HITS: Zayn #1 (114k/156k). K Michelle #2 (50k/55k)

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=300382

Monday, March 28, 2016

MOM DAY FOR ZAYN AND SARAH (UPDATE)

ZAYN’s Mind of Mine—make that MIND OF MINE—is out, and it has been at the top of the iTunes album chart since release on Friday (3/25). That‘s precisely the same spot in which we expect to see the RCA release on the HITS Top 50 Albums Chart this Friday.

The latest projections put the album at 120-130k in sales and 160-180k SPS.

[Caviar]

Solid sales.

[Deleted]

I was expecting 100k so that's a solid opening. Hopefully he trends upwards since the album is actually really good.

[Wavey✨️]

I expected 200k+, but this is still great coming off of "PillowTalk". What's K''s prediction?

[Mayman]

I was really expecting upwards of 200k, coming off all the talk of him in media, Pillowtalk, and him in general. But 150k is still pretty good.

Is he now confirmed a "singles" artists?

[Enigma.]

I think Mind of Mine will have long legs, maybe a year in top 100 or sth.

[Wavey✨️]

Mar 28, 2016 12:51:27 GMT -5 Mayman said:

I was really expecting upwards of 200k, coming off all the talk of him in media, Pillowtalk, and him in general. But 150k is still pretty good.

Is he now confirmed a "singles" artists?

Can't judge it off of his first album.

[kanimal]

ZAYN (RCA) 120-130k album, 160-170k
K Michelle (WMG) 49-53k, 51-55k
Asking Alexandria (Sumerian) 27-28k, 28-32k
Young Thug (WMG) 22-25k, 27-30k
Joe Bonamassa (J&R) 22-25k, 24-27k
Anthony Hamilton (RCA) 20-23k, 22-25k
Amon Amarth (Metal Blade) 14-17k, 15-18k

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=300415

[#LisaRinna]

Cute numbers for K. Michelle. Tamar did 38k (43k SPS) so she's doing better.

[Deleted]

I guess not terrible numbers for Zayn, but what happened to that 300k+ projection from earlier?

[DJ General]

Mar 28, 2016 12:51:27 GMT -5 Mayman said:

I was really expecting upwards of 200k, coming off all the talk of him in media, Pillowtalk, and him in general. But 150k is still pretty good.

Is he now confirmed a "singles" artists?

No? Early first week estimates does not make someone a singles artist. The album is not for children. Many parents are not allowing them to purchase a sex album. Furthermore, while many thought he would do better, 170k first week is nothing to sneeze about in 2016. Plus, it can still trend up.

[Deleted]

Mar 28, 2016 19:10:54 GMT -5 DJ General said:

Mar 28, 2016 12:51:27 GMT -5 Mayman said:

I was really expecting upwards of 200k, coming off all the talk of him in media, Pillowtalk, and him in general. But 150k is still pretty good.

Is he now confirmed a "singles" artists?

No? Early first week estimates does not make someone a singles artist. The album is not for children. Many parents are not allowing them to purchase a sex album. Furthermore, while many thought he would do better, 170k first week is nothing to sneeze about in 2016. Plus, it can still trend up.

Feels so weird to be praising 170k first week sales only 2 months after... you know.

[areyoureadytojump]

Mar 28, 2016 18:42:11 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

I guess not terrible numbers for Zayn, but what happened to that 300k+ projection from earlier?

It was 200k-300k.

[areyoureadytojump]

www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/7317815/zayn-no-1-debut-billboard-200-chart

Zayn Heading for No. 1 Debut on Billboard 200 Albums Chart With 'Mind of Mine'
3/29/2016 by Keith Caulfield

Zayn’s debut solo album, Mind of Mine, is heading for a No. 1 bow atop the Billboard 200 chart. Industry forecasters suggest the set, which was released on March 25 through RCA Records, could earn upwards of 160,000 equivalent album units in the week ending March 31. Of that sum, perhaps 120,000 could be pure album sales.

The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums of the week in the U.S. based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The new April 16-dated chart (where Zayn may open at No. 1) is scheduled to have its top 10 revealed on Sunday, April 3.

If Mind of Mine starts at No. 1, Zayn will succeed Gwen Stefani, who notched her first solo No. 1 album with This Is What the Truth Feels Like on the April 9-dated chart. Stefani, like Zayn, previously visited the No. 1 slot as part of a group: Stefani is the lead singer of the band No Doubt, which topped the chart with Tragic Kingdom. Zayn was formerly a member of the vocal group One Direction, which hit No. 1 with four albums (Up All Night, Take Me Home, Midnight Memories and Four) during his time with the act.

