2022 Billboard Hot 100 Year End Predictions (Year 10)

[gikem]

Jan 23, 2022 9:32:10 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

SYT’s chances are zero.

Don’t you mean that its chances are…Less Than Zero?

Thank you, thank you, I’ll be here all week…

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 11}
1 Easy on Me (Adele) 4044
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 3259
3 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 2624
4 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 2491
5 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 2490
6 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2124
7 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 2064
8 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 2036
9 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 1867
10 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 1845
11 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1739
12 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 1579
13 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1571
14 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 1565.4
15 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 1534
16 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1485
17 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 1465
18 abcdefu (GAYLE) 1427.2
19 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 1389.8
20 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 1342
21 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 1294
22 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 1284.8
23 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 1246
24 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 1226
25 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 1225
26 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1202
27 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 1199
28 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 1177
29 Oh My God (Adele) 1167.6
30 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 1159.4
31 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 1146.2
32 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 1132.4
33 Thinking 'Bout You (Dustin Lynch/Lauren Alaina/Mackenzie Porter) 1097.2
34 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 1091.4
35 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1054
36 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 1032.8
37 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd) 1027
38 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 1023
39 We Don't Talk About Bruno (Carolina Gaitan/Mauro Castillo/Adassa/Rhenzy Feliz/Diane Guerrero/Stephanie Beatriz/Encanto Cast) 989
40 Who Want Smoke?? (Nardo Wick/G Herbo/Lil Durk/21 Savage) 963.4
41 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 920
42 I Hate U (SZA) 914
43 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 913.8
44 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 908
45 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 903.8
46 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 900.4
47 Whiskey and Rain (Michael Ray) 893.6
48 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 893.4
49 Chosen (Blxst/Tyga/Ty Dolla $ign) 866.8
50 Big Energy (Latto) 856.8
51 Have Mercy (Chloe) 854
52 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 817
53 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 782
54 Woman (Doja Cat) 773.2
55 Beggin' (Maneskin) 773
56 Freedom Was a Highway (Jimmie Allen/Brad Paisley) 762.6
57 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 749.2
58 No Love (Summer Walker/SZA) 746.4
59 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 730
60 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 722
61 Same Boat (Zac Brown Band) 721.2
62 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 714
63 For Tonight (Giveon) 706
64 Enemy (Imagine Dragons/JID) 702.8
65 Message In a Bottle (Taylor Swift) 691
66 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer (Gene Autry) 660
67 Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season (Andy Williams) 660
68 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 658
69 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 652
70 Tequila Little Time (Jon Pardi) 640.8
71 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 610
72 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 609.2
73 Surface Pressure (Jessica Darrow) 603.8
74 Broadway Girls (Lil Durk/Morgan Wallen) 600.2
75 Run Rudolph Run (Chuck Berry) 596
76 By Your Side (Rod Wave) 592
77 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 587
78 (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays (Perry Como) 580
79 Heart on Fire (Eric Church) 569.2
80 Pepas (Farruko) 567.2
81 Cold as You (Luke Combs) 563.2
82 Already Dead (Juice WRLD) 548.4
83 Bubbly (Young Thug/Drake/Travis Scott) 543.6
84 Half of My Hometown (Kelsea Ballerini/Kenny Chesney) 518.4
85 Scorpio (Moneybagg Yo) 504.8
86 Too Easy (Gunna/Future) 491.8
87 Knowing You (Kenny Chesney) 482.8
88 Pushin P (Gunna/Future/Young Thug) 478
89 Hrs and Hrs (Muni Long) 463.6
90 To Be Loved by You (Parker McCollum) 440
91 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 417
92 Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) (Polo G) 409.4
93 Doin' This (Luke Combs) 396
94 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 390
95 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 388
96 Gyalis (Capella Grey) 382
97 Sharing Locations (Meek Mill/Lil Baby/Lil Durk) 363.6
98 Pick Out a Christmas Tree (Dan + Shay) 359.6
99 Christmas Tree Farm (Old Timey Version) (Taylor Swift) 355.6
100 Wandered to LA (Juice WRLD/Justin Bieber) 352.2

[rockgolf]

My estimates of where the Top 100 of 2022 currently sit, based on charts dated up to Jan 29, 2022:

Should be interesting to see the kind of lifespan these Encanto tracks have. I suspect radio won't touch them which means probably a short happy life.

