Adam (UTR)
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Post by Adam (UTR) on Oct 13, 2010 14:03:58 GMT -5
WEEZY COME, WEEZY GO
Lil Wayne’s Physical Release Ready to Top Chart; Darius Rucker, Big Time Rush Next
October 13, 2010
It’s the fourth quarter. Do you know where your superstars are? The physical version of Lil Wayne’s Cash Money/Universal Motown effort, I Am Not a Human Being, hit retail yesterday, and is on its way to first-week sales of 85-90k, making it a probable #1 on next Tuesday’s HITS Album sales chart. That’s based on those music retailers who haven’t been trapped in a Chilean coal mine for the last two months. The new, physical edition of Weezy’s album includes 13 tracks, while the previous online version had 10. In two weeks, Lil Wayne has sold more than 130k downloads in one of the more curious release roll-outs in an increasingly fragmented marketplace. Meanwhile, the rapper himself is locked up in solitary confinement at N.Y.’s notorious Rikers Island after being caught with audio equipment in his cell, but is slated to be released Nov. 5. Next highest debut goes to Capitol Nashville/EMI Hootie singer-turned-country star Darius Rucker’s Charleston, SC 1966, which is on track for sales of between 65-70k. Rucker’s last album, his country debut, 2008’s Learn to Live, produced three consecutive #1 country singles, on its way to a total of almost 1.5m sold. Nickelodeon/Columbia’s Big Time Rush, stars of the hit live-action comedy series of the same name, drops with an impressive 60-65k estimate for their debut, B.T.R. The show’s stars Kendall Schmidt, James Maslow, Carlos Pena and Logan Henderson made their network TV debut this week, with a Monday performance on The Today Show to mark the album release. The album features tracks produced by hitmakers Kevin Rudolf, Claude Kelly, S*A*M & Sluggo and OFM.
Universal Republic Nashville’s The Band Perry, a trio consisting of a sister (lead singer Kimberly Perry) and two brothers (bassist Reid and drummer/multi-instrumentalist Neil), are looking at 43-48k for their self-titled debut, which has already produced the gold single, “If I Die Young,” a Top 40 country hit. Prosthetic Massachusetts metalcore band All That Remains return with their fifth album, For We Are Many, which will do in the 25-30k range, after their previous two albums, 2006’s The Fall of Ideals and 2008’s Overcome, each sold more than 200k, the latter reaching the Top 20 of the album sales charts. Finally, Cherry Tree/Interscope’s Queens-based Asian-American hip-hop group Far*East Movement, who have the #1 single in the country in ”Like a G6,” are set for a debut of 13-18k for their debut, Free Wired, a little surprising considering the success of the hit, which has sold 1.2m digital downloads. The market was down 8% vs. last week, down 22% vs. same week last year and still down 13% year to date. Are we having fun yet?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2010 14:09:01 GMT -5
And the second time 4th quarter #1's will be less than 100K
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Oct 13, 2010 14:12:35 GMT -5
And the second time 4th quarter #1's will be less than 100K But Lil Wayne has already sold well digitally in 2 weeks..
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 13, 2010 14:15:04 GMT -5
Lil' Wayne doing 85-90K? That's IT? I know his last release took a big fall from the 1m that greeted the previous album, but WOW. Yeah, the digital component has scanned 125K-130K in 2 weeks, but still.
If other big-name albums open with disappointing numbers, they may as well stop pressing CDs in the new year.
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Oct 13, 2010 14:16:21 GMT -5
lmao at far east movement's terrible sales
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Oct 13, 2010 14:21:08 GMT -5
Are people really expecting Lil Wayne to pull the numbers he did in 2008? 'Lollipop' was a multi-format smash. This time he's only top 10 at Urban radio and he just reached it, 2 weeks after the album dropped.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 13, 2010 14:26:09 GMT -5
^No, not expecting anything close to that. But, adding the digital sales thus far to the projection, that's "just" 220K or so. Even considering the drop in album sales, that's a big dropoff (he did 1m in 2008, when album sales were on the decline then).
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Oct 13, 2010 14:28:40 GMT -5
^ Yes the gap is big, but his exposure is also reduced. A lot.
