heart (6-13)
12. Bad Habits (10-13)
13. About Damn Time (8-15)
14. Enemy (13-15)
15. TWIW (13-15)
16. abcdefu (16-16)
17. Industry Baby (17-17)
18. Need To Know (18-18)
19. Woman (19-23)
20. WDTAB (20-24)
21. Me Porto Bonito (19-32)
22. Wasted On You (19-35)
23. Titi Me Pregunto (21-37)
24. One Right Now (21-28)
25. 'Til You Can't (21-28)
26. good 4 u (23-29)
27. Boyfriend (19-40)
28. Fancy Like (24-31)
30. RUTH (19-60)
34. Numb Little Bug (21-45)
38. Glimpse Of Us (24-51)
43. Late Night Talking (25-58)
(I used PositivityMaster48's real points estimates as the data source)
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 3, 2022 19:22:35 GMT -5
These are my predictions for the top 10
1. Heat Waves
2. Stay
3. As It Was
4. Easy On Me
5. First Class
6. Big Energy
7. Ghost
8. Super Gremlin
9. Wait 4 U
10. Shivers
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 5, 2022 10:36:43 GMT -5
Fun fact: If As It Was ends the year at 2 or 3, it will the biggest released in their respective year this decade (the biggest YE song released in 2020 was Rockstar which ended the year at 5 and Good 4 U was the biggest song released in 2021 and it ended the year at 5 as well)
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 5, 2022 11:42:11 GMT -5
Fun fact: If As It Was ends the year at 2 or 3, it will the biggest released in their respective year this decade (the biggest YE song released in 2020 was Rockstar which ended the year at 5 and Good 4 U was the biggest song released in 2021 and it ended the year at 5 as well) As it was will easily be top 4 so it definitely will happen. |
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Post by kcdawg13 on Jul 5, 2022 18:12:13 GMT -5
Shivers finishing in the Top 10 will be the most bizarre thing ever, it doesn't even feel like THAT big of a song, especially compared to Bad Habits.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 5, 2022 18:23:26 GMT -5
Shivers finishing in the Top 10 will be the most bizarre thing ever, it doesn't even feel like THAT big of a song, especially compared to Bad Habits. The more bizarre thing is, it has the most weeks in the top 10 this year after Heat Waves. |
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M5AGTS
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Post by M5AGTS on Jul 5, 2022 18:26:50 GMT -5
Shivers finishing in the Top 10 will be the most bizarre thing ever, it doesn't even feel like THAT big of a song, especially compared to Bad Habits. The more bizarre thing is, it has the most weeks in the top 10 this year after Heat Waves. Please tell me you're joking and don't actually think that. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jul 5, 2022 18:33:10 GMT -5
^The main reason for that would be Billboard's chart "year" dates. Bad Habits was already #15 for the 2021 year-end Hot 100 and could be close to repeating that position the 2022's year-end Hot 100. In essence, it would have accomplished in 33(+?) weeks close to what it accomplished in its first 19 weeks.
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kindofbiased
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Rough surf on the coast
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 1,759 
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Post by kindofbiased on Jul 5, 2022 18:38:50 GMT -5
Personal YE Top 10 Prediction
1. Heat Waves
2. As It Was
3. Stay
4. First Class
5. Easy On Me
6. Ghost
7. Big Energy
8. Shivers
9. Super Gremlin
10. Wait For U
in my heart i know Stay will be in the top 2 but i would like it if at least one of the top 2 songs of the year wasn't a 2021 repeat lmao
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jul 5, 2022 18:45:31 GMT -5
Stay can go recurrent after next week (I'm not expecting that to happen) and can open the door for As It Was to swoop for the 2nd biggest song of 2022 but it would still need about 2,000 more points for that to happen.
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Jul 6, 2022 5:00:53 GMT -5
I mean, if we can't even knock Bad Habits into recurrency from #29, Heat Waves and Stay aren't going to leave the charts until the tracking year is over in November. HW and Stay are locked into the Top 2 positions.
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Post by nathanalbright on Jul 6, 2022 11:17:31 GMT -5
It would appear to be so at this point, yes.
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Jul 6, 2022 13:44:26 GMT -5
It does seem possible to me that As It Was could end up ahead of STAY. If they both lose about 3% of their points each week (which isn't implausible), AIW will likely end up ahead, depending on when STAY goes recurrent. STAY will also be vulnerable to album bombs once it's over 52 weeks. It could also come down to which week the chart year ends and whether AIW gets an extra week at the end.
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inverse
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Your mind is in disturbia...
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Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Jul 6, 2022 14:10:23 GMT -5
Think right now we're looking at something like
1. Heat Waves ~900000
2. Stay ~750000
3. As It Was ~730000
4. First Class ~630000
5. Easy On Me 619000
6. Big Energy ~610000
7. Shivers ~610000
8. Super Gremlin ~605000
9. Ghost ~590000
10. Cold Heart ~560000
Enemy is the biggest contender to disrupt this set of songs IMO. Bad Habits is technically possible if it can sit at 25 for a couple more months
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