HITS 2/12: Groban 141k. McGraw 107k.

[areyoureadytojump]

HITS:

YOUR ONE-DAYS: Josh Groban will grab the #1 spot next week, as the crooner's latest, All That Echoes, is set to be the soundtrack for many a Valentine's Day romance. Here are this week's key debuts:

Josh Groban (Reprise) 130-140k
Tim McGraw (Big Machine) 90-100k
Now 45 (Capitol) 80-90k
Red (Provident) 35-40k
Coheed and Cambria (Everything Evil/Hundred Handed) 35-40k
Joe Budden (eOne) 25-30k

[ILLUSION]

Go Josh!

[livelikedying111]

didn't Tim McGraw use to have big sales? has he declined in sales? I've always thought he was a modern country force.
(Please don't regard me as the declining sales poster, I'm just mentioning things that bother me)

[DJ General]

Feb 6, 2013 17:13:48 GMT -5 livelikedying111 said:

didn't Tim McGraw use to have big sales? has he declined in sales? I've always thought he was a modern country force.
(Please don't regard me as the declining sales poster, I'm just mentioning things that bother me)

90-100k is pretty high for this time of year.

[Deleted]

Tim did used to sell a lot more but his record label (Curb) really hurt him over the last 4-5 years by releasing terrible singles and essentially taking control of his career. He finally won his court decision against them and this is his first album with Big Machine. Curb was forced to release the album Emotional Traffic in January 2012 and if memory serves me correctly, that album opened with 68k.

Basically, with the way his former label was treating him post-2004, he started slipping down the ranks at country radio which consequentially led to dwindling tour numbers in addition to lower sales and less airplay. But he's started to make a comeback in the last 1-2 years and it's in full swing now. I was hoping he could sell at least 120k but if he can hit 100k, I'll be happy with that.

Oh, another thing...Curb has released like 6-7 hits packages for Tim in the last...uh, 6-7ish years. That also really hurt him.

[josh]

Yes, go josh! ;)

[ListenToItTwice]

Feb 6, 2013 17:26:58 GMT -5 DJ General said:

Feb 6, 2013 17:13:48 GMT -5 livelikedying111 said:

didn't Tim McGraw use to have big sales? has he declined in sales? I've always thought he was a modern country force.
(Please don't regard me as the declining sales poster, I'm just mentioning things that bother me)

90-100k is pretty high for this time of year.

His last album opened in January 2012 with 68k. So this is good

[areyoureadytojump]

^But, his label did not support/promote it. They just threw it out there. I think the 1st single missed the Top 10 at country radio.

[Deleted]

Feb 6, 2013 20:18:21 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

^But, his label did not support/promote it. They just threw it out there. I think the 1st single missed the Top 10 at country radio.

The first single was supposed to be "Felt Good On My Lips" and that one was a mega-hit on country radio, spending 3 weeks at #1 in January of 2011, and the album was supposed to have been released in November or December or 2010. But instead, Curb tacked FGOML on to a hits package called "Number One Hits" that came out November 30, 2010 (when the studio album was supposed to be out). All of the songs on the #1 hits compilation had been released, re-released, and re-released again so many times before. It was the 6th hits package of Tim's that Curb released since March 2006.

After FGOML peaked, the lawsuits came out...Curb first sued Tim, saying he broke contract, and then Tim and his lawyers counter-sued. Tim's contentious relationship with the label had been public knowledge for a long time but it was especially obvious in late 2010/early 2011 that things were getting worse. And then it was also officially stated by Tim that Curb was hanging on to Emotional Traffic...they had shelved it, with Tim saying it's because it was the last album on his contract with them, and they were delaying it's release as long as possible (and what Tim said was the truth). Then in March 2011, Curb released a single, "Me And Tennessee", from the Country Strong soundtrack, which was a duet with Gwyneth Paltrow. It was obvious they were stalling. They never really promoted that song to radio and it stalled in the 30's on the chart, becoming his lowest peaking single since 1993 just before he broke on to the scene.

