Billboard Hot 100: 07/28/12

[Brazilian Guy]

Musiq asked in the Pink thread but no one bothered to answer so here I go. LOL.

What's the downloads/streaming/airplay ratio of the Hot 100 placements? thanks in advance.

[josh]

No one knows. We've tried figuring it out but no one really knows for sure.

[cesarams]

SATURDAY'S UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 192.472 (+ 1.276)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 181.426 (- 1.127)
3. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 172.116 (- 1.949)
4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 157.297 (+ 0.724)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 123.732 (+ 1.654)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 111.513 (+ 1.445)
7. USHER - Scream: 108.651 (+ 0.903)
8. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 96.246 (- 2.170)
9. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 92.483 (- 2.615)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 88.205 (- 0.802)
11. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 82.829 (- 1.227)
12. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 79.379 (- 1.532)
13. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 77.775 (+ 1.286)
14. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 70.366 (+ 0.943)
15. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 68.003 (- 0.248)
16. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 65.553 (+ 0.457)
17. ELI YOUNG BAND - Even If It Breaks Your Heart: 63.503 (+ 0.340) ▲
18. TRAIN - Drive By: 63.306 (- 0.433) ▼
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 59.723 (+ 0.542) ▲
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 58.630 (+ 0.275) ▲

OTHERS:

KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 57.976 (+ 0.342)
BRANTLEY GILBERT - You Don't Know Her Like I Do: 57.765 (- 1.524)
TREY SONGZ - Heart Attack: 48.736 (- 0.660)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 48.177 (+ 0.624)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 47.999 (+ 0.651)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 44.303 (+ 0.333)
JASON MRAZ - I Won't Give Up: 39.756 (- 0.096)
GYM CLASS HEROES - The Fighter f/Ryan Tedder: 39.162 (- 0.526)
PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 38.976 (+ 3.365)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 34.531 (+ 0.425)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 33.871 (+ 1.784)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.864 (- 0.070)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 28.030 (+ 0.509)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 27.567 (+ 0.688)
RITA ORA - How We Do (Party): 26.032 (+ 0.074)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 23.139 (+ 0.152)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 22.060 (+ 0.307)
EASTON CORBIN - Lovin' You Is Fun: 21.375
B.O.B - Both Of Us f/Taylor Swift: 20.665 (- 0.752)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 20.608 (+ 0.215)
FUN. - Some Nights: 19.917 (+ 0.447)
OF MONSTERS AND MEN - Little Talks: 12.657
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 12.142
CHRIS BROWN - Don't Wake Me Up: 10.583
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 6.605 (+ 0.734)
PHILLIP PHILLIPS - Home: 6.164
KILLERS - Runaways: 3.473 (+ 0.658)
ALICIA KEYS - New Day: 3.156 (+ 0.132)
KYLIE MINOGUE - Timebomb: 0.313
CHERYL COLE - Call My Name: 0.006
MADONNA - Turn Up The Radio: 0

[Brazilian Guy]

KYLIE MINOGUE - Timebomb: 0.313
CHERYL COLE - Call My Name: 0.006
MADONNA - Turn Up The Radio: 0

LOL

[weaver]

Is One More Night getting any significant spins yet?

[NeRD]

Hopefully Lights can pick up again and pass Katy on overall airplay.

[moore746]

Does anyone have an explanation for Some Night's seemingly sudden surge on iTunes?

[kingofpain]

Um, it a good song?

[Enigma.]

Yea all things don't have to be explained.

[HolidayGuy]

Mediabase 7-Day-Rolling Quick-Cut-Airplay Info, 7/8/12-7/14/12

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 192.846 (+ 0.374)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 180.493 (- 0.933)
3. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 170.465 (- 1.651)
4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 158.109 (+ 0.812)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 126.296 (+ 2.564)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 113.140 (+ 1.627)
7. USHER - Scream: 109.523 (+ 0.872)
8. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 94.874 (- 1.372)
9. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 90.559 (- 1.924)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 87.804 (- 0.401)
11. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 81.712 (- 1.117)
12. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 78.632 (+ 0.857) ▲
13. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 78.107 (- 1.272) ▼
14. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 71.530 (+ 1.164)
15. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 67.481 (- 0.522)
16. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 66.090 (+ 0.537)
17. ELI YOUNG BAND - Even If It Breaks Your Heart: 63.759 (+ 0.256)
18. TRAIN - Drive By: 62.750 (- 0.556)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 60.066 (+ 0.343)
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 58.654 (+ 0.024)

