eagle27
Charting
Joined: July 2023
Posts: 190
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Post by eagle27 on Jan 10, 2024 10:57:11 GMT -5
too early to call. Year end lists are never gonna be that simple. something big will come out in march or april and then we'll know who is really contending for #1. March/April is usually too late for a song to gather enough points to reach YE #1 these days, since the competition will have been amassing points for almost half the year at that point. Remember that Old Town Road, which only started charting in March/April of that year, was doing more or less 100k points a week at its peak but didn't pass "Sunflower" until September or so. Yeah even As It Was couldn’t catch Heat Waves with a nearly perfect chart run because April is just too late. Big hits don’t reach high point totals anymore (Old Town Road points are basically impossible now) but they have way more stability and can easily camp in the top 20 for a good portion of the year, making it even harder for later hits to compete. If nothing new sticks in the next month or so, the only challenge to Jack or Taylor would be a currently charting future smash like Levitating. |
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Post by whaleblubber on Jan 10, 2024 11:11:44 GMT -5
^I thought March/April was the usual peak for YE #1 these days? Blinding Lights, Heat Waves and Last Night all first reached #1 in that month, while Levitating peaked in May but that was also ultra stable when the #1 kept changing hands for like 10 weeks. Although with Billboard's inability to read a calendar that's probably February/March for this year.
I think Lovin On Me passes Cruel Summer in 3-4 months. Hopefully something else passes Lovin On Me (Ariana we're counting on you) or this year will be dry as fuck.
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Jan 10, 2024 14:41:38 GMT -5
Billboard 2024 Year-End Predictions: (Week 5/52)
(Oct 28th - Nov 25th, 2023)
Locked Next Week: Cruel Summer
The Top 100:
1) (=) Cruel Summer - Tavlor Swift
2) (=) Paint The Town Red - Doja Cat
3) (=) Snooze - SZA
4) (=) I Remember Everything - Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves
5) (=) Fast Car - Luke Combs
6) (=) Last Night - Morgan Wallen
7) (=) Thinkin’ Bout Me - Morgan Wallen
8) (=) IDGAF - Drake ft. Yeat
9) (=) Monaco - Bad Bunny
10) (+4) Greedy - Tate McRae
11) (=) Fukumean - Gunna
12) (+4) Is It Over Now? (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift
13) (-3) Vampire - Olivia Rodrigo
14) (-1) Dance The Night - Dua Lipa
15) (=) Rich Baby Daddy - Drake ft. Sexxy Red & SZA
16) (-4) First Person Shooter - Drake ft. J. Cole
17) (+1) Need A Favor - Jelly Roll
18) (-1) Flowers - Miley Cyrus
19) (+1) Water - Tyla
20) (-1) Used To Be Young - Miley Cyrus
21) (+2) Agora Hills - Doja Cat
22) (=) Save Me - Jelly Roll ft. Lainey Wilson
23) (-2) Barbie World - Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice With Aqua
24) (+8) White Horse - Chris Stapleton
25) (-1) What Was I Made For? - Billie Eilish
26) (-1) Good Good - Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage
27) (-1) Kill Bill - SZA
28) (+6) Lil Boo Thang - Paul Russell
29) (+1) My Love Mine All Mine - Mitski
30) (-2) Now That We Don’t Talk (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift
31) (-2) What It Is (Block Boy) - Doechii ft. Kodak Black
32) (-1) Dial Drunk - Noah Kahan ft. Post Malone
33) (=) Daylight - David Kushner
34) (-7) Virginia Beach - Drake (BIGGEST DROP)
35) (+3) I Know? - Travis Scott
36) (+6) Stick Season - Noah Kahan
37) (-2) Bad Idea Right? - Olivia Rodrigo
38) (-1) Slut! (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift
39) (-3) Perro Negro - Bad Bunny & Feid
40) (+1) Say Don’t Go (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift
41) (-1) Slime You Out - Drake ft. SZA
42) (+4) Lose Control - Teddy Swims
43) (+2) Wild Ones - Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll
44) (-1) Try That In A Small Town - Jason Aldean
45) (+5) Strangers - Kenya Grace
46) (+2) Qlona - Karol G & Peso Pluma
47) (+7) 500lbs - Lil Tecca
48) (+9) On My Mama - Victoria Monet
49) (-10) Fina - Bad Bunny & Young Miko
50) (-3) Single Soon - Selena Gomez
51) (+2) Get Him Back! - Olivia Rodrigo
52) (-3) Bad Blood (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
53) (+2) Great Gatsby - Rod Wave
54) (-3) Style (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
55) (-3) Bongos - Cardi B & Megan Thee Stallion
56) (+2) Rich Men North Of Richmond - Oliver Anthony Music
57) (+5) Everything I Love - Morgan Wallen
58) (+1) Meltdown - Travis Scott ft. Drake
59) (-15) Watermelon Moonshine - Lainey Wilson
60) (+9) Pretty Little Poison - Warren Zeiders
61) (-1) Suburban Legends (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift
62) (+2) Hey Driver - Zach Bryan ft. The War & Treaty
63) (+3) Truck Bed - HARDY
64) (-1) Blank Space (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
65) (=) LaLa - Myke Towers
66) (+1) SkeeYee - Sexxy Red
67) (+1) 3D - Jung Kook & Jack Harlow
68) (+4) Turks & Caicos - Rod Wave ft. 21 Savage
69) (-13) Lady Gaga - Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros & Junior H
70) (+3) Out Of The Woods (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
71) (+7) Standing Next To You - Jung Kook
72) (-11) Un Preview - Bad Bunny
73) (+8) Can’t Have Mine - Dylan Scott
74) (+2) Wildest Dreams (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
75) (+7) Too Much - The Kid LAROI, Jung Kook & Central Cee
76) (+8) Segun Quien - Maluma & Carin Leon
77) (+16) The Painter - Cody Johnson
78) (-8) Anti-Hero - Taylor Swift
79) (-8) Welcome To New York (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
80) (+7) Now And Then - The Beatles
81) (+9) Que Onda - Calle 24 x Chino Pacas x Fuerza Regida
82) (NEW) Lovin On Me - Jack Harlow (HIGHEST DEBUT)
83) (+17) Standing Room Only - Tim McGraw
84) (+7) Burn It Down - Parker McCollum
85) (+7) Stars Like Confetti - Dustin Lynch
86) (-12) Religiously - Bailey Zimmerman
87) (+7) El Amor De Su Vida - Grupo Frontera & Grupo Firme
88) (+19) World On Fire - Nate Smith
89) (-14) All My Life - Lil Durk ft. J. Cole
90) (+9) Mi Ex Tenia Razon - Karol G
91) (-14) All You Had To Do Was Stay (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
92) (-13) Shake It Off (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
93) (-13) Creepin’ - Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage
94) (-11) New Romantics (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
95) (+33) Harley Quinn - Fuerza Regida & Marshmello (GREATEST GAINER)
96) (-11) Hibiki - Bad Bunny & Mora
97) (-11) Clean (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
98) (-10) God Gave Me A Girl - Russell Dickerson
99) (-10) Mr. October - Bad Bunny
100) (+23) Cobra - Megan Thee Stallion
Under The Top 100:
101) (-6) Cybertruck - Bad Bunny
102) (-6) Baby Nueva - Bad Bunny
103) (-6) Gently - Drake ft. Bad Bunny
104) (-6) Telefono Nuevo - Bad Bunny & Luar La L
105) (-4) Seda - Bad Bunny & Bryant Myers
106) (-4) Calling For You - Drake ft. 21 Savage
107) (-4) Thriller - Michael Jackson
108) (NEW) Houdini - Dua Lipa
109) (-5) Say My Grace - Offset ft. Travis Scott
110) (-5) Daylight - Drake
111) (-5) 8am In Charlotte - Drake
112) (-4) What Would Pluto Do - Drake
113) (+20) Can’t Catch Me Now - Olivia Rodrigo
114) (-5) Fear Of Heights - Drake
115) (+15) Seven - Jung Kook ft. Latto
116) (NEW) All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey
117) (-7) I Wish You Would (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
118) (-7) Nadie Sabe - Bad Bunny
119) (-7) Members Only - Drake ft. PARTYNEXTDOOR
120) (-7) I Know Places (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
121) (-7) Bahamas Promises - Drake
122) (-7) Monster Mash - Bobby “Boris” Pickett And The Crypt-Kickers
123) (-7) Better Place - *NSYNC
124) (-7) Wonderland (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
125) (-7) How You Get The Girl (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
126) (-7) This Is Halloween - The Citizens Of Halloween
127) (-7) This Love (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
128) (-7) You Are In Love (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift
129) (-7) Ghostbusters - Ray Parker Jr.
