Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Dylan :)]

Oct 29, 2014 14:07:11 GMT -5 mamooshka said:

Love her as well, but it will likely be a #26 finish for Sia.  'Chandelier' will indeed reach 25 next week, only to be surpassed by Iggy before year-end.

Echosmith is looking to finish at #66.

Chandelier swings (excuse the pun) back up to #12 this week, while Black Widow falls to #6. With a 8% estimated gain in sales next week for Chandelier, Black Widow with an 8% gain, Chandelier still winning in streaming (can't see that moving) and Black Widow falling, as well as Widow falling in radio, you never, Chandelier may come out on top. 

That's a reasonable estimate, I can see it happening. What do you think for Bang Bang?

[Daniel Collins]

Week 49: Up to week dated 11/08/2014

Formula: Sales/12 + Airplay/8,700 + Streams/550

Hot 100	Song	Points	% Streams	%Sales	%Radio
1	All About That Bass	51,820	46%	23%	31%
2	Shake It Off	50,790	40%	28%	32%
3	Habits (Stay High)	30,630	36%	24%	40%
4	Bang Bang	29,820	37%	23%	40%
5	Animals (2)	28,190	33%	34%	33%
6	Black Widow	27,920	33%	20%	47%
7	Don't Tell 'Em	24,830	26%	22%	52%
8	Hot Boy	24,040	70%	16%	14%
9	Take Me To Church	21,060	36%	52%	12%
10	Stay With Me	21,020	36%	16%	48%