Mind of Mine was led by Zayn’s debut solo single “Pillowtalk,” which debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart in February. The achievement made Zayn the first U.K. artist to debut at No. 1 on the Hot 100 with their first charted single.

Other albums on course for a high debut on the new Billboard 200 chart include K. Michelle’s More Issues Than Vogue (with around 50,000 units or so), Asking Alexandria’s The Black (30,000 units) and Young Thug’s Slime Season 3 (30,000 units).

[when the pawn...]

Mar 28, 2016 19:16:30 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Mar 28, 2016 19:10:54 GMT -5 DJ General said:

No? Early first week estimates does not make someone a singles artist. The album is not for children. Many parents are not allowing them to purchase a sex album. Furthermore, while many thought he would do better, 170k first week is nothing to sneeze about in 2016. Plus, it can still trend up.

Feels so weird to be praising 170k first week sales only 2 months after... you know.

What happened 2 months ago? Or are you referring to Adele in November? If so, her opening sales are completely irrelevant.

[Duca]

TOP 15: MIND POWER EDITION

RCA'S ZAYN continues to move toward the #1 spot on Friday's HITS Album Sales and SPS charts; his Mind of Mine has hit #1 at iTunes in 83 countries, btw. Let's take a look at how this and the week's other top sellers are likely to fare.

*ZAYN (RCA) 115-120 album, 155-160k SPS
*K. Michelle (WMG) 48-53k, 52-57k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 38-43k, 47-52k
*Asking Alexandia (Sumerian) 27-30k, 28-32k
Joey + Rory (Gaither) 23-26k, 24-27k
*Joe Bonamassa (J&R) 23-26k, 24-28k
Chris Stapleton (Mercury Nashville) 22-25k, 28-32k
*Young Thug (WMG) 21-24k, 24-28k
twenty one pilots (Fueled By Ramen) 20-23k, 38-43k
*Anthony Hamilton (RCA) 20-23k, 21-25k
The Weeknd (XO/Republic) 17-19k, 34-38k
Gwen Stefani (Interscope) 17-19k, 20-23k
Justin Bieber (Def Jam) 16-18k, 47-53k
Sia (Monkey Puzzle/RCA) 15-17k, 22-25k
*Amon Amarth (Metal Blade) 15-17k, 15-17k
Now 57 (NOW/Legacy) 15-17k

*Debuts

Zayn barely selling more than Shawn did last year (with no singles on the Hot 100) is terrible.

Mar 29, 2016 16:32:22 GMT -5 when the pawn... said:

Mar 28, 2016 19:16:30 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Feels so weird to be praising 170k first week sales only 2 months after... you know.

What happened 2 months ago? Or are you referring to Adele in November? If so, her opening sales are completely irrelevant.

I think ANTI came out exactly 2 months ago and pulled similar numbers. Speaking of which, where's Rihanna in the midweek preview?

[DJ General]

Zayn is for adults. Shawn is for kids. Target and Best Buy do not sell clean albums. Many parents will not buy an album that even has to be censored as well. Words like "piss" are not appropriate for an 8 year old and it is not censored.

[Fat Ass Kelly Price]

Zayn has barely promoted. I'll be honest. I expected a little more. I think he would've met those expectations if he had a better promo plan.

[Deleted]

Mar 29, 2016 16:32:22 GMT -5 when the pawn... said:

Mar 28, 2016 19:16:30 GMT -5 @zach808 said:

Feels so weird to be praising 170k first week sales only 2 months after... you know.

What happened 2 months ago? Or are you referring to Adele in November? If so, her opening sales are completely irrelevant.

I am pretty sure he meant that other Columbia act that released an album in November, lol.

But really, has anyone ever performed as well as or better than their former group with the first solo effort? Off the top of my head I can't think of anyone who has. It's not a realistic thing to expect. Of course, reaching that level of success can happen later, but that isn't something that can yet be determined from just one opening week.

[carreramd]

Zayn's first-week will be better than Selena's.

[anafan]

Not bad, around what I thought they would be.

[Choco]

I expected 200k. Yeah it's better than Selena but she didn't have a #1 single.

[pnobelysk]

Mar 30, 2016 11:24:06 GMT -5 @antigonerising said:

Mar 29, 2016 16:32:22 GMT -5 when the pawn... said:

What happened 2 months ago? Or are you referring to Adele in November? If so, her opening sales are completely irrelevant.

I am pretty sure he meant that other Columbia act that released an album in November, lol.

But really, has anyone ever performed as well as or better than their former group with the first solo effort? Off the top of my head I can't think of anyone who has. It's not a realistic thing to expect. Of course, reaching that level of success can happen later, but that isn't something that can yet be determined from just one opening week.

