hydraflare
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Post by hydraflare on Oct 11, 2018 19:49:14 GMT -5
My YE predictions: 1. Godโs Plan 2. Perfect 3. Meant to Be 4. Havana 5. Rockstar 6. I Like It 7. Psycho 8. In My Feelings 9. The Middle 10. Girls Like You 11. Nice for What 12. Lucid Dreams 13. Better Now 14. Finesse 15. New Rules 16. Never Be the Same 17. Booโd Up 18. Mine 19. SAD! 20. No Tears Left to Cry 21. Love Lies 22. Look Alive 23. Thunder 24. Delicate (canโt believe this ended up so high) 25. Taste ... 96. What Lovers Do 97. Mercy 98. Changes 99. One Number Away 100. Say Something I don't see how Say Something would end up as low as 100. Let's say it gets passed by God Is A Woman, Trip, Eastside, Happier, Natural and No Brainer. That places it at 94. We would then need six more songs to pass it for it to end up at 100.
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hydraflare
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Post by hydraflare on Oct 11, 2018 20:29:20 GMT -5
fhas Could you start tracking Broken, I'm A Mess and I Love It?
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Oct 11, 2018 20:50:57 GMT -5
My YE predictions: 1. Godโs Plan 2. Perfect 3. Meant to Be 4. Havana 5. Rockstar 6. I Like It 7. Psycho 8. In My Feelings 9. The Middle 10. Girls Like You 11. Nice for What 12. Lucid Dreams 13. Better Now 14. Finesse 15. New Rules 16. Never Be the Same 17. Booโd Up 18. Mine 19. SAD! 20. No Tears Left to Cry 21. Love Lies 22. Look Alive 23. Thunder 24. Delicate (canโt believe this ended up so high) 25. Taste ... 96. What Lovers Do 97. Mercy 98. Changes 99. One Number Away 100. Say Something I don't see how Say Something would end up as low as 100. Let's say it gets passed by God Is A Woman, Trip, Eastside, Happier, Natural and No Brainer. That places it at 94. We would then need six more songs to pass it for it to end up at 100.ย I expect I Love It to make it, so thatโs 95. Thereโs a good chance that Mona Lisa and/or other Lil Wayne songs could sneak on, so thatโs 96-97. Then I fully expect a few of the songs that are currently growing to manage to make it in the bottom part of the list โ Iโm talking stuff like Beautiful, Mo Bamba, High Hopes, Broken, Iโm a Mess etc.
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 11, 2018 20:55:29 GMT -5
I don't see how Say Something would end up as low as 100. Let's say it gets passed by God Is A Woman, Trip, Eastside, Happier, Natural and No Brainer. That places it at 94. We would then need six more songs to pass it for it to end up at 100. I expect I Love It to make it, so thatโs 95. Thereโs a good chance that Mona Lisa and/or other Lil Wayne songs could sneak on, so thatโs 96-97. Then I fully expect a few of the songs that are currently growing to manage to make it in the bottom part of the list โ Iโm talking stuff like Beautiful, Mo Bamba, High Hopes, Broken, Iโm a Mess etc. Unless one of them tanks so hard, I can see all five of them possibly making it, assuming that no Lil Wayne songs gets locked. But if Mona Lisa gets in, then one won't make it, and with the run so far, it's either Broken or Beautiful would not make the YE.
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hydraflare
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Post by hydraflare on Oct 11, 2018 21:50:12 GMT -5
I don't see how Say Something would end up as low as 100. Let's say it gets passed by God Is A Woman, Trip, Eastside, Happier, Natural and No Brainer. That places it at 94. We would then need six more songs to pass it for it to end up at 100. I expect I Love It to make it, so thatโs 95. Thereโs a good chance that Mona Lisa and/or other Lil Wayne songs could sneak on, so thatโs 96-97. Then I fully expect a few of the songs that are currently growing to manage to make it in the bottom part of the list โ Iโm talking stuff like Beautiful, Mo Bamba, High Hopes, Broken, Iโm a Mess etc. I Love It is likely, but as of right now it doesn't look like any of the Wayne songs will make it unless they recover significantly (all of them are projected to fall out of the top 20 this week). Broken and I'm A Mess seem pretty likely. High Hopes is a possibility as well. Mo Bamba needs to reach the top 10 to have any chance at all. Beautiful's run has been pretty weak, so unless it miraculously starts picking up big gains, its chances don't look very good.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 12, 2018 0:11:55 GMT -5
I'll be so so mad if Say Something in some way manages to enter the YE. Fixed. 100 will probably be Outside Today instead. Ok, see, that's just petty. I'm actually with you on this one, I hate that song, but there had to be a less passive aggressive way to get that across.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 12, 2018 0:34:58 GMT -5
I'll be so so happy if Say Something in some way manages to enter the YE. Why
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roman1166
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Post by roman1166 on Oct 12, 2018 11:30:34 GMT -5
I'll be so so happy if Say Something in some way manages to enter the YE. Why Why not?
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Oct 12, 2018 13:25:15 GMT -5
fhas Could you start tracking Broken, I'm A Mess and I Love It? Yes, I'll add these three songs tomorrow.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 12, 2018 13:26:54 GMT -5
fhas Could you start tracking Broken, I'm A Mess and I Love It? Yes, I'll add these three songs tomorrow. Add You Say as well.
