Lostprophets - Last Train Home

[hamjerzee]

Not sure if a thread was made for this, so if there is, sorry about this.

Anyway, this song is listed as going for pop adds April 12th. It's already tailing off the alternative chart, and while I love the song, it seems like this move is a little late. They might just be taking advantage of their videoplay on MTV or something. Two things will contribute to this song's failure:
1) Lateness of the adds date (by 4/12 it won't be in the top 5 on alternative)
2) It's too heavy for pop

I like the idea, but this man thinks the Lostprophets won't get higher than No. 60, with :o WBBO-FM leading the way. (I love that station!)

Any other pre-add predictions?

[Matt4319]

First of all, a big to crash46. ;)

I don't think it's heavier than some crossovers that have hit top 10 on pop before (Blurry comes to mind). But I don't think this will do quite as well. I'll say #28, but I wouldn't be surprised if it missed the top 50 either.

[Gold Soundz]

I usually hate all the Alternative crossover songs because they seem like the worst songs on Alternative. This one, however, is fantastic and I hope it does well.

[Deleted]

I like it, but I don't see a big pop crossover for this one. I'll say #44.

[singingsparrow]

This is a decent Alternative crossover, perhaps too decent for other formats.

And that may be just the problem. Just like The Darkness is too good for Alternative but fits right at home on CHR/Pop, the Lost Prophets are vice versa. Plus "Last Train Home" just doesn't sound anthemic when surrounded by "Are You Gonna Be My Girl", "I Believe In A Thing Called Love" and "I Miss You".

This can chart but it will get lost and buried in the fold.

My Prediction: #44

Sincerely,
Noah Eaton

[crash46]

Matt4319 said:

First of all, a big to crash46.  ;)

Lol, it's only gone for adds; it's not like it's gone Outkast all over the chart now!

Although this isn't really what I like to see just 20 hours before I get to see them. At least the expectations aren't too high. I think it'll do about as well as Dashboard Confessional did when he tried to cross over.

[Matt4319]

I'm changing my prediction to "either #28 or #2", because the past three songs that have topped my year-end chart have either hit #1 or #2 on Pop.

Z100 has added the song.

[BlahBlahBlah]

WKSE here has played it since around 2 weeks ago. I like this song, I think it can do well. I predict #16.

[reception]

I like it. (#34)

[irice22]

It's a good song, but I only see it peaking from 41-50.

[rowellfarm490]

Great song. Not a song that pop radio will play though.

Prediction: #46

[crash46]

I've yet to see a negative opinion on this song. And I don't want to. That'll change if this makes the top 40.

[Unexpected]

I have a feeling this will be huge on Pop.

It's already at #74 with +124 as well as a Z100 add to help it out.

[crash46]

Well, it's official, and this song did nothing on this format. So the song that nobody hates will remain that way.

And I get the final  . ;)

[reception]

crash46 wrote
Well, it's official, and this song did nothing on this format. So the song that nobody hates will remain that way.

And I get the final  . ;)[/quote]
LOL![/i][/b][/size]