Billboard Hot 100: 9/29/12

[nivekwriter1]

Billboard prediction 9/29/2012 so far...

Here's a prediction of the Billboard chart.
It's made with the iTunes data and airplay data.
I tried the prediction on three weeks and only had 2 small mistakes in the top 10 in all the 3 weeks.

# / artist / song / total points this week / how much extra or less points did todays update had than yesterday

1. Taylor Swift - We Are Never Getting Back Together: 492.37 (+ 1.91)
2. Maroon 5 - One More Night: 426.84 (+ 2.54)
3. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 391.32 (- 1.47)
4. Fun. - Some Nights: 357.87 (+ 7.40)
5. Flo Rida - Whistle: 350.72 (+ 17.31)[/b][/color]
6. Ellie Goulding - Lights: 349.01 (+ 0.99)
7. Neon Trees - Everybody Talks: 339.12 (- 0.81)
8. Justin Bieber - As Long As You Love Me: 331.69 (+ 1.22)
9. Katy Perry - Wide Awake: 314.10 (+ 0.96)
10. Kayne West Jay-Z & Big Sean - Clique: 308.44 (- 15.05)
11. Alex Clare - Too Close: 301.52 (+ 0.51)
12. Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen - Good Time: 290.70 (+ 0.83)
13. Demi Lovato - Give Your Heart A Break: 278.39 (+ 0.01)
14. Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe: 376.32 (- 0.87)
15. David Guetta ft. Sia - Titanium: 263.92 (+ 0.51)
16. Maroon 5 ft. Wiz Khalifa - Payphone: 250.96 (+ 0.77)
17. PSY - Gangnam Style: 247.61 (+ 36.20)
18. Gotye ft. Kimbra - Somebody That I Used To Know: 237.49 (+ 0.89)
19. Nicki Minaj - Pound The Alarm: 225.55 (+ 1.69)
20. Rihanna - Where Have You Been: 223.24 (+ 0.89)

Debuts, High rises and popular songs outside top 20:

22. Chris Brown - Don't Wake Me Up: 193.72 (- 2.59)
27. Carrie Underwood - Blown Away: 170.24 (+ 0.65)
30. Train - 50 Ways To Say Goodbye: 166.82 (+ 0.93)
34. Taylor Swift - Ronan: 142.09 (- 10.62)
44. Alicia Keys - Girl On Fire: 111.19 (- 3.83)
45. Imagine Dragons - It's Time: 110.05 (+ 5.18)
47. David Guetta ft. Chris Brown & Lil Wayne I Can Only Imagine: 109.55 (+ 1.56)

Bottom 50:

56. Karmin - Hello: 90.51 (+ 1.39)
70. OneRepublic - Feel Again: 59.24 (+ 2.37)
71. Enrique Iglesias ft. Sammy Adams - Finally Found You: 57.42 (+ 1.01)
72. Muse - Madness: 55.27 (+ 2.49)
80. Beyoncé - Dance For You: 44.07 (+ 0.54)

Bubbling Under

Usher - Numb: 19.80 (+ 0.88)
Christina Aguilera - Your Body: 9.11 (+ 7.71)

Highlights:
- Here Taylor is #1, but because we can't track streaming, so it's unknown if she's really ahead of Maroon 5 this week.
- After free-falling, Whistle is rising very fast again and is moving back towards it's position 2 weeks ago.
- PSY is rising extremely fast and is the highest rising K-pop song ever in American history!

[Lozzy]

3. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 104.52 (- 1.47)

How is it #3?

[nivekwriter1]

Sept 15, 2012 8:18:11 GMT -5 Lozzy said:

3. P!nk - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 104.52 (- 1.47)

How is it #3?

A mistake in the points, It's 391.32!

It rose a lot on Thursday and Friday but now is dropping again. I'm almost sure that Some Night will be #3 by the end of the week, and not P!nk.

[Caviar]

Get that airplay hit Christina!