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
1	1	Pharrell Williams	Happy	1,356,780	40	43	1
2	2	Katy Perry	Dark Horse	1,322,250	-	48	1
3	3	John Legend	All Of Me	1,277,370	32	49	1
4	4	Iggy Azalea ft. Charli XCX	Fancy	1,004,890	39	34	1
5	5	OneRepublic	Counting Stars	984,380	-	46	2
6	6	Jason Derulo ft. 2 Chainz	Talk Dirty	850,400	-	33	3
7	7	Ariana Grande ft. Iggy Azalea	Problem	816,840	-	25	2
9	8	Magic!	Rude	810,500	19	27	1
8	9	Pitbull ft. Ke$ha	Timber	798,030	-	33	1
11	10	Sam Smith	Stay With Me	752,190	10	29	2
10	11	Bastille	Pompeii	738,230	-	39	5
15	12	Meghan Trainor	All About That Bass	707,450	1	16	1
12	13	DJ Snake & Lil Jon	Turn Down For What	681,650	-	37	4
14	14	Nico And Vinz	Am I Wrong	675,840	29	28	4
13	15	Eminem ft. Rihanna	The Monster	667,920	-	26	1
16	16	A Great Big World & Christina Aguilera	Say Something	590,430	-	24	4
17	17	Lorde	Team	583,380	-	30	6
18	18	Passenger	Let Her Go	571,440	-	27	5
24	19	Taylor Swift	Shake It Off	569,620	2	10	1
19	20	Idina Menzel	Let It Go (IM)	559,150	-	33	5
20	21	Lorde	Royals	556,520	-	24	1
21	22	Avicii	Wake Me Up	552,570	-	32	5
22	23	Imagine Dragons	Demons	545,000	-	31	6
23	24	One Direction	Story Of My Life	528,820	-	29	8
29	25	Sia	Chandelier	461,290	12	25	8
27	26	Disclosure ft. Sam Smith	Latch	459,580	43	32	7
25	27	Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne, French Montana, Too $hort, Tyga	Loyal	452,190	-	36	9
26	28	American Authors	Best Day Of My Life	449,680	-	35	11
28	29	Calvin Harris	Summer	442,650	-	26	7
30	30	Beyonce ft. Jay-Z	Drunk In Love	432,870	-	20	2
33	31	Iggy Azalea ft. Rita Ora	Black Widow	426,190	6	17	3
32	32	Maroon 5	Maps	423,720	25	19	6
38	33	Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj	Bang Bang	414,130	4	13	3
31	34	Ellie Goulding	Burn	410,830	-	25	13
37	35	Charli XCX	Boom Clap	402,920	24	21	8
34	36	Jason Derulo ft. Snoop Dogg	Wiggle	397,290	-	21	5
35	37	Miley Cyrus	Wrecking Ball	393,560	-	19	1
39	38	Nicki Minaj	Anaconda	392,660	23	12	2
36	39	Kid Ink ft. Chris Brown	Show Me	390,550	-	29	13
42	40	Enrique Iglesias ft. Decemer Bueno, Gente De Zona	Bailando	379,910	31	26	12
43	41	Ariana Grande ft. Zedd	Break Free	378,400	20	17	4
40	42	Katy Perry	Roar	377,800	-	20	7
41	43	Justin Timberlake	Not A Bad Thing	367,910	-	22	8
46	44	Clean Bandit ft. Jess Glyne	Rather Be	347,650	13	20	10
48	45	Tove Lo	Habits (Stay High)	345,770	3	22	3
44	46	Paramore	Ain't It Fun	341,000	-	24	10
45	47	Aloe Blacc	The Man	328,640	-	20	8
47	48	Florida Georgia Line ft. Luke Bryan	This Is How We Roll	323,390	-	28	15
54	49	Jeremih ft. YG	Don't Tell 'Em	315,370	7	18	6
49	50	MKTo	Classic	307,670	-	27	14
53	51	Coldplay	A Sky Full Of Stars	302,770	44	26	10
50	52	Imagine Dragons	Radioactive	296,640	-	23	13
51	53	Drake ft. Majid Jordan	Hold On We're Going Home	295,360	-	18	9
52	54	Trey Songz	Na Na	293,810	-	28	21
55	55	YG ft. Jeezy & Rich Homie Quan	My Hitta	279,410	-	21	19
56	56	Ed Sheeran	Sing	269,230	-	20	13
57	57	Avicii	Hey Brother	265,370	-	23	16
58	58	Martin Garrix	Animals	262,420	-	25	21
59	59	Tinashe ft. Schoolboy Q	2 On	261,070	-	24	24
60	60	Brantley Gilbert	Bottoms Up	255,800	-	25	20
61	61	Luke Bryan	Play It Again	252,510	-	20	14
62	62	OneRepublic	Love Runs Out	249,940	-	20	15
63	63	Becky G	Shower	246,180	-	20	16
64	64	Rixton	Me And My Broken Heart	241,220	-	20	14
65	65	Sara Bareilles	Brave	230,670	-	19	23
70	66	Ed Sheeran	Don't	229,420	11	20	10
66	67	Florida Georgia Line	Dirt	225,470	45	16	11
69	68	Jason Aldean	Burnin' It Down	224,250	26	14	12
75	69	Echosmith	Cool Kids	214,520	15	16	13
78	70	Bobby Shmurda	Hot Boy	214,150	8	13	8
71	71	Kenny Chesney	American Kids	213,510	69	19	23
67	72	Robin Thicke ft. TI, Pharrell	Blurred Lines	212,690	-	17	19
68	73	The Neighbourhood	Sweater Weather	212,490	-	14	14
72	74	Lady Antebellum	Bartender	202,250	-	20	31
90	75	Jason Derulo	Trumpets	202,010	14	22	14
73	76	Dierks Bentley	Drunk On A Plane	198,460	-	20	27
74	77	Mike-Will-Made-It ft. Miley Cyrus, Wiz Khalifa , Juicy J	23	197,130	-	14	14
76	78	Lady Gaga ft. R.Kelly	Do What U Want	195,540	-	15	16
77	79	Naughty Boy ft. Sam Smith	La La La	195,230	-	20	19
79	80	Luke Bryan	Drink A Beer	189,700	-	18	31
80	81	Katy Perry	Birthday	189,560	-	18	17
81	82	Shakira ft. Rihanna	Can't Remember To Forget You	188,840	-	19	15
82	83	Beyonce	Partition	188,390	-	21	23
83	84	Lil Wayne ft. Drake	Believe Me	188,060	-	20	26
84	85	Michael Jackson & Justin Timberlake	Love Never Felt So Good	187,710	-	20	9
85	86	Zedd ft. Hayley Williams	Stay The Night	185,900	-	13	18
86	87	Macklemore & Ryan Lewis ft. Schoolboy Q and Hollis	White Walls	185,570	-	13	15
87	88	Kongos	Come With Me Now	185,450	-	21	31
88	89	Jake Owen	Beachin'	184,780	-	20	26
89	90	Eric Church	Give Me Back My Hometown	184,350	-	20	36
100	91	TI ft. Iggy Azalea	No Mediocre	182,620	56	19	33
91	92	Demi Lovato	Neon Lights	182,160	-	20	36
92	93	Schoolboy Q ft. BJ The Chicago Kid	Studio	181,220	-	20	38
93	94	Katy Perry	Unconditionally	178,980	-	16	14
94	95	5 Seconds Of Summer	She Looks So Perfect	178,700	-	20	24
95	96	Lee Brice	I Don't Dance	177,800	-	20	33
96	97	Miranda Lambert & Carrie Underwood	Somethin' Bad	176,670	-	20	19
97	98	AWOLNATION	Sail	176,340	-	16	32
112	99	Rich Gang ft. Young Thug, Rich Homie Quan	Lifestyle	176,060	17	15	17
98	100	Miley Cyrus	Adore You	174,670	-	16	21

