2009 YTD sales

[kokuna]

hi. i, new user from georgia not from state (from cauntry). glad to see your talk and your job here. i look at your posts 3 months and like it very much. i also try to wright somthin intresting for you.:))
and u have to exuze for my broken english:)))

[kokuna]

in this site my lovest post is YTD sales and i,m not a fan of tailor swift outside america cauntry music is not a popular so i didnt listen her and not glad to see her at 1st place in that rank.
my favorites are gaga, michael, whitney, emimen, jay-z and beyonce

[kokuna]

eh! i forget, my name is koka and i,m not a teen:))))))))

[Deleted]

Welcome

[Deleted]

Aug 30, 2009 17:47:21 GMT -5 slicknickshady said:

Aug 30, 2009 16:44:44 GMT -5 barbush said:

The eventually winner of the "biggest album of the year" sweepstakes might not be Taylor Swift OR Michael Jackson. It might be an album that comes out in the last few months of the year.

I doubt that. I don't see any release jumping all the way to #1.

Susan Boyle is the candidate that could climb all the way to #1

[HolidayGuy]

There are 3 weeks left in the year- if SuBo does 600K this week, that will bring her to 1.7m and change. If she tops that in the two weeks thereafter, that takes her to 2.9m+. Fearless currently is at, what, 2.6m or so for the year? It will be close...

[Deleted]

Susan Boyle is #10 for the year right now. Fearless is at 2.5m and change and moving 100K a week.

Susan Boyle is projected at 600K next week for 1.9m, Fearless would move to 2.6m. Two weeks after that of monster sales for Susan Boyle. Looks like it may very likely happen

[Osaka Sun]

No doubt Susan will at least go 3x platinum. Even if she doesn't sell that much, I'm sure that much will be shiped out to stores already by the end of the year.

[leilamaurizia]

Week 49

1 BGMA SWIFT*TAYLOR FEARLESS 2,525,429
2 EPIC JACKSON*MICHAEL NUMBER ONES 2,186,052
3 INT LADY GAGA FAME 1,743,420
4 DBV HANNAH MONTANA HANNAH MOVIE SNDTRK 1,712,326
5 INT EMINEM RELAPSE 1,541,554
6 INT BLACK EYED PEAS E.N.D. (ENERGY NEVER DIES) 1,490,470
7 RCNT JAY-Z BLUEPRINT 3 1,365,061
8 RCA KINGS OF LEON ONLY BY THE NIGHT 1,274,861
9 ROAD NICKELBACK DARK HORSE 1,267,838
10 COL BOYLE*SUSAN I DREAMED A DREAM 1,224,196
11 ATLG TWILIGHT SOUNDTRACK 1,216,048
12 EPIC JACKSON*MICHAEL THRILLER 1,205,707
13 DECC BOCELLI*ANDREA MY CHRISTMAS 1,115,419
14 COL BEYONCE I AM...SASHA FIERCE 1,097,222
15 ATLG BROWN*ZAC BAND FOUNDATION 1,091,841
16 EPIC JACKSON*MICHAEL ESSENTIAL MICHAEL JACKSON 1,077,488
17 LYST RASCAL FLATTS UNSTOPPABLE 1,058,208
18 INT U2 NO LINE ON THE HORIZON 1,045,766
19 HOL CYRUS*MILEY TIME OF OUR LIVES EP 984,608
20 EPIC JACKSON*MICHAEL MICHAEL JACKSON'S THIS IS IT 965,474
21 RCA MATTHEWS*DAVE BAND BIG WHISKEY & THE GROOGRUX KIN 949,109
22 COL MAXWELL BLACKSUMMERS'NIGHT 895,217
23 WAR GREEN DAY 21ST CENTURY BREAKDOWN 864,054
24 ARI HOUSTON*WHITNEY I LOOK TO YOU 830,669
25 WAR BUBLE*MICHAEL CRAZY LOVE 818,169
26 BBOW ALDEAN*JASON WIDE OPEN 813,302
27 SMCM VARIOUS NOW 31 791,377
28 RCA DAUGHTRY LEAVE THIS TOWN 783,583
29 RCA CLARKSON*KELLY ALL I EVER WANTED 774,268
30 EPIC FRAY*THE FRAY 748,429
31 CAPN RUCKER*DARIUS LEARN TO LIVE 745,504
32 ARNV UNDERWOOD*CARRIE PLAY ON 737,131
33 LAF P!NK FUNHOUSE 733,589
34 CAPN LADY ANTEBELLUM LADY ANTEBELLUM 726,932
35 UME VARIOUS NOW 30 726,389
36 ATLG NEW MOON (TWILIGHT) SOUNDTRACK 712,018
37 J FOXX*JAMIE INTUITION 688,765
38 CAPN URBAN*KEITH DEFYING GRAVITY 659,659
39 BGMA SWIFT*TAYLOR TAYLOR SWIFT 640,506
40 ATLG MRAZ*JASON WE SING WE DANCE WE STEAL THIN 619,696
41 MERN SUGARLAND LOVE ON THE INSIDE 617,292
42 DEF WEST*KANYE 808S & HEARTBREAK 589,581
43 HOL JONAS BROTHERS LINES VINES & TRYING TIMES 582,452
44 COL SPRINGSTEEN*BRUCE WORKING ON A DREAM 569,477
45 ATLG SHINEDOWN SOUND OF MADNESS 550,310
46 JIVE SPEARS*BRITNEY CIRCUS 522,645
47 ATLG T.I. PAPER TRAIL 517,516
48 DBV SOUNDTRACK HANNAH MONTANA 3 512,894
49 GEFN COLE*KEYSHIA DIFFERENT ME 511,917
50 BNA CHESNEY*KENNY GREATEST HITS II 500,062

