Billboard Hot 100: 12/07/2013

[Au$tin]

Nov 27, 2013 8:38:31 GMT -5 Linnethia Monique said:

I feel with Streaming now being such a big part of the chart All I Want For Christmas is You is going Top 10 this year.

Why? Streaming was also a part of the chart last year when it "only" barely missed the top 20. This year, Christmas Eve and Christmas Day are on two separate chart weeks, which will cut its two largest days in all three components into two weeks. I say it'll peak around #27 this year.

[HolidayGuy]

^On-demand streaming was part of the chart, but not YouTube and all that. Christmas Day falls on the day that starts the new airplay tracking week, so that robust day is a wash. Sales and streaming end on Sunday for the week, so it will have three days of that going into the week in which airplay will drop dramatically. We'll see what happens.


Billboard.com:
Over on the Digital Songs chart, Eminem's "The Monster," featuring Rihanna, is stationary at No. 1, selling another 241,000 downloads (down 1%).

Lorde's "Royals" is up one rung to No. 2 with 177,000 (up 12%) and OneRepublic's "Counting Stars" dips 2-3 with 167,000 (though it's up by 2%).

Pitbull's "Timber," featuring Ke$ha, is steady at No. 4 with just under 166,000 (up 15%) and Imagine Dragons' "Demons" is also a non-mover at No. 5, with 124,000 (down 3%).

A Great Big World's "Say Something," featuring Christina Aguilera, rebounds 12-6 with 121,000 (up 59%) while Passenger's "Let Her Go" climbs 8-7 with 117,000 (up 3%).

Avicii's "Wake Me Up" slips 6-8 with 101,000 (down 15%), Katy Perry's "Roar" falls 7-9 with 99,000 (down 16%) and Miley Cyrus' "Wrecking Ball" holds at No. 10 with 89,000 (down 16%).

Digital track sales this past week totaled 19.52 million downloads, down 2% compared with last week (19.88 million) and down 19% stacked next to the comparable week of 2012 (24.06 million). Year to date track sales are at 1.13 billion, down 4% compared to the same total at this point last year (1.19 billion).

[Linnethia Monique]

Nov 27, 2013 10:58:26 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Nov 27, 2013 8:38:31 GMT -5 Linnethia Monique said:

I feel with Streaming now being such a big part of the chart All I Want For Christmas is You is going Top 10 this year.

Why? Streaming was also a part of the chart last year when it "only" barely missed the top 20. This year, Christmas Eve and Christmas Day are on two separate chart weeks, which will cut its two largest days in all three components into two weeks. I say it'll peak around #27 this year.

There are more elements added into the streaming this year. If views from the Jimmy Fallon video were added into the forumla last year, she would've had a higher peak. Now this year it's a possibilty. She has 2 singing appearances on specials this year as well.

[HolidayGuy]

The Fallon video wasn't humnongo streaming, though- worldwide, it had something like 10m views in a week ,didn't it? And then everything else on the chart would have had YouTube/Vevo in the mix, as well. Should be a fun few weeks- a 28th Hot 100 top 10 for the track would be nice, though.

[Au$tin]

Nov 27, 2013 11:08:38 GMT -5 Linnethia Monique said:

Nov 27, 2013 10:58:26 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Why? Streaming was also a part of the chart last year when it "only" barely missed the top 20. This year, Christmas Eve and Christmas Day are on two separate chart weeks, which will cut its two largest days in all three components into two weeks. I say it'll peak around #27 this year.

There are more elements added into the streaming this year. If views from the Jimmy Fallon video were added into the forumla last year, she would've had a higher peak. Now this year it's a possibilty. She has 2 singing appearances on specials this year as well.

Well of course the Jimmy Fallon video would have helped last year, but it's a year old now. I also doubt the performances on the specials will see large enough streaming views to push it all the way into the top ten. For example, none of the AMA performances have even reached one million views yet, and that's a larger event than a Christmas special. (Most usually.)

Edit:
Oh, Lady Gaga's has surpassed one million. You have to click on the video to see the most up-to-date view count.