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tinawina
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Post by tinawina on Oct 13, 2010 14:53:37 GMT -5
Should Lil Wayne need a lot of exposure though? He's Lil Wayne! Its been heavily reported he was going to drop an album. I'm shocked at the idea of him not cracking 100K. Maybe it will go up with the Friday update.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Oct 13, 2010 14:54:17 GMT -5
Darius Rucker: a lot worse than I thought
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Oct 13, 2010 14:56:51 GMT -5
^I was expecting 90-100k.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2010 14:57:29 GMT -5
And the second time 4th quarter #1's will be less than 100K But Lil Wayne has already sold well digitally in 2 weeks.. Not what I was referring to (this would be Lil Wayne's first week at #1) This week was the first time in Soundscan history a 4th quarter #1 album was below 100K (Toby Keith) next week is the second one
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Oct 13, 2010 15:03:40 GMT -5
lmao at far east movement's terrible sales It's certainly not a huge opening but anyone who is "laughing their ass off" could surely look like an idiot in a few months if this turns out to be an album with longevity. Gaga started with 24k. Look where that got her today. Of course, FEM could totally fail, but who knows. It all depends if Like a G6 becomes an isolated success story or the first of many hits.
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tinawina
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Betrayed and Heartbroken. Kelly weeps.
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Post by tinawina on Oct 13, 2010 15:06:16 GMT -5
Oh, and I think I'm shocked at Big Time Rush. LOL I had no idea they were that popular.
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Post by when the pawn... on Oct 13, 2010 15:08:53 GMT -5
Should Lil Wayne need a lot of exposure though? He's Lil Wayne! Its been heavily reported he was going to drop an album. I'm shocked at the idea of him not cracking 100K. Maybe it will go up with the Friday update. Isn't this officially a "mixtape"? I expect when Tha Carter IV drops, he'll open to big numbers.
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tinawina
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Betrayed and Heartbroken. Kelly weeps.
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Post by tinawina on Oct 13, 2010 15:24:34 GMT -5
Should Lil Wayne need a lot of exposure though? He's Lil Wayne! Its been heavily reported he was going to drop an album. I'm shocked at the idea of him not cracking 100K. Maybe it will go up with the Friday update. Isn't this officially a "mixtape"? I expect when Tha Carter IV drops, he'll open to big numbers. True. You're probably right. That makes me feel better.
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 13, 2010 17:11:12 GMT -5
I'm shocked people expected Lil Wayne to do more. He had what 5 albums out before Carter III did 1,000,000 first week. That was his 6th album.
None of the ones before sold nearly that much first week. Since Carter III his albums have gone back to where the albums were before Carter III.
The people who claiming it's just a mixtape, also claim Rebirth didnt count because it was a Rock album. I listen to Rock. That's not a Rock album. Now they are claiming this is a mixtape? Why use lame excuses like those?
You don't hear me saying...."Eminem was on drugs when he released Encore so That Doesnt Count." or "Eminem was just getting off of Drugs when he released Relapse so That Doesnt Count".
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 13, 2010 17:22:37 GMT -5
Oh, and I think I'm shocked at Big Time Rush. LOL I had no idea they were that popular. not surprised nick puts its artists on commericals all day every day. after the holidays i expect them to sell nothing. i think lil's sales are just fine
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Oct 13, 2010 17:24:07 GMT -5
I'm shocked people expected Lil Wayne to do more. He had what 5 albums out before Carter III did 1,000,000 first week. That was his 6th album. None of the ones before sold nearly that much first week. Since Carter III his albums have gone back to where the albums were before Carter III. The people who claiming it's just a mixtape, also claim Rebirth didnt count because it was a Rock album. I listen to Rock. That's not a Rock album. Now they are claiming this is a mixtape? Why use lame excuses like those? You don't hear me saying...."Eminem was on drugs when he released Encore so That Doesnt Count." or "Eminem was just getting off of Drugs when he released Relapse so That Doesnt Count". hew is Eminem? Nah, these albums are fairing worse than his Pre-TCIII material. At least those scanned 1,000,000. And don't act like if this were to happen to Em, that you wouldn't be making tons of excuses for him.
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 13, 2010 17:26:48 GMT -5
And don't act like if this were to happen to Em, that you wouldn't be making tons of excuses for him. Nope, I don't make excuses. Theres no need. He sells big everytime. :)
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Oct 13, 2010 17:28:04 GMT -5
And don't act like if this were to happen to Em, that you wouldn't be making tons of excuses for him. Nope, I don't make excuses. Theres no need. He sells big everytime. :) We'll see how well he'll be selling in five years from now. :kii:
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 13, 2010 17:32:02 GMT -5
Nope, I don't make excuses. Theres no need. He sells big everytime. :) We'll see how well he'll be selling in five years from now. He will be 42. Dre is 45 now and he still plans to put out more music. So I imagine Em at 42 will still sell pretty well. As in over 300 K at least a week. I mean Relapse did over 600K. Recovery did over 700K. Even if he drops to 300K thats still way better than a lot of this stuff out now. I'm looking forward to the new Tool Album in Late 2011 though. That will probably come out before the next Eminem album. I expect that to do over 500K like Lateralus and 10,000 Days did.
