TOP 40 CHART: 07/19/09

[Az Paynter]

Eligible to go recurrent THIS week (7/19):
Britney Spears ("If U Seek Amy")

Eligible to go recurrent NEXT week (7/26):
Black Eyed Peas ("Boom Boom Pow")
Jamie Foxx

Eligible to go recurrent in TWO weeks (8/02):
The Ting-Tings

Eligible to go recurrent in THREE weeks (8/09):
3OH!3

Eligible to go recurrent in FOUR weeks (8/16):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in FIVE weeks (8/23):
Pitbull
Flo Rida ("Sugar")

Eligible to go recurrent in SIX weeks (8/30):
Kelly Clarkson ("I Do Not Hook Up")
Pink

Eligible to go recurrent in SEVEN weeks (9/06):
Nickelback

Eligible to go recurrent in EIGHT weeks (9/13):
Katy Perry
Kristinia DeBarge

Eligible to go recurrent in NINE weeks (9/20):
Lady Gaga ("LoveGame")
Sean Kingston

Eligible to go recurrent in TEN weeks (9/27):
Jessie James


Going recurrent when they fall below #20 (Weeks in Top 40):
Beyonce ("Halo") (21)
Britney Spears ("If U Seek Amy") (20)
Lady GaGa ("Poker Face") (24)
Miley Cyrus (21)
Shinedown (21)

[Az Paynter]

Lady GaGa is winding down; possible peakage on the cards. Either way, she is still comfortably on spot for holding onto top position. 3OH!3 has seen a resurgence in spins but I'm not sure it'll hold throughout the entire week, and Katy has enough momentum that she should pass them by week's end. Pitbull is seeing a similar resurgence, and I think his will be enough to hold out on 'I Gotta Feeling' which will overtake 'Boom Boom Pow' for #5. Pink is unpredictable but I think she's relatively safe to move back up to her #6 peak. Sean VS. Keri is the toss-up; Sean is picking up steam and throughout last week Keri was losing most of hers. Sean might edge her out. Taylor will move up and with nothing coming up strong outside the top 10, BEP will have two songs in the top 10 for a final week.

1. Lady GaGa - Love Game (9500)
2. Katy Perry - Waking Up In Vegas
3. 3OH!3 - Don't Trust Me
4. Pitbull - I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
5. Black Eyed Peas - I Gotta Feeling
6. Pink - Please Don't Leave Me
7. Sean Kingston - Fire Burning
8. Keri Hilson - Knock You Down
9. Taylor Swift - You Belong With Me
10. Black Eyed Peas - Boom Boom Pow

[erzo01]

1. LoveGame (9550)
2. Waking Up in Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Gotta Feeling
5. I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong with Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[someguy]

1. LoveGame (9577)
2. Waking Up In Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Know You Want Me
5. I Gotta Feeling
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong With Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[blfdguy1]

1. LoveGame - 9494
2. Waking Up In Vegas
3. I Gotta Feeling
4. Don't Trust Me
5. I Know You Want Me
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong With Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[Flashing Lights]

1. Lovegame (9,450)
2. Waking Up In Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Gotta Feeling
5. I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Fire Burning
8. Knock You Down
9. You Belong With Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[uion1715]

1. LoveGame (9515)
2. Waking Up in Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Gotta Feeling
5. I Know You Want Me
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong With Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[Dan G.]

Tough week... I'm taking some pretty big risks.

1. LoveGame (9,327 Spins)
2. Waking Up In Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
5. I Gotta Feeling
6. Knock You Down
7. You Belong With Me
8. Fire Burning
9. Please Don't Leave Me
10. Boom Boom Pow


--DanG

[Devil Marlena Nylund]

1 1 LADY GAGA Lovegame 9537
2 3 KATY PERRY Waking Up In Vegas 8800
3 2 3OH!3 Don't Trust Me 8100
4 7 PINK Please Don't Leave Me 7950
5 6 BLACK EYED PEAS I Gotta Feeling 7800
6 4 PITBULL I Know You Want Me 7600
7 9 KERI HILSON Knock You Down 6800
8 8 SEAN KINGSTON Fire Burning 6650
9 10 TAYLOR SWIFT You Belong With Me 6650
10 5 BLACK EYED PEAS Boom Boom Pow 6050

[rfucom]

1. LG (9,603)
2. WUIV
3. DTM
4. IGAF
5. Calle Ocho
6. KYD
7. YBWM
8. YBWM sorry azriel my # 8 is FB. But if u cant count this its ok.
9. PDLM
10. BBP

[Dan G.]

Due to airplay being affected by Michael Jackson's death and Independence Day weekend, bullets will...

...be lower than normal: through July 10*
...transition from lower than normal to higher than normal: July 11-12*
...be higher than normal: July 13-17
...transition from higher than normal to normal: July 18-19
...be fully back to normal: July 20

* Note that because Michael Jackson's death appears to have resulted in more recurrent airplay than did Independence Day weekend, bullets will not be as low July 4-12 as they would be in a normal year.