130) (NEW) Last Christmas - Wham!
131) (NEW) Save Me The Trouble - Dan + Shay
132) (NEW) Northern Attitude - Noah Kahan With Hozier
133) (NEW) Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms
134) (NEW) We Don’t Fight Anymore - Carly Pearce ft. Chris Stapleton
135) (NEW) But I Got A Beer In My Hand - Luke Bryan
136) (-12) Gracias Por Nada - Bad Bunny
137) (-12) Vou 787 - Bad Bunny
138) (-12) Where She Goes - Bad Bunny
139) (NEW) A Holly Jolly Christmas - Burl Ives
140) (-13) Mercedes Carota - Bad Bunny & YOVNGCHIMI
141) (-12) Los Pits - Bad Bunny
142) (-11) No Me Queiro Casar - Bad Bunny
143) (-11) Vuelve Candy B - Bad Bunny
144) (-10) Peaches & Eggplants - Young Nudy ft. 21 Savage
145) (-10) Baticano - Bad Bunny
146) (-10) Thunder y Lightning - Bad Bunny & Eladio Carrion
147) (-10) 7969 Santa - Drake
148) (-10) Acho PR - Bad Bunny, Arcangel, De La Ghetto & Nengo Flow
149) (-10) Drew A Picasso - Drake
150)(-10) Tried Our Best - Drake
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Jan 10, 2024 14:45:01 GMT -5
Billboard 2024 Year-End Predictions: (Week 5/52)
(Oct 28th - Nov 25th, 2023) Locked Next Week: Cruel Summer Forgot to ask yall this back when I started Week 1, but do yall like the new format? If not, do yall think I should add some other data, like Peak, Weeks On Chart, and Points? |
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tekkenguy
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Posts: 1,848 
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Post by tekkenguy on Jan 10, 2024 15:10:06 GMT -5
^I thought March/April was the usual peak for YE #1 these days? Blinding Lights, Heat Waves and Last Night all first reached #1 in that month, while Levitating peaked in May but that was also ultra stable when the #1 kept changing hands for like 10 weeks. Although with Billboard's inability to read a calendar that's probably February/March for this year. I think Lovin On Me passes Cruel Summer in 3-4 months. Hopefully something else passes Lovin On Me (Ariana we're counting on you) or this year will be dry as fuck. Most year end #1s are songs that began their run very early in their years. Levitating and Heat Waves were all pretty big already post-holidays. Blinding Lights and Last Night emerged shortly after the new years. And in the 2010s: God’s Plan and Shape of You were released in January. Love Yourself was big front the get-go with Bieber’s album in November 2015. Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, and Tik Tok started their ascents around the very end of the previous years. Old Town Road, Somebody That I Used To Know, and Rolling In The Deep are exceptions, as they all blew up around March/April of their years. Even in the 2000s, most year end #1s were either already massive at the start of their year (How You Remind Me, Irreplaceable, Low), blew up in January or February (In Da Club, Yeah!, Bad Day) or were a crossover hit with a slow and steady climb up the chart (Breathe). Hanging By A Moment, We Belong Together, and Boom Boom Pow were exceptions that only got big in the spring. The ‘90s felt like the last time you could really get a year-end #1 late in the calendar year, as we saw with End of the Road, Gangsta’s Paradise, and Candle in the Wind. |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 10, 2024 15:21:46 GMT -5
Billboard 2024 Year-End Predictions: (Week 5/52)
(Oct 28th - Nov 25th, 2023) Locked Next Week: Cruel Summer Forgot to ask yall this back when I started Week 1, but do yall like the new format? If not, do yall think I should add some other data, like Peak, Weeks On Chart, and Points? Definitely all the data you mentioned. For peak and weeks on chart based on when this year-end started, please. Thank you! |
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neel
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Joined: February 2023
Posts: 569
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Post by neel on Jan 10, 2024 19:36:41 GMT -5
^I thought March/April was the usual peak for YE #1 these days? Blinding Lights, Heat Waves and Last Night all first reached #1 in that month, while Levitating peaked in May but that was also ultra stable when the #1 kept changing hands for like 10 weeks. Although with Billboard's inability to read a calendar that's probably February/March for this year. I think Lovin On Me passes Cruel Summer in 3-4 months. Hopefully something else passes Lovin On Me (Ariana we're counting on you) or this year will be dry as fuck. Most year end #1s are songs that began their run very early in their years. Levitating and Heat Waves were all pretty big already post-holidays. Blinding Lights and Last Night emerged shortly after the new years. And in the 2010s: God’s Plan and Shape of You were released in January. Love Yourself was big front the get-go with Bieber’s album in November 2015. Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, and Tik Tok started their ascents around the very end of the previous years. Old Town Road, Somebody That I Used To Know, and Rolling In The Deep are exceptions, as they all blew up around March/April of their years. Even in the 2000s, most year end #1s were either already massive at the start of their year (How You Remind Me, Irreplaceable, Low), blew up in January or February (In Da Club, Yeah!, Bad Day) or were a crossover hit with a slow and steady climb up the chart (Breathe). Hanging By A Moment, We Belong Together, and Boom Boom Pow were exceptions that only got big in the spring. The ‘90s felt like the last time you could really get a year-end #1 late in the calendar year, as we saw with End of the Road, Gangsta’s Paradise, and Candle in the Wind. Lmao, fucking Lovin’ On Me will be the fakest year end #1 since Love Yourself (and probably of all time since 1991) if it ends up being the #1 song of 2024. I rather have Cruel Summer run until October and rightfully repeat at the top. |
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kingvavis
Gold Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 846
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Post by kingvavis on Jan 10, 2024 19:51:13 GMT -5
