Billboard Hot 100: 01/19/13

[cesarams]

The last 5 threads:

01/12/13, 01/05/13, 12/29/12, 12/22/12, 12/15/12

THURSDAY'S UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. BRUNO MARS – Locked Out Of Heaven: 196.197 (+ 0.302)
2. RIHANNA – Diamonds: 181.382 (- 0.461)
3. LUMINEERS – Ho Hey: 148.761 (- 0.560)
4. MAROON 5 – One More Night: 142.189 (- 0.040)
5. FLO RIDA – I Cry: 120.578 (+ 0.285)
6. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Home: 111.735 (- 0.611)
7. NE-YO – Let Me Love You: 108.318 (+ 0.029)
8. JUSTIN BIEBER – Beauty And A Beat f/N. Minaj: 103.032 (+ 0.641)
9. FUN. – Some Nights: 98.150 (- 0.025)
10. PINK – Try: 98.014 (+ 0.469)
11. KE$HA – Die Young: 95.878 (- 0.306)
12. TAYLOR SWIFT – I Knew You Were Trouble: 91.947 (+ 0.486)
13. ED SHEERAN – The A Team: 89.694 (- 0.010)
14. ALICIA KEYS – Girl On Fire: 77.904 (+ 0.525) ▲
15. SWEDISH HOUSE MAFIA – Don't You Worry Child: 76.437 (+ 0.695) ▲
16. MIGUEL – Adorn: 76.264 (- 1.982) ▼
17. ALEX CLARE – Too Close: 70.590 (- 0.202)
18. PINK – Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 64.894 (+ 0.374)
19. GOTYE – Somebody That I Used To Know: 63.066 (+ 0.212)
20. ZAC BROWN BAND – Goodbye In Her Eyes: 60.964 (+ 0.173)

OTHERS:

JUSTIN MOORE – 'Til My Last Day: 58.767 (- 0.442)
IMAGINE DRAGONS – It's Time: 58.526 (+ 0.400)
KIP MOORE – Beer Money: 56.943
KENDRICK LAMAR – Swimming Pools (Drank): 56.110 (- 0.258)
PITBULL – Don't Stop The Party: 56.055 (+ 0.777)
RANDY HOUSER – How Country Feels: 55.645
KELLY CLARKSON – Catch My Breath: 54.588 (+ 0.711)
WILL.I.AM & BRITNEY SPEARS – Scream And Shout: 52.364 (+ 0.527)
ELLIE GOULDING – Lights: 50.516 (+ 0.084)
KATY PERRY – Wide Awake: 49.838 (+ 0.273)
CARLY RAE JEPSEN – Call Me Maybe: 49.352 (+ 0.516)
CALVIN HARRIS – Sweet Nothing f/Florence Welch: 48.288 (+ 0.038)
MAROON 5 – Payphone f/Wiz Khalifa: 44.577 (- 0.026)
MAROON 5 – Daylight: 42.924 (+ 0.347)
KELLY CLARKSON – Stronger (What Doesn't Kill …: 41.468 (+ 0.292)
ONE DIRECTION – What Makes You Beautiful: 40.714 (+ 0.439)
MUMFORD & SONS – I Will Wait: 39.824 (+ 0.051)
FUN. – We Are Young f/Janelle Monae: 37.296 (+ 0.120)
OF MONSTERS AND MEN – Little Talks: 37.028 (+ 0.030)
THE WANTED – Glad You Came: 36.239 (+ 0.256)
THE SCRIPT – Hall Of Fame f/will.i.am: 33.457 (- 0.156)
RIHANNA – We Found Love f/Calvin Harris: 32.180 (+ 0.119)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Two Black Cadillacs: 32.177 (+ 0.635)
ONE DIRECTION – Little Things: 29.487 (- 0.049)
ADELE – Set Fire To The Rain: 26.402 (+ 0.179)
KE$HA – C'mon: 24.670 (+ 1.097)
MUSE – Madness: 24.143 (+ 0.220)
RIHANNA – Pour It Up: 14.004 (+ 0.363)
C. AGUILERA & B. SHELTON – Just A Fool: 4.846 (- 0.036)
KILLERS – Miss Atomic Bomb: 2.329
RIHANNA – Right Now f/David Guetta: 1.885 (+ 0.100)
RIHANNA – Stay f/Mikky Ekko: 0

[trackmaster13]

Slow day, I presume.

[HolidayGuy]

^What's there to presume, the info speaks for itself. ;)

"Die Young" still has a lot of airplay- guess not all radio stations felt it needed to be dropped.

