Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:28:26 GMT -5
Country music extends its run of #1s to five of the last six weeks as Taylor Swift is poised to make history on next week's chart. At midweek, and barring an iTunes server meltdown or Target suddenly shutting its doors, Swift will score the largest first week ever for a female country artist, besting Shania Twain's Up debut of 874k in 2002. Can she beat Lil Wayne's 1.005m from 2008? She has that number clearly in her sights. And if she does, will it be by enough to unseat Garth Brooks' mark of 1.085m debut with Double Live in 1998? The last time a record debuted at close to or over a million (Lil Wayne in the week ending 6/15/08), the Top 15 totaled almost 2.1m. No such luck next week as it's shaping up to be a whopping 600k less. Here's how it all looks headed into the Halloween weekend.
*Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 975k-1m
Sugarland (Mercury Nashville) 85-90k
Kings of Leon (RCA/RMG) 70-75k
Lil Wayne (Cash Money/Universal Motown) 40-45k
Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 35-40k
Glee Cast Rocky Horror Glee Show (Columbia) 28-32k
Elton John & Leon Russell (Decca) 28-32k
Rod Stewart (J/RMG) 24-27k
Darius Rucker (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 24-27k
*Michael Buble Hollywood: The Deluxe EP (Reprise) 21-24k
The Band Perry (Universal Republic Nashville) 18-21k
Kenny Chesney (BNA/SME Nashville) 18-21k
Zac Brown Band (Atlantic) 18-21k
Shakira (Epic) 18-21k
Trey Songz (Atlantic) 18-21k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 18-21k *Debuts (10/28p)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:29:57 GMT -5
Anemic past #1
Only looks like 1 album was released this week
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 28, 2010 16:34:12 GMT -5
Looks like Eminem will be back in the Top 5. Nice.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:35:30 GMT -5
The gap between Eminem and Taylor Swift will close by 950K though ;)
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Diego
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Post by Diego on Oct 28, 2010 16:35:58 GMT -5
What a weak rest of the chart! Thank God Taylor released lol
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 28, 2010 16:37:42 GMT -5
The gap between Eminem and Taylor Swift will close by 950K though ;) Yeah. But given it's what Em's 20th week or something that's to be expected. ;) Nothings changed in my mind. The 2 albums besides Recovery that had a shot at being the biggest selling album of the year have always been Swift and Boyle. |
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Cerbius
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Post by Cerbius on Oct 28, 2010 16:40:26 GMT -5
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 975k-1m  What a weak rest of the chart! Thank God Taylor released lol All the other major acts avoided this week like the plague, lol. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:40:52 GMT -5
The gap between Eminem and Taylor Swift will close by 950K though ;) Yeah. But given it's what Em's 20th week or something that's to be expected. ;) Nothings changed in my mind. The 2 albums besides Recovery that had a shot at being the biggest selling album of the year have always been Swift and Boyle. So Eminem #1 for the year is not a lock after-all? |
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freeman
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Post by freeman on Oct 28, 2010 16:41:11 GMT -5
With taylor probably selling a million, how is it that she has yet to have a #1 on the BB Hot 100? I know that chart doesn't mean anything sometimes, but she is ridiculously popular...  . |
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 28, 2010 16:41:54 GMT -5
Yes, it is. imo. The two with the shot were Swift and Boyle.
I just don't think Eminem's sales are going to drop as much as you do.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:41:54 GMT -5
primarily a country artist on a chart that is not primarily country
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Taylor.
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Post by Taylor. on Oct 28, 2010 16:42:33 GMT -5
They upped the prediction again. Incredible.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 16:57:27 GMT -5
The Taylor Swift catches Eminem watch
This weeks gap: 2.86 million
Projected gap for next week: 1.9 million
1/3 of the way
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 17:14:26 GMT -5
i thought glee would sell much better. oh well, they have other albums selling too so its okay.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 17:16:46 GMT -5
My prediction for Top 4 selling albums of 2010: 1. Taylor Swift 'Speak Now' 2. Susan Boyle's christmas album (don't remember the title) 3. Eminem 'Recovery' 4. Lady Antebellum 'Need You Now' its cleverly named the gift haha |
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 17:19:42 GMT -5
The majority of Speak Now's sales will be coming from physical CDs. Even if the album pulls out 300,000 in digital sales and even if 20% of that comes from Amazon, that's still only 60k, once again, hardly worthy of an asterik when considering the other 900k she'll be pulling in. I think I heard it the first 4 times I made the mistake. What about CD sales? Amazon isn't just digital sales unless that has changed. What % are they of total CD sales? It's no different than when people complain that Mariah sold her single for cheaper than everyone else...and that only happened at certain stores with her single loverboy. chill all 4 of those people replied within two minutes of each other, they didnt know about each others posts. also i remmeber rihannas album being able to be purchaed for .99% its first week cuz of two amazon deals. it didnt help her that much with its debut week did it ;) also realize while a good amount of people might buy it a 3.99 a bunch of them wouldve bought it regardless, they just saw the price was cheaper and bought it. why not go for something on sale, its not like everyone would only buy it cuz its on sale. |
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 17:23:10 GMT -5
It makes a difference. I think they should put a star next to her name. having crazy fans who buy more than two or three copies make a difference. shipping more copies to more places makes a difference. just cuz something makes a difference doesnt mean it should be looked down upon. so her album went on sale, many have argued digital albums shuld be cheaper anyway, since u dont get as much stuff. theres nothing wrong with this |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 17:27:32 GMT -5
I never understood the buying more than one copy thing
It is totally a waste of money to buy multiple copies of the same album to push for or hope for a better chart position or in this case higher sales for the artist
The artist gets rich and you are out a lot of money, is all that will likely happen
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 17:27:41 GMT -5
Why does the UK have an obsession with Take That? Because they are a boy band that attracts loads of females. Their music is pretty bland. "Mine" has pretty much flopped in the UK, entered @ #30 in the UK charts this week, despite being A listed on the main national radio station. country doesnt sell as well in the UK as it does in the us. need you now peaked at 21 on their chart. you belong with me only made it to thirty. id put more examples but their hard to think of since country generally isnt released in the uk |
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Black Jesus
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Post by Black Jesus on Oct 28, 2010 17:33:15 GMT -5
Taylor is definitely not primarily country anymore but that's fine...Shania's 'Up' wasn't really that "country" either. Amazing sales for her...I really hope she can surpass the 1 million mark
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Post by out of reach on Oct 28, 2010 17:37:11 GMT -5
I never understood the buying more than one copy thing It is totally a waste of money to buy multiple copies of the same album to push for or hope for a better chart position or in this case higher sales for the artist The artist gets rich and you are out a lot of money, is all that will likely happen It may be a waste of money but for Stans it helps the artist get the prestigous milestones and awards. Leads to platinum sales, grammy noms ect... It could easily mean the difference between her album debuting with 900k vs 450k. |
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jamrock16
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Post by jamrock16 on Oct 28, 2010 17:38:41 GMT -5
WOW @ T.Swifts sales! Are they serious? 1 million?!
