onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 22, 2015 11:32:27 GMT -5
I say we all say a few Hail Marys and Our Fathers over this weekend. I think this weekend will see a lot of people's finger nails gone. I am still hoping and praying that Carrie Underwood and Arista can find their way to the top in Billboard come Monday.
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ILLUSION
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Post by ILLUSION on Jan 22, 2015 12:54:25 GMT -5
Can't believe this is spending 7 weeks at #1 and breaking her 6-week record with JTTW!
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Jan 22, 2015 13:37:39 GMT -5
I don't see how this breaks her streak with JTTW. Different chart, different way of compiling it, different ability of songs to stay at #1 for longer periods -- everything's different. Recognizing the achievement, sure. Saying it's the first time she's ever spent 7 weeks at #1 on a chart, absolutely. Breaking a record, no, that requires me to discard everything I know about charts.
I do think she'll get the #1 on MB this coming weekend, and I don't see any reason it has to be close. She's already ahead in spins with 3 days still to go, so her label can decide just how big a margin they want in both spins and the all-important points column. And, however, phony it looks, I don't blame anybody for celebrating the MB #1. Whether you think of it as label mismanagement or other artists' own phony climbs, there is enough that's questionable in SITW falling short to justify anybody being pleased about the coming MB #1.
It would take a lot of work for the label to get SITW to #1 on Billboard, so I don't think they'll try. Nothing about the numbers I've seen this week make it look as if SITW has increased its slim chances to get to #1 on Billboard. These extra spins are great on MB but they don't generate enough audience on BB to win the race. I guess it's still possible but I don't think it at all likely.
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Jan 22, 2015 14:16:58 GMT -5
I don't see how this breaks her streak with JTTW. Different chart, different way of compiling it, different ability of songs to stay at #1 for longer periods -- everything's different. Recognizing the achievement, sure. Saying it's the first time she's ever spent 7 weeks at #1 on a chart, absolutely. Breaking a record, no, that requires me to discard everything I know about charts. I do think she'll get the #1 on MB this coming weekend, and I don't see any reason it has to be close. She's already ahead in spins with 3 days still to go, so her label can decide just how big a margin they want in both spins and the all-important points column. And, however, phony it looks, I don't blame anybody for celebrating the MB #1. Whether you think of it as label mismanagement or other artists' own phony climbs, there is enough that's questionable in SITW falling short to justify anybody being pleased about the coming MB #1. It would take a lot of work for the label to get SITW to #1 on Billboard, so I don't think they'll try. Nothing about the numbers I've seen this week make it look as if SITW has increased its slim chances to get to #1 on Billboard. These extra spins are great on MB but they don't generate enough audience on BB to win the race. I guess it's still possible but I don't think it at all likely. In a technical sense with Billboard it breaks her personal record. The way charts are compiled has been changed many times over the years. It isn't just about this recent change. So, in terms of having some sort of constant, people compare across the decades regardless. If you want to separate out this recent change as a new era, then you'd have to do that for all changes and thus can never really compare over time. I don't know why the label would even care about the Billboard Airplay chart since the main Billboard country chart is the one where she has been #1 for nearly 2 months worth of time.
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rsmatto
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Post by rsmatto on Jan 22, 2015 14:21:39 GMT -5
I don't see how this breaks her streak with JTTW. Different chart, different way of compiling it, different ability of songs to stay at #1 for longer periods -- everything's different. Recognizing the achievement, sure. Saying it's the first time she's ever spent 7 weeks at #1 on a chart, absolutely. Breaking a record, no, that requires me to discard everything I know about charts. I do think she'll get the #1 on MB this coming weekend, and I don't see any reason it has to be close. She's already ahead in spins with 3 days still to go, so her label can decide just how big a margin they want in both spins and the all-important points column. And, however, phony it looks, I don't blame anybody for celebrating the MB #1. Whether you think of it as label mismanagement or other artists' own phony climbs, there is enough that's questionable in SITW falling short to justify anybody being pleased about the coming MB #1. It would take a lot of work for the label to get SITW to #1 on Billboard, so I don't think they'll try. Nothing about the numbers I've seen this week make it look as if SITW has increased its slim chances to get to #1 on Billboard. These extra spins are great on MB but they don't generate enough audience on BB to win the race. I guess it's still possible but I don't think it at all likely. It's NOT a different chart in Billboard's world. They pulled "Airplay" away into its own chart but Technically speaking the Hot Country Songs chart IS the same as it always was, it just includes the different stuff in the formula to create it. So for labels, you're gonna start seeing more stories like this. It's only the people here and folks in RADIO who see the differences in the old chart and the new chart. The rest of the world just hears "#1 Song In Billboard Country Songs." It now looks like Carrie's got a pretty good chance at going #1 on Mediabase, but probably less than a 5% chance at topping Billboard (in fact, she might only peak at #3 there, but more on that in a minute). Given the above Billboard stuff sent out today about the "7 weeks at #1," Sony will likely be happy to have "only" a Mediabase/Aircheck #1 since they consider the song #1 on Billboard already (though obviously if it hit #1 there too, they'd definitely enjoy that as well).