Bubbling Under:

LW	TW	Artist	Song	Points	BB Hot 100	Weeks On	Peak
111	104	5 Seconds Of Summer	Amnesia	169,320	51	17	16
114	106	Sam Hunt	Leave The Night On	167,280	36	18	36
121	114	Chris Brown ft. Usher, Rick Ross	New Flame	158,460	28	15	27
141	115	Maroon 5	Animals (2)	157,350	5	10	5
132	122	Drake	0 to 100 / The Catch Up	146,020	41	14	35
209	187	Hozier	Take Me To Church	89,460	9	11	9
213	198	Sam Smith	I'm Not The Only One	80,970	16	8	16
245	221	One Direction	Steal My Girl	59,350	18	4	13

[Dylan :)]

*excuse the layout of this comment, writing my reactions as I see them.

Rude will be #7 next week *sigh*. At least Problem made the top 10! SWM has also made the top 10. Kind of sad seeing Pompeii dropping. The Monster is dropping :( Can't see anything getting ahead of it (maybe Shake It Off). Finally Royals, Loyal and Wake Me Up are out of the top 20/25. Finally Chandelier made top 25! 20K jump. How much weeks are left of this, 5? If it got 20K each week it could finish at #20 (I'd die omg). This is hoping that Latch falls out next week/the week after. Black Widow is beginning to fall, I can't see it beating it (not with Chandelier back on the rise). Although I do see Bang Bang and Black Widow both making the top 30 (sad news for Beyoncé and Calvin). Don't think Maps or Boom Clap will make it, sadly :'( Hoping that Paramore, MKTo and Coldplay all get top 50s (although it's either Coldplay or MKTo). She Looks So Perfect may not make it, but Amnesia may (although that is decreasing fast). The only ones in the Bubbling Under I can see making it would be Amnesia, maybe Leave The Night On, and most likely Animals.

Who knows, now that Dark Horse is gone, All Of Me may beat it (although it is finally decreasing)

[macabyan]

It would be "Epic" if All About That Bass finishes at no. 6 with three weeks to spare.

[Dylan :)]

Oct 30, 2014 13:51:02 GMT -5 macabyan said:

It would be Epic if All About That Bass finishes at no. 6 with three weeks to spare.

140K+ points? 

[Johan]

Do you think that Stay with me can overrun Problem?

[Deleted]

Oct 30, 2014 13:33:35 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

*excuse the layout of this comment, writing my reactions as I see them.