Most year end #1s are songs that began their run very early in their years. Levitating and Heat Waves were all pretty big already post-holidays. Blinding Lights and Last Night emerged shortly after the new years. And in the 2010s: God’s Plan and Shape of You were released in January. Love Yourself was big front the get-go with Bieber’s album in November 2015. Uptown Funk, Happy, Thrift Shop, and Tik Tok started their ascents around the very end of the previous years. Old Town Road, Somebody That I Used To Know, and Rolling In The Deep are exceptions, as they all blew up around March/April of their years. Even in the 2000s, most year end #1s were either already massive at the start of their year (How You Remind Me, Irreplaceable, Low), blew up in January or February (In Da Club, Yeah!, Bad Day) or were a crossover hit with a slow and steady climb up the chart (Breathe). Hanging By A Moment, We Belong Together, and Boom Boom Pow were exceptions that only got big in the spring. The ‘90s felt like the last time you could really get a year-end #1 late in the calendar year, as we saw with End of the Road, Gangsta’s Paradise, and Candle in the Wind. Lmao, fucking Lovin’ On Me will be the fakest year end #1 since Love Yourself (and probably of all time since 1991) if it ends up being the #1 song of 2024. I rather have Cruel Summer run until October and rightfully repeat at the top. Fakest? I mean the song is big and has a big gap over the rest of the competition. It's been doing very well on streaming and I could see it eclipsing First Class as his biggest hit. It's still not guaranteed since longevity matters but idk how any of it classifies it as fake? |
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Post by theycallmedualian on Jan 10, 2024 23:13:43 GMT -5
Lmao, fucking Lovin’ On Me will be the fakest year end #1 since Love Yourself (and probably of all time since 1991) if it ends up being the #1 song of 2024. I rather have Cruel Summer run until October and rightfully repeat at the top. Fakest? I mean the song is big and has a big gap over the rest of the competition. It's been doing very well on streaming and I could see it eclipsing First Class as his biggest hit. It's still not guaranteed since longevity matters but idk how any of it classifies it as fake? cus it is literally the first new song of the 2024 BB year. if the year end list is simply decided by who released the earliest then it is the damn lame list lol. |
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kingvavis
Gold Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 846
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Post by kingvavis on Jan 11, 2024 7:29:13 GMT -5
Fakest? I mean the song is big and has a big gap over the rest of the competition. It's been doing very well on streaming and I could see it eclipsing First Class as his biggest hit. It's still not guaranteed since longevity matters but idk how any of it classifies it as fake? cus it is literally the first new song of the 2024 BB year. if the year end list is simply decided by who released the earliest then it is the damn lame list lol. I mean so what if it's the first, is the first big hit of the tracking year not allowed to be the year end #1? Should we then call songs like Irreplaceable, Low, Tik Tok, How You Remind Me, Uptown Funk all fake year end number ones cuz they were the first big hits of the tracking year? |
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Post by whaleblubber on Jan 11, 2024 7:54:42 GMT -5
Fakest? I mean the song is big and has a big gap over the rest of the competition. It's been doing very well on streaming and I could see it eclipsing First Class as his biggest hit. It's still not guaranteed since longevity matters but idk how any of it classifies it as fake? cus it is literally the first new song of the 2024 BB year. if the year end list is simply decided by who released the earliest then it is the damn lame list lol. This is funny because Love Yourself wasn't the "first new song" or the first new #1 of the 2016 BB year, which was Sorry... Anyway this argument is frankly tired at this point-- any year-end stretch of 12 months will inevitably favor hits at the beginning of the period due to their ability to rack up more points throughout the year, especially with streaming-fueled stability these days. You can say stuff like "Lovin On Me doesn't feel like a hit to me" but at the end of the day that's just Vibes. |
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Groovy
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Posts: 6,718
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Post by Groovy on Jan 11, 2024 8:08:52 GMT -5
Lovin on Me will have the top spot for at least another two weeks because it's consistent all across the board especially on streaming. I don't see how it's run is fake.
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,845
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Jan 11, 2024 9:40:28 GMT -5
Lovin On Me is #1 the same way Last Night was lol. With worse streaming being compensated with more radio potential.
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Post by theycallmedualian on Jan 11, 2024 18:08:03 GMT -5
Lovin On Me is #1 the same way Last Night was lol. With worse streaming being compensated with more radio potential. ? its the exact opposite way. last night did not fully take off until march/april and then caught up & beat flowers, kb and anti hero who blew their loads before it. loving on me is not super big, its just first to be released so i fully expect whatever mega hit comes out in march/april or whatnot will repeat the same script, overtaking it towards the tail end. HOWEVER, if there really is no big hit to come out at all, then i'd rather t-swift do the Anti Hero trick, drop 10 McRemixes & get 300k sales, a proper big name feature like ft. selena gomez or whatever, and bag the #1. this would be the easiest YE #1 in a long time and she should take advantage of it, even though again, no way a full year will be that stale or that easy. |
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Post by whaleblubber on Jan 15, 2024 8:19:27 GMT -5
Almost forgot to post oops
LOCKED FOR TOP 50
*Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
*Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
LOCKED FOR TOP 100
*SZA - Snooze (Week 7 - December 9, 2023)
*Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything (Week 8 - December 16, 2023)
Tate McRae - Greedy (Week 9 - December 23, 2023)
*Morgan Wallen - Last Night (Week 9 - December 23, 2023)
*Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Luke Combs - Fast Car (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Wham! - Last Christmas (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Tyla - Water (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Doja Cat - Agora Hills (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Drake feat. Sexyy Red & SZA - Rich Baby Daddy (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Drake feat. J. Cole - First Person Shooter (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
Drake feat. Yeat - IDGAF (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
First YE hits for Paul Russell and Yeat.
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
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Posts: 10,808
My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Jan 15, 2024 8:44:48 GMT -5
With the 21 Savage album bomb coming up, that should at least eliminate the other re-entry contenders that returned after the Holiday season.
