Billboard Hot 100: 08/24/2013

[Duca]

MOST RECENT THREADS: 08/17/2013 : 08/10/2013 : 08/03/2013 : 07/27/2013 : 07/20/2013

1. ROBIN THICKE – Blurred Lines f/Pharrell & T.I: 272.249 (+2.006)
2. DAFT PUNK – Get Lucky: 161.280 (-1.790)
3. IMAGINE DRAGONS – Radioactive: 156.712 (-0.119)
4. MAROON 5 – Love Somebody: 146.886 (+1.211)
5. BRUNO MARS – Treasure: 134.307 (+0.202)
6. ZEDD – Clarity f/Foxes: 121.789 (+0.983) ▲
7. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Mirrors: 119.889 (-2.627) ▼
8. ANNA KENDRICK – Cups (Pitch Perfect’s When…: 105.965 (+1.751) ▲
9. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Same Love f/Mary Lambert: 104.767 (+0.280) ▼
10. CAPITAL CITIES – Safe And Sound: 96.966 (+1.477)
11. JASON DERULO – The Other Side: 95.216 (-0.077)
12. CALVIN HARRIS F/ELLIE GOULDING – I Need Your Love: 89.408 (+0.714) ▲
13. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Can’t Hold Us f/Ray Dalton: 88.597 (- 0.238) ▼
14. PINK – Just Give Me A Reason: 79.638 (-0.485)
15. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Gone, Gone, Gone: 69.845 (-0.125)
16. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Cruise f/Nelly: 68.173 (-0.509)
17. RANDY HOUSER – Runnin’ Outta Moonlight: 66.040 (-0.058)
18. RIHANNA – Stay f/Mikky Ekko: 65.713 (-0.287)
19. HUNTER HAYES – I Want Crazy: 63.889 (+0.313)
20. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Take Back The Night: 63.288 (+0.323)

JAY Z – Holy Grail f/Justin Timberlake: 62.677 (+2.187)
BRETT ELDREDGE – Don’t Ya: 61.972 (+1.080)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – See You Again: 59.877 (-0.025)
KEITH URBAN – Little Bit Of Everything: 57.664 (+0.418)
MILEY CYRUS – We Can’t Stop: 56.933 (+0.463)
RIHANNA – Right Now f/David Guetta: 54.396 (+0.088)
EASTON CORBIN – All Over The Road: 49.753 (+0.746)
J. COLE – Crooked Smile f/TLC: 45.425 (+0.165)
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Round Here: 45.141 (+0.609)
LANA DEL REY – Summertime Sadness: 41.057 (+2.617)
KENNY CHESNEY – When I See This Bar: 35.085 (+0.049)
TAYLOR SWIFT – Everything Has …f/Ed Sheeran: 27.915 (+0.142)
PINK – True Love f/Lily Allen: 26.587 (+0.780)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS – Turn The Night Up: 21.587 (+0.276)
PARAMORE – Still Into You: 21.296 (+0.451)
ONE DIRECTION – Best Song Ever: 19.016 (+0.745)
LABRINTH – Beneath Your Beautiful: 18.650 (-0.179)
DRAKE – Hold On We’re Going Home: 16.550 (+2.552)
NEIGHBOURHOOD – Sweater Weather: 16.546 (+0.137)
AVICII – Wake Me Up: 12.039 (+1.379)
PASSENGER – Let Her Go: 8.646 (+0.116)
BASTILLE – Pompeii: 5.633 (-0.100)
FLO RIDA – Can’t Believe It f/Pitbull: 5.278 (+0.648)
DEMI LOVATO – Made In The USA: 5.232
FIFTH HARMONY – Miss Movin’ On: 4.333
SELENA GOMEZ – Slow Down: 0.350
ALICIA KEYS – Tears Always Win: 0.330

[HolidayGuy]

That irregular gain for BL yesterday may have been a temporary blip.

[#Joseph.T]

this week is Katy Perry's debut week
I predict it'll debut on bottom 50

[Push The Button]

Welcome back, Daddy Thicke.

[#Joseph.T]

BL,please stop gaining.......

[RadioBeatz]

So JT will have 3 songs in the top 20 soon.. I'd like "Holy Grail" to leapfrog TBTN. XD

[Deleted]

Aug 8, 2013 8:07:21 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

That irregular gain for BL yesterday may have been a temporary blip.