[areyoureadytojump]

^THANKS!!

[kokuna]

nice to see michael jacksons 4 album in top 20.
sysan boyle will be # 1.
i disslike taylor swift. she's nice girl but not for sales:))))

[kokuna]

THANKS A LOT FOR NEW DATA

[Deleted]

new.music.yahoo.com/blogs/chart_watch/43323/chart-watch-extra-down-to-the-wire/

Chart Watch Extra: Down To The Wire
Posted Wed Dec 16, 2009 7:47pm PST by Paul Grein in Chart Watch

This will be the first year since 2005 that a female artist has had the year's best-selling album. There's just one small matter still to be determined: Which female artist will come out on top?

Taylor Swift's Fearless is currently in the lead, but Susan Boyle's I Dreamed A Dream has exploded in the last three weeks. It's already #4 for the year. With three weeks to go before Nielsen/SoundScan closes the books on 2009, there's a reasonably good chance that it will overtake Fearless.
If it does, it will make history. The album was released on Nov. 24, later in the year than any album that has wound up as the year's best-seller in the 18 years that Nielsen/SoundScan has been tracking sales for Billboard. The current record is held by Josh Groban's Noel, which was released on Oct. 9, 2007. Both albums appeal to adult contemporary fans, who remain loyal album buyers.

No matter which woman comes out on top, 2009 is almost certain to be the first year in which female solo artists had both of the year's top two best-sellers since 1996, when Alanis Morissette's Jagged Little Pill and Celine Dion's Falling Into You led the way.
Black Eyed Peas have two of the year's top three songs with the most paid downloads. "Boom Boom Pow" is #1, with sales of 4,514,000. "I Gotta Feeling" is #3, with sales of 3,986,000. No other act has dominated the year-end digital chart to this degree. Timbaland had two of the top five digital tracks of 2007. "Apologize" (featuring OneRepublic) was #4 for the year, "The Way I Are" was #5.

There are still three weeks left in the chart year, so the specific sales tallies in this report will change. Some rankings may even change. But, with 50 weeks already in (this is a rare 53-week chart year), we can get a good sense of what the key trends of 2009 were.

This is the fifth straight year that the year's #1 song sold more digital copies than the #1 hit of the year before. In fact, each of this year's top four digital songs outsold the #1 song of 2008, Leona Lewis' "Bleeding Love" (which sold 3,420,000 digital copies in that calendar year).

Thanks to Boyle and Swift, this is likely to become the first year since 2004 in which the year's top-selling album has outsold the top-selling album of the previous year. Both I Dreamed A Dream and Fearless are likely to top the sales of last year's leader, Lil Wayne's Tha Carter III, which sold 2,874,000 copies in 2008.
The Peas aren't the only act with two of the year's top 10 digital songs. Lady Gaga scored with "Poker Face" at #2 and "Just Dance" (featuring Colby O'Donis) at #5. Miley Cyrus made it with "Party In The U.S.A." at #7 and "The Climb" at #8.

