Billboard Hot 100: 08/12/2023

[thegreatdivine]

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Hope the fall turns out to be bigger, it couldn't happen to a nicer person

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Aug 2, 2023 13:37:31 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Seems like SOEMTHING is definitely coming with the abundance of Easter eggs this past week.

Maybe MV and cruel summer (live) for Spotify to give it that last push

And we now know what's coming

[Deleted]

When does Billboard’s calendar year end? She needs to report the gross and get those chart points!

[fengyu]

[Az Paynter]

And would you look at that, 'Vampire' projected to stay in the top 10. Massive flop, am I right?

[fengyu]

[jasper0102]

[HamedM1 💔]

DTN possibly pushing for the top 10, I hope it can somehow do it this week.

[Az Paynter]

To think if pop radio hadn't screwed around with it last week that extra audience it could've had right now would likely make all the difference.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Aug 3, 2023 10:08:41 GMT -5 Az Paynter said:

To think if pop radio hadn't screwed around with it last week that extra audience it could've had right now would likely make all the difference.

Unless DTN has some sort of massive loss, it should be a cinch for Top 10 next week - nothing behind it is going to challenge it + UTOPIA tracks dropping. Assuming no major releases or Drake.

LN's lead is still significant over FC, CS and Gunna.

[Music Fan]

Let's go Morgan! Drake is expected to drop tomorrow right? Absent Drake, are there any other potential challengers for the #1 on the following week's H100?

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Last Night's radio numbers are dropping so fast, so I think 08/19 will be his last chance at #1. Also, I don't think Drake's tomorrow, probably next week or maybe in 2.

[.indulgecountry]

Manifesting that Luke Combs can get to #1 within the next couple weeks. 🤞🤞🤞

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Really surprised Travis/Drake failed to debut at #1 (if we trust those predictions), we're still waiting for a rap song to reach #1 this year, and first since Super Freaky Girl (08/27/22).

[lazer]

Laufey will release her second album on September 8th. Hopefully that will increase the streams for From The Start.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2023 » / « 08 » / « 03 »

1(=) Rema & Selena Gomez - Calm Down 103.86(+0.49)
2(=) Luke Combs - Fast Car 95.06(+0.86)
3(=) Morgan Wallen - Last Night 88.30(-1.14)
4(=) Miley Cyrus - Flowers 76.65(-0.03)
5(+2) Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer 70.68(+1.25)
6(-1) Taylor Swift - Karma 70.46(-0.21) -
7(-1) SZA - Snooze 70.25(+0.03)
8(=) Jelly Roll - Need A Favor 57.30(-0.37)
9(=) Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage - Creepin' 56.66(-0.13)
10(=) Lil Durk - All My Life (feat. J. Cole) 55.36(-0.05)

13(=) Olivia Rodrigo - vampire 48.01(+1.20)

14(=) Justin Moore & Priscilla Block - You, Me, And Whiskey 44.27(+0.70)

65(+5) Jason Aldean - Try That In A Small Town 16.12(+0.81)

96(+11) Travis Scott - K-POP (feat. Bad Bunny & The Weeknd) 10.89(+0.77)

-(-) Offset & Cardi B - JEALOUSY 6.27(+1.75) +

[Rhythm Nation]

If Taylor intends to push CS, today is the day to do it!

[ificanthaveyou]

Aug 3, 2023 16:16:16 GMT -5 Rhythm Nation said:

If Taylor intends to push CS, today is the day to do it!

She could totally do it with how close chart points are at the top for this week too. Next week would be a great opportunity!

[neel]

Aug 3, 2023 13:57:52 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Really surprised Travis/Drake failed to debut at #1 (if we trust those predictions), we're still waiting for a rap song to reach #1 this year, and first since Super Freaky Girl (08/27/22).

If we somehow finish 2023 without a rap #1 song, that would generally be disappointing and first time since the early 2010s. But then again as trends showed, hip hop tends to dominate during even numbered years and especially even numbered leap years (1992, 1996, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2022) so probably hip-hop will come swinging hard in 2024.

[neogale]

Aug 3, 2023 16:19:22 GMT -5 neel said:

Aug 3, 2023 13:57:52 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Really surprised Travis/Drake failed to debut at #1 (if we trust those predictions), we're still waiting for a rap song to reach #1 this year, and first since Super Freaky Girl (08/27/22).

If we somehow finish 2023 without a rap #1 song, that would generally be disappointing and first time since the early 2010s.

