Hot 100 Predictions Oct 8 2016

[Mike is BAD]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Cheap Thrills
5. Let Me Love You
6. Don't Let Me Down
7. Treat You Better
8. Broccoli
9. We Don't Talk Anymore
10. Needed Me
11. This Is What You Came For
12. Ride
13. Send My Love
14. Too Good
15. One Dance
16. Side To Side
17. The Greatest
18. Gold
19. Luv
20. i hate u I love u
21. Into You
22. Can't Stop The Feeling
23. Sucker For Pain
24. This Gril
25. Hymn For The Weekend
26. My Way
27. Unsteady
28. Panda
29. Starving
30. For Free
31. Forever Country
32. Sit Still Look Pretty
33. Never Be Like You
34. Tiimmy Turner
35. Controlla
36. No Limit
37. Work From Home
38. Setting The World On Fire
39. Just Like Fire
40. Different For Girls

67. Perfect Illusion

With less than an hour to go

[Deleted]

Here's my guess

1 Closer
2 Heathens
3 Cold Water
4 Let Me Love You
5 Cheap Thrills
6 Don't Let Me Down
7 Treat You Better
8 Broccoli
9 TIWYCF
10 Needed Me
30 My Way
38 The Greatest
42 Perfect Illusion

[MTSChart21]

Just for fun, I will make a little guess prediction. Full prediction coming tomorrow or Wednesday.

#1 (=) Closer
#2 (=) Heathens
#3 (=) Cold Water
#4 (=) Cheap Thrills
#5 (+1) Let Me Love You
#6 (-1) Don't Let Me Down
#7 (=) Treat You Better (I can imagine it beating Broccoli by like 100 points lol)
#8 (+4) Broccoli
#9 (+4) We Don't Talk Anymore
#10 (+1) Needed Me (If indeed true, ugh. I like the song but it doesn't feel nearly as big as the 3 below it. But it might be above them since they are falling harder)
---
#11 (-4) This Is What You Came For
#12 (-2) Send My Love
#13 (-4) Ride (Don't fall this hard :( )

[jarhys]

1. Closer (=)
2. Heathens (=)
3. Cold Water (=)
4. Cheap Thrills (=)
5. Let Me Love You (+1)
6. Don't Let Me Down (-1)
7. Treat You Better (+1)
8. This Is What You Came For (-1)
9. Broccoli (+3)
10. Ride (-1)

[WILL]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. Don't Let Me Down
7. Treat You Better
8. This Is What You Came For
9. Broccoli
10. We Don't Talk Anymore

[Harx]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Cheap Thrills
5. Let Me Love You
6. Don't Let Me Down
7. Treat You Better
8. Broccoli
9. This Is What You Came For
10. We Don't Talk Anymore
11. Ride (out of top 10, it's finally about to happen this or next week... sigh...  :'(  )
12. Needed Me
13. Send My Love
14. Too Good
15. The Greatest
16. Forever Country
17. One Dance
18. Side To Side
19. Gold
20. Into You

[atg]

First time doing top 20
1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. DLMD
7. Treat You Better
8. TIWYCF
9. Broccoli
10. WDTA
11. Ride
12. Needed Me
13. SML
14. The Greatest
15. Too Good
16. Side To Side
17. One Dance
18. Into You
19. Gold
20. CSTF

[Leo ✔]

1) Closer
2) Heathens
3) Cold Water
4) Let Me Love You (Why God...)
5) Cheap Thrills
6) Don't Let Me Down
7) Broccoli
8) Treat You Better
9) This Is What You Came For
10) Ride
-----------------o-----------------
11) We Don't Talk Anymore
12) Needed Me
13) Send My Love
14) Side To Side
15) Too Good

Thanks MTSChart21

[MTSChart21]

Sept 20, 2016 15:07:25 GMT -5 Leo ✔ said:

10) Ride
12) Ride

You might want to fix that, lol

[Deleted]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. Treat You Better
7. Dont Let Me Down
8. This Is What You Came For
9. Broccoli
10. We Don't Talk Anymore
11. Send My Love
12. Ride
13. Needed Me

[leredlum]

01. Closer
02. Heathens
03. Cold Water
04. Let Me Love You
05. Cheap Thrills
06. Don't Let Me Down
07. Treat You Better
08. This Is What You Came For
09. Broccoli
10. Ride

11. We Don't Talk Anymore
12. Needed Me
13. Send My Love (To Your New Lover)
14. Too Good
15. Side to Side
16. One Dance
17. Gold
18. Into You
19. The Greatest
20. Can't Stop the Feeling

[Deleted]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Don't Let Me Down
6. Cheap Thrills
7. Treat You Better
8. Broccoli
9. This Is What You Came For
10. We Don't Talk Anymore
11. Send My Love
12. Needed Me
13. Ride
14. Too Good
15. One Dance

Guessing 5-13 is gonna be a pretty small point spread.

