2022 Billboard Hot 100 Year End Predictions (Year 10)

[Fire]

Nov 28, 2021 19:38:54 GMT -5 @gabingston said:

Nov 28, 2021 1:02:52 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

All Too Well will spend at least 3 weeks in the top 10 and might even survive for 20 weeks, so I think it have a decent shot to make it to the year end chart.

I'm wondering if it'll get any radio traction (in an edited version, of course. No station is going to play a full 10 minute song).

well it's now top 50 on pop radio lol

[phieaglesfan712]

Nov 28, 2021 19:38:54 GMT -5 @gabingston said:

Nov 28, 2021 1:02:52 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

All Too Well will spend at least 3 weeks in the top 10 and might even survive for 20 weeks, so I think it have a decent shot to make it to the year end chart.

I'm wondering if it'll get any radio traction (in an edited version, of course. No station is going to play a full 10 minute song).

The only station that will play a 10-minute song is a classic rock station. My classic rock plays the full version of Roundabout (by Yes) and Freebird (by Lynyrd Skynyrd).

[Groovy]

Here are the artists I would like to see release an album in 2022 

• Kendrick Lamar
• Rihanna
• Post Malone
• Olivia Rodrigo
• Harry Styles
• Ariana Grande
• The Weeknd
• Cardi B

Hopefully 2022 is another interesting year. 

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Nov 28, 2021 21:22:38 GMT -5 Fire said:

Nov 28, 2021 19:38:54 GMT -5 @gabingston said:

I'm wondering if it'll get any radio traction (in an edited version, of course. No station is going to play a full 10 minute song).

well it's now top 50 on pop radio lol

Yeah. That's not saying much since it corresponds to 0.624 radio audience.

[nathanalbright]

How did AIWFCIY not get on the top 50 in any of its runs so far? I suppose AC is the only genre that goes full holiday but one would think it would appear at least on a few countdowns.

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 3}
1 Easy on Me (Adele) 1129
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 969
3 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 915
4 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 771
5 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 771
6 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 693
7 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 681
8 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 645
9 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 609
10 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 594
11 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 543
12 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 522
13 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 502
14 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 494
15 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 478
16 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 458
17 Beggin' (Maneskin) 450
18 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 438
19 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 414
20 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 400
21 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 388
22 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 380
23 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 362
24 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 358
25 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 345
26 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 340
27 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 340
28 Thinking 'Bout You (Dustin Lynch/Lauren Alaina/Mackenzie Porter) 334
29 No Love (Summer Walker/SZA) 332.4
30 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 332
31 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 331
32 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 324
33 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 319
34 Cold as You (Luke Combs) 318
35 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 310
36 Pepas (Farruko) 304
37 Who Want Smoke?? (Nardo Wick/G Herbo/Lil Durk/21 Savage) 304
38 Escape Plan (Travis Scott) 303.6
39 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 284
40 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 283.4
41 Oh My God (Adele) 275
42 Same Boat (Zac Brown Band) 268
43 Wild Side (Normani/Cardi B) 255.6
44 Have Mercy (Chloe) 254
45 Chasing After You (Ryan Hurd/Maren Morris) 246
46 Chosen (Blxst/Tyga/Ty Dolla $ign) 245.2
47 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 243.6
48 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 239.6
49 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 234.8
50 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 234
51 Ex for a Reason (Summer Walker/JT) 230.4
52 Sharing Locations (Meek Mill/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 227.6
53 Already Dead (Juice WRLD) 223.2
54 Knowing You (Kenny Chesney) 222
55 Whiskey and Rain (Michael Ray) 212.4
56 I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor Swit/Chris Stapleton) 212
57 State of Grace (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 209.6
58 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 206
59 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 196.4
60 Tequila Little Time (Jon Pardi) 196.4
61 Bubbly (Young Thug/Drake/Travis Scott) 194.8
62 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) (Lil Nas X) 194
63 Red (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 193.2
64 Sad Girlz Luv Money (Amaarae/Moliy) 190.8
65 Moth to a Flame (Swedish House Mafia/The Weeknd) 189.2
66 Big Energy (Latto) 187.6
67 Freedom Was a Highway (Jimmie Allen/Brad Paisley) 187.6
68 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 185.2
69 Woman (Doja Cat) 181.2
70 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 174.8
71 For Tonight (Giveon) 170
72 Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) (Polo G) 168.6
73 Message In a Bottle (Taylor Swift) 167.8
74 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 166
75 Doin' This (Luke Combs) 152
76 I Drink Wine (Adele) 150
77 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 142
78 My Little Love (Adele) 136
79 Bitter (Summer Walker/Cardi B) 132
80 Can I Get It (Adele) 130
81 Mafia (Travis Scott) 130
82 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 128
83 Memory I Don't Mess With (Lee Brice) 127.2
84 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 122
85 To Be Loved (Adele) 118
86 Traitor (Olivia Rodrigo) 114
87 Baddest (Yung Bleu/Chris Brown/2 Chainz) 112
88 Maybach (42 Dugg/Future) 110.4
89 Volvi (Aventura/Bad Bunny) 109.6
90 Poke It Out (Wale/J. Cole) 108.8
91 Too Easy (Gunna/Future) 108
92 Jugaste y Sufri (Eslabon Armado/Dannylux) 108
93 Half of My Hometown (Kelsea Ballerini/Kenny Chesney) 107.2
94 Last Christmas (Wham!) 102
95 Strangers By Nature (Adele) 101
96 Throw It Away (Summer Walker) 101
97 Nothing New (Taylor Swift/Phoebe Bridgers) 99
98 Cry Your Heart Out (Adele) 98
99 Reciprocate (Summer Walker) 98
100 Toxic (Summer Walker/Lil Durk) 97