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Music Fan
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Post by Music Fan on Oct 12, 2018 15:29:23 GMT -5
I'll be so so happy if Say Something in some way manages to enter the YE. Why Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 12, 2018 16:40:21 GMT -5
Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it. It had a pretty lackluster run, only spending 16 weeks charting and dropping out at 100, when I think of the biggest songs of 2018 I'm not thinking of say something
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Music Fan
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Post by Music Fan on Oct 12, 2018 18:06:52 GMT -5
Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it. It had a pretty lackluster run, only spending 16 weeks charting and dropping out at 100, when I think of the biggest songs of 2018 I'm not thinking of say something Right, which is why ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ, and myself, as well, would be happy to see it in the Top 100. We think it deserves to be there, and we know it's run wasn't the best, so it'd be nice to see it hang on and make it.
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Post by Naos on Oct 12, 2018 19:09:34 GMT -5
Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it. It had a pretty lackluster run, only spending 16 weeks charting and dropping out at 100, when I think of the biggest songs of 2018 I'm not thinking of say somethingย I think it did quite well in sales, which you can't say for a lot of the year-end.
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nick64
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Post by nick64 on Oct 13, 2018 1:45:49 GMT -5
So serious question, why do some of you so passionately need to contradict any time someone says they like or donโt like a song? It doesnโt affect you. Why do you care?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2018 1:57:08 GMT -5
Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it. Except that IMO I don't find anything great about the song at all. Horrible lyrics that is repetitive saying the same things for like the whole song. IMO it may be even worse than Filthy. I would take like 95 songs over it that is making the year end.
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Oct 13, 2018 2:06:09 GMT -5
Because it's actually worth being in the Top 100 more than at least 1/4 of the songs that will make it. Except that IMO I don't find anything great about the song at all. Horrible lyrics that is repetitive saying the same things for like the whole song. IMO it may be even worse than Filthy. I would take like 95 songs over it that is making the year end. You love this song... Oh, the irony!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2018 10:51:23 GMT -5
It's fun and it's a guilty pleasure. I love how it says it nonstop and it just makes you want to dance and put a smile on your face. It's a funny song. If songs can make me smile and laugh, then it's a good song.
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thelegends
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Post by thelegends on Oct 13, 2018 11:58:34 GMT -5
It's fun and it's a guilty pleasure. I love how it says it nonstop and it just makes you want to dance and put a smile on your face. It's a funny song. If songs can make me smile and laugh, then it's a good song. You just contradicted yourself mate.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2018 12:51:53 GMT -5
Anyone know where I'm A Mess is, anywhere close?
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Oct 13, 2018 13:48:59 GMT -5
October 13, 2018 - 47/53 weeks (88.68%)
Added this week: ---> I'm A Mess (Bebe Rexha) ---> broken (lovelytheband) ---> You Say (Lauren Daigle) ---> I Love It (Kanye West & Lil Pump) Locked this week: ---> God is a woman (Ariana Grande) Estimated Cutoff ---> 195,000 points (margin of error: 5% --- 185,250-204,750)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2018 13:53:12 GMT -5
Yea by the looks of this, 9 songs could pass the 100 mark which would make Outside Today as the cutoff point.
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Oct 13, 2018 14:09:03 GMT -5
It looks like "Psycho" can pass "rockstar" if it does not go recurrent in the remaining 6 weeks.
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Oct 13, 2018 15:29:51 GMT -5
It looks like "Psycho" can pass "rockstar" if it does not go recurrent in the remaining 6 weeks. Doubt it as there's a 60 pt difference with values for Psycho likely to go under 10 per week very shortly. More likely is that I Like It will catch up and pass one or both of them.
Here's my predictions/estimations based on simple weighted scoring by position with no reference to sales, streams, etc.
If nothing else it provides a comparison to how much individual weeks affect final chart position.
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CF15
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Post by CF15 on Oct 13, 2018 15:49:50 GMT -5
It looks like "Psycho" can pass "rockstar" if it does not go recurrent in the remaining 6 weeks. Doubt it as there's a 60 pt difference with values for Psycho likely to go under 10 per week very shortly. More likely is that I Like It will catch up and pass one or both of them.
Here's my predictions/estimations based on simple weighted scoring by position with no reference to sales, streams, etc.
If nothing else it provides a comparison to how much individual weeks affect final chart position.
I think the position-based point system is less accurate than the one fhas is using.
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rockgolf
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Post by rockgolf on Oct 13, 2018 15:53:55 GMT -5
I think the position-based point system is less accurate than the one fhas is using. I'd agree. Yet, it produces very similar results.
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Oct 13, 2018 17:44:43 GMT -5
Broken would need over 12000 per week to pass Outside Today
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aussie1
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Post by aussie1 on Oct 13, 2018 18:02:32 GMT -5
The middle finishing above nice for what is crazy. Nice for what had a pretty bad run considering it was an 8 week number one. Also I hope Girls like you somehow manages to pass In my feelings.
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 13, 2018 18:21:22 GMT -5
Yea by the looks of this, 9 songs could pass the 100 mark which would make Outside Today as the cutoff point. That would be: No Brainer Natural Eastside I'm A Mess broken Trip I Love It Happier The other song could be Medicine, You Say, or songs that were not added yet to the list like High Hopes or Beautiful.
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 14, 2018 6:34:29 GMT -5
I find it weird that the year end chart is dominated by so many pop songs that barely made the weekly top 10. Did they all have such great longevity compared to the rap songs? Like, 9/15 of the top 15 in these predictions are pop (counting Meant To Be and Finesse).Yes, as most rap Top 10's this year dropped after they entered Top 10, excluding those that lasted. 3 of them peaked at #5 or #6 (The Middle, New Rules, Never Be The Same), add Boo'd Up (I didn't add Thunder as it would eventually miss the Top 20) if we count #16-#20. While the Top 40 has 8 songs that peaks outside the Top 10 (peaking either at #11-#13). Then add in Tequila and I Like Me Better, a #21 and #27 peaking song, possibly ending up within the Top 40/50 in the YE. So, I guess the longevity of the songs compared to rap's surely helped this year.
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