Finally, in late November 2011 after nearly the whole year off the airwaves (wasting the momentum from when FGOML was a huge hit in January), Tim won the lawsuit against Curb, and the label was required to put the album out. They did so in January 2012 and tacked FGOML back on to the album. They even released a single (I guess as an apparent 'good gesture'), "Better Than I Used To Be", that wound up serving as the 'lead' single. BTIUTB hit radio the 1st of December but the adds date was January 3rd so I think it was only just hitting top 30 when the album dropped in late January. Curb at least got it up to the top 5 in the spring and that's when Tim signed with Big Machine. Curb kept trying to find loopholes in court but the courts keep siding with Tim and ruled he did not break any laws by signing with a new label. In the meantime, Curb has released 2 more singles since last June. The first of those was from the Emotional Traffic album, and now they released a few-years-old duet track from Tim McGraw & Friends, another hits compilation that Curb put out just a couple weeks ago (I think the physical copy was Wal-mart exclusive but I know it was available on iTunes & Amazon). But since Tim's on a new label now, radio basically ignored Curb's promo people. Neither single cracked the top 50 on the Mediabase chart, while both his Big Machine singles have gone top 10 and he's closing in on #1 with his current single.

[livelikedying111]

Thanks for taking the time to write an elaborate answer.
It annoys me when labels do that. Eve, Jojo and others who face this kind of situation - are basically screwed, and it takes years to finally break free from the labels hold of them. I'm glad Tim won, and I think that signing to Big Machine is a great thing. It is Taylor Swift's label after all! what a nice compensation. They'll take a good care of him.

[areyoureadytojump]

Tim's last "real" studio album was 2009's Southern Voice. It debuted with 137k.

[Deleted]

GRAMMY FEVER, SALES-PREDICTION AMBIGUITY EDITION: This week's midweek chart is expanded a bit and builds in a lot of speculation about who will get digital lifts from their Grammy performances this weekend. While this is based on historical sales trends and each title's sales base going into the weekend, please expect a greater than usual margin of error. Here's how things look with the Grammy weekend looming:

* Josh Groban (Reprise) 135-145k
* Tim McGraw (Big Machine) 95-105k
* Now 45 (Capitol) 80-90k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 70-80k
Lumineers (Dualtone) 60-70k
Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 45-50k
Bruno Mars (Atlantic) 40-45k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 40-45k
2013 Grammy Nominees (Capitol) 35-40k
Andrea Bocelli (Verve) 35-40k
* Red (Provident) 35-40k
* Coheed and Cambria (Everything Evil/Hundred Handed) 30-35k
Pitch Perfect (UMe) 27-30k
Rihanna (Def Jam/IDJ) 27-30k
* Joe Budden (eOne) 27-30k
Gary Allan (MCA Nashville) 24-27k
Fun (Fueled By Ramen) 22-25k
Ed Sheeran (New Elektra) 22-25k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 20-23k
Hunter Hayes (Atlantic) 20-23k
Frank Ocean (Def Jam/IDJ) 20-23k
Macklemore & Ryan Lewis (Macklemore) 20-23k

* Debuts

Speaking of ambiguity, if you're planning to stride across the red carpet on Grammy night, please consult CBS' memo regarding the avoidance of nipples, butt cracks and thong-like costumes. (2/7p)

[areyoureadytojump]

Albums out Tuesday that are in today's circulars:

Target:

Smash Season 2 $9.99 (Deluxe $13.99)
Imagine Dragons re-release $9.99

Best Buy:

Bullet For My Valentine $9.99 (Deluxe $11.99)
Imagine Dragons re-release $9.99 (Deluxe $11.99)

[areyoureadytojump]

ONE year ago:

www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/archcht.cgi?cht485

CHART DATE: 02/13/2012

1 1 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 241,956 +102%
21
-- 2 VAN HALEN INTERSCOPE 187,333 --
DIFFERENT KIND OF TRUTH
-- 3 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 41 CAPITOL/EMI 141,110 --
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 4 THE FRAY EPIC 89,993 --
SCARS & STORIES
-- 5 PAUL MCCARTNEY HEAR MUSIC 74,819 --
KISSES ON THE BOTTOM
-- 6 WHITNEY HOUSTON RCA 60,205 --
WHITNEY - THE GREATEST HITS
-- 7 DIERKS BENTLEY CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 56,547 --
HOME
7 8 2012 GRAMMY NOMINESS UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 55,541 +93%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
18 9 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 36,712 +110%
19
4 10 DRAKE YM/CM/UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 31,927 +9%
TAKE CARE

[Deleted]

I really hope Tim can break 100k.