OTHERS
KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 58.245 (+ 0.269)
TREY SONGZ - Heart Attack: 48.632 (- 0.104)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 48.564 (+ 0.387)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 48.353 (+ 0.354)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 44.798 (+ 0.495)
PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 43.553 (+ 4.577)
JASON MRAZ - I Won't Give Up: 39.611 (- 0.145)
GYM CLASS HEROES - The Fighter f/Ryan Tedder: 38.454 (- 0.708)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 36.155 (+ 2.284)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 35.225 (+ 0.694)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.947 (+ 0.083)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 28.995 (+ 0.965)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 28.656 (+ 1.089)
RITA ORA - How We Do (Party): 26.188 (+ 0.156)
NICKI MINAJ - Beez In The Trap f/2 Chainz: 25.964
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 23.463 (+ 0.324)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 22.141 (+ 0.081)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 20.628 (+ 0.020)
FUN. - Some Nights: 20.463 (+ 0.546)
B.O.B - Both Of Us f/Taylor Swift: 20.264 (- 0.401)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 13.176 (+ 1.034)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 7.259 (+ 0.654)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 5.081 (+ 0.317)
OLLY MURS - Heart Skips A Beat: 4.453
KILLERS - Runaways: 4.347 (+ 0.874)
MARINA AND THE DIAMONDS - Primadonna: 3.407
ALICIA KEYS - New Day: 3.327 (+ 0.171)
FOSTER THE PEOPLE - Houdini: 0.783
CHRISTINA PERRI - Distance: 0.772

[cesarams]

Was Pound the Alarm already released?

[NeRD]

Jul 15, 2012 7:56:51 GMT -5 cesarams said:

Was Pound the Alarm already released?

Goes for adds this week. :)

[Agent Yoncé]

:o at P!nk. Still a horrible song, but :o

[nivekwriter1]

Have you heard the new song of No Doubt?

www.youtube.com/watch?v=8bjES_i0hGE&list=FLGPaZ_PFh7eSJg0mfxArkSQ&feature=mh_lolz

[nivekwriter1]

Airplay update (7/16/2012)

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 192.799 (+ 0.047)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 179.785 (- 0.708)
3. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 168.494 (- 1.971)
4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 158.917 (+ 0.808)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 127.978 (+ 1.682)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 114.303 (+ 1.163)
7. USHER - Scream: 110.835 (+ 1.312)
8. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 93.147 (- 1.727)
9. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 88.804 (- 1.755)
10. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 86.872 (- 0.932)
11. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 80.719 (- 0.993)
12. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 79.521 (+ 0.889)
13. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 76.766 (- 1.341)
14. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 73.068 (+ 1.538)
15. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 67.282 (- 0.199)
16. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 66.543 (+ 0.453)
17. ELI YOUNG BAND - Even If It Breaks Your Heart: 64.051 (+ 0.292)
18. TRAIN - Drive By: 62.156 (- 0.594)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 60.298 (+ 0.232)
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 59.172 (+ 0.518)

Others

KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 58.784 (+ 0.539)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 49.165 (+ 0.601)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 48.977 (+ 0.624)
TREY SONGZ - Heart Attack: 48.212 (- 0.420)
PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 48.134 (+ 4.581)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 44.946 (+ 0.148)
JASON MRAZ - I Won't Give Up: 39.352 (- 0.259)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 38.426 (+ 2.271)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 35.531 (+ 0.306)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 33.853 (- 0.094)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 30.558 (+ 1.902)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 30.007 (+ 1.012)
RITA ORA - How We Do (Party): 25.986 (- 0.202)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 22.911 (- 0.552)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 22.531 (+ 0.390)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 20.912 (+ 0.284)
FUN. - Some Nights: 20.884 (+ 0.421)
B.O.B - Both Of Us f/Taylor Swift: 19.857 (- 0.407)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 14.384 (+ 1.208)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 8.086 (+ 0.827)
KILLERS - Runaways: 5.103 (+ 0.756)
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 5.042 (- 0.039)
ALICIA KEYS - New Day: 3.469 (+ 0.142)

[Brazilian Guy]

PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 48.134 (+ 4.581)

50 million in 2 weeks. Queen of Hot AC, queen of Pop consistency! I do think her Tuesday update will be negative considering the first week did not hit big because of the leak, but the second week was kind of a monster. Hoping for a top 10 on the Hot 100.

