Verisimilitude
8x Platinum Member
'90s Zealot
Joined: July 2010
Posts: 8,960 
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Post by Verisimilitude on Aug 8, 2012 13:31:26 GMT -5
ONE-DAY SALES FORECAST: The Now franchise just keeps tickin’, despite—or perhaps because of—consumers’ primary focus on singles. Now 43 (Capitol/EMI) will be next Tuesday’s biggest debut by a mile, just as Rick Ross’ album was this week), with early sales projecting a tally of 110-120k. That appears to be enough to knock Ross out of the top perch, given the typical second-week drop-off. R&B artist Elle Varner (RCA) should have the next biggest bow with 25-30k, followed by country rapper Colt Ford (Average Joe's) with 15-20k and John Mayer’s iTunes exclusive EP (Columbia), with 14-17k. (8/8p)
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Rican@
8x Platinum Member
[Only dry eyes, I would love on you for years]
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Posts: 8,974
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Post by Rican@ on Aug 8, 2012 13:44:45 GMT -5
Not bad for Elle. That should be a top 10 debut
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Honeymoon
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Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,256
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 9, 2012 17:33:09 GMT -5
Capitol/EMI's Now 43 will debut at #1 next week, the first time a Now compilation has debuted on top since Now 37 hit the summit in February, 2011, with 151k. For now, it appears that all four major distributors will be represented in the Top 5. Of course, there will likely be a surprise or two, thanks to Amazon MP3's 99-cent Daily Deals. In the meantime, here's how it looks headed into the weekend:
*Now 43 (Capitol/EMI) 110-120k
Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 60-65k
Zac Brown Band (Atlantic) 30-35k
Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 30-35k
One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 27-30k
*Elle Varner (RCA) 27-30k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 27-30k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 24-27k
*Colt Ford (Average Joe's) 21-24k
Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 20-23k
Nas (Def Jam/IDJ) 17-20k
Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 15-18k
fun. (Fueled By Ramen) 15-18k
Carrie Underwood (19/AristaNashville) 15-18k
Kenny Chesney (Blue Chair/ColumbiaNashville) 15-18k
Of Monsters & Men (Republic) 14-17k
Frank Ocean (Def Jam/IDJ) 14-17k
*Debuts (8/9p)
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Honeymoon
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Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,256
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 9, 2012 17:33:24 GMT -5
Not a whole lot of excitement for this week, eh?
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Post by Love Plastic Love on Aug 9, 2012 18:30:37 GMT -5
One Direction being #5 and Adele #7 still impresses me.
/broken record
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carrieidol1
Diamond Member
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 12,588
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Post by carrieidol1 on Aug 9, 2012 18:31:43 GMT -5
Glad to see Carrie stabilizing in the 15-18k range!
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bornfearless2000
4x Platinum Member
SOMETHING IN THE WATER
Joined: November 2011
Posts: 4,030
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Post by bornfearless2000 on Aug 9, 2012 20:23:34 GMT -5
Carrie Underwood's BLOWN AWAY has never left top 25. and it will jump 6 spots to #14 if the forecast is correct.
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chartfreak
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Posts: 10,316
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Post by chartfreak on Aug 10, 2012 9:08:27 GMT -5
One Direction being #5 and Adele #7 still impresses me. /broken record Of course, there will likely be a surprise or two, thanks to Amazon MP3's 99-cent Daily Deals. |
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Agent Yoncé
Diamond Member
Joined: November 2010
Posts: 24,872
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Aug 10, 2012 10:00:26 GMT -5
fun. will see gold in 2wks! :)
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divasummer
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Joined: November 2011
Posts: 9,847
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Post by divasummer on Aug 10, 2012 10:09:20 GMT -5
Carrie's single seems to be doing very well digitally.
Is there any chance this may get promoted to other formats.
I think it could do well and may get her closer to getting another 2mill seller.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 10, 2012 15:08:32 GMT -5
fun. will see gold in 2wks! :) That will be fun.! (bad joke I know) ;) |
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Aug 10, 2012 17:00:51 GMT -5
I hate when random compilations are #1. Though I guess it doesn't happen too often. How many CDs from the Now series have hit #1?
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HolidayGuy
Diamond Member
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Posts: 33,884
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 10, 2012 17:20:05 GMT -5
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bornfearless2000
4x Platinum Member
SOMETHING IN THE WATER
Joined: November 2011
Posts: 4,030
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Post by bornfearless2000 on Aug 10, 2012 20:05:39 GMT -5
Carrie's single seems to be doing very well digitally. Is there any chance this may get promoted to other formats. I think it could do well and may get her closer to getting another 2mill seller. Probably just HOT AC radio. She has stated that she will never remix her songs to Pop. |
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Post by chocolatethunder on Aug 10, 2012 20:18:50 GMT -5
Just took a look at the Now 43 compilation its basically every played to death song at the top of the BB chart, no thanks.
