willimp2005
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Post by willimp2005 on Oct 6, 2011 7:40:19 GMT -5
Does anyone know how the year end charts are shaping up? I know Rolling in the Deep is leading in Digital sales, but with airplay included, is there a contest with E.T. and even Party Rock Anthem? And how much of an impact can Moves like Jagger and Someone Like You make before the end of November?
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 6, 2011 8:37:57 GMT -5
SLY and MLJ are limited in a sense, since the Billboard year-end-chart period ends in November. However, for charts that rank tracks that peaked in a calendar year, based on overall performance (even if that carries into the following year), those tracks could finish very well.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Oct 6, 2011 14:29:59 GMT -5
I think RITD/ET/PRA will be your top 3. In what order, it's not clear. I would've said 1. RITD 2. ET 3. PRA a few weeks ago, but PRA's staying power is making me wonder if it could be #2 or even #1. Pretty sure RITD will be higher than ET though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2011 15:34:00 GMT -5
Only 6 more issues left in the Billboard Year!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2011 15:42:53 GMT -5
Only 6 more issues left in the Billboard Year! Lol - someone is starting the thread a bit early I see |
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 6, 2011 17:15:27 GMT -5
Please see this thread for a discussion on this very topic! My most recent information is posted on the top of page 4. |
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Post by neverduplicated on Oct 6, 2011 17:48:15 GMT -5
I'm pretty sure Billboard does the year-end chart based on overall chart points, not weekly ranks, right? If that's the case, then RITD and ET both have the biggest sales of the year and probably the highest airplay totals as well. PRA has had longevity, but its sales are still significantly lower than the former two, so I'm thinking the top three will be in that order - RITD, ET, PRA.
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 6, 2011 18:10:57 GMT -5
Correct, the rankings do come from overall chart points.
RITD is going to run away with #1.
#2-#6 is still up for grabs. You have Firework, F**k You, and Grenade, songs that lasted forever and garnered a lot of points that way. Then you have ET, a song that hit hard in the middle of the year with strong sales and strong airplay, but not quite the longevity of the four previously named songs.
Then you have Give Me Everything and Party Rock Anthem, massive hits that are still impacting.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2011 18:47:50 GMT -5
Party Rock Anthem will probably outsell ET.
Is it possible for RITD, PRA & ET to all sell 5 mil by the end of the SoundScan year :o
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2011 18:56:41 GMT -5
Question for the moderators: why is the existence of a chart not out for 3 months music news?
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Post by LegendaryLover on Oct 7, 2011 0:49:17 GMT -5
Hot 100 Artist will be Katy #1, Adele #2 i guess.
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Post by neverduplicated on Oct 7, 2011 3:10:28 GMT -5
Question for the moderators: why is the existence of a chart not out for 3 months music news? Clearly there's a lot of interest in it. It's fun to discuss what will come out on top as the biggest songs of the year. Why are you bothered by it? |
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tonytaylor
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Post by tonytaylor on Oct 7, 2011 5:32:55 GMT -5
Hot 100 Artist will be Katy #1, Adele #2 i guess. I think you are right on account of sheer numbers of Katy singles compared to Adele. But, interestingly, even though she has only released 2 singles in 2011, Adele will have the most weeks at #1. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 9, 2011 0:01:02 GMT -5
Anyone have a good grasp of what the top ~25 would be (not exact order, just what's likely in there)?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 9, 2011 2:11:06 GMT -5
Correct, the rankings do come from overall chart points. RITD is going to run away with #1. #2-#6 is still up for grabs. You have Firework, F**k You, and Grenade, songs that lasted forever and garnered a lot of points that way. Then you have ET, a song that hit hard in the middle of the year with strong sales and strong airplay, but not quite the longevity of the four previously named songs. Then you have Give Me Everything and Party Rock Anthem, massive hits that are still impacting. E.T still outsold them by a lot, since some of their sales are from 2010. I'd say it has #2 on lock. |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Oct 9, 2011 9:39:39 GMT -5
Anyone have a good grasp of what the top ~25 would be (not exact order, just what's likely in there)? I'd say... For Sure: Firework Grenade Forget You E.T. (#2) Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.) Rolling in the Deep (#1) S&M Party Rock Anthem Give Me Everything On the Floor Born This Way Look At Me Now Likely: What's My Name? Super Bass Hey Baby (Drop It to the Floor) Coming Home The Show Goes On How to Love If I Die Young Good Life Dirt Road Anthem Down on Me Motivation On the Fence: Till the World Ends Perfect Moves Like Jagger Tonight (I'm Lovin' You) Blow Black and Yellow The Lazy Song Tonight Tonight The Edge of Glory Pumped Up Kicks Someone Like You (it'd be tough for this one, but it could do it) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 9, 2011 10:09:31 GMT -5
^I agree with most of that, but I'd put Perfect, Born This Way and Super Bass in the "For Sure" list. BTW is at 3.4-5 million IIRC, and Super Bass has had amazing longevity.