But extending out the still-charting tracks until they fall below #50 on the weekly chart, here's what the extended forecast looks like:

EST Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Easy On Me	Adele	10389
2	Stay	The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber	6245
3	Heat Waves	Glass Animals	6064
4	We Don't Talk About Bruno	Carolina Gaitan, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz & Encanto Cast	4793
5	Shivers	Ed Sheeran	4669
6	Super Gremlin	Kodak Black	4207
7	Cold Heart (PNAU Remix)	Elton John & Dua Lipa	4173
8	Industry Baby	Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow	3788
9	abcdefu	GAYLE	3719
10	Need To Know	Doja Cat	3571
11	Bad Habits	Ed Sheeran	3467
12	Smokin Out The Window	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	3305
13	Ghost	Justin Bieber	2873
14	Surface Pressure	Jessica Darrow	2855
15	Pushin P	Gunna & Future ft. Young Thug	2768
16	Thats What I Want	Lil Nas X	2605
17	Good 4 U	Olivia Rodrigo	2567
18	Oh My God	Adele	2490
19	Levitating	Dua Lipa	2384
20	Save Your Tears	The Weeknd & Ariana Grande	2377
21	One Right Now	Post Malone & The Weeknd	2353
22	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2104
23	Fancy Like	Walker Hayes	2091
24	Better Days	NEIKED X Mae Muller X Polo G	2083
25	Buy Dirt	Jordan Davis ft. Luke Bryan	2033
26	Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah)	CKay	2031
27	Kiss Me More	Doja Cat ft. SZA	2031
28	Hrs And Hrs	Muni Long	1860
29	Essence	Wizkid ft. Justin Bieber & Tems	1824
30	You Right	Doja Cat & The Weeknd	1790
31	I Hate U	SZA	1732
32	Knife Talk	Drake ft. 21 Savage & Project Pat	1667
33	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1656
34	Happier Than Ever	Billie Eilish	1642
35	You Should Probably Leave	Chris Stapleton	1518
36	Meet Me At Our Spot	THE ANXIETY: WILLOW & Tyler Cole	1497
37	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1435
38	Way 2 Sexy	Drake ft. Future & Young Thug	1347
39	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1343
40	All Too Well (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	1317
41	One Mississippi	Kane Brown	1208
42	Big Energy	Latto	1203
43	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1184
44	Thinking 'Bout You	Dustin Lynch ft. Lauren Alaina Or MacKenzie Porter	1176
45	Sacrifice	The Weeknd	1138
46	Girls Want Girls	Drake ft. Lil Baby	1075
47	Last Christmas	Wham!	1071
48	Sand In My Boots	Morgan Wallen	1051
49	If I Didn't Love You	Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood	1045
50	Who Want Smoke??	Nardo Wick ft. G Herbo, Lil Durk & 21 Savage	990
51	Fingers Crossed	Lauren Spencer-Smith	988
52	P Power	Gunna ft. Drake	956
53	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	951
54	Whiskey And Rain	Michael Ray	896
54	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	896
56	The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat King Cole	848
57	My Universe	Coldplay x BTS	843
58	Chosen	Blxst & Tyga ft. Ty Dolla $ign	842
59	Beggin'	Maneskin	828
60	Have Mercy	Chloe	826
61	What Else Can I Do?	Diane Guerrero & Stephanie Beatriz	790
62	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow	Dean Martin	777
63	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	767
64	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	765
65	Fingers Crossed	Lauren Spencer Smith	762
66	Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season	Andy Williams	725
67	Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer	Gene Autry	714
68	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	709
69	White Christmas	Bing Crosby	704
70	Enemy	Imagine Dragons X JID	684
71	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra	654
72	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Michael Buble	645
73	Run Rudolph Run	Chuck Berry	643
74	Broadway Girls	Lil Durk ft. Morgan Wallen	641
75	Same Boat	Zac Brown Band	634
76	(There's No Place Like) Home For The Holidays	Perry Como	632
77	Woman	Doja Cat	625
78	Freedom Was A Highway	Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley	608
79	No Love	Summer Walker & SZA	605
80	Pepas	Farruko	599
81	'Til You Can't	Cody Johnson	595
82	Cold As You	Luke Combs	578
83	By Your Side	Rod Wave	548
84	Message In A Bottle (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift	535
85	For Tonight	Giveon	521
86	Family Ties	Baby Keem & Kendrick Lamar	513
87	Already Dead	Juice WRLD	495
88	Tequila Little Time	Jon Pardi	456
89	Leave The Door Open	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	436
90	Heart On Fire	Eric Church	423
91	Too Easy	Gunna & Future	421
92	Knowing You	Kenny Chesney	408
93	Half Of My Hometown	Kelsea Ballerini ft. Kenny Chesney	396
94	Scorpio	Moneybagg Yo	379
95	Gyalis	Capella Grey	375
96	To Be Loved By You	Parker McCollum	371
97	The Family Madrigal	Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz & Encanto Cast	365
98	Chasing After You	Ryan Hurd With Maren Morris	359
99	Take My Breath	The Weeknd	353
99	Wild Side	Normani ft. Cardi B	353