Cassadee pope ????
Jesse McCartney

[Deleted]

Apr 1, 2016 7:07:40 GMT -5 pnobelysk said:

Mar 30, 2016 11:24:06 GMT -5 @antigonerising said:

I am pretty sure he meant that other Columbia act that released an album in November, lol.

But really, has anyone ever performed as well as or better than their former group with the first solo effort? Off the top of my head I can't think of anyone who has. It's not a realistic thing to expect. Of course, reaching that level of success can happen later, but that isn't something that can yet be determined from just one opening week.

Cassadee pope ????
Jesse McCartney

Oh wow, I had totally forgotten Jesse McCartney was in a band once. And that reminds me that Fergie got her start in Wild Orchid - but would that even count since we generally associate her with BEP? I wasn't really thinking of people who were in independent and/or commercially unsuccessful bands though (in that case I could add a whole bunch of people have technically succeeded their former group almost by default). So I guess I should amend my statement to say, has anyone ever been a member of a highly successful group, then performed as well as or better than the group with his or her first solo effort?

Beyonce comes close - Dangerously In Love opened with 317k (the DC album preceding that, Survivor, opened with 663k) but matched Survivor's 4x platinum total and has since outsold Survivor, though I don't know if that happened during the album's run or in a later year through catalog sales. She has not outsold DC's biggest success, The Writing's On the Wall (8x platinum).

If you take Tragic Kingdom out of the equation, Gwen's solo debut also managed to outdo all her former band's other albums, both in opening week and overall sales.

Aside from that I think I have to go all the way back to New Edition - interestingly all but one of them actually performed better without each other than with. I can't find opening week numbers for any of them, since that wasn't such a big deal back then. But NE's best selling album was their last 1980s release, NE Heartbreak (3x platinum). Bobby was the original Zayn and left the group first, but had a misfire of a debut solo album; it was his second release, Don't Be Cruel, that ended up being the best-selling effort any NE guy put out. (Fun fact - Don't Be Cruel and NE Heartbreak were released on the same day; Bobby definitively won the race at 7x platinum.) After NE Heartbreak, the group broke up entirely and the other guys all released albums in 1990. BBD's Poison went 4x platinum, and Johnny Gill's self-titled release was 3x platinum**. Only Ralph Tresvant got left in the dust - his debut 'only' sold 1 million - but I'm guessing a little bit of fatigue had set in at this point, as his was the last of the bunch to be released and BBD and Johnny had stolen most of the thunder that spring. He also seems to be the only one who had no crossover action at all, which could explain the difference.

**Technicalities - Johnny had two solo releases before joining NE as Bobby's replacement. BBD is not a solo act, probably b/c all three of those guys wisely ascertained that they wouldn't be very successful individually.

NE is also the only group I can think of that spawned multiple big successes from its former members instead of just one breakout star, although it should be noted that none of them became long-term forces on that level.

/nerd

[DJ General]

TWENTY88 to be #1 on the next chart??

[popstop]

Apr 1, 2016 11:55:14 GMT -5 @antigonerising said:

Amazing detailed stats

:)

We could add George Michael, who easily outpaced Wham with Faith.

Maybe MJ after leaving the Jackson 5?

Still, it seems like we're having to go decades to find a good correlation.

[Linnethia Monique]

Apr 1, 2016 16:08:58 GMT -5 popstop said:

Apr 1, 2016 11:55:14 GMT -5 @antigonerising said:

Amazing detailed stats

:)

We could add George Michael, who easily outpaced Wham with Faith.

Maybe MJ after leaving the Jackson 5?

Still, it seems like we're having to go decades to find a good correlation.

Michael Jackson was doing solo records while still being apart of the Jackson 5 so I wouldn't know where to put him. The one that I can say that went solo and was a bigger hit would be Lauryn Hill.
Edit: What about Phil Collins? He took a short break from Genesis for a couple of years and his debut album was HUGE. I believe in return it actually elevated their stock even higher than before when he came back. Can failed groups be apart of this too because @antigonerising had me thinking of P!nk, Tinashe, Sevyn Streeter, Ne-Yo, Bobby Valentino, Missy Elliott, and a slew of other artists.

