j
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Post by j on Jan 19, 2004 22:14:37 GMT -5
I really don't think either "My Immortal" or "Numb" will do as well for the 2004 chart as you guys predict, as much as I like both tracks a lot. Neither song will have the staying power of previous songs by the same band that reached #2 for the year (BMTL and ITE). The #1 song of 2004 will probably come around late spring or something, like it normally does. I agree with most of your first para, but since the turn of the millennium, the #1 song has debuted on the chart before the start of the calendar year. |
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Mega248
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Post by Mega248 on Jan 20, 2004 0:18:36 GMT -5
Yeah, I don't think the #1 song for the year has ever debuted in late spring. The latest debut for a year-end #1 I can think of is "Iris" by the Goo Goo Dolls which debuted in April.
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Post by Leafstorm on Jan 20, 2004 0:37:28 GMT -5
So as of this point, where will "Toxic" go by year-end?
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M
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Post by M on Jan 20, 2004 0:49:32 GMT -5
Nickelback - Someday
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j
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Post by j on Jan 20, 2004 2:43:36 GMT -5
So as of this point, where will "Toxic" go by year-end? I predict #81 |
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Post by Eyeball on Jan 20, 2004 6:49:17 GMT -5
Puddle of Mudd was #9 on the 2002 year-end chart. #4 was "Wherever You Will Go" by The Calling, a song that only peaked at #6 on the weekly chart.
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Hervard
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Post by Hervard on Jan 20, 2004 11:47:47 GMT -5
Yeah, I don't think the #1 song for the year has ever debuted in late spring. The latest debut for a year-end #1 I can think of is "Iris" by the Goo Goo Dolls which debuted in April. "Miss You Much" by Janet Jackson, the #1 song of 1989, debuted in late August. And I believe "You Light Up My Life" by Debby Boone might have debuted sometime in September, 1977. As for the PPW era, I believe "Iris" would be the latest release for a number one song of the year. Anyway, I believe Keith3000 meant late spring would be when the #1 song of 2004 hit number one (or wherever it peaked - possibly #2 a la "Everything You Want" and "Hanging By A Moment". As I recall, both of those songs were at their peak in spring. |
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Keith3000
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Post by Keith3000 on Jan 20, 2004 12:24:39 GMT -5
Anyway, I believe Keith3000 meant late spring would be when the #1 song of 2004 hit number one (or wherever it peaked - possibly #2 a la "Everything You Want" and "Hanging By A Moment". As I recall, both of those songs were at their peak in spring. Yes, this is exactly what I meant---I guess I worded it wrongly. The year's biggest songs are almost always at their peak around spring/summer. Of course, we can never be sure---the #1 song of 2003 (calendar year) was "Where Is The Love" which came out relatively late in the year. |
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Jan 20, 2004 12:32:14 GMT -5
I agree with most of your first para, but since the turn of the millennium, the #1 song has debuted on the chart before the start of the calendar year. Hanging By A Moment didn't debut before the start of the calendar year on pop... It debuted in the top 40 on 2/23/01, and so perhaps it was in the top 50 for a week or two at most, but still not before the calendar year. |
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Jan 20, 2004 12:33:36 GMT -5
Yes, this is exactly what I meant---I guess I worded it wrongly. The year's biggest songs are almost always at their peak around spring/summer. Of course, we can never be sure---the #1 song of 2003 (calendar year) was "Where Is The Love" which came out relatively late in the year. Or "How You Remind Me" which reached its peak in January 2002. |
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Matt4319
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Post by Matt4319 on Sept 3, 2004 22:58:24 GMT -5
yeah...
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Mega248
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Post by Mega248 on Sept 3, 2004 23:12:19 GMT -5
>:(
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Mega248
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Post by Mega248 on Sept 3, 2004 23:13:21 GMT -5
I assume Hoobastank is on pace to pass Maroon 5 and end up at #2 for the year, right?
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Matt4319
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Post by Matt4319 on Sept 3, 2004 23:32:03 GMT -5
I assume Hoobastank is on pace to pass Maroon 5 and end up at #2 for the year, right? Well, I wouldn't rule out Hoobastank for #1 just yet. But Usher will have to fall off pretty precipitiously (or Hoobastank to stick around for a while) for "The Reason" to take over #1.  |
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Keith3000
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Post by Keith3000 on Sept 4, 2004 0:32:33 GMT -5
It seems as if "Yeah!", "The Reason", and "This Love" seem certain of taking the top 3 spots respectively, especially considering the recurrent play that will be considered. I guess there's a chance Hoobastank may overtake Usher over the next three months, but that's pretty doubtful.
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