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 9, 2011 18:41:23 GMT -5
Anyone have a good grasp of what the top ~25 would be (not exact order, just what's likely in there)? For sure: Rolling in the Deep F**k You Firework E.T. Grenade Just Can't Get Enough Give Me Everything On The Floor Party Rock Anthem Fuckin' Perfect The Show Goes On Look At Me Now S&M Super Bass Tonight The Lazy Song Till The World Ends If I Die Young Blow Good Life On the Fence (5 of these 9 may make it): Moves Like Jagger Someone Like You Dirt Road Anthem Tonight Tonight The Edge of Glory Born This Way Black and Yellow Last Friday Night Pumped Up Kicks |
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Post by when the pawn... on Oct 11, 2011 18:46:34 GMT -5
Rough initial prediction for Hot 100 Artists of the Year...
1 Katy Perry
2 Rihanna
3 Adele
4 Bruno Mars
5 Chris Brown
6 Britney Spears
7 Nicki Minaj
8 Lady Gaga
9 Pitbull (points for OTF?)
10 Black Eyed Peas
11 Pink
12 Taylor Swift
13 LMFAO
14 Kanye West (points for E.T.?)
15 Jennifer Lopez
Billboard 200 Artists
1 Adele
2 Taylor Swift
3 Lady Gaga
4 Kanye West
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Oct 11, 2011 21:33:42 GMT -5
^I agree with most of that, but I'd put Perfect, Born This Way and Super Bass in the "For Sure" list. BTW is at 3.4-5 million IIRC, and Super Bass has had amazing longevity. I totally forgot about BTW's epic sales at the beginning of its run. |
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BEYOND.
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Post by BEYOND. on Oct 12, 2011 1:53:04 GMT -5
My Thoughts. Hot 100 Artists of the Year...
1 Katy Perry
2 Rihanna
3 Adele
4 Lady Gaga
5 Bruno Mars
6 Pink
7 Britney Spears
8 Nicki Minaj
9 Pitbull
10 Black Eyed Peas
11 Chris Brown
12 LMFAO
13 Taylor Swift
14 Kanye West
15 Jennifer Lopez
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Post by Living Legend on Oct 15, 2011 12:48:17 GMT -5
Predictions:
Hot 100 Year-End:
1) Adele- Rolling in the Deep
2) Katy Perry- E.T.
3) Pitbull- Give Me Everything
4) Katy Perry- Firework
5) Cee Lo Green- F*ck You
6) Bruno Mars- Grenade
7) LMFAO-Party Rock Anthem
8) Black Eyed Peas- Just Can't Get Enough
9) Jennifer Lopez- On The Floor
10) Nicki Minaj- Super Bass
11) Chris Brown- Look At Me Now
12) Lupe Fiasco- The Show Goes On
13) Jeremih- Down On Me
14) Rihanna- S&M
15) Britney Spears- Till The World Ends
16) One Republic- Good Life
17) Bruno Mars- The Lazy Song
18) Bruno Mars- Just The Way You Are
19) Hot Chelle Rae- Tonight Tonight
20) Ke$ha- Blow
21) Lady Antebellum- Just A Kiss
22) Lil Wayne- How To Love
23) Jason Aldean- Dirt Road Anthem
24) Katy Perry- Last Friday Night (TGIF)
25) Lady Gaga- Edge of Glory
Hot 100 Artists:
1) Katy Perry
2) Rihanna
3) Adele
4) Bruno Mars
5) Britney Spears
6) Chris Brown
7) Nicki Minaj
8) Pitbull
9) Lady Gaga
10) Black Eyed Peas
Billboard 200 Artists:
1) Adele
2) Taylor Swift
3) Lady Antebellum
4) Justin Bieber
5) Lady Gaga
6) Susan Boyle
7) Kanye West
8) Jason Aldean
9) Nicki Minaj
10) Jackie Evancho
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 16, 2011 5:11:57 GMT -5
Does We R Who We R have a chance of being Top 25? It sold around 3.5 million IIRC, I'm not sure how much of that was pre 2010 November though.
