Abbaschand
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Post by Abbaschand on May 21, 2024 18:51:55 GMT -5
Hello again. Just for fun, I made a mid-year chart prediction like it used to be (December-May, and not whatever the hell the chart year is rn)
Here it is.
Point System No. Points 1 10 2-3 9 4-5 8 6-10 7 11-15 6 16-20 5.5 21-25 5 26-30 4.5 31-40 4 41-50 3.5 51-60 3 61-70 2.5 71-80 2 81-90 1.5 91-100 1
YE cutoff = 51 Pred. cutoff = 28.5
Week 26/53 1 Lovin' On Me 208.5 2 Lose Control 177 3 Cruel Summer 176 4 Greedy 168 5 I Remember Everything 163 6 Agora Hills 144 7 Snooze 137.5 8 Stick Season 137.5 9 Beautiful Things 137 10 Water 124
11 Paint the Town Red 122.5 12 Fast Car 118.5 13 Last Night 102 14 Texas Hold 'Em 98.5 15 Is It Over Now? 95.5 16 Thinkin' Bout Me 94 17 Redrum 93.5 18 Houdini 89.5 19 Carnival 88 20 Feather 87
21 Never Lose Me 86 22 Wild Ones 84.5 23 What Was I Made For? 74 24 La Diabla 73.5 25 Everybody 72 26 Where the Wild Things Are 72 27 Pretty Little Poison 70.5 28 Saturn 70 29 Made for Me 70 30 We Can't Be Friends 68.5
31 Rich Baby Daddy 68.5 32 Like That 65.5 33 Exes 65.5 34 Yes, And? 62.5 35 Act II: Date @ 8 61.5 36 FTCU 61.5 37 Truck Bed 61.5 38 Too Sweet 60.5 39 Vampire 60 40 Save Me 59
41 World on Fire 58.5 42 End of Beginning 58 43 Burn It Down 57 44 Flowers 56 45 Need a Favor 56 46 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 55 47 All I Want for Christmas Is You 55 48 Surround Sound 55 49 The Painter 54.5 50 Whatever She Wants 54
51 You Broke My Heart 52 52 First Person Shooter 52 53 Man Made a Bar 52 54 On My Mama 52 55 Lil Boo Thang 51 56 Fe!n 51 57 White Horse 50.5 58 Jingle Bell Rock 50 59 Selfish 49.5 60 Good Good 49
61 23 46.5 62 Last Christmas 46 63 Yeah Glo! 46 64 Type Crap 45 65 One of the Girls 45 66 A Holly Jolly Christmas 43.5 67 Get It Sexyy 42.5 68 F U Mean 42 69 Harley Quinn 41.5 70 Get In with Me 41
71 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 39.5 72 My Love Mine All Mine 39.5 73 Dance the Night 39 74 Soak City 39 75 La Victima 38.5 76 Wildflowers and Wild Horses 38.5 77 Mmhmm 38.5 78 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow 37 79 I Like the Way You Kiss Me 37 80 Monaco 37
81 Sleigh Ride 36.5 82 IDGAF 36 83 Where It Ends 36 84 Feliz Navidad 35.5 85 Fortnight 35 86 Austin 34.5 87 Praise Jah in the Moonlight 34.5 88 Strangers 34.5 89 Espresso 34 90 A Bar Song 33.5
91 The Christmas Song 33 92 Underneath the Tree 33 93 Santa Tell Me 32.5 94 Used to Be Young 32.5 95 I Can Feel It 31.5 96 Spin You Around 31 97 Bellakeo 31 98 Murder On the Dancefloor 29.5 99 Nee-Nah 28.5 100 Bandit 28.5
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Abbaschand
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Posts: 1,626
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Post by Abbaschand on May 21, 2024 18:54:05 GMT -5
For comparison, my October(!?)-April mid-year predictions. Week 26/52 1 Cruel Summer 198.5 2 Lovin' On Me 189.0 3 Greedy 175.0 4 Snooze 173.0 5 I Remember Everything 172.0 6 Paint the Town Red 162.5 7 Lose Control 158.0 8 Fast Car 148.0 9 Agora Hills 144.5 10 Water 143.5 11 Last Night 136.0 12 Thinkin' Bout Me 127.5 13 Stick Season 126.5 14 Is It Over Now? 122.5 15 Beautiful Things 99.0 16 Rich Baby Daddy 96.5 17 Houdini 92.0 18 Vampire 88.0 19 What Was I Made For? 85.5 20 Wild Ones 84.0 21 Pretty Little Poison 83.5 22 Need a Favor 82.5 23 Save Me 81.5 24 Flowers 80.5 25 First Person Shooter 79.0 26 Redrum 75.5 27 Texas Hold 'Em 74.0 28 Never Lose Me 72.5 29 White Horse 71.5 30 F U Mean 71.0 31 Truck Bed 71.0 32 Lil Boo Thang 70.5 33 Good Good 70.5 34 Carnival 69.5 35 Everybody 68.0 36 Monaco 67.5 37 La Diabla 67.5 38 Where the Wild Things Are 67.5 39 Dance the Night 66.5 40 World on Fire 66.5 41 IDGAF 65.5 42 Exes 65.5 43 On My Mama 64.5 44 Feather 64.0 45 Burn It Down 64.0 46 Yes, And? 62.5 47 The Painter 61.5 48 All I Want for Christmas Is You 60.5 49 My Love Mine All Mine 59.5 50 FTCU 56.5 51 Used to Be Young 56.5 52 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 55.0 53 Made for Me 55.0 54 Surround Sound 55.0 55 Jingle Bell Rock 54.0 56 You Broke My Heart 52.0 57 Last Christmas 50.0 58 Harley Quinn 49.0 59 Man Made a Bar 48.0 60 Strangers 48.0 61 A Holly Jolly Christmas 47.0 62 Selfish 45.5 63 Act II: Date @ 8 45.0 64 Saturn 40.5 65 500lbs 40.5 66 We Can't Be Friends 40.0 67 Get Him Back! 40.0 68 Perro Negro 40.0 69 Standing Next to You 40.0 70 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 39.5 71 23 39.5 72 La Victima 38.5 73 One of the Girls 38.5 74 End of Beginning 38.0 75 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow 37.0 76 I Know? 37.0 77 Sleigh Ride 36.5 78 Whatever She Wants 36.5 79 Soak City 36.5 80 Fe!n 36.0 81 Feliz Navidad 35.5 82 Virginia Beach 34.0 83 The Christmas Song 33.0 84 Underneath the Tree 33.0 85 Santa Tell Me 32.5 86 Praise Jah in the Moonlight 31.5 87 Kill Bill 31.5 88 I Can Feel It 31.5 89 Bellakeo 31.0 90 Like That 30.0 91 Mmhmm 30.0 92 Murder On the Dancefloor 29.5 93 Get In with Me 29.0 94 Now That We Don't Talk 28.5 95 Nee-Nah 28.5 96 Mamaw's House 28.0 97 White Christmas 27.5 98 Igual Que Un Angel 27.0 99 Christmas 26.5 100 Qlona 26.5
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Harx
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Post by Harx on May 21, 2024 19:23:04 GMT -5
"All cut offs will be adjusted next week" Yeah, there goes Mitski most likely...