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Post by whaleblubber on Jan 15, 2024 9:05:40 GMT -5
With the 21 Savage album bomb coming up, that should at least eliminate the other re-entry contenders that returned after the Holiday season. Eh, WWIMF?, Need A Favor, Fukumean and Vampire are gonna survive the bomb while Kill Bill wasn't going to make it anyway. Maybe Dance The Night goes but the bomb would have to be large. |
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jan 17, 2024 10:37:50 GMT -5
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Groovy
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Post by Groovy on Jan 17, 2024 14:33:10 GMT -5
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Jan 17, 2024 14:34:30 GMT -5
Billboard 2024 Year-End Predictions: (Week 6/52)
(Oct 28th - Dec 2nd, 2023)
Locked: Cruel Summer
Locked Next Week: Paint The Town Red
The Top 100:
1) (=) Cruel Summer - Tavlor Swift 130,500
=======LOCKED CUTOFF (125,000)=======
2) (=) Paint The Town Red - Doja Cat 118,600
3) (=) Snooze - SZA 107,000
4) (=) I Remember Everything - Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves 96,000
5) (=) Fast Car - Luke Combs 85,700
6) (=) Last Night - Morgan Wallen 83,550
7) (=) Thinkin’ Bout Me - Morgan Wallen 80,900
8) (+2) Greedy - Tate McRae 76,200
9) (+3) Is It Over Now? (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 73,000
10) (-2) IDGAF - Drake ft. Yeat 72,467
11) (-2) Monaco - Bad Bunny 70,516
12) (+4) First Person Shooter - Drake ft. J. Cole 68,617
13) (-2) Fukumean - Gunna 68,317
14) (-1) Vampire - Olivia Rodrigo 67,800
15) (=) Rich Baby Daddy - Drake ft. Sexxy Red & SZA 67,750
16) (-2) Dance The Night - Dua Lipa 65,700
17) (=) Need A Favor - Jelly Roll 63,267
18) (+1) Water - Tyla 62,850
19) (+2) Agora Hills - Doja Cat 57,833
20) (-2) Flowers - Miley Cyrus 57,800
21) (-1) Used To Be Young - Miley Cyrus 57,533
22) (=) Save Me - Jelly Roll ft. Lainey Wilson 56,400
23) (+1) White Horse - Chris Stapleton 53,733
24) (+1) What Was I Made For? - Billie Eilish 52,017
25) (+3) Lil Boo Thang - Paul Russell 51,967
26) (=) Good Good - Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage 51,900
27) (=) Kill Bill - SZA 50,233
28) (+1) My Love Mine All Mine - Mitski 49,867
29) (+3) Dial Drunk - Noah Kahan ft. Post Malone 49,700
30) (+1) What It Is (Block Boy) - Doechii ft. Kodak Black 49,609
31) (-1) Now That We Don’t Talk (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 48,900
32) (+2) Virginia Beach - Drake 47,420
33) (+3) Stick Season - Noah Kahan 45,742
34) (+1) I Know? - Travis Scott 44,750
35) (-12) Barbie World - Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice With Aqua 44,633
36) (+1) Bad Idea Right? - Olivia Rodrigo 42,333
37) (+1) Slut! (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 41,825
38) (+4) Lose Control - Teddy Swims 41,550
39) (=) Perro Negro - Bad Bunny & Feid 41,017
40) (=) Say Don’t Go (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 40,550
41) (-8) Daylight - David Kushner 40,308
42) (+1) Wild Ones - Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll 40,017
43) (-2) Slime You Out - Drake ft. SZA 39,567
44) (+38) Lovin On Me - Jack Harlow 38,900
45) (-1) Try That In A Small Town - Jason Aldean 38,750
46) (=) Strangers - Kenya Grace 36,634
47) (+1) On My Mama - Victoria Monet 36,567
48) (-1) 500lbs - Lil Tecca 35,970
49) (-3) Qlona - Karol G & Peso Pluma 35,392
50) (+1) Get Him Back! - Olivia Rodrigo 35,300
51) (+2) Great Gatsby - Rod Wave 35,200
52) (+8) Pretty Little Poison - Warren Zeiders 34,250
53) (+4) Everything I Love - Morgan Wallen 33,193
54) (=) Style (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 33,050
55) (+1) Rich Men North Of Richmond - Oliver Anthony Music 32,317
56) (-1) Bongos - Cardi B & Megan Thee Stallion 32,267
57) (+1) Meltdown - Travis Scott ft. Drake 31,634
58) (+5) Truck Bed - HARDY 31,267
59) (+3) Hey Driver - Zach Bryan ft. The War & Treaty 30,500
60) (-11) Fina - Bad Bunny & Young Miko 29,560
61) (-10) Single Soon - Selena Gomez 29,480
62) (-10) Bad Blood (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 29,120
63) (+2) LaLa - Myke Towers 28,857
64) (+2) SkeeYee - Sexxy Red 28,525
65) (+8) Can’t Have Mine - Dylan Scott 28,017
66) (+5) Standing Next To You - Jung Kook 28,000
67) (+1) Turks & Caicos - Rod Wave ft. 21 Savage 27,850
68) (+48) All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey 27,300
69) (-10) Watermelon Moonshine - Lainey Wilson 27,117
70) (-9) Suburban Legends (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 26,460
71) (+17) World On Fire - Nate Smith 25,000
72) (+5) The Painter - Cody Johnson 24,817
73) (+2) Too Much - The Kid LAROI, Jung Kook & Central Cee 24,775
74) (-10) Blank Space (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 24,640
75) (+1) Segun Quien - Maluma & Carin Leon 24,424
76) (-9) 3D - Jung Kook & Jack Harlow 24,075
77) (+4) Que Onda - Calle 24 x Chino Pacas x Fuerza Regida 23,500
78) (+6) Burn It Down - Parker McCollum 23,427
79) (-10) Lady Gaga - Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros & Junior H 23,058
80) (-10) Out Of The Woods (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 22,983
81) (+49) Last Christmas - Wham! 22,283
82) (-10) Un Preview - Bad Bunny 22,092
83) (+4) El Amor De Su Vida - Grupo Frontera & Grupo Firme 22,058
84) (+11) Harley Quinn - Fuerza Regida & Marshmello 21,800
85) (+48) Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms 21,750
86) (-12) Wildest Dreams (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 21,367
87) (+3) Mi Ex Tenia Razon - Karol G 20,725
88) (+20) Houdini - Dua Lipa 20,700
89) (+50) A Holly Jolly Christmas - Burl Ives 20,000 (GREATEST GAINER)
90) Anti-Hero - Taylor Swift 19,333
91) Welcome To New York (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 19,000
92) Now And Then - The Beatles 18,900
93) Standing Room Only - Tim McGraw 18,482
94) Stars Like Confetti - Dustin Lynch 17,990
95) Religiously - Bailey Zimmerman 17,900
96) All My Life - Lil Durk ft. J. Cole 17,650
97) (+16) Can’t Catch Me Now - Olivia Rodrigo 16,867
98) (-7) All You Had To Do Was Stay (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 16,317
99) (+7) Calling For You - Drake ft. 21 Savage 16,100
100) (-8) Shake It Off (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 15,833
Under The Top 100:
101) (-8) Creepin’ - Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage 15,800
102) (NEW) Rockin’ Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee 15,400 (HIGHEST DEBUT)
103) (-9) New Romantics (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 15,050
104) (-8) Hibiki - Bad Bunny & Mora 14,567
105) (-8) Clean (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 14,500
106) (-8) God Gave Me A Girl - Russell Dickerson 14,232
107) (-8) Mr. October - Bad Bunny 14,175
108) (-8) Cobra - Megan Thee Stallion 14,100
109) (NEW) - You Broke My Heart - Drake 14,050
110) (-9) Cybertruck - Bad Bunny 13,366
111) (-9) Baby Nueva - Bad Bunny 13,350
112) (-9) Gently - Drake ft. Bad Bunny 13,150
