Kid Pulse
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I wanna be that someone that you're with.
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Post by Kid Pulse on Dec 7, 2007 19:15:30 GMT -5
There's a thread in the country forum about 2008 predictions, from the logical to the random. I thought it would be cool to have the same sort of thread here as well. Here are some long-term predictions... *Maroon 5's "Won't Go Home Without You" will become thier biggest hit and Hot AC's #1 song of 2008. *Daughtry will hit the top 3 with "Feels Like Tonight" and get another top 5 single off of thier debut album. *matchbox twenty will hit the top 3 with "These Hard Times" and then not release any more singles from "Exile On Mainstream". Rob Thomas will have a solo hit climbing the charts by the end of the summer. *3 Doors Down will begin a big strand of hits with a comeback album, and enjoy thier best success to date on the format. *Nickelback will release a new single in August and it will hit the top before October. It will be a "fall song" along the lines of "Photograph" and "Far Away". *Pop artists, especially females, will continue to have more success on Hot AC. ...sound crazy? Well, you give it a shot.
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Post by snappysnap on Dec 7, 2007 22:16:00 GMT -5
I disagree with you about 3DD...I think they're gonna flop this time around. Just a feeling. Even last era, their only "major" hit was LMG...LIL was a pretty minor hit (did the other releases even do anything?)
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Kid Pulse
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I wanna be that someone that you're with.
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Post by Kid Pulse on Dec 7, 2007 22:20:06 GMT -5
^I think that "Here by Me" was close to being top 20...but I ain't sure.
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Dec 8, 2007 0:55:52 GMT -5
Yah, I was going to predict 3 Doors Down to get a minor hit and that would be it. Maybe a second single that peaks in the low 30s.
Predictions are hard to make. Especially completely out of the blue like this but I want to try to make some more.
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Rumors
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Post by Rumors on Dec 8, 2007 9:56:19 GMT -5
I think I agree with you about MB20/Rob. I only see two singles from this album, too.
Mariah Carey will continue the trend on the HotAC chart going more "pop" and will have a top 3 hit on the format with an uptempo song.
The new M5 song will fail to make the top 5.
One Republic will have another top 5 hit.
Coldplay will have a top 10 hit next year.
Green Day will be big on the chart in late 2008.
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 8, 2007 11:26:35 GMT -5
Thinkin the new John Mayer song "Say" is gonna be really big on Hot AC (just saw the video this morning)...and I think it's gonna get some CHR airplay but prob. only peak in the high 20s or 30s there
The new Alicia Keys song IMO is goin to #1 on Hot AC, but I'd be really surprised if Mariah Carey did well on Hot AC unelss she really changed up her style back away from rhythmic/pop - thinkin she's been workin with rhyhtmic producers throughout the 2000s - if she does go back to a Kelly Clarkson-type style then HAC will def jump on her new singles IMO
"Teardrops On My Guitar" is def. headed for the Top 3 Hot AC...possibly #1 but not sure cause there are a lot of Modern AC's which lean Alternative which might not play it
"Stop & Stare" by One Republic is gettin a lot of early hype (haven't heard it yet) but sounds like it's HAC material
Local CHR is playin new Maroon 5 single...it def gets off to a good start, but really don't think the chorus is catchy enough to hit #1 HAC - it'll prob have a decent chart life though
As far as 3 Doors Down, Nickelback, and Coldplay, I'm hopin for great songs, but haven't heard any "buzz" about them yet
Also hopin the new Matchbox 20 and Daughtry singles are hits too, but haven't heard them yet
Colbie could still be a Hot AC core artist if her follow-up singles are hits
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shocker
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Post by shocker on Dec 10, 2007 2:55:22 GMT -5
After a rather slow start, "Shadow of the Day" will be a huge Hot AC hit in early '08 - definitely top 10, and I also think it has a good shot at top 5.
I also agree that Coldplay will return to the top 10. They've been working on new material, and are really trying hard to get a song released that has "spectacular" written all over it. They're an awesome band, so I think they stand a chance at #1 if they can really get a good song out there for a 1st single.
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smack
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Post by smack on Dec 10, 2007 9:54:27 GMT -5
I predict Taylor Swift will have a fast rise to top 5. The first christmas song will crack the top 40 (I don't think this has been done before, not sure though). Looks to be Josh Groban. Green day and a lot more alternative rock bands will have sucess this year. Maroon 5 will NOT. His voice on the current song is horrible. Carrie Underwood will have 1 crossover this year. Bubbly will be one of the longer charting songs, and we will hear another from her. One Republic is one of the best, and we'll hear more from them!
And last but not least....One station will start Xmas music a week before Halloween.
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Post by barryhatchet on Dec 10, 2007 13:36:54 GMT -5
I read an interview with Chad Kroeger (might have been in Billboard) where he said Nickelback was going to take some time off. I don't know if he came right out and said it, but the suggestion was he was afraid people would get burned out if they put another album out too soon.
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Kid Pulse
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I wanna be that someone that you're with.