[truemusicreviews]

I'm either doing mine tomorrow or never this week; I can't post mine on Tuesday like usual.

[feoba]

1. Closer (=)
2. Heathens (=)
3. Cold Water (=)
4. Let Me Love You (+2)
5. Cheap Thrills (-1)
6. Don't Let Me Down (-1)
7. Treat You Better (+1)
8. This Is What You Came For (-1)
9. Broccoli (+3)
10. Ride (-1)

11. We Don't Talk Anymore (+2)
12. Needed Me (-1)
13. Send My Love (-3)
14. Too Good (+2)
15. One Dance (-1)
16. The Greatest (+8)
17. Side to Side (+2)
18. Gold (+2)
19. Into You (-2)
20. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! (-2)

[Bigfatliar 3]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. Treat You Better
7. Don't Let Me Down
8. Broccoli
9. This Is What You Came For
10. We Dont Talk Anymore

[Raccoon]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Cheap Thrills
5. Let Me Love You
6. TYB
7. DLMD
8. Broccoli
9. WDTA
10. Needed Me
11. TIWYCF

[georgetherunner314]

RIP Stressed Out. Calculated to be #39 if it were to remain this week  :'( .

Should be a much more accurate top 10 competition than last week's. There's also a good chance I Hate U, I Love U has a big jump well into the top 20 and of 2 out of these songs (Hymn For The Weekend, This Girl, and Unsteady) reach the top 25!

Just realized Gaga's PI video came out and will have 3 days of streaming so it should still end up in the top 40 now, hence the edit.

[truemusicreviews]

Here goes my new system. I need you all to criticize this, because the point values I'm using seem way too low and the positions in general seem waayyy off.

POS	SONG	RADIO PTS	SALES PTS	STREAMING PTS	TOTAL PTS	MOVEMENT
1	Closer	12,300	18,700	19,100	50,100	=
2	Cold Water	12,100	5,100	12,600	29,800	+1
3	Heathens	8,600	9,400	11,200	29,200	-1
4	Cheap Thrills	13,000	3,300	4,100	20,400	=
5	Treat You Better	10,900	3,000	5,200	19,100	+3
6	Let Me Love You	6,500	5,000	7,300	18,800	=
7	Ride	9,000	2,600	5,500	17,100	+2
8	Don't Let Me Down	6,900	2,800	5,400	15,100	-3
9	This Is What You Came For	8,800	2,300	5,600	16,700	-2
10	We Don't Talk Anymore	6,700	4,500	4,400	15,600	+3

[jtd Thee Stallion]

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. Treat You Better
7. Don't Let Me Down
8. Broccoli
9. We Don't Talk Anymore
10. This Is What You Came For

11. Needed Me
12. Ride

[Zach]

Completely lost track of the deadline! I'm up:

1. Closer (=)
2. Heathens (=)
3. Cold Water (=)
4. Let Me Love You (+2)
5. Cheap Thrills (-1)
6. Don't Let Me Down (-1)
7. Treat You Better (+1)
8. Broccoli (+4)
9. This Is What You Came For (-2)
10. Ride (-1)

[chicken077]

I don't think I'll be doing one this week... so much work for school this week, and I swear like all the teachers had a meeting today and all gave the most amount of hw they would ever give... In fact I might even have to skip posting my personal chart until next week too... now, time to get back to work.

[macabyan]

1. Closer (=)
2. Heathens (=)
3. Cold Water (=)
4. Cheap Thrills (=)
5. Let Me Love You (+1)
6. Don't Let Me Down (-1)
7. Treat You Better (+1)
8. This Is What You Came For (-1)
9. Needed Me (+2)
10. Broccoli (+2)

11. We Don't Talk Anymore (+2)
12. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) (-2)
13. Ride (-4)
14. One Dance (=)
15. Too Good (+1)

[taylor]

Is it too late to post my prediction? I totally forgot about it. I'll do it anyway. Here it is.