[Nick]

Chart Date: 04/01/2016 Status: Building FINAL


LW TW Artist / Album Label Sales Index

-- 1
ZAYN
MIND OF MINE
RCA 114,770

-- 2
K. MICHELLE
MORE ISSUES THAN VOGUE
WMG 50,853
3 3
ADELE
25
XL/COLUMBIA 39,012
-- 4
JOE BONAMASSA
BLUES OF DESPERATION
J&R 25,694
-- 5
ASKING ALEXANDRIA
THE BLACK
SUMERIAN 25,096
6 6 CHRIS STAPLETON
TRAVELLER
MERCURY NASHVILLE 23,608
-- 7 YOUNG THUG
SLIME SEASON 3
WMG 22,171
-- 8 ANTHONY HAMILTON
WHAT I'M FEELIN'
RCA 21,767
14 9 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
BLURRYFACE
FUELED BY RAMEN 21,437
5 10 JOEY + RORY
HYMNS
GAITHER 18,523
-- 11 AMON AMARTH
JOMSVIKING
METAL BLADE 18,060
1 12 GWEN STEFANI
THIS IS WHAT THE TRUTH FEELS LIKE
INTERSCOPE 17,771
2 13 JORDAN SMITH
SOMETHING BEAUTIFUL
REPUBLIC 16,719
9 14 NOW 57
VARIOUS ARTISTS
NOW/LEGACY 15,981
10 15 JUSTIN BIEBER
PURPOSE
DEF JAM 15,711
8 16 RIHANNA
ANTI
WESTBURY ROAD/ROC NATION 14,528
24 17 THE WEEKND
BEAUTY BEHIND THE MADNESS
XO/REPUBLIC 14,305
38 18 SIA
THIS IS ACTING
RCA 13,181
15 19 HAMILTON
ORIGINAL BROADWAY CAST
UPTOWN 11,417
21 20 DISTURBED
IMMORTALIZED
REPRISE 10,535
28 21 PANIC! AT THE DISCO
DEATH OF A BACHELOR
DCD2/FUELED BY RAMEN 10,026
12 22 HANS ZIMMER & JUNKIE XL
BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE
WATERTOWER 9,975
4 23 THE PASSION: NEW ORLEANS - ORIGINAL TELEVISION SOUNDTRACK
VARIOUS ARTISTS
VIRGIN 9,242
16 24 KENDRICK LAMAR
UNTITLED UNMASTERED
TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 8,900
23 25 TAYLOR SWIFT
1989
BIG MACHINE 8,604
22 26 KIDZ BOP KIDS
KIDZ BOP 31
RAZOR & TIE 8,508
19 27 KEVIN GATES
ISLAH
BREAD WINNER'S ASSOCIATION 8,322
32 28 LAUREN DAIGLE
HOW CAN IT BE
CENTRICITY 7,459
27 29 ADELE
21
XL/COLUMBIA 6,749
49 30 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
VESSEL
FUELED BY RAMEN 6,681
-- 31 BOB MOULD
PATCH THE SKY
MERGE 6,664
31 32 SAM HUNT
MONTEVALLO
MCA NASHVILLE 6,626
26 33 THIRD DAY
HAVE IT ALL
ESSENTIAL 6,519
13 34 JAHEIM
STRUGGLE LOVE
BMG 6,199
33 35 BRYSON TILLER
T R A P S O U L
RCA 6,173
-- 36 HALSEY
BADLANDS
ASTRALWERKS/CAPITOL 5,876
47 37 MELANIE MARTINEZ
CRY BABY
WMG 5,846
36 38 THOMAS RHETT
TANGLED UP
VALORY/BMLG 5,488
35 39 BONNIE RAITT
DIG IN DEEP
REDWING 5,444
-- 40 FUTURE
EVOL
EPIC 5,352
-- 41 JAMES BAY
CHAOS & THE CALM
REPUBLIC 5,335
-- 42 LORETTA LYNN
FULL CIRCLE
LEGACY 4,917
45 43 THE 1975
I LIKE IT WHEN YOU SLEEP, FOR YOU ARE SO BEAUTIFUL YET SO UNAWARE OF IT
DIRTY HIT/INTERSCOPE 4,826
20 44 SHINEDOWN
THREAT TO SURVIVAL
WMG 4,806
42 45 MEGHAN TRAINOR
TITLE
EPIC 4,698
-- 46 G-EAZY
WHEN IT'S DARK OUT
RCA 4,644
46 47 LUKE BRYAN
KILL THE LIGHTS
CAPITOL NASHVILLE 4,613
41 48 CARRIE UNDERWOOD
STORYTELLER
19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 4,601
-- 49 CHARLIE PUTH
NINE TRACK MIND
ARTIST PARTNER GROUP 4,517
-- 50 ONE DIRECTION
MADE IN THE A.M.
SYCO/COLUMBIA 4,503

[Nick]