[kcdawg13]

"Easy On Me" might just get #1 for the year by the sheer fact nothing is strong enough to take it down, of course it's still early enough for something to come and get #1 but usually the #1 hit of the year is on the chart by now ("Levitating" was Top 10 this same time last year, "Blinding Lights" was strolling around the chart in Jan 2020, "God's Plan" and "Shape Of You" debuted at #1 in their respective January's, "Love Yourself" and "Uptown Funk" debuted in December of the previous year).

The only recent outlier is "Old Town Road," but that song was a once in a lifetime thing.

[kingvavis]

Jan 25, 2022 19:10:33 GMT -5 kcdawg13 said:

"Easy On Me" might just get #1 for the year by the sheer fact nothing is strong enough to take it down, of course it's still early enough for something to come and get #1 but usually the #1 hit of the year is on the chart by now ("Levitating" was Top 10 this same time last year, "Blinding Lights" was strolling around the chart in Jan 2020, "God's Plan" and "Shape Of You" debuted at #1 in their respective January's, "Love Yourself" and "Uptown Funk" debuted in December of the previous year).

The only recent outlier is "Old Town Road," but that song was a once in a lifetime thing.

Just imagine Heat Waves becomes the #1 just to fool everyone.

[PositivityMaster48]

Quick question.. do you prefer when I just post the tweet on here or would you rather me post this as a list? Anywho here’s this week’s predictions.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Whatever works for you.

[gikem]

Since I want to wait a bit before I do more "number of weeks" predictions so that we can get some more fresh high-charting blood on the charts to analyze, here's a little experiment I came up with:

2022 Week 11 vs. 2021 Week 11
- The top 5 songs of 2022 so far all have more points than the top 5 songs of 2021 in week 11. However, for these same corresponding weeks, the 2022 songs in positions #6-51 all have less points than those same places in 2021. (Note: I'm excluding analysis of #52-100 because I believe Austin chose to remove Christmas songs below a certain number of points from the building YE last year at this time, and those are still present for the same week in 2022.)
- At this point in 2021, 18 songs had passed what would be the eventual cutoff of about 157-158K points. This year, that number above the same threshold is only 11.
- Of the "locked" songs thus far for 2022,* there are the same number of 2021 repeats as that year's building YE predictions had for 2020 up to that point (7). However, as I said, more songs passed the 157K-point threshold at this point last year than this, so if you include songs #12-18 for 2022, that number goes up to 9.