[Mark]

Glad to see Taylor picking back up in airplay a bit. I'd be happy with a top 3 airplay peak.

Maroon 5 will almost surely be #1 this week due to Taylor not being available on streaming (ugh). I'm hoping WANEGBT can hang around the top 5 until close to the album release.

[cesarams]

Sept 14, 2012 15:51:37 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

Solo women to make the most appearances in the Hot 100's 54-year history:

73, Aretha Franklin
56, Madonna
56, Dionne Warwick
53, Connie Francis
48, Brenda Lee
47, Taylor Swift
44, Mariah Carey
41, Nicki Minaj
41, Barbra Streisand
40, Mary J. Blige
40, Diana Ross

With Ronan debuting, Taylor Swift is up to 47, correct?

48 if you count Half of My Heart, which I don't know if she was credited.

[Lozzy]

Sept 15, 2012 8:57:33 GMT -5 cesarams said:

Sept 14, 2012 15:51:37 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

Solo women to make the most appearances in the Hot 100's 54-year history:

73, Aretha Franklin
56, Madonna
56, Dionne Warwick
53, Connie Francis
48, Brenda Lee
47, Taylor Swift
44, Mariah Carey
41, Nicki Minaj
41, Barbra Streisand
40, Mary J. Blige
40, Diana Ross

With Ronan debuting, Taylor Swift is up to 47, correct?

48 if you count Half of My Heart, which I don't know if she was credited.

I believe so.

01. "Tim McGraw"
02. "Teardrops On My Guitar"
03. "Our Song"
04. "Picture To Burn"
05. "Should've Said No"
06. "Change"
07. "Love Story"
08. "Fearless"
09. "You're Not Sorry"
10. "You Belong With Me"
11. "White Horse"
12. "Forever & Always"
13. "The Way I Loved You"
14. "Fifteen"
15. "Breathe"
16. "Hey Stephen"
17. "Crazier"
18. "Two Is Better Than One"
19. "Jump Then Fall"
20. "Untouchable"
21. "The Other Side Of The Door"
22. "Superstar"
23. "Come In With The Rain"
24. "Half Of My Heart"
25. "Today Was A Fairytale"
26. "Breathless"
27. "Mine"
28. "Speak Now"
29. "Back To December"
30. "Mean"
31. "Sparks Fly"
32. "Innocent"
33. "The Story Of Us"
34. "Dear John"
35. "Better Than Revenge"
36. "Haunted"
37. "Last Kiss"
38. "Enchanted"
39. "Never Grow Up"
40. "Long Live"
41. "If This Was A Movie"
42. "Ours"
43. "Superman"
44. "Safe & Sound"
45. "Eyes Open"
46. "Both Of Us"
47. "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together"
48. "Ronan"

[Mark]

LOL @ that being over half her entire discography.

[skizzo]

Sept 15, 2012 6:49:41 GMT -5 Lozzy said:

9/15 airplay updates:

1. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 141.966 (− 2.332)
2. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 130.770 (+ 0.555)
3. FLO RIDA - Whistle: 127.251 (− 0.496)
4. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 125.159 (− 1.586)
5. NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 115.544 (− 0.294)
6. TAYLOR SWIFT - We Are Never Ever Getting…: 112.523 (+ 0.907)
7. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 105.628 (− 1.389)
8. MAROON 5 - One More Night: 101.651 (+ 1.994)
9. JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 100.138 (+ 1.920)
10. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 98.501 (− 1.754)
11. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 96.356 (− 2.609)
12. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 91.954 (− 0.234)
13. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 90.476 (− 1.862)
14. FUN. - Some Nights: 87.612 (+ 2.024)
15. OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 86.298 (+ 1.215)
16. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 82.770 (− 1.045)
17. NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 76.391 (+ 1.189)
18. ALEX CLARE - Too Close: 73.548 (+ 1.332)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T…: 66.790 (+ 0.190)
20. CHRIS BROWN - Don’t Wake Me Up: 62.732 (+ 1.456)