113) (-9) Telefono Nuevo - Bad Bunny & Luar La L 13,067
114) (+18) Northern Attitude - Noah Kahan With Hozier 13,000
115) (+16) Save Me The Trouble - Dan + Shay 12,650
116) (-11) Seda - Bad Bunny & Bryant Myers 12,600
117) (-10) Thriller - Michael Jackson 11,833
118) (-9) Say My Grace - Offset ft. Travis Scott 11,625
119) (+16) But I Got A Beer In My Hand - Luke Bryan 11,533
120) (-10) Daylight - Drake 11,500
121) (-10) 8am In Charlotte - Drake 10,915
122) (-10) What Would Pluto Do - Drake 10,883
123) (-9) Fear Of Heights - Drake 10,550
124) (-9) Seven - Jung Kook ft. Latto 10,530
125) (-8) I Wish You Would (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 10,300
126) (-8) Nadie Sabe - Bad Bunny 10,000
127) (NEW) Evil Ways - Drake ft. J. Cole 9,833
128) (-9) Members Only - Drake ft. PARTYNEXTDOOR 9,810
129) (-9) I Know Places (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,800
130) (NEW) It’s The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year - Andy Williams 9,600
131) (-10) Bahamas Promises - Drake 9,570
132) (-10) Monster Mash - Bobby “Boris” Pickett And The Crypt-Kickers 9,550
133) (-10) Better Place - *NSYNC 9,533
134) (-10) Wonderland (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,500
135) (-10) How You Get The Girl (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,450
136) (-10) This Is Halloween - The Citizens Of Halloween 9,300
137) (-10) This Love (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,200
138) (-10) You Are In Love (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,167
139) (-10) Ghostbusters - Ray Parker Jr. 9,100
140) (NEW) Exes - Tate McRae 8,967
141) (NEW) Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow! - Dean Martin 8,933
142) (NEW) Feliz Navidad - Jose Feliciano 8,300
143) (NEW) Underneath The Tree - Kelly Clarkson 8,100
144) (NEW) The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole 8,075
145) (NEW) Sleigh Ride - The Ronettes 8,000
146) (NEW) Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande 7,933
147) (NEW) Different ‘Round Here - Riley Green ft. Luke Combs 7,900
148) (-14) We Don’t Fight Anymore - Carly Pearce ft. Chris Stapleton 7,720
149) (NEW) Red Button - Drake 7,700
150) (NEW) The Shoe Fits - Drake 7,500
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Post by reputainbow on Jan 17, 2024 15:29:50 GMT -5
{Week 13}1 Cruel Summer (Taylor Swift) 3788
2 Paint the Town Red (Doja Cat) 3294
3 Snooze (SZA) 2924
4 Lovin on Me (Jack Harlow) 2832
5 I Remember Everything (Zach Bryan/Kacey Musgraves) 2771
6 Greedy (Tate McRae) 2537
7 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2234
8 Fast Car (Luke Combs) 2220
9 Last Night (Morgan Wallen) 2212
10 Is It Over Now? (Taylor Swift) 2096
11 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 2079
12 Thinkin' Bout Me (Morgan Wallen) 2072
13 Water (Tyla) 2015
14 Jingle Bell Rock (Bobby Helms) 1817
15 Agora Hills (Doja Cat) 1762
16 Last Christmas (Wham!) 1735
17 Rich Baby Daddy (Drake/Sexyy Red/SZA) 1724.4
18 First Person Shooter (Drake/J. Cole) 1660.8
19 IDGAF (Drake/Yeat) 1622.8
20 A Holly Jolly Christmas (Burl Ives) 1595
21 Monaco (Bad Bunny) 1588.8
22 Fukumean (Gunna) 1517
23 Lil Boo Thang (Paul Russell) 1496
24 Used to Be Young (Miley Cyrus) 1477.8
25 White Horse (Chris Stapleton) 1465
26 Need a Favor (Jelly Roll) 1458
27 Lose Control (Matt Simons) 1407
28 Vampire (Olivia Rodrigo) 1405
29 What Was I Made For? (Billie Eilish) 1362.6
30 Good Good (Usher/Summer Walker/21 Savage) 1360.2
31 Stick Season (Noah Kahan) 1349
32 My Love Mine All Mine (Mitski) 1299.6
33 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year (Andy Williams) 1267
34 Save Me (Jelly Roll/Lainey Wilson) 1212
35 Dance the Night (Dua Lipa) 1146
36 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow (Dean Martin) 1101
37 Pretty Little Poison (Warren Zeiders) 1088.8
38 On My Mama (Victoria Monet) 1088.8
39 Wild Ones (Jessie Murph/Jelly Roll) 1087
40 Flowers (Miley Cyrus) 1081
41 Strangers (Kenya Grace) 1056.8
42 Feliz Navidad (Jose Feliciano) 1038
43 Get Him Back! (Olivia Rodrigo) 1026.4
44 Sleigh Ride (The Ronettes) 1019
45 I Know ? (Travis Scott) 1018.8
46 World on Fire (Nate Smith) 1015
47 500lbs (Lil Tecca) 998
48 Truck Bed (HARDY) 978.4
49 Houdini (Dua Lipa) 975.6
50 Virginia Beach (Drake) 965.6
51 Now That We Don't Talk (Taylor Swift) 958.6
52 Underneath the Tree (Kelly Clarkson) 942
53 The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas to You) (Nat King Cole) 921
54 Santa Tell Me (Ariana Grande) 916
55 Standing Next to You (Jung Kook) 890.2
56 Qlona (Karol G/Peso Pluma) 887.4
57 Kill Bill (SZA) 876
58 Hey Driver (Zach Bryan/The War and Treaty) 864.4
59 The Painter (Cody Johnson) 862.4
60 Great Gatsby (Rod Wave) 839.2
61 Harley Quinn (Fuerza Regida/Marshmello) 833.6
62 Perro Negro (Bad Bunny/Feid) 817.2
63 Segun Quien (Maluma/Carin Leon) 805.6
64 Burn It Down (Parker McCollum) 803.2
65 Bad Idea Right? (Olivia Rodrigo) 799.4
66 Slime You Out (Drake/SZA) 767.2
67 Que Onda (Calle 24/Chino Pacas/Fuerza Regida) 752
68 White Christmas (Bing Crosby) 750
69 Dial Drunk (Noah Kahan/Post Malone) 747
70 You Broke My Heart (Drake) 737.4
71 Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) (Darlene Love) 734
72 Can't Catch Me Now (Olivia Rodrigo) 725.6
73 Exes (Tate McRae) 724.4
74 Jingle Bells (Frank Sinatra) 706
75 Can't Have Mine (Dylan Scott) 695.2
76 Save Me the Trouble (Dan + Shay) 688.6
77 Deck the Halls (Nat King Cole) 678
78 Rich Men North of Richmond (Oliver Anthony Music) 669.6
79 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Michael Buble) 668
80 Blue Christmas (Elvis Presley) 662
81 Everything I Love (Morgan Wallen) 654.8
82 It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (Perry Como and the Fontane Sisters/Mitchell Ayres and His Orchestra) 646
83 Slut! (Taylor Swift) 644.8
84 What It Is (Block Boy) (Doechii/Kodak Black) 633.6
85 Here Comes Santa Claus (Down Santa Claus Lane) (Gene Autry) 632
86 Surround Sound (JID/21 Savage/Baby Tate) 631.2
87 El Amor De Su Vida (Grupo Frontera/Grupo Firme) 620
88 Say Don't Go (Taylor Swift) 607.8
89 FTCU (Nicki Minaj) 603.6
90 Barbie World (Nicki Minaj/Ice Spice/Aqua) 587
91 Try That In a Small Town (Jason Aldean) 584.6
92 Run Rudolph Run (Chuck Berry) 584
93 Everybody (Nicki Minaj/Lil Uzi Vert) 580
94 You're Losing Me (Taylor Swift) 576.4
95 Where the Wild Things Are (Drake) 567.8
96 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer (Gene Autry) 565
97 Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town (Jackson 5) 554
98 Wonderful Christmastime (Paul McCartney) 540
99 You're A Mean One, Mr. Grinch (Thurl Ravenscroft) 540
100 Meltdown (Travis Scott/Drake) 536.8 |
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Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,635
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Post by Abbaschand on Jan 17, 2024 21:39:59 GMT -5
January isn't over yet, and it's already the quarter point of the Billboard year. Knowing Billboard and their asinine choices, we might even be third way done. Anyway, here's my current prediction.