[vantiboy3]

No reds, no greens.......damn. Not nice. AT ALL.

[Enigma.]

I'm colourblind so good for me

[Agent Yoncé]

No prettiful colors today :'(

[nivekwriter1]

Other airplay updates (1/3/2012)

TRINIDAD JAMES - All Gold Everythi...: 25.886 (+ 0.560)
ALICIA KEYS - Brand New Me: 9.091 (+ 0.678)

[Au$tin]

This usually happens. The recurrents are played as much as they were a few days ago, so their increases aren't really there, but they don't majorly decrease yet because their big play days is still within the last seven days. Current songs don't see huge increases yet because they were played similarly to their amounts of last week at this time. Give it a day or two. The +5 millions will return. ;)

[Soldado de Juguete]

C'mon slaying :'(

[cesarams]

FRIDAY'S UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. BRUNO MARS – Locked Out Of Heaven: 196.672 (+ 0.475)
2. RIHANNA – Diamonds: 179.570 (- 1.812)
3. LUMINEERS – Ho Hey: 149.558 (+ 0.797)
4. MAROON 5 – One More Night: 142.309 (+ 0.120)
5. FLO RIDA – I Cry: 121.211 (+ 0.633)
6. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Home: 111.005 (- 0.730)
7. NE-YO – Let Me Love You: 107.039 (- 1.279)
8. JUSTIN BIEBER – Beauty And A Beat f/N. Minaj: 104.142 (+ 1.110)
9. PINK – Try: 99.151 (+ 1.137) ▲
10. FUN. – Some Nights: 97.722 (- 0.428) ▼
11. KE$HA – Die Young: 94.832 (- 1.046)
12. TAYLOR SWIFT – I Knew You Were Trouble: 93.655 (+ 1.708)
13. ED SHEERAN – The A Team: 89.640 (- 0.054)
14. ALICIA KEYS – Girl On Fire: 79.783 (+ 1.879)
15. SWEDISH HOUSE MAFIA – Don't You Worry Child: 77.206 (+ 0.769)
16. MIGUEL – Adorn: 75.160 (- 1.104)
17. ALEX CLARE – Too Close: 70.852 (+ 0.262)
18. PINK – Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 64.882 (- 0.012)
19. GOTYE – Somebody That I Used To Know: 63.308 (+ 0.242)
20. ZAC BROWN BAND – Goodbye In Her Eyes: 61.441 (+ 0.477)

OTHERS:

IMAGINE DRAGONS – It's Time: 58.650 (+ 0.124)
JUSTIN MOORE – 'Til My Last Day: 58.062 (- 0.705)
KENDRICK LAMAR – Swimming Pools (Drank): 56.492 (+ 0.382)
PITBULL – Don't Stop The Party: 56.164 (+ 0.109)
RANDY HOUSER – How Country Feels: 55.841 (+ 0.196)
KELLY CLARKSON – Catch My Breath: 54.863 (+ 0.275)
WILL.I.AM & BRITNEY SPEARS – Scream And Shout: 53.240 (+ 0.876)
KATY PERRY – Wide Awake: 50.389 (+ 0.551)
CARLY RAE JEPSEN – Call Me Maybe: 49.771 (+ 0.419)
CALVIN HARRIS – Sweet Nothing f/Florence Welch: 48.271 (- 0.017)
MAROON 5 – Daylight: 43.580 (+ 0.656)
MUMFORD & SONS – I Will Wait: 39.834 (+ 0.010)
OF MONSTERS AND MEN – Little Talks: 37.047 (+ 0.019)
THE SCRIPT – Hall Of Fame f/will.i.am: 32.948 (- 0.509)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Two Black Cadillacs: 32.440 (+ 0.263)
ONE DIRECTION – Little Things: 29.434 (- 0.053)
KE$HA – C'mon: 26.273 (+ 1.603)
MUSE – Madness: 24.213 (+ 0.070)
RIHANNA – Pour It Up: 14.600 (+ 0.596)
C. AGUILERA & B. SHELTON – Just A Fool: 4.838 (- 0.008)

[Enigma.]

ZBB will probably make a big jump on Hot 100 next week, perhaps a new peak (I think the current is #48).

[Deleted]

SMH, RCA really should have sent GOF to CHR/HAC at the same time they sent it to urban/rhythmic. It would have almost definitely been a top 10 hit.

[Enigma.]