[algo]

Easy On Me should lock before the new year. its really crazy how a song could never chart in 2022 but still make the year-end list for it

[nathanalbright]

That's the way chart points work, though.

[rockgolf]

The Dec 4, 2021 chart is out and I expect we'll hear from Billboard what the official Top 100 of 2021 are before the next weekly chart is released.

In the meantime, here's how things stand on the 2022 Top songs of the year:

Easy On Me is probably about 2 weeks away from locking the first position on next year's top 100.

And as promised, here's the ridiculously early prediction of where songs could end up pointwise if they retain 95% of their points until they fall out of the top 50. Most won't do that, of course, because of the Christmas blizzard of hits.

Est Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Easy On Me	Adele	5516
2	Stay	The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber	4751
3	Industry Baby	Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow	4281
4	Bad Habits	Ed Sheeran	3800
5	Shivers	Ed Sheeran	3344
6	Smokin Out The Window	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	3015
7	Heat Waves	Glass Animals	2983
8	Oh My God	Adele	2905
9	Need To Know	Doja Cat	2874
10	All Too Well (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	2845
11	Fancy Like	Walker Hayes	2811
12	One Right Now	Post Malone & The Weeknd	1966
13	Cold Heart (PNAU Remix)	Elton John & Dua Lipa	1948
14	Way 2 Sexy	Drake ft. Future & Young Thug	1934
15	Good 4 U	Olivia Rodrigo	1924
16	Essence	Wizkid ft. Justin Bieber & Tems	1912
17	You Right	Doja Cat & The Weeknd	1899
18	Beggin'	Maneskin	1868
19	Levitating	Dua Lipa	1752
20	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	1720
21	Kiss Me More	Doja Cat ft. SZA	1260
22	If I Didn't Love You	Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood	1216
23	Knife Talk	Drake ft. 21 Savage & Project Pat	1202
24	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1099
25	Meet Me At Our Spot	THE ANXIETY: WILLOW & Tyler Cole	1084
26	I Drink Wine	Adele	982
27	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	968
28	Save Your Tears	The Weeknd & Ariana Grande	946
29	Can I Get It	Adele	942
30	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	936
31	Better Days	NEIKED X Mae Muller X Polo G	826
32	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	821
33	Buy Dirt	Jordan Davis ft. Luke Bryan	801
34	Thinking 'Bout You	Dustin Lynch ft. Lauren Alaina Or MacKenzie Porter	795
35	My Universe	Coldplay x BTS	785
36	Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah)	CKay	784
37	Ghost	Justin Bieber	777
38	To Be Loved	Adele	561
39	Girls Want Girls	Drake ft. Lil Baby	464
40	Thats What I Want	Lil Nas X	438
41	Last Christmas	Wham!	430
42	No Love	Summer Walker & SZA	343
43	Happier Than Ever	Billie Eilish	342
44	Cold As You	Luke Combs	341
45	Leave The Door Open	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	339
46	Pepas	Farruko	323
47	Who Want Smoke??	Nardo Wick ft. G Herbo, Lil Durk & 21 Savage	321
48	You Should Probably Leave	Chris Stapleton	297
49	Same Boat	Zac Brown Band	283
50	Wild Side	Normani ft. Cardi B	270
51	Have Mercy	Chloe	268
52	Chasing After You	Ryan Hurd With Maren Morris	263
53	Escape Plan	Travis Scott	259
54	Chosen	Blxst & Tyga ft. Ty Dolla $ign	257
55	Family Ties	Baby Keem & Kendrick Lamar	255
56	Already Dead	Juice WRLD	251
57	Gyalis	Capella Grey	250
58	Sand In My Boots	Morgan Wallen	243
59	One Mississippi	Kane Brown	224
60	I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift ft. Chris Stapleton	220
61	Sharing Locations	Meek Mill ft. Lil Baby & Lil Durk	215
62	Knowing You	Kenny Chesney	208
63	State Of Grace (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	206
64	Strangers By Nature	Adele	205
65	Montero (Call Me By Your Name)	Lil Nas X	202
66	Cry Your Heart Out	Adele	199
67	Ex For A Reason	Summer Walker & JT	193
68	Red (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	181
69	Whiskey And Rain	Michael Ray	176
70	Bad Man (Smooth Criminal)	Polo G	175
71	Fair Trade	Drake ft. Travis Scott	168
72	Super Gremlin	Kodak Black	156
73	Message In A Bottle (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift	153
74	My Little Love	Adele	143
75	Bitter	Summer Walker & Cardi B	141
76	Mafia	Travis Scott	140
77	Doin' This	Luke Combs	137
78	Tequila Little Time	Jon Pardi	136
79	Bubbly	Young Thug With Drake & Travis Scott	134
80	Take My Breath	The Weeknd	129
80	Sad Girlz Luv Money	Amaarae & Moliy ft. Kali Uchis	129
82	Moth To A Flame	Swedish House Mafia & The Weeknd	127
83	Big Energy	Latto	125
83	Freedom Was A Highway	Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley	125
85	'Til You Can't	Cody Johnson	122
85	Traitor	Olivia Rodrigo	122
87	Woman	Doja Cat	117
88	Throw It Away	Summer Walker	105
89	For Tonight	Giveon	103
89	Nothing New (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift ft. Phoebe Bridgers	103
91	Reciprocate	Summer Walker	102
92	Toxic	Summer Walker ft. Lil Durk	101
93	I Knew You Were Trouble (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	100
94	Run (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift ft. Ed Sheeran	99
95	Unloyal	Summer Walker & Ari Lennox	98
96	Hold On	Adele	97
96	Constant Bulls**t	Summer Walker	97
98	You Don't Know Me	Summer Walker	96
99	abcdefu	GAYLE	95
99	Better Man (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift	95

