Billboard Hot 100: 10/01/2022

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 09 » / « 20 »

1(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 92.93(-0.06)

2(=) Nicky Youre & Dazy - Sunroof 90.94(-0.42)
3(=) Harry Styles - Late Night Talking 81.06(-0.82) +
4(+1) Post Malone - I Like You (A Happier Song) [feat. Doja Cat] 80.18(+1.02)
5(-1) Lizzo - About Damn Time 79.53(-0.92)
6(+2) Doja Cat - Vegas (From the Original Motion Picture Soundtrack ELVIS) 56.39(+1.60)
7(-1) Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal with God) 55.79(-2.10)
8(-1) OneRepublic - I Ain't Worried 55.79(+0.25)
9(+2) Steve Lacy - Bad Habit 50.85(+0.79)
10(=) The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber - Stay 50.85(-0.06)

36(+2) Nicki Minaj - Super Freaky Girl 29.81(+0.98)

47(+3) Drake - Jimmy Cooks f/21 Savage 23.99(+0.96)

96(+7) Stephen Sanchez - Until I Found You 11.33(+0.63)

-(-) David Guetta & Bebe Rexha - I'm Good (Blue) 6.83(+0.69)

-(-) Lewis Capaldi - Forget Me 6.02(+0.66)

-(-) Venesti - Necesidad 1.38(+1.30) +

[atg]

I’m just so impressed over Die For You’s performance. It didn’t blow up like you think it would when The Highlights dropped or when the official music video released on the 5 year anniversary of Starboy. It always had a sleeper presence on streaming for years and slowly gained its traction overtime without any promotion at all. Then the label decided to actually make it a “current hit” which is what led to it actually gaining even higher on streaming and now the Hot 100. That’s what makes it even more impressive and I would love to see other old or legacy hits do this if they can.

[big2000]

This will be the final week for Ghost, as it’s closing in on week 52 and below #25.

[After Minutes]

Joji's album could also be a bomb. Obviously not as big as Baby or Taylor, but I could see most/all the songs from it charting

[jasper0102]

Sept 20, 2022 16:36:27 GMT -5 big2000 said:

This will be the final week for Ghost, as it’s closing in on week 52 and below #25.

Also gonna be the final week for a bunch of Bad Bunny album tracks (namely Tarot, Ojitos Lindos, Party, Despues De La Playa, and maybe Efecto).

[dovahduck]

Sept 20, 2022 7:00:43 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Die For You at #10 on Spotify

Imagine if they add it to Today's Top Hits 👀

[nathanalbright]

It could happen.

[Mayman]

Sept 20, 2022 17:57:12 GMT -5 dovahduck said:

Sept 20, 2022 7:00:43 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Die For You at #10 on Spotify

Imagine if they add it to Today's Top Hits 👀

I'm shocked they haven't already, hopefully soon.

[Darkest Hour]

Winston's predictions have Bad Habit at #1.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Not surprising, at this point:

[fridayteenage]

lol predicting heat waves to go up.

imagine if people were aggro about it possibly matching 90 weeks and it hits 100. though i suppose album bombs could stop that.

[firefox]

And TMP above MPB. I can only wish.

[jasper0102]

Can Bad Habit go to number one on 10/08? I would love for AIW be the first song ever to stop at 15 weeks.

This is basically how i feel right now. Let Harry get his 15th week, then Steve can take the reins til Taylor does something.

Sept 20, 2022 22:31:45 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

lol predicting heat waves to go up.

imagine if people were aggro about it possibly matching 90 weeks and it hits 100. though i suppose album bombs could stop that.

It's likely going to stop at 92 weeks because of Taylor.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 09/19/22

1(=) Steve Lacy - Bad Habit 1,461,697 (+132,028)
2(+3) d4vd - Romantic Homicide 951,176 (+114,807)
3(-1) Bad Bunny, Chencho Corleone - Me Porto Bonito 909,784 (+6,511)
4(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 906,329 (+25,578)
5(-2) Bad Bunny - Tití Me Preguntó 866,152 (-21,243)
6(=) Nicki Minaj - Super Freaky Girl 825,938 (-8,498)
7(=) BLACKPINK - Shut Down 782,870 (+57,760)
8(+4) Drake, 21 Savage - Jimmy Cooks 701,161 (+75,096)
9(-1) OneRepublic - I Ain't Worried 697,255 (+35,313)
10(+6) The Weeknd - Die For You 677,551 (+101,631)

