Billboard Hot 100 Predictions: 07/30/2016

[Mike is BAD]

Won't be able to predict tomorrow so today's my only opportunity. And I'm also giving y'all a head start.

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop
3. Cheap Thrills
4. TIWYCF
5. Don't Let Me Down
6. Panda
7. Ride
8. Don't Mind
9. Needed Me
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

Please don't have an argument about starting the thread this early. I won't be able to do it when I go on vacation later today. I get wifi access on Friday.

[kuzgun]

I don't know if you can enter the competition late, but forget it:

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Don't Mind
8. Ride
9. Needed Me
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

[MTSChart21]

I'll do my predictions after the top 10 reveal tomorrow.

Oh, and deadline is still Wednesday at 12 PM (noon) EST

[Mike is BAD]

Jul 10, 2016 22:08:02 GMT -5 kuzgun said:

I don't know if you can enter the competition late, but forget it:

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Don't Mind
8. Ride
9. Needed Me
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

Lol you're okay.

[Dylan :)]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling!
3. Don't Let Me Down
4. Cheap Thrills
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Needed Me
7. Panda
8. Ride
9. Don't Mind
10. Just Like Fire

[Bigfatliar 3]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Ride
8. Needed Me
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love

[Parerastarr10]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Ride
8. Don't Mind
9. Needed Me
10. Work From Home

[jarhys]

1. One Dance (=)
2. Can't Stop The Feeling! (=)
3. Cheap Thrills (+2)
4. This Is What You Came For (=)
5. Don't Let Me Down (-2)
6. Panda (=)
7. Ride (+1)
8. Needed Me (-1)
9. Don't Mind (=)
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) (+2)

[Leo ✔]

1) One Dance
2) CSTF!
3) TIWYCF
4) DLMD
5) Cheap Thrills
6) Panda
7) Ride
8) Needed Me
9) Don't Mind
10) SMY (TYNL)

[Raccoon]

1. One Dance
2. CSTF
3. Cheap Thrills
4. DLMD
5. TIWYCF
6. Ride
7. Dont Mind
8. Panda
9. Needed Me
10. WFH

[jtd Thee Stallion]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. This Is What You Came For
5. Don't Let Me Down
6. Ride
7. Needed Me
8. Panda
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love (To You New Lover)

11. Just Like Fire

[Deleted]

1- One Dance
2- Can't Stop The Feeling
3- Cheap Thrills
4- Don't Let Me Down
5- This Is What You Came For
6- Panda
7- Ride
8- Needed Me
9- Don't Mind
10- Send My Love

Happy I only got 2 points negative on the last prediction, hopefully this one I will get none

[theperfectopiggy]

First time predicting. I looked at data from Kworb and used some estimation. Hopefully I don't do terribly. ;)

1. One Dance - 40,684
2. CSTF - 37,483
3. Don't Let Me Down - 33,187
4. Cheap Thrills - 31,207
5. TIWYCF - 30,983
6. Panda - 28,213
7. Ride - 26,410
8. Needed Me - 25,106
9. Don't Mind - 23,983
10. Send My Love - 20,273

11. Just Like Fire - 19,913

[georgetherunner314]

1. One Dance (38.1k)
2. Can't Stop The Feeling! (35.1k)
3. Cheap Thrills (33.8k)
4. This Is What You Came For (32.1k)
5. Don't Let Me Down (30.1k)
6. Panda (27k)
7. Ride (26.7k)
8. Needed Me (25.5k)
9. Don't Mind (23.9k)
10. Send My Love (21k)

11. Just Like Fire (19.1k)
12. Work From Home (18.2k)

Wow, Cheap Thrills is definitely going to block TIWYCF if they both get up there.

[leredlum]

01. One Dance
02. Can't Stop the Feeling
03. This is What You Came For
04. Don't Let Me Down
05. Cheap Thrills
06. Panda
07. Ride
08. Needed Me
09. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

[Mr. Thonk Eyes]

1. One Dance
2. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING!
3. This Is What You Came For
4. Cheap Thrills
5. Don't Let Me Down
6. Panda
7. Ride
8. Needed Me
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

[85la]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Ride
8. Needed Me
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love

[truemusicreviews]

I updated my formula again to make sure the ratios were more accurate. This should be interesting.