*Note: For now, I'm considering "locked" to mean passing the 2021 cutoff.

Special thanks to PositivityMaster48 for the YE predictions across both years!

[Deleted]

Here's a hard cover of Easy On Me turning into a Rock power ballad.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

[Lost In Musical Reverie]

Do we have speculations and predictions on the songs likely to get caught between years?

[joshtheking]

Jan 28, 2022 10:36:51 GMT -5 Lost In Musical Reverie said:

Do we have speculations and predictions on the songs likely to get caught between years?

Pepas, Wild Side, Thinking 'Bout You, Girls Want Girls, Fair Trade, My Universe, Have Mercy(not sure if this would've had enough to get in with its whole run)

Buy Dirt, Sand In My Boots, You Should Probably Leave are wildcards but they all need country radio to hold onto them for a little longer to have a chance to make it

[twelvevinylrecords]

Jan 28, 2022 11:47:40 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Jan 28, 2022 10:36:51 GMT -5 Lost In Musical Reverie said:

Do we have speculations and predictions on the songs likely to get caught between years?

Pepas, Wild Side, Thinking 'Bout You, Girls Want Girls, Fair Trade, My Universe, Have Mercy(not sure if this would've had enough to get in with its whole run)

Buy Dirt, Sand In My Boots, You Should Probably Leave are wildcards but they all need country radio to hold onto them for a little longer to have a chance to make it

Song's with the name "Thinkin 'Bout You" are just destined to get caught between years

[Zoibator]

Imagine we dont talk about bruno ends up as the year end number 1

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Jan 29, 2022 5:08:18 GMT -5 Zoibator said:

Imagine we dont talk about bruno ends up as the year end number 1

This is a long shot, but it's possible if "Easy on Me" falls off quickly after getting to #1 just like "Hello" did

But the way charts is going right now, "Easy on Me" may outlast "Hello" in terms of chart weeks

[Deleted]

Hey, I've decided that I am going to boardicide. I simply don't enjoy being here anymore, and I think it'd be better for me to leave Pulse behind. My account will be gone very soon. Farewell, everyone.

[Lordef†ones]

Jan 30, 2022 12:22:47 GMT -5 @Deleted said:

Hey, I've decided that I am going to boardicide. I simply don't enjoy being here anymore, and I think it'd be better for me to leave Pulse behind. My account will be gone very soon. Farewell, everyone.

who were you

[phieaglesfan712]

Jan 30, 2022 13:16:01 GMT -5 Lordef†ones said:

Jan 30, 2022 12:22:47 GMT -5 @Deleted said:

Hey, I've decided that I am going to boardicide. I simply don't enjoy being here anymore, and I think it'd be better for me to leave Pulse behind. My account will be gone very soon. Farewell, everyone.

who were you

I believe he was gabingston.

[inverse]

Jan 28, 2022 11:47:40 GMT -5 joshtheking said:

Jan 28, 2022 10:36:51 GMT -5 Lost In Musical Reverie said:

Do we have speculations and predictions on the songs likely to get caught between years?

Pepas, Wild Side, Thinking 'Bout You, Girls Want Girls, Fair Trade, My Universe, Have Mercy(not sure if this would've had enough to get in with its whole run)

Buy Dirt, Sand In My Boots, You Should Probably Leave are wildcards but they all need country radio to hold onto them for a little longer to have a chance to make it

Have Mercy would have fallen a bit short. If it gets 1 more week and then departs it will be around Down To One & Wasted On You

Meet Me At Our Spot & Who Want Smoke are two more big ones

[korbel16]

Jan 30, 2022 12:22:47 GMT -5 @Deleted said:

Hey, I've decided that I am going to boardicide. I simply don't enjoy being here anymore, and I think it'd be better for me to leave Pulse behind. My account will be gone very soon. Farewell, everyone.

this is the randomest thing I’ve ever seen 😭😭 good luck fella

[joshtheking]

