Billboard Hot 100: 08/11/2012

[nivekwriter1]

Because Cesarams hasn't started a new post yet, but the airplay updates are there already, I started this topic.

Airplay update (7/26/2012)

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 182.724 (- 0.658)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 161.340 (- 1.275)
3. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 155.774 (+ 0.130)
4. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 150.713 (+ 1.297)
5. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 148.361 (- 1.840)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 137.671 (+ 1.598)
7. USHER - Scream: 114.251 (+ 0.642)
8. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 83.490 (+ 1.952)
9. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 82.350 (+ 0.765)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 80.109 (- 0.101)
11. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 78.545 (- 0.972)
12. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 73.308 (- 1.038)
13. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 71.248 (- 0.932)
14. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 69.803 (+ 0.225)
15. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 68.243 (+ 1.799)
16. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 64.172 (- 0.348)
17. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 63.247 (- 0.136)
18. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 63.173 (+ 0.474)
19. KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 62.906 (+ 0.477)
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 61.750 (- 1.001)

Others

TRAIN - Drive By: 58.406 (+ 0.170)
GLORIANA - (Kissed You) Good Night: 57.978 (+ 0.023)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 57.228 (+ 1.826)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 53.091 (+ 0.012)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 51.560 (+ 0.517)
2 CHAINZ - No Lie f/Drake: 46.921 (+ 0.373)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 45.931 (+ 0.121)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 42.255 (+ 0.747)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 38.508 (+ 0.814)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Pontoon: 35.836 (+ 1.584)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 34.759 (+ 0.196)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.073 (- 0.216)
FUN. - Some Nights: 29.765 (+ 0.659)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 26.875 (+ 0.398)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 24.919 (+ 1.323)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 24.546 (+ 0.141)
NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 23.895 (+ 1.242)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 22.613 (+ 0.216)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 15.164 (+ 0.816)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 15.129 (+ 2.027)
GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 14.752 (+ 0.379)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 14.165 (+ 1.145)
MAROON 5 - One More Night: 10.912 (+ 0.737)
KILLERS - Runaways: 6.629 (+ 0.119)

[jj99$ - - LeLe]

Lets go Nicki.

The Battle for Hot100 #1 this week will be Heated to say the least.

[Lozzy]

15. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 68.243 (+ 1.799)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 57.228 (+ 1.826)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 42.255 (+ 0.747)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 38.508 (+ 0.814)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Pontoon: 35.836 (+ 1.584)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 24.919 (+ 1.323)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 15.164 (+ 0.816)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 15.129 (+ 2.027)

[nivekwriter1]

I use daily airplay data and the pop bars to make a prediction for the hot 100. Last week i had almost the complete top 10 right, so maybe it is a good predictor.

The number behind the song are the points it has gained this week until now.

Gains
1 point more than last day: bold
2 points more than last day: green
3 points more than last day: red
5 points more than last day: purple

Prediction hot 100 (until now)
Closest top 3 in a very long time

1. Katy Perry - Wide Awake (152.48)
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (151.53)
3. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (149.54)
4. Flo Rida - Whistle (131.31)
5. Ellie Goulding - Lights (122.01)
6. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (113.95)
7. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (111.98)
8. Usher - Scream (90.44)
9. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (88.18)
10. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (84.34)
11. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (78.10)
12. Fun. - Some Nights (76.28)
13. Owl City ft. Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time (71.07)
14. Calvin Harris ft. Ne-Yo - Let's Go (69.68)
15. One Direction - What Makes You Beautiful (66.65)
16. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks (63.17)
17. Fun. ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (62.84)
18. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (62.79)
19. Nicki Minaj - Starships (61.13)
20. Kayne West ft. Big Sean, Pusha T, Tyga - Mercy (61.08)

23. Jason Aldean - Take A Little Ride (54.63) :o

High rises and debuts outside the top 20:

22. Little Big Town - Pontoon (56.28)
32. Justin Bieber - As Long As You Love Me (46.96)
39. Kelly Clarkson - Dark Side (38.23)
41. No Doubt - Settle Down (27.62)

Bottom 50:

Chris Brown - Don't Wake Me Up (23.06)
Carrie Underwood - Blown Away (22.59)
Maroon 5 - One More Night (21.39)
Nicki Minaj - Pound The Alarm (9.47)

[NeRD]

Interesting week for sure.

[dlostfan]

This week is definitely going to have some very tough competition. Right now I am expecting like:

Song - Sales - Airplay

WA - 150k - 115M
Payphone - 120k - 130M
CMM - 145k - 112M

WA should have a slight advantage over the two in terms of Sales and Airplay but should be a bit behind on streaming.

Payphone and CMM are practically tied in terms of Sales and Airplay, and streaming should be quite close as well.

This will be really interesting......

[Au$tin]

Watch "Payphone" take #1.

[josh]

Lol hopefully it does, that way Nicki can have the record for the longest run for a song that debuted in the top 10 and didn't hit #1.

[badrobot]

This reminds me of when "Give Me Everything" sneaked out a week at #1 after looking like it'd be held out of the top spot -- I don't particularly like "Payphone" but for a song to spend nearly 4 months stuck in the #2 or 3 spot, it'd be nice for it to snag a week.