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d.t.m
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Post by d.t.m on Oct 13, 2010 17:35:12 GMT -5
Glad Lil Wayne will at least go #1 with this after holding off physical sales.
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Oct 13, 2010 17:36:26 GMT -5
We'll see how well he'll be selling in five years from now. He will be 42. Dre is 45 now and he still plans to put out more music. So I imagine Em at 42 will still sell pretty well. As in over 300 K at least a week. I mean Relapse did over 600K. Recovery did over 700K. Even if he drops to 300K thats still way better than a lot of this stuff out now. I'm looking forward to the new Tool Album in Late 2011 though. That will probably come out before the next Eminem album. I expect that to do over 500K like Lateralus and 10,000 Days did. You're a very dedicated fan. Or shall I say...stan. :kii:
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2010 17:43:55 GMT -5
There is something about age 40 that tends to bring interest in an artist down, doesn't matter how big they were prior to age 40.
The kids that follow these artists will eventually label them as OLD and find someone else to listen to. (Yes, I think this includes Eminem too)
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 13, 2010 17:59:59 GMT -5
Glad Lil Wayne will at least go #1 with this after holding off physical sales. Yep. At the end of the day. A #1 album is a #1 album. And I do think about your point time to time 2m. Jay Z is 40 though. He's still selling. I know Rappers arent known for performing as elders like some Rock Bands.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 13, 2010 18:25:04 GMT -5
I should say 40-ish then
If it doesn't happen at 40 it will happen soon thereafter
#1 hits from big selling acts prior to 40 still happen after 40 but they are a lot less frequent
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DJ General
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Post by DJ General on Oct 13, 2010 19:10:04 GMT -5
I'm shocked people expected Lil Wayne to do more. He had what 5 albums out before Carter III did 1,000,000 first week. That was his 6th album. None of the ones before sold nearly that much first week. Since Carter III his albums have gone back to where the albums were before Carter III. The people who claiming it's just a mixtape, also claim Rebirth didnt count because it was a Rock album. I listen to Rock. That's not a Rock album. Now they are claiming this is a mixtape? Why use lame excuses like those? You don't hear me saying...."Eminem was on drugs when he released Encore so That Doesnt Count." or "Eminem was just getting off of Drugs when he released Relapse so That Doesnt Count". Rebirth and this album are just "Side projects" obviously. No one in there right mind ever considered either of these albums to be big sellers. And even so, Rebirth still sold like what, 700k? That is very impressive. Wait until Tha Carter IV and he will be selling easily 500,000K+ first week when he is out of jail and can fully promote and shoot higher budget videos and be performing on award shows, etc. =)
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Oct 13, 2010 19:15:57 GMT -5
WEEZY COME, WEEZY GO Lil Wayne’s Physical Release Ready to Top Chart; Darius Rucker, Big Time Rush Next October 13, 2010 It’s the fourth quarter. Do you know where your superstars are? The physical version of Lil Wayne’s Cash Money/Universal Motown effort, I Am Not a Human Being, hit retail yesterday, and is on its way to first-week sales of 85-90k, making it a probable #1 on next Tuesday’s HITS Album sales chart. That’s based on those music retailers who haven’t been trapped in a Chilean coal mine for the last two months. Unnecessary.
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slw84
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I only tolerate legends
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Post by slw84 on Oct 13, 2010 19:19:11 GMT -5
I'm shocked people expected Lil Wayne to do more. He had what 5 albums out before Carter III did 1,000,000 first week. That was his 6th album. None of the ones before sold nearly that much first week. Since Carter III his albums have gone back to where the albums were before Carter III. The people who claiming it's just a mixtape, also claim Rebirth didnt count because it was a Rock album. I listen to Rock. That's not a Rock album. Now they are claiming this is a mixtape? Why use lame excuses like those? You don't hear me saying...."Eminem was on drugs when he released Encore so That Doesnt Count." or "Eminem was just getting off of Drugs when he released Relapse so That Doesnt Count". I agree but...Little boy gurl...get a grip, quit ur b!+chin' .
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