[peterca]

CHART DATE: 02/11/2013
LAST UPDATE: 02/11/2013 12:39:53
NOW IN: 70.38%

LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 95,250
ALL THAT ECHOES
-- 2 TIM MCGRAW BIG MACHINE 95,168
TWO LANES OF FREEDOM
-- 3 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 45 CAPITOL 77,091
VARIOUS ARTISTS
9 4 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 38,653
BABEL
1 5 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 38,018
BELIEVE ACOUSTIC
8 6 LUMINEERS DUALTONE 33,020
LUMINEERS
13 7 GRAMMY NOMINEES 2013 CAPITOL 31,704
VARIOUS ARTISTS
5 8 BRUNO MARS ATLANTIC 27,653
UNORTHODOX JUKEBOX
10 9 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 25,847
RED
-- 10 RED PROVIDENT 25,765
RELEASE THE PANIC
-- 11 JOE BUDDEN EONE 23,874
NO LOVE LOST
6 12 PITCH PERFECT UME 23,810
SOUNDTRACK
24 13 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 22,481
SOME NIGHTS
7 14 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 21,823
SET YOU FREE
21 15 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE BIG MACHINE/REPUBLIC 19,102
HERE'S TO THE GOOD TIMES
2 16 ANDREA BOCELLI VERVE 17,544
PASSIONE
18 17 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 17,483
UNAPOLOGETIC
30 18 P!NK RCA 16,950
TRUTH ABOUT LOVE
17 19 MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS MACKLEMORE 16,343
HEIST
-- 20 COHEED AND CAMBRIA HUNDRED HANDED INC 16,120
THE AFTERMAN: DESCENSION
37 21 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 15,289
HUNTER HAYES
11 22 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 15,000
KIDZ BOP 23
31 23 LITTLE BIG TOWN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 13,828
TORNADO
23 24 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 13,792
21
28 25 ED SHEERAN NEW ELEKTRA 13,370
+
20 26 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 13,340
TAKE ME HOME
25 27 IMAGINE DRAGONS KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 13,190
NIGHT VISIONS
12 28 A$AP ROCKY RCA 13,183
LONG.LIVE.A$AP
29 29 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 13,143
NIGHT TRAIN
39 30 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 12,313
EL CAMINO
19 31 KENDRICK LAMAR AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 11,966
GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY
26 32 PHILLIP PHILLIPS 19/INTERSCOPE 11,619
WORLD FROM THE SIDE OF THE MOON
35 33 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 11,535
BLOWN AWAY
4 34 CHARLIE WILSON RCA 11,451
LOVE, CHARLIE
44 35 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 11,018
TAILGATES & TANLINES
16 36 LES MISERABLES REPUBLIC 10,859
SOUNDTRACK
41 37 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 10,859
SIGH NO MORE
32 38 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 44 CAPITOL 9,936
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 39 ALABAMA SHAKES ATO 9,745
BOYS & GIRLS
-- 40 WOW GOSPEL 2013 VERITY 7,733
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 41 FRANK OCEAN DEF JAM/IDJ 7,729
CHANNEL ORANGE
3 42 TEGAN & SARA WARNER BROS. 7,497
HEARTTHROB
46 43 MUSIC OF NASHVILLE BIG MACHINE 7,168
SOUNDTRACK
38 44 OF MONSTERS & MEN REPUBLIC 6,990
MY HEAD IS AN ANIMAL
36 45 ALICIA KEYS RCA 6,970
GIRL ON FIRE
-- 46 MIGUEL RCA 6,820
KALEIDOSCOPE DREAM
33 47 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 6,799
OVEREXPOSED
47 48 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 6,618
GREATEST HITS - CHAPTER 1
45 49 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE 6,384
CHIEF
50 50 WIZ KHALIFA ATLANTIC 5,778
O.N.I.F.C.

[Deleted]

Feb 11, 2013 16:46:59 GMT -5 peterca said:

-- 1 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 95,250
ALL THAT ECHOES
-- 2 TIM MCGRAW BIG MACHINE 95,168
TWO LANES OF FREEDOM

Whoa. (I know, I know. They mean nothing.)

