First-week sales predictions for the week of 2-24

[ryarboro]

Looks like two big albums are coming out this week. My predictions:

JC Chasez: 140k
Young Gunz: 125k

If JC would have had a big single, I think he could added another 100k. Young Gunz could go much higher than that.

[j]

I predict 60k for JC Chasez (with a really nasty 67% drop the week after) and 115k for Young Gunz.

[jond7699]

150 for JC
175 for Young Gunz

[strong4PMB!]

J.C. has an album coming out? I haven't heard anything about it. FLOP!

Young Gunz should do well. I've seen "No Better Love" on T.V. a lot lately.

Mariana will have a good first week! Her ads are always on Univision.

J.C. Chasez: 100k
Young Gunz: 230k
Mariana: 10k

[jimmy74747]

Young Gunz - 180K
JC - 70K

[RRMusicGuy]

50 for JC
175 for Young Gunz

[codenut]

100k for JC
175k for Young Gunz

[Flavoured]

I want JC's album! "Some Girls" is a great song.

[strong4PMB!]

Also, I predict 7k for Vienna Teng. Big drop second week though! She should continue to sell >500 copies every week with all her upcoming performances though.

[pkwi]

JC- 175K
Young Gunz-125K

[flarbygarby]

I don't expect Schizocrappic to sell more than 100,000. Being a former Nsyncer does not guarantee good solo album sales, unless your Justin Trousersnakes.
Besides, I doubt people were incited to go buy his album after that horrendous "Some Girls Dance With Women".

[af18c]

150,000 JC
130,000 Young Gunz

[EvanJ]

With Kanye West and Young Gunz next week, I wonder when the last time (if ever) Roc-A-Fella had two albums in the Top 10 at once.
The averages of the nine predictions are:
Young Gunz: 164,444 (repeating 4s) (ahead of J.C. in 6 predictions) (range of 115,000-230,000)
J.C. Chasez: 105,000 (ahead of Yung Gunz in 3 predictions) (range to 50,000-150,000)

[j]

flarbygarby said:

Besides, I doubt people were incited to go buy his album after that horrendous "Some Girls Dance With Women".

I doubt most people even heard it, (lucky them) so that disaster of a song shouldn't affect his sales negatively.

[strong4PMB!]

1 said:

I doubt most people even heard it, (lucky them) so that disaster of a song shouldn't affect his sales negatively.

I've unfortunately heard it on iTunes once. After the first verse, I had to switch stations. Just awful.

[EvanJ]

www.hitsdailydouble.com/news/newsPage.cgi?news04928m02
"Now that we’ve stated the obvious, on to some new stuff: Hitting the streets yesterday and headed for next week’s chart was Roc-A-Fella/IDJ’s Young Gunz, whose Tough Love is expected to move a first-week total of about 125k, which should be good for a Top 5 debut.

Also streeting yesterday was NSYNC member J.C. Chasez’s solo debut, Schizophrenic (Jive). According to early reports, the album should sell 60k or so by week’s end.

And then there’s Hotlanta’s Trillville and Lil Scrappy, whose Reprise albums feature all the same tracks—just in a different order depending on whether the title says “Trillville” or “Lil Scrappy.” Both are featured equally, but the two different titles have two different UPC codes, so they’re two different albums, dammit! As our retail analysts explain it, the dual rollout is an effort on the label’s part to give retailers in different regions the ability to market the albums according to local taste, or some such rarefied mercantile theory.

Anyway, Trillville and Lil Scrappy are looking like they’ll have a first week of a little over 50k combined."

We'll see if Billboard counts it as one or two albums. Trillville and Lil' Scrappy both have singles featuring Lil' Jon, with Trillville doing better (Number 77 on the Billboard Hot 100).
Nick Carter sold about 80,000 first week, so J.C. could sell less than that despite both of his singles doing better than both of Nick's singles.

[j]

125 and 60?

I was close - 115 and 60!

[strong4PMB!]

Divide my predictions by 1.7, and my predictions were pretty darn accurate.