Billboard Hot 100: 12/17/2022

[Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815...]

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

[nickangel]

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Go Mariah! You deserve more weeks at #1

[colson]

Is there any chance Creepin can debut in the top 5?

[ificanthaveyou]

Super surprised Taylor’s team didn’t have Anti-Hero vinyl singles waiting in the wing. Vinyl singles and an extended cut video or something.

[ificanthaveyou]

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

[imbuemyblue]

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

She has done 3 weeks in two of the last three years, being blocked in 2020 for one week by 'Willow'. But Brenda Lee is gaining this year, so it's possible she will have to surrender the throne for at least one week.

[fengyu]

anti-hero really hanging on for dear life there

[Enigma.]

Dec 6, 2022 1:36:12 GMT -5 enwhy said:

Weekly Global TikTok Update, December 5

Christmas songs continue their relentless march up the charts. New BTS song is doing well, also an old Fifth Harmony song. Meghan Trainor finally falls off the top of this chart.

Rank		Song	Artist	Vids	US Sptfy
2	+2	ALL I WANT FOR CHIRSTMAS IS YOU	MARIAH CAREY	75k	4	-1
5	NE	DREAMERS [WORLD CUP]	JUNG KOOK & BTS	56k	-
7	+7	JINGLE BELL ROCK	BOBBY HELMS	30k	6	-1
13	NE	MISS MOVIN' ON	FIFTH HARMONY	21k	-
22	+7	ROCKIN' AROUND THE CHRISTMAS TREE	BRENDA LEE	14k	2	=
25	-10	UNHOLY	SAM SMITH & KIM PETRAS	13k	25	-16
31	-15	LOLLIPOP	LIL WAYNE	10k	-
45	-25	6000 DEGREES	$HYFROMDATRE	7k	-
48	RE	CARDIGAN	TAYLOR SWIFT	7k	-
50	NE	ON BS	DRAKE & 21 SAVAGE	7k	94	-52
62	NE	NOTHIN' ON YOU	B.O.B & BRUNO MARS	5k	-

Source: tokchart.com/
*TikTok & Spotify +/- is based on 7-day change.



Weekly US TikTok Update, December 5

https://www.instagram.com/p/ClyvUlwr7j0

#1 on that Global TikTok chart is sped-up version of Bloody Mary, btw.

[cking33]

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

Lot of variables at play, specifically Brenda. But it's possible Mariah could get 4 weeks at No. 1 this year if she can maintain this distance.

Including this week, there are four tracking weeks left in the Christmas season. Last year, Mariah was able to stay at No. 1 just based on streaming from Christmas Eve (a Friday), Christmas Day and the day after. So don't discount her staying at No. 1 on the tracking week beginning Friday, Dec. 23. Assuming she can stay at No. 1 each week before then, that'd give her four this year and bring AIWFCIY's total to 12 weeks overall.

It would seem Mariah gained significant ground on Brenda this week, according to these predictions. Wonder if that will hold up or if Brenda will again close the gap. Seems hard to tell week to week. But this is the first week in a while I can recall Mariah actually gaining ground on Brenda, if that turns out to be true.

[JukeboxJacob]

this is gonna keep getting messier each week...

notable Hot 100 positions WITHOUT:
-Christmas
-Her Loss (excl Rich Flex)
-Midnights (excl Anti-Hero)
-Lil Baby


1. Anti-Hero
2. Unholy
3. Rich Flex
4. Bad Habit
5. I'm Good
6. As It Was
7. Die For You
8. Cuff It
9. Under The Influence
10. Lift Me Up

15. Wasted On You (week 55!)
16. Just Wanna Rock
17. Made You Look
21. Golden Hour

31. Victoria's Secret
42. Free Mind
44. Billie Eilish
47. Calm Down

52. Forget Me
54. Miss You

new/held peaks bolded

[ificanthaveyou]

Dec 6, 2022 17:25:18 GMT -5 cking33 said:

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

Lot of variables at play, specifically Brenda. But it's possible Mariah could get 4 weeks at No. 1 this year if she can maintain this distance.

Including this week, there are four tracking weeks left in the Christmas season. Last year, Mariah was able to stay at No. 1 just based on streaming from Christmas Eve (a Friday), Christmas Day and the day after. So don't discount her staying at No. 1 on the tracking week beginning Friday, Dec. 23. Assuming she can stay at No. 1 each week before then, that'd give her four this year and bring AIWFCIY's total to 12 weeks overall.