Jan 5, 2013 5:49:11 GMT -5 @cynthiarose said:

SMH, RCA really should have sent GOF to CHR/HAC at the same time they sent it to urban/rhythmic. It would have almost definitely been a top 10 hit.

Almost too many acronyms.

[cesarams]

SATURDAY'S UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. BRUNO MARS – Locked Out Of Heaven: 197.347 (+ 0.675)
2. RIHANNA – Diamonds: 177.670 (- 1.900)
3. LUMINEERS – Ho Hey: 150.224 (+ 0.666)
4. MAROON 5 – One More Night: 142.196 (- 0.113)
5. FLO RIDA – I Cry: 121.713 (+ 0.502)
6. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Home: 111.052 (+ 0.047)
7. NE-YO – Let Me Love You: 105.316 (- 1.723)
8. JUSTIN BIEBER – Beauty And A Beat f/N. Minaj: 104.648 (+ 0.506)
9. PINK – Try: 99.814 (+ 0.663)
10. FUN. – Some Nights: 97.188 (- 0.534)
11. TAYLOR SWIFT – I Knew You Were Trouble: 95.922 (+ 2.267) ▲
12. KE$HA – Die Young: 94.185 (- 0.647) ▼
13. ED SHEERAN – The A Team: 89.674 (+ 0.034)
14. ALICIA KEYS – Girl On Fire: 80.010 (+ 0.227)
15. SWEDISH HOUSE MAFIA – Don't You Worry Child: 77.940 (+ 0.734)
16. MIGUEL – Adorn: 75.049 (- 0.111)
17. ALEX CLARE – Too Close: 70.534 (- 0.318)
18. PINK – Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 65.186 (+ 0.304)
19. GOTYE – Somebody That I Used To Know: 63.513 (+ 0.205)
20. ZAC BROWN BAND – Goodbye In Her Eyes: 61.333 (- 0.108)

OTHERS:

IMAGINE DRAGONS – It's Time: 58.757 (+ 0.107)
KENDRICK LAMAR – Swimming Pools (Drank): 57.661 (+ 1.169)
JUSTIN MOORE – 'Til My Last Day: 57.570 (- 0.492)
PITBULL – Don't Stop The Party: 56.774 (+ 0.610)
RANDY HOUSER – How Country Feels: 56.283 (+ 0.442)
KELLY CLARKSON – Catch My Breath: 54.858 (- 0.005)
WILL.I.AM & BRITNEY SPEARS – Scream And Shout: 54.195 (+ 0.955)
KATY PERRY – Wide Awake: 50.775 (+ 0.386)
CALVIN HARRIS – Sweet Nothing f/Florence Welch: 48.810 (+ 0.539)
MAROON 5 – Daylight: 44.333 (+ 0.753)
MUMFORD & SONS – I Will Wait: 40.207 (+ 0.373)
OF MONSTERS AND MEN – Little Talks: 37.118 (+ 0.071)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Two Black Cadillacs: 32.801 (+ 0.361)
THE SCRIPT – Hall Of Fame f/will.i.am: 32.561 (- 0.387)
ONE DIRECTION – Little Things: 29.289 (- 0.145)
KE$HA – C'mon: 28.875 (+ 2.602)
MUSE – Madness: 24.278 (+ 0.065)
RIHANNA – Pour It Up: 15.175 (+ 0.575)
FUN. – Carry On: 11.304
C. AGUILERA & B. SHELTON – Just A Fool: 4.915 (+ 0.077)
KILLERS – Miss Atomic Bomb: 2.274

[nivekwriter1]

C'Mon rises quickly, Taylor heading for #1, Thrift Shop new digital sensation, here's a report of hot music this week:

The week starts with slow updates,
but C'Mon and 'I Knew You Were Trouble' still are
moving quickly. Ke$ha's second single makes quick progress
and already cracked 28 M in 3 weeks.
But, it's still not charted in the iTunes top 100,
even while it's already released for digital downloads a long time ago.

So far, Ke$ha is heading towards a radio hit, but because sales might come when the airplay is slowing down,
will the succes be less than what it could possibly be?
Here are the current global statics for Ke$ha on iTunes for C'Mon:

#49 New Zealand
#80 Dominican Republic
#149 Australia
#158 United States
#214 Canada
#348 Ireland

Another quickly rising song this week was 'Thrift Shop'.
A few hours ago, it went #3 on iTUnes and it looks like it
won't take long before reaching #2.
The reason why Thrift Shop isn't top 5 on the Hot 100
year is it's airplay. With just under 40 M of airplay,
it's not enough to get a top 5 hit.
However, Macklemore is rising very much on the daily updates
of airplay, so airplay probably will catch up in a few weeks.
What do you guys think? Will Thrift Shop reach the top 5
or will it be blocked by it's airplay and the other songs?

