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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 19:10:50 GMT -5
Billboard is always very conservative with their numbers. I tend to ignore them.
Let's wait until we get HITS' estimates tomorrow.
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Jun 19, 2012 19:13:37 GMT -5
Billboard is always very conservative with their numbers. I tend to ignore them. Let's wait until we get HITS' estimates tomorrow. Hits made a second prediction similar to Billboard's estimates.
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carrieidol1
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Post by carrieidol1 on Jun 19, 2012 19:15:31 GMT -5
I was expecting at least Drake numbers (mid 600k's). Taylor did over 1 million, it's possible for artists that appeal to a rabid young fanbase to debut huge in this day and age. I'm more interested to see if he holds up in the next weeks though like My World 2.0 did. If he sells 450k this week but delivers several weeks over 200k that would be equally as impressive as debuting massive and then falling like most albums do nowadays. Taylor is a bit of an outlier, not only does she attract the "rabid young fanbase", she also has a considerable Country fanbase. Doesn't completely explain her 1 million debut, but I think that might be a huge factor.
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Post by ListenToItTwice on Jun 19, 2012 19:17:35 GMT -5
Billboard is always very conservative with their numbers. I tend to ignore them. Let's wait until we get HITS' estimates tomorrow. Hits made a second prediction similar to Billboard's estimates. Yes, but without knowing the first-day sales. That's what sets tomorrow's estimate apart.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Jun 19, 2012 19:18:15 GMT -5
I still think it will do around 600k
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 19:22:17 GMT -5
HITS:
JUSTIN TIME: Look for Justin Bieber’s IDJ album Believe to debut with more than 400k in sales next week, an impressive total by any measure, which would make it the year’s biggest bow.
With sales brisk, insiders are even wondering if a “5” could go in front of that total. Nice work for Team Weiss/Bartels and manager Scooter Braun. Stay tuned to hitsdailydouble.com for more. (6/19p)
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Stefan85
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Post by Stefan85 on Jun 19, 2012 19:29:02 GMT -5
I didn't believe for a second that anything over 600k was going to happen. These numbers are in line with what I expected.
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Linnethia Monique
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Post by Linnethia Monique on Jun 19, 2012 19:32:09 GMT -5
Usher can sit back and live off of Bieber right now.
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hazuki
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Post by hazuki on Jun 19, 2012 19:38:18 GMT -5
i hope for something along lines of 400k so the 60% drop will be like to 200k so Linkin Park will get #1
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Jun 19, 2012 19:42:09 GMT -5
i hope for something along lines of 400k so the 60% drop will be like to 200k so Linkin Park will get #1 Then there's Maroon 5 too
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Jun 19, 2012 19:46:13 GMT -5
Damn. I guess Usher and Biebz's special relationship hasn't benefited them in all ways. Neither has opened as well as expected. 500k should've been no prob.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 19:48:02 GMT -5
^HITS says 500k could happen.
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Post by Push The Button on Jun 19, 2012 19:50:16 GMT -5
But remember, his sales are probably very frontloaded at the beginning of the week.
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Agent Yoncé
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Jun 19, 2012 19:51:28 GMT -5
People expected Biebs to go gold w/ease his 1st week? :o I don't think he has enough hype to do "those big #s". Doing at least 400k is amazing.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 20:05:24 GMT -5
But remember, his sales are probably very frontloaded at the beginning of the week. Why do you think that?
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Post by Fat Ass Kelly Price on Jun 19, 2012 20:21:44 GMT -5
Because most newly released albums are frontloaded....
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Linnethia Monique
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Post by Linnethia Monique on Jun 19, 2012 20:26:09 GMT -5
He's a real wildcard when it comes to 1st week and 2nd week sales. This is a kid whose album went up in sales the 2nd week instead of the usual decline.
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hazuki
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Post by hazuki on Jun 19, 2012 20:32:19 GMT -5
i hope for something along lines of 400k so the 60% drop will be like to 200k so Linkin Park will get #1 Then there's Maroon 5 too I think they will do something like 140-170k
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Post by ListenToItTwice on Jun 19, 2012 20:34:27 GMT -5
HITS: JUSTIN TIME: Look for Justin Bieber’s IDJ album Believe to debut with more than 400k in sales next week ... With sales brisk, insiders are even wondering if a “5” could go in front of that total. 5,400,000? LEGEND
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 19, 2012 20:37:18 GMT -5
Billboard & Hit's are spinning these numbers as huge positives(unlike the majority of Pulse). Maybe these are the type of numbers insiders and JB's camp predicted?
Seem like Solid numbers to me. Biggest opening of the year and his best opening yet(although he's only had 1 proper album). Similar numbers that JoBro's and Miley got in their hey day.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 19, 2012 20:38:22 GMT -5
The best sales frame overall in 2012 was registered by Adele's "21" in the wake of her multiple Grammy Awards wins in February. It sold 730,000 in the week after the Grammy show. Still unbelievable.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 20:51:02 GMT -5
Because most newly released albums are frontloaded.... *confused* If every album is frontloaded, why are people talking about Beber (and other albums) being frontloaded?
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roman89
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Post by roman89 on Jun 19, 2012 21:30:48 GMT -5
Then there's Maroon 5 too I think they will do something like 140-170k I hope M5 surprises some people here...what have they debuted at with past albums?
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hazuki
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Post by hazuki on Jun 19, 2012 21:35:45 GMT -5
I think they will do something like 140-170k I hope M5 surprises some people here...what have they debuted at with past albums? I want them to surpise people; just not beating LP :)
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jun 19, 2012 21:36:14 GMT -5
^Their last album, 141k. Album before that, over 400k.
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Agent Yoncé
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Post by Agent Yoncé on Jun 19, 2012 22:13:51 GMT -5
It should be a different scenario for M5 this time around. During "HAO," they didn't have a huge hit like they do right now. + their last 2 singles were nothing short than a #2 song on the Hot 100. I would love it if they do surprise us & do 175-205k.
Do they have any promo lined up?
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on2thenext1
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Post by on2thenext1 on Jun 19, 2012 23:16:16 GMT -5
Billboard & Hit's are spinning these numbers as huge positives(unlike the majority of Pulse). Maybe these are the type of numbers insiders and JB's camp predicted? Seem like Solid numbers to me. Biggest opening of the year and his best opening yet(although he's only had 1 proper album). Similar numbers that JoBro's and Miley got in their hey day. i think these are really good numbers too. plus I think the album will have legs. he can pimp this album into the holidays even with just moderate pop radio hits because he's promoted to his audience (female teens) very well.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 19, 2012 23:28:35 GMT -5
Taylor did over 1 million, it's possible for artists that appeal to a rabid young fanbase to debut huge in this day and age. I think Taylor has an appeal to older women too, and Justin doesn't really have that.
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survivorqt
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Post by survivorqt on Jun 20, 2012 0:00:27 GMT -5
He's a real wildcard when it comes to 1st week and 2nd week sales. This is a kid whose album went up in sales the 2nd week instead of the usual decline. well that 2nd week was easter week
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jun 20, 2012 2:27:18 GMT -5
For Biebs, I say 400k would be alright, 500k brilliant. He has never opened with more than 283k so it's not fair to expect 700k or sth although it's a well anticipated album.
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