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rockgolf
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Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
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Post by rockgolf on May 22, 2024 18:50:31 GMT -5
I recognize that the huge weeks that some debut tracks are having will have a far greater impact on the year-end than I give them credit for, but nonetheless,
The current Top 100 estimate for the May 25, 2024 chart: And the projected result at year end: Proj. Year end | Song | Artist | Year-End Est Pts | 1 | Lovin On Me | Jack Harlow | 8718 | 2 | Cruel Summer | Taylor Swift | 8430 | 3 | Lose Control | Teddy Swims | 8374 | 4 | I Remember Everything | Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves | 7337 | 5 | Beautiful Things | Benson Boone | 6756 | 6 | Greedy | Tate McRae | 6712 | 7 | Stick Season | Noah Kahan | 5952 | 8 | Snooze | SZA | 5519 | 9 | Agora Hills | Doja Cat | 5416 | 10 | Paint The Town Red | Doja Cat | 5223 | 11 | Not Like Us | Kendrick Lamar | 4833 | 12 | Like That | Future, Metro Boomin & Kendrick Lamar | 4628 | 13 | Fast Car | Luke Combs | 4584 | 14 | Million Dollar Baby | Tommy Richman | 4563 | 15 | Water | Tyla | 4413 | 16 | Last Night | Morgan Wallen | 4050 | 17 | A Bar Song (Tipsy) | Shaboozey | 3926 | 18 | Fortnight | Taylor Swift ft. Post Malone | 3889 | 19 | Thinkin' Bout Me | Morgan Wallen | 3832 | 20 | Too Sweet | Hozier | 3786 | 21 | Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] | Taylor Swift | 3765 | 22 | We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) | Ariana Grande | 3576 | 23 | Saturn | SZA | 3507 | 24 | Texas Hold 'Em | Beyonce | 3426 | 25 | Feather | Sabrina Carpenter | 3423 | 26 | Espresso | Sabrina Carpenter | 3278 | 27 | Euphoria | Kendrick Lamar | 3070 | 28 | Wild Ones | Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll | 2935 | 29 | Rich Baby Daddy | Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA | 2874 | 30 | What Was I Made For? | Billie Eilish | 2852 | 31 | Houdini | Dua Lipa | 2822 | 32 | Carnival | ¥$: Ye & Ty Dolla $ign ft. Rich The Kid & Playboi Carti | 2819 | 33 | Redrum | 21 Savage | 2765 | 34 | Vampire | Olivia Rodrigo | 2597 | 35 | Never Lose Me | Flo Milli | 2576 | 36 | Pretty Little Poison | Warren Zeiders | 2507 | 37 | Flowers | Miley Cyrus | 2419 | 38 | Need A Favor | Jelly Roll | 2412 | 39 | Save Me | Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson | 2403 | 40 | First Person Shooter | Drake ft. J. Cole | 2369 | 41 | Down Bad | Taylor Swift | 2267 | 42 | I Can Do It With A Broken Heart | Taylor Swift | 2249 | 43 | Family Matters | Drake | 2171 | 44 | La Diabla | Xavi | 2167 | 45 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | Mariah Carey | 2162 | 46 | Everybody | Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert | 2155 | 47 | White Horse | Chris Stapleton | 2145 | 48 | Yeah Glo! | GloRilla | 2138 | 49 | Made For Me | Muni Long | 2122 | 50 | Where The Wild Things Are | Luke Combs | 2119 | 51 | Lil Boo Thang | Paul Russell | 2102 | 52 | Fukumean | Gunna | 2099 | 53 | Truck Bed | HARDY | 2096 | 54 | Good Good | Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage | 2079 | 55 | Type Shit | Future, Metro Boomin, Travis Scott & Playboi Carti | 2072 | 56 | Get It Sexyy | Sexyy Red | 2061 | 57 | Monaco | Bad Bunny | 2023 | 58 | Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree | Brenda Lee | 2012 | 59 | IDGAF | Drake ft. Yeat | 2009 | 60 | End Of Beginning | Djo | 2007 | 61 | Dance The Night | Dua Lipa | 1975 | 62 | Yes, And? | Ariana Grande | 1969 | 63 | I Had Some Help | Post Malone ft. Morgan Wallen | 1968 | 64 | World On Fire | Nate Smith | 1960 | 65 | On My Mama | Victoria Monet | 1944 | 66 | Exes | Tate McRae | 1944 | 67 | I Like The Way You Kiss Me | Artemas | 1911 | 68 | Burn It Down | Parker McCollum | 1836 | 69 | FTCU | Nicki Minaj | 1803 | 70 | My Love Mine All Mine | Mitski | 1796 | 71 | The Painter | Cody Johnson | 1789 | 72 | Whatever She Wants | Bryson Tiller | 1711 | 73 | Jingle Bell Rock | Bobby Helms | 1694 | 74 | Used To Be Young | Miley Cyrus | 1689 | 75 | Surround Sound | JID ft. 21 Savage & Baby Tate | 1614 | 76 | Act II: Date @ 8 | 4Batz ft. Drake | 1599 | 77 | Man Made A Bar | Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church | 1597 | 78 | Austin | Dasha | 1588 | 79 | Last Christmas | Wham! | 1586 | 80 | You Broke My Heart | Drake | 1577 | 81 | Who's Afraid Of Little Old Me? | Taylor Swift | 1492 | 82 | Selfish | Justin Timberlake | 1456 | 83 | Harley Quinn | Fuerza Regida & Marshmello | 1453 | 84 | FE!N | Travis Scott ft. Playboi Carti | 1453 | 85 | Strangers | Kenya Grace | 1439 | 86 | A Holly Jolly Christmas | Burl Ives | 1435 | 87 | Meet The Grahams | Kendrick Lamar | 1431 | 88 | But Daddy I Love Him | Taylor Swift | 1344 | 89 | 23 | Chayce Beckham | 1326 | 90 | One Of The Girls | The Weeknd, JENNIE & Lily Rose Depp | 1316 | 91 | Push Ups | Drake | 1275 | 92 | Get In With Me | BossMan Dlow | 1240 | 93 | So Long, London | Taylor Swift | 1232 | 94 | It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year | Andy Williams | 1230 | 95 | Where It Ends | Bailey Zimmerman | 1229 | 96 | 500lbs | Lil Tecca | 1222 | 97 | Perro Negro | Bad Bunny & Feid | 1160 | 98 | Get Him Back! | Olivia Rodrigo | 1157 | 99 | La Victima | Xavi | 1128 | 100 | Standing Next To You | Jung Kook | 1124 |
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Post by puwrpler04 on May 22, 2024 20:32:59 GMT -5
Billboard Year End Predictions End Of May Edition
133,000 Is projected cutoff 140,000 Is Locked Cutoff (I Think TOTC will move it to this next week,I’m still gonna use 133,000 as my cutoff for now but I’ll adjust too once there’s around 10-12 weeks left)
End Of Beginning 100% Locks Next Week Whatever She Wants 100% Locks in 1-2 weeks Million Dollar Baby 100% Duh Fein 50% The potential for a higher cutoff damages it’s chances a bit,Needs to gain on radio for roughly around a month to be fully locked for the YE A Bar Song (Tipsy) 100% Duh Pt2 Type Shit 100% Has enough weeks left till it hits 20 weeks that it’ll easily make it Yah Glo! 100% ^ Espresso 100% Duh Pt3 Not Like Us 100% Duh Pt4 I Had Some Help 100% Duh Pt5 Get It Sexxy 100% Not much to say there’s just a lot of songs that’ll easily clinch in June Get In With Me 20% Either needs to stay on till around week 24-25 dodging recurreny or hope the cutoff somehow gets lowered to 120,000 doubt both happen I Like The Way You Kiss Me 90% It Looks like it’s starting to lose steam but it should of secured enough points to make bottom 50 somewhere Where It Ends 50% Another one damaged by potential for higher cutoff. Needs radio to not start to decline for the next 2 weeks to have a realistic shot Down Bad 90% Taylor’s album is starting to fade finally but this seems like it’ll have enough streaming to make it I Can Do It With A Broken Heart 90% ^ plus one of these will be the next single Austin 95% With Radio gaining this’ll secure itself a spot somewhere around July Euphoria 75% Obviously will lose enough streaming with the vitality fading but I have hope it’ll stick around long enough to make it somewhere in the bottom Gata Only 60% As long as streaming dosent massively dip it should make it but that does seem to happen to the regional Spanish music Rest of The Taylor Songs above 50th on the chart rn 30% With them starting to fade it’ll be hard for any of these to make it if they’re not made a single and even if they did it would prolly mean it would make 2025s year end Wanna Be 75% Strong streaming should hold but you would like to see radio pick this up more Slow It Down 75% With raido picking this up I see this having enough to make it
Top 50 Predictions
220,000 is Cutoff Here Are Songs With No shot for top 50 Act ll; Date @ 8 Made For Me
Fortnite 100% Not preforming as well as many including myself thought it would but it’ll make top 50 no issue We Can’t Be Friends 100% ^ Saturn 100% Will lock in June Feather 95% As long as Billie dosent knock it out it’ll make it Too Sweet 100% Locks in 2 Weeks Redrum 100% ^ Carnival 100% Locks Next Week
Top 25 Predictions 335000 is cutoff Wild Ones 1% I just can’t see this getting that much higher with radio so slow to get on board Like That 85% Should have enough streaming to make it even tho it’ll def go into decline soon Texas Hold Em 20% Starting to fade so its chances are dim
Top 10 Predictions 520,000 Is Cutoff (I think this might get lowered) Beautiful Things 100% Yah this’ll make it Agora Hills 0% It’s gonna fall of sometime in June Greedy 40% if no album bombs happen this has a better shot I remember Everything 90% Streaming just will never die for this song so I think this’ll make it Lose Control 100% Locks in a week or 2 Cruel Summer 60% Gonna fall off this week most likely but it’s so close to the cutoff it’ll prolly make it anyways
Future Hits Miles On It Cowgirls Good Luck Babe! Bulletproof Dirt Cheap Think I’m In Love With You Lunch Ain’t No Love In Oklahoma
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on May 26, 2024 14:26:45 GMT -5
Not Like Us has a chance to be in the top 10 if it keeps up to the momentum, right?