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cjay
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Joined: October 2006
Posts: 3,046
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Post by cjay on Aug 10, 2012 22:24:53 GMT -5
Carrie's single seems to be doing very well digitally. Is there any chance this may get promoted to other formats. I think it could do well and may get her closer to getting another 2mill seller. Probably just HOT AC radio. She has stated that she will never remix her songs to Pop. That's too bad. But it's also smart of her. It would be a damn shame if she got herself blacklisted at country radio like LeAnn Rimes or Faith Hill (faith to as lightly lesser extent). |
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divasummer
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Posts: 9,847
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Post by divasummer on Aug 12, 2012 9:24:23 GMT -5
I don't even think Carrie's "Blown Away" sounds all that country.
I bought it when it came out on ITunes and I normally don't care that much for Country.
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Honeymoon
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,256
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 12, 2012 11:59:57 GMT -5
I'd classify "Blown Away" as Pop/AC with a hint of Country. I like the song a lot though
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 13, 2012 11:48:48 GMT -5
I was able get a New Release Schedule.
I have to leave, but here's a quick update:
2 Chainz 100k
Trey Songz 200k
Kanye West 250k
Dave Matthews Band 275k
Pink 250k
MJ Bad 140k
Mumford & Sons 200k
Jackie Evancho 150k
Jason Aldean 350k
Taylor Swift 900k
More later...
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 13, 2012 11:55:35 GMT -5
ONE year ago: www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/archcht.cgi?cht460CHART DATE: 08/15/2011 -- 1 JAY Z & KANYE WEST ROC-A-FELLA/ROC NATION 426,661 -- WATCH THE THRONE -- 2 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 148,821 -- TAILGATES & TANLINES -- 3 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 39 CAPITOL/EMI 109,988 -- VARIOUS ARTISTS 1 4 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 73,029 -5% 21 2 5 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 36,650 -34% CHIEF 6 6 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 36,033 -12% MY KINDA PARTY 21 7 JACKIE EVANCHO COLUMBIA 29,622 +77% DREAM WITH ME 8 8 BEYONCE COLUMBIA 27,355 -19% 4 7 9 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 25,145 -33% KIDZ BOP 20 -- 10 ACE HOOD DEF JAM/IDJ 25,126 -- BLOOD SWEAT & TEARS |
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SPRΞΞ
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 21,751
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 13, 2012 11:59:51 GMT -5
^ew!
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Joined: August 2008
Posts: 54,550
My Charts
Pronouns: He/his/him
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Post by Au$tin on Aug 13, 2012 12:31:54 GMT -5
Carrie's single seems to be doing very well digitally. Is there any chance this may get promoted to other formats. I think it could do well and may get her closer to getting another 2mill seller. Probably just HOT AC radio. She has stated that she will never remix her songs to Pop. The thing is, though, is that she doesn't have to. "Blown Away" is pop enough on its own to cross over if only they'd give it a pop adds date. |
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Agent Yoncé
Diamond Member
Joined: November 2010
Posts: 24,872
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Aug 13, 2012 12:45:12 GMT -5
I was able get a New Release Schedule. I have to leave, but here's a quick update: 2 Chainz 100k Trey Songz 200k Kanye West 250k Dave Matthews Band 275k Pink 250k MJ Bad 140k Mumford & Sons 200k Jackie Evancho 150k Jason Aldean 350k Taylor Swift 900k More later... Kanye? Or do they mean GOOD Music? & I think Trey will get very close to 200k. Probably between 175-190k. |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 13, 2012 14:13:08 GMT -5
^Yes, GOOD Music.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 13, 2012 14:17:51 GMT -5
NOW IN: 54.02%
LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 43 CAPITOL/EMI 83,618
VARIOUS ARTISTS
1 2 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJ 41,187
GOD FORGIVES, I DON'T
-- 3 ELLE VARNER RCA 24,886
PERFECTLY IMPERFECT
3 4 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 23,294
BELIEVE
4 5 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 22,559
UP ALL NIGHT
2 6 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 22,294
UNCAGED
5 7 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 19,418
KIDZ BOP 22
7 8 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 19,261
21