When was the last time a year went by without any rap song being #1? I thought each one of the years during the early 2010's years had at least one: 
2010: Nothin' On You, Not Afraid, Love The Way You Lie
2011: Black And Yellow, Give Me Everything? 
2012: Whistle
2013: Thrift Shop
2014: Timber? Fancy

(I'm not sure if some of them can be considered rap songs though, specially the Pitbull's hits).

[After Minutes]

Aug 3, 2023 13:57:52 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Really surprised Travis/Drake failed to debut at #1 (if we trust those predictions), we're still waiting for a rap song to reach #1 this year, and first since Super Freaky Girl (08/27/22).

I feel like it's down to messing up the single push

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Various tidbits from Trending Up Travis Scott’s ‘Utopia’ Posts Huge First-Week Streaming Numbers, Helps Gains for Kanye West, Funkadelic & More:

A Streaming ‘Utopia’ for Travis Scott

If the five years in between Travis Scott’s 2018 blockbuster Astroworld and follow-up album Utopia – or the 2021 Astroworld festival tragedy that cast a pall over his 2020s so far – had any dampening effect on his career, it’d be tough to spot from the set’s early streaming performance.

The Cactus Jack/Epic set has amassed a staggering 266.21 million official on-demand U.S. streams in its first five days of release (July 28-Aug 1), according to Luminate – nearly matching the full first-week total of 269.33 million for Taylor Swift’s Speak Now (Taylor’s Version), which was the second-biggest streaming week of 2023 so far. (Astroworld posted 349.43 million total streams in its debut frame.) Utopia is led in first-week streams by the Drake-featuring “Meltdown” (25.12 million), the Playboi Carti-featuring “Fe!n” (20.45 million) and the unaccompanied “I Know ?” (16.78 million).

The set has seen such a robust streaming debut that it has also boosted some of the songs the album samples and references. Two songs sampled on the set’s opening cut, “Hyaena,” saw gains over the July 28-Aug 1 period from the prior Friday to Tuesday: Funkadelic’s “Maggot Brain” (up 11% to 45,000 streams) and Gentle Giant’s “Proclamation” (up 585% to over 9,000 streams). The biggest rise was saved for Scott’s mentor Kanye West, however, as his “I Am a God” – which many fans cited as being the obvious sonic blueprint for Utopia’s “Modern Jam” – climbed 85% to nearly 115,000 streams. – ANDREW UNTERBERGER

Noah Kahan’s ‘Dial Drunk’ Posts Gains Post-Post Malone Remix

In June, we covered the steady, undeniable rise of Noah Kahan in this column, on the occasion of his Stick Season album receiving a deluxe edition and barreling into the top 10 of the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first time (peaking at No. 3 on the chart, after its standard edition previously reached No. 14 upon its 2022 release). The deluxe edition was led by the new single “Dial Drunk,” an ode to a late-night call from a holding cell which, like the Stick Season title track, found a wide audience upon its release after Kahan had been teasing the song on TikTok for weeks. Unlike “Stick Season,” however, “Dial Drunk” has spent the past six weeks becoming the Vermont singer-songwriter’s biggest chart hit by far — thanks in part to a famous new friend in Post Malone.

“Dial Drunk” became Kahan’s first career Billboard Hot 100 hit upon its June release, peaking at No. 43 and spending four weeks on the chart before slipping off in July. However, a July 18 remix of the song — featuring Post Malone, Kahan’s Republic Records label mate, crooning in between the finger-picked banjo notes — has helped give “Dial Drunk” renewed chart juice, even as the solo version remains the one listed on the Hot 100. After bounding back to a new peak of No. 39 on last week’s chart, “Dial Drunk” sprints up to No. 25 this week.

Meanwhile, combined U.S. on-demand streams of the original version and the remix totaled 12.56 million for the week ending July 27 — a 154% increase from two weeks earlier, prior to the release of the remix, according to Luminate. Kahan has “been listening to Post Malone since White Iverson dropped,” he wrote last month, “even covering Congratulations right when my career was beginning.” Now, Posty has helped his longtime supporter score the first top 40 Hot 100 hit of his career, and one that’s still quickly rising. – JASON LIPSHUTZ

Ice Spice’s ‘Deli’ Serves Up Solo Success

During the same week that she’s named Billboard’s R&B/Hip-Hop Rookie of the Year, Ice Spice has another reason to celebrate: the Bronx rapper just scored the highest-charting unaccompanied solo hit of her career.

