2023 Predictors Cup - This week: 4X POINTS FINAL WEEK

[TheOutcast]

Dec 7, 2023 21:10:14 GMT -5 TheOutcast said:

1. 1
2. 5
3. 11
4. 50

I updated mine too just in case that rule is in effect.

[1^∞]

1. #1
2. #8
3. #8
4. #80

[enwhy]

This week's questions (Deadline Sat, Dec 16)
Our final week of questions for 2023! Thanks to everyone for playing this year, it’s been a lot of fun. Final results will be posted over the next couple of weeks, so best of luck! 4x points will continue this week, which means 100 points if you guess closest, and 200 if you’re dead on! Oh also, extending the deadline through Saturday night because I'm very late this week.

Q1: All I Want For Christmas Is…
Last year, Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” peaked the week before Christmas with 48.7M streams (it drew 46.90M the week of Christmas). This year, Christmas falls on a Monday rather than a Sunday, which adds an extra day of Christmas-week streams. How many streams will Mariah earn in her peak week this year?
What will be the peak weekly stream total for Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)*
*You can guess to the nearest 0.1M, i.e. 49.5M


Q2: Rockin Around
Of course, we can’t forget the latest artist to hit #1 on the Hot 100. Brenda Lee came very close to Mariah’s stream total last year with a 48.5M peak (46.87 the week of Christmas). How will “Rockin Around the Christmas Tree” do this year?
What will be the peak weekly stream total for Brenda Lee’s “Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)


Q3: Holiday Domination

Peak # of Holiday Songs in the Top 50 - Last 3 Years:
2021/01/02 - 33 / 50
2022/01/01 - 32 / 50
2023/01/07 - 35 / 50
How many Holiday songs will occupy the Top 50 during the “peak” week of the holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)


Q4: Holiday Domination Part 2

# of Consecutive Holiday Songs at the Top of the Chart - Last 3 Years:
2021/01/02 - Top 6 Holiday Songs | 24kGoldn ft. iann dior - Mood (#7)
2022/01/01 - Top 4 Holiday Songs | Adele - Easy On Me (#5)
2023/01/07 - Top 7 Holiday Songs | Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (#8)
How many consecutive Holiday songs will there be at the top of the Hot 100 during the “peak” week of the holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)


Q5: [OPTIONAL, NO POINTS] Feedback
As always, I would love to get any feedback, thoughts, etc. on this game. What style of questions were most enjoyable to predict? Any ideas for new minigames or types of questions? What are your thoughts on the “Pick 3” artist selection game - would you prefer it as a separate game in 2024? Did the point system make sense, and is there anything you would change about it? How was the number of questions per week…good amount or too many? And any other feedback you can think of!

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
1^∞
85la
Acid Eyes
annoymous1
atg
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
Rose "Payola" Nylund
ephelia
Fears in the Fire
fengyu
imbuemyblue
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
jhitwild
joshtheking
khan
kindofbiased
laislabonita
mms82
neel
neogale
rainie
renfield75
rnb
sportytheartist
TheOutcast
whaleblubber
WolfSpear

[jasper0102]

1. 55m
2. 54.8m
3. 37/50
4. Top 6 (though i have doubts on whether Andy Williams can pass Jack Harlow)

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

1. 51.5
2. 49.3
3. 38/50
4. Top 7

[rnb]

1. 51.5
2. 50.2
3. 37
4. top 6
5. all I can say is that it was definitely fun playing this game and there’s nothing I would really change so hope this sticks around in 2024

[mms82]

1. 49.9 M
2. 50.1 M
3. 39/50
4. Top 8

5. Thanks so much for doing this!! If you kept everything exactly the same, I'd be thrilled, this has been a fun game.

My one ask would be less pure number questions, and more comparison questions. For predict the peaks for songs that aren't likely going Top 5, it can be a pretty random crap shoot what number between 20-40 you pick, the questions are always more fun if it's a comparison (i.e. not what random number in the 20s will Wonderful Christmastime peak at, more which will peak higher Wonderful Christmastime or Santa Baby). Also, the artist question is fun to track and root for, but really appreciate you having split it into a semi separate game, I think they're somewhat different games so you keeping leaderboards for the artists and the questions and then a cumulative leaderboard was an awesome fix!


6. Thanks for doing this all year!!!

[renfield75]

1. 50.1 M
2. 49.6 M
3. 37/50
4. Top 7

5.Since picking Morgan Wallen paid off for me this year I would like to keep Pick 3 in the main competition lol. I think there's been a great variety in the questions, and I don't know offhand what I would change. You've done a great job with this enwhy...I can't imagine how much time and effort it takes to tabulate all the responses and track the results. It's been much appreciated and I look forward to more fun in 2024!

[rainie]

1. 52.7
2. 51.9
3. 38/50
4. top 8

thanks again for hosting this, you honestly did a splendid job :) my one nitpick is i didn't love the "guess how many streams / sales a certain song / album / artist would get, just because i don't have good sense of that sort of thing at all (you providing past streams helped a lot though !), i also thought the sudden last minute point multipliers were a bit rough though that's likely just because of my position throughout most of the year, i likely would've felt the opposite way had i been trailing but been able to make up ground thanks to the multipliers haha

other then that, you hit it out of the park and should be really proud of yourself !

[joshtheking]

1. 54.6M
2. 54.2M
3. 40
4. Top 11
5. I think you're doing great, and I really enjoyed the pick 3 artist addition to here.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

1. 53.4M
2. 54.0M
3. 38 out of the Top 50 will be Christmas Songs
4. Top 7 (RATCT, AIWFCIY, JBR, LC, AHJC, ITMWTOTY, Feliz Navidad) with the highest non-Christmas song being Lovin' on Me at #8
5. Definitely a good thing that this stuck around and quite honestly, except for maybe adding more variety to the questions, I wouldn't change anything on this and keep it as it is. Here's to participating in the 2024 Predictors Cup!