Way too early to be accurate, especially with the Christmas songs coming. Italicized songs are on the path to making the final top 100, at least for now.

[PositivityMaster48]

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Possible Re-Entries for 2022 Year-End, some are unlikely and get recurrent by Christmas songs:

- Good 4 U
- Kiss Me More
- STAY
- Bad Habits
- Heat Waves
- INDUSTRY BABY
- Fancy Like
- You Right
- Way 2 Sexy
- Essence
- Beggin'
- All I Want for Christmas is You
- If I Didn't Love You

- Knife Talk
- Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
- Happier Than Ever

[gikem]

Dec 3, 2021 22:14:36 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

Possible Re-Entries for 2022 Year-End, some are unlikely and get recurrent by Christmas songs:

- Good 4 U
- Kiss Me More
- STAY
- Bad Habits
- Heat Waves
- INDUSTRY BABY
- Fancy Like
- Traitor
- You Right
- Way 2 Sexy
- Essence
- Beggin'
- All I Want for Christmas is You
- If I Didn't Love You
- Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree
- Happier Than Ever

Traitor already went recurrent, so it's out of the picture. I would also potentially add Knife Talk since it looks like it's going to get a radio push.

[atg]

pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/190011/2020-billboard-hot-year-predictions?page=1#post-7208858

Since this prediction really happened (almost twice actually), i hope to use these powers to give SZA a #1 YE hit. One can just hope of that happening.

[xtynaaguilera99]

Hi everyone! I’ll finish the 2021 (January/December edition) chart year in this topic, so here’s Week 49:

JANUARY/DECEMBER YEAR END - Week 49


1. Dua Lipa - Levitating - 1,059,192
2. The Weeknd & Ariana Grande - Save Your Tears - 911,070
3. Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u - 759,844
4. Doja Cat featuring SZA - Kiss Me More - 734,348
5. Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Leave The Door Open - 722,493
6. Olivia Rodrigo - drivers licence - 659,790
7. Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) - 650,001
8. The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY - 633,439
9. The Weeknd - Blinding Lights - 614,996
10. Justin Bieber featuring Daniel Caesar & GIVEON - Peaches - 610,933

11. BTS - Butter - 583,891
12. 24kGoldn featuring iann dior - Mood - 541,197
13. Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits - 530,895
14. Glass Animals - Heat Waves - 515,123
15. Olivia Rodrigo - deja vu - 504,931
16. Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY - 462,666
17. Masked Wolf - Astronaut In The Ocean - 449,332
18. The Kid LAROI - WITHOUT YOU - 442,667
19. Walker Hayes - Fancy Like - 424,993
20. Luke Combs - Forever After All - 396,996