[nivekwriter1]

Predictions of hot 100 for coming week (until now)

I started this a 2 weeks ago. With data from daily airplay and iTunes I predicted the hot 100 for the last 2 weeks. Except for 3 songs the top 10 was right both times.

Maybe it's a good predictor, so this is the prediction for the hot 100 for 7/28/2012 until now: (between the brackets you can see number of points that the song has)

1. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (730,32)
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (675,84)
3. Katy perry - Wide Awake (659,98)
4. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (566,860)
5. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (484,15)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (465,49)
7. Flo Rida - Whistle (453,04)
8. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (417,66)
9. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (403,91)
10. Usher - Scream (375,46)
11. Nicki Minaj - Starships (327,53)
12. fun. Ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (318,13)
13. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (310,58)
14. One Direction - What Makes You beautiful (310,09)
15. Kayne West ft. Big Sean,... - Mercy (271,78)
16. Demi lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (270,51)
17. Flo Rida ft. Sia - Wild Ones (267,04)
18. Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time (263,41)
19. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks (260,07)
20. Kenny Chesney - Come Over (253,43)

[icefire9]

Jul 16, 2012 8:46:26 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

5. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (484,15)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (465,49)

Why would Rihanna be higher than Ellie? Lights was #5 last week and has been increasing in airplay faster than WHYB.

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 16, 2012 10:57:41 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

Jul 16, 2012 8:46:26 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

5. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (484,15)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (465,49)

Why would Rihanna be higher than Ellie? Lights was #5 last week and has been increasing in airplay faster than WHYB.

whyb had a huge digital lead, but that's now starting to disappear. until now whyb is doing better overall, but at the end of the week Lights would be #5 again. I expect that Lights will stay at #5 and will defeat whyb this week. this are the results until now.

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 16, 2012 10:57:41 GMT -5 icefire9 said:

Jul 16, 2012 8:46:26 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

5. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (484,15)
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights (465,49)

Why would Rihanna be higher than Ellie? Lights was #5 last week and has been increasing in airplay faster than WHYB.

here you can see the progress of the differance between the 2 songs:

13-7: Gains of Lights and WHYB 3 points differance
14-7: Gains of Lights and WHYB 2,5 points differance
15-7: Gains of Lights and WHYB 1,8 points differance
16-7: Gains of Lights and WHYB 0,9 points differance

If this will continue in this tempo Lights will easily defeat WHYB in the rest of this week and will stay at #5.

[nivekwriter1]

No Doubt song is raising very quikly. It might be in the update
predictions from best selling songs from 17/7/2012.
It may even debut this week, but it will be a low debut.
I thin k it will get huge next week.

[Enigma.]

JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 14.384 (+ 1.208)

Good! Hopefully another top 20 hit for Biebs.

[ListenToItTwice]

Pink should be in green. She's once again the greatest gainer

[nivekwriter1]

Airplay update (7/17/2012)

1. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 192.904 (+ 0.105)
2. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 179.306 (- 0.479)
3. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 166.808 (- 1.686)
4. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 159.413 (+ 0.496)
5. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 129.982 (+ 2.004)
6. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 116.344 (+ 2.041)
7. USHER - Scream: 111.388 (+ 0.553)
8. FUN. - We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 91.462 (- 1.685)
9. ONE DIRECTION - What Makes You Beautiful: 86.694 (- 0.178) 
10. NICKI MINAJ - Starships: 86.509 (- 2.295) 
11. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 80.637 (+ 1.116) 
12. THE WANTED - Glad You Came: 79.402 (- 1.317) 
13. FLO RIDA - Wild Ones f/Sia: 75.238 (- 1.528)
14. CALVIN HARRIS - Let's Go f/Ne-Yo: 74.809 (+ 1.741)
15. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 66.833 (+ 0.290) 
16. KELLY CLARKSON - Stronger (What Doesn't Kill ...: 66.597 (- 0.685) 
17. ELI YOUNG BAND - Even If It Breaks Your Heart: 63.474 (- 0.577)
18. TRAIN - Drive By: 61.235 (- 0.921)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T...: 60.542 (+ 0.244)
20. DIERKS BENTLEY - 5-1-5-0: 59.502 (+ 0.330)