Drunk (AIDWGH) getting its country radio run now long after it peaked in every metric makes me so salty lol, it would've made the 2021 year end if this was during its chart run but oh well

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Week 12}1 Easy on Me (Adele) 4373
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 3552
3 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 2935
4 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 2747
5 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 2657
6 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 2238
7 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 2214
8 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2124
9 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 2052
10 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 2007
11 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 1840.4
12 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1739
13 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 1703
14 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 1666
15 abcdefu (GAYLE) 1648.2
16 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 1601
17 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1571
18 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 1512
19 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1485
20 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 1458.2
21 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 1408
22 We Don't Talk About Bruno (Carolina Gaitan/Mauro Castillo/Adassa/Rhenzy Feliz/Diane Guerrero/Stephanie Beatriz/Encanto Cast) 1389
23 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 1375
24 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 1362
25 Kiss Me More (Doja Cat/SZA) 1338
26 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 1333
27 Oh My God (Adele) 1307.6
28 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 1295
29 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 1289.4
30 Way 2 Sexy (Drake/Future/Young Thug) 1284.8
31 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 1270.4
32 Happier Than Ever (Billie Eilish) 1241.2
33 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1202
34 Thinking 'Bout You (Dustin Lynch/Lauren Alaina/Mackenzie Porter) 1195.2
35 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 1193.4
36 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd) 1173
37 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 1158.8
38 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 1074
39 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1054
40 Who Want Smoke?? (Nardo Wick/G Herbo/Lil Durk/21 Savage) 1046.2
41 I Hate U (SZA) 1034
42 Girls Want Girls (Drake/Lil Baby) 1023
43 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 1012.8
44 If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean/Carrie Underwood) 994.4
45 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 993.4
46 Whiskey and Rain (Michael Ray) 974
47 Big Energy (Latto) 960.8
48 Chosen (Blxst/Tyga/Ty Dolla $ign) 948
49 Have Mercy (Chloe) 917.6
50 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 908
51 My Universe (Coldplay/BTS) 903.8
52 Woman (Doja Cat) 869.2
53 Freedom Was a Highway (Jimmie Allen/Brad Paisley) 850.2
54 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 841.2
55 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 817
56 Surface Pressure (Jessica Darrow) 806.8
57 No Love (Summer Walker/SZA) 800.4
58 Enemy (Imagine Dragons/JID) 799.8
59 For Tonight (Giveon) 783.2
60 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 782
61 Message In a Bottle (Taylor Swift) 775.4
62 Beggin' (Maneskin) 773
63 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 730
64 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 722
65 Same Boat (Zac Brown Band) 721.2
66 Pushin P (Gunna/Future/Young Thug) 717
67 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 714
68 Broadway Girls (Lil Durk/Morgan Wallen) 687
69 By Your Side (Rod Wave) 666.8
70 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer (Gene Autry) 660
71 Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season (Andy Williams) 660
72 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 658
73 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 652
74 Heart on Fire (Eric Church) 648.8
75 Tequila Little Time (Jon Pardi) 640.8
76 Hrs and Hrs (Muni Long) 621.6
77 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 610
78 Family Ties (Baby Keem/Kendrick Lamar) 609.2
79 Half of My Hometown (Kelsea Ballerini/Kenny Chesney) 603.6
80 Run Rudolph Run (Chuck Berry) 596
81 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 587
82 (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays (Perry Como) 580
83 Scorpio (Moneybagg Yo) 578
84 Too Easy (Gunna/Future) 569.8
85 Pepas (Farruko) 567.2
86 Cold as You (Luke Combs) 563.2
87 Already Dead (Juice WRLD) 548.4
88 Bubbly (Young Thug/Drake/Travis Scott) 543.6
89 To Be Loved by You (Parker McCollum) 529.2
90 Knowing You (Kenny Chesney) 482.8
91 Doin' This (Luke Combs) 465.2
92 Fingers Crossed (Lauren Spencer-Smith) 464.8
93 Take My Breath (The Weeknd) 452
94 Sacrifice (The Weeknd) 422
95 Leave the Door Open (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 417
96 Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) (Polo G) 409.4
97 The Family Madrigal (Stephanie Beatriz/Olga Merediz/Encanto Cast) 398.6
98 What Else Can I Do? (Diane Guerrero/Stephanie Beatriz) 392.8
99 Fair Trade (Drake/Travis Scott) 388
100 Do It To It (Acraze/Cherish) 388