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2015 14:55:03 GMT -5
It's NOT a different chart in Billboard's world. They pulled "Airplay" away into its own chart but Technically speaking the Hot Country Songs chart IS the same as it always was, it just includes the different stuff in the formula to create it. This is everything that's wrong with Billboard's approach right here. It is a completely different chart. And yes, I do realize that the methodologies have changed over the years prior to 1990. But at least they've always acknowledged the BDS (1990-present) and pre-BDS eras, when airplay started being monitored electronically. It's so frustrating because fixing everything is so simple. All Billboard has to do is make the beginning of the chart named Country Airplay retroactive to January of 1990 (beginning of the BDS era), and declare Hot Country Songs a new chart that first came into existence in October 2012. Instead they decided to confuse the crap out of everybody by saying that all BB chart statistics from 1990 through 2012 fall under both charts' histories. That's why Carrie and her label will claim SITW as her longest-running #1 on Billboard Hot Country Songs, and I don't really blame them because it's good PR. But it's also completely misleading and basically inaccurate. Hot Country Songs today is a completely different chart than it was prior to 2012. Back then it was the airplay chart, but since it was the only BB chart in existence, it was called HCS. If the current HCS methodology (airplay + sales + streaming) was in place back when Carrie first hit the scene, several of her radio #1 hits would have spent a longer time on top of the HCS chart than SITW has. "Before He Cheats" would have probably spent something like 20 weeks at #1 just like we've seen for songs like "Cruise" and "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together". "Good Girl", "Cowboy Casanova", "Jesus, Take The Wheel"...they probably all would have spent 7+ weeks at #1 on an airplay + sales + streaming version of Hot Country Songs. So claiming "Something In The Water" as Carrie's longest-running #1 is technically correct, but it means nothing to me. It reads as if it's her biggest #1 ever and that's simply not true at all, since several of her hits over the years would have seen a much longer run at #1 than 7 weeks if the current HCS methodology was in place back then. ** For those hoping SITW will go #1 on Billboard Country Airplay, it's not going to happen. The writing is on the wall. It looks like SITW will peak at #3 on Billboard Country Airplay, although maybe it can get lucky and sneak past Luke Bryan for a #2 peak. But even that looks doubtful. I agree with Zazie in that it seems pretty likely that Carrie will get to #1 on the Mediabase chart, though. Likely peaks, when all is said and done: #3 Billboard Country Airplay #1 Billboard Hot Country Songs (7 weeks and counting, maybe it can get 8 or 9) #1 Mediabase
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.indulgecountry
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Post by .indulgecountry on Jan 22, 2015 15:02:24 GMT -5
I'm glad this has gotten a strong showing on the HCS chart and will manage to get #1 on Mediabase, but this becoming her lowest-peaking single on the BB country airplay song... No way it deserved that.