Others

KENNY CHESNEY - Come Over: 58.983 (+ 0.199)
PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 50.506 (+ 2.372)
NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 50.027 (+ 0.862)
HAVANA BROWN - We Run The Night f/Pitbull: 48.976 (- 0.001)
TREY SONGZ - Heart Attack: 48.058 (- 0.154)
USHER - Lemme See f/Rick Ross: 45.266 (+ 0.320)
FLO RIDA - Whistle: 40.194 (+ 1.768)
JASON MRAZ - I Won't Give Up: 38.749 (- 0.603)
CHER LLOYD - Want U Back: 36.098 (+ 0.567)
ONE DIRECTION - One Thing: 34.050 (+ 0.197)
KELLY CLARKSON - Dark Side: 31.151 (+ 1.144)
OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 31.056 (+ 0.498)
RITA ORA - How We Do (Party): 25.814 (- 0.172)
THE WANTED - Chasing The Sun: 23.363 (+ 0.452)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She's So Mean: 22.617 (+ 0.086)
FUN. - Some Nights: 21.323 (+ 0.439)
LINKIN PARK - Burn It Down: 20.917 (+ 0.005)
JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 15.322 (+ 0.938)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 8.665 (+ 0.579)
GREEN DAY - Oh Love: 6.442
KILLERS - Runaways: 5.830 (+ 0.727)
NO DOUBT - Settle Down: 5.515
NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 5.128 (+ 0.086)
ALICIA KEYS - New Day: 3.498 (+ 0.029)

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 17, 2012 7:17:51 GMT -5 ListenToItTwice said:

Pink should be in green. She's once again the greatest gainer

You're right. I edited the post and posted it again.

[cesarams]

I'm wondering why Let's Go it's growing more than Titanium. And it's good to see Dark Side finally picking up now that Stronger's almost dead.

[KeepDeanWeird]

^ "#40 or lower. No Doubt - Settle Down"

Not eligible for 7/28 chart. Digital closed on Sunday, ND released on Monday.

[nivekwriter1]

Jul 17, 2012 8:42:00 GMT -5 KeepDeanWeird said:

^ "#40 or lower. No Doubt - Settle Down"

Not eligible for 7/28 chart. Digital closed on Sunday, ND released on Monday.

I forgot to say that No Doubt - Settle Down is for 8/4/2012 chart and not for the 7/28 chart.

[nivekwriter1]

Prediction of best-selling songs of 7/17/2012

1. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (167,95)
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (161,52)
3. Katy Perry - Wide Awake (158,63)
4. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (131,47)
5. Ellie Goulding - Lights (120,91)
6. Flo Rida - Whistle (120,83)
7. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (115,63)
8. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (97,77)
9. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (96,18)
10. Usher - Scream (91,97)
11. Jason Aldean - Take A Little Ride (88,75)
12. Nicki Minaj - Starships (76,71)
13. Fun. ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (75,09)
14. One Direction - What Makes You beautiful (73,89)
15. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (73,67)
16. Kayne West ft. Big Sean, Pusha T, Tyga - Mercy (66,31)
17. Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time (66,09)
18. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (65,59)
19. Fun. - Some Nights (64,05)
20. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks (63,07)

Other high rises:
24. No Doubt - Settle Down (59,85)


Prediction of hot 100 7/28/2012 (until now)

1. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (898,27)
2. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone (837,36)
3. Katy Perry - Wide Awake (818,61)
4. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know (698,33)
5. Ellie Goulding - Lights (593,23)
6. Rihanna - Where Have You Been (593,22)
7. Flo Rida - Whistle (573,87)
8. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss) (516,23)
9. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium (501,68)
10. Usher - Scream (436,23)
11. Nicki Minaj - Starships (424,24)
12. Fun. ft. Janelle Monaé - We Are Young (393,23)
13. Cher Lloyd - Want U Back (384,25)
14. One Direction - What Makes You Beautiful (383,98)
15. Kayne West ft. Big Sean, Pusha T, Tyga - Mercy (338,09)
16. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break (336,1)
17. Flo Rida ft. Sia - Wild Ones (328,85)
18. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks (323,45)
19. Calvin Harris ft. Ne-Yo - Let's Go (314,71)
20. Kenny Chesney - Come Over (313,93)

[josh]

Jul 17, 2012 7:49:22 GMT -5 cesarams said:

I'm wondering why Let's Go it's growing more than Titanium. And it's good to see Dark Side finally picking up now that Stronger's almost dead.

I wouldn't really call stronger dead... it's definitely low relatively speaking but still top 20 on radio . and I feel lets go is more in line with radio than titanium, and neyo is more familiar than sia as well. unfortunately. titanium seems to be picking up more though.