[joshtheking]

Imma just share my Encanto predictions:

We Don't Talk About Bruno #1 for 3-6 weeks, top 10 on year end
Surface Pressure #5 peak, top 60 on year end
The Family Madrigal #13 peak, among the 10 that just miss year end
What Else Can I Do? #19 peak, misses year end
Dos Oruguitas ends up being serviced to radio and becomes a sleeper hit from the soundtrack, #16 peak and bottom 20 on year end
Waiting On A Miracle #36 peak
All Of You #59 peak
Colombia, Mi Encanto #88 peak

[nathanalbright]

Interesting predictions.

[PositivityMaster48]

Here’s Week 12.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

^ Hopefully "All Too Well" gets enough weeks to clinch in the 2022 YE

[gikem]

Feb 2, 2022 1:46:21 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

^ Hopefully "All Too Well" gets enough weeks to clinch in the 2022 YE

It needs 2 more weeks to pass 1500 points. Beyond that, I’m not sure if the cutoff will be any higher.

[rockgolf]

Sorry for the delay. I got some exciting news on another of my obsessive hobbies. It may amount to nothing, but it could be nice.

For the chart week ending Feb 5, 2022, here's where I think the Top 100 of the year currently stand.

So, we're barely into February and Justin Bieber is already a lock to have at least 3 songs in the year end top 100.

No big shocks. I doubt WDTA Bruno is going to have a long run at #1 or even on the chart, since it doesn't seem to be getting radio support. It's not even eligible for a Best Song nomination at the Oscars next week because a different song from the movie was submitted for nomination. (Dos Oruguitas, charting this week's Hot 100 at #36)

But my extended prediction is more optimistic for Bruno's chances.