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Post by puwrpler04 on May 27, 2024 1:56:40 GMT -5
Billboard Year End Artists 2024 Week 32
133,000 Is Cutoff
Drake 4 (Rich Baby Daddy,First Person Shooter,IDGAF, Act ll; Date @ 8) ________________________________
Jelly Roll 3 (Wild Ones,Need A Favor,Save Me) SZA 3 (Snooze,Rich Baby Daddy,Saturn) Taylor Swift 3 (Cruel Summer,Is It Over Now?,Fortnite) ________________________________
21 Savage 2 (Redrum,Good Good) Ariana Grande 2 (We Can’t Be Friends, Yes And?) Doja Cat 2 (Paint The Town Red,Agora Hills) Dua Lipa 2 (Houdini,Dance The Night) +1 Kendrick Lamar 2 (Like That,Not Like Us) Luke Combs 2 (Fast Car,Where The Wild Things Are) Morgan Wallen 2 (Last Night,Thinkin Bout Me) Nicki Minaj 2 (Everybody,FTCU) Tate McRae 2 (Greedy,Exes) _______________________________
4Batz (Act ll; Date @ 8) Bad Bunny 1 (Monaco) Benson Boone 1 (Beautiful Things) Beyoncé 1 (Texas Hold ‘Em) Billie Eilish 1 (What Was I Made For?) Bobby Helms 1 (Jingle Bell Rock) Brenda Lee 1 (Rockin Around The Christmas Tree) +1 Bryson Tiller 1 (Whatever She Wants) Burl Ives 1 (A Holly Jolly Christmas) Chris Stapleton 1 (White Horse) Cody Johnson 1 (The Painter) Djo 1 (End Of Beginning) Flo Milli 1 (Never Lose Me) Future 1 (Like That) Gunna 1 (Fukumean) Hardy 1 (Truck Bed) Hozier 1 (Too Sweet) Jack Harlow 1 (Lovin On Me) Jesse Murph 1 (Wild Ones) J Cole 1 (First Person Shooter) Kacey Musgraves 1 (I Remember Everything) Kanye West 1 (Carnival) Lainey Wilson 1 (Save Me) Lil Uzi Vert 1 (Everybody) Mariah Carey 1 (All I Want For Christmas Is You) Metro Boomin 1 (Like That) Miley Cyrus 1 (Flowers) Mitski 1 (My Love Mine All Mine) Muni Long (Made For Me) Nate Smith 1 (World On Fire) Noah Kahan 1 (Stick Season) Olivia Rodrigo 1 (Vampire) Parker McCollum 1 (Burn It Down) Paul Russell 1 (Lil Bo Thang) Playboi Carti 1 (Carnival) Post Malone 1 (Fortnite) Rich The Kid 1 (Carnival) Sabrina Carpenter 1 (Feather) Sexxy Red 1 (Rich Baby Daddy) +1 Shaboozey 1 (A Bar Song) Summer Walker 1 (Good Good) Teddy Swims 1 (Lose Control) +1 Tommy Richman 1 (Million Dollar Baby) Ty Dolla $ign 1 (Carnival) Tyla 1 (Water) Usher 1 (Good Good) Victoria Monet 1 (On My Mama) Warren Zeiders 1 (Pretty Little Poison) WHAM! 1 (Last Christmas) Yeat 1 (IDGAF) Zach Bryan 1 (I Remember Everything)
Locked Next Week Sabrina Carpenter’s Second-Espresso Post Malone’s Second-I Had Some Help Morgan Wallen’s Third-I Had Some Help
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on May 29, 2024 10:34:57 GMT -5
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Post by whaleblubber on May 29, 2024 10:35:31 GMT -5
Using new raised cutoffs as per TOTC. RIP My Love Mine All Mine it was too good to be true Week 32 - June 1, 2024LOCKED FOR TOP 10 (3 songs)Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me *Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer Teddy Swims - Lose ControlLOCKED FOR TOP 25 (8 songs)*Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything *SZA - Snooze Tate McRae - Greedy *Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red *Luke Combs - Fast Car Doja Cat - Agora Hills Noah Kahan - Stick Season Benson Boone - Beautiful Things LOCKED FOR TOP 50 (12 songs)*Morgan Wallen - Last Night *Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me Tyla - Water Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] Dua Lipa - Houdini Drake feat. Sexyy Red & SZA - Rich Baby Daddy *Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? Beyoncé - Texas Hold 'Em Future, Metro Boomin & Kendrick Lamar - Like That 21 Savage - Redrum Sabrina Carpenter - Feather Hozier - Too SweetLOCKED FOR TOP 100 (40 songs){Previously locked}*Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You *Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree *Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock *Wham! - Last Christmas *Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas Drake feat. J. Cole - First Person Shooter Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang Drake feat. Yeat - IDGAF Chris Stapleton - White Horse *Gunna - Fukumean Bad Bunny - Monaco *Jelly Roll - Need A Favor Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage - Good Good *Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire Jelly Roll feat. Lainey Wilson - Save Me Warren Zeiders - Pretty Little Poison *Miley Cyrus - Flowers Victoria Monét - On My Mama Jessie Murph feat. Jelly Roll - Wild Ones Nate Smith - World On Fire HARDY - Truck Bed Cody Johnson - The Painter Nicki Minaj feat. Lil Uzi Vert - Everybody Kanye West & feat. Rich the Kid & Playboi Carti - Carnival Flo Milli - Never Lose Me Tate McRae - Exes Ariana Grande - Yes, And? Luke Combs - Where The Wild Things Are Parker McCollum - Burn It Down Xavi - La Diabla Nicki Minaj - FTCU Muni Long - Made For Me SZA - Saturn Ariana Grande - We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) 4batz feat. Drake - Act II: Date @ 8 Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone - Fortnight
Tommy Richman - Million Dollar Baby Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) Djo - End Of Beginning
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Post by whaleblubber on May 29, 2024 10:44:49 GMT -5
For some reason TOTC didn't post this information this time so:
LOCKING FOR TOP 50 NEXT WEEK SZA - Saturn
LOCKING FOR TOP 100 NEXT WEEK Bryson Tiller - Whatever She Wants Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso Post Malone feat. Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help
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Harx
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Post by Harx on May 29, 2024 11:13:53 GMT -5
RIP My Love Mine All Mine it was too good to be true Yeah... such a ridiculously unlucky timing, any other year it would have made it easily :/
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torpedo007
Charting
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Posts: 20
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Post by torpedo007 on May 29, 2024 11:54:51 GMT -5
Is "Cruel Summer" really locked for the top 10? It would be strange to see her two biggest hot 100 hits outside of the region
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on May 29, 2024 12:46:39 GMT -5
^If this is any indication, Cruel Summer is basically borderline for the top 10 of the Year-End. Kind of makes sense given that the top 10 is much stronger now, so that some of the current songs there will probably make it.