[josh]

Yeah, GME was a huge song and got stuck between RITD and PRA. Could be something like CMM, PP, and then Lights or Whistle. Those two increasing the most on streaming, which now being a huge factor makes them seem most likely to be the biggest hits.

[NeRD]

Jul 26, 2012 14:26:44 GMT -5 badrobot said:

This reminds me of when "Give Me Everything" sneaked out a week at #1 after looking like it'd be held out of the top spot -- I don't particularly like "Payphone" but for a song to spend nearly 4 months stuck in the #2 or 3 spot, it'd be nice for it to snag a week.

Yeah, crazy.

Just bad timing I guess.

How will Payphone have much of a chance though since its lacking in sales, and its starting to rapidly decrease in airplay?

EDIT: Just viewed today's update, and PP has leveled out a bit.

Still think next week will be strictly between CMM and WA, with Whistle jumping both the following week.

[kingofpain]

The sales for Payphone have let it down... It can't seem to close the gap between CMM. I think WA will take it instead.

[pnobelysk]

I know it isnt likley, but if CMM held on to number one, and the following week Lights took over, we'd have 4 artitst getting number ones with their first charting singles in a row.

[bat1990]

It Katy can make it to #1 with "Wide Awake," I wonder if Capitol will try and pull something to re-issue TOTGA to get it to #1. Or they are kicking themselves for deciding to release it.

On the other hand, they will have another shot at Whitney's record leading into her next album.

[josh]

I don't see how TOTGA would get to #1 at all?? It had a remix, discount over the CHRISTMAS season, and an accoustic version.

Really, anyone who wants the song has bought it already. Its shot at #1 is long gone.

[Agent Yoncé]

Y'all imaginations are something else. 'TOTGA' never had a chance w/all its antics. If 'WA' just so happens to go #1, 'TOTGA' would live up to its title b/c it would truly be the song that got away from breaking MJ's record & challenging Whitney's record.

[josh]

Wouldn't she have broken both records, if WA and TOTGA both hit #1?

[Agent Yoncé]

She would've broken Nippy's record for having 8 consecutive #1s.

[josh]

Well you said "breaking MJ's record" while only "challenging Whitney's record."

So your word choice made it sound like those 8 #1s would only break MJ's record, and only either get close to or tie Whitney's record.

[Agent Yoncé]

Yes. She would've broken MJ's record for having the most #1s off an album. I only threw in challenging for Nippy's record b/c 'WA' isn't #1, yet, if it goes #1 :)

[josh]

But you started out saying "If 'WA' just so happens to go #1" so that's why I assumed all 8 would have been #1 then.

[Agent Yoncé]

Oh yea, huh? You're right. Lol

[nivekwriter1]

There are still no airplay updates

[Agent Yoncé]

Wow. What's the hold up?

[SPRΞΞ]

i think we're lucky to get them in the first place, imo. I remember a time when we didn't get anything for a good couple months.

[nivekwriter1]

Sorry for the delay

airplay update (7/27/2012)


1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 181.367 (- 1.357)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 160.452 (- 0.888)
3. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 155.774 (+ 0.000)
4. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 152.202 (+ 1.489)
5. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 145.656 (- 2.705)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 139.360 (+ 1.689)
7. USHER - Scream: 114.432 (+ 0.181)
8. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 84.678 (+ 1.188)
9. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 83.692 (+ 1.342)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 79.824(- 0.285)
11. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 77.410 (- 1.135)
12. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 72.285 (- 1.023)
13. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 71.227 (+ 1.424)
14. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 70.244 (- 1.004)
15. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 69.855 (+ 1.612)
17. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 64.010 (+0.763)
16. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 63.575 (- 0.597)
18. KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 63.182 (+ 0.276)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 62.854 (- 0.319)
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 60.760 (- 0.990)

Others

FLO RIDA - Whistle: 58.856 (+ 1.628)
TRAIN - Drive By: 58.065 (- 0.341)
GLORIANA - (Kissed You) Good Night: 57.920 (- 0.058)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 53.560 (+ 0.469)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 52.416 (+ 0.856)
2 CHAINZ - No Lie f/Drake: 47.068 (+ 0.147)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 46.318 (+ 0.387)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 42.635 (+ 0.380)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 39.107 (+ 0.599)
LITTLE BIG TOWN - Pontoon: 37.327 (+ 1.491)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 34.934 (+ 0.175)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 32.672 (- 0.401)
FUN. - Some Nights: 30.711 (+ 0.946)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 27.230 (+ 0.355)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 26.204 (+ 1.285)
NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 25.011 (+ 1.116)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 24.826 (+ 0.280)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 22.729 (+ 0.116)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 17.042 (+ 1.913)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 15.441 (+ 0.277)
GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 15.276 (+ 0.524)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 15.210 (+ 1.045)
MAROON 5 - One More Night: 12.036 (+ 1.124)
KILLERS - Runaways: 6.6750 (+ 0.121)

[nivekwriter1]

The site where I get the airplay data from didn't uploaded the airplay update until now,
that's why there was a delay.

[NeRD]

No 2 million+ updates today.

[josh]

OMG I keep +1ing everything but it's not working I'M GOING CRAZY

Nicki greatest gainer?

[Agent Yoncé]

Death at (+ 0.000). Lol