Blah-blah, point system or whatever.
No. Points
1 10
2-3 9
4-5 8
6-10 7
11-15 6
16-20 5.5
21-25 5
26-30 4.5
31-40 4
41-50 3.5
51-60 3
61-70 2.5
71-80 2
81-90 1.5
91-100 1
YE cutoff = 51
Pred. cutoff = 20
Week 13/52
1 Cruel Summer 105
2 Paint the Town Red 98
3 Snooze 88
4 Greedy 83.5
5 I Remember Everything 83
6 Lovin' On Me 77
7 Last Night 77
8 Fast Car 73.5
9 Thinkin' Bout Me 72.5
10 Water 70
11 Is It Over Now? 67
12 Agora Hills 64
13 Rich Baby Daddy 62.5
14 All I Want for Christmas Is You 60.5
15 First Person Shooter 58
16 F U Mean 55.5
17 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 55
18 Monaco 55
19 Jingle Bell Rock 54
20 Lil Boo Thang 54
21 Need a Favor 53
22 IDGAF (feat. Yeat) 53
23 Used to Be Young 53
24 White Horse 52
25 Vampire 50
26 Last Christmas 50
27 What Was I Made For? 50
28 Lose Control 49
29 Good Good (feat. Summer Walker and 21 Savage) 49
30 Stick Season 47
31 A Holly Jolly Christmas 47
32 My Love Mine All Mine 45.5
33 Save Me (feat. Lainey Wilson) 44
34 Dance the Night 40
35 Flowers 39
36 It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 39
37 Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow 37
38 I Know? 37
39 Pretty Little Poison 37
40 Sleigh Ride 36
41 On My Mama 36
42 Wild Ones (feat. Jelly Roll) 36
43 Feliz Navidad 35.5
44 World on Fire 35
45 Strangers 35
46 Get Him Back! 34.5
47 Houdini 34
48 The Christmas Song 33
49 Underneath the Tree 33
50 Santa Tell Me 32.5
51 Virginia Beach 32
52 Kill Bill 31.5
53 500lbs 31.5
54 Truck Bed 29.5
55 Now That We Don't Talk 28.5
56 Harley Quinn (feat. Marshmello) 28
57 White Christmas 27.5
58 Dial Drunk (feat. Post Malone) 26.5
59 Christmas 26.5
60 Qlona (feat. Peso Pluma) 26.5
61 Perro Negro (feat. Feid) 26
62 Standing Next to You 26
63 Jingle Bells 25.5
64 The Painter 25.5
65 You Broke My Heart 25
66 Exes 25
67 Deck the Halls 24.5
68 It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas 24.5
69 Bad Idea Right? 24.5
70 Great Gatsby 24.5
71 Blue Christmas 24
72 Hey Driver (feat. The War and Treaty) 24
73 It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas 23.5
74 Here Comes Santa Claus 23
75 Slime You Out (feat. SZA) 23
76 Segun Quien (feat. Maluma) 22.5
77 Burn It Down 22
78 FTCU 21.5
79 Can't Catch Me Now 21.5
80 Run Rudolph Run 21
81 Everybody (feat. Lil Uzi Vert) 21
82 Everything I Love 20.5
83 Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer 20
84 Santa Claus Is Comin' to Town 20
85 Surround Sound (feat. 21 Savage and Baby Tate) 20
86 Can't Have Mine 20
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Jan 18, 2024 3:22:01 GMT -5
Billboard 2024 Year-End Predictions: (Week 7/52)
(Oct 28th - Dec 9th, 2023)
Locked: Paint The Town Red
Locked Next Week: Snooze
The Top 100:
1) (=) Cruel Summer - Tavlor Swift 148,450
2) (=) Paint The Town Red - Doja Cat 135,400
=======LOCKED CUTOFF (125,000)=======
3) (=) Snooze - SZA 122,900
4) (=) I Remember Everything - Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves 110,100
5) (=) Fast Car - Luke Combs 97,100
6) (=) Last Night - Morgan Wallen 95,950
7) (=) Thinkin’ Bout Me - Morgan Wallen 93,000
8) (=) Greedy - Tate McRae 91,300
9) (=) Is It Over Now? (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 85,200
10) (=) IDGAF - Drake ft. Yeat 80,567
11) (+1) First Person Shooter - Drake ft. J. Cole 78,867
12) (-1) Monaco - Bad Bunny 78,516
13) (+2) Rich Baby Daddy - Drake ft. Sexxy Red & SZA 77,850
14) (-1) Fukumean - Gunna 77,717
15) (-1) Vampire - Olivia Rodrigo 77,300
16) (+2) Water - Tyla 76,100
17) (=) Need A Favor - Jelly Roll 73,117
18) (+1) Agora Hills - Doja Cat 69,633
19) (+2) Used To Be Young - Miley Cyrus 66,733
20) (+2) Save Me - Jelly Roll ft. Lainey Wilson 65,850
21) (-5) Dance The Night - Dua Lipa 65,700
22) (+1) White Horse - Chris Stapleton 62,200
23) (+2) Lil Boo Thang - Paul Russell 61,867
24) (=) What Was I Made For? - Billie Eilish 60,717
25) (+19) Lovin On Me - Jack Harlow 60,700
26) (=) Good Good - Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage 60,450
27) (+1) My Love Mine All Mine - Mitski 58,217
28) (-8) Flowers - Miley Cyrus 57,800
29) (+2) Now That We Don’t Talk (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 54,200
30) (+3) Stick Season - Noah Kahan 54,175
31) (+1) Virginia Beach - Drake 52,820
32) (+36) All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey 52,700
33) (+1) I Know? - Travis Scott 52,150
34) (-7) Kill Bill - SZA 50,233
35) (+3) Lose Control - Teddy Swims 49,850
36) (-7) Dial Drunk - Noah Kahan ft. Post Malone 49,700
37) (-7) What It Is (Block Boy) - Doechii ft. Kodak Black 49,609
38) (-2) Bad Idea Right? - Olivia Rodrigo 46,766
39) (+3) Wild Ones - Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll 45,717
40) (-3) Slut! (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 45,700
41) (-2) Perro Negro - Bad Bunny & Feid 45,384
42) (-7) Barbie World - Nicki Minaj & Ice Spice With Aqua 44,633
43) (-3) Say Don’t Go (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 44,375
44) (-1) Slime You Out - Drake ft. SZA 43,867
45) (=) Try That In A Small Town - Jason Aldean 43,700
46) (+1) On My Mama - Victoria Monet 43,467
47) (+38) Jingle Bell Rock - Bobby Helms 43,250
48) (+33) Last Christmas - Wham! 43,083
49) (-3) Strangers - Kenya Grace 42,934
50) (-2) 500lbs - Lil Tecca 42,370
51) (-1) Get Him Back! - Olivia Rodrigo 41,300
52) (+50) Rockin Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee 41,000
53) (-1) Pretty Little Poison - Warren Zeiders 40,950
54) (-3) Great Gatsby - Rod Wave 40,467
55) (-6) Qlona - Karol G & Peso Pluma 40,392
56) (-15) Daylight - David Kushner 40,308
57) (+32) A Holly Jolly Christmas - Burl Ives 39,900
58) (-5) Everything I Love - Morgan Wallen 38,793
59) (-1) Truck Bed - HARDY 36,817
60) (-5) Rich Men North Of Richmond - Oliver Anthony Music 36,167
61) (-4) Meltdown - Travis Scott ft. Drake 35,734