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Post by reputainbow on May 29, 2024 13:14:55 GMT -5
{Week 32}1 Lovin on Me (Jack Harlow) 7897 2 Cruel Summer (Taylor Swift) 7420 3 Lose Control (Teddy Swims) 6704 4 I Remember Everything (Zach Bryan/Kacey Musgraves) 6523 5 Greedy (Tate McRae) 6231 6 Snooze (SZA) 5632 7 Paint the Town Red (Doja Cat) 5257 8 Beautiful Things (Benson Boone) 4868 9 Agora Hills (Doja Cat) 4834 10 Stick Season (Noah Kahan) 4474 11 Fast Car (Luke Combs) 4447 12 Water (Tyla) 4203 13 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 3844 14 Is It Over Now? (Taylor Swift) 3645 15 Thinkin' Bout Me (Morgan Wallen) 3610 16 Texas Hold 'Em (Beyonce) 3518.4 17 Carnival (Kanye West/Ty Dolla $ign/Rich the Kid/Playboi Carti) 3001.6 18 Wild Ones (Jessie Murph/Jelly Roll) 2926.4 19 Redrum (21 Savage) 2737.2 20 Rich Baby Daddy (Drake/Sexyy Red/SZA) 2673.4 21 Houdini (Dua Lipa) 2665.6 22 Feather (Sabrina Carpenter) 2652.4 23 What Was I Made For? (Billie Eilish) 2616.6 24 Like That (Future/Metro Boomin/Kendrick Lamar) 2578 25 Vampire (Olivia Rodrigo) 2448 26 Never Lose Me (Flo Milli) 2438 27 Pretty Little Poison (Warren Zeiders) 2354.8 28 We Can't Be Friends (Wait for Your Love) (Ariana Grande) 2301 29 Need a Favor (Jelly Roll) 2277 30 Too Sweet (Hozier) 2260 31 First Person Shooter (Drake/J. Cole) 2242.4 32 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2234 33 Save Me (Jelly Roll/Lainey Wilson) 2221 34 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 2216 35 Saturn (SZA) 2178 36 Truck Bed (HARDY) 2139.8 37 Where the Wild Things Are (Luke Combs) 2136.2 38 La Diabla (Xavi) 2107.2 39 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 2079 40 Made for Me (Muni Long) 2065.2 41 IDGAF (Drake/Yeat) 2050.8 42 Monaco (Bad Bunny) 2049.2 43 Everybody (Nicki Minaj/Lil Uzi Vert) 2046.2 44 White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 2007 45 Yes, And? (Ariana Grande) 1991.2 46 Burn It Down (Parker McCollum) 1976.8 47 Fukumean (Gunna) 1958 48 Lil Boo Thang (Paul Russell) 1957 49 Good Good (Usher/Summer Walker/21 Savage) 1954.2 50 Act II: Date @ 8 (4Batz/Drake) 1950.4 51 On My Mama (Victoria Monet) 1885 52 World on Fire (Nate Smith) 1877.4 53 Exes (Tate McRae) 1864 54 Dance the Night (Dua Lipa) 1857 55 FTCU (Nicki Minaj) 1846.4 56 The Painter (Cody Johnson) 1844.6 57 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1817 58 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1735 59 End of Beginning (Djo) 1695.4 60 My Love Mine All Mine (Mitski) 1678 61 Surround Sound (JID/21 Savage/Baby Tate) 1625.2 62 Whatever She Wants (Bryson Tiller) 1613.8 63 FE!N (Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 1602.2 64 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1595 65 You Broke My Heart (Drake) 1589.8 66 Used to Be Young (Miley Cyrus) 1574.8 67 Harley Quinn (Fuerza Regida/Marshmello) 1553.6 68 Man Made a Bar (Morgan Wallen/Eric Church) 1553.2 69 23 (Chayce Beckham) 1508.4 70 Fortnight (Taylor Swift/Post Malone) 1499 71 Standing Next to You (Jung Kook) 1461 72 One of the Girls (The Weeknd/JENNIE/Lily Rose Depp) 1460.8 73 Type Shit (Future/Metro Boomin/Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 1448 74 Yeah Glo! (GloRilla) 1443.8 75 Perro Negro (Bad Bunny/Feid) 1427.6 76 Strangers (Kenya Grace) 1419.6 77 A Bar Song (Tipsy) (Shaboozey) 1410 78 Selfish (Justin Timberlake) 1376 79 Soak City (Do It) (310babii) 1357.2 80 Espresso (Sabrina Carpenter) 1351 81 Mmhmm (BigXthaPlug) 1348 82 500lbs (Lil Tecca) 1298 83 Get In With Me (BossMan Dlow) 1296.2 84 Million Dollar Baby (Tommy Richman) 1280 85 Get It Sexyy (Sexyy Red) 1279 86 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1267 87 Where It Ends (Bailey Zimmerman) 1264.2 88 Wildflowers And Wild Horses (Lainey Wilson) 1205.2 89 Get Him Back! (Olivia Rodrigo) 1194.4 90 La Victima (Xavi) 1185.2 91 Spin You Around (1/24) (Morgan Wallen) 1162.8 92 I Like the Way You Kiss Me (Artemas) 1146 93 Austin (Dasha) 1102.6 94 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 1101 95 Virginia Beach (Drake) 1072.8 96 Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar) 1058 97 Praise Jah In the Moonlight (YG Marley) 1055.6 98 Bandit (Don Toliver) 1042.8 99 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1038 100 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 1019
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Post by erosthegreekgod on May 29, 2024 13:25:20 GMT -5
When was the last time a song that peaked as low as Wild Ones locked for the top 50?
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Post by whaleblubber on May 29, 2024 22:07:33 GMT -5
^If this is any indication, Cruel Summer is basically borderline for the top 10 of the Year-End. Kind of makes sense given that the top 10 is much stronger now, so that some of the current songs there will probably make it.
It does make sense when you think about it. The top 10 will most likely be comprised of the following in some order: Lovin On Me Lose Control Cruel Summer I Remember Everything Greedy Beautiful Things Stick Season Like That Too Sweet and one more track. It's still a bit early to tell but at this point Million Dollar Baby looks most likely. Definitely not Agora Hills though, it's on the verge of recurrency already. And since there are (hopefully) 20 weeks left in the year this means for all the songs currently under Cruel Summer they need the following point average over the rest of the year to pass Cruel Summer: I Remember Everything -- 19 Greedy -- 29 Beautiful Things -- 65 Stick Season -- 71 Like That -- 129 Too Sweet -- 149 Million Dollar Baby -- 176 The first four are basically trivial. Too Sweet is likely to get there with radio keeping it afloat, Like That I'd say has a pretty good chance as well as long as its streaming doesn't fall off a cliff. Million Dollar Baby is the real tossup here, it's TikTok fueled so that makes it more volatile, but even if it gets hit by 20/50 recurrency it still needs "only" 220 average over the next 16 weeks which is roughly half of what it's doing now. So Cruel Summer most likely ends up #9 YE, at most #7 and at least #10. All in all this is what I think the year end will look like: 1. Lose Control 2. Beautiful Things 3. Lovin On Me 4. I Remember Everything 5. Stick Season 6. Too Sweet 7. Like That 8. Greedy 9. Cruel Summer 10. Million Dollar Baby? I Had Some Help? Fortnight? No idea tbh
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artistry
Charting
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Post by artistry on May 29, 2024 22:53:30 GMT -5
I hope My Love Mine All Mine is able to sneak into the Billboard Hot 100 Year End list at #100.