1. Closer
2. Heathens
3. Cold Water
4. Let Me Love You
5. Cheap Thrills
6. Don't Let Me Down
7. Treat You Better
8. Broccoli
9. This Is What You Came For
10. Ride

[MTSChart21]

(Yes, I know I'm like 40 minutes late... but the AI update isn't updated yet, so I'm good)

Didn't get much time to do predictions this week, so I will only able to do point estimates for the top 15:

TW - Pos+ - SONG - SALES - AIRPLAY - STREAMS = POINTS
#1 (=) Closer - 178 - 132 - 40.2 = 66,478
#2 (=) Heathens - 86 - 97.5 - 21.6 = 37,306
#3 (=) Cold Water - 47 - 121.5 - 19.8 = 33,872
#4 (=) Cheap Thrills - 31 - 134 - 10.2 = 25,344
#5 (+1) Let Me Love You - 46 - 69 - 14.8 = 24,344
#6 (+1) Treat You Better - 28 - 114 - 10.9 = 23,594
#7 (+5) Broccoli - 30 - 33 - 18.5 = 22,050
#8 (-3) Don’t Let Me Down - 26 - 9 - 13.7 = 21,206
#9 (+4) We Don't Talk Anymore - 41 - 68 - 11.6 = 21,022
#10 (+1) Needed Me - 18 79 - 13.1 = 20,817
#11 (-4) This Is What You Came For - 21 - 83 - 11.2 = 19,967
#12 (-3) Ride - 23 - 87.5 - 10.3 = 19,889
#13 (-3) Send My Love (To Your New Lover) - 25 - 112 - 7 = 19,811
#14 (=) One Dance - 16 - 83 - 11.1 = 19,328
#15 (+1) Too Good - 23 - 88 - 9.5 = 19,272

The rest of the top 40 (just some good guesses)

#16 (+3) CAN'T STOP THE FEELING!
#17 (=) Into You
#18 (+2) Gold
#19 (+4) i hate u, i love u
#20 (-1) Side To Side
#21 (=) LUV
#22 (=) Sucker For Pain
#23 (DEBUT) My Way
#24 (+5) Unsteady
#25 (+1) Hymn For The Weekend
#26 (-1) Panda
#27 (+4) This Girl
#28 (-1) For Free
#29 (+3) Sit Still, Look Pretty
#30 (=) Controlla
#31 (+2) Starving
#32 (+5) No Limit
#33 (-5) Never Be Like You
#34 (-19) Perfect Illusion
#35 (-12) The Greatest
#36 (-2) Tiimmy Turner
#37 (-2) Work From Home
#38 (-2) Just Like Fire
#39 (+1) Setting The World On Fire
#40 (+1) Work
#41 (+7) Pick Up The Phone

[emperortigerstar]

#1 Closer
#2 Heathens
#3 Cold Water
#4 Let Me Love You
#5 Cheap Thrills
#6 Don't Let Me Down
#7 Treat You Better
#8 Broccoli *barf*
#9 We Don't Talk Anymore
#10 Needed Me

[85la]

Sorry if this isn't the place to ask this, but many of you predicted last week that Send My Love would be as high as no. 6 or 7, yet it actually fell to no. 10, and it's clear it will stay out of the top ten from now on. Any explanation for the unexpected drop?

[Deleted]

Sept 24, 2016 15:31:39 GMT -5 85la said:

Sorry if this isn't the place to ask this, but many of you predicted last week that Send My Love would be as high as no. 6 or 7, yet it actually fell to no. 10, and it's clear it will stay out of the top ten from now on. Any explanation for the unexpected drop?

It dropped about 10 million in radio from what those predictions were at #6 or #7, So that's a drop of about 1,000 points and it was enough to bring it down to #10.

[MTSChart21]

Sept 24, 2016 15:39:13 GMT -5 awesomecharts said:

Sept 24, 2016 15:31:39 GMT -5 85la said:

Sorry if this isn't the place to ask this, but many of you predicted last week that Send My Love would be as high as no. 6 or 7, yet it actually fell to no. 10, and it's clear it will stay out of the top ten from now on. Any explanation for the unexpected drop?

It dropped about 10 million in radio from what those predictions were at #6 or #7, So that's a drop of about 1,000 points and it was enough to bring it down to #10.

Especially with how close of a battle #7-#12 was. A drop of 1,000 for any song in the battle did some damage to its position.

[85la]

^ Got it. I remember how it unexpectedly started to drop a lot in radio towards the end of the tracking week.

[Deleted]

Seemeliar had a -2 Wow :O