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onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Jan 22, 2015 16:21:44 GMT -5
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 22, 2015 17:35:28 GMT -5
It's NOT a different chart in Billboard's world. They pulled "Airplay" away into its own chart but Technically speaking the Hot Country Songs chart IS the same as it always was, it just includes the different stuff in the formula to create it. This is everything that's wrong with Billboard's approach right here. It is a completely different chart. And yes, I do realize that the methodologies have changed over the years prior to 1990. But at least they've always acknowledged the BDS (1990-present) and pre-BDS eras, when airplay started being monitored electronically. It's so frustrating because fixing everything is so simple. All Billboard has to do is make the beginning of the chart named Country Airplay retroactive to January of 1990 (beginning of the BDS era), and declare Hot Country Songs a new chart that first came into existence in October 2012. Instead they decided to confuse the crap out of everybody by saying that all BB chart statistics from 1990 through 2012 fall under both charts' histories. That's why Carrie and her label will claim SITW as her longest-running #1 on Billboard Hot Country Songs, and I don't really blame them because it's good PR. But it's also completely misleading and basically inaccurate. Hot Country Songs today is a completely different chart than it was prior to 2012. Back then it was the airplay chart, but since it was the only BB chart in existence, it was called HCS. If the current HCS methodology (airplay + sales + streaming) was in place back when Carrie first hit the scene, several of her radio #1 hits would have spent a longer time on top of the HCS chart than SITW has. "Before He Cheats" would have probably spent something like 20 weeks at #1 just like we've seen for songs like "Cruise" and "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together". "Good Girl", "Cowboy Casanova", "Jesus, Take The Wheel"...they probably all would have spent 7+ weeks at #1 on an airplay + sales + streaming version of Hot Country Songs. So claiming "Something In The Water" as Carrie's longest-running #1 is technically correct, but it means nothing to me. It reads as if it's her biggest #1 ever and that's simply not true at all, since several of her hits over the years would have seen a much longer run at #1 than 7 weeks if the current HCS methodology was in place back then. ** For those hoping SITW will go #1 on Billboard Country Airplay, it's not going to happen. The writing is on the wall. It looks like SITW will peak at #3 on Billboard Country Airplay, although maybe it can get lucky and sneak past Luke Bryan for a #2 peak. But even that looks doubtful. I agree with Zazie in that it seems pretty likely that Carrie will get to #1 on the Mediabase chart, though. Likely peaks, when all is said and done: #3 Billboard Country Airplay #1 Billboard Hot Country Songs (7 weeks and counting, maybe it can get 8 or 9) #1 Mediabase I agree with the last paragraph estimate. But looking at it seems really weird. Something is really wrong in country radio when those 3 things occur, or something is wrong with Billboard's method. It's like a percentage of country stations just didn't want this soon to be platinum single as a number one song.
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Zazie
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Post by Zazie on Jan 22, 2015 17:36:28 GMT -5
I've seen BB write it both ways -- counting the #1 weeks of Cruise as if they were a straightforward continuation of the pre-HCS chart, but also counting total numbers of #1 songs for various artists using the Airplay chart as the continuation of the old chart. There is no recognition that there's something wrong here.
What I think doesn't matter, but I agree with what JHomes wrote above. I hope that Whitburn includes Airplay data along with the expected use of HCS data in their next edition -- they might do that -- we'll see. I realize that what BB says about its own charts is what counts in the industry, not what I think. I don't think Cruise's numbers can be compared to country-only airplay-only numbers, and no matter how many times that comparison is made, I'm just not going to accept it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2015 17:50:23 GMT -5
I agree with the last paragraph estimate. But looking at it seems really weird. Something is really wrong in country radio when those 3 things occur, or something is wrong with Billboard's method. It's like a percentage of country stations just didn't want this soon to be platinum single as a number one song. There's not really anything wrong with the way Billboard compiles their airplay chart -- whoever has the most audience is #1, 2nd most audience is #2, and so on. The reason SITW is going to come up short on Country Airplay is simply because it's got a few too many low-audience spins. Its overall spin numbers are good, but if some of the spins at smaller market stations were coming from bigger market stations instead, then Carrie probably wouldn't have this "problem". She'd be up there ahead of Luke and would probably be able to snag a week at #1 on Billboard too (in addition to a week at #1 on Mediabase). I think 43dudleyvillas said it best -- SITW was rolling along just fine, but when Sony decided to hold it back in favor of the Kenny and Brad songs, that really messed up the trajectory for SITW. At the time it was entering the top 10, it was at peak levels of streams and sales. Now its sales have tapered off a bit (although it should still go Platinum in the coming months), and since it's climbed a little slower through the top 15 (as a result of Sony holding it back a bit last fall), that's resulted in a slightly higher "burn" rate, which in turn means that just enough radio stations aren't willing to push this much higher than it already is. Singles from female singers tend to "burn" just a little faster than singles by their male peers, and that's probably a byproduct of the listening environment that mainstream country radio has created (95% of the music is basically from males or groups). The audience that country radio has been pulling in or 'targeting' is less likely to enjoy songs from females than they are songs from...basically everybody else. Thus, we often see singles from females have slightly higher negative scores on the various callout charts, and females' songs tend to burn a little quicker (meaning, on the whole, the country radio audience generally seems to get tired of them a little quicker than they do for singles from the men). In short, I think Sony really goofed--they missed their "target window". If SITW had been allowed a natural course at radio, then it probably would have peaked around the holidays, either getting to #1 between Tim and Brad, or cutting Tim's run short...or maybe it could've even gotten there before Tim. But as it stands now, the top of the chart is ultra-competitive, with Eric, Luke, Kenny, and even FGL (and of course Carrie) all peaking too close to one another.