Rude will be #7 next week *sigh*. At least Problem made the top 10! SWM has also made the top 10. Kind of sad seeing Pompeii dropping. The Monster is dropping :( Can't see anything getting ahead of it (maybe Shake It Off). Finally Royals, Loyal and Wake Me Up are out of the top 20/25. Finally Chandelier made top 25! 20K jump. How much weeks are left of this, 5? If it got 20K each week it could finish at #20 (I'd die omg). This is hoping that Latch falls out next week/the week after. Black Widow is beginning to fall, I can't see it beating it (not with Chandelier back on the rise). Although I do see Bang Bang and Black Widow both making the top 30 (sad news for Beyoncé and Calvin). Don't think Maps or Boom Clap will make it, sadly :'( Hoping that Paramore, MKTo and Coldplay all get top 50s (although it's either Coldplay or MKTo). She Looks So Perfect may not make it, but Amnesia may (although that is decreasing fast). The only ones in the Bubbling Under I can see making it would be Amnesia, maybe Leave The Night On, and most likely Animals.

Who knows, now that Dark Horse is gone, All Of Me may beat it (although it is finally decreasing)

there's 3 weeks left on the chart run, so there's not much time remaining. I think "Bang Bang" will not only make the top 30, it'll make the Top 20 in the actual year end list because all of it's chart weeks were in the top 10, and it still in that range. "She Looks So Perfect" will make the official list because it peaked at #24 and charted the full 20 weeks which is good enough for a year position, and "Amnesia", and "Animals" are a sure thing for the year end list. "Leave The Night On" is also starting to look like a strong candidate for the actual year end list. Of the songs on this list, neither "Drink A Beer", "Give Me Back My Hometown", "No Mediocre", nor "Studio" will make the actual list because they all had weak chart performances. I would love for "All Of Me" to overtake "Dark Horse", but I'm not sure if that's going to happen because "Dark Horse" was in the Top 50 for the entire year, and in the time it wasn't #1, it spent a huge amount of weeks at #2 and spent the same amount of weeks as "Happy" in the top 10, while "All Of Me" had to really climb to get into the top 10, and spent fewer weeks in the top 10 than "Dark Horse". The top 5 is pretty much a lock, and will look like this in the official list, unfortunately. At least "All Of Me" is a top 3 song, so is a really great achievement for John Legend.

[Deleted]

^ I beg to differ. Now that Dark Horse has finally fallen out of the Hot 100, All of Me has three weeks to gain on it and get some points to get closer. Sure it's pretty obvious that AOM won't pass DH on here, but being still at #32 it can get within 10k points of DH and thus there may be some discrepancy between Daniel's prediction and Billboard's official year-end chart which can make John Legend #2. I would be satisfied with that top 3 - DH doesn't feel like the second-biggest song of the year to me but third-biggest is more like it. Really didn't understand how it was still top 50 after like June but that's just me.

[jarhys]

Looks like only 'All Of Me' can stay on chart for full year.

[macabyan]

Oct 30, 2014 15:33:01 GMT -5 Johan said:

Do you think that Stay with me can overrun Problem?

No it can't. Stay With Me is fixed at #10 and it is obvious by now that Rude and All About That Bass will overrun Problem.

[mamooshka]

AOM will rack up more points in the next 3 weeks, but not enough to overtake DH (unless of course Columbia strategically rushes out a fresh new mix to gain new airplay).  It's an indisputedly outstanding love song, however, the last time a ballad topped the Year End Pop tally was 7 years ago (Bey's 'Irreplaceable').

I also didn't expect that DH would endure 48 weeks to become runner-up.  'Talk Dirty' also did much better than I'd expected.

[macabyan]

Oct 30, 2014 18:15:06 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

DH doesn't feel like the second-biggest song of the year to me but third-biggest is more like it. Really didn't understand how it was still top 50 after like June but that's just me.

Dark Horse is 25 million views short from Roar to be Katy Perry's most viewed video. Reason for this? Dark Horse is still featured at the top of YouTube's Music channel as of now.

But I do wish All of Me reaches no. 2.