2 CHAINZ - No Lie f/Drake: 61.877 (− 0.364)
HUNTER HAYES - Wanted: 61.401 (+ 0.000)
CALVIN HARRIS - Let’s Go f/Ne-Yo: 61.385 (− 1.842)
JOSH TURNER - Time Is Love: 61.304 (+ 0.302)
USHER - Scream: 57.732 (− 0.591)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 56.026 (+ 1.084)
MIGUEL - Adorn: 51.420 (+ 1.268)
JASON MRAZ - I Won’t Give Up: 48.304 (+ 0.017)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 44.811 (+ 0.934)
NE-YO - Let Me Love You: 41.875 (+ 0.987)
TRAIN - 50 Ways To Say Goodbye: 39.537 (+ 0.663)
DAVID GUETTA - I Can Only Imagine f/C. Brown: 38.990 (+ 0.623)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She’s So Mean: 30.035 (− 0.149)
KARMIN - Hello: 27.949 (+ 0.552)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Finally Found You f/S. Adams: 27.776 (+ 0.994)
PHILLIP PHILLIPS - Home: 27.137 (+ 0.388)
ONEREPUBLIC - Feel Again: 15.955 (+ 0.994)
PSY - Gangnam Style: 13.892 (+ 1.500)
OLLY MURS - Heart Skips A Beat: 13.679 (− 0.012)
MUMFORD & SONS - I Will Wait: 12.470 (+ 0.090)
MUSE - Madness: 11.189 (+ 0.121)
CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Your Body: 10.948 (+ 10.948)
ALICIA KEYS - Girl On Fire: 10.072 (+ 0.889)
USHER - Numb: 9.328 (+ 1.185)
KILLERS - Runaways: 7.704 (− 0.029)
MARIAH CAREY - Triumphant (Get 'Em) f/R. Ross: 4.983 (− 0.314)

Source

Wow. Does Xtina have a radio play deal?

[Lozzy]

Sept 15, 2012 9:24:56 GMT -5 skizzo said:

Wow. Does Xtina have a radio play deal?

Yes.

[skizzo]

Sept 15, 2012 9:26:17 GMT -5 Lozzy said:

Sept 15, 2012 9:24:56 GMT -5 skizzo said:

Wow. Does Xtina have a radio play deal?

Yes.

It'll probably do a "Give Me All Your Luvin'"

[Agent Yoncé]

Xtine better wurq. M5 is closing in on Taylor :)

[Deleted]

^I feel Maroon 5 has the #1 this week unless Taylor was put on streaming without us knowing.

[skizzo]

Maroon 5 are such airplay hoes.

[forg]

I think Some Nights will likely peak at #3 but it will have longevity

[areyoureadytojump]

Sept 15, 2012 9:19:22 GMT -5 Mark said:

LOL @ that being over half her entire discography.

And Taylor will chart another 10+ songs when her album comes out.

[josh]

Sept 15, 2012 12:07:28 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

Sept 15, 2012 9:19:22 GMT -5 Mark said:

LOL @ that being over half her entire discography.

And Taylor will chart another 10+ songs when her album comes out.

Not necessarily. With airplay being a bigger factor now and those songs not getting any streaming, they'll need more sales to chart than they did before. She'll have a few chart but I don't know if she can muster up 10 or more singles.

[areyoureadytojump]

Solo women to make the most appearances in the Hot 100's 54-year history:

73, Aretha Franklin
56, Madonna
56, Dionne Warwick
53, Connie Francis
48, Brenda Lee
48, Taylor Swift
44, Mariah Carey
42, Nicki Minaj
41, Barbra Streisand
40, Mary J. Blige
40, Diana Ross

[Deleted]

Sept 15, 2012 0:27:50 GMT -5 suth said:

A few years back, a Korean friend asked what it would take for a K-Pop artist to have a hit in the US. I told him that given the nature of audiences there, it would have to be a novelty song. Of course, in the Korean context it's not exactly a novelty song, though it is meant to be humorous. (I'm not sure I'm buying the "scathing parody of the Gangnam lifestyle" angle, though.) But for most US listeners who wouldn't know Gangnam from Vietnam, it probably just comes across as an Asian guy doing a funny dance.