21. Cardi B - Up - 376,948
22. Machine Gun Kelly & blackbear - my ex’s best friend - 372,888
23. Pop Smoke - What You Know Bout Love - 372,631
24. Saweetie featuring Doja Cat - Best Friend - 369,629
25. Polo G - RAPSTAR - 369,139
26. Ariana Grande featuring Doja Cat & Megan Thee Stallion - 34+35 - 363,080
27. GIVĒON - HEARTBREAK ANNIVERSARY - 358,775
28. Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy - 349,469
29. Ariana Grande - positions - 339,899
30. Lil Tjay & 6LACK - Calling My Phone - 321,605

31. Maroon 5 & Megan Thee Stallion - Beautiful Mistakes - 315,717
32. Doja Cat & The Weeknd - You Right - 312,586
33. Doja Cat - Need To Know - 311,386
34. Drake featuring Future & Young Thug - Way 2 Sexy - 299,570
35. Olivia Rodrigo - traitor - 296,544
36. Billie Eilish - Therefore I Am - 291,865
37. Pooh Shiesty featuring Lil Durk - Back in Blood - 280,894
38. Lil Baby - On Me - 276,522
39. Moneybagg YO - Wockesha - 271,412
40. Wizkid featuring Justin Bieber & Tems - Essence - 271,261

41. SpotemGottem - Beat Box - 269,363
42. Bad Bunny & Tjay Cortez - DÁKITI - 268,021
43. Adele - Easy On Me - 261,225
44. Drake featuring Lil Baby - Wants and Needs 258,720
45. Måneskin - Beggin - 258,684
46. Pop Smoke featuring Lil Baby & DaBaby - For The Night - 256,329
47. Kali Uchis - telepatía - 252,173
48. Tate McRae - you broke me first - 250,366
49. Ryan Hurd & Maren Morris - Chasing After You - 248,970
50. SZA - Good Days - 246,673

51. Yung Bleu featuring Drake - You’re Mines Still - 233,100
52. DJ Khaled featuring Lil Baby & Lil Durk - EVERY CHANCE I GET - 228,906
53. Gabby Barrett - The Good Ones - 225,183
54. Marshmello & Jonas Brothers - Leave Before You Love Me - 221,297
55. Dan + Shay - Glad You Exist - 220,655
56. Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood - If I Didn’t Love You - 210,481
57. Doja Cat - Streets - 210,071
58. Drake - What’s Next - 204,609
59. Chris Young & Kane Brown - Famous Friends - 204,163
60. CJ - Whoopty - 202,660

61. Drake featuring 21 Savage & Project Pat - Knife Talk - 202,935
62. Nelly & Florida Georgia Line - Lil Bit - 201,704
63. Taylor Swift - willow - 201,557
64. Megan Thee Stallion - Thot S**t - 199,621
65. Roddy Ricch - Late At Night - 196,612
66. Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever - 194,058
67. Ed Sheeran - Shivers - 192,410
68. Justin Bieber featuring Chance the Rapper - Holy - 189,506
69. Justin Bieber - Anyone - 188,230
70. Chris Stapleton - Starting Over - 187,504

71. Mooski - Track Star - 186,802
72. MoneyBagg YO - Time Today - 185,848
73. The Weeknd - Take My Breath - 183,030
74. Coi Leray featuring Lil Durk - No More Parties - 181,768
75. Keith Urban & P!nk - One Too Many - 180,661
76. Duncan Laurence - Arcade - 177,229
77. Farruko - Pepas - 177,056
78. Bad Bunny - YONAGUNI - 177,058
79. Thomas Rhett - What’s Your Country Song - 175,897
80. Drake featuring Lil Baby - Girls Want Girls - 175,895

81. Luke Combs - Better Together - 174,455
82. Megan Thee Stallion - Body - 173,685
83. Megan Thee Stallion featuring DaBaby - Cry Baby - 170,967
84. Parmalee & Blanco Brown - Just the Way - 167,149
85. Dua Lipa - We’re Good - 165,056
86. BTS - Dynamite - 164,919
87. Eric Church - Hell of a View - 163,794
88. Cole Swindell - Single Saturday Night - 161,524
89. Gabby Barrett featuring Charlie Puth - I Hope - 160,576
90. Lainey Wilson - Things A Man Oughta Know - 160,039

91. AJR - Bang! - 159,714
92. Rod Wave - Tombstone - 159,542
93. Chase Rice featuring Florida Georgia Line - Drinkin’ Beer. Talking God. Amen. - 158,329
94. Rauw Alejandro - Todo De Tí - 157,581
95. Travis Scott x HVME - Goosebumps (Remix) - 157,220
96. Elle King & Miranda Lambert - Drunk (And I Don’t Wanna Go Home) - 154,667
97. Sam Hunt - Breaking Up Was Easy In The 90’s - 153,159
98. Normani featuring Cardi B - Wild Side - 152,759
99. H.E.R. - Damage - 151,911
100. Miranda Lambert - Settling Down - 149,980

[gikem]

xtynaaguilera99 Make sure you update the points totals for the songs whose YE placements Austin got wrong in his predictions. (I'm also tracking the 2021 January-December YE, so if you'd like some help on this, you can PM me.)