[josh]

Hopefully this is a lock for 2 albums over 100k.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Not much of a bounce for Beyonce

[Enigma.]

No, and I thought Love Songs by DC would had gone at least top 40!

Although she should've had a new song out to make the most of the Super Bowl anyway.

[Deleted]

CHART DATE: 02/11/2013
LAST UPDATE: 02/12/2013 11:35:29
NOW IN: FINAL


LW TW artist / album label power index % change
-- 1 JOSH GROBAN REPRISE 141,300 --
ALL THAT ECHOES
-- 2 TIM MCGRAW BIG MACHINE 107,778 --
TWO LANES OF FREEDOM
-- 3 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 45 CAPITOL 87,475 --
VARIOUS ARTISTS
9 4 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 55,335 +74%
BABEL
2 5 ANDREA BOCELLI VERVE 44,228 -52%
PASSIONE
1 6 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 43,988 -79%
BELIEVE ACOUSTIC
8 7 LUMINEERS DUALTONE 41,212 +27%
LUMINEERS
5 8 BRUNO MARS ATLANTIC 39,247 -1%
UNORTHODOX JUKEBOX
13 9 GRAMMY NOMINEES 2013 CAPITOL 38,094 +64%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 10 RED PROVIDENT 36,961 --
RELEASE THE PANIC
-- 11 COHEED AND CAMBRIA HUNDRED HANDED INC 35,755 --
THE AFTERMAN: DESCENSION
24 12 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 33,336 +106%
SOME NIGHTS
6 13 PITCH PERFECT UME 32,208 -13%
SOUNDTRACK
10 14 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 32,170 +11%
RED
-- 15 JOE BUDDEN EONE 29,140 --
NO LOVE LOST
7 16 GARY ALLAN MCA NASHVILLE 25,225 -30%
SET YOU FREE
11 17 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 24,762 -9%
KIDZ BOP 23
18 18 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 22,995 +26%
UNAPOLOGETIC
17 19 MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS MACKLEMORE 22,521 +14%
HEIST
23 20 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 22,049 +36%
21
21 21 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE BIG MACHINE/REPUBLIC 21,783 +29%
HERE'S TO THE GOOD TIMES
30 22 P!NK RCA 20,680 +39%
TRUTH ABOUT LOVE
31 23 LITTLE BIG TOWN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 18,933 +29%
TORNADO
39 24 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 18,815 +62%
EL CAMINO
37 25 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 18,786 +49%
HUNTER HAYES
-- 26 ALABAMA SHAKES ATO 18,746 --
BOYS & GIRLS
12 27 A$AP ROCKY RCA 18,455 -21%
LONG.LIVE.A$AP
4 28 CHARLIE WILSON RCA 18,154 -57%
LOVE, CHARLIE
19 29 KENDRICK LAMAR AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 17,462 +1%
GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY
20 30 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 17,061 0%
TAKE ME HOME
28 31 ED SHEERAN NEW ELEKTRA 16,945 +11%
+
36 32 ALICIA KEYS RCA 16,928 +28%
GIRL ON FIRE
33 33 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 16,442 +19%
OVEREXPOSED
29 34 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 15,964 +6%
NIGHT TRAIN
25 35 IMAGINE DRAGONS KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 15,856 -2%
NIGHT VISIONS
16 36 LES MISERABLES REPUBLIC 15,814 -20%
SOUNDTRACK
34 37 T.I. GRAND HUSTLE/ATLANTIC 15,529 +16%
TROUBLE MAN: HEAVY IS THE HEAD
26 38 PHILLIP PHILLIPS 19/INTERSCOPE 15,147 -3%
WORLD FROM THE SIDE OF THE MOON
41 39 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 14,804 +42%
SIGH NO MORE
35 40 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 13,717 +3%
BLOWN AWAY
3 41 TEGAN & SARA WARNER BROS. 13,065 -71%
HEARTTHROB
44 42 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE 13,007 +38%
TAILGATES & TANLINES
32 43 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 44 CAPITOL 12,849 -11%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 44 WOW GOSPEL 2013 VERITY 12,071 --
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 45 2 CHAINZ DEF JAM/IDJ 11,958 --
BASED ON A T.R.U. STORY
47 46 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 10,830 +22%
GREATEST HITS - CHAPTER 1
-- 47 FRANK OCEAN DEF JAM/IDJ 10,753 --
CHANNEL ORANGE
45 48 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE 10,716 +20%
CHIEF
38 49 OF MONSTERS & MEN REPUBLIC 10,097 -14%
MY HEAD IS AN ANIMAL
50 50 WIZ KHALIFA ATLANTIC 10,051 +29%

[josh]

Good sales at the top, 2 over 100k. Justin 79% fall, the record is like 81% or something, right?