RANKING	SONG	POINTS	MOVEMENT
1	Drake - "One Dance"	13,773	=
2	Justin Timberlake - "Can't Stop The Feeling"	13,140	=
3	Sia - "Cheap Thrills"	11,978	+2
4	Calvin Harris - "This Is What You Came For"	10,350	=
5	The Chainsmokers - "Don't Let Me Down"	9,791	-2
6	Twenty One Pilots - "Ride"	7,225	+2
7	Desiigner - "Panda"	6,551	-1
8	Rihanna - "Needed Me"	5,262	-1
9	Kent Jones - "Don't Mind"	4,885	=
10	Adele - "Send My Love (To Your New Lover)"	3,211	+2

11. P!nk - "Just Like Fire"
12. Fifth Harmony - "Work From Home"

[MTSChart21]

1. One Dance (=) (38,400)
2. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! (=) (34,800)
3. Cheap Thrills (+2) (33,000)
4. This Is What You Came For (=) (31,300)
5. Don't Let Me Down (-2) (30,200)
6. Panda (=) (28,200)
7. Ride (+1) (26,400)
8. Needed Me (-1) (24,550)
9. Don't Mind (=) (24,500)
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) (+2) (20,700)
----------------------------------------------
11. Just Like Fire (=) (19,300)
12. Work From Home (-2) (17,600)
13. I Took A Pill In Ibiza (=) (16,900)

[Mayman]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. This Is What You Came For
5. Don't Let Me Down
6. Panda
7. Needed Me
8. Ride
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)

[yuh yuh]

1. One Dance
2. Can't Stop The Feeling
3. Cheap Thrills
4. Don't Let Me Down
5. This Is What You Came For
6. Panda
7. Needed Me
8. Ride
9. Don't Mind
10. Send My Love

[Deleted]

1 One Dance
2 can't stop the feeling!
3 dont let me down
4 cheap thrills
5 this is what you came for
6 needed me
7 ride
8 panda
9 send my love
10 don't mind

#late & taking chances

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Welp guys looks like we got f*d by Calvin Harris & Taylor Swift this week, TIWYCF is definitely looking like it's getting #3 this week with the sales boost from their drama...

[MTSChart21]

Jul 14, 2016 12:44:03 GMT -5 jtd Thee Stallion said:

Welp guys looks like we got f*d by Calvin Harris & Taylor Swift this week, TIWYCF is definitely looking like it's getting #3 this week with the sales boost from their drama...

If my radio and streaming predictions for Cheap Thrills and TIWYCF end up being correct, then TIWYCF would need about 73k sales to take #3 from Cheap Thrills (assuming Cheap Thrills sells 92k), which does seem quite possible.

In case any one wants to know, this was my prediction for the 2 songs earlier this week:

Cheap Thrills: 92 - 129 - 11.9 = 33,039
TIWYCF: 57 - 114 - 16.3 = 31,317

Should TIWYCF sell 73k, Cheap Thrills sell 92k, and I get everything else correct, TIWYCF will barely get #3:

TIWYCF: 72 - 114 - 16.3 = 33,094
Cheap Thrills: 92 - 129 - 11.9 = 33,039

[Ravi]

^ TIWYCF will increase on streaming as well, but won't sell 70k+..... I think it will be quite close.

[truemusicreviews]

At least we all messed up. :) I'm just praying that "Ride" is #6 and "Panda" is #7.

[Deleted]

Jul 11, 2016 18:25:21 GMT -5 Parerastarr10 said:

10. Work From Home

[Deleted]

Looks like Work From Home is finally on its way out, about damn time, that terrible song overstayed its welcome and should have left a long time ago. Looks like "All In My Head (Flex)" will become a hit, which is good because I much prefer that follow up over their awful predecessors.

[Mike is BAD]

I got -6

[MTSChart21]

Wow, the most participants in the contest yet: 20! :O

HOT 100 TOP 10 PREDICTION CONTEST

-------------------------------------

OFFICIAL 07/30/2016 RESULTS

1. jtd Thee Stallion : PERFECT PICKS

2. truemusicreviews : -2

3. jarhys : -4
3. georgetherunner314 : -4
3. MTSChart21 : -4
3. Mayman : -4
7. Mike is BAD : -6
7. Bigfatliar 3 : -6
7. @pete : -6
7. Mr. Thonk Eyes : -6
7. 85la : -6
12. Leo ✔ : -8
12. Raccoon : -8 (Assuming WFH is #12, will edit tomorrow if it isn't)
12. theperfectopiggy : -8
12. leredlum : -8
12. yuh yuh : -8 (-2 for Wednesday picks after 12pm)
17. Dylan :) : -9 (Assuming JLF is #11, will edit tomorrow if it isn't)
18. kuzgun : -10
18. Parerastarr10 : -10 (Assuming WFH is #12, will edit tomorrow if it isn't)

20. awesomecharts : -12 (-2 for Wednesday picks after 12pm)

-------------------------------------

STANDINGS (AFTER 8 WEEKS)

1. WILL : 2 Wins

2. awesomecharts : 1.5 Win

3. Sherane Lamar : 1.0 Win
3. leredlum : 1.0 Win
3. yuh yuh : 1.0 Win
3. jtd Thee Stallion : 1.0 Win
7. georgetherunner314 : 0.5 Wins
7. Mayman : 0.5 Wins
7. jarhys : 0.5 Wins
7. truemusicreviews : 0.5 Wins
7. @pete : 0.5 Win
7. Raccoon : 0.5 Win