[neel]

1. 49M
2. 50M
3. 39-40
4. Top 7 (unfortunately Harlow’s gonna interrupt the Christmas Top 10)

[kindofbiased]

1. 51m
2. 52m
3. 40/50
4. Top 6
5. you're doing great :)

[85la]

1. 52.3
2. 50.1
3. 38/50
4. Top 7

5. As always, I think you did a phenomenal job this year! All questions were very interesting, carefully thought out, and thoroughly researched, and I really like the Pick 3 Artist game as well. I also like how you do a good job at keeping things very civil and cordial. Are the Pulse Year-End Awards still going on this year? I would probably nominate you and this thread for poster and thread of the year!!

[enwhy]

Tagging anyone who hasn't responded yet! Due tonight.

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
1^∞
Acid Eyes
annoymous1
atg
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
ephelia
Fears in the Fire
fengyu
imbuemyblue
jayhawk1117
jhitwild
khan
laislabonita
neogale
sportytheartist
TheOutcast
whaleblubber
WolfSpear

My responses:
1. 52.0M
2. 51.5M
3. 35/50
4. Top 8

[sportytheartist]

Q1. 51.5 million
Q2. 50 million
Q3: 37/50
Q4: Top 6
Q5: I’d say this is a great activity for us to do 👍

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

1. 55.5M
2. 54.8M
3. 39/50
4. Top 9
5. One thing I can think of would be to include predictions Year-End questions. But those would need to be asked by week 26 of the probable year-end. Also, I would like to see more questions which involve guessing Hot 100 longevity of songs, also by their 26th week on the chart.

[fengyu]

Q1: All I Want For Christmas Is…
Last year, Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” peaked the week before Christmas with 48.7M streams (it drew 46.90M the week of Christmas). This year, Christmas falls on a Monday rather than a Sunday, which adds an extra day of Christmas-week streams. How many streams will Mariah earn in her peak week this year?
What will be the peak weekly stream total for Mariah Carey’s “All I Want For Christmas Is You” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)*
51.0M


Q2: Rockin Around
Of course, we can’t forget the latest artist to hit #1 on the Hot 100. Brenda Lee came very close to Mariah’s stream total last year with a 48.5M peak (46.87 the week of Christmas). How will “Rockin Around the Christmas Tree” do this year?
What will be the peak weekly stream total for Brenda Lee’s “Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree” this holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
51.0M

Q3: Holiday Domination

Peak # of Holiday Songs in the Top 50 - Last 3 Years:
2021/01/02 - 33 / 50
2022/01/01 - 32 / 50
2023/01/07 - 35 / 50
How many Holiday songs will occupy the Top 50 during the “peak” week of the holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
38

Q4: Holiday Domination Part 2
How many consecutive Holiday songs will there be at the top of the Hot 100 during the “peak” week of the holiday season? (12/2 - 1/6 chart)
6.

[1^∞]

1. 47.4M
2. 50.1M
3. 42/50
4. Top 12, A Christmas Dozen, Why Not
5. Yippee! It's been fun doing this each week, I think the pick 3 thing might've been a bit overpowered, I do think it's a fun thing to count but less weight, or a divider for each person who picks the same artist like for regular questions, I like questions that are more general than predicting positions for a specific song/album I think more general questions in the mix would be fun, I'm glad to have contributed a question, I was genuinely so surprised you actually used it so soon, I hope I can contribute questions next year as well, I'm wondering if you're open to Global and UK chart questions as well

Thanks for hosting this week after week, it takes dedication to do projects like this, doing this for over a year is so cool, stuff like this is what makes the internet so cool just a buncha nerds tracking song numbers, and we wouldn't trade it for the world, thanks!

[ephelia]

Q1: All I Want For Christmas Is…
51.8

Q2: Rockin Around
51.5

Q3: Holiday Domination
38

Q4: Holiday Domination Part 2
8

Q5: [OPTIONAL, NO POINTS] Feedback
Thanks so much for hosting! I really enjoyed playing this year. I probably would prefer the artist selection to be a separate game (though I'm definitely biased cause I didn't do so well on that). I also felt that increasing points so much near the end devalued the first half a bit too much, but a similar caveat as the one rainie gave applies here. The number and type of questions seemed great - thanks again!

[imbuemyblue]

1) 52
2) 50.5
3) 38
4) 6

[mms82]

Loved this! Will ‘24 be a continuation or a new game?

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

enwhy for games host of the year. Go voice your support in the PMAs thread

[85la]

Hey enwhy . I hope everything's alright. Any update on the final tally, as well as whether the game will continue this year? It's a lot of fun!

[enwhy]

Feb 17, 2024 11:42:01 GMT -5 85la said:

Hey enwhy . I hope everything's alright. Any update on the final tally, as well as whether the game will continue this year? It's a lot of fun!

hey! thanks for the well wishes - all is good. I got really busy around new years, then more recently I've just had trouble motivating myself to put together all the tabulations for the rest of the year. I will have an update soon though, promise! 

[85la]

Feb 18, 2024 21:39:39 GMT -5 enwhy said:

Feb 17, 2024 11:42:01 GMT -5 85la said:

Hey enwhy . I hope everything's alright. Any update on the final tally, as well as whether the game will continue this year? It's a lot of fun!

hey! thanks for the well wishes - all is good. I got really busy around new years, then more recently I've just had trouble motivating myself to put together all the tabulations for the rest of the year. I will have an update soon though, promise! 

Sure, whenever you get a chance. You deserve a break!