Others:
11(-1) David Guetta, Bebe Rexha - I'm Good (Blue) 676,209 (+40,431)
12(-3) Morgan Wallen - You Proof 671,727 (+29,460)
13(+1) Joji - Glimpse of Us 671,093 (+83,834)
14(-3) Post Malone, Doja Cat - I Like You (A Happier Song) 662,670 (+27,816)
15(-2) JVKE - golden hour 662,015 (+74,349)
16(-1) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 661,240 (+77,860)
18(+3) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 610,681 (+89,122)
19(+14) Omar Apollo - Evergreen 596,507 (+155,290)
20(+2) Kanye West - Bound 2 596,106 (+75,102)
21(-4) Bad Bunny - Efecto 595,217 (+22,022)
22(+4) Steve Lacy - Static 578,859 (+92,637)
23(+1) Future, Drake, Tems - WAIT FOR U 559,767 (+49,480)
24(-4) Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God) 558,912 (+20,057)
26(-3) Doja Cat - Vegas 531,367 (+12,400)
27(-2) Harry Styles - Late Night Talking 531,353 (+28,284)
28(+2) Luke Combs - The Kind of Love We Make 507,498 (+36,769)
29(+7) J. Cole - No Role Modelz 500,044 (+72,529)
31(-2) Bad Bunny - Moscow Mule 490,522 (+17,168)
32(-5) Nicky Youre, dazy - Sunroof 489,571 (+3,912)
33(-5) BLACKPINK - Pink Venom 477,038 (+3,288)
34(+5) Chris Brown - Under the Influence 470,011 (+51,696)
35(+2) Stephen Sanchez - Until I Found You 469,332 (+45,393)
36(+2) Bailey Zimmerman - Rock and A Hard Place 468,815 (+49,193)
37(-5) Yung Gravy - Betty (Get Money) 467,754 (+4,236)
38(-3) Yeat - Talk 463,216 (+34,551)
39(-8) Lizzo - About Damn Time 454,137 (-9,535)
40(+9) Montell Fish - Hotel 454,068 (+78,918)
41(+6) Ghost - Mary On A Cross 432,542 (+52,983)
43(-1) Bad Bunny, Bomba Estéreo - Ojitos Lindos 426,528 (+24,489)
44(=) Bad Bunny - Neverita 424,768 (+27,636)
45(-2) Morgan Wallen - Wasted On You 422,858 (+24,105)
46(-5) Beyoncé - CUFF IT 422,001 (+10,334)
47(-2) Nardo Wick - Dah Dah DahDah 420,844 (+30,799)
49(+12) Childish Gambino - Me and Your Mama 401,986 (+68,742)
51(+13) Cigarettes After Sex - Apocalypse 394,788 (+72,734)
52(-6) Armani White - BILLIE EILISH. 392,723 (+4,068)
53(+9) Baby Keem - HONEST 388,816 (+55,935)
54(+18) The Weeknd, Lana Del Rey - Stargirl Interlude 381,830 (+74,903)
55(+15) Tory Lanez - The Color Violet 380,882 (+70,308)
56(-8) Bad Bunny, Rauw Alejandro - Party 377,731 (+1,215)
57(-4) Bizarap, Quevedo - Quevedo: Bzrp Music Sessions, Vol. 52 375,199 (+21,383)
59(-4) DJ Khaled, Drake, Lil Baby - STAYING ALIVE 371,638 (+21,265)
61(-5) Cole Swindell - She Had Me At Heads Carolina 366,207 (+18,333)
62(+5) Kanye West, Dwele - Flashing Lights 363,815 (+48,740)
63(+20) Hotel Ugly - Shut up My Moms Calling 363,504 (+73,802)
64(+5) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 361,020 (+50,217)
65(-13) Bad Bunny - Después de la Playa 357,374 (+1,179)
67(+11) The Weeknd, Gesaffelstein - I Was Never There 355,221 (+60,186)
68(-14) ROSALÍA - DESPECHÁ 354,821 (+4,355)
69(-12) BLACKPINK - Typa Girl 352,660 (+11,017)
73(-15) Elton John, Britney Spears - Hold Me Closer 346,022 (+5,521)
77(+22) Beach Weather - Sex, Drugs, Etc. 340,427 (+68,498)
80(-9) Bad Bunny, Jhay Cortez - Tarot 327,126 (+19,508)
81(+9) Joji - SLOW DANCING IN THE DARK 326,184 (+47,418)
83(+24) Frank Ocean - Novacane 325,136 (+63,075)
86(+27) Megan Moroney - Tennessee Orange 311,135 (+54,381)
93(-6) Charlie Puth, Jung Kook - Left and Right 306,340 (+27,023)
94(-9) Rosa Linn - SNAP 304,973 (+22,166)
96(-5) Imagine Dragons - Bones 301,887 (+23,649)
99(-5) Manuel Turizo - La Bachata 299,258 (+23,602)

