TOP 40 CHART: 4/05/09

[Az Paynter]

Eligible to go recurrent THIS week (4/05):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent NEXT week (4/12):
The Pussycat Dolls ("I Hate This Part")
The Veronicas

Eligible to go recurrent in TWO weeks (4/19):
All-American Rejects
Beyonce ("Single Ladies")

Eligible to go recurrent in THREE weeks (4/26):
Kanye West ("Heartless")
Pink

Eligible to go recurrent in FOUR weeks (5/03):
Britney Spears ("Circus")
The Fray

Eligible to go recurrent in FIVE weeks (5/10):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in SIX weeks (5/17):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in SEVEN weeks (5/24):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in EIGHT weeks (5/31):
JTi
Ne-Yo

Eligible to go recurrent in NINE weeks (6/07):
Akon
Kelly Clarkson

Eligible to go recurrent in TEN weeks (6/14):
Flo Rida ("Right Round")
White Tie Affair


Going recurrent when they fall below #20 (Weeks in Top 40):
Kevin Rudolf (32)
Lady GaGa ("Just Dance") (22)
Taylor Swift (21)

[Az Paynter]

Not sure what to do with the top end of the chart this week; AAR is gaining again, Flo Rida could be peaking and Lady GaGa seems to be slowing down. I'm thinking Flo Rida will go negative, causing AAR to pass him again, then it'll be a fight between AAR and GaGa for the #1 spot, but at the rate she's currently going, AAR may claim a second run at the top with even more spins than they did last time. JTi will probably pass Kelly; even though she's still battling, they have enough momentum on her to pass her, but it will probably be close. Fray and Britney holding at #6 and #7 respectively. Soulja moves up ( ) while Pink stays just ahead of BEP who look set to crack the top 10. Ne-Yo chose the wrong day to finally make it, and will get pushed out again.

1. All-American Rejects - Gives You Hell (10000)
2. Lady GaGa - Poker Face (9900)
3. Flo Rida - Right Round
4. JTi - Dead & Gone
5. Kelly Clarkson - My Life Would Suck Without You
6. The Fray - You Found Me
7. Britney Spears - Circus
8. Soulja Boi - Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Pink - Sober
10. BEP - Boom Boom Pow

[JCMF3]

1) Poker Face (10201)
2) Right Round
3) Gives You Hell
4) Dead & Gone
5) My Life Would Suck Without You
6) You Found Me
7) Circus
8) Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9) Sober
10) Boom Boom Pow

[Dan G.]

This will be a very interesting week at the top of the chart (as evidenced by the first three predictions in this thread, each of which has a different #1 song). Right Round and Poker Face are the favorites, but Gives You Hell has shown resilience and has a very realistic chance of reclaiming #1 this weekend. All three songs could end up with more than 10,000 spins (in fact, that's what I'm predicting will happen, though just barely). One thing's for sure: we won't have another 12-way tie for first in the contest this week!

1. Right Round (10,211 Spins)
2. Poker Face (10,138 Spins)
3. Gives You Hell (10,056 Spins)
4. Dead And Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow


--DanG

[blfdguy1]

1. Right Round 10,357
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead & Gone
5. MLWSWY
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Boom Boom Pow
10. Sober

[Deleted]

01 Poker Face 10,500
02 Gives You Hell
03 Right Round
04 Dead And Gone
05 My Life Would Suck W...
06 You Found Me
07 Circus
08 Kiss Me Thru The Pho...
09 Sober
10 Boom Boom Pow

[someguy]

1. Poker Face (10, 088)
2. Gives You Hell
3. Right Round
4. Dead And Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
8. Circus
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

[David]

1. Right Round (10,238)
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead And Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
8. Circus
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

[rfucom]

1. Rigth Round (10,350)
2. Poker face (10,170)
3. Give you hell (9980)
4. Dead and Gone
5. MLWSWY
6. You found me
7. Circus
8. Kiss me through the phone
9. Boom Boom Pow
10. Sober
6.