[Deleted]

MDNA was 86.7%

[Push The Button]

Pitch Perfect continues its lead over Les Miserables. I wouldn't count on much of an Oscars boost.

[areyoureadytojump]

www1.billboard.biz/bbbiz/photos/pdf/2013/current.pdf

Grammys Spur Early
Sales Gains for Mumford
& Sons, Lumineers , Frank
Ocean

While official numbers aren’t in yet,
sources suggest that some of the biggest
sales winners from the Grammy
Awards on Feb. 10 include Mumford
& Sons, the Lumineers, Frank Ocean,
Rihanna and fun.

Music sales for the week ending Feb.
10, as tracked by Nielsen SoundScan,
will not be released until Wednesday
morning (Feb. 13). However, label
sources have indicated that a number
of albums and songs are due for big
gains when the figures come out.
Among the albums heading for a
gain of 50% of more compared to the
previous week are album of the year
winner “Babel” by Mumford & Sons,
fun.’s “Some Nights,” the Black Keys’
“El Camino,” Frank Ocean’s “Channel
Orange,” Miguel’s “Kaleidoscope
Dream,” Jack White’s “Blunderbuss,”
and Kelly Clarkson’s “Stronger.”

Of those, the largest percentage
gain might belong to Ocean’s set,
which could post a jump of 120%. A
week ago, “Channel Orange” moved
5,000 copies, according to Sound-
Scan. So it might have jumped to
11,000 in the week ending Sunday.

“Babel” looks to be the largest seller
for the week overall, as it’s on course to
move around 55,000. That would be a
jump of 50% compared to the previous
frame, when it shifted 36,000.
All of these albums will likely have
an even bigger gain next week (ending
Feb. 17), when a full week’s worth
of post-Grammys impact will be felt.

This week’s charts will only ref lect
sales generated in the hours during
and after the show, through the end
of Sunday night.

In terms of digital songs, the largest
seller of the songs performed on the
show could be the Lumineers’ “Ho
Hey.” Forecasters suggest that it sold
140,000 in the week ending Feb. 10.
That could translate to a 17% increase
for the sales week.

However, “Ho Hey” is a current
hit, so thus it was already selling well
-- and had perhaps little room to grow.
It might be more interesting to look at
those songs that will have the largest
percentage increases in sales.
Right now, those are looking like
Rihanna’s new single “Stay” (featuring
Mikky Ekko) and Miguel’s “Adorn.”
Both should gain by more than 200%
in the week ending Feb. 10, with “Stay”
selling perhaps 65,000 and “Adorn”
moving 40,000. For the latter tune,
which was released last August as
a single, it will mark the song’s best
sales week yet.

Also aiming for big increases are
Mumford & Sons’ “I Will Wait” (up
more than 100% to 48,000), fun.’s
“Carry On” (up 131% to 60,000) and
“We Are Young” (up 150% to 50,000).
“Wait” and “Carry” were both performed
on the show, while “We Are
Young” won the Grammy Award for
best song.

–Keith Caulfield, Los Angeles

[areyoureadytojump]

New albums out today:

Smash Season 2 Sdtk.
Imagine Dragons re-release
Bullet For My Valentine

The albums above are pictured in the Target/Best Buy circuars.

More at Amazon.com:

www.amazon.com/s/ref=s9_dnav_bw_ir03_s?node=5174&field-binding_browse-bin=387645011&field-date=20130212&pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_s=center-4&pf_rd_r=038WVB426M4PQBYHN699&pf_rd_t=101&pf_rd_p=1492398542&pf_rd_i=465672

[deuce8pro]

A #1 for Groban is a first for a debut week for one of his albums.
Although both Noel and Closer eventually went to #1.
So congratulations to him!

[Enigma.]

Just realised that Groban has sold approximately 20 million albums in the US alone.