[Deleted]

Oct 30, 2014 21:37:22 GMT -5 macabyan said:

Oct 30, 2014 18:15:06 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

DH doesn't feel like the second-biggest song of the year to me but third-biggest is more like it. Really didn't understand how it was still top 50 after like June but that's just me.

Dark Horse is 25 million views short from Roar to be Katy Perry's most viewed video. Reason for this? Dark Horse is still featured at the top of YouTube's Music channel as of now.

But I do wish All of Me reaches no. 2.

It hasn't been very high on the Streaming Songs chart for a while though...oh well

[Future Captain]

When I look at it again, the top 3 is actually very tight, with difference in point that seemed to be logically able to be passed if one has a different method than other in the inverse point system. For all we know, the top 3 isn't as set as we thought (Maybe the top 10 as well, would be very nice to see Pompeii in top 10)

[mamooshka]

The UK Year End tally is wrapping up, and it looks like AOM will also finish in third spot there.

The infectious 'Happy' is in the lead spot, followed by local act, Clean Bandit (Rather Be).

4. Let It Go
5. Timber
6. Dark Horse
7. Counting Stars
8. Money On My Mind (Sam Smith)
9. Waves (Mr Probz)
10.Riptide (Vance Joy)

Source: Official UK Charts Co.

[Deleted]

Oct 30, 2014 21:14:54 GMT -5 macabyan said:

Oct 30, 2014 15:33:01 GMT -5 Johan said:

Do you think that Stay with me can overrun Problem?

No it can't. Stay With Me is fixed at #10 and it is obvious by now that Rude and All About That Bass will overrun Problem.

maybe on this list, but in reality, "Stay With Me" is likely to finish just below the top 5 in the actual year end list due to its longevity on the Top 10. is been in the top 10 since practically the beginning of the summer.

[Deleted]

Ugh Let It Go is really that high in UK? 

[macabyan]

Oct 31, 2014 22:55:58 GMT -5 @billboardfan1 said:

Oct 30, 2014 21:14:54 GMT -5 macabyan said:

No it can't. Stay With Me is fixed at #10 and it is obvious by now that Rude and All About That Bass will overrun Problem.

maybe on this list, but in reality, "Stay With Me" is likely to finish just below the top 5 in the actual year end list due to its longevity on the Top 10. is been in the top 10 since practically the beginning of the summer.

Yeah 21 weeks in the top 10 is impressive for Stay With Me, but the year-end uses inverse points not cumulative. Back in 2012, "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" by Taylor Swift had 3 weeks at number one and 13 weeks in the top 10 (12 of those counted in the final tally) but placed #33 in the year-end. Last year, "Sail" by AWOLNATION peaked at no. 17 and spent the whole year in the chart, finishing at #25 in the year-end.

Besides, I feel like I'm the only one here who has faith in the accuracy of Daniel's prediction haha.

[Dylan :)]

Nov 1, 2014 1:45:20 GMT -5 macabyan said:

Oct 31, 2014 22:55:58 GMT -5 @billboardfan1 said:

maybe on this list, but in reality, "Stay With Me" is likely to finish just below the top 5 in the actual year end list due to its longevity on the Top 10. is been in the top 10 since practically the beginning of the summer.

Yeah 21 weeks in the top 10 is impressive for Stay With Me, but the year-end uses inverse points not cumulative. Back in 2012, "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" by Taylor Swift had 3 weeks at number one and 13 weeks in the top 10 (12 of those counted in the final tally) but placed #33 in the year-end. Last year, "Sail" by AWOLNATION peaked at no. 17 and spent the whole year in the chart, finishing at #25 in the year-end.

Besides, I feel like I'm the only one here who has faith in the accuracy of Daniel's prediction haha.

Wait, so the actual chart bases off longevity and not chart ranks? Even if Sail only peaked at 17, I'd presume all the points it racked up through the year would allow it to rank so high (sorry if I'm wrong, I don't really understand the different type of systems - could someone explain?).