It would seem Mariah gained significant ground on Brenda this week, according to these predictions. Wonder if that will hold up or if Brenda will again close the gap. Seems hard to tell week to week. But this is the first week in a while I can recall Mariah actually gaining ground on Brenda, if that turns out to be true.

Thank you for this info! Wow if this holds, she can regain her record for most weeks at number one by 2024!

[KeepDeanWeird]

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

Ask Alexa. Seriously.

[ificanthaveyou]

Dec 6, 2022 18:44:53 GMT -5 KeepDeanWeird said:

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

Ask Alexa. Seriously.

Lol I don’t have Alexa. I’ll try Suri!

[KeepDeanWeird]

Dec 6, 2022 20:15:07 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

Dec 6, 2022 18:44:53 GMT -5 KeepDeanWeird said:

Ask Alexa. Seriously.

Lol I don’t have Alexa. I’ll try Suri!

Ha! 'Ask Alexa' was meant to show that Amazon's algorithm will determine which song comes out on top. And, we all know, it's not completely random.

Playlists, frequencies, rotations are preset to a large extent, especially for something like Xmas lists that are created for very casual music listeners/general public.

Those lists have to be stocked with familiar favorites in the most popular version(s), e.g., Blue Christmas by Elvis, not one of the hundreds of random versions by the likes of Billy Idol, Wayne Newton or Hanson, etc.

[gikem]

Spotify finally updated. Massive gains for both Boy's A Liar and Escapism in the US. We may have another British invasion on our hands as we approach the new year.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

glad to see the gains for Escapism too, what a bop!

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 12/05/22

Metro Boomin - HEROES & VILLAINS
1(=) Creepin' 2,132,501 (+441,835) (+26%)
2(+1) Superhero (Heroes & Villains) 1,722,387 (+303,337) (+21%)
5(+4) Niagara Falls (Foot or 2) 1,259,411 (+202,232) (+19%)
8(+5) Too Many Lights 1,137,229 (+163,215)
9(+6) Umbrella 1,126,999 (+165,172)
10(+6) Raindrops 1,083,256 (+145,401)
15(+6) On Time 924,418 (+128,972)
16(+8) Trance 892,202 (+118,371)
18(+8) Metro Spider 890,424 (+133,243)
20(+8) Walk Em Down (Don't Kill Civilians) 856,699 (+119,616)
23(+9) Around Me 813,906 (+115,227)
27(+9) I Can't Save You (Interlude) 781,446 (+114,627)
33(+7) Feel Like Fiyaaaah 725,686 (+94,329)
41(+8) All the Money 638,176 (+86,054)
50(+11) Lock On Me 580,469 (+68,268)
Total Streams: 15,565,209 (+18%)

Christmas Songs
4(-2) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 1,469,510 (-212,818)
6(-2) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You 1,225,465 (-167,951)
11(-5) Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock 1,077,463 (-168,781)
13(-3) Wham! - Last Christmas 971,594 (-77,502)
14(-6) Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 925,920 (-158,526)
17(-6) Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas 891,631 (-123,057)
19(-7) Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot like Christmas 882,320 (-110,435)
26(-7) Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me 781,880 (-71,129)
30(-13) Bing Crosby, Ken Darby Singers, John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra - White Christmas 748,825 (-141,564)
32(-14) Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 743,683 (-127,924)