The biggest change for a possible #1 on the Hot 100,
is Taylor with 'I Knew You Were Trouble.
it's #1 on iTunes and has almost cracked 100 M on airplay.
Both on airplay and sales, it's still massively rising.
If Taylor keeps rising with + 1.000 airplay updates.
It will eb almost sure that she will hit #1 and stay
there for a couple weeks.

Other possible future hits?
I made a list with songs that I think will become big in the coming weeks/months:

Imagine Dragons - Radioactive
Of Monsters And Men - Little Talks
Pitbull ft. Christina Aguilera - Feel This Moment
Rihanna ft. Mikky Ekko - Stay

[chartfreak]

Taylor has zero points from streaming so that is hurting her overall chances.

[Enigma.]

Jan 5, 2013 8:06:27 GMT -5 nivekwriter1 said:

Here are the current global statics for Ke$ha on iTunes for C'Mon:

#348 Ireland

That's probably like 1 copy, the country has 4.58 million inhabitants.

[kingofpain]

The last Hot 100 article said that Bruno Mars was still separated from Taylor by 10,000 points because of her lack of streaming points. Even though Taylor sold 150,000 more digital copies than Bruno, the fact that she was still behind by 10,000 points should tell you something. With no streaming component she has absolutely zero chance of overtaking Bruno any time soon. Bruno is still way ahead of her with at least 100mil AirPlay impressions and by the time she reaches the same peak and/or overtakes him on hat component, she would still need to outsell him by 250K digital copies in one week which still wouldn't happen weeks down the road, much less a month or so when their airplay matches (he drops, she rises). Fine, her label doesn't want to stream RED yet, but they're being very foolish by at least not streaming the single.

In fact I will be very interested to see what single could ever top the current Hot 100 format with 0 streaming points.

[Agent Yoncé]

C'mon

[HolidayGuy]

Didn't "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" top the Hot 100 with no streaming points?

[Queen of Insomnia.]

Jan 5, 2013 11:13:50 GMT -5 kingofpain said:

Even though Taylor sold 150,000 more digital copies than Bruno

o.O

Nope. She was predicted to sell 150K more than him. But in the end she sold only 85k more.

2 1 Taylor Swift "I Knew You Were Trouble" 582,000 (2,042,000)
1 2 Bruno Mars "Locked Out of Heaven" 497,000 (2,294,000)

She still needs to sell way more than him to have a chance. Now, when sales are slowing down it'll be really hard to do. Yes, he's slowing down in sales a bit...

BUT:
- He does promo on Jimmy Kimmel Show tomorrow.
- He still has around 1 million streams.
- He still has like +100M AI more than her.

At this point, she NEEDS streaming.

[kingofpain]

Okay well the fact still stands that even with 85K between them they were still separated by 10000 chart points. I mean honestly, how does she expect to close that gap with no streaming? She can forget about #1 even if she outsold Bruno by 200K copies.

[Au$tin]

The good thing, though, is that last week, she most likely would not have been number one even with her streaming included. He was at #2, while she most likely would be just outside the top 5 or just inside it. Not enough to pass him in overall points. However, in the coming weeks, streaming for her may have been the deciding factor to put her at #1.

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Jan 5, 2013 15:09:07 GMT -5 kingofpain said:

Okay well the fact still stands that even with 85K between them they were still separated by 10000 chart points. I mean honestly, how does she expect to close that gap with no streaming? She can forget about #1 even if she outsold Bruno by 200K copies.

i have a very big problem with that honestly.

[josh]

For the old rules, we said 1 million audience = 1 point, and 1,000 sales = 1 point. Billboard always said that was really 1,000 points right? Maybe it was 100? So my point is I doubt they suddenly changed the number of points, so 10,000 points isn't going to be as much as you guys think, especially if that's equivalent to just 10 points of what we would think of.

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Jan 5, 2013 20:27:57 GMT -5 josh said:

For the old rules, we said 1 million audience = 1 point, and 1,000 sales = 1 point. Billboard always said that was really 1,000 points right? Maybe it was 100? So my point is I doubt they suddenly changed the number of points, so 10,000 points isn't going to be as much as you guys think, especially if that's equivalent to just 10 points of what we would think of.

they lowered the sales component....which I think is a mistake its the most accurate measure of popularity. Record companies arent in the business of airplay. They are in the business of sales. Airplay is just a means to an end if they can get it.