[PositivityMaster48]

Week 4 is now here!

[gikem]

Wild Side has officially locked into my January-December YE predictions on its final week of charting. That leaves the still-charting songs I'm tracking to make the cutoff over the next 2 weeks at the following: Fair Trade, Cold Heart, You Should Probably Leave, My Universe, Sand In My Boots, Buy Dirt, and of course AIWFCIY and RATCT.

The most likely of these to make it are Cold Heart and both of the Christmas songs. Fair Trade only has streaming at this point and is in danger of getting knocked out by the next 2 weeks of album bombs from Polo G and Juice WRLD, plus the increasing onslaught of Christmas songs. YSPL and SIMB will depend on if Billboard allows them to keep charting; YSPL just achieved its 22nd week (and 2nd consecutive below the top 50) and SIMB its 20th. Buy Dirt and My Universe just need to stay on for the next 2 weeks with no major points fluctuations and they're in; however, the former might get hurt by the upcoming country radio freeze, and the latter might take a major hit next week if ARMY decides to focus on mass-buying that holiday remix of Butter.

If all 8 songs make it, this would mean Tombstone, DBTGA, and Todo De Ti all missing the cutoff.

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 4}1 Easy on Me (Adele) 1529
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 1298
3 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 1172
4 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 974
5 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 945
6 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 866
7 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 847
8 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 833
9 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 794
10 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 730
11 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 692
12 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 659
13 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 624
14 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 622
15 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 604
16 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 595
17 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 582
18 Beggin' (Maneskin) 568
19 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 528
20 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 500
21 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 494
22 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 481
23 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 459
24 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 459
25 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 452
26 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 438
27 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 437
28 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 436
29 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 435
30 Thinking 'Bout You (Dustin Lynch/Lauren Alaina/Mackenzie Porter) 427
31 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 426.8
32 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 420.2
33 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 417
34 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 417
35 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 409
36 Cold as You (Luke Combs) 406.4
37 No Love (Summer Walker/SZA) 404
38 Who Want Smoke?? (Nardo Wick/G Herbo/Lil Durk/21 Savage) 391.6
39 Pepas (Farruko) 389.2
40 Oh My God (Adele) 383
41 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 367.8
42 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 367
43 Same Boat (Zac Brown Band) 350
44 Wild Side (Normani/Cardi B) 335.2
45 Have Mercy (Chloe) 334.4
46 Chosen (Blxst/Tyga/Ty Dolla $ign) 328
47 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 324
48 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 319.2
49 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 313.6
50 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 312.8
51 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 312.8
52 Escape Plan (Travis Scott) 303.6
53 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 300
54 Sharing Locations (Meek Mill/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 300
55 Knowing You (Kenny Chesney) 299.2
56 Whiskey and Rain (Michael Ray) 293.6
57 Already Dead (Juice WRLD) 293.2
58 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 282.4
59 Ex for a Reason (Summer Walker/JT) 280.4
60 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 267.2
61 Last Christmas (Wham!) 264
62 Tequila Little Time (Jon Pardi) 263.2
63 Big Energy (Latto) 260.8
64 Bubbly (Young Thug/Drake/Travis Scott) 258.4
65 Freedom Was a Highway (Jimmie Allen/Brad Paisley) 253.6
66 Chasing After You (Ryan Hurd/Maren Morris) 246
67 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 244.8
68 Moth to a Flame (Swedish House Mafia/The Weeknd) 244
69 Woman (Doja Cat) 239.2
70 Message In a Bottle (Taylor Swift) 235.4
71 For Tonight (Giveon) 232
72 Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) (Polo G) 231.4
73 abcdefu (GAYLE) 223.2
74 I Drink Wine (Adele) 219.2
75 My Little Love (Adele) 212.4
76 I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor Swit/Chris Stapleton) 212
77 State of Grace (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 209.6
78 Can I Get It (Adele) 200.8
79 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) (Lil Nas X) 194
80 Red (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 193.2
81 Sad Girlz Luv Money (Amaarae/Moliy) 190.8
82 Memory I Don't Mess With (Lee Brice) 184.4
83 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 174.8
84 Poke It Out (Wale/J. Cole) 169.2
85 Baddest (Yung Bleu/Chris Brown/2 Chainz) 164.4
86 Half of My Hometown (Kelsea Ballerini/Kenny Chesney) 162.8
87 Maybach (42 Dugg/Future) 162
88 Volvi (Aventura/Bad Bunny) 160.4
89 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 158
90 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 154
91 Doin' This (Luke Combs) 152
92 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 150
93 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 146
94 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 142
95 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 138
96 Enemy (Imagine Dragons/JID) 136.8
97 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 132
98 Bitter (Summer Walker/Cardi B) 132
99 Mafia (Travis Scott) 130
100 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 128