It lost nearly a million on pop yesterday, today it stayed steady.

[SPRΞΞ]

Aug 8, 2013 8:20:39 GMT -5 #Joseph.T said:

this week is Katy Perry's debut week
I predict it'll debut on bottom 50

I'll say #100 ;)

[The Upper Hand]

Aug 8, 2013 9:06:22 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

Aug 8, 2013 8:20:39 GMT -5 #Joseph.T said:

this week is Katy Perry's debut week
I predict it'll debut on bottom 50

I'll say #100 ;)

Ready to break Kelly Clarkson's record.

[Duca]

Aug 8, 2013 8:42:22 GMT -5 RadioBeatz said:

So JT will have 3 songs in the top 20 soon.. I'd like "Holy Grail" to leapfrog TBTN. XD

It already passed it on Billboard.

Radio Songs

20 33 5 HOLY GRAIL Jay Z Feat. Justin Timberlake
22 25 4 TAKE BACK THE NIGHT Justin Timberlake

I hope Take Back The Night manages to go top 20 on the Hot 100. It needs a performance soon. He's gotten so lazy. The only promo he's done since the day the album dropped was Ellen back in April.

[markb]

Aug 8, 2013 9:06:22 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

Aug 8, 2013 8:20:39 GMT -5 #Joseph.T said:

this week is Katy Perry's debut week
I predict it'll debut on bottom 50

I'll say #100 ;)

It has to be above #100, like Part of Me (#101), and then straight to #1!! :)

[dbhmr]

Like with Adele's album, I just kinda want Blurred Lines to keep going and going. It's so rare we see such a spectacle of a hit, I want it to go as far as possible. It helps, I'm sure, that I love it.

[Deleted]

Aug 8, 2013 12:11:53 GMT -5 markb said:

Aug 8, 2013 9:06:22 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

I'll say #100 ;)

It has to be above #100, like Part of Me (#101), and then straight to #1!! :)

Assuming it makes it to #1.

[Libra]

Aug 8, 2013 13:45:15 GMT -5 dbhmr said:

Like with Adele's album, I just kinda want Blurred Lines to keep going and going. It's so rare we see such a spectacle of a hit, I want it to go as far as possible. It helps, I'm sure, that I love it.

I hear ya on that one - I don't usually end up liking songs that become huge, massive hits like this to get so into them. But this one I do.

[mcsteamy]

King Thicke

[SPRΞΞ]

Aug 8, 2013 13:45:15 GMT -5 dbhmr said:

Like with Adele's album, I just kinda want Blurred Lines to keep going and going. It's so rare we see such a spectacle of a hit, I want it to go as far as possible. It helps, I'm sure, that I love it.

It is fun to watch, yes.

But I'm excited for Katy and Gaga to come storming thru. Nothing else seems to be doing so, so we need some movement. But I think they'll both be blocked, lol.

Week 3 or 4 is when things might start to shake up.

That would give BL 13/14 weeks on top. We shall see...

[Enigma.]

BL has just passed the halfway of becoming the longest running #1. HALFWAY.

[Duca]

1. ROBIN THICKE – Blurred Lines f/Pharrell & T.I: 273.100 (+0.851)
2. DAFT PUNK – Get Lucky: 159.370 (-1.910)
3. IMAGINE DRAGONS – Radioactive: 155.947 (-0.765)
4. MAROON 5 – Love Somebody: 148.207 (+1.321)
5. BRUNO MARS – Treasure: 135.111 (+0.804)
6. ZEDD – Clarity f/Foxes: 122.423 (+0.634)
7. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Mirrors: 118.334 (-1.555)
8. ANNA KENDRICK – Cups (Pitch Perfect’s When…: 107.029 (+1.064)
9. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Same Love f/Mary Lambert: 105.051 (+0.284)
10. CAPITAL CITIES – Safe And Sound: 97.966 (+1.000)
11. JASON DERULO – The Other Side: 95.155 (-0.061)
12. CALVIN HARRIS F/ELLIE GOULDING – I Need Your Love: 89.961 (+0.553)
13. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS – Can’t Hold Us f/Ray Dalton: 87.698 (- 0.899)
14. PINK – Just Give Me A Reason: 79.286 (-0.352)
15. PHILLIP PHILLIPS – Gone, Gone, Gone: 69.850 (+0.005)
16. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Cruise f/Nelly: 67.620 (-0.553)
17. RANDY HOUSER – Runnin’ Outta Moonlight: 65.909 (-0.131)
18. JAY Z – Holy Grail f/Justin Timberlake: 65.243 (+2.566) ▲
19. RIHANNA – Stay f/Mikky Ekko: 65.206 (-0.507) ▼
20. HUNTER HAYES – I Want Crazy: 64.217 (+0.328) ▼

JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE – Take Back The Night: 63.802 (+0.514)
BRETT ELDREDGE – Don’t Ya: 62.537 (+0.565)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – See You Again: 59.622 (-0.255)
KEITH URBAN – Little Bit Of Everything: 58.518 (+0.854)
MILEY CYRUS – We Can’t Stop: 57.477 (+0.544)
RIHANNA – Right Now f/David Guetta: 53.613 (-0.783)
EASTON CORBIN – All Over The Road: 49.920 (+0.167)
J. COLE – Crooked Smile f/TLC: 46.008 (+0.583)
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE – Round Here: 45.795 (+0.654)
LANA DEL REY – Summertime Sadness: 43.254 (+2.197)
KENNY CHESNEY – When I See This Bar: 35.357 (+0.272)
TAYLOR SWIFT – Everything Has …f/Ed Sheeran: 28.544 (+0.629)
PINK – True Love f/Lily Allen: 27.352 (+0.765)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS – Turn The Night Up: 21.836 (+0.249)
PARAMORE – Still Into You: 21.812 (+0.516)
ONE DIRECTION – Best Song Ever: 19.963 (+0.947)
DRAKE – Hold On We’re Going Home: 19.533 (+2.983)
LABRINTH – Beneath Your Beautiful: 18.667 (+0.017)
NEIGHBOURHOOD – Sweater Weather: 16.455 (-0.091)
IMAGINE DRAGONS – Demons: 13.283
AVICII – Wake Me Up: 13.133 (+1.094)
PASSENGER – Let Her Go: 8.976 (+0.330)
FLO RIDA – Can’t Believe It f/Pitbull: 5.955 (+0.677)
BASTILLE – Pompeii: 5.651 (+0.018)
TEGAN & SARA – Closer: 4.628
OF MONSTERS AND MEN – King And Lionheart: 3.942
MUMFORD & SONS – Babel: 3.017

[Kris]

I don't really get what the hype is with Blurred Lines, it's a boring song, it's not upbeat, just doesn't feel like a song that would be stuck in my head. Could just be me though, glad to see the airplay updates aren't as excessive, I can't imagine how fast it will fall. are -4.000+ updates possible?

[Au$tin]

Aug 9, 2013 11:06:48 GMT -5 Kris said:

it's not upbeat

um... okay...

[surreallife]

Aug 9, 2013 11:06:48 GMT -5 Kris said:

I don't really get what the hype is with Blurred Lines, it's a boring song, it's not upbeat, just doesn't feel like a song that would be stuck in my head. Could just be me though, glad to see the airplay updates aren't as excessive, I can't imagine how fast it will fall. are -4.000+ updates possible?

"Blurred Lines" sounds to me like a 70s sensual R&B hit in the same category as "Let's Get It On" or "Disco Lady".  Come to think of it, the summer of 2013 has been the summer of retro music.  "Get Lucky" and "Treasure" are very much in the 70s disco category.

Since "Blurred Lines" went up the TOP40 and Rhythmic charts very quickly and at roughly the same time, it could very well lose its' audience reach very quickly as well.

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

I hope this can land on the 300million mark.

[Matt4319]

Aug 9, 2013 11:50:30 GMT -5 surreallife said:

Aug 9, 2013 11:06:48 GMT -5 Kris said:

I don't really get what the hype is with Blurred Lines, it's a boring song, it's not upbeat, just doesn't feel like a song that would be stuck in my head. Could just be me though, glad to see the airplay updates aren't as excessive, I can't imagine how fast it will fall. are -4.000+ updates possible?

"Blurred Lines" sounds to me like a 70s sensual R&B hit in the same category as "Let's Get It On" or "Disco Lady".  Come to think of it, the summer of 2013 has been the summer of retro music.  "Get Lucky" and "Treasure" are very much in the 70s disco category.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: Lloyd was 2 years too early with "Dedication To My Ex". (In fact, today is the 2-year anniversary of its release.)