35(-15) Nat King Cole - The Christmas Song 715,784 (-97,778)
36(-14) Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree 698,381 (-94,156)
38(-11) José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad 643,937 (-93,595)
42(-13) The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride 625,284 (-99,632)
49(-5) Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas 584,999 (+1,688)
54(-16) Darlene Love - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 566,593 (-86,856)
56(-19) Perry Como, The Fontane Sisters, Mitchell Ayres & His Orchestra - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas 554,941 (-101,906)
60(-18) Elvis Presley - Blue Christmas 510,006 (-98,706)
62(-8) Justin Bieber - Mistletoe 507,149 (-29,401)
66(-16) The Beach Boys - Little Saint Nick 486,547 (-60,760)
70(-18) Chuck Berry - Run Rudolph Run 474,292 (-64,669)
73(-27) Frank Sinatra - Jingle Bells 466,450 (-106,280)
74(-14) Bing Crosby, The Andrews Sisters - Mele Kalikimaka 465,153 (-52,459)
83(-20) Vince Guaraldi Trio - Christmas Time is Here 451,453 (-87,072)
88(-18) Bruce Spingsteen - Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town 439,536 (-25,610)
89(-34) Eartha Kitt, Henri René and His Orchestra - Santa Baby 439,128 (-95,088)
91(-25) Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime 433,528 (-37,958)
95(-30) Frank Sinatra, The B. Swanson Quartet - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 409,547 (-78,522)
106(-23) Mariah Carey - Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) 395,701 (-29,708)
108(-17) Gwen Stefani, Black Shelton - You Make It Feel Like Christmas 392,547 (-12,846)
109(-13) *NSYNC - Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays 390,648 (-7,110)
110(+6) Nat King Cole - Deck the Halls 387,324 (+28,816)
112(-35) Andy Williams - Happy Holiday / The Holiday Season 385,091 (-48,979)
120(-32) Dean Martin - Baby, It's Cold Outside 370,259 (-44,010)
121(-62) The Jackson 5 - Santa Claus Is Coming To Town 370,251 (-153,530)
124(-21) John Lennon, Yoko Ono - Happy Xmas (War Is Over) 365,580 (-18,303)
127(-42) Frank Sinatra - Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 362,558 (-61,303)
129(-43) Burl Ives - Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer 361,917 (-57,759)
130(-38) Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas? 360,173 (-41,169)
135(-38) Bing Crosby - Winter Wonderland 355,583 (-35,823)
139(-35) Perry Como - (There's No Place Like) Home for the Holidays 349,855 (-33,829)
142(-41) Vince Guaraldi Trio - O Tannenbaum 344,981 (-40,995)
145(-37) Carpenters - Merry Christmas Darling 342,642 (-32,584)
151(-40) Nat King Cole - Joy to the World 335,236 (-27,547)
156(-26) Eagles - Please Come Home for Christmas 332,078 (-5,547)
158(-39) Britney Spears - My Only Wish (This Year) 329,093 (-23,715)
162(-41) Taylor Swift - Christmas Tree Farm 327,102 (-23,439)
165(-48) Sia - Snowman 325,049 (-29,279)
176(-52) The Jackson 5 - I Saw Mommy Kissing Santa Claus 317,828 (-29,754)
186(-33) Gene Autry - Here Comes Santa Claus (Right Down Santa Claus Lane) 310,526 (+7,053)
192(-77) Judy Garland - Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 303,193 (-56,333)

Top 10 Without Christmas Songs or Metro Boomin
3(+2) Drake, 21 Savage - Rich Flex 1,471,474 (+113,180)
7(=) Steve Lacy - Bad Habit 1,159,110 (+69,027)
12(+2) Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero 1,069,550 (+98,744)
21(+4) Sam Smith, Kim Petras - Unholy 829,562 (+72,020)
22(+1) Lil Uzi Vert - Just Wanna Rock 826,528 (+46,614)
24(+10) The Weeknd - Die For You 812,804 (+126,642)
25(+6) d4vd - Romantic Homicide 807,367 (+104,434)
28(+7) JVKE - golden hour 776,978 (+95,825)
29(+4) Drake, 21 Savage - Jimmy Cooks 753,502 (+57,526)
31(-1) Harry Styles - As It Was 745,725 (+40,922)