The Peas, Lady Gaga and Cyrus also rank in the top 10 on the year-end album chart. A fourth act, Kings Of Leon, is also listed in the top 10 on both the year-end album and song charts.

I Dreamed A Dream is vying to become the first debut album to wind up as the year's best seller since Linkin Park's Hybrid Theory in 2001. It would be the first album by a British artist to come out on top since Spice Girls' Spice in 1997.

Fearless is vying to become the first country album to emerge as the year's best-seller since Billy Ray Cyrus' Some Gave All in 1992.
Even if Boyle surpasses Swift, Fearless will make history. The album, which was the third best-seller of 2008, will become only the third album in Nielsen/SoundScan history to rank among the year's top three sellers twice. It will follow Whitney Houston's The Bodyguard soundtrack (#3 for 1992, #1 for 1993) and Alanis Morissette's Jagged Little Pill (#3 for 1995, #1 for 1996).
Billboard has Fearless at #1 on its year-end rankings, which are featured in its current issue. 2009 may become the fifth consecutive year in which Billboard and Nielsen/SoundScan have diverged on the identity of the year's top album (details at the end of the column). How can this be? The periods the two entities measure are different, by about a month. This year, Billboard's eligibility period ran from Dec. 6, 2008 through Nov. 28, 2009. Nielsen/SoundScan follows the calendar year.
Even in death, Michael Jackson is still setting records. He has sold 7,676,000 albums so far this year, all but 298,000 of them since his death on June 25. Jackson is on track to become the first artist in Nielsen/SoundScan history to have four albums in the year-end top 20. Number Ones is currently #2, followed by Thriller at #13, The Essential Michael Jackson at #16 and Michael Jackson's This Is It at #19. Garth Brooks had three albums in the year-end top 20 for 1992. (In Brooks' case, all three were in the top 10).

When all the results are in, Number Ones will probably finish #3 for the year. That would be the highest year-end ranking for a greatest hits album in Nielsen/SoundScan history. Garth Brooks' The Hits was the #5 album of 1995. It would also be the highest year-end ranking for an album by an artist who had died. 2Pac's All Eyez On Me was the #6 album of 1996. The Notorious B.I.G.'s Life After Death was the #6 seller of 1997.

Number Ones, which was released in 2003, will also become the first catalog album to make the year-end top 10 in Nielsen/SoundScan history.

Miley Cyrus' Hannah Montana: The Movie soundtrack is poised to be the year's #5 seller. That would be the highest-year end ranking by a theatrical movie soundtrack since the Eminem-paced 8 Mile was #5 for 2002.

Want the raw numbers? Here you go. Bear in mind that there are still three weeks to go in the year, and that the 2008 tallies reflect a full calendar year.

Two songs have topped the 4 million mark in paid downloads during 2009. This is the first time in digital history that a song has sold 4 million copies in a calendar year. Five songs have topped 3 million, up from two last year. Twenty-five have topped 2 million, up from 19 last year. Seventy-eight have topped 1 million, up from 71 last year.

But albums continue to slide. Two albums have topped the 2 million mark during 2009, down from four in 2008. Twenty albums have topped 1 million, down from 25 last year. Fifty have sold 500,000, down from 80 last year.

I have two lists for you: the top 10 songs with the most paid downloads so far this year, followed by the top 10 albums (physical and digital combined).




Now, here are the top 10 albums since January 1. (If the album also had sales in 2008, I make note of that in my text, but it's not reflected in the tally.)

1. Taylor Swift, Fearless, 2,694,000. In addition to being the year's best-selling album (at least so far), this is the best-seller by a female artist and the best-selling country album. This is the third straight year that Swift has had an album in the year-end top 10. Fearless was the #3 album of 2008, with sales of 2,112,000 last year.

2. Michael Jackson, Number Ones, 2,227,000. This is the best-selling album by a male artist and the best-seller in the pop/R&B genre. The 2003 release had sold 1,708,000 copies before this year. It was the #136 album of 2008, with sales of 334,000 last year.

3. Lady Gaga, The Fame, 1,846,000. This is the year's best-selling dance/pop album. The Fame sold an additional 150,000 copies in 2008.

4. Susan Boyle, I Dreamed A Dream, 1,803,000. With just three weeks of sales, this is already the best-selling album released in 2009. It's also the year's best-selling debut album and the year's best-selling adult contemporary album.

5. Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana, Hannah Montana: The Movie, 1,740,000. This is the year's best-selling soundtrack. This is the third time in the past four years that Cyrus/Montana has had an album in the year-end top 10.

6. Black Eyed Peas, The E.N.D., 1,554,000. This is the best-selling album by a group. This is the second time the Peas have had an album in the year-end top 10. Monkey Business was #5 for 2005.

7. Eminem, Relapse, 1,551,000. This is the year's best-selling rap album. This is the fourth time that Eminem has had an album in the year-end top 10 and the fourth time that he has had the year's best-selling rap album.

8. Andrea Bocelli, My Christmas, 1,516,000. This is the third time in the Nielsen/SoundScan era that a Christmas album has wound up in the year-end top 10. Kenny G's Miracles-The Holiday Album was the #8 best-seller of 1994. Josh Groban's Noel was #1 for 2007.

9. Jay-Z, The Blueprint 3, 1,393,000. This the first time in his long career that Jay-Z has placed an album in the year-end top 10.

10. Kings Of Leon, Only By The Night, 1,297,000. This is the year's best-selling rock album. This was the #149 album of 2008, with sales of 311,000 copies last year. (See next item.)

Digital album sales were up, but no one album was as massive in the digital realm as Coldplay's Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends was last year. The year's top digital album, Kings Of Leon's Only By The Night, has sold 408,000 digital copies. Viva La Vida sold 617,000 digital copies in 2008.

Jersey Boys is the best-selling original cast album for the second year in a row. The album has sold 217,000 copies so far this year, to rank #163 for the year. The musical tells the story of the 4 Seasons, who exploded in 1962 with the back-to-back #1 singles "Sherry" and "Big Girls Don't Cry."

[Deleted]

Susan Boyle is 900K back with 3 weeks to go

Chipping away at a rate of 400K/week, Susan Boyle should easily finish at #1

[👑 Eloquent ™]

If Billboard still takes into consideration the weeks following the year end lists, why not wait to push the lists at the actual end of the year? They have already claimed Fearless to be the "Best Selling Album Of 2009" and yet continue to mention the "race" between Taylor and Susan. This all seems a bit silly at this point. lol

[fridayteenage]

Billboard takes these last few weeks for NEXT year's year-end chart.
Also, Yahoo Music is actually NOT the same thing as Billboard.

[Deleted]

The article is the chartwatch blog that reports Soundscan/Billboard activity

[Deleted]

Billboard brings out the year-end magazine around now, due to publishing deadlines, the charts are cut off in November.

Actual year-end charts are released by Soundsacn in January

[Rodze]

"Even in death, Michael Jackson is still setting records. He has sold 7,676,000 albums so far this year"

I wonder when was the last time an artist sold that many albums in one year.

[felipe]

Dec 17, 2009 13:04:06 GMT -5 @2m said:

new.music.yahoo.com/blogs/chart_watch/43323/chart-watch-extra-down-to-the-wire/

Chart Watch Extra: Down To The Wire
Posted Wed Dec 16, 2009 7:47pm PST by Paul Grein in Chart Watch

This will be the first year since 2005 that a female artist has had the year's best-selling album. There's just one small matter still to be determined: Which female artist will come out on top?

Taylor Swift's Fearless is currently in the lead, but Susan Boyle's I Dreamed A Dream has exploded in the last three weeks. It's already #4 for the year. With three weeks to go before Nielsen/SoundScan closes the books on 2009, there's a reasonably good chance that it will overtake Fearless.
If it does, it will make history. The album was released on Nov. 24, later in the year than any album that has wound up as the year's best-seller in the 18 years that Nielsen/SoundScan has been tracking sales for Billboard. The current record is held by Josh Groban's Noel, which was released on Oct. 9, 2007. Both albums appeal to adult contemporary fans, who remain loyal album buyers.

No matter which woman comes out on top, 2009 is almost certain to be the first year in which female solo artists had both of the year's top two best-sellers since 1996, when Alanis Morissette's Jagged Little Pill and Celine Dion's Falling Into You led the way.
Black Eyed Peas have two of the year's top three songs with the most paid downloads. "Boom Boom Pow" is #1, with sales of 4,514,000. "I Gotta Feeling" is #3, with sales of 3,986,000. No other act has dominated the year-end digital chart to this degree. Timbaland had two of the top five digital tracks of 2007. "Apologize" (featuring OneRepublic) was #4 for the year, "The Way I Are" was #5.