[xtynaaguilera99]

2021 JANUARY/DECEMBER YEAR END EDITION - Week 50


“Fair Trade” and “Cold Heart (PNAU Remix)” enter the Top 100.


1. Dua Lipa - Levitating - 1,059,192
2. The Weeknd & Ariana Grande - Save Your Tears - 921,870
3. Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u - 772,444
4. Doja Cat featuring SZA - Kiss Me More - 745,998
5. Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Leave The Door Open - 722,493
6. Olivia Rodrigo - drivers licence - 659,790
7. The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY - 658,489
8. Lil Nas X - MONTERO (Call Me By Your Name) - 650,001
9. The Weeknd - Blinding Lights - 614,996
10. Justin Bieber featuring Daniel Caesar & GIVEON - Peaches - 610,933

11. BTS - Butter - 583,891
12. Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits - 547,545
13. 24kGoldn featuring iann dior - Mood - 541,197
14. Glass Animals - Heat Waves - 534,323
15. Olivia Rodrigo - deja vu - 504,931
16. Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY - 483,516
17. Masked Wolf - Astronaut In The Ocean - 449,332
18. The Kid LAROI - WITHOUT YOU - 442,667
19. Walker Hayes - Fancy Like - 438,143
20. Luke Combs - Forever After All - 396,996

21. Cardi B - Up - 376,948
22. Machine Gun Kelly & blackbear - my ex’s best friend - 372,888
23. Pop Smoke - What You Know Bout Love - 372,631
24. Saweetie featuring Doja Cat - Best Friend - 369,629
25. Polo G - RAPSTAR - 369,139
26. Ariana Grande featuring Doja Cat & Megan Thee Stallion - 34+35 - 363,080
27. GIVĒON - HEARTBREAK ANNIVERSARY - 358,775
28. Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy - 349,469
29. Ariana Grande - positions - 339,899
30. Doja Cat - Need To Know - 329,436

31. Doja Cat & The Weeknd - You Right - 324,886
32. Lil Tjay & 6LACK - Calling My Phone - 321,605
33. Maroon 5 & Megan Thee Stallion - Beautiful Mistakes - 315,717
34. Drake featuring Future & Young Thug - Way 2 Sexy - 311,570
35. Olivia Rodrigo - traitor - 296,544
36. Adele - Easy On Me - 295,725
37. Billie Eilish - Therefore I Am - 291,865
38. Wizkid featuring Justin Bieber & Tems - Essence - 283,661
39. Pooh Shiesty featuring Lil Durk - Back in Blood - 280,894
40. Lil Baby - On Me - 276,522

41. Moneybagg YO - Wockesha - 271,412
42. Måneskin - Beggin - 270,684
43. SpotemGottem - Beat Box - 269,363
44. Bad Bunny & Tjay Cortez - DÁKITI - 268,021
45. Drake featuring Lil Baby - Wants and Needs 258,720
46. Pop Smoke featuring Lil Baby & DaBaby - For The Night - 256,329
47. Kali Uchis - telepatía - 252,173
48. Tate McRae - you broke me first - 250,366
49. Ryan Hurd & Maren Morris - Chasing After You - 248,970
50. SZA - Good Days - 246,673

51. Yung Bleu featuring Drake - You’re Mines Still - 233,100
52. DJ Khaled featuring Lil Baby & Lil Durk - EVERY CHANCE I GET - 228,906
53. Gabby Barrett - The Good Ones - 225,183
54. Marshmello & Jonas Brothers - Leave Before You Love Me - 221,297
55. Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood - If I Didn’t Love You - 220,981
56. Dan + Shay - Glad You Exist - 220,655
57. Drake featuring 21 Savage & Project Pat - Knife Talk - 213,535
58. Ed Sheeran - Shivers - 210,610
59. Doja Cat - Streets - 210,071
60. Drake - What’s Next - 204,609

61. Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever - 204,358
62. Chris Young & Kane Brown - Famous Friends - 204,163
63. CJ - Whoopty - 202,660
64. Nelly & Florida Georgia Line - Lil Bit - 201,704
65. Taylor Swift - willow - 201,557
66. Megan Thee Stallion - Thot S**t - 199,621
67. Roddy Ricch - Late At Night - 196,612
68. Justin Bieber featuring Chance the Rapper - Holy - 189,506
69. Justin Bieber - Anyone - 188,230
70. Chris Stapleton - Starting Over - 187,504

71. Mooski - Track Star - 186,802
72. Farruko - Pepas - 185,956
73. MoneyBagg YO - Time Today - 185,848
74. Drake featuring Lil Baby - Girls Want Girls - 185,845
75. The Weeknd - Take My Breath - 183,030
76. Coi Leray featuring Lil Durk - No More Parties - 181,768
77. Keith Urban & P!nk - One Too Many - 180,661
78. Duncan Laurence - Arcade - 177,229
79. Bad Bunny - YONAGUNI - 177,058
80. Thomas Rhett - What’s Your Country Song - 175,897

81. Luke Combs - Better Together - 174,455
82. Megan Thee Stallion - Body - 173,685
83. Megan Thee Stallion featuring DaBaby - Cry Baby - 170,967
84. Parmalee & Blanco Brown - Just the Way - 167,149
85. Dua Lipa - We’re Good - 165,056
86. BTS - Dynamite - 164,919
87. Eric Church - Hell of a View - 163,794
88. Cole Swindell - Single Saturday Night - 161,524
89. Gabby Barrett featuring Charlie Puth - I Hope - 160,576
90. Normani featuring Cardi B - Wild Side - 160,259

91. Lainey Wilson - Things A Man Oughta Know - 160,039
92. AJR - Bang! - 159,714
93. Rod Wave - Tombstone - 159,542
94. Chase Rice featuring Florida Georgia Line - Drinkin’ Beer. Talking God. Amen. - 158,329
95. Rauw Alejandro - Todo De Tí - 157,581
96. Travis Scott x HVME - Goosebumps (Remix) - 157,220
97. Elle King & Miranda Lambert - Drunk (And I Don’t Wanna Go Home) - 154,667
98. Drake featuring Travis Scott - Fair Trade - 153,170
99. Sam Hunt - Breaking Up Was Easy In The 90’s - 153,159
100. Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) - 153,045

[mikerivera]

Okay so there are 5 spots left on this list, assuming Todo de Tí remains the cutoff. Cold Heart will take one of those spots. All I Want For Christmas is pretty much guaranteed to take another one of them. That leaves 3 spots. Rockin Around the Christmas Tree will need over 60k over the next two weeks, but while it’s not guaranteed, it’s very likely. So that leaves two spots left.

-Fair Trade and You Should Probably Leave are in the exact same situation. If both chart next week, they will take those last two spots. Thing is, it’s not guaranteed they will chart. So keep an eye out there.
-My Universe is also about a week from locking (2 weeks of charting would guarantee its spot). That said...it took a massive dive this week. If it collapses again next week, it may not see that final week. Another song to be watching.
-Buy Dirt is the one other song with a realistic chance of making it. It needs 18k over the next two weeks. Thing is, it got less than 9k this week and had a massive drop similar to My Universe. And though it will chart the next two weeks, it won’t be getting any stronger.

If I had to put money on it, I would expect Fair Trade and My Universe to fill the final two spots. Hoping against hope that YSPL makes it too (I’d sacrifice Todo de Tí for it), but it’s just so uncertain when Billboard will enforce the recurrent rule on it

[iHype.]

This is probably the best thread for this, despite it being a Hot 100-catered thread.

To bring it more on topic though....

Top Hot 100 Artists (so far):
1. Taylor Swift
2. Adele
3. Ed Sheeran
4. Doja Cat
5. Summer Walker

All 5 have passed the cut-off for the 2021 Hot 100 Artists Year-End too.

[Deleted]

I know I've said this before, but I think the Billboard chart year is absolutely ridiculous. It should be the 2022 Billboard Year, not the 1/6th of 2021 and 5/6ths of 2022 Billboard Year. Billboard should move the start and end date a week forward each year until the chart year matches up with the calendar year.

[Groovy]

Another hot take I must drop, The Joker and The Queen will make the YE and even hit number 1 when Ed releases the version with Taylor Swift on it.

[n13l5]

Its ridiculous to me that Drake won artist of the year over Doja Cat, Olivia Rodrigo or the Weeknd. Sure he broke yet another milestone with debuts but he has no songs in the year end top 40 and the others had multible

[rockgolf]

A very belated 2022 prediction based on the Dec 11, 2021 chart:

I'm not going to do any projections until after the Christmas tracks are removed as they produce silly numbers.

