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Post by singingsparrow on Aug 12, 2011 15:05:30 GMT -5
I'd say at this time "Party Rock Anthem" has a 53% likelihood of retaining the pole position while "Last Friday Night" has a 47% likelihood of making Billboard history next week.
I base that on the more steady sales figures coming from LMFAO in spite of them losing airplay faster. But really, projecting this chart battle is much akin to projecting a presidential election...........where pretty much every cycle now the popular vote is no less narrower than 55-45%.
If it were a presidential race, I honestly see Perry trailing LMFAO in the polling. But it's not to say she doesn't have a sure shot at winning the late stage of the weekly campaign. And she can do that either by 1) holding her own in the digital sales debate without necessarily winning it, or 2) LMFAO makes a huge gaffe (digital sales falling faster this week than expected, airplay plunges faster).
Namaste,
lisping HIBISCUS
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 12, 2011 15:34:38 GMT -5
LMFAO has got this. Katy Perry will not be #1 next week. No way no how. Does Katy have any promo this weekend?
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Post by megaphone1 on Aug 12, 2011 15:46:34 GMT -5
Good job PRA! I like Katy but she doesnt deserve to hold this legendary record, at least not right now, its too soon for her.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 12, 2011 15:52:14 GMT -5
Good job PRA! I like Katy but she doesnt deserve to hold this legendary record, at least not right now, its too soon for her. It's never too soon to be holding records. if the artist and record company can do it they should. Clearly the record company in this case was not up to the task. |
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nighttime
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Post by nighttime on Aug 12, 2011 16:34:28 GMT -5
katy is behind lmfao with combined percentages now. she better cross her fingers lmfao's airplay plummets.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Aug 12, 2011 18:07:13 GMT -5
Yeah, that legendary song "Dirty Diana" that set the record. Please. It's too bad we didn't have Soundscan & Mediabase back then. I'd bet the ranch that MJ did not have 5 #1s from Bad. Anyway, I just don't know how people can consider LFN as a failure. The digital sales were certain to be significantly lower because it's been available for download for over a year. A remix should have been release with the video. Oh, well.
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Aug 12, 2011 18:11:08 GMT -5
Yeah, that legendary song "Dirty Diana" that set the record. Please. It's too bad we didn't have Soundscan & Mediabase back then. I'd bet the ranch that MJ did not have 5 #1s from Bad.You sound mad. A little bit bitter, eh? Get over it. Your opinion is irrelevant when the fact is that Bad had 5 #1s. |
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Choco
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My Charts
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Post by Choco on Aug 12, 2011 18:27:57 GMT -5
Even if LFN doesn't reach #1 it was a big hit. That said, I hope it's the last single.
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slw84
7x Platinum Member
I only tolerate legends
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Posts: 7,897
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Post by slw84 on Aug 12, 2011 18:45:42 GMT -5
^LOL...You are funny. Your temperament concerning this Hot 100 race changes by the hour every day. No I really think Katy's best shot is not this coming chart. It'll be the next chart after that. I think PRA is going to drop harder and Katy will back into #1 simply by loosing less. I hope you are right...wasn't that lighters song supposed to be a threat? so it is not anymore??? |
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leoapp
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Post by leoapp on Aug 12, 2011 19:02:16 GMT -5
It'll be the closest point for #1 since the epic Womanizer VS WYL!!!
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,913
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 12, 2011 21:28:51 GMT -5
Sure there may have been No. 1 singles that would not have had No. 1 had BDS and SoundScan been in place- but that's neither here nor there. Chart methodologies and climates have changed through the years- it is what it is.
LFN currently at Nos. 6 and 45.
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Post by megaphone1 on Aug 12, 2011 23:41:55 GMT -5
Katys remix down to #45, definitely not looking good.
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d.t.m
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D.T.M.
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Post by d.t.m on Aug 13, 2011 0:14:23 GMT -5
That's what her ass gets for not recruiting Ke$ha or Rihanna. She could've even kept Missy on.
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David
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Post by David on Aug 13, 2011 0:16:00 GMT -5
Percentage update? :)
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kml567
Gold Member
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Posts: 974
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Post by kml567 on Aug 13, 2011 0:21:34 GMT -5
LMFAO ~0.71
Katy 0.6896
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2011 0:59:31 GMT -5
Katy will not get the #1 unless they do something.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2011 1:24:57 GMT -5
^$0.09*wave
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Lozzy
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Posts: 49,237
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 13, 2011 1:31:24 GMT -5
Last Friday Night: 0.689370 (0.535038 + 0.154332)
Party Rock Anthem: 0.714962 (0.064491 + 0.650471)
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d.t.m
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Post by d.t.m on Aug 13, 2011 1:42:58 GMT -5
Katy will not get the #1 unless they do something. The last option they have is to make a backdoor deal with Interscope to hold off PRA on Itunes for about 4 days, citing either a "glitch" or an effort to boost dismal album sales like Estelle's label did a few years ago. |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2011 4:30:01 GMT -5
Katy will not get the #1 unless they do something. The last option they have is to make a backdoor deal with Interscope to hold off PRA on Itunes for about 4 days, citing either a "glitch" or an effort to boost dismal album sales like Estelle's label did a few years ago. Yeah, and Katy and her record company wouldn't look too desperate if they did something like that. They need to let it go already. |
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Lozzy
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 13, 2011 4:39:31 GMT -5
Last Friday Night: 0.689370 (0.535038 + 0.154332) Party Rock Anthem: 0.714962 (0.064491 + 0.650471) Last Friday Night: 0.689157 (0.534454 + 0.154704) Party Rock Anthem: 0.714649 (0.064446 + 0.650203) |
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d.t.m
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D.T.M.