There are still three weeks left in the chart year, so the specific sales tallies in this report will change. Some rankings may even change. But, with 50 weeks already in (this is a rare 53-week chart year), we can get a good sense of what the key trends of 2009 were.

This is the fifth straight year that the year's #1 song sold more digital copies than the #1 hit of the year before. In fact, each of this year's top four digital songs outsold the #1 song of 2008, Leona Lewis' "Bleeding Love" (which sold 3,420,000 digital copies in that calendar year).

Thanks to Boyle and Swift, this is likely to become the first year since 2004 in which the year's top-selling album has outsold the top-selling album of the previous year. Both I Dreamed A Dream and Fearless are likely to top the sales of last year's leader, Lil Wayne's Tha Carter III, which sold 2,874,000 copies in 2008.
The Peas aren't the only act with two of the year's top 10 digital songs. Lady Gaga scored with "Poker Face" at #2 and "Just Dance" (featuring Colby O'Donis) at #5. Miley Cyrus made it with "Party In The U.S.A." at #7 and "The Climb" at #8.

The Peas, Lady Gaga and Cyrus also rank in the top 10 on the year-end album chart. A fourth act, Kings Of Leon, is also listed in the top 10 on both the year-end album and song charts.

I Dreamed A Dream is vying to become the first debut album to wind up as the year's best seller since Linkin Park's Hybrid Theory in 2001. It would be the first album by a British artist to come out on top since Spice Girls' Spice in 1997.

Fearless is vying to become the first country album to emerge as the year's best-seller since Billy Ray Cyrus' Some Gave All in 1992.
Even if Boyle surpasses Swift, Fearless will make history. The album, which was the third best-seller of 2008, will become only the third album in Nielsen/SoundScan history to rank among the year's top three sellers twice. It will follow Whitney Houston's The Bodyguard soundtrack (#3 for 1992, #1 for 1993) and Alanis Morissette's Jagged Little Pill (#3 for 1995, #1 for 1996).
Billboard has Fearless at #1 on its year-end rankings, which are featured in its current issue. 2009 may become the fifth consecutive year in which Billboard and Nielsen/SoundScan have diverged on the identity of the year's top album (details at the end of the column). How can this be? The periods the two entities measure are different, by about a month. This year, Billboard's eligibility period ran from Dec. 6, 2008 through Nov. 28, 2009. Nielsen/SoundScan follows the calendar year.
Even in death, Michael Jackson is still setting records. He has sold 7,676,000 albums so far this year, all but 298,000 of them since his death on June 25. Jackson is on track to become the first artist in Nielsen/SoundScan history to have four albums in the year-end top 20. Number Ones is currently #2, followed by Thriller at #13, The Essential Michael Jackson at #16 and Michael Jackson's This Is It at #19. Garth Brooks had three albums in the year-end top 20 for 1992. (In Brooks' case, all three were in the top 10).

When all the results are in, Number Ones will probably finish #3 for the year. That would be the highest year-end ranking for a greatest hits album in Nielsen/SoundScan history. Garth Brooks' The Hits was the #5 album of 1995. It would also be the highest year-end ranking for an album by an artist who had died. 2Pac's All Eyez On Me was the #6 album of 1996. The Notorious B.I.G.'s Life After Death was the #6 seller of 1997.

Number Ones, which was released in 2003, will also become the first catalog album to make the year-end top 10 in Nielsen/SoundScan history.

Miley Cyrus' Hannah Montana: The Movie soundtrack is poised to be the year's #5 seller. That would be the highest-year end ranking by a theatrical movie soundtrack since the Eminem-paced 8 Mile was #5 for 2002.

Want the raw numbers? Here you go. Bear in mind that there are still three weeks to go in the year, and that the 2008 tallies reflect a full calendar year.

Two songs have topped the 4 million mark in paid downloads during 2009. This is the first time in digital history that a song has sold 4 million copies in a calendar year. Five songs have topped 3 million, up from two last year. Twenty-five have topped 2 million, up from 19 last year. Seventy-eight have topped 1 million, up from 71 last year.

But albums continue to slide. Two albums have topped the 2 million mark during 2009, down from four in 2008. Twenty albums have topped 1 million, down from 25 last year. Fifty have sold 500,000, down from 80 last year.