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on May 30, 2024 7:35:29 GMT -5
I'm gonna take another stab out of predicting the top 10.
1. Lose Control 2. Lovin' on Me 3. Cruel Summer 4. I Remember Everything 5. Greedy 6. Beautiful Things 7. Stick Season 8. Like That 9. Too Sweet 10. Agora Hills
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joshtheking
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Post by joshtheking on May 30, 2024 10:55:32 GMT -5
and here I thought Cruel Summer would be a lock for top 3 this whole time. though i wouldn't rule out the possibility of it getting a revival at summer time, stranger things have happened lol
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Jun 1, 2024 8:32:01 GMT -5
Week 29:
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jun 1, 2024 15:58:55 GMT -5
Billboard Year End Artists 2024 Week 33
140,000 Is Cutoff
Drake 4 (Rich Baby Daddy,First Person Shooter,IDGAF, Act ll; Date @ 8) ________________________________
Jelly Roll 3 (Wild Ones,Need A Favor,Save Me) +1 Morgan Wallen 3 (Last Night,Thinkin Bout Me,I Had Some Help) SZA 3 (Snooze,Rich Baby Daddy,Saturn) Taylor Swift 3 (Cruel Summer,Is It Over Now?,Fortnite) ________________________________
21 Savage 2 (Redrum,Good Good) Ariana Grande 2 (We Can’t Be Friends, Yes And?) Doja Cat 2 (Paint The Town Red,Agora Hills) Kendrick Lamar 2 (Like That,Not Like Us) Luke Combs 2 (Fast Car,Where The Wild Things Are) Nicki Minaj 2 (Everybody,FTCU) +1 Post Malone 2 (Fortnite,I Had Some Help) +1 Sabrina Carpenter 2 (Feather,Espresso) Tate McRae 2 (Greedy,Exes) _______________________________
4Batz (Act ll; Date @ 8) Bad Bunny 1 (Monaco) Benson Boone 1 (Beautiful Things) Beyoncé 1 (Texas Hold ‘Em) Billie Eilish 1 (What Was I Made For?) Bobby Helms 1 (Jingle Bell Rock) Brenda Lee 1 (Rockin Around The Christmas Tree) Bryson Tiller 1 (Whatever She Wants) Burl Ives 1 (A Holly Jolly Christmas) Chris Stapleton 1 (White Horse) Cody Johnson 1 (The Painter) -1 Dua Lipa 1 (Houdini) Djo 1 (End Of Beginning) Flo Milli 1 (Never Lose Me) Future 1 (Like That) Gunna 1 (Fukumean) Hardy 1 (Truck Bed) Hozier 1 (Too Sweet) Jack Harlow 1 (Lovin On Me) Jesse Murph 1 (Wild Ones) J Cole 1 (First Person Shooter) Kacey Musgraves 1 (I Remember Everything) Kanye West 1 (Carnival) Lainey Wilson 1 (Save Me) Lil Uzi Vert 1 (Everybody) Mariah Carey 1 (All I Want For Christmas Is You) Metro Boomin 1 (Like That) Miley Cyrus 1 (Flowers) Muni Long (Made For Me) Nate Smith 1 (World On Fire) Noah Kahan 1 (Stick Season) Olivia Rodrigo 1 (Vampire) Parker McCollum 1 (Burn It Down) Paul Russell 1 (Lil Bo Thang) Playboi Carti 1 (Carnival) Rich The Kid 1 (Carnival) Sexxy Red 1 (Rich Baby Daddy) Shaboozey 1 (A Bar Song) Summer Walker 1 (Good Good) Teddy Swims 1 (Lose Control) Tommy Richman 1 (Million Dollar Baby) Ty Dolla $ign 1 (Carnival) Tyla 1 (Water) Usher 1 (Good Good) Victoria Monet 1 (On My Mama) Warren Zeiders 1 (Pretty Little Poison) WHAM! 1 (Last Christmas) Yeat 1 (IDGAF) Zach Bryan 1 (I Remember Everything)
Locked Next Week N/A
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jun 4, 2024 15:21:35 GMT -5
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Jun 4, 2024 15:39:37 GMT -5
I missed last week but here's a comprehensive update of the last two weeks (Jun 2 & 9). And my unique projected-out year-end, where, once again, Teddy Swims is narrowly projected to overtake Jack Harlow by year's end. Proj. Year end | Song | Artist | Year-End Est Pts | 1 | Lose Control | Teddy Swims | 8919 | 2 | Lovin On Me | Jack Harlow | 8841 | 3 | I Remember Everything | Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves | 7676 | 4 | Cruel Summer | Taylor Swift | 7349 | 5 | Beautiful Things | Benson Boone | 6972 | 6 | Greedy | Tate McRae | 6705 | 7 | Stick Season | Noah Kahan | 6179 | 8 | I Had Some Help | Post Malone ft. Morgan Wallen | 5591 | 9 | Snooze | SZA | 5519 | 10 | Agora Hills | Doja Cat | 5291 | 11 | Paint The Town Red | Doja Cat | 5223 | 12 | Not Like Us | Kendrick Lamar | 5171 | 13 | Million Dollar Baby | Tommy Richman | 4946 | 14 | A Bar Song (Tipsy) | Shaboozey | 4670 | 15 | Too Sweet | Hozier | 4631 | 16 | Fast Car | Luke Combs | 4584 | 17 | Water | Tyla | 4413 | 18 | Espresso | Sabrina Carpenter | 4069 | 19 | Like That | Future, Metro Boomin & Kendrick Lamar | 4067 | 20 | Last Night | Morgan Wallen | 4050 | 21 | We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) | Ariana Grande | 3906 | 22 | Saturn | SZA | 3839 | 23 | Thinkin' Bout Me | Morgan Wallen | 3832 | 24 | Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] | Taylor Swift | 3765 | 25 | Feather | Sabrina Carpenter | 3673 | 26 | Fortnight | Taylor Swift ft. Post Malone | 3434 | 27 | Texas Hold 'Em | Beyonce | 3417 | 28 | Wild Ones | Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll | 3117 | 29 | Carnival | ¥$: Ye & Ty Dolla $ign ft. Rich The Kid & Playboi Carti | 2985 | 30 | Redrum | 21 Savage | 2948 | 31 | Lunch | Billie Eilish | 2888 | 32 | Rich Baby Daddy | Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA | 2874 | 33 | What Was I Made For? | Billie Eilish | 2852 | 34 | Houdini | Dua Lipa | 2822 | 35 | Vampire | Olivia Rodrigo | 2597 | 36 | Never Lose Me | Flo Milli | 2576 | 37 | Pretty Little Poison | Warren Zeiders | 2507 | 38 | Flowers | Miley Cyrus | 2419 | 39 | Need A Favor | Jelly Roll | 2412 | 40 | Save Me | Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson | 2403 | 41 | First Person Shooter | Drake ft. J. Cole | 2369 | 42 | Made For Me | Muni Long | 2298 | 43 | End Of Beginning | Djo | 2219 | 44 | Get It Sexyy | Sexyy Red | 2176 | 45 | Yeah Glo! | GloRilla | 2172 | 46 | La Diabla | Xavi | 2167 | 47 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | Mariah Carey | 2162 | 48 | Everybody | Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert | 2155 | 49 | White Horse | Chris Stapleton | 2145 | 50 | Where The Wild Things Are | Luke Combs | 2119 | 51 | Lil Boo Thang | Paul Russell | 2102 | 52 | Fukumean | Gunna | 2099 | 53 | Truck Bed | HARDY | 2096 | 54 | Good Good | Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage | 2079 | 55 | Euphoria | Kendrick Lamar | 2046 | 56 | Monaco | Bad Bunny | 2023 | 57 | Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree | Brenda Lee | 2012 | 58 | IDGAF | Drake ft. Yeat | 2009 | 59 | Dance The Night | Dua Lipa | 1975 | 60 | Yes, And? | Ariana Grande | 1969 | 61 | Type Shit | Future, Metro Boomin, Travis Scott & Playboi Carti | 1964 | 62 | World On Fire | Nate Smith | 1960 | 63 | Austin | Dasha | 1956 | 64 | On My Mama | Victoria Monet | 1944 | 65 | Exes | Tate McRae | 1944 | 66 | I Can Do It With A Broken Heart | Taylor Swift | 1911 | 67 | Burn It Down | Parker McCollum | 1836 | 68 | Whatever She Wants | Bryson Tiller | 1811 | 69 | FTCU | Nicki