Speaking of the AMA performances, I decided to go through and see just how many views each performance has since nearly all of them have been uploaded to VEVO thanks to the rule change.
Katy Perry - Unconditionally [no VEVO upload]
One Direction - Story of My Life 740,156
Ariana Grande - Medley 464,398
Imagine Dragons - Medley [no VEVO upload]
Pitbull - Timber 115,321
Justin Timberlake - Drink You Away 30,673 [upload is private]
Florida Georgia Line & Nelly - Medley 12,001
Rihanna - Diamonds 417,913
Macklemore & Ryan Lewis - Can't Hold Us 6,306 [upload from third party VEVO]
Jennifer Lopez - Celiz Cruz Medley 200,932
A Great Big World - Say Something 197,866
Kendrick Lamar - Medley 43,411
Lady Gaga - Do What U Want 1,037,879
Luke Bryan - That's My Kind of Night 21,228
TLC - Waterfalls 34,439
Miley Cyrus - Wrecking Ball 764,600

[Deleted]

WAIT where are the 1d songs? CMA counting a week early again? Either way, those will all be 250-300k debuts... wonder where they'll land.

[Rocky]

Nov 27, 2013 11:26:21 GMT -5 Codex said:

WAIT where are the 1d songs? CMA counting a week early again? Either way, those will all be 250-300k debuts... wonder where they'll land.

The album was up before midnight like ARTPOP, HDS took the pre-orders away. They'll count that 200k+ for each song. I expect 4 songs in the top 20.

[Rocky]

"Royals" Rules The Hot for ninth week.

The song just barely holds off Eminem's "The Monster," featuring Rihanna, at No. 2, for a third week. Plus, Passenger rides into the top 10 with "Let Her Go"

Lorde's "Royals" commands the Billboard Hot 100 for a ninth week, keeping Eminem's "The Monster," featuring Rihanna, at No. 2 for a second frame. The latter song moves even closer to the summit, however, setting up a possible takeover atop the chart as soon as next week.

Meanwhile, Passenger enters the top 10 with its first Hot 100 entry, "Let Her Go."

"Royals" rules the Radio Songs chart for a sixth week with 143 million audience impressions (down 12%), according to Nielsen BDS. It holds at No. 2 on other Hot 100 component charts: Digital Songs (177,000 downloads sold, up 12%, according to Nielsen SoundScan) and Streaming Songs (6.5 million U.S. streams, down 8%, according to BDS). It also repeats at No. 2 on the subscription services-based On-Demand Songs chart (2.2 million on-demand U.S. streams, down 2%).

"Royals," which tops Hot Rock Songs for a 13th week, becomes just the fifth No. 1 by a female in her first appearance as a lead act to reign for at least nine weeks in the Hot 100's 55-year history. Debby Boone's "You Light Up My Life" (1977) and Ashanti's "Foolish" (2002) each led for 10 weeks, while Carly Rae Jepsen's "Call Me Maybe" (2012) and Ke$ha's "TiK ToK" (2010) also ruled for nine frames each. (Prior to "Foolish," Ashanti topped the Hot 100 as a featured act on Ja Rule's two-week No. 1 "Always on Time.")

Eminem's "The Monster" bullets at No. 2 on the Hot 100 for a third week. The collaboration claims the chart's top Airplay Gainer award for a third week, climbing 8-6 on Radio Songs with a 32% increase to 100 million. It spends a third week at No. 1 on Digital Songs with 241,000 downloads sold (down 1%) and a second week atop On-Demand Songs (2.6 million, down 3%), while holding at No. 3 on Streaming Songs (6 million, down 1%).

"Monster" spends a fourth week at No. 1 on both Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs and Rap Songs.

The race for No. 1 on the Hot 100 was the closest since Feb. 18, 2012, when Kelly Clarkson's "Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You)" displaced Adele's "Set Fire to the Rain" (after two weeks at No. 1) by a slightly smaller margin. After an 18% difference in overall Hot 100 chart points separated "Royals" and "Monster" two weeks ago, the margin was halved to 9% last week. This week, with "Royals" down by 9% and "Monster" down by 1%, a mere 0.4% difference keeps the former atop the Hot 100, possibly setting the stage for the latter to rise to No. 1 as soon as next week.

Miley Cyrus' former two-week Hot 100 No. 1 "Wrecking Ball" remains at No. 3. It tallies an eighth week atop Streaming Songs (7.8 million, down 10%) and holds at its No. 4 peak on Radio Songs (113 million, down 1%). On Digital Songs, which it led the week of Sept. 28, it stays at No. 10 (89,000, down 16%).

OneRepublic notches its second top five Hot 100 hit, as "Counting Stars" shoots 6-4. The band's "Apologize" (billed as by Timbaland featuring OneRepublic) peaked at No. 2 for four weeks in 2007. "Stars" backtracks 2-3 on Digital Songs despite a 2% gain to 167,000 and elevates 9-8 on Radio Songs (93 million, up 23%) and 10-9 on Streaming Songs (4.2 million, up 5%).