[renfield75]

Aug 9, 2013 11:50:30 GMT -5 surreallife said:

Aug 9, 2013 11:06:48 GMT -5 Kris said:

I don't really get what the hype is with Blurred Lines, it's a boring song, it's not upbeat, just doesn't feel like a song that would be stuck in my head. Could just be me though, glad to see the airplay updates aren't as excessive, I can't imagine how fast it will fall. are -4.000+ updates possible?

"Blurred Lines" sounds to me like a 70s sensual R&B hit in the same category as "Let's Get It On" or "Disco Lady".  Come to think of it, the summer of 2013 has been the summer of retro music.  "Get Lucky" and "Treasure" are very much in the 70s disco category.

Since "Blurred Lines" went up the TOP40 and Rhythmic charts very quickly and at roughly the same time, it could very well lose its' audience reach very quickly as well.

Specifically it sounds like Marvin Gaye's "Got To Give It Up," which Robin said is his all-time favorite song and he readily admitted he and Pharrell deliberately tried to re-create it with "Blurred Lines".

[velaxti]

Aug 9, 2013 16:34:38 GMT -5 renfield75 said:

Aug 9, 2013 11:50:30 GMT -5 surreallife said:

"Blurred Lines" sounds to me like a 70s sensual R&B hit in the same category as "Let's Get It On" or "Disco Lady".  Come to think of it, the summer of 2013 has been the summer of retro music.  "Get Lucky" and "Treasure" are very much in the 70s disco category.

Since "Blurred Lines" went up the TOP40 and Rhythmic charts very quickly and at roughly the same time, it could very well lose its' audience reach very quickly as well.

Specifically it sounds like Marvin Gaye's "Got To Give It Up," which Robin said is his all-time favorite song and he readily admitted he and Pharrell deliberately tried to re-create it with "Blurred Lines".

They did a good job at re-creating it, since it sounds almost the same haha.

I don't think Blurred Lines will drop in airplay too fast. It'll still be climbing on AC, and out of the 5 formats where it's #1 they'll probably drop the song at different rates, so I think 5 million daily decreases would be unlikely.

[surreallife]

That explains why everytime I hear "Blurred Lines" I keep thinking I have heard it before. I don't consciously remember "Got To Give It Up" but I was undoubtedly exposed to it in 1977 when it hit #1.

[The Upper Hand]

Based on the most reasonable formula so far, "Roar" won't be #1 on the Hot 100 even if she sells 600k. "Blurred Lines" is too far ahead.

HDS (35-45%)
Airplay – BDS (30-40%)
Streaming (20-30%)

Sales / 12
Airplay / 7500
Overall Streaming / 450
Only On Demand / 150

Estimates:

"Roar"
HDS: 600,000
Stream: 1,000,000
Airplay: 80,000,000
= 62,888 points

"Blurred Lines"
HDS: 300,000
Stream: 8,000,000
Airplay: 200,000,000
= 69,443 points

[Rocky]

Aug 9, 2013 19:03:18 GMT -5 The Upper Hand said:

Estimates:

"Roar"
HDS: 600,000
Stream: 1,000,000
Airplay: 80,000,000
= 62,888 points

"Blurred Lines"
HDS: 300,000
Stream: 8,000,000
Airplay: 200,000,000
= 69,443 points

By that logic:

"Applause"
HDS: 600,000
Stream: 8,000,000
Airplay: 60,000,000
= 62,888 points

"Blurred Lines"
HDS: 300,000
Stream: 7,500,000
Airplay: 195,000,000
= 69,443 points

Sales / 12
Airplay / 7500
Overall Streaming / 450

50,000 + 8,000 + 17,778 Applause ------- 75,778

25,000 + 26,000 + 16,667 Blurred Lines - 67,667


Timing... It will all depend on the streaming. Will go down for BL, also the airplay.

[NeRD]

How long has BL been #1 in airplay?

[Libra]

Aug 9, 2013 19:55:29 GMT -5 NeRD said:

How long has BL been #1 in airplay?

Officially, since for the 7/27 Hot 100. A glance at that thread reveals that it hit #1 shortly into that week.