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 22, 2015 19:51:53 GMT -5
You make my point. Whatever made the three charts come out that way is not kosher. Whether it's the label, big country markets, or manipulation, the things you point out shouldn't happen on a normal basis.
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matty005
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Post by matty005 on Jan 22, 2015 19:58:36 GMT -5
You make my point. Whatever made the three charts come out that way is not kosher. Whether it's the label, big country markets, or manipulation, the things you point out shouldn't happen on a normal basis. Most people get your point and agree with you - including me! Saying it over and over again doesn't do any good though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2015 20:06:14 GMT -5
You make my point. Whatever made the three charts come out that way is not kosher. Whether it's the label, big country markets, or manipulation, the things you point out shouldn't happen on a normal basis. No, I think you're missing my point, haha. The same song often has different peaks on all the different charts. Usually we don't see a lot of #3 Billboard/#1 Mediabase peaks, but this is just a really rare situation where SITW started to "plateau" at the worst possible time, when it was going up against 2-3 other really big hits. And the reason that it will probably get to #1 on MB but not BB is because Mediabase's point-based methodology has proven easier to manipulate than Billboard's audience-based methodology. Each and every song on the chart is affected in some way by label promotion...it's just that, in this case, Sony's plan backfired when they seemingly decided to hold SITW back a bit in favor of Kenny and Brad. Total sales for SITW are higher than the other big radio hits, but that's mostly because SITW's sales were front-loaded and also because it's off of a Greatest Hits package. And actually, right now it's lower on iTunes than the competition; as of this morning, SITW was #62 on iTunes, while Eric Church's "Talladega" was #55, Luke Bryan's "I See You" was #49, and FGL's "Sun Daze" was #36.
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 22, 2015 21:09:05 GMT -5
^^when you say this is a really rare situation, you are correct.
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 22, 2015 21:19:08 GMT -5
You make my point. Whatever made the three charts come out that way is not kosher. Whether it's the label, big country markets, or manipulation, the things you point out shouldn't happen on a normal basis. Most people get your point and agree with you - including me! Saying it over and over again doesn't do any good though. Thats all I see, people trying to make their point here, even if it's repeated many times. It's kind why there are sites like this one. When and if Carrie reaches number one, you'll see my subject change to something else. Thanks for your wise advice though.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 22, 2015 21:36:17 GMT -5
Most people get your point and agree with you - including me! Saying it over and over again doesn't do any good though. Thats all I see, people trying to make their point here, even if it's repeated many times. It's kind why there are sites like this one. When and if Carrie reaches number one, you'll see my subject change to something else. Thanks for your wise advice though. Repeating the same thing 1,001 times is not something that spawns discussion; it's derivative and leads to nowhere. Discussion is why this board exists, not extensive repitition and complaining about the same thing for days upon days. Add something new to the discussion or simply "+1" a post. I'm not trying to play "the mod" card here (since I'm probably the last person with room to ever play it, lol), but even I'm getting sick of the same Carrie fans saying the same thing in each post they make.