Others:
34(+7) Zach Bryan - Something in the Orange 723,692 (+106,351)
37(+19) Morgan Wallen - One Thing at a Time 651,633 (+118,234)
39(+6) Taylor Swift - Lavender Haze 641,171 (+59,279)
43(+8) J. Cole - No Role Modelz 623,448 (+76,817)
44(+3) Morgan Wallen - You Proof 620,922 (+63,120)
45(+3) The Neighbourhood - Sweater Weather 611,003 (+54,315)
46(+12) Arcangel, Bad Bunny - La Jumpa 610,663 (+78,942)
47(+10) Taylor Swift - Midnight Rain 599,653 (+67,588)
51(+18) SZA - Shirt 580,406 (+113,432) (+24%)
52(+12) Morgan Wallen - Tennessee Fan 576,949 (+83,903)
53(+10) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 570,513 (+73,009)
55(+12) d4vd - Here With Me 564,954 (+94,339)
58(+14) Drake, 21 Savage, Travis Scott - Pussy & Millions 529,554 (+68,795)
59(+9) Taylor Swift - Maroon 525,134 (+55,169)
63(+11) Taylor Swift - Karma 492,637 (+49,895)
64(+7) David Guetta, Bebe Rexha - I'm Good (Blue) 489,929 (+26,475)
65(+19) Taylor Swift - You're On Your Own, Kid 488,487 (+63,417)
67(+11) Morgan Wallen - Wasted On You 485,676 (+52,779)
69(+7) Taylor Swift - Bejeweled 477,271 (+42,632)
72(+35) PinkPantheress - Boy's a liar 467,191 (+87,978) (+23%)
75(+30) Morgan Wallen - Days That End in Why 461,952 (+80,281) (+21%)
76(+23) Bailey Zimmerman - Rock and A Hard Place 457,720 (+68,710)
77(+4) Post Malone, Doja Cat - I Like You (A Happier Song) 457,644 (+29,993)
78(+16) Drake, 21 Savage - On BS 457,477 (+57,599)
79(+16) Arctic Monkeys - 505 457,150 (+58,902)
80(+9) Meghan Trainor - Made You Look 456,670 (+45,650)
81(+9) Drake, 21 Savage - Major Distribution 455,549 (+48,000)
82(+5) Chris Brown - Under the Influence 454,134 (+38,596)
84(+9) Taylor Swift, Taylor Swift - Snow on the Beach 450,974 (+50,028)
85(+25) Hotel Ugly - Shut up My Moms Calling 445,397 (+78,830) (+22%)
87(+26) Tory Lanez - The Color Violet 440,153 (+78,373)
92(+14) Lady Gaga - Bloody Mary 425,825 (+44,263)
93(+41) Omar Apollo - Evergreen 412,693 (+84,551) (+26%)
94(+29) Kendrick Lamar, Jay Rock - Money Trees 412,526 (+63,687)
97(+40) Brent Faiyaz - ALL MINE 404,340 (+79,135) (+24%)

101(+30) Joji - Die For You 400,878 (+66,310)
102(+57) RAYE, 070 Shake - Escapism. 400,851 (+99,361) (+33%)
103(-3) Beyoncé - CUFF IT 400,242 (+12,544)
104(+24) ThxSoMch - SPIT IN MY FACE! 397,933 (+58,407)
105(+30) Cigarettes After Sex - Apocalypse 396,840 (+68,968)
107(+26) Noah Kahan - Stick Season 393,319 (+64,159)
111(+16) Drake, 21 Savage - Spin Bout U 385,964 (+44,475)
113(-11) Nicki Minaj - Super Freaky Girl 381,704 (-3,398)
114(+12) Taylor Swift - Vigilante Shit 381,695 (+39,524)
115(+30) Childish Gambino - Me and Your Mama 378,167 (+67,791)
119(+33) J. Cole - Wet Dreamz 371,649 (+66,975)
123(+13) Manuel Turizo - La Bachata 365,859 (+39,423)
126(+32) Arctic Monkeys - I Wanna Be Yours 362,670 (+60,810)
131(+39) The Weeknd, Lana Del Rey - Stargirl Interlude 359,496 (+68,396)
132(+44) 21 Savage, Metro Boomin - Glock in My Lap 358,007 (+70,097)
133(+18) Baby Keem - HONEST 357,014 (+50,507)
134(re-entry) $uicideboy$, Germ - My Swisher Sweet, But My Sig Sauer 356,722
137(+17) Steve Lacy - Static 353,269 (+50,019)
138(+25) Beach Weather - Sex, Drugs, Etc. 352,561 (+57,540)
140(=) Freddie Dredd - Limbo 348,591 (+24,716)
141(+43) Billie Eilish - TV 348,517 (+68,025)
144(+4) Taylor Swift - Question...? 342,662 (+34,878)
146(+41) The Weeknd, Gesaffelstein - I Was Never There 342,159 (+63,790)
147(+13) Taylor Swift - Mastermind 342,112 (+41,919)
149(+43) Miguel - Sure Thing 339,366 (+61,906)
152(+33) 21 Savage - ball w/o you 334,156 (+54,826)
153(+3) Oliver Tree, Robin Schulz - Miss You 333,764 (+31,156)
159(+20) Ivan Cornejo - J. 328,768 (+44,550)
163(re-entry) Frank Ocean - Pink + White 326,731
172(re-entry) Future - Solo 320,397
173(+24) Lil Baby - Freestyle 320,313 (+44,391)
174(+8) Morgan Wallen - Thought You Should Know 319,750-282,349 (+37,401)
175(+15) Tom Odell - Another Love 319,253 (+41,573)
177(re-entry) Ivan Cornejo, Eslabon Armado - La Curiosidad 317,058
180(+15) Metro Boomin, 21 Savage - 10 Freaky Girls 316,069 (+39,802)
181(-9) Eminem - Mockingbird 313,039 (+22,552)
183(re-entry) TV Girl - Lovers Rock 312,646
189(-11) GloRilla, Cardi B - Tomorrow 2 304,880 (+19,766)
193(re-entry) Bailey Zimmerman - Fall in Love 299,730
196(re-entry) Cults - Gilded Lily 297,319
197(-3) Grupo Frontera - No Se Va 296,830 (+20,432)
198(re-entry) Jelly Roll - Son of a Sinner 296,461
199(re-entry) RM - Wildflower 294,432
200(re-entry) Rihanna - Lift Me Up 293,696