Avicii's No. 4-peaking "Wake Me Up!" dips to No. 5 on the Hot 100. It stays at its No. 2 highpoint on Radio Songs (142 million, down 5%) and dominates Dance/Electronic Songs for a 12th week.

Imagine Dragons' "Demons" advances 7-6 on the Hot 100, highlighted by its rise to the Radio Songs top five (6-5; 112 million, up 9%). It's the second Radio Songs top five for the band, which peaked at No. 2 for two weeks in August with "Radioactive."

Katy Perry's former two-week Hot 100 No. 1 "Roar" retreats 5-7. Meanwhile, "Unconditionally," the second single from her album "PRISM," remains bulleted at No. 16 in its fifth week. It rises 13-11 on Radio Songs (60 million, up 9%), holds at No. 19 on Digital Songs (58,000, up 10%) and enters Streaming Songs at No. 35 (1.7 million, up 28%).

Pitbull's folktronica collaboration "Timber," featuring Ke$ha, two-steps 10-8 on the Hot 100. "Timber" logs a second week at No. 4 on Digital Songs (166,000, up 15%) and rises 17-13 on Radio Songs (55 million, up 18%) and 16-13 on Streaming Songs (3.2 million, up 10%).

Drake's No. 4-peaking "Hold On, We're Going Home," featuring Majid Jordan, falls 8-9 on the Hot 100, while topping R&B Songs for a ninth week.

Rounding out the Hot 100's top 10, Passenger's folk ballad "Let Her Go" motors into the tier, lifting 11-10 in its 17th week on the chart. The song reaches the region fueled by climbs on Digital Songs (8-7; 117,000, up 3%), Radio Songs (23-15; 51 million, up 18%) and Streaming Songs (20-15; 2.9 million, up 10%). The track's ascent to the top 10 follows its No. 2 peak on the Official U.K. Singles chart in June.


Outside the Hot 100's top 10, notable debuts include three from One Direction: "Diana" (No. 11), "Midnight Memories" (No. 12) and "Strong" (No. 87), all from the group's album "Midnight Memories," due atop next week's Billboard 200. Also new, among other debuts, are Justin Bieber's "PYD," featuring R. Kelly (No. 54); John Newman's former U.K. No. 1 "Love Me Again" (No. 85); and Ariana Grande's "Last Christmas" (No. 96). Although Wham! made the song a modern holiday classic after its 1984 release, it's reached the Hot 100 only once before: the "Glee" cast's cover spent two weeks on the chart, peaking at No. 63, in 2009. Grande's version jingles in with 40,000 first-week downloads sold.

Plus, Enya's "Only Time" revisits the Hot 100, re-entering at No. 43 thanks to its use in an ad that's gone viral. Volvo spot "The Epic Split featuring Van Damme," posted on Nov. 13, made the rounds on social networks during the chart week, helping the song rack 4.2 million streams, good for a colossal 1,704% gain. (As its title suggests, the ad features actor Jean-Claude Van Damme performing an impressive stunt: splits while straddling two moving trucks.) "Time" originally became an anthem of healing after the tragedies of Sept. 11, 2001. It topped Adult Contemporary for six weeks and Adult Pop Songs for four frames and reached No. 10 on the Hot 100 that year.

[Verisimilitude]

Plus, Enya's "Only Time" revisits the Hot 100, re-entering at No. 43 thanks to its use in an ad that's gone viral. Volvo spot "The Epic Split featuring Van Damme," posted on Nov. 13, made the rounds on social networks during the chart week, helping the song rack 4.2 million streams, good for a colossal 1,704% gain. (As its title suggests, the ad features actor Jean-Claude Van Damme performing an impressive stunt: splits while straddling two moving trucks.) "Time" originally became an anthem of healing after the tragedies of Sept. 11, 2001. It topped Adult Contemporary for six weeks and Adult Pop Songs for four frames and reached No. 10 on the Hot 100 that year.

Shine bright like a four leaf clover, Gaelic queen.

[Deleted]

Unconditionally still #16 after the video release and AMA's? josh maybe I'm going to be right about it missing the top 10

Also, shouldn't the 1D songs have 200k sales just from the preorders alone? How is Strong so low compared to the other 2?

[HolidayGuy]

So, lemme get this straight; in the case of these recent Complete My Album, Billboard applies the actual sales to a track's Hot 100 chart points, but subtracts the pre-order numbers on Digital Songs? That's... weird.

