Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Sept 12, 2012 13:25:32 GMT -5
IT’S ALL ABOUT DAVE'S WORLD
Dave Matthews Band Will Sell 260-275k for #1; Dylan, Avetts, Little Big Town Bow
September 12, 2012
The Dave Matthews Band has the kind of populist appeal Barack Obama would die for, and pretty much the same audience, too.
The veteran RCA crossover jam band’s latest studio album, Away from the World, will debut at #1 next week with sales of between 260-275k. Those figures are based on one-day sales reports from physical music retailers not dealing in black-market iPhone 5s and the usual digital suspects.
The group, who play Hollywood Bowl tonight, sold 424k in the first week of its previous album, June 2009’s mellifluously titled Big Whiskey and the GrooGrux King, which was Grammy-nominated for Best Rock Album and Album of the Year.
Bob Dylan’s Tempest, already the subject of widely varying views, is his 35th in a 50-year recording career, mostly at Columbia Records, and is on target for between 95-105k in sales, highlighted by the opening of a temporary "pop-up shop" on Melrose Avenue in L.A. devoted entirely to Zimmy product. That will put Bob in a rundown for second place with veteran American/Republic roots band Avett Brothers, whose latest, The Carpenter, is estimated to do between 90-100k. The projected total dwarfs that of the Rick Rubin-nurtured group's previous album, I and Love and You, which debuted with 40k in sales in Sept. ’09. The Avetts memorably performed a tribute to acoustic music with Dylan and Mumford & Sons at the Grammy ceremony two years ago.
Capitol Nashville country rockers Little Big Town’s fifth album, Tornado, is also looking at first-week sales of 90-100k, which would also more than double its last album, The Reason Why, which debuted with 42k.
Young Turks/XL hip U.K. alternative act The xx’s critically acclaimed sophomore album Coexist should do between 60-70k.
American/Republic’s ZZ Top album, La Futura, co-produced by the band’s Billy Gibbons with Rick Rubin, is estimated at 25-28k.
Album sales were down 3% vs. last week, down 13% vs. same week last year and down 5% year to date.
Track sales were up 3% vs. last week, up 9% vs. same week last year and up 6% year to date.
TEA sales were down 1% vs. last week, down 7% vs. same week last year and down 2% year to date.
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Verisimilitude
8x Platinum Member
'90s Zealot
Joined: July 2010
Posts: 8,959
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Post by Verisimilitude on Sept 12, 2012 13:26:27 GMT -5
4 albums MAY top 100K. :o :o :o
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Post by when the pawn... on Sept 12, 2012 13:40:25 GMT -5
Really crazy that The Avett Brothers may outsell Dylan.
The longevity of DMB is very very impressive.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Sept 12, 2012 14:27:12 GMT -5
The New Release Schedule said:
Dave Matthews Band 275k
Bob Dylan 111k
Avett Brothers 65k
Little Big Town 45k
ZZ Top 25k
DMX 25k
Kix Brooks 20k
I'm trying to get a current NRS, but I am having no luck.
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Sept 12, 2012 14:54:50 GMT -5
This will be the sixth #1 in a row for DMB, I think, breaking a record? I read that yesterday so I figured someone here could confirm that if it was true.
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Envoirment
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Post by Envoirment on Sept 12, 2012 15:02:27 GMT -5
This will be the sixth #1 in a row for DMB, I think, breaking a record? I read that yesterday so I figured someone here could confirm that if it was true. Jay-Z has had 9 albums hit #1 in a row I believe. Not including his collab albums. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2012 15:06:15 GMT -5
Wow, all my favourite artists ruling the top5? Is it Christmas yet?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2012 15:07:53 GMT -5
This will be the sixth #1 in a row for DMB, I think, breaking a record? I read that yesterday so I figured someone here could confirm that if it was true. Jay-Z has had 9 albums hit #1 in a row I believe. Not including his collab albums. That's probably what disqualifies him. I guess it's a record for studio albums, because DMB have had a LOT of live albums that didn't go to #1 (and a compilation album). DMB's longevity and consistency is astounding. |
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Post by Push The Button on Sept 12, 2012 17:21:43 GMT -5
What about Dylan's longevity? 50 albums in and 50 years into his career and he's still debuting near the top.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2012 19:55:38 GMT -5
The Beatles hold the record for most #1 albums in a row, 9, set back in the 60's.
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Gravity.
