HITS 10/13: Drake #1 410k

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=337875&title=NEW-RELEASE%253A-DRAKES-FOR-ALL-THE-DOGS-HAS-A-BIG-BITE

Saturday, October 7, 2023

NEW RELEASE: DRAKE'S FOR ALL THE DOGS HAS A BIG BITE

Drake's For All the Dogs (OVO/Republic) is trending to an opening of 400-450k after its initial day of streams and sales, with most of that number coming from streams. After several delays, the album was finally released on Friday (10/6) at 6am, several hours after the weekly turnover at the DSPs.

This later than normal release suggests there could be some upside to today's projection, which would currently be the 4th biggest debut of 2023.

Republic has three of the four with Taylor Swift's Speak Now (Taylor's Version) leading the year at 716k and Morgan Wallen's One Thing at a Time (Big Loud/Mercury/Republic) at #2 with 501k. Cactus Jack/Epic's Travis Scott is #3 with UTOPIA and 477k. As for us, we're celebrating October's Very Own with copious amounts of Halloween candy.

Drake (OVO/Republic) 400-450k

[iHype.]

About the best outcome expected.

There wasn’t nearly the hype for this as prior studio albums, the features weren’t as many heavy hitters as CLB, lack of Pop appeal, and etc.

We will see how the album pans out after the initial few weeks.

[Enigma.]

Would be a bit of humiliation if he lost to Travis (and with a longer album) but we'll see.

[wavey.]

Not bad! Can always trend upwards(or down).

[iHype.]

Oct 7, 2023 13:02:58 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Would be a bit of humiliation if he lost to Travis (and with a longer album) but we'll see.

There’s no “humiliation” for Drake that another album that had over 30 different versions for sale barely got a higher first week than a digital-only release. 💀

Nevermind the fact it was Travis Scott’s grand return/first release in 5 years, and this is Drake’s fifth full length release in 5 years.

Always a half baked thought with you when the name Drake appears.

[WolfSpear]

When all is said and done, I have a feeling Drake will be overtake Jay-Z on this leaderboard. It's crazy... if not insane, to think how dominate he is an artist.

Topping it off with 400k is also impressive... though there's no denying Taylor is still the biggest name on the planet.

[jayromeo19]

450k is about what I predicted.

[Choco]

450k is very good. I'm sure Travis beating him would hurt his ego a bit, but he also hasn't played the physical game that sells in 2023 so of course that hurts a bit.

[Enigma.]

yea I forgot to add that Travis has very strong vinyl backing for some reason (and he had the suspicious website sales for several weeks to lengthen the stint at #1 on album chart). But Drake needs to reach 400k no questions asked to maintain his "#1 in rap" crown.

[fridayteenage]

travis also has 0 multiweek top 10 hits from this decade, so i don't think anyone considers him #1 in rap.

[👑 Eloquent ™]

Maybe it's just me, but 400k+ is really good! Most can't even muster a third of that figure these days.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Oct 8, 2023 19:01:50 GMT -5 👑 Eloquent ™ said:

Maybe it's just me, but 400k+ is really good! Most can't even muster a third of that figure these days.

Yep. Look at 'Scarlett' - it only managed 1/6 of that with a legit hit single. Drake, Taylor and Morgan are still far above their respective genre peers.

Imagine if Drake sold vinyls ready for release week or preceded a project with a legit smash.

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=337901&title=TOP-20%253A-TAKE-A-BITE-OF-THIS

Tuesday, October 10, 2023

TOP 20: TAKE A BITE OF THIS

Drake’s For All the Dogs (OVO/Republic) will open on top of the HITS Top 50 this Friday with a projected first week total of about 420k. Meanwhile, Junior H (Rancho Humilde/Warner Latina) and NCT 127 (SM/Virgin) are each tracking to a Top 15 debut.

[thegreatdivine]

Is it just me or did HDD just change their font for the top 20 projections?

[fridayteenage]

9 10 11 super close again. Hope lover doesn't get nudged out again

[Deleted]

Oct 10, 2023 16:07:39 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Is it just me or did HDD just change their font for the top 20 projections?

It’s different for sure. I like it

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

For FATD, slightly better numbers than Her Loss. Also, it would mean more than 500 million weekly on-demand streams for it.

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=337959&title=TOP-50%253A-DRAKES-DOGS-HAS-ITS-DAY

Friday, October 13, 2023

TOP 50: DRAKE'S DOGS HAS ITS DAY

Drake's For All the Dogs (OVO/Republic) opens at #1 on the HITS Top 50 with 410k. His eighth studio album debuts with the biggest streaming week of 2023, earning 500m+. FATD gives House Lipman its 22nd week at #1 this year.

