Jack
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Post by Jack on Oct 5, 2024 14:27:03 GMT -5
So If I were betting, I'd imagine they're going to ride this out till the end of the year. I think it will get caught in the Christmas freeze in the top ten of all her relevant charts, and then it'll blow up again/peak in January. In the meantime, there'll obviously be a big push to re-launch the Christmas material given she's in a completely different place in her career from 12 months ago.
Then, post-Grammy's, I'm sure they'll go all in on Bed Chem (video drop etc.) before re-releasing the album with a deluxe and new single next Summer.
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 5, 2024 14:39:21 GMT -5
I'm surprised they'd ship out the vinyls so late? Even if it's trying to match when the airplay will peak, it'll get lost in the Christmas streaming shuffle by then. I would have shot for mid-November at the latest.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 6, 2024 6:36:33 GMT -5
That's not it, radio.
POP: 15 15 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7697 6969 728 19.275
+38 Spins -73 Bullet +0.187 Audience
HOT AC: 29 25 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 830 704 126 1.599
+16 Spins -5 Bullet +0.049 Audience
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jdanton2
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Post by jdanton2 on Oct 6, 2024 6:49:18 GMT -5
i don't think that this is a sure thing of this hitting #1 at Pop anymore.
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tatula69
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Post by tatula69 on Oct 6, 2024 9:14:29 GMT -5
^Agreed. The oversaturation may be starting to be felt. Not sure.
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Post by Mayman on Oct 6, 2024 14:16:55 GMT -5
i don't think that this is a sure thing of this hitting #1 at Pop anymore. Why? It's literally #1 on US Spotify. This seems like the usual slowdown for songs in this region we've seen for years.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 6, 2024 16:37:09 GMT -5
The problem right now with 'the usual slowdown' is the pointed refusal from radio to allow turnover in the top 10. Sure it may be normal to slow down prior to the top 10, but there still needs to be somewhere for this to eventually go and that's been the big problem for damn near everything in the top 20. Too many songs coming up strong, basically zero places in the top 10 up for grabs. Sabrina has the momentum and the spotlight to overcome the hurdle, but because radio is idiotic and unpredictable there is always the off-chance that this gets stalled too long to the point radio 'gives up' on it because it's not advancing (with radio lacking the self-awareness to realize if it's not advancing it's radio's own fault).
That's been the problem for Gaga/Bruno (who are now clear of the hurdle), for Kendrick (should've been top 10 a while ago when that was closer to its pop cultural peak), Dasha (should've been top 10 ages ago and on the tail end of its life cycle), Teddy (radio should've been quicker off the jump given how heavily they leaned into 'Lose Control'). Even Chappell, who has barely scraped top 10, looks in trouble of getting stone-walled after she gets pushed back out by Gaga/Bruno, because radio isn't giving up anything else in the top 10 right now.
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jdanton2
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Post by jdanton2 on Oct 6, 2024 17:03:05 GMT -5
i don't think that this is a sure thing of this hitting #1 at Pop anymore. Why? It's literally #1 on US Spotify. This seems like the usual slowdown for songs in this region we've seen for years. you could be right though Espresso and P3 will have to drop a bit in spins for it to happen.
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Post by Mayman on Oct 6, 2024 17:44:50 GMT -5
Why? It's literally #1 on US Spotify. This seems like the usual slowdown for songs in this region we've seen for years. you could be right though Espresso and P3 will have to drop a bit in spins for it to happen. Yeah for sure, I'm kind of shocked stations aren't swapping their spins for "Please Please Please" to this one. I think this probably won't peak closer to the end of the year. I assume the big push for "Bed Chem" will start at the top of the year.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 7, 2024 7:17:25 GMT -5
POP: 15 13 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7788 7075 713 19.384
+91 Spins -15 Bullet +0.109 Audience
HOT AC: 28 25 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 862 725 137 1.664
+32 Spins +11 Bullet +0.065 Audience
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tatula69
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Post by tatula69 on Oct 7, 2024 8:22:32 GMT -5
Is it normal for the record company to announce a vinyl single for mid December at this stage? It’s as if they’re asking radio to be ready by then to push for no. 1 that week.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 8, 2024 8:29:33 GMT -5
POP: 16 13 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7860 7123 737 19.744
+72 Spins +24 Bullet +0.360 Audience
HOT AC: 28 24 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 883 728 155 1.689
+21 Spins +18 Bullet +0.025 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 9, 2024 20:49:17 GMT -5
POP: 15 13 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7915 7255 660 20.113
+55 Spins -77 Bullet +0.269 Audience
HOT AC: 27 24 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 885 761 124 1.694
+2 Spins -31 Bullet +0.005 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 10, 2024 7:53:22 GMT -5
Did we have panel fuckery today? 'Cause uhh...