Est. Year end	Song	Artist	YE Est Pts
1	Easy On Me	Adele	9465
2	Stay	The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber	6507
3	Heat Waves	Glass Animals	6379
4	We Don't Talk About Bruno	Carolina Gaitan, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz & Encanto Cast	5955
5	Shivers	Ed Sheeran	4889
6	Super Gremlin	Kodak Black	4448
7	Cold Heart (PNAU Remix)	Elton John & Dua Lipa	4379
8	Industry Baby	Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow	3952
9	abcdefu	GAYLE	3937
10	Need To Know	Doja Cat	3746
11	Bad Habits	Ed Sheeran	3641
12	Smokin Out The Window	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	3476
13	Surface Pressure	Jessica Darrow	3082
14	Ghost	Justin Bieber	3054
15	Pushin P	Gunna & Future ft. Young Thug	2987
16	Thats What I Want	Lil Nas X	2781
17	Good 4 U	Olivia Rodrigo	2589
18	Save Your Tears	The Weeknd & Ariana Grande	2551
19	Levitating	Dua Lipa	2545
20	One Right Now	Post Malone & The Weeknd	2491
21	Fancy Like	Walker Hayes	2481
22	Oh My God	Adele	2281
23	Better Days	NEIKED X Mae Muller X Polo G	2237
24	Buy Dirt	Jordan Davis ft. Luke Bryan	2194
25	Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah)	CKay	2176
26	All I Want For Christmas Is You	Mariah Carey	2104
27	Hrs And Hrs	Muni Long	2038
28	You Should Probably Leave	Chris Stapleton	2014
29	Essence	Wizkid ft. Justin Bieber & Tems	1946
30	You Right	Doja Cat & The Weeknd	1920
31	Kiss Me More	Doja Cat ft. SZA	1888
32	Knife Talk	Drake ft. 21 Savage & Project Pat	1805
33	The Family Madrigal	Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz & Encanto Cast	1699
34	Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree	Brenda Lee	1656
35	Meet Me At Our Spot	THE ANXIETY: WILLOW & Tyler Cole	1610
36	I Hate U	SZA	1603
37	Jingle Bell Rock	Bobby Helms	1435
38	Thinking 'Bout You	Dustin Lynch ft. Lauren Alaina Or MacKenzie Porter	1375
39	All Too Well (Taylor's Version)	Taylor Swift	1366
40	Way 2 Sexy	Drake ft. Future & Young Thug	1347
41	A Holly Jolly Christmas	Burl Ives	1343
42	Happier Than Ever	Billie Eilish	1322
43	Big Energy	Latto	1221
44	What Else Can I Do?	Diane Guerrero & Stephanie Beatriz	1189
45	It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year	Andy Williams	1184
46	Sand In My Boots	Morgan Wallen	1153
47	If I Didn't Love You	Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood	1150
48	Fingers Crossed	Lauren Spencer-Smith	1124
49	Who Want Smoke??	Nardo Wick ft. G Herbo, Lil Durk & 21 Savage	1077
50	Girls Want Girls	Drake ft. Lil Baby	1075
51	Last Christmas	Wham!	1071
52	One Mississippi	Kane Brown	991
53	Whiskey And Rain	Michael Ray	980
54	Feliz Navidad	Jose Feliciano	951
55	Chosen	Blxst & Tyga ft. Ty Dolla $ign	927
56	Sleigh Ride	The Ronettes	896
57	Have Mercy	Chloe	869
58	Sacrifice	The Weeknd	856
59	The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You)	Nat King Cole	848
60	My Universe	Coldplay x BTS	843
61	Beggin'	Maneskin	828
62	Enemy	Imagine Dragons X JID	785
63	Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow	Dean Martin	777
64	Underneath The Tree	Kelly Clarkson	767
65	Christmas (Baby Please Come Home)	Darlene Love	765
66	Fingers Crossed	Lauren Spencer Smith	762
67	Dos Oruguitas	Sebastian Yatra	743
68	Broadway Girls	Lil Durk ft. Morgan Wallen	733
69	Woman	Doja Cat	725
69	Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season	Andy Williams	725
71	Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer	Gene Autry	714
72	Santa Tell Me	Ariana Grande	709
73	White Christmas	Bing Crosby	704
74	Freedom Was A Highway	Jimmie Allen & Brad Paisley	701
75	'Til You Can't	Cody Johnson	691
76	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra	654
77	It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas	Michael Buble	645
78	Run Rudolph Run	Chuck Berry	643
79	No Love	Summer Walker & SZA	636
80	Same Boat	Zac Brown Band	634
81	(There's No Place Like) Home For The Holidays	Perry Como	632
82	By Your Side	Rod Wave	625
83	Message In A Bottle (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault)	Taylor Swift	624
84	Cold December	Rod Wave	622
85	For Tonight	Giveon	601
86	Pepas	Farruko	599
87	Cold As You	Luke Combs	578
88	Family Ties	Baby Keem & Kendrick Lamar	513
89	Heart On Fire	Eric Church	506
90	Too Easy	Gunna & Future	502
91	Already Dead	Juice WRLD	495
92	Half Of My Hometown	Kelsea Ballerini ft. Kenny Chesney	486
93	To Be Loved By You	Parker McCollum	466
94	Tequila Little Time	Jon Pardi	456
95	Leave The Door Open	Silk Sonic (Bruno Mars & Anderson .Paak)	436
96	Scorpio	Moneybagg Yo	434
97	Knowing You	Kenny Chesney	408
98	Take My Breath	The Weeknd	394
99	Gyalis	Capella Grey	375
100	Chasing After You	Ryan Hurd With Maren Morris	359

[kcdawg13]

EOM, Bruno and Stay for the YE Top 3, Heat Waves Top 5

[Groovy]