Minaj | 1803 | 70 | My Love Mine All Mine | Mitski | 1796 | 71 | The Painter | Cody Johnson | 1789 | 72 | Birds Of A Feather | Billie Eilish | 1768 | 73 | I Like The Way You Kiss Me | Artemas | 1758 | 74 | Chihiro | Billie Eilish | 1753 | 75 | Where It Ends | Bailey Zimmerman | 1699 | 76 | Jingle Bell Rock | Bobby Helms | 1694 | 77 | Used To Be Young | Miley Cyrus | 1689 | 78 | Act II: Date @ 8 | 4Batz ft. Drake | 1682 | 79 | FE!N | Travis Scott ft. Playboi Carti | 1623 | 80 | Surround Sound | JID ft. 21 Savage & Baby Tate | 1614 | 81 | Cowgirls | Morgan Wallen ft. ERNEST | 1605 | 82 | Man Made A Bar | Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church | 1597 | 83 | Last Christmas | Wham! | 1586 | 84 | You Broke My Heart | Drake | 1577 | 85 | Down Bad | Taylor Swift | 1540 | 86 | Selfish | Justin Timberlake | 1456 | 87 | Harley Quinn | Fuerza Regida & Marshmello | 1453 | 88 | Strangers | Kenya Grace | 1439 | 89 | A Holly Jolly Christmas | Burl Ives | 1435 | 90 | Wildflower | Billie Eilish | 1390 | 91 | Miles On It | Marshmello & Kane Brown | 1351 | 92 | Get In With Me | BossMan Dlow | 1341 | 93 | 23 | Chayce Beckham | 1326 | 94 | One Of The Girls | The Weeknd, JENNIE & Lily Rose Depp | 1316 | 95 | Gata Only | FloyyMenor X Cris Mj | 1279 | 96 | It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year | Andy Williams | 1230 | 97 | 500lbs | Lil Tecca | 1222 | 98 | Wanna Be | GloRilla & Megan Thee Stallion | 1189 | 99 | Perro Negro | Bad Bunny & Feid | 1160 | 100 | Get Him Back! | Olivia Rodrigo | 1157 |
Also for the first time I Had Some Help seems to be on a path to make the year-end top ten. Take this all with a grain of salt. Lose Control is much older than Lovin' On Me, so more likely to fall off the chart completely before the Harlow track. If Houdini displaces the Post Malone/Wallen track next week, that will sharply reduce it's projected points in future weeks.
I more realistically expect #1 Lovin', #2 Control and Some Help in the year-end top 15.
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Post by reputainbow on Jun 4, 2024 18:26:26 GMT -5
{Week 33}1 Lovin on Me (Jack Harlow) 8043 2 Cruel Summer (Taylor Swift) 7420 3 Lose Control (Teddy Swims) 6943 4 I Remember Everything (Zach Bryan/Kacey Musgraves) 6673 5 Greedy (Tate McRae) 6343 6 Snooze (SZA) 5632 7 Paint the Town Red (Doja Cat) 5257 8 Beautiful Things (Benson Boone) 5071 9 Agora Hills (Doja Cat) 4934 10 Stick Season (Noah Kahan) 4628 11 Fast Car (Luke Combs) 4447 12 Water (Tyla) 4203 13 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 3844 14 Is It Over Now? (Taylor Swift) 3645 15 Texas Hold 'Em (Beyonce) 3612.4 16 Thinkin' Bout Me (Morgan Wallen) 3610 17 Carnival (Kanye West/Ty Dolla $ign/Rich the Kid/Playboi Carti) 3078 18 Wild Ones (Jessie Murph/Jelly Roll) 3013.2 19 Redrum (21 Savage) 2822.4 20 Feather (Sabrina Carpenter) 2782.4 21 Like That (Future/Metro Boomin/Kendrick Lamar) 2748 22 Rich Baby Daddy (Drake/Sexyy Red/SZA) 2673.4 23 Houdini (Dua Lipa) 2665.6 24 What Was I Made For? (Billie Eilish) 2616.6 25 Too Sweet (Hozier) 2481 26 We Can't Be Friends (Wait for Your Love) (Ariana Grande) 2463 27 Vampire (Olivia Rodrigo) 2448 28 Never Lose Me (Flo Milli) 2438 29 Pretty Little Poison (Warren Zeiders) 2354.8 30 Saturn (SZA) 2344 31 Need a Favor (Jelly Roll) 2277 32 First Person Shooter (Drake/J. Cole) 2242.4 33 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2234 34 Save Me (Jelly Roll/Lainey Wilson) 2221 35 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 2216 36 Made for Me (Muni Long) 2151.2 37 Truck Bed (HARDY) 2139.8 38 Where the Wild Things Are (Luke Combs) 2136.2 39 La Diabla (Xavi) 2107.2 40 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 2079 41 IDGAF (Drake/Yeat) 2050.8 42 Monaco (Bad Bunny) 2049.2 43 Everybody (Nicki Minaj/Lil Uzi Vert) 2046.2 44 White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 2007 45 Yes, And? (Ariana Grande) 1991.2 46 Burn It Down (Parker McCollum) 1976.8 47 Fukumean (Gunna) 1958 48 Lil Boo Thang (Paul Russell) 1957 49 Good Good (Usher/Summer Walker/21 Savage) 1954.2 50 Act II: Date @ 8 (4Batz/Drake) 1950.4 51 On My Mama (Victoria Monet) 1885 52 World on Fire (Nate Smith) 1877.4 53 Exes (Tate McRae) 1864 54 Dance the Night (Dua Lipa) 1857 55 FTCU (Nicki Minaj) 1846.4 56 The Painter (Cody Johnson) 1844.6 57 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1817 58 End of Beginning (Djo) 1803.4 59 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1735 60 Whatever She Wants (Bryson Tiller) 1709.8 61 A Bar Song (Tipsy) (Shaboozey) 1703 62 FE!N (Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 1684.2 63 My Love Mine All Mine (Mitski) 1678 64 Fortnight (Taylor Swift/Post Malone) 1677 65 Espresso (Sabrina Carpenter) 1626 66 Surround Sound (JID/21 Savage/Baby Tate) 1625.2 67 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1595 68 Million Dollar Baby (Tommy Richman) 1591 69 You Broke My Heart (Drake) 1589.8 70 Used to Be Young (Miley Cyrus) 1574.8 71 Yeah Glo! (GloRilla) 1569.8 72 Type Shit (Future/Metro Boomin/Travis Scott/Playboi Carti) 1554 73 Harley Quinn (Fuerza Regida/Marshmello) 1553.6 74 Man Made a Bar (Morgan Wallen/Eric Church) 1553.2 75 23 (Chayce Beckham) 1508.4 76 Standing Next to You (Jung Kook) 1461 77 One of the Girls (The Weeknd/JENNIE/Lily Rose Depp) 1460.8 78 Perro Negro (Bad Bunny/Feid) 1427.6 79 Strangers (Kenya Grace) 1419.6 80 Get It Sexyy (Sexyy Red) 1413 81 Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar) 1387 82 Where It Ends (Bailey Zimmerman) 1380.2 83 Selfish (Justin Timberlake) 1376 84 Get In With Me (BossMan Dlow) 1365.4 85 Soak City (Do It) (310babii) 1357.2 86 Mmhmm (BigXthaPlug) 1348 87 500lbs (Lil Tecca) 1298 88 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1267 89 I Like the Way You Kiss Me (Artemas) 1256 90 Austin (Dasha) 1234.6 91 Wildflowers And Wild Horses (Lainey Wilson) 1205.2 92 I Had Some Help (Post Malone/Morgan Wallen) 1200 93 Get Him Back! (Olivia Rodrigo) 1194.4 94 La Victima (Xavi) 1185.2 95 Spin You Around (1/24) (Morgan Wallen) 1162.8 96 Bandit (Don Toliver) 1101.6 97 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 1101 98 I Can Do It With a Broken Heart (Taylor Swift) 1094 99 Scared to Start (Michael Marcagi) 1088.4 100 Virginia Beach (Drake) 1072.8
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eagle27
Charting
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Posts: 190
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Post by eagle27 on Jun 4, 2024 21:20:16 GMT -5
Lose Control is such a longevity monster so I hope it takes it. Lovin On Me peaked in 2023 and died months ago. Also the big 3 right now (IHSH, NLU, MDB) deserve top 10 over ancient songs like Agora Hills. I think IHSH can sneak in despite the late start.
