Billboard Hot 100: 01/30/2016

[Daniel Collins]

2016/01/12

*** = dropped or added a format

1. ADELE - Hello: 214.526 (-1.848***)
2. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 189.974 (+0.807)
3. SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 156.172 (+0.999) ▲
4. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 155.376 (-0.240) ▼
5. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 149.590 (-0.915)
6. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 115.467 (-0.333)
7. THE WEEKND - In The Night: 114.386 (+2.029***) ▲
8. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 113.747 (-1.766) ▼
9. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 104.872 (-2.465***)
10. ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 103.889 (-2.509)

11. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 97.368 (+3.650)
12. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 96.214 (+3.295)
13. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 89.352 (-1.026)
14. THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 74.798 (-1.615***)
15. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 73.704 (-1.772)
16. TRAVI$ SCOTT - Antidote: 72.024 (-0.559)
17. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Roses f/Rozes: 69.189 (+2.176***) ▲
18. JASON ALDEAN - Gonna Know We Were Here: 69.011 (-0.572)
19. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 68.998 (-3.017***) ▼
20. LOCASH - I Love This Life: 68.471 (+0.476) ▼

21. DRAKE & FUTURE - Jumpman: 67.079 (+0.477)
22. BROTHERS OSBORNE - Stay A Little Longer: 65.091 (+0.253) ▲
23. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 64.403 (-0.756) ▼
24. ADELE - When We Were Young: 63.689 (+1.916) ▲
25. DEMI LOVATO - Confident: 63.647 (-0.663) ▼
26. SAM HUNT - Break Up In A Small Town: 60.194 (+0.512)
27. LUKE BRYAN - Home Alone Tonight: 56.258 (+0.429)
28. JANA KRAMER - I Got The Boy: 55.601 (+1.155) ▲
29. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 54.117 (-0.549) ▼
30. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 53.601 (-0.247)

31. DAYA - Hide Away: 52.436 (+0.144)
32. TORY LANEZ - Say It: 52.071 (+0.128)
33. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 50.232 (-0.818)
34. TIM MCGRAW - Top Of The World: 49.325 (-1.510)
35. ONE DIRECTION - Perfect: 49.128 (+0.127) ▲
36. POST MALONE - White Iverson: 48.774 (-0.851) ▼
37. GRANGER SMITH - Backroad Song: 47.489 (+0.394) ▲
38. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 47.205 (-0.872) ▼
39. BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 46.395 (-0.420) ▲
40. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 46.388 (-0.459) ▼

41. KELSEA BALLERINI - Dibs: 46.199 (+0.438) ▲
42. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 45.607 (-0.920) ▼
43. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 44.640 (-0.381)
44. KEITH URBAN - Break On Me: 43.314 (+0.708) ▲
45. J. COLE - No Role Modelz: 42.346 (-0.439) ▼
46. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 42.211 (-0.106)
47. RANDY HOUSER - We Went: 41.361 (+0.322) ▲
48. COLDPLAY - Adventure Of A Lifetime: 41.309 (+0.120) ▼
49. RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 41.292 (+0.697) ▲
50. BRYSON TILLER - Don't: 40.865 (-0.052) ▼

51. FETTY WAP - Again: 40.802 (+0.357) ▲
52. BRAD PAISLEY - Country Nation: 40.654 (+0.157)
53. SHAWN MENDES & CAMILA CABELLO - I Know What You Did Last...: 40.420 (+1.030) ▲
54. CHRIS YOUNG - I'm Comin' Over: 40.298 (-0.518) ▼
55. YO GOTTI - Down In The DM: 37.826 (-0.093) ▲
56. ZAC BROWN BAND - Beautiful Drug: 37.061 (+0.424) ▲
57. CAM - Burning House: 36.969 (-2.810) ▼
58. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 36.222 (-0.718) ▼
59. SELENA GOMEZ - Good For You f/A$AP Rocky: 36.019 (-0.600)
60. GWEN STEFANI - Used To Love You: 35.338 (-0.745)

61. ERIC CHURCH - Mr. Misunderstood: 35.115 (+0.591)
62. CHRIS BROWN - Back To Sleep: 33.741 (+0.339) ▲
63. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 33.668 (-0.340) ▼
64. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Heartbeat: 33.334 (+0.320)
65. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 32.022 (+0.724) ▲
66. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 31.786 (-0.407) ▼
67. DAN + SHAY - Nothin' Like You: 30.933 (-0.659) ▼
68. FLO RIDA - My House: 30.607 (+1.430) ▲
69. CHASE BRYANT - Little Bit Of You: 29.794 (+0.189) ▼
70. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Confession: 29.449 (+0.348)