102(+17) Lil Baby - Freestyle 293,579 (+43,524)
104(-8) Tyler Hubbard - 5 Foot 9 291,800 (+17,392)
109(+40) Frank Ocean - Pink + White 283,585 (+52,740)
115(-33) AJR - World's Smallest Violin 278,510 (-13,383)
116(+4) Mr.Kitty - After Dark 278,344 (+28,399)
118(-20) BLACKPINK - Hard to Love 277,580 (+4,531)
121(+27) Arctic Monkeys - I Wanna Be Yours 276,048 (+45,023)
123(+48) Brent Faiyaz - ALL MINE 272,853 (+51,979)
127(+5) Yeat, Lil Uzi Vert - Flawlëss 270,839 (+33,964)
128(-20) NAV, Lil Baby, Travis Scott - Never Sleep 269,179 (+10,303)
130(+3) Tom Odell - Another Love 267,725 (+31,104)
131(-10) Morgan Wallen - Thought You Should Know 267,206 (+17,892)
133(+12) Bailey Zimmerman - Fall in Love 264,265 (+32,327)
134(-11) Rema, Selena Gomez - Calm Down 263,656 (+17,522)
135(+22) EST Gee, Jack Harlow - Backstage Passes 263,362 (+36,487)
136(-20) KAROL G, Maldy - GATÚBELA 263,018 (+11,760)
140(-13) Marshmello, Khalid - Numb 258,432 (+17,438)
142(+52) Tyler the Creator - ARE WE STILL FRIENDS 257,852 (+46,394)
145(+50) Pierce the Veil, Kellin Quinn - King for a Day 255,816 (+44,381)
147(re-entry) $uicideboy$ - Antarctica 255,304
156(+42) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 251,582 (+41,526)
159(re-entry) Ivan Cornejo, Eslabon Armado - La Curiosidad 249,929
162(-9) Lizzo - 2 Be Loved (Am I Ready) 248,513 (+20,413)
163(+14) Lil Baby - Detox 247,692 (+29,409)
164(-5) Kane Brown, Katelyn Brown - Thank God 247,596 (+20,982)
165(re-entry) Ivan Cornejo - J. 246,852
170(-1) Ruth B. - Dandelions 245,581 (+24,154)
173(re-entry) Harry Styles - Matilda 242,697
178(-39) Jax - Victoria's Secret 241,235 (+6,596)
180(-44) Central Cee - Doja 240,177 (+4,567)
187(-5) Lil Tjay - Beat the Odds 237,107 (+20,849)
194(-13) Nate Smith - Whiskey On You 233,159 (+16,894)
197(-1) Tyler Childers - All Your'n 232,414 (+21,013)
199(-6) Jordan Davis - What My World Spins Around 230,594-211,921 (+18,673)

Total Fourth Day Streams for BLACKPINK - Born Pink: 1,890,148 (-24%)

Biggest Gains (50K+): Pink + White, Sparks, Tennessee Orange, Novacane, Call Out My Name, Sex Drugs Etc., Money Trees, I Was Never There, See You Again, Stick Season, Shut up My Moms Calling, The Color Violet, Stargirl Interlude, HONEST, Apocalypse, family ties, Me and Your Mama, Heartless, Mary On A Cross, Hotel, Under the Influence, 505, No Role Modelz, Static, Bound 2, Evergreen, Dark Red, Sweater Weather, Something in the Orange, golden hour, Glimpse of Us, Die For You, Jimmy Cooks, Shut Down, Romantic Homicide, Bad Habit

Oh god no, please don't make Romantic Homicide a huge hit.

[atg]

I think you should also do biggest gains for songs that gained over 100k as well if there is any, as there has been quite a few songs that can do that recently.

[Groovy]

Sept 20, 2022 21:53:45 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

Winston's predictions have Bad Habit at #1.

Morgan can drop an album and easily get You Proof to 1, same with Post/Doja, if they drop an alternate version or do a sales discount. 