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Post by plankton5165 on Jun 5, 2024 9:30:29 GMT -5
I hope My Love Mine All Mine is able to sneak into the Billboard Hot 100 Year End list at #100. In 2023, even with a typical cutoff date, the cutoff would still be lower than anticipated mid-year, okay?
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jun 8, 2024 23:40:33 GMT -5
Billboard Year End Artists 2024 Week 34
140,000 Is Cutoff
Drake 4 (Rich Baby Daddy,First Person Shooter,Act ll; Date @ 8,IDGAF) ________________________________
Jelly Roll 3 (Wild Ones,Need A Favor,Save Me) Morgan Wallen 3 (Last Night,Thinkin Bout Me,I Had Some Help) SZA 3 (Snooze,Saturn,Rich Baby Daddy) Taylor Swift 3 (Cruel Summer,Is It Over Now?,Fortnite) ________________________________
21 Savage 2 (Redrum,Good Good) Ariana Grande 2 (We Can’t Be Friends,Yes And?) Doja Cat 2 (Paint The Town Red,Agora Hills) Kendrick Lamar 2 (Like That,Not Like Us) Luke Combs 2 (Fast Car,Where The Wild Things Are) Nicki Minaj 2 (Everybody,FTCU) Post Malone 2 (Fortnite,I Had Some Help) Sabrina Carpenter 2 (Feather,Espresso) Tate McRae 2 (Greedy,Exes) _______________________________
4Batz (Act ll; Date @ 8) Bad Bunny 1 (Monaco) Benson Boone 1 (Beautiful Things) Beyoncé 1 (Texas Hold ‘Em) Billie Eilish 1 (What Was I Made For?) Bobby Helms 1 (Jingle Bell Rock) Brenda Lee 1 (Rockin Around The Christmas Tree) Bryson Tiller 1 (Whatever She Wants) Burl Ives 1 (A Holly Jolly Christmas) Chris Stapleton 1 (White Horse) Cody Johnson 1 (The Painter) -1 Dua Lipa 1 (Houdini) Djo 1 (End Of Beginning) Flo Milli 1 (Never Lose Me) Future 1 (Like That) +1 Glorilla 1 (Yah Glo!) Gunna 1 (Fukumean) Hardy 1 (Truck Bed) Hozier 1 (Too Sweet) Jack Harlow 1 (Lovin On Me) Jesse Murph 1 (Wild Ones) J Cole 1 (First Person Shooter) Kacey Musgraves 1 (I Remember Everything) Kanye West 1 (Carnival) Lainey Wilson 1 (Save Me) Lil Uzi Vert 1 (Everybody) Mariah Carey 1 (All I Want For Christmas Is You) Metro Boomin 1 (Like That) Miley Cyrus 1 (Flowers) Muni Long (Made For Me) Nate Smith 1 (World On Fire) Noah Kahan 1 (Stick Season) Olivia Rodrigo 1 (Vampire) Parker McCollum 1 (Burn It Down) Paul Russell 1 (Lil Bo Thang) Playboi Carti 1 (Carnival) Rich The Kid 1 (Carnival) Sexxy Red 1 (Rich Baby Daddy) Shaboozey 1 (A Bar Song) Summer Walker 1 (Good Good) Teddy Swims 1 (Lose Control) Tommy Richman 1 (Million Dollar Baby) Ty Dolla $ign 1 (Carnival) Tyla 1 (Water) Usher 1 (Good Good) Victoria Monet 1 (On My Mama) Warren Zeiders 1 (Pretty Little Poison) WHAM! 1 (Last Christmas) Yeat 1 (IDGAF) Zach Bryan 1 (I Remember Everything)
Locked Next Week Metro Boomin’s Second (Type Shit) Future’s Second (Type Shit) Travis Scott’s First (Type Shit) Playboi Carti’s Second (Type Shit) Sexxy Red’s Second (Get It Sexxy)
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Post by puwrpler04 on Jun 10, 2024 12:52:33 GMT -5
Billboard year end list if it started November 25th (Like It Should Of😒) Week 32 (I used TOTC predictions for week 35 so that’s why it’s week 32 on this)
1.*Lovin On Me (6057) +115 2.*Lose Control (5361) +241 3.Cruel Summer (4597) 4.*I Remember Everything (4517) +115 5.*Greedy (4369) +86 6.*Beautiful Things (4294) +231
Top 10 Cutoff 6.1%
7.*Agora Hills (3801) +82 8.*Stick Season (3740) +115 9.Snooze (3439) 10.Paint The Town Red (3156) 11.Water (3062) 12.Fast Car (3050) 13.*Like That (2904) +174 14.*Texas Hold Em (2712) +55 15.*Too Sweet (2626) +241
TOP 25 CUTOFF 15.3%
16.Last Night (2584) 17.Thinkin Bout Me (2487) 18.*Feather (2358) +104 19.Is It Over Now? (2348) 20.*Carnival (2341) +51 21.*Million Dollar Baby (2328) +344 22.Redrum (2259) 23.*Wild Ones (2243) +61 24.*Saturn (2215) +148 25.*Not Like Us (2199) +327 26.*A Bar Song (2127) +332 27.*We Cant Be Friends (2124) +137 28.Houdini (2116) 29.*Fortnite (2093) +184 30.Never Lose Me (1977)
TOP 50 CUTOFF 30.7%
31.*I Had Some Help (1966) +408 32.All I Want For Christmas Is You (1927) 33.*Espresso (1858) +273 34.Rockin Around The Christmas Tree (1823) 35.What Was I Made For? (1788) 36.Made For Me (1756) 37.Rich Baby Daddy (1740) 38.Jingle Bell Rock (1675) 39.Where The Wild Things Are (1639) 40.Everybody (1637) 41.*End Of Beginning (1632) +87 42.La Diabla (1627) 43.Pretty Little Poision (1622) 44.Last Christmas (1615) 45.Act ll: Date @ 8 (1551) 46.*Whatever She Want (1546) +75 47.Truck Bed (1515) 48.Vampire (1515) 49.FTCU (1491) 50.Yes And? (1473) 51.First Person Shooter (1467) 52.A Holly Jolly Christmas (1466) 53.Exes (1464) 54.Save Me (1453) 55.Burn It Down (1431) 56.*Yah Glo! (1420) +101 57.*Type Shit (1399) +86 58.World On Fire (1365) 59.Need A Favor (1360) 60.*FE!N (1355) +62 61.White Horse (1342)
Week 32 Cutoff 61.5%
62.Flowers (1337) 63.*Get It Sexxy (1332) +98 64.Lil Boo Thang (1328) 65.Good Good (1311) 66.On My Mama (1290) 67.Surround Sound (1267) 68.The Painter (1256) 69.You Broke My Heart (1210) 70.*I Like The Way You Kiss Me (1199) +86 71.*Where It Ends (1193) +81 72.Man Made A Bar (1189) 73.Monaco (1182) 74.*Austin (1171) +121 75.IDGAF (1159) 76.Fukumean (1153) 77.*I Can Do It With A Broken Heart (1144) +88 78.23 (1128) 79.*Down Bad (1128) +75 80.*Get In With Me (1114) +46 81.*Euphoria (1107) +88 82.Selfish (1102) 83.One Of The Girls (1100) 84.Its The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year (1095) 85.Harley Quinn (1089) 86.My Love Mine All Mine (1088) 87.Dance The Night (1049) 88.Let It Snow Let It Snow (1001) 89.Soak City Do It (998) 90.*Wanna Be (994) +160 91.Feliz Navidad (983) 92.Used To Be Young (983) 93.Sleigh Ride (980) 94.Mmhmm (975) 95.Underneath The Tree (959) 96.Santa Tell Me (951) 97.*Spin You Around 1/24 (951) +41 98.The Christmas Song (950) 99.Wildflowers And Wild Horses (932) 100.Strangers (929)