62) (-3) Hey Driver - Zach Bryan ft. The War & Treaty 34,967
63) (+2) Can’t Have Mine - Dylan Scott 34,117
64) (-10) Style (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 33,050
65) (+1) Standing Next To You - Jung Kook 32,800
66) (-10) Bongos - Cardi B & Megan Thee Stallion 32,267
67) (=) Turks & Caicos - Rod Wave ft. 21 Savage 32,050
68) (+3) World On Fire - Nate Smith 32,000
69) (+3) The Painter - Cody Johnson 30,050
70) (-10) Fina - Bad Bunny & Young Miko 29,650
71) (+5) 3D - Jung Kook & Jack Harlow 29,575
72) (-11) Single Soon - Selena Gomez 29,480
73) (-11) Bad Blood (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 29,120
74) (+14) Houdini - Dua Lipa 29,100
75) (=) Segun Quien - Maluma & Carin Leon 29,024
76) (-3) Too Much - The Kid LAROI, Jung Kook & Central Cee 28,925
77) (-15) LaLa - Myke Towers 28,857
78) (-14) SkeeYee - Sexxy Red 28,525
79) (+5) Harley Quinn - Fuerza Regida & Marshmello 28,150
80) (-3) Que Onda - Calle 24 x Chino Pacas x Fuerza Regida 28,033
81) (-3) Burn It Down - Parker McCollum 27,994
82) (-13) Watermelon Moonshine - Lainey Wilson 27,117
83) (-13) Suburban Legends (Taylor’s Version) [From The Vault] - Taylor Swift 26,460
84) (-1) El Amor De Su Vida - Grupo Frontera & Grupo Firme 26,058
85) (+45) It’s The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year - Andy Williams 25,300
86) (-12) Blank Space (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 24,640
87) (+10) Can’t Catch Me Now - Olivia Rodrigo 23,967
88) (-9) Lady Gaga - Peso Pluma, Gabito Ballesteros & Junior H 23,058
89) (-9) Out Of The Woods (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 22,983
90) (+51) Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow! - Dean Martin 22,333 (GREATEST GAINER)
91) (-9) Un Preview - Bad Bunny 22,092
92) (+50) Feliz Navidad - Jose Feliciano 21,500
93) (-7) Wildest Dreams (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 21,367
94) (+15) You Broke My Heart - Drake 21,350
95) (+50) Sleigh Ride - The Ronettes 21,300
96) (+47) Underneath The Tree - Kelly Clarkson 21,200
97) (+49) Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande 20,733
98) (-11) Mi Ex Tenia Razon - Karol G 20,725
99) (+45) The Christmas Song (Merry Christmas To You) - Nat King Cole 20,675
100) (-10) Anti-Hero - Taylor Swift 19,333
Under The Top 100:
101) (-10) Welcome To New York (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 19,000
102) (-10) Now And Then - The Beatles 18,900
103) (-10) Standing Room Only - Tim McGraw 18,482
104) (-10) Stars Like Confetti - Dustin Lynch 17,990
105) (-10) Religiously - Bailey Zimmerman 17,900
106) (-10) All My Life - Lil Durk ft. J. Cole 17,650
107) (+7) Northern Attitude - Noah Kahan With Hozier 17,400
108) (+7) Save Me The Trouble - Dan + Shay 16,983
109) (-11) All You Had To Do Was Stay (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 16,317
110) (-11) Calling For You - Drake ft. 21 Savage 16,100
111) (-11) Shake It Off (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 15,833
112) (-11) Creepin’ - Metro Boomin, The Weeknd & 21 Savage 15,800
113) (+27) Exes - Tate McRae 15,617
114) (+5) But I Got A Beer In My Hand - Luke Bryan 15,466
115) (-12) New Romantics (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 15,050
116) (-12) Hibiki - Bad Bunny & Mora 14,567
117) (-12) Clean (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 14,500
118) (-12) God Gave Me A Girl - Russell Dickerson 14,232
119) (-12) Mr. October - Bad Bunny 14,175
120) (-12) Cobra - Megan Thee Stallion 14,100
121) (-11) Cybertruck - Bad Bunny 13,366
122) (-11) Baby Nueva - Bad Bunny 13,350
123) (-11) Gently - Drake ft. Bad Bunny 13,150
124) (-11) Telefono Nuevo - Bad Bunny & Luar La L 13,067
125) (-9) Seda - Bad Bunny & Bryant Myers 12,600
126) (NEW) White Christmas - Bing Crosby With Ken Darby Singers & Jon Scott Trotter And His Orchestra 11,900 (HIGHEST DEBUT)
127) (+20) Different ‘Round Here - Riley Green ft. Luke Combs 11,867
128) (-11) Thriller - Michael Jackson 11,833
129) (-11) Say My Grace - Offset ft. Travis Scott 11,625
130) (-10) Daylight - Drake 11,500
131) (NEW) Rudolph The Red-Nosed Reindeer - Gene Autry & The Pinafores 11,100
132) (-11) 8am In Charlotte - Drake 10,915
133) (NEW) Christmas (Baby Please Come Home) - Darlene Love 10,900
134) (-12) What Would Pluto Do - Drake 10,883
135) (NEW) Deck The Halls - Nat King Cole 10,800
136) (NEW) It’s Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas - Perry Como And The Fontane Sisters With Mitchell Ayres And His Orchestra 10,750
137) (NEW) Jingle Bells - Frank Sinatra With The Orchestra & Chorus Of Gordon Jenkins 10,600
138) (-15) Fear Of Heights - Drake 10,550
139) (-15) Seven - Jung Kook ft. Latto 10,530
140) (NEW) It’s Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas - Michael Buble 10,500
141) (-16) I Wish You Would (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 10,300
142) (NEW) Blue Christmas - Elvis Presley 10,200
143) (-17) Nadie Sabe - Bad Bunny 10,000
144) (-17) Evil Ways - Drake ft. J. Cole 9,833
145) (-17) Members Only - Drake ft. PARTYNEXTDOOR 9,810
146) (-17) I Know Places (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,800
147) (-16) Bahamas Promises - Drake 9,570
148) (-16) Monster Mash - Bobby “Boris” Pickett And The Crypt-Kickers 9,550
149) (-16) Better Place - *NSYNC 9,533
150) (-16) Wonderland (Taylor’s Version) - Taylor Swift 9,500
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,718
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Post by Groovy on Jan 19, 2024 11:13:58 GMT -5
Right now, Lovin' on Me is just consistent that it'll stay at the top for a few more weeks barring a collapse or big release.
Also, if Lovin' on Me did top the YE, it'll be the third fourth fifth sixth time a rap song topped the YE after Gangsta's Paradise, In Da Club, Low, Thrift Shop and God's Plan.