[Future Captain]

Hey Daniel, I wanna ask where does Sail stand in the Decade-End chart. I'm pretty sure 79 weeks on the Hot 100 and 51 weeks in the top 50 isn't something to ignore. (I guess it's somewhere around 120-150?)

[nick64]

Nov 1, 2014 1:45:20 GMT -5 macabyan said:

Oct 31, 2014 22:55:58 GMT -5 @billboardfan1 said:

maybe on this list, but in reality, "Stay With Me" is likely to finish just below the top 5 in the actual year end list due to its longevity on the Top 10. is been in the top 10 since practically the beginning of the summer.

Yeah 21 weeks in the top 10 is impressive for Stay With Me, but the year-end uses inverse points not cumulative. Back in 2012, "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" by Taylor Swift had 3 weeks at number one and 13 weeks in the top 10 (12 of those counted in the final tally) but placed #33 in the year-end. Last year, "Sail" by AWOLNATION peaked at no. 17 and spent the whole year in the chart, finishing at #25 in the year-end.

Besides, I feel like I'm the only one here who has faith in the accuracy of Daniel's prediction haha.

I highly doubt that's true. If it was, there's no way "Harlem Shake" would have had the #4 placement that it did. That was due to the incredible streaming points it had in its first week.

[rimetm]

Yeah, it's not an inverse point system, though longevity does play a factor in a way, since sales and airplay (and presumably streams) registered after the chart run don't count.

Source: www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/5827375/how-we-charted-the-year-2013

[Daniel Collins]

The year-end is computed through cumulative points. the decades and All-Time charts are the ones that use inverse point system. This prediction thread is using a cumulative point system.

Nov 1, 2014 9:15:50 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Hey Daniel, I wanna ask where does Sail stand in the Decade-End chart. I'm pretty sure 79 weeks on the Hot 100 and 51 weeks in the top 50 isn't something to ignore. (I guess it's somewhere around 120-150?)

This is an UNOFFICIAL list: (up to Nov.8, 2014)
This is the top 100 and unfortunately, "Sail" is currently at #198. Though it stayed for a long time on the Hot 100, it stayed in the lower regions of the Hot 100 for almost a year. Peak is essential in the inverse point system.

1 Party Rock Anthem
2 We Found Love
3 Somebody That I Used To Know
4 Rolling In The Deep
5 Blurred Lines
6 Happy
7 Call Me Maybe
8 Dark Horse
9 Royals
10 Moves Like Jagger
11 Just The Way You Are
12 Thrift Shop
13 Tik Tok
14 We Are Young
15 All Of Me
16 One More Night
17 Radioactive
18 Sexy And I Know It
19 Counting Stars
20 Someone Like You
21 E.T.
22 Give Me Everything
23 Firework
24 Love The Way You Lie
25 Locked Out of Heaven
26 Dynamite
27 California Gurls
28 Fancy
29 Wake Me Up
30 Grenade
31 Hey Soul Sister
32 OMG
33 Need You Now
34 Some Nights
35 Can't Hold Us
36 Roar
37 Payphone
38 Airplanes
39 Timber
40 Bad Romance
41 Rude
42 Superbass
43 Fuck You
44 Stronger
45 Wrecking Ball
46 Ho Hey
47 Break Your Heart
48 Talk Dirty
49 Set Fire To The Rain
50 Teenage Dream
51 Good Feeling
52 DJ Got Us Fallin' In Love
53 Just Give Me A Reason
54 The Monster
55 Diamonds
56 Nothin' On You
57 Mirrors
58 Stay With Me
59 Lights
60 Rude Boy
61 Pumped Up Kicks
62 Starships
63 When I Was Your Man
64 Cruise
65 Only Girl
66 Problem
67 Stereo Hearts
68 All About That Bass
69 Glad You Came
70 Just A Dream
71 Get Lucky
72 Raise Your Glass
73 I Knew You Were Trouble
74 Like A G6
75 Just Can't Get Enough
76 Stay
77 Last Friday Night
78 I Like It
79 Pompeii
80 We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together
81 What's My Name
82 It Will Rain
83 S&M
84 On The Floor
85 Born This Way
86 Holy Grail
87 Bedrock
88 Empire State Of Mind
89 Imma Be
90 We Can't Stop
91 We R Who We R
92 Gangnam Style
93 Wild Ones
94 Am I Wrong
95 Let her Go
96 Wide Awake
97 Turn Down For What
98 Whistle
99 Hold On Were Going home
100 Say Something