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Post by d.t.m on Aug 13, 2011 13:00:57 GMT -5
The last option they have is to make a backdoor deal with Interscope to hold off PRA on Itunes for about 4 days, citing either a "glitch" or an effort to boost dismal album sales like Estelle's label did a few years ago. Yeah, and Katy and her record company wouldn't look too desperate if they did something like that. They need to let it go already. They already passed that point with the 69 cent slashing. |
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Post by livelikedying111 on Aug 13, 2011 13:14:58 GMT -5
What I don't get is why she keeps silent. Tweet, put some videos on, perform, whatever. thinking that this specific remix would do it is a problem, that's beyond us (even though I don't think it's bad - it's just not enough) but when everyone sees there are problems along the way, why not do something? It's really hard for me to comprehend this...
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 13, 2011 14:36:07 GMT -5
They could've made LFN remix 99 cents and it still would've done the same thing. There was absolutely no need for a discount. There was a need for an add and promotion. How about a contest of some sort that encourages people to buy KP's single. |
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Arabella21
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Post by Arabella21 on Aug 13, 2011 18:15:13 GMT -5
1. Moves Like Jagger (Studio Recording from "The Voice" Performance) [feat. Christina Aguilera] - Maroon 5
2. Pumped Up Kicks - Foster the People
3. Party Rock Anthem (feat. Lauren Bennett & GoonRock) - LMFAO
4. Headlines - Drake
5. Lighters (feat. Bruno Mars) - Bad Meets Evil
6. Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.) - Katy Perry
7. Tonight Tonight - Hot Chelle Rae
8. How to Love - Lil Wayne
9. I Wanna Go - Britney Spears
10. Super Bass - Nicki Minaj
11. Good Life - OneRepublic
12. Stereo Hearts (feat. Adam Levine) - Gym Class Heroes
13. Rolling in the Deep - ADELE
14. If I Die Young - The Band Perry
15. Give Me Everything (feat. Ne-Yo, Afrojack & Nayer) - Pitbull
16. Remind Me (Duet with Carrie Underwood) - Brad Paisley
17. Knee Deep (feat. Jimmy Buffett) - Zac Brown Band
18. It Girl - Jason Derülo
19. You Make Me Feel...(feat. Sabi) - Cobra Starship
20. Cheers (Drink to That) - Rihanna
21. Dirt Road Anthem - Jason Aldean
22. Who Gon Stop Me - Kanye West & JAY Z
23. Otis (feat. Otis Redding) - Kanye West & JAY Z
24. Barefoot Blue Jean Night - Jake Owen
25. The Edge of Glory - Lady GaGa
26. Rain Over Me (feat. Marc Anthony) - Pitbull
27. Best Thing I Never Had - Beyoncé
28. Just a Kiss - Lady Antebellum
29. Someone Like You - ADELE
30. You and Tequila (feat. Grace Potter) - Kenny Chesney
31. Love You Like a Love Song - Selena Gomez & The Scene
32. Where Them Girls At (feat. Nicki Minaj & Flo Rida) - David Guetta
33. Country Girl (Shake It for Me) - Luke Bryan
34. God Gave Me You - Blake Shelton
35. Titanium (feat. Sia) - David Guetta
36. The Lazy Song - Bruno Mars
37. I'm On One (feat. Drake, Rick Ross & Lil Wayne) - DJ Khaled
38. Marvins Room - Drake
39. Drunk On You - Luke Bryan
40. Honey Bee - Blake Shelton
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colson
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Post by colson on Aug 13, 2011 22:21:13 GMT -5
Even if LFN doesn't reach #1 it was a big hit. That said, I hope it's the last single. No. They should release a 6th single to extend the album around the holiday season. Maybe they can get this album to 2M by the end of the year. |
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Lozzy
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Joined: January 2010
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Post by Lozzy on Aug 13, 2011 22:36:00 GMT -5
Last Friday Night: 0.689370 (0.535038 + 0.154332) Party Rock Anthem: 0.714962 (0.064491 + 0.650471) Last Friday Night: 0.689157 (0.534454 + 0.154704) Party Rock Anthem: 0.714649 (0.064446 + 0.650203) Last Friday Night: 0.688354 (0.549727 + 0.138627) Party Rock Anthem: 0.728869 (0.066378 + 0.662491) |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 13, 2011 22:36:10 GMT -5
Even if LFN doesn't reach #1 it was a big hit. That said, I hope it's the last single. No. They should release a 6th single to extend the album around the holiday season. Maybe they can get this album to 2M by the end of the year. how about a 4th quarter re-release and get that 5th 6th number 1 |
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Aug 13, 2011 22:36:14 GMT -5
Yeah, that legendary song "Dirty Diana" that set the record. Please. It's too bad we didn't have Soundscan & Mediabase back then. I'd bet the ranch that MJ did not have 5 #1s from Bad.You sound mad. A little bit bitter, eh? Get over it. Your opinion is irrelevant when the fact is that Bad had 5 #1s. LOL. Hardly, the point is that everyone is holding that record as sacred, when if not for KP threat, it hasn't been mentioned in years. Billboard always has had a sketchy history when it comes to records - like the Bee Gees getting a sixth straight #1 with Love You Inside Out. I wouldn't be surprised if LFN gets it with the mysterious streaming.... |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 14, 2011 7:42:28 GMT -5
What's fishy about the Bee Gees "Love You Inside Out?" being their sixth consecutive #1?
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