That said, it is still a step forward from when Kyu Sakamoto's ballad "I'll Look Up As I Walk (So the Tears Don't Fall)" was released stateside under the name "Sukiyaki."

"Sukiyaki," although misnamed, was at least a pretty ballad ably sung, this is just technodance pop bullcrap.

In my opinion of course.

[alchemy]

Sept 15, 2012 13:44:15 GMT -5 @peigan68 said:

Sept 15, 2012 0:27:50 GMT -5 suth said:

A few years back, a Korean friend asked what it would take for a K-Pop artist to have a hit in the US. I told him that given the nature of audiences there, it would have to be a novelty song. Of course, in the Korean context it's not exactly a novelty song, though it is meant to be humorous. (I'm not sure I'm buying the "scathing parody of the Gangnam lifestyle" angle, though.) But for most US listeners who wouldn't know Gangnam from Vietnam, it probably just comes across as an Asian guy doing a funny dance.

That said, it is still a step forward from when Kyu Sakamoto's ballad "I'll Look Up As I Walk (So the Tears Don't Fall)" was released stateside under the name "Sukiyaki."

"Sukiyaki," although misnamed, was at least a pretty ballad ably sung, this is just technodance pop bullcrap.

In my opinion of course.

"Sukiyaki"... making whistling in songs popular since 1961. :'( #hipster

[Deleted]

Sept 15, 2012 13:58:59 GMT -5 alchemy said:

Sept 15, 2012 13:44:15 GMT -5 @peigan68 said:

"Sukiyaki," although misnamed, was at least a pretty ballad ably sung, this is just technodance pop bullcrap.

In my opinion of course.

"Sukiyaki"... making whistling in songs popular since 1961. :'( #hipster

Whistling existed in songs long before "Sukiyaki." Not that I'd expect you to know that. ;)

[alchemy]

Sept 15, 2012 14:10:55 GMT -5 @peigan68 said:

Sept 15, 2012 13:58:59 GMT -5 alchemy said:

"Sukiyaki"... making whistling in songs popular since 1961. :'( #hipster

Whistling existed in songs long before "Sukiyaki." Not that I'd expect you to know that. ;)

"Sweet Georgia Brown" is a guilty pleasure of mine!

It was a joke though. Not that I'd expect everyone to be able to take one though.

[suth]

I think "Sukiyaki" was a better song, although I don't mind GNS. It's more about how offensive it was to name it after beef stew (rather than, say, translating the title) because that's what people associated with Japan. It'd be like releasing a sad Mexican ballad as "Burritos."

If the streaming rules succeed in preventing those weeks when every Glee song or every new Taylor Swift song charted, then all will be forgiven. Seriously, where were they when "Party Rock Anthem" kept clinging to the bottom of the Top 50?

[dlostfan]

Gangnam style down to #2.

Well that was quick. No #1 next week..... I suppose.

[Lozzy]

9/16 airplay updates:

1. ELLIE GOULDING - Lights: 138.831 (− 3.135)
2. PINK - Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 132.667 (+ 1.897)
3. FLO RIDA - Whistle: 126.690 (− 0.561)
4. KATY PERRY - Wide Awake: 123.843 (− 1.316)
5. NEON TREES - Everybody Talks: 116.018 (+ 0.474)
6. TAYLOR SWIFT - We Are Never Ever Getting…: 113.713 (+ 1.190)
7. DEMI LOVATO - Give Your Heart A Break: 104.573 (− 1.055)
8. MAROON 5 - One More Night: 103.760 (+ 2.109)
9. JUSTIN BIEBER - As Long As You Love Me: 102.260 (+ 2.122)
10. MAROON 5 - Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 96.377 (− 2.124)
11. DAVID GUETTA - Titanium f/Sia: 93.298 (− 3.058)
12. GOTYE - Somebody That I Used To Know: 91.816 (− 0.138)
13. FUN. - Some Nights: 89.586 (+ 1.974)
14. RIHANNA - Where Have You Been: 89.055 (− 1.421)
15. OWL CITY & CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Good Time: 88.589 (+ 2.291)
16. CARLY RAE JEPSEN - Call Me Maybe: 81.799 (− 0.971)
17. NICKI MINAJ - Pound The Alarm: 77.959 (+ 1.568)
18. ALEX CLARE - Too Close: 75.131 (+ 1.583)
19. KANYE WEST - Mercy f/Big Sean/Pusha T…: 66.920 (+ 0.130)
20. CHRIS BROWN - Don’t Wake Me Up: 64.386 (+ 1.654)

HUNTER HAYES - Wanted: 61.768 (+ 0.367)
JOSH TURNER - Time Is Love: 61.429 (+ 0.125)
USHER - Scream: 57.732 (− 0.591)
JASON ALDEAN - Take A Little Ride: 56.991 (+ 0.965)
MIGUEL - Adorn: 52.312 (+ 0.892)
JASON MRAZ - I Won’t Give Up: 48.122 (− 0.182)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Blown Away: 45.726 (+ 0.915)
NE-YO - Let Me Love You: 43.020 (+ 1.145)
TRAIN - 50 Ways To Say Goodbye: 40.685 (+ 1.148)
DAVID GUETTA - I Can Only Imagine f/C. Brown: 39.609 (+ 0.619)
MATCHBOX TWENTY - She’s So Mean: 30.136 (+ 0.101)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Finally Found You f/S. Adams: 29.460 (+ 1.684)
KARMIN - Hello: 28.383 (+ 0.434)
PHILLIP PHILLIPS - Home: 27.839 (+ 0.702)
BEYONCE - Dance For You: 21.065 (+ 0.389)
ONEREPUBLIC - Feel Again: 16.985 (+ 1.030)
PSY - Gangnam Style: 16.085 (+ 2.193)
KANYE WEST - Clique f/Big Sean & JAY-Z: 14.461 (+ 1.058)
OLLY MURS - Heart Skips A Beat: 13.974 (+ 0.295)
CHRISTINA AGUILERA - Your Body: 12.850 (+ 1.902)
MUMFORD & SONS - I Will Wait: 12.690 (+ 0.220)
USHER - Numb: 12.313
ALICIA KEYS - Girl On Fire: 11.768 (+ 1.696)
MUSE - Madness: 11.270 (+ 0.081)

Source

[dlostfan]

GS back to #1 on itunes!

Lights has stared having big drops now.....

[Deleted]

Sept 16, 2012 7:01:59 GMT -5 dlostfan said:

GS back to #1 on itunes

Because it was featured on SNL last night.

[RockaByeBaby]

NICKI MINAJ & CASSIE - Boys: 2.703 (+0.029)

At least it's gaining ;s

[pnobelysk]

Sept 15, 2012 21:36:06 GMT -5 suth said:

I think "Sukiyaki" was a better song, although I don't mind GNS. It's more about how offensive it was to name it after beef stew (rather than, say, translating the title) because that's what people associated with Japan. It'd be like releasing a sad Mexican ballad as "Burritos."

If the streaming rules succeed in preventing those weeks when every Glee song or every new Taylor Swift song charted, then all will be forgiven. Seriously, where were they when "Party Rock Anthem" kept clinging to the bottom of the Top 50?

Taylor swifts songs will probably all chart for the most part

[Agent Yoncé]

I guess Xtina's deal was for that one day?