[Battle601]

1. Gives You Hell (10,250)
2. Poker Face
3. Right Round
4. Dead and Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

It's a tough call between the Top 3 but I'm going to take my chances putting All-American Rejects at #1 seeing how their bullet picked up considerably from the weekend. With the highest bullet on the chart, Lady GaGa would have been the favorite but a decline from yesterday might be enough to slow down its momentum and probably make it fall short of #1. Flo Rida lost more compared to GaGa from yesterday, so if this trend continues, he could fall down to #3 even with the spin counts between them being close.
T.I./Justin will easily pass Kelly while The Fray will be stable. Britney's "Circus" is having a minor rebound in spins, while Pink is starting to fall a little fast, enough for Soulja Boy to pass her. Black Eyed Peas should easily crack the top 10 with their huge bullet, helped by the fact that everyone between them and the Top 10 are all unbulleted, save for Akon, but even he doesn't have enough to counter the Peas.

[beyoncelover]

1. Right Round - 10485
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead & Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

[jamrock16]

1. Right Round (10250 spins)
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead & Gone
5. MLWSWY
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss MTTP
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

[Mega248]

1. Right Round (10,225)
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead and Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru the Phone
9. Sober
10. Boom Boom Pow

[Acid Eyes]

1. Right Round (10,121)
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead And Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
8. Circus
9. Boom Boom Pow
10. Sober

[madraybot]

1 Right Round 10109
2 Poker Face
3 Gives You Hell
4 Dead and Gone
5 My Life Would Suck Without You
6 You Found Me
7 Circus
8 Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9 Sober
10 Boom Boom Pow

[Juanca]

3 1 LADY GAGA Poker Face 10105
1 2 FLO RIDA Right Round 10050
2 3 ALL-AMERICAN REJECTS Gives You Hell 9800
5 4 T.I. Dead And Gone f/J. Timberlake 8800
4 5 KELLY CLARKSON My Life Would Suck 8650
6 6 FRAY You Found Me 7800
7 7 BRITNEY SPEARS Circus 6600
9 8 SOULJA BOY Kiss Me Thru The Phone 6200
8 9 PINK Sober 5600
16 10 BLACK EYED PEAS Boom Boom Pow 5500

I think it's gonna be very close, but I'm betting on GaGa to make FloRida gag!

[Sir LOVE IX]

1. Right Round (10 087)
2. Poker Face
3. Gives You Hell
4. Dead And Gone
5. My Life Would Suck Without You
6. You Found Me
7. Circus
8. Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Boom Boom Pow
10. Sober

[Flashing Lights]

I hate being late.

1. Flo Rida - Right Round (10,090)
2. Lady Gaga - Poker Face
3. The All American Rejects - Gives You Hell
4. T.I. feat. Justin Timberlake - Dead And Gone
5. Kelly Clarkson - My Life Would Suck Without You
6. The Fray - You Found Me
7. Britney Spears - Circus
8. Soulja Boy feat. Sammie - Kiss Me Thru The Phone
9. Black Eyed Peas - Boom Boom Pow
10. Pink - Sober

[Az Paynter]

Well if you have perfect picks and the -3 you're still in a better position than me. After the latest update I feel stupid for saying AAR could be #1 again.

[Battle601]

At this point, the Top 3 is still anyone's game. From today's update, Flo Rida gained a little in spins while All-American Rejects lost some, but both were unbulleted by the same amount from yesterday.
Lady GaGa also took a major hit with the bullet (only because she's started to slow down a little bit) but continues to gain in spins, helping narrow the gap between her and All-American Rejects. Plus, it seems their chart movement patterns have varied considerably daily which makes it a little difficult to predict until we get to Sunday. Other than that, #4 through 10 are shaping up to what most of us are expecting.

[Juanca]

I can see also a new possible competition for #7 between Soulja and Britney, especially after today's update where Kiss Me climbed around 100spins and Brit dropped more than 100spins.

One curious detail is going to be the chart update for Saturday, where the effect of the new station will fade out.
I don't think AAR has any chance though. It will be a hard competiton between Flo and Ga.

Btw, it's been a case of complete freezing for Right Round in a short period. Probably they are one of those artists that canNOT have 2 songs rising at the time. Sugar seems to have "sucked" all new "spins" of Right Round ;)

[Dan G.]