8 9 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 15,944
OVEREXPOSED
22 10 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 15,454
SOME NIGHTS
14 11 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 14,226
TAILGATES & TANLINES
20 12 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 13,455
BLOWN AWAY
-- 13 JOHN MAYER COLUMBIA 13,425
COMPLETE 2012 PERFORMANCES
-- 14 COLT FORD AVERAGE JOE'S 13,027
DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE
13 15 KENNY CHESNEY BLUE CHAIR/COLUMBIA NASH 12,391
WELCOME TO THE FISHBOWL
6 16 NAS DEF JAM/IDJ 11,182
LIFE IS GOOD
12 17 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 10,370
LIVING THINGS
21 18 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 9,419
TEENAGE DREAM
-- 19 10 YEARS PALE HORSE 8,675
MINUS THE MACHINE
15 20 CHRIS BROWN RCA 8,608
FORTUNE
17 21 USHER RCA 8,183
LOOKING 4 MYSELF
11 22 FRANK OCEAN DEF JAM/IDJ 7,978
CHANNEL ORANGE
10 23 GLORIANA EMBLEM/REPRISE 7,961
THOUSAND MILES LEFT BEHIND
29 24 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 7,510
CHIEF
-- 25 NOW PARTY ANTHEMS CAPITOL/EMI 7,177
VARIOUS ARTISTS
48 26 PHILLIP PHILLIPS 19/INTERSCOPE 6,503
AMERICAN IDOL EP
30 27 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 42 CAPITOL/EMI 6,425
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 28 NOW COUNTRY 5 UME 5,838
VARIOUS ARTISTS
41 29 R. KELLY RCA 4,499
WRITE ME BACK
26 30 SPARKLE RCA 4,403
SOUNDTRACK
9 31 JOSS STONE S-CURVE 4,259
SOUL SESSIONS, VOL. 2
49 32 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 4,125
HUNTER HAYES
39 33 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 3,982
MY KINDA PARTY
-- 34 LIONEL RICHIE MERCURY NASHVILLE 3,189
TUSKEGEE
32 35 NICKI MINAJ YM/CM/REPUBLIC 3,030
PINK FRIDAY... ROMAN RELOADED
-- 36 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 2,918
STRONGER
43 37 FLO RIDA ATLANTIC 2,752
WILD ONES
-- 38 BRANTLEY GILBERT BIG MACHINE 2,745
HALFWAY TO HEAVEN
38 39 SLIPKNOT ROADRUNNER 2,675
ANTENNA TO HELL
-- 40 JASON MRAZ ATLANTIC 2,634
LOVE IS A FOUR LETTER WORD
46 41 LOVE AND THEFT RCA NASHVILLE 2,594
LOVE AND THEFT
42 42 JENNIFER LOPEZ EPIC 2,566
DANCE AGAIN... THE HITS
23 43 MMG PRESENTS: SELF MADE, VOL. 2 MAYBACH MUSIC GROUP 2,454
VARIOUS
47 44 GOTYE FAIRFAX/REPUBLIC 2,418
MAKING MIRRORS
-- 45 TRAIN COLUMBIA 2,329
CALIFORNIA 37
16 46 RUSH ROADRUNNER 2,195
CLOCKWORK ANGELS
24 47 LUMINEERS DUALTONE 2,096
LUMINEERS
31 48 JOHN MAYER COLUMBIA 1,876
BORN AND RAISED
19 49 TESTAMENT NUCLEAR BLAST AMERICA 1,835
DARK ROOTS OF EARTH
35 50 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 1,456
SIGH NO MORE
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Agent Yoncé
Diamond Member
Joined: November 2010
Posts: 24,872
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Aug 13, 2012 14:24:47 GMT -5
Capitol/EMI's Now 43 will debut at #1 next week, the first time a Now compilation has debuted on top since Now 37 hit the summit in February, 2011, with 151k. For now, it appears that all four major distributors will be represented in the Top 5. Of course, there will likely be a surprise or two, thanks to Amazon MP3's 99-cent Daily Deals. In the meantime, here's how it looks headed into the weekend: *Elle Varner (RCA) 27-30k *Debuts (8/9p) NOW IN: 54.02% LW TW artist / album label power index -- 3 ELLE VARNER RCA 24,886 PERFECTLY IMPERFECT She damn near met her predictions! Gurly better wurq. I just hope Amazon discounts has nothing to do w/her #s. |
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Honeymoon
3x Platinum Member
Joined: November 2006
Posts: 3,256
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Post by Honeymoon on Aug 13, 2012 15:47:15 GMT -5
I was able get a New Release Schedule. I have to leave, but here's a quick update: 2 Chainz 100k Trey Songz 200k Kanye West 250k Dave Matthews Band 275k Pink 250k MJ Bad 140k Mumford & Sons 200k Jackie Evancho 150k Jason Aldean 350k Taylor Swift 900k More later... 2 Chainz, Trey Songz, Pink, Taylor, all look about right. Kanye, Jackie, Jason, DMB, might be a bit optimistic That MJ projection for the Bad re-release looks VERY optimistic. M&S will be closer to 250k IMO |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2012 16:28:27 GMT -5
All of that, you should not take too seriously. Like all other 'estimates' it will either be right or it won't but at the end of the day it is still an opinion
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 13, 2012 16:38:38 GMT -5
^Please. We all know that.
They are estimates done by a major label.
Sometimes they are right (Rick Ross) and sometimes they are wrong (Sparkle).
It's just a good guide to what sales might be.
They are not "law." Not once have I said they are 100% accurate.
Let us have some fun...
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2012 16:40:31 GMT -5
fair enough
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