Charli xcx f/ Billie Eilish - "Guess"

[divasummer]

Is this going to be serviced to radio??
It’s such a BOP!
Current favorite.

[munx 🐒🎯]

Cute. It gets me hyped…I can see it fading fast though.

[wjr15]

Apparently today is National Underwear Day

Stream Guess to celebrate!

[Tylerjamesnerd]

I don’t see them sending this to radio. They should put all the radio focus on 360.

[Choco]

Yeah, I think they should go with 360 then Apple. By then they might as well drop another remix of one of the more radio ready songs (I love this but Guess OG is near the bottom of the album for me).

[Az Paynter]

Honestly this will have to be a streaming-carried hit. Never mind that '360' is only just breaking out on radio and 'Apple' is probably going to follow, Charli is in absolutely no position to have three songs going on at once on radio (I think the breakout moment is why radio would maybe support two at once, but having made very little noise on US radio past 'Boom Clap' and 'Fancy' I think the breakout is the ONLY reason they'd entertain more than one song at a time).

Further, the whole premise of the song is very unfriendly for radio. You think radio struggled with how overtly sapphic 'Lunch' was? Billie cranked it up to 11 with her parts here, radio would never touch that, and that's after you get around the fact that the song is about being perved on about your underwear.

[fearlessarrow]

This is #1 on the midweek UK singles chart (with Brat currently heading back to its #2 peak over on the albums chart). Everything about this album has been mind-blowing for me, Charli XCX at this stage of her career challenging for #1 on the singles chart? I never thought that would happen.

[jgarbary]

34 spins so far, from 3 stations. Spin leader is KMVQ San Francisco with 14. Has anyone heard it played yet? Am wondering if they created the equivalent of Lunch's 'no tongue' edit.

Edit.. This reminds me a bit of When Sam Smith and Madonna dropped Vulgar, I think it was last year sometime?  A few stations gave it curiosity spins but the song itself ended up being 'too much' for radio to feel comfortable playing it.  I can see Guess having a similar impact on pop, maybe a bit better.

[L.Kennedy]

"Guess feat. Billie Eilish" — Spotify Charts Update:

Global: #6 (+1) — +5,209,745 plays
US: #8 (=) — +1,462,681 plays
UK: #1 (=) — + 513,207 plays


Apple Music

US: #17 Guess feat. Billie Eilish
UK: #2 Guess feat. Billie Eilish

Slaying streaming charts 

[Ty]

They should send this for adds now.

[Ling-Ling]

This is a fantastic viral/pop culture/streaming moment and it keeps her running the conversation.

But it's not radio-friendly at all and "360" is on it's way to being a genuine radio hit for her, no need to create any speedbumps. Some curiosity spins and a cute top 50/top 40 peak is good enough for this IMO.

[Ivy Leegue™]

OMG I love this. I never listened to the version on the deluxe, but this is great.

[L.Kennedy]

Added on "Today's Top Hits" on Spotify at #13!!

[Ryan]

[L.Kennedy]

“Guess ft. Billie Eilish” — Spotify Charts

#4. Global (+2) — 6,041,566 plays (+535,745)

#4. US (+3) — 1,730,868 plays (+165,298)

#1. UK (=) — 541,880 plays

Back in the TOP 5 on both Global and US 

[Ryan]

[Normi]

Debuts at #1 in both Australia and New Zealand

[Juan Carlos]

MOCK UPDATE:

POP:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 41 0 41 0.121

DANCE:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 35 0 35 0.001

[HEADOFTHEPACK]

Officially #1 in the UK. Her first as a lead artist.

Apple is at #8, 360 is at #11. Wild times.

[Juan Carlos]

MOCK UPDATE:

POP:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 55 4 51 0.158

+14 Spins
+10 Bullet
+0.037 Audience

Spincrease: 96 spins from 44 stations

DANCE:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 18 0 18 0.002

[wavey.]

It's Charli's year.

[Albie]

Wasn't expecting to see this doing anything on Pop but a great release nonetheless. This really is Charli's year!

[Choco]

I think they need to keep going for 360 on radio but this getting nice peaks everywhere is really good for a song that was originally barely a bonus track.

Even as a followup I think Apple is the way to go.

[munx 🐒🎯]

Congrats to Charli on her well-deserved success this era. I wish it would have happened for Crash but better late than never.

[Au$tin]

Aug 5, 2024 17:24:32 GMT -5 Choco said:

Yeah, I think they should go with 360 then Apple. By then they might as well drop another remix of one of the more radio ready songs (I love this but Guess OG is near the bottom of the album for me).

Manifesting a Kesha remix for Sympathy is a knife or Spring breakers for radio single #3 🙏🏼

Also an Apple remix with Chappell in general

[Dylan :)]

Aug 11, 2024 12:49:50 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Aug 5, 2024 17:24:32 GMT -5 Choco said:

Yeah, I think they should go with 360 then Apple. By then they might as well drop another remix of one of the more radio ready songs (I love this but Guess OG is near the bottom of the album for me).

Manifesting a Kesha remix for Sympathy is a knife or Spring breakers for radio single #3 🙏🏼

Also an Apple remix with Chappell in general

[Juan Carlos]

MOCK UPDATE:

POP:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 68 7 61 0.190

+13 Spins
+10 Bullet
+0.032 Audience

Spincrease: 133 spins from 77 stations

DANCE:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 23 0 23 0.002

[mccloud]

Predicted to debut just outside the top 10 on the Hot 100

[Juan Carlos]

MOCK UPDATE:

POP:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 79 18 61 0.183

+11 Spins
= Bullet
–0.007 Audience

Spincrease: 132 spins from 80 stations

DANCE:
?? ?? CHARLI XCX Guess f/Billie Eilish 28 1 27 0.003

[Choco]

#12 Billboard Hot 100. Biggest peak for Charli in over a decade.