71. RASCAL FLATTS - I Like The Sound Of That: 28.982 (+0.178) ▲
72. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 28.719 (+0.059) ▲
73. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 28.424 (-0.555) ▼
74. TAYLOR SWIFT - Out Of The Woods: 27.933 (+2.854) ▲
75. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Smoke Break: 27.897 (-0.443) ▼

[MTSChart21]

I am here and ready to see the predictions. :)

[carreramd]

I never thought SOL would do so well... For me, Hands To Myself is maybe the best song of her album, so much better than SOL. I hope it does a good job too.

[Future Captain]

Jan 12, 2016 10:37:09 GMT -5 carreramd said:

I never thought SOL would do so well... For me, Hands To Myself is maybe the best song of her album, so much better than SOL. I hope it does a good job too.

If what the song says is right, Selena is giving a pretty good "job" to whoever it is

[MTSChart21]

Jan 12, 2016 10:44:46 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Jan 12, 2016 10:37:09 GMT -5 carreramd said:

I never thought SOL would do so well... For me, Hands To Myself is maybe the best song of her album, so much better than SOL. I hope it does a good job too.

If what the song says is right, Selena is giving a pretty good "job" to whoever it is

Lol

[popstop]

OMI - Cheerleader - 6 weeks
The Weeknd - Can't Feel My Face - 3 weeks
What Do U Mean? - Justin Bieber - 1 week
The Weeknd - The Hills - 6 weeks
Hello - Adele - 10 weeks
Sorry - Justin Bieber - 1 week

27 weeks of non-Americans topping the Billboard Hot 100, extending the record.

The most #1 songs in a row (6) by non-American artists since 1985 (8).

[Deleted]

Jan 12, 2016 10:18:34 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

I am here and ready to see the predictions. :)

I'm not as smart as you so I can't do much more than top ten

1. Sorry (10% lead)
2. Hello
3. Love Yourself
4. Stressed Out
5. Same Old Love (maybe just my wishful thinking lol but I think it could pass Drake's song this week)
6. Hotline Bling
7. What Do You Mean?
8. Stitches
9. Here
10. Roses/LIGLY
11. LIGLY/Roses
12. Jumpman
13. In The Night
14. The Hills
15. White Iverson

20. I Know What You Did Last Summer
28. My House
33. When We Were Young (YASSSS! this will slay hard once it's on Spotify and when the YouTube video comes out)
42. Space Oddity

[MTSChart21]

Jan 12, 2016 11:13:48 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Jan 12, 2016 10:18:34 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

I am here and ready to see the predictions. :)

I'm not as smart as you so I can't do much more than top ten

1. Sorry (10% lead)
2. Hello

I am not that good with predictions either. Also, I never really cared much about percentage leads so can you tell me how good a 10% lead is.

[Deleted]

Jan 12, 2016 11:51:32 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

Jan 12, 2016 11:13:48 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

I'm not as smart as you so I can't do much more than top ten

1. Sorry (10% lead)
2. Hello

I am not that good with predictions either. Also, I never really cared much about percentage leads so can you tell me how good a 10% lead is.

It is slightly more than the lead it had in points last week (meaning yesterday, when it first dethroned Hello).

For comparison's sake, one year ago Uptown Funk was in its second week at #1 with Blank Space holding at #2 behind it, and the points lead UF had over BS that week was much higher (I think maybe about 40% or 50%). In its first week at #1, Hello may have had 100% lead (that is, 2x as many points) as the runner-up (which, interestingly enough, was Sorry, the song that just now dethroned it).

[MTSChart21]

Ravi, what are your predictions for the top 9 or so?

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Chances at Me, Myself & I getting top 10 in the future?

[YourFaveIsAFlop]

As with the BB200 this week, I think there's a decent chance Adele could slip to #3 with Justin at 1 and 2 with Sorry & Love Yourself.

[leredlum]

I think Blackstar and Lazarus debut this week, along with a few classic Bowies.

I'm interested to see what happens with the new Kanye songs he's released lately (Facts & Real Friends).