To me it doesn't add up though. Her 1st single isn't even that big and she hasn't had any major US TV appearance since the VMA's last month. Good for her though, her and her team are marketing genius'.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 17:49:42 GMT -5
I never understood the buying more than one copy thing It is totally a waste of money to buy multiple copies of the same album to push for or hope for a better chart position or in this case higher sales for the artist The artist gets rich and you are out a lot of money, is all that will likely happen It may be a waste of money but for Stans it helps the artist get the prestigous milestones and awards. Leads to platinum sales, grammy noms ect... It could easily mean the difference between her album debuting with 900k vs 450k. Not necessarily believeing this makes any difference at all (outside of negligible) Most of the million buying the Taylor Swift album do not post here (or similar sites) Most are buying because it is a Taylor Swift album To most buying 5 copies of Speak Now is like getting a 12 dollar album for 60 dollars. To get from 450K to 900K implies that virtually everyone who is buying the album bought more than one |
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Oct 28, 2010 17:50:36 GMT -5
I never understood the buying more than one copy thing It is totally a waste of money to buy multiple copies of the same album to push for or hope for a better chart position or in this case higher sales for the artist The artist gets rich and you are out a lot of money, is all that will likely happen It may be a waste of money but for Stans it helps the artist get the prestigous milestones and awards. Leads to platinum sales, grammy noms ect... It could easily mean the difference between her album debuting with 900k vs 450k. Uh, no it might mean the difference between 900k vs 890k but the percentage of people crazy enough to buy themselves multiple copies of an album is verrrry low. Someone has severely out-of-whack priorities if they do that too. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 17:53:09 GMT -5
There have been numerous documented instances of fan-induced "download days" to push a song up the chart that have had almost no effect at all
This would be enough to convince me that not everyone is willing to pay 60 dollars for a 12 dollar CD
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jumpb4uthink
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Post by jumpb4uthink on Oct 28, 2010 18:15:00 GMT -5
Glee holding up in it's second week. I think it will even go higher with this Halloween weekend.
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pnobelysk
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Post by pnobelysk on Oct 28, 2010 18:18:08 GMT -5
WOW @ T.Swifts sales! Are they serious? 1 million?! To me it doesn't add up though. Her 1st single isn't even that big and she hasn't had any major US TV appearance since the VMA's last month. Good for her though, her and her team are marketing genius'. she had a massive last era though. sold 6 million copies in the US alone. shes on tv a lot though this week. mine is top 10 on three formats, and almost on a 4th. and we are nearish xmas time |
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Post by slicknickshady on Oct 28, 2010 19:48:36 GMT -5
The Taylor Swift catches Eminem watch This weeks gap: 2.86 million Projected gap for next week: 1.9 million 1/3 of the way So is that what you are predicting? Recovery won't be the #1 selling album of the year? Ok then. We will see. I think it's a Lock for Eminem. And you can claim otherwise but im not just saying that cause i'm an Eminem fan. I'm saying that i believe Recovery will be a 3.2-3.3 Million at the end of the year and I see Recovery getting it by like 150 K. Then again last year people thought i was nuts when i said Relapse would sell more than The Blueprint 3 in '09. I came out right then. I'll come out right now. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 28, 2010 19:51:54 GMT -5
The Taylor Swift catches Eminem watch This weeks gap: 2.86 million Projected gap for next week: 1.9 million 1/3 of the way So is that what you are predicting? Recovery won't be the #1 selling album of the year? Ok then. We will see. I think it's a Lock for Eminem. And you can claim otherwise but im not just saying that cause i'm an Eminem fan. I'm saying that i believe Recovery will be a 3.2-3.3 Million at the end of the year and I see Recovery getting it by like 150 K. LOL - I am not making a prediction or claiming anything at all I know you are predicting Eminem will be #1, you said 2 albums had a shot but now they don't. OK fine. If Taylor Swift had released 20 weeks ago and it was Eminem that was selling the million this week would you be saying the same thing? |
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Oct 28, 2010 19:56:38 GMT -5
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 975k-1m What a weak rest of the chart! Thank God Taylor released lol All the other major acts avoided this week like the plague, lol.[/quo If predictions are at 975k now, then I think she will hit 1M. I can't see her just selling 980k or something without her company helping it on its way to 1M. I would be surprised if they don't do that like they did for Ashanti...  |
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