After breaking through with viral smashes like “Munch (Feelin’ U)” and “In Ha Mood,” then conquering the charts with top 10 Hot 100 collaborations like “Boy’s a Liar Pt. 2” (with PinkPantheress) and the Nicki Minaj-assisted remix to “Princess Diana,” Ice Spice’s solo track “Deli” makes a strong start at No. 41 on this week’s Hot 100 chart. The track highlighted the recently released deluxe edition of her debut EP, Like..?, and earned an impressive 10.94 million official on-demand U.S. streams during the week ending July 27, according to Luminate, while surpassing Ice Spice’s previous best Hot 100 showing as a solo artist, when “In Ha Mood” peaked at No. 58 earlier this year. (The song is still rising, too: Up from 1.58 million daily streams on its debut two Fridays ago to over 2 million last Friday.)

As “Deli” makes its chart bow, the newly expanded Like..? re-enters the Billboard 200 at No. 26 this week. Time will tell if the uptempo, club-ready “Deli” becomes a durable hit for Ice Spice, but she’s already got another in the meantime: “Barbie World,” her latest team-up with Nicki Minaj (and first with Aqua!) from the Barbie soundtrack, is back in the top 10 of the Hot 100 this week at No. 8. – JL

Season’s Gainings: “August” Is Taylor Swift’s Moment in Time

In case you haven’t already gotten your fill the rest of this calendar year, it appears that August is now officially Taylor Swift’s month – thanks to her song of the same name, a Folklore fan favorite. The song has already become a perennial re-charter thanks to its strong association with this time of the season, and every year the song seems to rebound a little higher: This year, it jumps from 701,000 to 1.94 million official on-demand audio streams from July 31 to August 1, a gain of 176%, according to Luminate. Could it rechart on the Hot 100, giving Taylor Swift a chart hit from four different albums simultaneously? For this month, Swifties will be livin’ for the hope of it all. – AU

[mylo]

Meltdown has now hit number 1 on US ITunes as fans are making a late push to send it to number 1 on the H100, although I don't know how successful this will be it could make the race for the top spot more spicy.

Edit : There's now Utopia (First Edition) coming out in roughly 10 minutes despite being scheduled for midnight tonight. Perhaps Travis' team saw the push for Meltdown and decided to bring the first edition forward as a last ditch attempt on their part to get Meltdown to number 1.

[rainygirl]

Another version of Meltdown is number 12 on iTunes as well

[kml567]

Travis pulling off the old 69 cents discount trick on iTunes. And they released a second version of "Meltdown" (pulling off the BTS-like chart manipulation!) Very desperate to get that #1 with every trick in the book.

Seems like "Last Night" got caught off-guard. They're just now (at 8pm on Thursday night) starting their own 69 cents discount. I think they're aiming for #1 this week, and also next week. Radio airplay is free-falling down, so they need a 69 cents discount to get a 15th and 16th week at #1 to break the record for most weeks #1 this decade.

[eagle27]

I knew Travis and Drake were too chart obsessed to let a close number one slip by. Regardless of if they can close the gap, I think it’s clear Last Night isn’t breaking the OTR record with Fast Car, Cruel Summer?, and Drake looming. Still had a great run.

[wavey.]

I'm not mad at it. Compete!

[jasper0102]

Aug 3, 2023 12:28:06 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Last Night's radio numbers are dropping so fast, so I think 08/19 will be his last chance at #1. Also, I don't think Drake's tomorrow, probably next week or maybe in 2.

I remember a tweet being shared here last thread during Thursday where it said that For All The Dogs was gonna drop in 2 weeks, so he’s gonna have the 8/26 week to himself most likely.

But yeah 8/19 will probably Last Night’s last week (tying it with Despacito and One Sweet Day), as Drake will knock him out and by then Fast Car probably would’ve passed him already.

Aug 3, 2023 16:16:16 GMT -5 Rhythm Nation said:

If Taylor intends to push CS, today is the day to do it!

I still think she’s gonna wait til after Drake drops to push it but let’s see.

[iHype.]

Aug 3, 2023 21:06:26 GMT -5 eagle27 said:

I knew Travis and Drake were too chart obsessed to let a close number one slip by. Regardless of if they can close the gap, I think it’s clear Last Night isn’t breaking the OTR record with Fast Car, Cruel Summer?, and Drake looming. Still had a great run.

The same Drake who has the most #2 singles ever on Hot 100 is too chart obsessed to let a close  Hot 100#1 slip by. Not to mention he didn't even bother to get credited on the charts for Travis Scott's prior #1 hit that featured him... 

Travis knows how to work the charts, but I don't think a 1-day discount on iTunes is going to do enough damage. I don't think these last day sales will change any outcome.