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Post by Kid Pulse on Dec 11, 2007 8:27:33 GMT -5
I read an interview with Chad Kroeger (might have been in Billboard) where he said Nickelback was going to take some time off. I don't know if he came right out and said it, but the suggestion was he was afraid people would get burned out if they put another album out too soon. Yeah, there was an article saying that they're gonna wait a while.
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No Brake$
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Post by No Brake$ on Dec 11, 2007 9:21:35 GMT -5
These are always one of my favorite things to do, I wish someone would pull out the 2007 Predictions:
3 Doors Down: Hot AC embraces them back in seconds with a Pop\Rock hit going Top 5 but that's about it.
Coldplay: At least Top 20 hit for 2008, Top 5 hit, should be there biggest yet... along with another Top 10 or two, if X&Y could this will too.
Rob Thomas: Will have a #1 hit during Fall 2008
John Mayer: Will have a #1 hit with a new album in the fourth quarter, I think "Say" will do well too.
The Fray: Will once again have two very strong hits beginning in the Spring, I would say at least two Top 5's and you can guarantee an upbeat Spring song.
Lifehouse: Releases "Broken" and "Storm", one will go Top 5 after "Whatever It Takes" hangs around for a while.
Buckcherry: "Sorry" is a Top 15 for 2008.
Snow Patrol: Returns at the end of Summer with another huge hit as big as Chasing Cars, they will likely become one of the biggest hitmakers from the UK in a while.
Dido: Top 5 this coming Spring, obviously a slow riser.
Green Day: Maybe a Top 20 hit, but nothing more, will return to roots with next album
Linkin Park: Agreed, "Shadow Of The Day" will be one the biggest hits of the first quarter.
Keane: As other UK friends make way into the Top 10, they will get another Top 10 hit in the Summer
Panic! At The Disco: Will find to have more success than there pals from Fall Out Boy with two Top 20 hits one going Top 3.
All-American Rejects: Chalk in another Top 5 for these guys in the second quarter
Maroon 5- Agreed, "Won't Go Home Without You" will explode once the new year comes around. "Not Falling Apart" will end up being a moderate sized hit as well.
Death Cab For Cutie: While acheiving a lot of success to Alternative this year, will have their first multi-format Top 20.
Possible Breakthrough Artists (getting their first Top 20): Sarah Barseille Shiny Toy Guns Kate Nash Evermore Death Cab For Cutie OneRepublic Faber Drive Muse Bat For Lashes Chromeo Possible Comeback Artists: Michelle Branch Jewel Sarah McLachlan Dave Matthews Band Staind Train
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blahhhh
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Post by blahhhh on Dec 11, 2007 14:13:11 GMT -5
A Keys Hits number one on Hot AC in 2008
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Post by singingsparrow on Dec 11, 2007 16:46:43 GMT -5
1) OneRepublic will be a major success story of 2008, enjoying a streak of success similar to The Fray in terms of Internet grassroots capitalization. Expect "Stop & Stare" and "Mercy" to both become major hits, potentially both chart-toppers.
2) Counting Crows will, for the first time in career history, fail to chart at least one Top 20 hit on the format from a single album, given that "Saturday Nights, Sunday Mornings" is very dark and epic-sounding musically and everything I've heard thus far leans more toward artistic merit rather than trying to get airplay.
3) 3 Doors Down will NOT make a successful comeback, and will be the next artist of former Hot AC fame to lose their staple status on the format.
4) matchbox twenty will release two more singles from "Exile On Mainstream": "These Hard Times" followed by "I'll Believe You When". The former will become another Top 3 hit for the band, with the latter peaking at #8.
5) Any of Finger Eleven's follow-ups will fail to come close to the level of success of "Paralyzer" overall, but "I'll Keep Your Memory Vague" will be a minor hit that scrapes the Top 20 before descending.
6) The B-52's will pick up their first Top 20 hit on the format ever.
7) Green Day will continue to be very successful at Hot AC, as Billie Joe Armstrong has acknowledged himself their next album will musically have the feel of "being mid-age" and has a lot more of a piano-driven feel, which will apeeal more to Hot AC than Alternative.
8) The Fray's lead single from their sophomore album will be a Top 3 smash, but they may fall into a sophomore slump in terms of album sales, and follow-ups may have disappointing chart results.
9) Foo Fighters' "Long Road To Ruin" will surprise some by crossing over to this format and peaking at #22.
10) Maroon 5's "Won't Go Home Without You" will become their first #1 from this sophomore album era of theirs, and they will release "Better That We Break" as a fourth single, which won't fare as well with a #16 peak.
11) Breaking Benjamin will surprise some also and score a minor to moderate crossover hit, as I predict they maintain their edge but go increasingly mainstream.