Biggest Gains (50K+): Sure Thing, I Was Never There, TV, Sex Drugs Etc., Static, HONEST, Glock in My Lap, Stargirl Interlude, I Wanna Be Yours, See You Again, Wet Dreamz, Heartless, Me and Your Mama, Stick Season, Apocalypse, SPIT IN MY FACE!, Escapism., Die For You [Joji], ALL MINE, Money Trees, Evergreen, Space Song, The Color Violet, Shut up My Moms Calling, Snow On the Beach, 505, On BS, Rock and A Hard Place, Days That End in Why, Boy's a liar, family ties, Wasted On You, You're On Your Own Kid, Glimpse of Us, Maroon, Pussy & Millions, Here With Me, Dark Red, Tennessee Fan, Shirt, Midnight Rain, La Jumpa, Sweater Weather, You Proof, No Role Modelz, Lavender Haze, One Thing at a Time, Something in the Orange, Jimmy Cooks, golden hour, Romantic Homicide, Die For You [The Weeknd], Unholy, Anti-Hero, Bad Habit, Rich Flex, ALL OF HEROES & VILLAINS

[After Minutes]

Metro is getting that bb200 #1

[awkwardowl]

Creepin' numbers are amazing!

[jasper0102]

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

So, is an all Christmas Top 10 actually possible?

[jasper0102]

Dec 7, 2022 7:22:58 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Metro Boomin - HEROES & VILLAINS
1(=) Creepin' 2,132,501 (+441,835) (+26%)
2(+1) Superhero (Heroes & Villains) 1,722,387 (+303,337) (+21%)
5(+4) Niagara Falls (Foot or 2) 1,259,411 (+202,232) (+19%)
8(+5) Too Many Lights 1,137,229 (+163,215)
9(+6) Umbrella 1,126,999 (+165,172)
10(+6) Raindrops 1,083,256 (+145,401)
15(+6) On Time 924,418 (+128,972)
16(+8) Trance 892,202 (+118,371)
18(+8) Metro Spider 890,424 (+133,243)
20(+8) Walk Em Down (Don't Kill Civilians) 856,699 (+119,616)
23(+9) Around Me 813,906 (+115,227)
27(+9) I Can't Save You (Interlude) 781,446 (+114,627)
33(+7) Feel Like Fiyaaaah 725,686 (+94,329)
41(+8) All the Money 638,176 (+86,054)
50(+11) Lock On Me 580,469 (+68,268)
Total Streams: 15,565,209 (+18%)
Biggest Gains (50K+): ALL OF HEROES & VILLAINS

Surprised Metro is doing this well lmao

[Enigma.]

Monday is always kind to new releases, but Creepin' and Superhero indeed are smashing

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Dec 7, 2022 8:09:47 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

So, is an all Christmas Top 10 actually possible?

It's possible for sure. Last year, the 10th biggest Xmas song (Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow) had around 225 points and I guess Xmas songs will be even bigger this year. With its current numbers, I'll be surprised to see Anti-Hero in the top 10, so unless something really smashes (Creepin', SZA, or something else), we'll have an all Xmas top 10.

[jasper0102]

Dec 7, 2022 8:31:59 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Dec 7, 2022 8:09:47 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

So, is an all Christmas Top 10 actually possible?