Rounding out the Top 5 are Big Loud/Mercury/Republic's Morgan Wallen, Alamo's Rod Wave, Geffen's Olivia Rodrigo and Warner's Zach Bryan.

Other top entries include Junior H's $ad Boyz 4 Life II (Rancho Humilde/Warner Latina) at #13 and NCT 127's Fact Check (SM/Virgin) at #20.

Streeting this week are new titles by Rimas' Bad Bunny, Capitol's Troye Sivan, BIGHIT/Republic's TOMORROW X TOGETHER, QC/Motown/Capitol's Offset, Big Machine's Riley Green and Darkroom/Polydor's Holly Humberstone as well as an EP by Interscope's boygenius.

Full chart here:

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
--	1	DRAKE	FOR ALL THE DOGS	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	410,500	--	10,926	1,574	398,000
1	2	MORGAN WALLEN	ONE THING AT A TIME	BIG LOUD/MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	73,273	-1%	2,190	905	70,178
2	3	ROD WAVE	NOSTALGIA	ALAMO (SME)	59,546	-16%	254	128	59,164
3	4	OLIVIA RODRIGO	GUTS	GEFFEN (UMG)	57,471	-13%	12,159	421	44,891
5	5	ZACH BRYAN	ZACH BRYAN	WARNER (WMG)	53,141	-9%	913	653	51,575
6	6	SZA	SOS	TDE/RCA (SME)	44,648	-3%	2,621	202	41,825
8	7	TAYLOR SWIFT	MIDNIGHTS	REPUBLIC (UMG)	42,469	-2%	8,681	372	33,415
7	8	TRAVIS SCOTT	UTOPIA	CACTUS JACK/EPIC (SME)	39,399	-13%	814	101	38,484
14	9	NOAH KAHAN	STICK SEASON	MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	39,348	31%	1,626	385	37,337
10	10	TAYLOR SWIFT	LOVER	REPUBLIC (UMG)	38,730	-4%	9,063	568	29,099
11	11	PESO PLUMA	GENESIS	DOUBLE P/PRAJIN PARLAY (THE ORCHARD)	37,935	-6%	78	114	37,744
12	12	MORGAN WALLEN	DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM	BIG LOUD/MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	36,741	-1%	431	244	36,066
--	13	JUNIOR H	$AD BOYZ 4 LIFE II	WEA LATINA (WMG)	32,208	--	228	52	31,929
9	14	DOJA CAT	SCARLET	KEMOSABE/RCA (SME)	32,062	-21%	774	639	30,649
13	15	TAYLOR SWIFT	FOLKLORE	REPUBLIC (UMG)	31,817	2%	7,643	162	24,012
--	16	MATT COOPER	VINTAGE	TURNBERRY (MUSIC VIDEO DISTRIBUTORS)	29,906	--	29,824	3	79
17	17	ZACH BRYAN	AMERICAN HEARTBREAK	WARNER (WMG)	29,473	0%	1,203	330	27,941
16	18	BARBIE THE ALBUM	SOUNDTRACK	ATLANTIC (WMG)	28,065	-6%	4,218	621	23,226
15	19	TAYLOR SWIFT	SPEAK NOW (TAYLOR'S VERSION)	REPUBLIC (UMG)	27,991	-6%	7,773	172	20,047
--	20	NCT 127	FACT CHECK - THE 5TH ALBUM	SM/VIRGIN (UMG)	27,404	--	25,068	74	2,262
18	21	TAYLOR SWIFT	1989	BIG MACHINE/BMLG (UMG)	25,501	-4%	1,079	294	24,128
--	22	(G)I-DLE	HEAT	CUBE/88RISING (WMG)	24,130	--	22,285	67	1,778
19	23	TAYLOR SWIFT	REPUTATION	BIG MACHINE/BMLG (UMG)	23,459	-4%	1,148	246	22,065
20	24	TAYLOR SWIFT	RED (TAYLOR'S VERSION)	REPUBLIC (UMG)	23,314	-1%	5,413	207	17,694
23	25	BAD BUNNY	UN VERANO SIN TI	RIMAS (THE ORCHARD)	23,026	5%	183	78	22,766
21	26	THE WEEKND	THE HIGHLIGHTS	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	22,883	-2%	325	153	22,405
25	27	BAILEY ZIMMERMAN	RELIGIOUSLY. THE ALBUM.	WARNER NASHVILLE (WMG)	22,034	6%	400	289	21,344
24	28	DRAKE & 21 SAVAGE	HER LOSS	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	20,264	-5%	146	40	20,078
26	29	KAROL G	MANANA SERA BONITO (BICHOTA SEASON)	BICHOTA/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	20,252	-2%	816	110	19,325
30	30	OLIVIA RODRIGO	SOUR	GEFFEN (UMG)	19,261	-1%	2,836	86	16,338
34	31	LUKE COMBS	GETTIN' OLD	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	18,808	3%	670	344	17,794
38	32	TAYLOR SWIFT	EVERMORE	REPUBLIC (UMG)	18,696	7%	3,475	92	15,129
29	33	DRAKE	CERTIFIED LOVER BOY	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	18,385	-6%	33	37	18,315
31	34	METRO BOOMIN	HEROES & VILLAINS	BOOMINATI/REPUBLIC (UMG)	18,385	-5%	204	54	18,127
35	35	KAROL G	MANANA SERA BONITO	UMLE (UMG)	18,196	0%	799	77	17,320
27	36	GUNNA	A GIFT & A CURSE	YOUNG STONER LIFE/ATLANTIC (WMG)	18,135	-11%	31	97	18,007
41	37	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER (WMG)	17,067	3%	3,026	256	13,785
39	38	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN (UMG)	16,557	-5%	26	22	16,509
37	39	DRAKE	TAKE CARE	YMCMB/REPUBLIC (UMG)	16,470	-7%	134	39	16,297
47	40	ELTON JOHN	DIAMONDS	ISLAND (UMG)	16,285	4%	671	341	15,273
40	41	THE WEEKND	STARBOY	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	16,159	-3%	753	48	15,358
42	42	SZA	CTRL	TDE/RCA (SME)	16,117	0%	1,270	20	14,826
44	43	JELLY ROLL	WHITSITT CHAPEL	BROKEN BOW (BMG)	16,043	0%	2,796	669	12,578
43	44	EMINEM	CURTAIN CALL	SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	15,808	-1%	411	194	15,203
45	45	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC (UMG)	15,613	-1%	730	91	14,792
48	46	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	15,566	0%	380	100	15,085
--	47	OLD DOMINION	MEMORY LANE	COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	15,267	--	6,724	321	8,222
50	48	MORGAN WALLEN	IF I KNOW ME	BIG LOUD (STEM)	15,153	0%	550	116	14,487
49	49	LANA DEL REY	BORN TO DIE	INTERSCOPE (UMG)	15,025	-1%	2,868	75	12,083
33	50	ZACH BRYAN	BOYS OF FAITH	WARNER (WMG)	14,942	-20%	289	62	14,591