Early predictions
01. Sorry
02. Love Yourself
03. Hello
04. Stressed Out
05. Hotline Bling
06. Same Old Love
07. What Do You Mean?
08. Here
09. Roses
10. Stitches
11. Jumpman
12. LIGLY

[Deleted]

Jan 12, 2016 17:18:40 GMT -5 leredlum said:

I'm interested to see what happens with the new Kanye songs he's released lately (Facts & Real Friends).

 I am too.  I get the feeling he's not going to have a traditional/proper single release... everything is kinda thrown out there randomly and unofficially like whatever happens, happens.  Is he scared of failing, or is the record company like "we are not promoting this, it's not a hit", or what the hell?  he's definitely capable of hit making, but he sure doesn't seem interested in it anymore.

[carreramd]

Jan 12, 2016 17:24:23 GMT -5 @broccoli said:

Jan 12, 2016 17:18:40 GMT -5 leredlum said:

I'm interested to see what happens with the new Kanye songs he's released lately (Facts & Real Friends).

 I am too.  I get the feeling he's not going to have a traditional/proper single release... everything is kinda thrown out there randomly and unofficially like whatever happens, happens.  Is he scared of failing, or is the record company like "we are not promoting this, it's not a hit", or what the hell?  he's definitely capable of hit making, but he sure doesn't seem interested in it anymore.

Only One and All Day weren't promoted?

[Deleted]

Yeah they were on some level as one offs but that's not really my point. There's all this hype about a new album, forever now - but we keep getting these random songs that aren't hits. Lol.

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Can Adele's 25 log at least 10 weeks of No.1 in the end of day?

[Zach]

Jan 12, 2016 18:19:01 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Can Adele's 25 log at least 10 weeks of No.1 in the end of day?

Almost certainly. It's at what, 7 now? Considering Panic!'s release next week an 8th should be on the table for week after next. I'm sure it'll pick up at least two more #1 weeks along the way.

[Ravi]

Predictions

Rank - Song - Sales - Airplay - Streams = Points

1 - Sorry - 100 - 145 - 18.0 = 42,800
2 - Hello - 105 - 160 - 15.0 = 41,400
3 - Love Yourself - 160 - 90 - 15.0 = 39,000
4 - Stressed Out - 140 - 90 - 9.0 = 30,700
5 - Hotline Bling - 45 - 85 - 11.0 = 24,500
6 - Same Old Love - 50 - 120 - 7.0 = 24,000

Sorry should be #1 again this week. Hello should be #2, but if Love Yourself can take a bigger lead on Sales and Streaming, then it might just overtake Hello, however the probability is quite low.

It will close between HB and SOL for #5.

Next week it will be quite an interesting and close fight of Bieber vs Bieber for #1. :)

[MTSChart21]

Jan 13, 2016 0:30:26 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Predictions

Rank - Song - Sales - Airplay - Streams = Points

1 - Sorry - 100 - 145 - 18.0 = 42,800
2 - Hello - 105 - 160 - 15.0 = 41,400
3 - Love Yourself - 160 - 90 - 15.0 = 39,000
4 - Stressed Out - 140 - 90 - 9.0 = 30,700

Interesting indeed. Love Yourself should be top 2 on the week after this week. And also, YES! STRESSED OUT IS GETTING CLOSER! #STRESSEDOUT4NUMBER1. I think Sorry will get a 2 week run at #1, but that's it

So here are my predictions for the next couple weeks

1/30/2016
1. Sorry (=)
2. Hello (=)
3. Love Yourself (=)
4. Stressed Out (+1)

2/6/2016
1. Love Yourself (+2) (Due to the fact that Sorry should be falling in airplay and pretty much everything else)
2. Sorry (-1)
3. Hello (-1) 
4. Stressed Out (=)

2/13/2016
1. Love Yourself (=)
2. Sorry (=)
3. Stressed Out (+1) (This will be a close battle for number 3)
4. Hello (-1)

If Adele releases a music video for WWWY and also releases the song to Spotify soon, this could very well be the top 5 on 2/20/2016
1. Love Yourself (=)
2. When We Were Young (+27) or (+5) (So it will either jump 29-2 or 7-2. It depends on how fast it rises)
3. Stressed Out (=)
4. Sorry (-2)
5. Hello (-1)

After all of that, you now know my prediction for Stressed Out's peak. If WWWY doesn't show up on the week of 2/20/2016, Stressed Out will peak at #2. If WWWY does show up then, Stressed Out peaks at #3.