[macabyan]

Nov 1, 2014 14:05:21 GMT -5 nick64 said:

Nov 1, 2014 1:45:20 GMT -5 macabyan said:

Yeah 21 weeks in the top 10 is impressive for Stay With Me, but the year-end uses inverse points not cumulative. Back in 2012, "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" by Taylor Swift had 3 weeks at number one and 13 weeks in the top 10 (12 of those counted in the final tally) but placed #33 in the year-end. Last year, "Sail" by AWOLNATION peaked at no. 17 and spent the whole year in the chart, finishing at #25 in the year-end.

Besides, I feel like I'm the only one here who has faith in the accuracy of Daniel's prediction haha.

I highly doubt that's true. If it was, there's no way "Harlem Shake" would have had the #4 placement that it did. That was due to the incredible streaming points it had in its first week.

The year-end is computed through cumulative points. the decades and All-Time charts are the ones that use inverse point system. This prediction thread is using a cumulative point system.

You're right! Sorry if I got it confused. There was also "Roar" reaching #10 in the year-end with only 15 weeks to count and "Royals" attaining #15 within 20 weeks. Accumulated points and longevity play central roles in adding up as defined by the article mentioned by Rimetm.

Other cases that can be attributed to longevity last year would be "Radioactive" (no. 3 peak) and "Cruise" (no. 4 peak). The latter finished at #3 and #9 respectively.

[Future Captain]

Nov 1, 2014 22:48:52 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

The year-end is computed through cumulative points. the decades and All-Time charts are the ones that use inverse point system. This prediction thread is using a cumulative point system.

Nov 1, 2014 9:15:50 GMT -5 Future Captain said:

Hey Daniel, I wanna ask where does Sail stand in the Decade-End chart. I'm pretty sure 79 weeks on the Hot 100 and 51 weeks in the top 50 isn't something to ignore. (I guess it's somewhere around 120-150?)

This is an UNOFFICIAL list: (up to Nov.8, 2014)
This is the top 100 and unfortunately, "Sail" is currently at #198. Though it stayed for a long time on the Hot 100, it stayed in the lower regions of the Hot 100 for almost a year. Peak is essential in the inverse point system.

1 Party Rock Anthem
2 We Found Love
3 Somebody That I Used To Know
4 Rolling In The Deep
5 Blurred Lines
6 Happy
7 Call Me Maybe
8 Dark Horse
9 Royals
10 Moves Like Jagger
11 Just The Way You Are
12 Thrift Shop
13 Tik Tok
14 We Are Young
15 All Of Me
16 One More Night
17 Radioactive
18 Sexy And I Know It
19 Counting Stars
20 Someone Like You
21 E.T.
22 Give Me Everything
23 Firework
24 Love The Way You Lie
25 Locked Out of Heaven
26 Dynamite
27 California Gurls
28 Fancy
29 Wake Me Up
30 Grenade
31 Hey Soul Sister
32 OMG
33 Need You Now
34 Some Nights
35 Can't Hold Us
36 Roar
37 Payphone
38 Airplanes
39 Timber
40 Bad Romance
41 Rude
42 Superbass
43 f**k You
44 Stronger
45 Wrecking Ball
46 Ho Hey
47 Break Your Heart
48 Talk Dirty
49 Set Fire To The Rain
50 Teenage Dream
51 Good Feeling
52 DJ Got Us Fallin' In Love
53 Just Give Me A Reason
54 The Monster
55 Diamonds
56 Nothin' On You
57 Mirrors
58 Stay With Me
59 Lights
60 Rude Boy
61 Pumped Up Kicks
62 Starships
63 When I Was Your Man
64 Cruise
65 Only Girl
66 Problem
67 Stereo Hearts
68 All About That Bass
69 Glad You Came
70 Just A Dream
71 Get Lucky
72 Raise Your Glass
73 I Knew You Were Trouble
74 Like A G6
75 Just Can't Get Enough
76 Stay
77 Last Friday Night
78 I Like It
79 Pompeii
80 We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together
81 What's My Name
82 It Will Rain
83 S&M
84 On The Floor
85 Born This Way
86 Holy Grail
87 Bedrock
88 Empire State Of Mind
89 Imma Be
90 We Can't Stop
91 We R Who We R
92 Gangnam Style
93 Wild Ones
94 Am I Wrong
95 Let her Go
96 Wide Awake
97 Turn Down For What
98 Whistle
99 Hold On Were Going home
100 Say Something