[Choco]

Seems like they didn't expect Drake to be that frontloaded? 450k to 420k to 410k final.

Still a fine number. Not impossible for Bad Bunny to beat it though.

[Deleted]

Crazy that Sufjan isn't top 50... his last two "normal" solo releases had top 10 debuts.

[fridayteenage]

Oct 14, 2023 1:57:51 GMT -5 Choco said:

Seems like they didn't expect Drake to be that frontloaded? 450k to 420k to 410k final.

Still a fine number. Not impossible for Bad Bunny to beat it though.

"headed for a #1 debut on Friday's HITS Top 50 with projected first week activity of 200-225k. The rap album is tracking to log first-week streams in the 260-290m range, slightly below the 328m of 2022's Un Verano Sin Ti."

I never understood why anyone was predicting him to increase 50% in popularity from last year.

[Choco]

Oct 14, 2023 13:37:11 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Oct 14, 2023 1:57:51 GMT -5 Choco said:

Seems like they didn't expect Drake to be that frontloaded? 450k to 420k to 410k final.

Still a fine number. Not impossible for Bad Bunny to beat it though.

"headed for a #1 debut on Friday's HITS Top 50 with projected first week activity of 200-225k. The rap album is tracking to log first-week streams in the 260-290m range, slightly below the 328m of 2022's Un Verano Sin Ti."

I never understood why anyone was predicting him to increase 50% in popularity from last year.

Worldwide he's basically second to Taylor Swift right now so I expected some growth. But to be fair the last couple singles did point out to a slight decrease in interest (and the album doesn't seem to be connecting like UVST did).

[It's me, bitch.]

Oct 10, 2023 15:35:40 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=337901&title=TOP-20%253A-TAKE-A-BITE-OF-THIS

Tuesday, October 10, 2023

TOP 20: TAKE A BITE OF THIS

Drake’s For All the Dogs (OVO/Republic) will open on top of the HITS Top 50 this Friday with a projected first week total of about 420k. Meanwhile, Junior H (Rancho Humilde/Warner Latina) and NCT 127 (SM/Virgin) are each tracking to a Top 15 debut.

Based on this chart, only 10,000 albums were actually purchased?

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^That was the number reported by the Billboard 200 top 10 article this week. So, yes.