[HUGE PREDICTION] I am almost certain that this will happen right here:
The week 2/27/2016 will be the week that "When We Were Young" reaches number 1. It will, or should have Spotify and a video, great airplay, and sales will be good too. Also, with the fact that it is the week of Valentine's. I feel like all of this will happen.

So for a recap, My number 1 predictions up until the 2/27/2016 chart:
1/30/2016: Justin Bieber- Sorry (2nd and Final Week)
2/06/2016: Justin Bieber- Love Yourself (1st Week)
2/13/2016: Justin Bieber- Love Yourself (2nd Week)
2/20/2016: Justin Bieber- Love Yourself (3rd and Final Week)
2/27/2016: Adele- When We Were Young (1st Week) (I see this getting an easy 5+ week run at #1)

[Future Captain]

Jan 12, 2016 18:19:01 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Can Adele's 25 log at least 10 weeks of No.1 in the end of day?

1989 got eleven, I don't see why 25 wouldn't.

[jarhys]

Jan 13, 2016 5:09:07 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Jan 12, 2016 18:19:01 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

Can Adele's 25 log at least 10 weeks of No.1 in the end of day?

1989 got eleven, I don't see why 25 wouldn't.

Actually 1989 got twelve: Shake It Off(4) + Blank Space(7) + Bad Blood(1)

[Deleted]

Jan 13, 2016 7:33:58 GMT -5 jarhys said:

Jan 13, 2016 5:09:07 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

1989 got eleven, I don't see why 25 wouldn't.

Actually 1989 got twelve: Shake It Off(4) + Blank Space(7) + Bad Blood(1)

THINKIN BOUT YOU was referring to the album chart.

[jarhys]

Jan 13, 2016 7:36:51 GMT -5 @towerofshowers said:

Jan 13, 2016 7:33:58 GMT -5 jarhys said:

Actually 1989 got twelve: Shake It Off(4) + Blank Space(7) + Bad Blood(1)

THINKIN BOUT YOU was referring to the album chart.

Oops, I misunderstood it.

[Daniel Collins]

2016/01/13

*** = dropped or added a format

1. ADELE - Hello: 211.955 (-2.571)
2. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 190.036 (+0.062)
3. SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 156.426 (+0.254)
4. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 156.120 (+0.744)
5. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 148.372 (-1.218)
6. THE WEEKND - In The Night: 116.280 (+1.894) ▲
7. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 112.973 (-2.494) ▼
8. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 112.666 (-1.081)
9. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 103.195 (-1.677)
10. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 101.287 (+3.919) ▲

11. ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 101.225 (-2.664) ▼
12. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 99.836 (+3.622)
13. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 89.155 (-0.197)
14. THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 74.625 (-0.173)
15. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 72.004 (-1.700)
16. TRAVI$ SCOTT - Antidote: 71.580 (-0.444)
17. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Roses f/Rozes: 71.453 (+2.264)
18. LOCASH - I Love This Life: 68.737 (+0.266) ▲
19. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 68.513 (-0.485***)
20. JASON ALDEAN - Gonna Know We Were Here: 68.034 (-0.977) ▼

21. DRAKE & FUTURE - Jumpman: 67.394 (+0.315)
22. BROTHERS OSBORNE - Stay A Little Longer: 65.726 (+0.635)
23. ADELE - When We Were Young: 65.187 (+1.498) ▲
24. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 63.828 (-0.575) ▼
25. DEMI LOVATO - Confident: 62.836 (-0.811)
26. SAM HUNT - Break Up In A Small Town: 60.862 (+0.668)
27. LUKE BRYAN - Home Alone Tonight: 57.373 (+1.115)
28. JANA KRAMER - I Got The Boy: 56.889 (+1.288)
29. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 53.853 (-0.264)
30. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 53.184 (-0.417)

31. DAYA - Hide Away: 52.647 (+0.211)
32. TORY LANEZ - Say It: 52.240 (+0.169)
33. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 50.063 (-0.169)
34. ONE DIRECTION - Perfect: 48.946 (-0.182) ▲
35. GRANGER SMITH - Backroad Song: 48.038 (+0.549) ▲
36. POST MALONE - White Iverson: 47.994 (-0.780)
37. TIM MCGRAW - Top Of The World: 47.163 (-2.162) ▼
38. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 46.435 (-0.770)
39. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 46.373 (-0.015) ▲
40. BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 45.952 (-0.443) ▼