It's possible for sure. Last year, the 10th biggest Xmas song (Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow) had around 225 points and I guess Xmas songs will be even bigger this year. With its current numbers, I'll be surprised to see Anti-Hero in the top 10, so unless something really smashes (Creepin', SZA, or something else), we'll have an all Xmas top 10.

I think whether it does happen or not depends on SZA, like you said. I have a feeling a potential album bomb from her could make or break the chances for a all Christmas top 10, if she actually does release. If she doesn't, there's still a chance Taylor releases another remix or so and keeps Anti-Hero holding just long enough to keep it from slipping off.

[ephelia]

Dec 7, 2022 7:22:58 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

84(+9) Taylor Swift, Taylor Swift - Snow on the Beach 450,974 (+50,028)

Well no, but actually yes

[jenglisbe]

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

This is interesting to me because awhile "AIWFCIY" increased 41% in streams on this most recent Hot 100, "RATCT" increased 51% and was only behind by 400k streams. What has changed this week considering "RATCT" has been gaining ground each week and has pulled away from "AIWFCIY" even more on Spotify this week no? (cking33 was noticing as well.)

Dec 6, 2022 15:04:09 GMT -5 ificanthaveyou said:

If Mariah gets #1 this week, we can expect her to lock in 3 weeks total for this season?

Well, it could get 4 weeks at #1 as has been mentioned, but Brenda will certainly remain a threat for #1 each of those weeks as imbuemyblue said. I think "RATCT" is likely to get to #1 at some point this season.

It should be noted that "AIWFCIY" is doing better year to year than ever. "AIWFCIY" had 30.3 million streams this past chart week. For the comparable chart in 2021 it had 25.8 million streams, so it's up nearly 5 million streams year to year. "RATCT" is really killing it on Spotify and is also way up year to year. If "RATCT" does pass "AIWFCIY" on the Hot 100 at some point, it will be because "RATCT" has surged, not because "AIWFCIY" has fallen off.

[After Minutes]

Creepin remains at #1 with over 2 milion streams. My prediction about this becoming Abel's highest debut might turn out true after all

[kimberly]

Dec 7, 2022 9:06:51 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Dec 6, 2022 14:11:55 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

This is interesting to me because awhile "AIWFCIY" increased 41% in streams on this most recent Hot 100, "RATCT" increased 51% and was only behind by 400k streams. What has changed this week considering "RATCT" has been gaining ground each week and has pulled away from "AIWFCIY" even more on Spotify this week no? (cking33 was noticing as well.)

It's not all about the sheer number of streams. For one, AIWFCIY is leading and gaining faster on radio — up 45% last week vs. RATCT's 30% gain. Plus, if I'm not wrong, I remember seeing one of the predictions for last week stating that even with slightly less streams, AIWFCIY would be #1 on streaming due to the distribution of different tiers — meaning RATCT has more programmed and free streams than AIWFCIY. I'm not really following other platforms, but AIWFCIY seemingly being nearly 50 spots ahead on Apple Music, #1 on YouTube (while RATCT is not in the Top 20) and also ahead in sales (possibly widening the margin here as well since RATCT benefited from a discount last week) probably make up for the relatively small difference on Spotify.

[Me. I Am l!nk!nfan815...]

Dec 7, 2022 9:06:51 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

It should be noted that "AIWFCIY" is doing better year to year than ever. "AIWFCIY" had 30.3 million streams this past chart week. For the comparable chart in 2021 it had 25.8 million streams, so it's up nearly 5 million streams year to year. "RATCT" is really killing it on Spotify and is also way up year to year. If "RATCT" does pass "AIWFCIY" on the Hot 100 at some point, it will be because "RATCT" has surged, not because "AIWFCIY" has fallen off.

A.k.a the haters wanting to see Mariah dethroned, let’s be real.

But guess what?

They’ll never get it….at least not this season.

[velaxti]

Given the trends in previous years and her start this year it was looking like great odds for Brenda getting #1, but seeing that prediction (where the gap increased) and this Spotify update:

4(-2) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 1,469,510 (-212,818)
6(-2) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You 1,225,465 (-167,951)

Where the gap is decreasing it seems maybe it's not guaranteed.

At least it's fun there's some sort of chart battle going on, it would be boring if Mariah dominated with a massive lead every year.

Mariah is quite a lot higher than Brenda in the TikTok charts so maybe that will help her.