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jun 11, 2024 11:58:41 GMT -5
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Jun 11, 2024 15:17:27 GMT -5
Let's see how the June 15, 2024 chart affects the current status of the Year-end Top 100: And the answer is... not much. Doja surpasses herself. I Had Some Help looks set to guarantee a top 100 position by next week. (Duh!) But let's see how this consistency affects the projected year-end: Proj. Year end | Song | Artist | Year-End Est Pts | 1 | Lose Control | Teddy Swims | 9131 | 2 | Lovin On Me | Jack Harlow | 8982 | 3 | I Remember Everything | Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves | 7634 | 4 | Cruel Summer | Taylor Swift | 7349 | 5 | Beautiful Things | Benson Boone | 7184 | 6 | Greedy | Tate McRae | 6823 | 7 | Stick Season | Noah Kahan | 6132 | 8 | I Had Some Help | Post Malone ft. Morgan Wallen | 5850 | 9 | Snooze | SZA | 5519 | 10 | Agora Hills | Doja Cat | 5395 | 11 | Paint The Town Red | Doja Cat | 5223 | 12 | Million Dollar Baby | Tommy Richman | 5131 | 13 | Too Sweet | Hozier | 4957 | 14 | A Bar Song (Tipsy) | Shaboozey | 4932 | 15 | Not Like Us | Kendrick Lamar | 4868 | 16 | Fast Car | Luke Combs | 4584 | 17 | Water | Tyla | 4413 | 18 | Espresso | Sabrina Carpenter | 4289 | 19 | Like That | Future, Metro Boomin & Kendrick Lamar | 4226 | 20 | We Can't Be Friends (Wait For Your Love) | Ariana Grande | 4067 | 21 | Last Night | Morgan Wallen | 4050 | 22 | Saturn | SZA | 4001 | 23 | Thinkin' Bout Me | Morgan Wallen | 3832 | 24 | Feather | Sabrina Carpenter | 3815 | 25 | Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] | Taylor Swift | 3765 | 26 | Texas Hold 'Em | Beyonce | 3498 | 27 | Fortnight | Taylor Swift ft. Post Malone | 3230 | 28 | Wild Ones | Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll | 3206 | 29 | Carnival | ¥$: Ye & Ty Dolla $ign ft. Rich The Kid & Playboi Carti | 3039 | 30 | Redrum | 21 Savage | 2948 | 31 | Rich Baby Daddy | Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA | 2874 | 32 | What Was I Made For? | Billie Eilish | 2852 | 33 | Houdini | Dua Lipa | 2822 | 34 | Pink Skies | Zach Bryan | 2659 | 35 | Vampire | Olivia Rodrigo | 2597 | 36 | Never Lose Me | Flo Milli | 2576 | 37 | Yeah Glo! | GloRilla | 2540 | 38 | Austin | Dasha | 2538 | 39 | Pretty Little Poison | Warren Zeiders | 2507 | 40 | End Of Beginning | Djo | 2459 | 41 | Get It Sexyy | Sexyy Red | 2440 | 42 | Lunch | Billie Eilish | 2428 | 43 | Flowers | Miley Cyrus | 2419 | 44 | Need A Favor | Jelly Roll | 2412 | 45 | Save Me | Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson | 2403 | 46 | Made For Me | Muni Long | 2390 | 47 | First Person Shooter | Drake ft. J. Cole | 2369 | 48 | Type Shit | Future, Metro Boomin, Travis Scott & Playboi Carti | 2184 | 49 | La Diabla | Xavi | 2167 | 50 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | Mariah Carey | 2162 | 51 | Everybody | Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert | 2155 | 52 | White Horse | Chris Stapleton | 2145 | 53 | Where The Wild Things Are | Luke Combs | 2119 | 54 | Lil Boo Thang | Paul Russell | 2102 | 55 | Fukumean | Gunna | 2099 | 56 | Truck Bed | HARDY | 2096 | 57 | Good Good | Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage | 2079 | 58 | Monaco | Bad Bunny | 2023 | 59 | Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree | Brenda Lee | 2012 | 60 | IDGAF | Drake ft. Yeat | 2009 | 61 | Wanna Be | GloRilla & Megan Thee Stallion | 1988 | 62 | Dance The Night | Dua Lipa | 1975 | 63 | Cowgirls | Morgan Wallen ft. ERNEST | 1970 | 64 | Yes, And? | Ariana Grande | 1969 | 65 | World On Fire | Nate Smith | 1960 | 66 | Birds Of A Feather | Billie Eilish | 1952 | 67 | On My Mama | Victoria Monet | 1944 | 68 | Exes | Tate McRae | 1944 | 69 | Whatever She Wants | Bryson Tiller | 1912 | 70 | I Like The Way You Kiss Me | Artemas | 1883 | 71 | Burn It Down | Parker McCollum | 1836 | 72 | FTCU | Nicki Minaj | 1803 | 73 | I Can Do It With A Broken Heart | Taylor Swift | 1796 | 74 | My Love Mine All Mine | Mitski | 1796 | 75 | The Painter | Cody Johnson | 1789 | 76 | Euphoria | Kendrick Lamar | 1739 | 77 | FE!N | Travis Scott ft. Playboi Carti | 1713 | 78 | Jingle Bell Rock | Bobby Helms | 1694 | 79 | Used To Be Young | Miley Cyrus | 1689 | 80 | Act II: Date @ 8 | 4Batz ft. Drake | 1682 | 81 | Where It Ends | Bailey Zimmerman | 1678 | 82 | Surround Sound | JID ft. 21 Savage & Baby Tate | 1614 | 83 | Man Made A Bar | Morgan Wallen ft. Eric Church | 1597 | 84 | Chihiro | Billie Eilish | 1595 | 85 | Last Christmas | Wham! | 1586 | 86 | You Broke My Heart | Drake | 1577 | 87 | Good Luck, Babe! | Chappell Roan | 1570 | 88 | Gata Only | FloyyMenor X Cris Mj | 1517 | 89 | Miles On It | Marshmello & Kane Brown | 1507 | 90 | Selfish | Justin Timberlake | 1456 | 91 | Harley Quinn | Fuerza Regida & Marshmello | 1453 | 92 | Strangers | Kenya Grace | 1439 | 93 | A Holly Jolly Christmas | Burl Ives | 1435 | 94 | Houdini | Eminem | 1421 | 95 | BAND4BAND | Central Cee & Lil Baby | 1408 | 96 | Get In With Me | BossMan Dlow | 1386 | 97 | 23 | Chayce Beckham | 1326 | 98 | One Of The Girls | The Weeknd, JENNIE & Lily Rose Depp | 1316 | 99 | Down Bad | Taylor Swift | 1312 | 100 | Slow It Down | Benson Boone | 1274 |
Lose Control probably has at least another 9 chart weeks left as I don't see it going below #50, after that it has to stay above #25. But at the rate Lovin' On Me is dropping, that may be enough to keep the lead thru the year-end. I Had Some Help is looking more and more likely to keep its top ten projected finish.
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