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 09 » / « 21 »

1(=) Harry Styles - As It Was 92.80(-0.13)
2(=) Nicky Youre & Dazy - Sunroof 90.87(-0.07)
3(+1) Post Malone - I Like You (A Happier Song) [feat. Doja Cat] 80.71(+0.53)
4(-1) Harry Styles - Late Night Talking 80.42(-0.64)
5(=) Lizzo - About Damn Time 78.91(-0.62)
6(=) Doja Cat - Vegas (From the Original Motion Picture Soundtrack ELVIS) 57.68(+1.29)
7(+1) OneRepublic - I Ain't Worried 56.27(+0.49)
8(-1) Kate Bush - Running Up That Hill (A Deal with God) 53.89(-1.90)
9(=) Steve Lacy - Bad Habit 51.52(+0.67)
10(=) The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber - Stay 50.80(-0.05)

16(=) Cole Swindell - She Had Me At Heads Carolina 45.63(+0.58)

35(+1) Nicki Minaj - Super Freaky Girl 30.53(+0.72)

47(+2) Harry Styles - Music For A Sushi Restaurant 23.87(+0.58)

50(+1) Burna Boy - Last Last 23.32(+0.67)

93(+3) Stephen Sanchez - Until I Found You 11.96(+0.63) +

-(-) David Guetta & Bebe Rexha - I'm Good (Blue) 7.68(+0.85)

-(-) Lewis Capaldi - Forget Me 6.67(+0.65)

[Groovy]

[dovahduck]

"Die for You" in the top 40! (0.0)

[mms82]

Morgan Wallen should drop the rumored Future remix of You Proof this Friday - charts are weak enough he might be able to get his first number one (and Future could get his third in a year)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Sept 21, 2022 10:48:44 GMT -5 Groovy said:

Sept 20, 2022 21:53:45 GMT -5 Darkest Hour said:

Winston's predictions have Bad Habit at #1.

Morgan can drop an album and easily get You Proof to 1

We've had enough pain this year, pls don't will this into reality

[After Minutes]

Sept 21, 2022 12:33:17 GMT -5 mms82 said:

rumored Future remix

I hope this is Circles feat. gunna all over again

[Music Fan]

Sept 21, 2022 12:33:17 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Morgan Wallen should drop the rumored Future remix of You Proof this Friday - charts are weak enough he might be able to get his first number one (and Future could get his third in a year)

That's been a thing? I would love Morgan to get #1, but not feeling a Future remix.

[M5AGTS]

Sept 21, 2022 13:58:50 GMT -5 Music Fan said:

Sept 21, 2022 12:33:17 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Morgan Wallen should drop the rumored Future remix of You Proof this Friday - charts are weak enough he might be able to get his first number one (and Future could get his third in a year)

That's been a thing? I would love Morgan to get #1, but not feeling a Future remix.

I just wanted Moragn's #1 to be Wasted On You.

[rainygirl]

Why is LNX releasing at 11 am ?

[M5AGTS]

Sept 21, 2022 16:38:48 GMT -5 rainygirl said:

Why is LNX releasing at 11 am ?

I was wondering the same thing. You might as well just make it noon. 11 is fucking random.

[rainygirl]

Sept 21, 2022 16:51:23 GMT -5 M5AGTS said:

Sept 21, 2022 16:38:48 GMT -5 rainygirl said:

Why is LNX releasing at 11 am ?

I was wondering the same thing. You might as well just make it noon. 11 is f**king random.

yeah it is random . Having said that , I think he will still score an easy number 1

[jasper0102]

Sept 21, 2022 12:33:17 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Morgan Wallen should drop the rumored Future remix of You Proof this Friday - charts are weak enough he might be able to get his first number one (and Future could get his third in a year)

Depends on how well Nasboi does, but if, he actually does do it, Top 2 is a certainty.

[atg]

Sept 21, 2022 11:08:30 GMT -5 Groovy said:

It depends how this song will do. If its like the last song he dropped then it probably won’t do well but if its another CMBYN leading into his next album then i can see it doing well.

[rimetm]

I don’t understand why anyone’s expecting a lofty performance for this. If it’s because of Enemy, I think y’all are forgetting that the song was attached to the Netflix series specifically, which got it significant attention from a more casual audience. Without that, a performance closer to Porter Robinson’s League single “Everything Goes On”, which missed the Hot 100 but did okay on the Hot Dance list, is far more likely.