SALES PLUS STREAMING CHART

Chart Date: 04/01/2016

LW TW Artist / Album Label SPS Index

-- 1
ZAYN
MIND OF MINE
RCA 156,204

-- 2
K. MICHELLE
MORE ISSUES THAN VOGUE
WMG 55,233
3 3
RIHANNA
ANTI
WESTBURY ROAD/ROC NATION 48,167
4 4
ADELE
25
XL/COLUMBIA 48,015
5 5
JUSTIN BIEBER
PURPOSE
DEF JAM 46,011
8 6 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
BLURRYFACE
FUELED BY RAMEN 40,349
-- 7 YOUNG THUG
SLIME SEASON 3
WMG 36,011
7 8 CHRIS STAPLETON
TRAVELLER
MERCURY NASHVILLE 29,839
13 9 THE WEEKND
BEAUTY BEHIND THE MADNESS
XO/REPUBLIC 28,968
-- 10 ASKING ALEXANDRIA
THE BLACK
SUMERIAN 26,994
-- 11 JOE BONAMASSA
BLUES OF DESPERATION
J&R 26,515
11 12 KEVIN GATES
ISLAH
BREAD WINNER'S ASSOCIATION 25,285
12 13 BRYSON TILLER
T R A P S O U L
RCA 23,140
37 14 SIA
THIS IS ACTING
RCA 23,048
-- 15 ANTHONY HAMILTON
WHAT I'M FEELIN'
RCA 22,987
14 16 G-EAZY
WHEN IT'S DARK OUT
RCA 22,785
1 17 GWEN STEFANI
THIS IS WHAT THE TRUTH FEELS LIKE
INTERSCOPE 21,634
10 18 JOEY + RORY
HYMNS
GAITHER 18,836
-- 19 AMON AMARTH
JOMSVIKING
METAL BLADE 18,535
18 20 TAYLOR SWIFT
1989
BIG MACHINE 18,123
31 21 PANIC! AT THE DISCO
DEATH OF A BACHELOR
DCD2/FUELED BY RAMEN 18,098
19 22 FLO RIDA
MY HOUSE
WMG 18,088
17 23 FETTY WAP
FETTY WAP
WMG 18,051
16 24 HAMILTON
ORIGINAL BROADWAY CAST
UPTOWN 17,719
2 25 JORDAN SMITH
SOMETHING BEAUTIFUL
REPUBLIC 17,555
22 26 FUTURE
EVOL
EPIC 17,451
33 27 DISTURBED
IMMORTALIZED
REPRISE 16,385
20 28 NOW 57
VARIOUS ARTISTS
NOW/LEGACY 15,981
23 29 CHARLIE PUTH
NINE TRACK MIND
ARTIST PARTNER GROUP 15,569
-- 30 TWENTY ONE PILOTS
VESSEL
FUELED BY RAMEN 14,703
28 31 THOMAS RHETT
TANGLED UP
VALORY/BMLG 14,620
15 32 KENDRICK LAMAR
UNTITLED UNMASTERED
TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 14,043
25 33 SELENA GOMEZ
REVIVAL
INTERSCOPE 13,938
44 34 HALSEY
BADLANDS
ASTRALWERKS/CAPITOL 13,812
27 35 J. COLE
2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE
ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 13,589
24 36 SAM HUNT
MONTEVALLO
MCA NASHVILLE 13,570
42 37 MELANIE MARTINEZ
CRY BABY
WMG 12,911
41 38 TROYE SIVAN
BLUE NEIGHBOURHOOD
CAPITOL 12,904
32 39 DRAKE & FUTURE
WHAT A TIME TO BE ALIVE
YMCMB/REPUBLIC/EPIC 12,701
48 40 JAMES BAY
CHAOS & THE CALM
REPUBLIC 12,603
26 41 FUTURE
DS2
EPIC 12,582
29 42 HANS ZIMMER & JUNKIE XL
BATMAN V SUPERMAN: DAWN OF JUSTICE
WATERTOWER 12,072
38 43 MEGHAN TRAINOR
TITLE
EPIC 11,691
50 44 JEREMIH
LATE NIGHTS: THE ALBUM
DEF JAM 11,625
49 45 ONE DIRECTION
MADE IN THE A.M.
SYCO/COLUMBIA 11,348
46 46 YO GOTTI
THE ART OF HUSTLE
EPIC 11,266
39 47 DRAKE
IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE
YMCMB/REPUBLIC 10,812
40 48 ADELE
21
XL/COLUMBIA 10,768
6 49 THE PASSION: NEW ORLEANS - ORIGINAL TELEVISION SOUNDTRACK
VARIOUS ARTISTS
VIRGIN 10,718
-- 50 DNCE
SWAAY
REPUBLIC 10,385

[kingofpain]

Poor Gwen, what a pathetic tumble from number one!