[dlostfan]

Edit.

[cesarams]

SUNDAY'S UPDATE:
TOP 20:

1. BRUNO MARS – Locked Out Of Heaven: 198.295 (+ 0.948)
2. RIHANNA – Diamonds: 177.127 (- 0.543)
3. LUMINEERS – Ho Hey: 152.234 (+ 2.010)
4. MAROON 5 – One More Night: 142.015 (- 0.181)
5. FLO RIDA – I Cry: 122.947 (+ 1.234)
6. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Home: 111.601 (+ 0.549)
7. JUSTIN BIEBER – Beauty And A Beat f/N. Minaj: 106.763 (+ 2.115) ▲
8. NE-YO – Let Me Love You: 104.070 (- 1.246) ▼
9. PINK – Try: 100.874 (+ 1.060)
10. TAYLOR SWIFT – I Knew You Were Trouble: 99.129 (+ 3.207) ▲
11. FUN. – Some Nights: 96.942 (- 0.246) ▼
12. KE$HA – Die Young: 93.926 (- 0.259)
13. ED SHEERAN – The A Team: 90.607 (+ 0.933)
14. ALICIA KEYS – Girl On Fire: 82.522 (+ 2.512)
15. SWEDISH HOUSE MAFIA – Don't You Worry Child: 80.222 (+ 2.282)
16. MIGUEL – Adorn: 75.106 (+ 0.057)
17. ALEX CLARE – Too Close: 70.573 (+ 0.039)
18. PINK – Blow Me (One Last Kiss): 64.919 (- 0.267)
19. GOTYE – Somebody That I Used To Know: 63.060 (- 0.453)
20. ZAC BROWN BAND – Goodbye In Her Eyes: 62.065 (+ 0.732)

OTHERS:

IMAGINE DRAGONS – It's Time: 59.448 (+ 0.691)
KENDRICK LAMAR – Swimming Pools (Drank): 58.694 (+ 1.033)
PITBULL – Don't Stop The Party: 58.252 (+ 1.478)
JUSTIN MOORE – 'Til My Last Day: 57.264 (- 0.306)
RANDY HOUSER – How Country Feels: 56.949 (+ 0.666)
WILL.I.AM & BRITNEY SPEARS – Scream And Shout: 55.887 (+ 1.692)
KELLY CLARKSON – Catch My Breath: 54.752 (- 0.106)
KATY PERRY – Wide Awake: 50.456 (- 0.319)
CALVIN HARRIS – Sweet Nothing f/Florence Welch: 50.127 (+ 1.317)
MAROON 5 – Daylight: 45.649 (+ 1.316)
MUMFORD & SONS – I Will Wait: 41.165 (+ 0.958)
OF MONSTERS AND MEN – Little Talks: 38.145 (+ 1.027)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Two Black Cadillacs: 34.106 (+ 1.305)
THE SCRIPT – Hall Of Fame f/will.i.am: 32.765 (+ 0.204)
KE$HA – C'mon: 31.352 (+ 2.477)
ONE DIRECTION – Little Things: 29.389 (+ 0.100)
MUSE – Madness: 24.125 (- 0.153)
RIHANNA – Pour It Up: 15.956 (+ 0.781)
FUN. – Carry On: 11.525 (+ 0.221)
C. AGUILERA & B. SHELTON – Just A Fool: 4.844 (- 0.071)
RIHANNA – Right Now f/David Guetta: 2.733

[Au$tin]

Jan 5, 2013 21:09:08 GMT -5 Adonis the DemiGod! said:

Jan 5, 2013 20:27:57 GMT -5 josh said:

For the old rules, we said 1 million audience = 1 point, and 1,000 sales = 1 point. Billboard always said that was really 1,000 points right? Maybe it was 100? So my point is I doubt they suddenly changed the number of points, so 10,000 points isn't going to be as much as you guys think, especially if that's equivalent to just 10 points of what we would think of.

they lowered the sales component....which I think is a mistake its the most accurate measure of popularity. Record companies arent in the business of airplay. They are in the business of sales. Airplay is just a means to an end if they can get it.

They raised airplay (which was stupid) and added in streaming. Sales wasn't lowered, but it seems like it was because of the other two changing.

[josh]

My point was 10,000 points in Billboard terms really isn't THAT huge of a difference, is it?