[rockgolf]

Dec 10, 2021 7:41:26 GMT -5 n13l5 said:

Its ridiculous to me that Drake won artist of the year over Doja Cat, Olivia Rodrigo or the Weeknd. Sure he broke yet another milestone with debuts but he has no songs in the year end top 40 and the others had multible

Artist of the year includes both tracks and albums. And with several catalog albums Drake had a massive advantage on that chart.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^And also there's a separate, specific Hot 100 Artist Year-End chart, where Olivia did manage to get #1 over Drake.

[mikerivera]

YSPL got that extra week. I can now rest easy

[gikem]

Dec 14, 2021 8:25:03 GMT -5 mikerivera said:

YSPL got that extra week. I can now rest easy

Yep, my calculations should have it above Bang! and Tombstone as of this week, meaning it will make it no matter what happens next week. Cold Heart is now locked, too.

Now the question lies in whether My Universe, Fair Trade and Sand In My Boots will survive the incoming Juice WRLD album bomb, and whether Buy Dirt can maintain enough points to sneak on. All of these making it (plus AIWFCIY) would knock both DBTGA and Todo De Ti out.

RATCT is a wild card, but I’m leaning towards it just missing as it doesn’t look as strong as it did at this point last year.

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 5}
1 Easy on Me (Adele) 1929
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 1591
3 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 1393
4 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 1152
5 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 1103
6 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 1069
7 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 985
8 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 968
9 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 933
10 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 924
11 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 850
12 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 838
13 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 770
14 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 765
15 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 748
16 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 726
17 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 716
18 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 698
19 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 674
20 Beggin' (Maneskin) 667
21 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 642
22 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 638
23 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd/Ariana Grande) 595
24 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 588.4
25 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 579
26 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 548.2
27 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 539.6
28 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 538
29 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 529
30 Thinking 'Bout You (Dustin Lynch/Lauren Alaina/Mackenzie Porter) 524
31 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 523
32 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 513
33 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 512
34 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 503
35 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 501
36 Cold as You (Luke Combs) 490.8
37 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 485
38 Who Want Smoke?? (Nardo Wick/G Herbo/Lil Durk/21 Savage) 478.4
39 Oh My God (Adele) 478
40 No Love (Summer Walker/SZA) 471.6
41 Pepas (Farruko) 471.2
42 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 451.4
43 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 438
44 Last Christmas (Wham!) 434
45 Same Boat (Zac Brown Band) 421.6
46 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 418.4
47 Have Mercy (Chloe) 414
48 Chosen (Blxst/Tyga/Ty Dolla $ign) 406
49 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 393.2
50 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 388.4
51 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 388.4
52 abcdefu (GAYLE) 385.2
53 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 382
54 Whiskey and Rain (Michael Ray) 370
55 Knowing You (Kenny Chesney) 369.2
56 Sharing Locations (Meek Mill/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 363.6
57 Big Energy (Latto) 335.6
58 Wild Side (Normani/Cardi B) 335.2
59 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 326
60 Tequila Little Time (Jon Pardi) 326
61 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 324
62 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 324
63 Woman (Doja Cat) 318
64 Bubbly (Young Thug/Drake/Travis Scott) 315.6
65 Freedom Was a Highway (Jimmie Allen/Brad Paisley) 313.2
66 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 310
67 Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) (Polo G) 305.4
68 Escape Plan (Travis Scott) 303.6
69 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 300
70 Message In a Bottle (Taylor Swift) 299.8
71 For Tonight (Giveon) 294
72 Already Dead (Juice WRLD) 293.2
73 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 292
74 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 288
75 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 286
76 Ex for a Reason (Summer Walker/JT) 280.4
77 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 262
78 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 260
79 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 258
80 Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season (Andy Williams) 252
81 Chasing After You (Ryan Hurd/Maren Morris) 246
82 Moth to a Flame (Swedish House Mafia/The Weeknd) 244
83 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer (Gene Autry) 240
84 I Hate U (SZA) 239
85 Memory I Don't Mess With (Lee Brice) 237.6
86 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 232
87 Poke It Out (Wale/J. Cole) 220
88 Half of My Hometown (Kelsea Ballerini/Kenny Chesney) 219.2
89 I Drink Wine (Adele) 219.2
90 Run Rudolph Run (Chuck Berry) 216
91 My Little Love (Adele) 212.4
92 I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor Swit/Chris Stapleton) 212
93 Enemy (Imagine Dragons/JID) 210
94 State of Grace (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 209.6
95 (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays (Perry Como) 204
96 Can I Get It (Adele) 200.8
97 Montero (Call Me By Your Name) (Lil Nas X) 194
98 Red (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 193.2
99 Sad Girlz Luv Money (Amaarae/Moliy) 190.8
100 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 174.8