Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 29, 2010 11:45:14 GMT -5
If Britney Spears and Lady Gaga were to release their first singles from their upcoming new albums to both radio and iTunes on the same day, who would debut higher on the Hot 100?
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Mack
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Post by Mack on Dec 29, 2010 11:46:50 GMT -5
Britney will debut higher (most likely at #1), but GaGa will sell more overall.
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Post by Peaches. [Ch, r. is] on Dec 29, 2010 11:48:08 GMT -5
Prediction: Britney's. I'm thinking Gaga's will last longer.
But, idek. It'll be Gaga's first single after an extremely successful era and radio will be hungry for her, as will music buyers.
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 11:55:30 GMT -5
Completely depends on the material at hand, but I'm assuming GaGa's will be bigger just because of how huge TF era was. Stranger things have happened though.
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dbhmr
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Post by dbhmr on Dec 29, 2010 11:59:29 GMT -5
I think the material matters more for Gaga than Britney. Britney will sell well, period. Gaga's can be huge and sell more than Britney with the right single coming off such a huge era, but if it's weak she will have more backlash to worry about than Britney. Right now I'd guess Gaga will come out on top, though.
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Post by kpasa on Dec 29, 2010 12:02:18 GMT -5
Who will come out on top? Based on past history: Gaga in the long run
But to answer the question of who will debut higher: Britney.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 29, 2010 12:04:09 GMT -5
Britney will debut higher (most likely at #1), but GaGa will sell more overall. This sums it up. |
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Post by Peaches. [Ch, r. is] on Dec 29, 2010 12:07:43 GMT -5
Based on past history: ... debut higher: Britney. Really? Besides '3', what's Britney's debut history? |
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 12:09:31 GMT -5
Based on past history: ... debut higher: Britney. Really? Besides '3', what's Britney's debut history? He was saying that based on past history, GaGa will come out on top. That statement was separate from his bottom one. You misunderstood...  |
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Post by Peaches. [Ch, r. is] on Dec 29, 2010 12:12:05 GMT -5
Really? Besides '3', what's Britney's debut history? He was saying that based on past history, GaGa will come out on top. That statement was separate from his bottom one. You misunderstood...  Oopsie. Cause I actually feel the opposite of Danny. I feel like quality of the song matters less in Gaga's case just cause people will still hop on anything she releases. I'm not really familiar with Brit's debut history but I feel like 3 was a rare exception. |
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Post by kpasa on Dec 29, 2010 12:15:00 GMT -5
'Circus' got to number 3 on the album release, and had radio not picked up 'Womanizer' when it did, it would have had no problem debuting at number 1. She's a digital monster, but then again Gaga is too. I just think Britney will have a bit of an edge there.
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 12:15:20 GMT -5
He was saying that based on past history, GaGa will come out on top. That statement was separate from his bottom one. You misunderstood... Oopsie. Cause I actually feel the opposite of Danny. I feel like quality of the song matters less in Gaga's case just cause people will still hop on anything she releases. I'm not really familiar with Brit's debut history but I feel like 3 was a rare exception. She's opened up very strong digitally for years now, but her sales do tend to be front-loaded. As for Hot 100 debuts, 3 was a rare exception but that's only because her recent songs have made a Hot 100 debut based on airplay alone, so... |
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Dec 29, 2010 12:17:47 GMT -5
It depends on when the song leaks (or is released) and when it's released to digital outlets.
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Nadia
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Post by Nadia on Dec 29, 2010 12:28:39 GMT -5
Lady Gaga.
just because one of brit's single debut @ #1 ( weak week tbh) doesn't all of them will.