--DanG

[Juanca]

1 1 LADY GAGA Lovegame 9419
3 2 KATY PERRY Waking Up In Vegas 8550
2 3 3OH!3 Don't Trust Me 8100
6 4 BLACK EYED PEAS I Gotta Feeling 7500
4 5 PITBULL I Know You Want Me (Calle 8) 7350
7 6 PINK Please Don't Leave Me 6900
9 7 KERI HILSON Knock You Down 6650
8 8 SEAN KINGSTON Fire Burning 6570
10 9 TAYLOR SWIFT The Stalker Song 6500
5 10 BLACK EYED PEAS Boom Boom Pow 6000

[Mega248]

1.Love Game (9,339)
2. Waking Up in Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Know You Want Me
5. I Gotta Feeling
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong with Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[beyoncelover]

1. Lovegame - 9560
2. Waking Up In Vegas
3. Don't Trust Me
4. I Gotta Feeling
5. I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
6. Please Don't Leave Me
7. Knock You Down
8. Fire Burning
9. You Belong With Me
10. Boom Boom Pow

[Deleted]

1. lovegame(9555)
2. waking up in vegas
3. don't trust me
4. i gotta feeling
5. i know you want me
6. please don't leave me
7. knock you down
8. fire burning
9. you belong with me
10. boom boom pow

[madraybot]

1 Lovegame 9462
2 Waking Up In Vegas
3 Don't Trust Me
4 I Gotta Feeling
5 I Know You Want Me
6 Please Don't Leave Me
7 Knock You Down
8 Fire Burning
9 You Belong With Me
10 Boom Boom Pow

[jink]

1 Lovegame 9456
2 Don't Trust Me
3 Waking Up in Vegas
4 I Gotta Feeling
5 I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho)
6 Please Don't Leave Me
7 Knock You Down
8 Fire Burning
9 You Belong With Me
10 Boom Boom Pow

[Az Paynter]

Looks like 'Knock You Down' will be a key player this week; most people have it above Sean Kingston, while today's update (which seems generally flat) seems to suggest Sean will stay ahead which is beneficial to only a couple of this week's competitors. The other one to watch is BEP/Pitbull. For some people that put BEP first it could completely negate any ill effects from the Keri/Sean battle.

[Dvorak]

Linkin Park is #40 today!

[Dan G.]

If the current trends from the building chart continued, one song (If U Seek Amy) would go recurrent and there would be one top-40 debut: New Divide (#37).

One of two other songs--Hotel Room Service (#41) or Sweet Dreams (#42)--could also crack the top 40 this week if either can overtake Sugar (#40), though the trends right now have both falling just short.

--DanG

[Juanca]

Taylor may surprise us all and jump over Keri and Sean.

[Devil Marlena Nylund]

...in looking at my predictions this week... I'm wondering why I put Pink at #4 ahead of BEP?! I must have made a complete awful typo there for some reason... lol. Aw well, that's what I get for not double-checking my prediction before I posted it.

[Dan G.]

It's going to be a tight race at #20 between Poker Face and Best I Ever Had. The trends suggest Drake will just barely overtake Lady GaGa tomorrow morning, which would mean Poker Face would join If U Seek Amy in going recurrent this week.

Even if that doesn't happen, it appears we'll have two top-40 debuts this week regardless, as Hotel Room Service should pass Sugar to grab #39 (if Poker Face goes recurrent) or #40 (if it doesn't), joining New Divide as the two new entrants.

[Dan G.]

Wow... Yesterday, I appeared headed for an easy win. Today, not so much. A bunch of bullet changes ruined me. I was the only person to correctly place You Belong With Me at #7, but that's not going to be enough...

[rfucom]

fuck. i put YBWM twice :( i didnt noticed it.

[Az Paynter]

MEDIABASE CHART PREDICTION CONTEST

----------

07/19/09 CHART RESULTS

1. JuanK: -4
1. beyoncelover: -4
1. E-R-Z-O: -4
1. Flashing Lights: -4
1. jink: -4
1. madraybot: -4
1. ryanhost: -4
1. uion1715: -4

9. Azriel Drake (Crazy Obsessive): -6
9. blfdguy1: -6
9. Mega248: -6
9. someguy: -6

13. Dan G.: -8
13. The Max Redecorates: -8

----------

2009 YEAR-TO-DATE STANDINGS (AFTER WEEK 29 OF 50)

1. Mega248: 6.5 Wins

2. Azriel D. (Light On The Circus): 4.0 Wins
2. JCMF3: 4.0 Wins

4. Flashing Lights: 3.5 Wins
4. JuanK – FanKson: 3.5 Wins
4. madraybot: 3.5 Wins

7. Dan G.: 3.0 Wins
7. erfrank: 3.0 Wins
7. someguy: 3.0 Wins
7. Spavin Kidder: 3.0 Wins

11. beyoncelover: 2.5 Wins
11. onefrayedrepublic: 2.5 Wins

13. blfdguy1: 1.5 Wins

14. Acetic Acid: 1.0 Wins
14. danol: 1.0 Wins
14. HEAT: 1.0 Wins
14. ryanhost: 1.0 Wins
14. tcatron565: 1.0 Wins
14. The Max Redecorates: 1.0 Wins

20. Amy’s Boyfriend: 0.5 Wins
20. E-R-Z-O: 0.5 Wins
20. jamrock16: 0.5 Wins
20. jink: 0.5 Wins
20. Purged With a Bullet: 0.5 Wins
20. reidlos20: 0.5 Wins
20. Stephen: 0.5 Wins
20. uion1715: 0.5 Wins

[erzo01]

Finally, I won for the first time this year!

[Juanca]

Woohoo!!
Thanks Pink, hehe

[Flashing Lights]

I was not expecting to win at all! :o