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Post by 43dudleyvillas on Jan 22, 2015 21:51:46 GMT -5
I agree with absolutely everything you have said in your recent posts, jhomes87, but want to quibble with one point: Total sales for SITW are higher than the other big radio hits, but that's mostly because SITW's sales were front-loaded... Here are the week-by-week sales for "Something in the Water": Week ending 5 October 2014: 125,000 Week ending 12 October 2014: 53,000 Week ending 19 October 2014: 36,000 Week ending 26 October 2014: 33,000 Week ending 2 November 2014: 34,000 Week ending 9 November 2014: 84,000 Week ending 16 November 2014: 57,000 Week ending 23 November 2014: 43,000 Week ending 30 November 2014: 35,000 Week ending 7 December 2014: 29,000 Week ending 14 December 2014: 30,000 Week ending 21 December 2014: 34,000 Week ending 28 December 2014: 75,000 Week ending 4 January 2015: 46,000 Week ending 11 January 2015: 32,000 Week ending 18 January 2015: 29,000 This sales trajectory doesn't strike me as especially front-loaded. Event-driven? Sure -- the biggest sales weeks have been the first week of release, the week after the CMA Awards, and the post-Christmas week in which iTunes gift card buying spiked. I would also point out that "Something in the Water" has been bulleted on the Country Streaming chart for the past two weeks, but at the same time, I agree that active interest in "Something in the Water" has plateaued at this point, at least at it relates to country radio listeners.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 22, 2015 22:50:36 GMT -5
43dudleyvillas, by "front-loaded" I was mostly talking about those big early weeks, since SITW is a lead single. Obviously songs like "Talladega", "Shotgun Rider", "I See You", etc. did not have 125k-sales-weeks upon their release to country radio, again, because they weren't lead singles. So if you take out that first week for Carrie, her "lead" over her competitors' singles (in terms of digital sales) isn't nearly as high. I'm certainly not saying the song has done poorly--it's done great, in fact--but just trying to say that, in terms of the current sales atmosphere, SITW has largely plateaued since the New Year, as now its iTunes position has fallen a bit and it has been overtaken by the likes of "Talladega", "I See You", and "Sun Daze".
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 22, 2015 23:43:33 GMT -5
Thats all I see, people trying to make their point here, even if it's repeated many times. It's kind why there are sites like this one. When and if Carrie reaches number one, you'll see my subject change to something else. Thanks for your wise advice though. Repeating the same thing 1,001 times is not something that spawns discussion; it's derivative and leads to nowhere. Discussion is why this board exists, not extensive repitition and complaining about the same thing for days upon days. Add something new to the discussion or simply "+1" a post. I'm not trying to play "the mod" card here (since I'm probably the last person with room to ever play it, lol), but even I'm getting sick of the same Carrie fans saying the same thing in each post they make. Easy now, breath in breath out. We are discussing things. In the overall scheme of things, we're all music fans and sometimes get a little passionate, especially when we all see our favorite artists not getting a fair shake. That's all.
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Jan 22, 2015 23:56:13 GMT -5
*restrains self*
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matty005
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Post by matty005 on Jan 23, 2015 0:29:47 GMT -5
Most people get your point and agree with you - including me! Saying it over and over again doesn't do any good though. Thats all I see, people trying to make their point here, even if it's repeated many times. It's kind why there are sites like this one. When and if Carrie reaches number one, you'll see my subject change to something else. Thanks for your wise advice though. Really? I haven't seen you post on Pulse about anything other than Carrie Underwood in well over a year. So I won't hold my breath. So yes, when you just repeat the same whine over and over it gets really old. I'll lay off giving you any more "wise" advice. I was trying to just kind of say to you, "We get what you're saying and agree." But this is cool too.
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dm2081
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Post by dm2081 on Jan 23, 2015 0:38:43 GMT -5
^maybe there's something in the water
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 23, 2015 0:59:52 GMT -5
^maybe there's something in the water Must be
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 23, 2015 1:12:22 GMT -5
Thats all I see, people trying to make their point here, even if it's repeated many times. It's kind why there are sites like this one. When and if Carrie reaches number one, you'll see my subject change to something else. Thanks for your wise advice though. Really? I haven't seen you post on Pulse about anything other than Carrie Underwood in well over a year. So I won't hold my breath. So yes, when you just repeat the same whine over and over it gets really old. I'll lay off giving you any more "wise" advice. I was trying to just kind of say to you, "We get what you're saying and agree." But this is cool too. Damn, you researched back over a year? Hopefully, Carrie will reach number one and that will be my last post. Well, until her next single. Thanks
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matty005
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Post by matty005 on Jan 23, 2015 1:13:44 GMT -5
Really? I haven't seen you post on Pulse about anything other than Carrie Underwood in well over a year. So I won't hold my breath. So yes, when you just repeat the same whine over and over it gets really old. I'll lay off giving you any more "wise" advice. I was trying to just kind of say to you, "We get what you're saying and agree." But this is cool too. Damn, you researched back over a year? Hopefully, Carrie will reach number one and that will be my last post. Well, until her next single. Thanks Yes, because I try to have a clue what I am talking about when I reply to things or else I look dumb.