41. KELSEA BALLERINI - Dibs: 45.893 (-0.306)
42. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 44.344 (-1.263)
43. KEITH URBAN - Break On Me: 43.963 (+0.649) ▲
44. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 43.724 (-0.916) ▼
45. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 42.648 (+0.437) ▲
46. J. COLE - No Role Modelz: 42.609 (+0.263) ▼
47. RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 41.712 (+0.420) ▲
48. RANDY HOUSER - We Went: 41.678 (+0.317) ▼
49. COLDPLAY - Adventure Of A Lifetime: 41.382 (+0.073) ▼
50. BRYSON TILLER - Don't: 41.351 (+0.486)

51. FETTY WAP - Again: 41.086 (+0.284)
52. SHAWN MENDES & CAMILA CABELLO - I Know What You Did Last...: 40.775 (+0.355) ▲
53. BRAD PAISLEY - Country Nation: 40.632 (-0.022) ▼
54. CHRIS YOUNG - I'm Comin' Over: 39.533 (-0.765)
55. YO GOTTI - Down In The DM: 38.531 (+0.705)
56. ZAC BROWN BAND - Beautiful Drug: 37.499 (+0.438)
57. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 36.207 (-0.015) ▲
58. ERIC CHURCH - Mr. Misunderstood: 35.348 (+0.233) ▲
59. SELENA GOMEZ - Good For You f/A$AP Rocky: 35.019 (-1.000)
60. CAM - Burning House: 34.823 (-2.146) ▼

61. CHRIS BROWN - Back To Sleep: 34.383 (+0.642) ▲
62. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Heartbeat: 34.382 (+1.048) ▲}
63. GWEN STEFANI - Used To Love You: 34.150 (-1.188) ▼
64. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 33.155 (-0.513) ▼
65. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 32.991 (+0.969)
66. FLO RIDA - My House: 32.100 (+1.493) ▲
67. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 31.218 (-0.568***) ▼
68. TAYLOR SWIFT - Out Of The Woods: 30.944 (+3.011***) ▲
69. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Confession: 30.075 (+0.626) ▲
70. CHASE BRYANT - Little Bit Of You: 30.047 (+0.253) ▼

71. DAN + SHAY - Nothin' Like You: 29.924 (-1.009) ▼
72. RASCAL FLATTS - I Like The Sound Of That: 29.828 (+0.846) ▼
73. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 28.956 (+0.237) ▼
74. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 27.998 (-0.426) ▼
75. BIG SEAN - Play No Games: 27.925 (+0.081) ▲

[MTSChart21]

Stressed Out is still going strong. If it keeps up, it could be number 1 in the future, but I think When We Were Young will replace Love Yourself at #1 and Stressed Out will never make it to #1 because of Adele.

[when the pawn...]

Jan 12, 2016 17:24:23 GMT -5 @broccoli said:

Jan 12, 2016 17:18:40 GMT -5 leredlum said:

I'm interested to see what happens with the new Kanye songs he's released lately (Facts & Real Friends).

 I am too.  I get the feeling he's not going to have a traditional/proper single release... everything is kinda thrown out there randomly and unofficially like whatever happens, happens.  Is he scared of failing, or is the record company like "we are not promoting this, it's not a hit", or what the hell?  he's definitely capable of hit making, but he sure doesn't seem interested in it anymore.

He's releasing a song on Soundcloud (not iTunes or Spotify) each Friday until the album comes out (February 11). Whether there is an 'official' single or not, Kanye doesn't seem too interested in Hot 100 hits. Of course he is capable of it, just doesn't seem to be what he's aiming for.

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Jan 13, 2016 10:12:42 GMT -5 MTSChart21 said:

Stressed Out is still going strong. If it keeps up, it could be number 1 in the future, but I think When We Were Young will replace Love Yourself at #1 and Stressed Out will never make it to #1 because of Adele.

If that's the case, I'll cry

[SPRΞΞ]

If WWWY jumps to #2 after the video, it won't hit #1 the week after. Streams fall. And I don't think they'll be even close to Hello's to begin with. Plus it looks like LY doesn't even need a video. However, he could release it just in time to block Adele. He'll get way more streams with his than she will with hers.

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Both Justin Bieber and Adele are dry as a bone. I wish Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars, Rihanna will have their dramatic returns and Taylor Swift, The Weeknd will drop some even stronger songs and albums that will surely take down these kind of chart monopoly and take the industry back to 2011 the prime year of competition and drama.
Have no idea why Justin Bieber and Adele have such good luck to be still that big. I thought their luck should have run out already