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neel
Gold Member
Joined: February 2023
Posts: 569
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Post by neel on Jan 19, 2024 12:47:29 GMT -5
Right now, Lovin' on Me is just consistent that it'll stay at the top for a few more weeks barring a collapse or big release. Also, if Lovin' on Me did top the YE, it'll be the third time a rap song topped the YE after Gangsta's Paradise and God's Plan. Would LOM be the first year end #1 song since How You Remind Me to top the YE while peaking in the previous year? |
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,718
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Post by Groovy on Jan 19, 2024 12:52:17 GMT -5
Right now, Lovin' on Me is just consistent that it'll stay at the top for a few more weeks barring a collapse or big release. Also, if Lovin' on Me did top the YE, it'll be the third time a rap song topped the YE after Gangsta's Paradise and God's Plan. Would LOM be the first year end #1 song since How You Remind Me to top the YE while peaking in the previous year? Point wise or chart wise? If chart wise, no, Irreplaceable peaked at 1 in 2006 if you're talking about the calendar year. |
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rockgolf
2x Platinum Member
Pop music fanatic since the days of 7" 45 RPM records.
Joined: August 2018
Posts: 2,120
Pronouns: he/him/his
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Post by rockgolf on Jan 19, 2024 12:59:02 GMT -5
Part 1: How I think the Top 100 stands based on my position-based algorithm as of Jan 20, 2024 (which scarily is 25% of the way thru BB calendar year 2024!)
Note: I didn't update this chart last week, so New Pts is a sum of 2 weeks.
Part 2: Finally, with the charts stabilizing, I can project out some 20 weeks ahead (based on songs losing 5% of the previous week's points each until it falls out of the top 50) where these songs are headed on the year end. Obviously, a very rough approximation at this point, and songs that haven't peaked will always be understated. Proj.
Year
end | Song | Artist | YE
Est
Pts | | 1 | Cruel Summer | Taylor Swift | 7688 | | 2 | Lovin On Me | Jack Harlow | 7359 | | 3 | Paint The Town Red | Doja Cat | 6065 | | 4 | Greedy | Tate McRae | 6003 | | 5 | I Remember Everything | Zach Bryan ft. Kacey Musgraves | 5448 | | 6 | Snooze | SZA | 5102 | | 7 | Last Night | Morgan Wallen | 4550 | | 8 | Water | Tyla | 4435 | | 9 | Agora Hills | Doja Cat | 4137 | | 10 | Fast Car | Luke Combs | 4023 | | 11 | Thinkin' Bout Me | Morgan Wallen | 3616 | | 12 | Is It Over Now?
(Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] | Taylor Swift | 3494 | | 13 | Lose Control | Teddy Swims | 3258 | | 14 | Rich Baby Daddy | Drake ft. Sexyy Red & SZA | 3245 | | 15 | Lil Boo Thang | Paul Russell | 2992 | | 16 | White Horse | Chris Stapleton | 2851 | | 17 | Stick Season | Noah Kahan | 2807 | | 18 | What Was I Made For? | Billie Eilish | 2756 | | 19 | First Person Shooter | Drake ft. J. Cole | 2544 | | 20 | Flowers | Miley Cyrus | 2461 | | 21 | Fukumean | Gunna | 2443 | | 22 | Need A Favor | Jelly Roll | 2367 | | 23 | Vampire | Olivia Rodrigo | 2292 | | 24 | All I Want For Christmas Is You | Mariah Carey | 2162 | | 25 | Used To Be Young | Miley Cyrus | 2149 | | 26 | Save Me | Jelly Roll With Lainey Wilson | 2102 | | 27 | FTCU | Nicki Minaj | 2034 | | 28 | Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree | Brenda Lee | 2012 | | 29 | Good Good | Usher, Summer Walker & 21 Savage | 1888 | | 30 | Dance The Night | Dua Lipa | 1886 | | 31 | World On Fire | Nate Smith | 1860 | | 32 | Houdini | Dua Lipa | 1821 | | 33 | My Love Mine All Mine | Mitski | 1813 | | 34 | Jingle Bell Rock | Bobby Helms | 1694 | | 35 | Pretty Little Poison | Warren Zeiders | 1684 | | 36 | Monaco | Bad Bunny | 1643 | | 37 | IDGAF | Drake ft. Yeat | 1633 | | 38 | Last Christmas | Wham! | 1586 | | 39 | On My Mama | Victoria Monet | 1524 | | 40 | A Holly Jolly Christmas | Burl Ives | 1435 | | 41 | Everybody | Nicki Minaj ft. Lil Uzi Vert | 1430 | | 42 | I Know ? | Travis Scott | 1421 | | 43 | Kill Bill | SZA | 1377 | | 44 | Truck Bed | HARDY | 1269 | | 45 | It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year | Andy Williams | 1230 | | 46 | Exes | Tate McRae | 1170 | | 47 | Wild Ones | Jessie Murph & Jelly Roll | 1166 | | 48 | Strangers | Kenya Grace | 1156 | | 49 | Let It Snow, Let It Snow, Let It Snow! | Dean Martin | 1121 | | 50 | Sleigh Ride | The Ronettes | 1094 | | 51 | Feliz Navidad | Jose Feliciano | 1071 | | 52 | La Diabla | Xavi | 1069 |
I've listed all songs projected currently to get over 1,000 points by the end of their chart runs.
If Lovin On Me holds #1 next week, I believe it will pass Cruel Summer, especially if the latter moves down the chart.
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Post by parrotparent on Jan 20, 2024 10:40:03 GMT -5
Right now, Lovin' on Me is just consistent that it'll stay at the top for a few more weeks barring a collapse or big release. Also, if Lovin' on Me did top the YE, it'll be the third time a rap song topped the YE after Gangsta's Paradise and God's Plan. 50 Cents In The Club finished 2003 YE #1 |
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,718
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Post by Groovy on Jan 20, 2024 11:06:34 GMT -5
Right now, Lovin' on Me is just consistent that it'll stay at the top for a few more weeks barring a collapse or big release. Also, if Lovin' on Me did top the YE, it'll be the third time a rap song topped the YE after Gangsta's Paradise and God's Plan. 50 Cents In The Club finished 2003 YE #1 That's right, I forgot about that song. |
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Post by whaleblubber on Jan 21, 2024 10:45:51 GMT -5
LOCKED FOR TOP 50 (3 songs)
*Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
*Doja Cat - Paint The Town Red (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
LOCKED FOR TOP 100 (25 songs)
*SZA - Snooze (Week 7 - December 9, 2023)
*Zach Bryan feat. Kacey Musgraves - I Remember Everything (Week 8 - December 16, 2023)
Tate McRae - Greedy (Week 9 - December 23, 2023)
*Morgan Wallen - Last Night (Week 9 - December 23, 2023)
*Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Luke Combs - Fast Car (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Morgan Wallen - Thinkin' Bout Me (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Wham! - Last Christmas (Week 10 - December 30, 2023)
*Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Tyla - Water (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? (Taylor's Version) [From The Vault] (Week 11 - January 6, 2024)
Doja Cat - Agora Hills (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Drake feat. Sexyy Red & SZA - Rich Baby Daddy (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Drake feat. J. Cole - First Person Shooter (Week 12 - January 13, 2024)
Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
Drake feat. Yeat - IDGAF (Week 13 - January 20, 2024)
Teddy Swims - Lose Control (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
Chris Stapleton - White Horse (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
Miley Cyrus - Used To Be Young (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
*Gunna - Fukumean (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
Bad Bunny - Monaco (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
Noah Kahan - Stick Season (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
*Jelly Roll - Need A Favor (Week 14 - January 27, 2024)
First YE hit for Teddy Swims.
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