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 12:33:22 GMT -5
Lady Gaga. just because one of brit's single debut @ #1 ( weak week tbh) doesn't all of them will. Nobody (other than Mack) is saying that Britney will definitely debut @ #1 but there's no question that Britney opens very well digitally. 'Gimme More' 'Womanizer' 'Circus' '3' ...and a slew of album tracks have opened up with strong numbers. It isn't going out on a limb to assume that she will, again, debut with strong numbers. |
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Mack
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Post by Mack on Dec 29, 2010 12:37:21 GMT -5
Lady Gaga. just because one of brit's single debut @ #1 ( weak week tbh) doesn't all of them will. Nobody (other than Mack) is saying that Britney will definitely debut @ #1... I never said that: Britney will debut higher ( most likely at #1), but GaGa will sell more overall. |
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 12:40:04 GMT -5
Nobody (other than Mack) is saying that Britney will definitely debut @ #1... I never said that: Britney will debut higher ( most likely at #1), but GaGa will sell more overall. Sorry for misquoting Mack. :) ...but that's still a big assumption so my point remains. Nobody is really saying that it's likely for HIAM to debut @ #1, but it is likely that this debuts with high digital numbers. |
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Post by Peaches. [Ch, r. is] on Dec 29, 2010 12:42:53 GMT -5
He never said that  |
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Nadia
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Post by Nadia on Dec 29, 2010 12:44:47 GMT -5
Lady Gaga. just because one of brit's single debut @ #1 ( weak week tbh) doesn't all of them will. Nobody (other than Mack) is saying that Britney will definitely debut @ #1 but there's no question that Britney opens very well digitally. 'Gimme More' 'Womanizer' 'Circus' '3' ...and a slew of album tracks have opened up with strong numbers. It isn't going out on a limb to assume that she will, again, debut with strong numbers. ofc she will debut with strong numbers but yeah idk she might or might not. umm Where did Gimme More debut at? I didn't know it charted well  |
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Hefty Hanna
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Post by Hefty Hanna on Dec 29, 2010 12:49:32 GMT -5
Nobody (other than Mack) is saying that Britney will definitely debut @ #1 but there's no question that Britney opens very well digitally. 'Gimme More' 'Womanizer' 'Circus' '3' ...and a slew of album tracks have opened up with strong numbers. It isn't going out on a limb to assume that she will, again, debut with strong numbers. ofc she will debut with strong numbers but yeah idk she might or might not. umm Where did Gimme More debut at? I didn't know it charted well 'Gimme More' debuted in the 80s but then jumped all the way up to #3 with opening numbers of 179K. It has since sold 1.5 million digital copies. |
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Nadia
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Post by Nadia on Dec 29, 2010 12:52:58 GMT -5
ofc she will debut with strong numbers but yeah idk she might or might not. umm Where did Gimme More debut at? I didn't know it charted well 'Gimme More' debuted in the 80s but then jumped all the way up to #3 with opening numbers of 179K. It has since sold 1.5 million digital copies. aww i'm glad. My fave lead singe from Britney  They will both get the #1 so whatever |
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 29, 2010 12:59:11 GMT -5
I think the material matters more for Gaga than Britney. Britney will sell well, period. Material matters for both of them - most people in this world aren't stans - they're not gonna waste money on a song they don't like As far as first week numbers though, I'd say Britney (unless the single leaks early and it's terrible) |
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Gravity.
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Post by Gravity. on Dec 29, 2010 13:28:30 GMT -5
If Britney's fans can have "3" debut at #1, I'm sure that this lead single will too. I expect them both to do very well, but Gaga will last longer on the chart.
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Post by kpasa on Dec 29, 2010 13:37:24 GMT -5
Material matters for both of them - most people in this world aren't stans - they're not gonna waste money on a song they don't like. Yes and no. '3' is a great example of a song that, while it was good, wasn't anything new or spectacular but still managed to have a monster debut. The thing is though, I don't think "material" is an object here since both ladies will put out spectacular cuts, I'm sure. |
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dbhmr
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Post by dbhmr on Dec 29, 2010 13:51:39 GMT -5
I think the material matters more for Gaga than Britney. Britney will sell well, period. Material matters for both of them - most people in this world aren't stans - they're not gonna waste money on a song they don't like As far as first week numbers though, I'd say Britney (unless the single leaks early and it's terrible) I didn't say material was irrelevant for Britney--of course it matters. I just think it matters more for Gaga. Britney is notorious for big, front-loaded sales because she has a substantial fan base that will be there when she releases material, basically no matter what. Whether or not that's enough to beat Gaga depends on how good Gaga's single is. |
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Black Jesus
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Post by Black Jesus on Dec 29, 2010 14:02:02 GMT -5
GaGa although I have a feeling both will go to #1
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Post by josuem1415 on Dec 29, 2010 14:04:31 GMT -5
G0Dney, easily, obviously, by far.
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 29, 2010 14:07:48 GMT -5
Material matters for both of them - most people in this world aren't stans - they're not gonna waste money on a song they don't like As far as first week numbers though, I'd say Britney (unless the single leaks early and it's terrible) I didn't say material was irrelevant for Britney--of course it matters. I just think it matters more for Gaga. Britney is notorious for big, front-loaded sales because she has a substantial fan base that will be there when she releases material, basically no matter what. Whether or not that's enough to beat Gaga depends on how good Gaga's single is. Oh sorry - thought when you said "Britney will sell well period" you meant no matter what she puts out |
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HEADOFTHEPACK
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Post by HEADOFTHEPACK on Dec 29, 2010 14:16:54 GMT -5
I don't think GaGa's will be an immediately catchy single, whereas Britney's will be. Britney will debut higher, but GaGa's will most likely be more successful in the long run. Both will be massive, but don't underestimate Britney.
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Jay
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Post by Jay on Dec 29, 2010 14:34:28 GMT -5
Probably Gaga because she's had a HUGE past couple of years, but Britney would be close behind.
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