I have two lists for you: the top 10 songs with the most paid downloads so far this year, followed by the top 10 albums (physical and digital combined).




Now, here are the top 10 albums since January 1. (If the album also had sales in 2008, I make note of that in my text, but it's not reflected in the tally.)

1. Taylor Swift, Fearless, 2,694,000. In addition to being the year's best-selling album (at least so far), this is the best-seller by a female artist and the best-selling country album. This is the third straight year that Swift has had an album in the year-end top 10. Fearless was the #3 album of 2008, with sales of 2,112,000 last year.

2. Michael Jackson, Number Ones, 2,227,000. This is the best-selling album by a male artist and the best-seller in the pop/R&B genre. The 2003 release had sold 1,708,000 copies before this year. It was the #136 album of 2008, with sales of 334,000 last year.

3. Lady Gaga, The Fame, 1,846,000. This is the year's best-selling dance/pop album. The Fame sold an additional 150,000 copies in 2008.

4. Susan Boyle, I Dreamed A Dream, 1,803,000. With just three weeks of sales, this is already the best-selling album released in 2009. It's also the year's best-selling debut album and the year's best-selling adult contemporary album.

5. Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana, Hannah Montana: The Movie, 1,740,000. This is the year's best-selling soundtrack. This is the third time in the past four years that Cyrus/Montana has had an album in the year-end top 10.

6. Black Eyed Peas, The E.N.D., 1,554,000. This is the best-selling album by a group. This is the second time the Peas have had an album in the year-end top 10. Monkey Business was #5 for 2005.

7. Eminem, Relapse, 1,551,000. This is the year's best-selling rap album. This is the fourth time that Eminem has had an album in the year-end top 10 and the fourth time that he has had the year's best-selling rap album.

8. Andrea Bocelli, My Christmas, 1,516,000. This is the third time in the Nielsen/SoundScan era that a Christmas album has wound up in the year-end top 10. Kenny G's Miracles-The Holiday Album was the #8 best-seller of 1994. Josh Groban's Noel was #1 for 2007.

9. Jay-Z, The Blueprint 3, 1,393,000. This the first time in his long career that Jay-Z has placed an album in the year-end top 10.

10. Kings Of Leon, Only By The Night, 1,297,000. This is the year's best-selling rock album. This was the #149 album of 2008, with sales of 311,000 copies last year. (See next item.)

Digital album sales were up, but no one album was as massive in the digital realm as Coldplay's Viva La Vida Or Death And All His Friends was last year. The year's top digital album, Kings Of Leon's Only By The Night, has sold 408,000 digital copies. Viva La Vida sold 617,000 digital copies in 2008.

Jersey Boys is the best-selling original cast album for the second year in a row. The album has sold 217,000 copies so far this year, to rank #163 for the year. The musical tells the story of the 4 Seasons, who exploded in 1962 with the back-to-back #1 singles "Sherry" and "Big Girls Don't Cry."

[felipe]

Dec 17, 2009 13:04:06 GMT -5 @2m said:

2. Michael Jackson, Number Ones, 2,227,000. This is the best-selling album by a male artist and the best-seller in the pop/R&B genre. The 2003 release had sold 1,708,000 copies before this year. It was the #136 album of 2008, with sales of 334,000 last year.

It was the 3136 album for 2008? I didn't know it was selling that much!

[areyoureadytojump]

Dec 17, 2009 15:06:10 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Billboard takes these last few weeks for NEXT year's year-end chart.
Also, Yahoo Music is actually NOT the same thing as Billboard.

Sigh...

[badrobot]

Dec 17, 2009 13:07:02 GMT -5 @2m said:

Susan Boyle is 900K back with 3 weeks to go

Chipping away at a rate of 400K/week, Susan Boyle should easily finish at #1

She may gain 300-400k/week (or thereabouts) these next two weeks.

But the last week of the year covers post-Christmas sales, everyone is going to have a steep drop.

I wouldn't be surprised by a pattern like this:

Boyle: 625k - 700k - 200k
Taylor: 275k - 350k - 100k

Which would give a total of:

Boyle 3.325m
Taylor: 3.425m

I'm not pulling for either one, but I would still say the odds favor Taylor slightly because of that post-Christmas drop. Probably the biggest wild card is the sales of NEXT week, where we could all be blown away by Boyle selling 1m or something like that (although I doubt that, since there are only 5 days of pre-Christmas sales, and the last Saturday before Christmas, which is this chart week, is actually the biggest sales day of the year).