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jptexas
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Post by jptexas on Jan 23, 2015 1:31:18 GMT -5
Damn, you researched back over a year? Hopefully, Carrie will reach number one and that will be my last post. Well, until her next single. Thanks Yes, because I try to have a clue what I am talking about when I reply to things or else I look dumb. I don't think you ever look dumb. Your posts always seem coherent and factual. I'm the one that repeats himself. I'm more of an open mouth, insert foot kind of guy. Apologies if I whined too much. Gee, I haven't felt this way since the second grade when Mrs Peters caught me tossing a spitball at Betty Franks. Straight to the corner. Lol
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Post by Deleted on Jan 23, 2015 9:41:57 GMT -5
... and now appears to be an outstanding opportunity to reiterate that, when replying, it is imperative that your posts are about the song and not other members. The almighty and powerful jhomes87 outlined that, and more, and I have included the portions that are particularly relevant here. Hint, hint. 2) Post Respectfully and with Common Sense. The atmosphere of a forum is always more encouraging when we treat one another with respect. Make sure you’re staying on topic and not repeating yourself or others; this should be common sense! ... Finally, post about songs, not about people! ... You are free to agree or disagree with someone else's opinion, but keep in mind that personal insults or otherwise dismissive judgments of fellow posters are inappropriate. ... (A final tip--when discussing something, you don't always need to have the last word!)
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rbundy1987
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Post by rbundy1987 on Jan 23, 2015 10:36:22 GMT -5
jhomes87, what's going on? Is 19/Arista still pushing this for this week, or are they backing out for another week and hoping to go for it for next week? I don't see how they can pass Luke next week, with how he is gaining in spins and at times audience even though that has slowed down here the past few days.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 23, 2015 14:11:11 GMT -5
jhomes87, what's going on? Is 19/Arista still pushing this for this week, or are they backing out for another week and hoping to go for it for next week? I don't see how they can pass Luke next week, with how he is gaining in spins and at times audience even though that has slowed down here the past few days. If only I worked for Arista... :) My first thought after seeing today's update was that perhaps the label realized they weren't going to be able to "make it happen" this week and might instead go for #1 next week. I though there was a pretty good chance for Carrie to get to #1 on Mediabase by Sunday--and that chance is still there--but today she lost ground to both Eric and Luke in the all-important spins race. Luke does appear to be slowing down a bit (in terms of audience gains), so I think the thought here may be to leave Eric Church uncontested; he'd take the #1 spot on both charts and then move out of the way next week, leaving only Carrie and Luke to battle it out. Today's gains: Eric: +59 spins, +334k audience Carrie: +22 spins, +354k audience Luke: +121 spins, +152k audience Carrie clearly won't make it to the top on Billboard this week. Meanwhile, it seems that Luke is trying to make up a bit of the gap on Mediabase (given his huge spins gain but small AI gain). Carrie's update wasn't bad today but it also wasn't indicative of a song that's on its way to #1. So to me it appears that either a) Arista has decided to ease off on the gas pedal, possibly realizing that they aren't going to get to #1 on either chart this week and will therefore have to save the "push" for next week or b) Arista IS in fact trying to really boost SITW but they're not getting the results they want from the folks at radio (for the record, I think "a" is more likely, but it's impossible to be sure). In any case, it's still hard to say...I'm not really sure what to make of today's update, but what I do know is that if it were me calling the shots, I wouldn't have even thought about pushing SITW this week since she started the week so far behind both Eric and Luke in audience. There's no guarantee that Arista can get this song to #1 next week (after Eric likely moves out of the way), but I like their chances better next week than I do for this week. The real question is: can they keep SITW alive for another 7-10 days? Does the song have that much gas left in the tank? We'll have to wait and see.
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