*
Sincerely, Noah Eaton
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 11, 2007 18:45:49 GMT -5
The B-52's will pick up their first Top 20 hit on the format ever. Wow!! Where'd you get that from? (very curious)
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Post by singingsparrow on Dec 11, 2007 21:04:01 GMT -5
The B-52's will pick up their first Top 20 hit on the format ever. Wow!! Where'd you get that from? (very curious) Well, they haven't released a studio album since 1992, and the Hot AC format wasn't officially formed until the mid-nineties, if I understand correctly. Since the "Good Stuff" era, the B-52's have only released a couple of singles, including a cover of the Flintstones theme song under the "B.C-52's" moniker, and "Debbie" from their retrospective collection "Time Capsule": neither of which made the Top 20 here. Sincerely, Noah Eaton
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Post by mrclimbfall20 on Dec 12, 2007 2:09:29 GMT -5
11) Breaking Benjamin will surprise some also and score a minor to moderate crossover hit, as I predict they maintain their edge but go increasingly mainstream. * Sincerely, Noah Eaton I doubt it will be with "Until the End" though. If they released "Here We Are" that would do fairly well on Hot AC. Maybe "You Fight Me" might do okay.
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 12, 2007 15:55:58 GMT -5
Wow!! Where'd you get that from? (very curious) Well, they haven't released a studio album since 1992, and the Hot AC format wasn't officially formed until the mid-nineties, if I understand correctly. Since the "Good Stuff" era, the B-52's have only released a couple of singles, including a cover of the Flintstones theme song under the "B.C-52's" moniker, and "Debbie" from their retrospective collection "Time Capsule": neither of which made the Top 20 here. Sincerely, Noah Eaton Oh yeah...thought you might have heard some "buzz" that they were releasing a new single that was supposed to be really big - but ur right - anything they release is either gonna hit Hot AC (and/or Triple A) or it's gonna flop
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hotsummer
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Post by hotsummer on Dec 12, 2007 20:22:31 GMT -5
My prediction is that Daughtry will continue their reign on Hot AC in 2008 as they did in 2007 in which they were the #1 artist played on Hot AC radio according to Radio & Records.
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musicfanpete
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Post by musicfanpete on Dec 14, 2007 19:20:51 GMT -5
I think pop crossover music will continue to do well on the format as Jordin Sparks and Alicia Keys are on the cusp of major hits in the format, and Timbaland is this close to being a "core" artist on this format (well maybe not quite up to Daughtry or Nickelback standards, but at least for 2008! ;) ). I know Kid Pulse will be thrilled with that prediction! Speaking of Daughtry, Nickelback, Maroon 5, et all, pop alternative also looks to be making a comback along with new, diverse female artists like Sara Bareilles and Ingrid Michaelson. To sum things up, I thing the main prediction for 2008 is that the Hot AC format will be more diverse than ever before, with all sorts of genres working well next to each other. Kind of like what a true mainstream CHR format should sound like! ;)
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blurple
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Post by blurple on Dec 15, 2007 1:41:25 GMT -5
To sum things up, I thing the main prediction for 2008 is that the Hot AC format will be more diverse than ever before, with all sorts of genres working well next to each other. Kind of like what a true mainstream CHR format should sound like! ;) I totally agree with this. I'm pleasantly surprised at how diverse (my) HAC station is now. You can hear Timbaland, Nickelback, Fergie, Ingrid, etc. in an hour and I think that's amazing!
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EmersonDrive13Rocks
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Post by EmersonDrive13Rocks on Dec 21, 2007 7:09:52 GMT -5
HAC is my second favourite radio format next to Country. Good diversity and good songs get played on HAC.
Hopefully Colbie and OneRepublic score more hits on HAC. Maroon5's "Won't Go Home Without You" will be a huge hit in 2008. Daughtry will continue to get hits. The Fray will return with more hit songs and so will Nickelback.
Lifehouse picks up a hit after "Whatever It Takes" with "Broken" or "Storm".
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shocker
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Post by shocker on Dec 23, 2007 5:24:31 GMT -5
Hot AC will continue its trend of being more "poppish" than before. I think this trend is happening because the format was overly-saturated with alternative-leaning hits from about '98 through '04 or so.
"Won't Go Home Without You" - #1 definitely. I hope CHR embraces it like it did "She Will Be Loved". The 2 songs sound somewhat alike, except "Loved" is a little slower.
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 23, 2007 18:44:34 GMT -5
"Won't Go Home Without You" - #1 definitely. I hope CHR embraces it like it did "She Will Be Loved". The 2 songs sound somewhat alike, except "Loved" is a little slower. Yeah don't think Won't Go Home Without You is anywhere near the level of She Will Be Loved, in terms of its production, singing, or songwriting...but good luck to it! Doubt it'll hit #1 though unless there really is no competition
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Post by barryhatchet on Dec 24, 2007 11:17:07 GMT -5
This isn't so much a prediction as a hope, that the sticky-sweet breathy pop/folk personified by Colbie Caillat and Fergie is an aberration and not a trend.
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atlantaboy
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Post by atlantaboy on Dec 24, 2007 11:38:07 GMT -5
This isn't so much a prediction as a hope, that the sticky-sweet breathy pop/folk personified by Colbie Caillat and Fergie is an aberration and not a trend. Really don't think Fergie personifies "pop/folk"...maybe Ingrid Michaelson (btw that song seems "pointless" to me (not sure why) - also seems about one minute long)
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