Apr 3, 2009 0:00:54 GMT -5 Juanca said:

Btw, it's been a case of complete freezing for Right Round in a short period. Probably they are one of those artists that canNOT have 2 songs rising at the time. Sugar seems to have "sucked" all new "spins" of Right Round ;)

I don't know about that... It seems to me it's more a case of Right Round not having much higher to go. It had already climbed over 10,000 spins. It's currently averaging more than 75 spins per station. There really wasn't much more room for it to grow anymore.

[Battle601]

I stand to lose a lot this week. Just when I thought I had #4 through #10 correct, Soulja Boy passes Britney. As for the Top 3, that was messed up, save for Lady GaGa at #2.

[Az Paynter]

MEDIABASE CHART PREDICTION CONTEST

----------

04/05/09 CHART RESULTS

1. Spavin Kidder: PERFECT PICKS

2. Acetic Acid: -2
2. beyoncelover: -2
2. Dan G.: -2
2. jamrock16: -2
2. madraybot: -2
2. Mega248: -2

8. blfdguy1: -4
8. JCMF3: -4
8. JuanK Br!tch : If U Seek Ayllu: -4
8. rfucom: -4
8. someguy: -4

13. Azriel D. (Come Back To Seek Amy): -6
13. Purged With a Bullet: -6
13. reidlos20: -6

16. danol: -7 (-3 for Tuesday Picks)
16. Flashing Lights: -7 (-3 for Tuesday Picks)

----------

2009 YEAR-TO-DATE STANDINGS (AFTER WEEK 14 OF 50)

1. JCMF3: 3.5 Wins

2. Dan G.: 3.0 Wins

3. Flashing Lights: 2.5 Wins
3. Mega248: 2.5 Wins

5. Azriel D. (Light On The Circus): 2.0 Wins
5. erfrank: 2.0 Wins
5. someguy: 2.0 Wins
5. Spavin Kidder: 2.0 Wins

9. JuanK – FanKson: 1.5 Wins
9. madraybot: 1.5 Wins

11. beyoncelover: 1.0 Wins
11. blfdguy1: 1.0 Wins
11. onefrayedrepublic: 1.0 Wins
11. tcatron565: 1.0 Wins
11. The Max Redecorates: 1.0 Wins

16. jamrock16: 0.5 Wins
16. Purged With a Bullet: 0.5 Wins
16. reidlos20: 0.5 Wins
16. Stephen: 0.5 Wins

[Az Paynter]

Three Top-40 Debuts:
FLO RIDA Sugar (#31)
PITBULL I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho) (#36)
LILY ALLEN The Fear (#39)

Two Top-50 Debuts:
PINK Please Don’t Leave Me (#42)
NICKELBACK If Today Was Your Last Day (#48)

Top Five Most-Increased Plays:
Black Eyed Peas – Boom Boom Pow (+864)
Jamie Foxx – Blame It (+829)
Flo Rida – Sugar (+784)
Lady GaGa – Poker Face (+716)
Shinedown – Second Chance (+636)

Top Five Most-Played Recurrents:
Kevin Rudolf – Let It Rock (2794)
Katy Perry – Hot ‘N’ Cold (2526)
Jason Mraz – I’m Yours (2496)
Britney Spears – Womanizer (2067)
TiRi – Live Your Life (1956)

[David]

YES! I won again!

[Juanca]

Congrats!! That was a great victory!
It is interesting to see that with 14 weeks on, the champion 'only' has 3.5 spins. Last year the difference was much higher. This year, with more contestants the game is much more ocmpetitive! (and more job for Azriel ;) )

[Dan G.]

Apr 7, 2009 0:18:08 GMT -5 Juanca said:

That was a great victory!
It is interesting to see that with 14 weeks on, the champion 'only' has 3.5 spins.

3.5 spins?

[Battle601]

Apr 7, 2009 11:06:57 GMT -5 Dan G. said:

Apr 7, 2009 0:18:08 GMT -5 Juanca said:

That was a great victory!
It is interesting to see that with 14 weeks on, the champion 'only' has 3.5 spins.

3.5 spins?

Hahaha, I didn't even catch that one. I know he meant to say "wins" but you gotta admit, that's funny. LOL

[Juanca]

Oops!

3.5 wins/points
;)