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 17, 2011 0:28:28 GMT -5
Does We R Who We R have a chance of being Top 25? It sold around 3.5 million IIRC, I'm not sure how much of that was pre 2010 November though. There's a possibility. It's not a song that I've been tracking - I guess I forgot most of its chart run occurred during 2011. 17 of its 20 weeks count for 2011, but one of its biggest weeks (its debut) doesn't count, so that will set it back a bit. I could see maybe top 30 but not much higher. |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Oct 22, 2011 15:38:14 GMT -5
Wow, I completely forgot about WRWWR being mainly in 2011. For some reason, I keep thinking it was a 2010 hit.  Yeah, with its highest digital week not counting in this year-end chart, that could set it back quite a bit. |
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forg
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Post by forg on Nov 16, 2011 0:57:52 GMT -5
This week will be the last one counted for the 2011 yearend chart. Anymore guesses/predictions?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 16, 2011 1:21:41 GMT -5
I'll take a stab I guess:
1. PRA
2. RITD
3. ET
4. GME
5. Firework
6. Grenade
7. JCGE
8. MLJ
9. FU
10. LFN
11. SB
12. S&M
13. TTWE
14. OTF
15. TEOG
16. Tonight
17. GL
18. FP
19. TT
20. BTW
21. LAMN
22. SLY
23. TSGO
24. Blow
25. IIDY
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forg
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Post by forg on Nov 16, 2011 2:11:41 GMT -5
My predictions for the top 20
1. Rolling in the Deep
2. E.T
3. Party Rock Anthem
4. F*** You (Forget You)
5. Firework
6. Grenade
7. Give Me Everything
8. Just Can't Get Enough
9. Moves Like Jagger
10. S&M
11. Super Bass
12. Last Friday Night
13. On The Floor
14. Someone Like You
15. Pumped Up Kicks
16. Born This Way
17. (F*****) Perfect
18. The Lazy Song
19. Tonight (I'm F**kin You)
20. Look at Me Now
21. The Show Goes On
22. Down on Me
23. Raise Your Glass
24. What's Your Name
25. Good Life
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Black Jesus
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Post by Black Jesus on Nov 16, 2011 11:23:39 GMT -5
Predictions: Hot 100 Year-End: 1) Adele- Rolling in the Deep 2) Katy Perry- E.T. 3) Pitbull- Give Me Everything 4) Katy Perry- Firework 5) Cee Lo Green- F*ck You 6) Bruno Mars- Grenade 7) LMFAO-Party Rock Anthem 8) Black Eyed Peas- Just Can't Get Enough 9) Jennifer Lopez- On The Floor 10) Nicki Minaj- Super Bass 11) Chris Brown- Look At Me Now 12) Lupe Fiasco- The Show Goes On 13) Jeremih- Down On Me 14) Rihanna- S&M 15) Britney Spears- Till The World Ends 16) One Republic- Good Life 17) Bruno Mars- The Lazy Song 18) Bruno Mars- Just The Way You Are 19) Hot Chelle Rae- Tonight Tonight 20) Ke$ha- Blow 21) Lady Antebellum- Just A Kiss 22) Lil Wayne- How To Love 23) Jason Aldean- Dirt Road Anthem 24) Katy Perry- Last Friday Night (TGIF) 25) Lady Gaga- Edge of Glory Born This Way spent 6 weeks at #1, how would it not be in the Top 25? Just curious |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Nov 16, 2011 14:19:16 GMT -5
What happened to the poster that used to list how long songs spent in the Top 10 of the Hot 100?
Does anyone have a list?
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