[Au$tin]

Jesus Christ, "Royals" is still on top?! I thought for sure "The Monster" would have gotten it this week. Ouch at "Unconditionally" only entering Streaming Songs at number 35 after the video release. Granted, it wasn't a full week of views, but that's still very low. Glad to see "Let Her Go" finally make the top ten.

And LOL @ Enya.

Nov 27, 2013 11:46:29 GMT -5 Codex said:

Unconditionally still #16 after the video release and AMA's? josh maybe I'm going to be right about it missing the top 10

The major effects of the AMAs won't be until next week's chart.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Unconditionally did get held down a couple of spots by the 1D tracks. But, to me, UnC, still reminds me of RiRi's SUAD in terms of chart performance.

[pokepikalem]

The viral video is already at 13M. Wrecking Ball is going to have a very high chance to get back to #1 considering its airplay and TM's will be about the same next week.

[braveheart]

Nov 27, 2013 12:05:45 GMT -5 pokepikalem said:

The viral video is already at 13M. Wrecking Ball is going to have a very high chance to get back to #1 considering its airplay and TM's will be about the same next week.

its possible that video could reach 100 million by the end of the tracking week ? maybe

[Deleted]

Nov 27, 2013 12:16:43 GMT -5 braveheart said:

Nov 27, 2013 12:05:45 GMT -5 pokepikalem said:

The viral video is already at 13M. Wrecking Ball is going to have a very high chance to get back to #1 considering its airplay and TM's will be about the same next week.

its possible that video could reach 100 million by the end of the tracking week ? maybe

No. But it could reach 30-40 million. Maybe. I see it slowing down fast.

[pokepikalem]

Nov 27, 2013 12:18:18 GMT -5 Codex said:

Nov 27, 2013 12:16:43 GMT -5 braveheart said:

its possible that video could reach 100 million by the end of the tracking week ? maybe

No. But it could reach 30-40 million. Maybe. I see it slowing down fast.

I think it will reach around 30M. It's not going viral on my Facebook wall (full of Asians) as compared to Gentlemen YET, so I think about 40,50% of views are from the US? 15M from the States + AMA videos should get WB back to #1.

[hitseeker.]

Oh c'mon now "Royals", give "The Monster" a break, haha

[colson]

The Monster should easily take over next week and might be there beyond the Grammys.

[jayhawk1117]

C'mon royals! ONE MORE WEEK! ONE MORE WEEK! ONE MORE WEEK!

[Enigma.]

I'm impressed how Royals has stayed at #1 for last two weeks tbh

[badrobot]

Gaga finally leaves the top ten. I'm curious to see where DWUW is.

[surreallife]

"Royals" sales unexpectedly increased this week which upset my prediction of a new #1. A difference of 0.4% translates to just a few hundred chart points, so I am pretty confident in stating that we will have a new #1 on the December 14th HOT 100.

[brucelover]

Mess at "Let Her Go" taking this damn long to become a hit in America. It smashed almost a year ago everywhere else, but I knew it would be a hit in North America from the moment I heard it. That melody is undeniable and the lyrics are almost laughably relatable.

[KeepDeanWeird]

People who said Miley's team isn't brilliant? Imagine if she did an exact Sinead-type video with no controversy. Nearly three months after the video release, it can produce this type of parody and boom. It's back in Top 10 iTunes, generating more buzz. The one thing that did surprise me was radio's quick pullback the last couple of weeks.

[SPRΞΞ]

would be crazy if Wrecking Ball blocks The Monster next week.

[brucelover]

ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Heart Attack: 14.782

Oh My God, this is the THIRD lead single from his album that doesn't even have a release date yet. What happened? He had two big hits in 2010 with I Like It and Tonight and after that EVERYTHING bombed. His star power evaporated.

[Verisimilitude]

Nov 27, 2013 13:49:35 GMT -5 brucelover said:

ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Heart Attack: 14.782

Oh My God, this is the THIRD lead single from his album that doesn't even have a release date yet. What happened? He had two big hits in 2010 with I Like It and Tonight and after that EVERYTHING bombed. His star power evaporated.

He's still playing it safe with his generic dance-pop when he should be evolving a bit by now. He never goes wrong with his latin music as ballads and merengue-reggaeton style of music never go out of fashion.

[Adonis the DemiGod!]

Nov 27, 2013 13:48:24 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

would be crazy if Wrecking Ball blocks The Monster next week.

I would love it.

[Deleted]

Where is Bound 2?...