[Deleted]

The initial projection from HITS is that the gap will be 500K after this week heading into the final 2 weeks

[kokuna]

top five of 2009 at this time

1 TAYLOR SWIFT FEARLESS 2,693,738
2 MICHAEL JACKSON NUMBER ONES 2,227,282
3 LADY GAGA THE FAME 1,845,528
4 SUSAN BOYLE – I DREAMD A DREM 1,803,375
5 HANNAH MONTANA: THE MOVIE SOUNDTRACK 1,740,364

[badrobot]

So it looks like by year's end we'll have either 5 or 6 albums sell 2m+ and 2 sell 3m+. That should put in perspective just how difficult it is to sell well these days. (Although I think only Lil Wayne crossed 3m last year? Is that right?)

3m+
Susan Boyle
Taylor Swift

2m+
Michael Jackson
Lady Gaga
Andrea Bocelli
Eminem (possibly? depends on how well the re-release sells)

[kokuna]

Eminem can't do this. others "yes"
Boyle have to be the # 1 this year. I hope so.

[areyoureadytojump]

Dec 18, 2009 14:33:12 GMT -5 badrobot said:

So it looks like by year's end we'll have either 5 or 6 albums sell 2m+ and 2 sell 3m+. That should put in perspective just how difficult it is to sell well these days. (Although I think only Lil Wayne crossed 3m last year? Is that right?)

3m+
Susan Boyle
Taylor Swift

2m+
Michael Jackson
Lady Gaga
Andrea Bocelli
Eminem (possibly? depends on how well the re-release sells)

2008 SoundScan Top 10

1 Tha Carter III/ Lil Wayne 2,874,000
2 Viva La Vida/ Coldplay 2,144,000
3 Fearless/Taylor Swift 2,112,000
4 Rock N Roll Jesus/ Kid Rock 2,018,000
5 Black Ice/ AC/DC 1,915,000
6 Taylor Swift/Taylor Swift 1,597,000
7 Death Magnetic/ Metallica 1,565,000
8 Paper Trail/ T.I. 1,522,000
9 Sleep Through the Static/ Jack Johnson 1,492,000
10 I Am…Sasha Fierce/ Beyonce 1,459,000

[kokuna]

1 TAYLOR SWIFT FEARLESS 2,933,783
2 SUSAN BOYLE – I DREAMD A DREM 2,465,757
3 MICHAEL JACKSON NUMBER ONES 2,277,962
4 LADY GAGA THE FAME 1,980,573
5 ANDREA BOCELLI MY CHRISTMAS 1,905,751
6 HANNAH MONTANA: THE MOVIE SOUNDTRACK 1,778,405
7 BLACK EYED PEAS THE E.N.D. 1,635,858
8 EMINEM RELAPSE 1,566,871
9 JAY-Z THE BLUEPRINT 3 1,431,198
10 KINGS OF LEON ONLY BY THE NIGHT 1,309,989

[njshawty]

Dec 21, 2009 10:51:58 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

Dec 18, 2009 14:33:12 GMT -5 badrobot said:

So it looks like by year's end we'll have either 5 or 6 albums sell 2m+ and 2 sell 3m+. That should put in perspective just how difficult it is to sell well these days. (Although I think only Lil Wayne crossed 3m last year? Is that right?)

3m+
Susan Boyle
Taylor Swift

2m+
Michael Jackson
Lady Gaga
Andrea Bocelli
Eminem (possibly? depends on how well the re-release sells)

2008 SoundScan Top 10

1 Tha Carter III/ Lil Wayne 2,874,000
2 Viva La Vida/ Coldplay 2,144,000
3 Fearless/Taylor Swift 2,112,000
4 Rock N Roll Jesus/ Kid Rock 2,018,000
5 Black Ice/ AC/DC 1,915,000
6 Taylor Swift/Taylor Swift 1,597,000
7 Death Magnetic/ Metallica 1,565,000
8 Paper Trail/ T.I. 1,522,000
9 Sleep Through the Static/ Jack Johnson 1,492,000
10 I Am…Sasha Fierce/ Beyonce 1,459,000

yeaaaaaaaaaaa bee ends the year i n the top 10!!!!!