Aww, too bad it couldn't make it. I suppose Shake It Off is nearing top 100?

[Daniel Collins]

Future Captain #120. It would enter the top 100 in 2 weeks

[johonmilla]

How many points does party rock anthem have?

[Daniel Collins]

Nov 3, 2014 18:12:09 GMT -5 johonmilla said:

How many points does party rock anthem have?

1.6M. My point system gives 65k pts for #1.

A video is posted on YouTube a few weeks ago. jillboard100 created this base on this thread.

[Dylan :)]

Just realised Human didn't make it :'(

[Kris]

Nov 1, 2014 22:48:52 GMT -5 Daniel Collins said:

1 Party Rock Anthem
2 We Found Love
3 Somebody That I Used To Know
4 Rolling In The Deep
5 Blurred Lines
6 Happy
7 Call Me Maybe
8 Dark Horse
9 Royals
10 Moves Like Jagger
11 Just The Way You Are
12 Thrift Shop
13 Tik Tok
14 We Are Young
15 All Of Me
16 One More Night
17 Radioactive
18 Sexy And I Know It
19 Counting Stars
20 Someone Like You

Your predictions are nearly spot on. I'm actually quite surprised Tik Tok didn't make the official list due to it's 9 weeks at #1, but I guess it's chart run (some in 2009) wasn't as long. 


1. "Party Rock Anthem" - LMFAO Featuring Lauren Bennett & GoonRock
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: July 16, 2011


2. "We Found Love" - Rihanna Featuring Calvin Harris
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: November 12, 2011


3. "Somebody That I Used To Know" - Gotye Featuring Kimbra
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: April 28, 2012

4. "Rolling In The Deep" - Adele
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: May 21, 2011

5. "Blurred Lines" - Robin Thicke Featuring T.I. and Pharrell
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: June 22, 2013

6. "Call Me Maybe" - Carly Rae Jepsen
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: June 23, 2012

7. "Happy" - Pharrell Williams
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: March 8, 2014

8. "Royals" - Lorde
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: October 12, 2013

9. "Dark Horse" - Katy Perry Featuring Juicy J
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: February 8, 2014

10. "Moves Like Jagger" - Maroon 5 Featuring Christina Aguilera
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: September 10, 2011

11. "Just The Way You Are" - Bruno Mars
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: October 2, 2010

12. "Thrift Shop" - Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Wanz
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: February 2, 2013

13. "One More Night" - Maroon 5
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: September 29, 2012

14. "All Of Me" - John Legend
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: May 17, 2014

15. "We Are Young" - Fun. Featuring Janelle Monae
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: March 17, 2012

16. "Counting Stars" - OneRepublic
Hot 100 Peak Position: 2, Peak Date: January 18, 2014

17. "Radioactive" - Imagine Dragons
Hot 100 Peak Position: 3, Peak Date: July 6, 2013

18. "Sexy And I Know It" - LMFAO
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: January 7, 2012

19. "Someone Like You" - Adele
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: September 17, 2011

20. "E.T." - Katy Perry Featuring Kanye West
Hot 100 Peak Position: 1, Peak Date: April 9, 2011