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Mischief Managed
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Post by Gravity. on Sept 12, 2012 21:36:13 GMT -5
Fantastic for Little Big Town.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Sept 12, 2012 23:42:44 GMT -5
What about Dylan's longevity? 50 albums in and 50 years into his career and he's still debuting near the top. -Not female -Over 30 -Hasn't released a remix featuring Chris Brown, Pitbull and/or Nicki Minaj yet Three strikes and he's out on this board. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 0:41:28 GMT -5
Fantastic for Little Big Town. This. It's amazing, how "Pontoon" has really put them on the map. Compared to what the New Release schedule said, that's an excellent forecast for LBT's Tornado. Same goes for the Avett Brothers. Both only did 40k with their last albums, and may do close to 100k this time out. |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 13, 2012 2:27:24 GMT -5
Wow what a week. Glad that XX are about to sell well.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Sept 13, 2012 6:23:28 GMT -5
Wow finally seeing some action at the top of the Billboard 200
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forg
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Post by forg on Sept 13, 2012 9:30:52 GMT -5
Great potential sales ;)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 9:32:54 GMT -5
What about Dylan's longevity? 50 albums in and 50 years into his career and he's still debuting near the top. -Not female -Over 30 -Hasn't released a remix featuring Chris Brown, Pitbull and/or Nicki Minaj yet Three strikes and he's out on this board. DMB fits that same criteria then, and people were talking about their accomplishment... ??? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 9:37:12 GMT -5
I think that was a joke, expressing surprise in the interest in Dave Matthews.
Often times if the artist is not a pretty pop singer in a skirt, there is not much interest here.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Sept 13, 2012 9:51:04 GMT -5
Yes, it was a joke.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 10:00:46 GMT -5
I know it was a "joke". I'm saying it was an attempt to make a snarky joke, but it would have made more sense if people were championing Carly Rae Jepsen and ignoring Bob Dylan. People were talking about Dave Matthews Band's accomplishment.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Sept 13, 2012 17:51:05 GMT -5
^I'm just saying, there's no real reason to be surprised when someone who doesn't fit the "pulse demographic" doesn't get much attention.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 17:52:12 GMT -5
The Top 5 are all debuts next week with four titles having a shot at six digits. Here's how it looks headed into the weekend:
*Dave Matthews Band (RCA) 260-275k
*Little Big Town (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 100-110k
*Bob Dylan (Columbia) 95-105k
*Avett Brothers (American/Republic) 95-105k
*The xx (Young Turks/XL) 65-70k
Imagine Dragons (Interscope) 30-35k
Now 43 (Capitol/EMI) 27-30k
Matchbox Twenty (Atlantic) 27-30k
*ZZ Top (American/Republic) 25-28k
Lecrae (Reach) 25-28k
2 Chainz (Def Jam/IDJ) 19-22k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 18-21k
fun. (Fueled by Ramen) 17-20k
tobyMac (Forefront) 17-20k
Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 17-20k
Trey Songz (Atlantic) 15-18k
One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 15-18k
*Fifty Shades of Grey: The Classical Album (Capitol/EMI) 15-18k
Lumineers (Dualtone) 15-18k
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 17:54:08 GMT -5
So then based on the 'pulse demographic':
Now43 wil be #1 next week and Adele is #2 ;)
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Post by Devil Marlena Nylund on Sept 13, 2012 17:56:50 GMT -5
How are the releases shaping up in the next few weeks and months? I feel like next week should be a big week.. at least it will be for me as I plan on buying 5 or 6 new releases that are coming out and the week after has 3 or 4 that I plan on getting. Holy smokes!
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Nick
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Post by Nick on Sept 13, 2012 18:58:13 GMT -5
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Sept 13, 2012 22:03:18 GMT -5
New Release Schedule from last month (estimates might have changed):
September 18
Pink 250k
Muse 200k
Kanye West/G.O.O.D. 150k
Wiz Khalifa 150k
Michael Jackson Bad 25 140k
The Killers 125k
Carly Rae Jespen 75k
Easton Corbin 50k
Band of Horses 39k
Paul Simon 25k
September 25
Green Day 150k
Mumford & Sons 150k
No Doubt 150k
Lupe Fiasco 150k
As I Lay Dying 55k
Nelly Furtado 35k
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 22:47:52 GMT -5
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2012 23:09:18 GMT -5
*The xx (Young Turks/XL) 65-70k :o amazing numbers! I was hoping for 20-30k at the very most. |
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Sept 13, 2012 23:29:19 GMT -5
Olly Murs prediction Is really big considering the single hasn't hit the hot 100 yet I'm surprised the albums coming out this early
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GRRR
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Post by GRRR on Sept 14, 2012 3:06:59 GMT -5
Great for The XX! Their debut should cross 400k soon, great for an album that pretty much sold itself by word of mouth :)
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