POP: 14 14 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7858 7405 453 20.125
-57 Spins -207 Bullet +0.012 Audience
HOT AC: 27 24 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 907 775 132 1.751
+22 Spins +8 Bullet +0.057 Audience
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jdanton2
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Post by jdanton2 on Oct 10, 2024 18:30:50 GMT -5
this has more audience at Pop today than the #7 and #10 songs.
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Post by speakerphone on Oct 11, 2024 3:28:33 GMT -5
This video made me think "ugh, music videos are SO back." They both show personality in spades and I'm here for it. Now that's what makes a video iconic! And the Death Becomes Her nods, fabulous fabulous.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 11, 2024 6:45:17 GMT -5
At least it gained spins and audience today, 'cause it's still a no. POP:15 14 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7887 7517 370 20.276 +29 Spins -83 Bullet +0.151 Audience HOT AC:27 23 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 949 787 162 1.857 +42 Spins +30 Bullet +0.106 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 12, 2024 8:40:17 GMT -5
POP: 14 14 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 7973 7659 314 20.357
+86 Spins -56 Bullet +0.081 Audience
HOT AC: 26 23 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 963 814 149 1.941
+14 Spins -13 Bullet +0.084 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 13, 2024 8:31:16 GMT -5
A course correction.
POP: 14 12 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8196 7699 497 20.859
+223 Spins +183 Bullet +0.502 Audience
HOT AC: 25 21 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1008 832 176 2.077
+45 Spins +27 Bullet +0.136 Audience
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shakemaki
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Post by shakemaki on Oct 13, 2024 12:20:18 GMT -5
The crazy resurgence near the top Espresso has been having on CHR and P3 also refusing to die near the top is definitely hurting this a bit now. There’s just no way CHR is going to take this top 5 when theyre power spinning the hell out of the two prior singles still. I bet it would be near #1 already if not for that.
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Post by chickythelittlechicken on Oct 13, 2024 12:48:51 GMT -5
That's a much better update! Also back to #1 on US Spotify. May the climb continue !!
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shakemaki
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Post by shakemaki on Oct 13, 2024 12:50:54 GMT -5
Still hoping for #1 h100 after Espresso and P3 finally truly start losing steam. Might be the new year though
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Oct 13, 2024 14:54:14 GMT -5
Honestly glad Please Please Please got that #1 week because I don't see the stars aligning for her anymore this era, unless Bed Chem blows up randomly on streaming again. This already burned a lot of demand and Xmas is gonna suck the oxygen out of the chart very soon. By January it's gonna be ancient news.
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Post by stormlover74 on Oct 14, 2024 10:53:45 GMT -5
Honestly glad Please Please Please got that #1 week because I don't see the stars aligning for her anymore this era, unless Bed Chem blows up randomly on streaming again. This already burned a lot of demand and Xmas is gonna suck the oxygen out of the chart very soon. By January it's gonna be ancient news. Not necessarily. Espresso still going strong 6 months later. Taste may not even peak at radio until the new year
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 14, 2024 12:17:27 GMT -5
...radio go home you're drunk.
POP: 13 12 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8246 7789 457 20.925
+50 Spins -40 Bullet +0.066 Audience
HOT AC: 25 20 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1051 863 188 2.167
+43 Spins +12 Bullet +0.090 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 15, 2024 7:16:41 GMT -5
POP: 13 12 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8375 7866 509 21.244
+129 Spins +52 Bullet +0.319 Audience
HOT AC: 24 20 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1093 884 209 2.270
+42 Spins +21 Bullet +0.103 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 16, 2024 8:27:02 GMT -5
POP: 14 12 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8501 7914 587 21.377
+126 Spins +78 Bullet +0.133 Audience
HOT AC: 24 20 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1136 885 251 2.354
+43 Spins +42 Bullet +0.084 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 17, 2024 8:19:59 GMT -5
POP: 14 12 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8746 7859 887 22.178
+245 Spins +300 Bullet +0.801 Audience
HOT AC: 24 20 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1164 909 255 2.415
+28 Spins +4 Bullet +0.061 Audience
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Oct 18, 2024 6:49:26 GMT -5
I think Sabrina is about to pip Chappell for top 10 this week. Sabrina will join Ariana, Doja and Harry Styles as an artist with three simultaneous pop radio top 10's. It could be seen coming from a mile away given 'Espresso' and 'Please Please Please' are still both top 3, but I didn't think we'd be getting there just yet.
POP: 14 11 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 8913 7887 1026 22.922
+167 Spins +139 Bullet +0.744 Audience
HOT AC: 23 20 SABRINA CARPENTER Taste 1190 949 241 2.440
+26 Spins -14 Bullet +0.025 Audience
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NeRD
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Post by NeRD on Oct 18, 2024 7:16:21 GMT -5
Let's go for 4 simultaneously with Bed Chem!
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