Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[inverse]

My guess for the year end top 10

1 - Old Town Road
2 - Sunflower
3 - Without Me
4 - Bad Guy
5 - Wow
6 - Happier
7 - Talk
8 - 7 Rings
9 - Sucker
10 - Truth Hurts

if Nov 24 2018 counts then it's unclear whether or not Truth Hurts can pass Sicko Mode

[mikerivera]

I can’t tell you how badly I want 7 Rings to finish at number 7

[twelvevinylrecords]

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

[rimetm]

October 19, 2019 - 48/53 weeks

SPOILER: Click to show

{Without 11/24}

[samo🦕]

[rockgolf]

Everyone wants to be early this week!

So, including the Oct 19, 2019 chart released in full today, here's my estimated year-end top 100 + songs that could potentially still make it to the list (if they keep their current position or improve over the five* remaining weeks of the chart year):

* Assumes last week to be included will be Nov 23, 2019 the 52nd chart of the Billboard calendar year starting Dec. 1, 2018.

No movement in the top ten this week, but Bad Guy should move to the #4 spot of the year next week. First week where Without Me is off the chart, having hit the 52/25 rule.

The last column is a new addition. It's how many points a song will have if it remains at its current position for the remaining 5 weeks of the year. Obviously older songs will fall and newer songs may climb, so this is a very rough estimate. This estimate would put Truth Hurts in the top 10 of the year. I think that's quite possible, as I wouldn't be surprised to see TH regain #1 if 2nd week streams of HIGHEST IN THE ROOM nosedive.

[Deleted]

The Billboard 2019 year end list if the chart stays the same for the rest of the year (based off of fhas/rimetm's predictions list).

1) Old Town Road 1698820
2) Sunflower 1316290
3) Without Me 1145050
4) Bad Guy 960110
5) Wow. 948780
6) Talk 880090
7) Happier 866460
8) 7 Rings 848270
9) Sucker 832250
10) Truth Hurts 809060
11) Sicko Mode 794310
12) High Hopes 779140
13) Dancing With A Stranger 726590
14) I Don't Care 702090
15) Senorita 700930
16) Thank U, Next 698820
17) Eastside 620490
18) Going Bad 610540
19) Shallow 597800
20) No Guidance 580720
21) Better 568740
22) Sweet But Psycho 542980
23) Suge 539230
24) Someone You Loved 527330
25) Girls Like You 517300
26) Ran$om 510750
27) Middle Child 508720
28) Drip Too Hard 473500
29) If I Can't Have You 466900
30) Goodbyes 442270
31) Money In The Grave 393040
32) You Need To Calm Down 378520
33) Panini 376540
34) Break Up With Your Girlfriend, I'm Bored 376720
35) Please Me 373910
36) Speechless 370530
37) Better Now 366820
38) Zeze 366070
39) Look Back At It 365510
40) Youngblood 364480
41) Money 357560
42) A Lot 352790
43) Me! 347250
44) Beautiful Crazy 340990
45) Pop Out 330800
46) Thotiana 327980
47) MIA 323770
48) Beautiful People 323110
49) Whiskey Glasses 315440
50) Be Alright 313260
51) The Git Up 309700
52) God's Country 307620
53) Pure Water 306000
54) Envy Me 305190
55) The London 300220
56) Close To Me 298440
57) You Say 293800
58) Lucid Dreams 290920
59) Wake Up In The Sky 285010
60) Circles 282300
61) Mo Bamba 280420
62) Hey Look Ma, I Made It 279140
63) Con Calma 276050
64) Taki Taki 270450
65) Beer Never Broke My Heart 265650
66) Murder On My Mind 263880
67) When The Party's Over 263330
68) Act Up 255740
69) Trampoline 243210
70) Bury A Friend 240670
71) I Like It 238540
72) Baby Shark 233990
73) My Type 230500
74) Worth It 228740
75) Close Friends 226840
76) Leave Me Alone 226390
77) Only Human 220410
78) Knockin' Boots 218170
79) Swervin 217700
80) Breathin 212980
81) Baby 209510
82) How Do You Sleep? 208060
83) Clout 199930
84) Rumor 199690
85) Look What God Gave Her 195810
86) One Thing Right 193840
87) Good As You 193580
88) Cash s**t 189570
89) Shotta Flow 184750
90) Boyfriend 184410
91) Hot Girl Summer 182700
92) Eyes On You 178400
93) All To Myself 177750
94) Trip 177180
95) Tequila 173490
96) Talk You Out Of It 173350
97) This Is It 170870
98) Walk Me Home 170610
99) Go Loko 168310
100) Robbery 167880
- - - - - CUTOFF - - - - -
101) GIRL 166000
102) Love Lies 163620
103) Here Tonight 162220
104) Girl Like You 161290
105) I Don't Know About You 160310
106) Never Really Over 158780

107) Lover 158690

108) Miss Me More 158270

109) Callaita 157950
110) Otro Trago 157870
111) Here With Me 156880
112) Beautiful 155570
113) Put A Date On It 154910
114) On Chill 154270
115) Earfquake 153770
116) Girls Need Love 153540
117) China 150650
118) Rearview Town 150640
119) Ballin' 147370
120) Mixed Personalities 147170
121) Lalala 147000
122) Cool 145700
123) Backin' It Up 145570
124) Who Do You Love 144050
125) Press 143160
126) Good As Hell 142310
127) Time 140910
128) Hot 139640
129) Uproar 138020
130) All I Want For Christmas Is You 137900
131) Natural 131460
132) This Feeling 129140
133) Take What You Want 119820
134) Cross Me 111560

[Lukas]

I'm really curious as to why people think the November 24 chart won't be counted. After all, if the 2018 year end chart didn't count it, shouldn't 2019 do?

[sirskimask]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favorites: Old Town Road, Sunflower, Wow., SICKO MODE, Better, Better Now, Panini, Breathin, Bury A Friend, Circles, Love Lies
Least favorites: I Don't Care, Girls Like You, Someone You Loved, YNTCD, ME!, The London, Baby Shark, Swervin, Close Friends

[rockgolf]

Oct 15, 2019 17:10:32 GMT -5 Lukas said:

I'm really curious as to why people think the November 24 chart won't be counted. After all, if the 2018 year end chart didn't count it, shouldn't 2019 do?

I'm working on the basis that, like last year,  Billboard will use the 52 charts starting from Dec 1, 2018.

[Naos]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favorites: Look What God Gave Her, Look Back At It, God's Country, You Need to Calm Down, Sucker, No Guidance, You Say, Bury a Friend 
Least favorites: Break Up With Your Girlfriend I'm Bored, Someone You Loved, Swervin, Mo Bamba, Drip Too Hard, Zeze, Whiskey Glasses

[GPMB]

is it bad that i'm starting to worry about Cash Shit's chances? even though it's pretty certain at this point, it took a pretty sharp hit this week and the worst case scenario is that it follows in Go Loko's footsteps and drops out before it can reach 20 weeks

Oct 15, 2019 17:10:32 GMT -5 Lukas said:

I'm really curious as to why people think the November 24 chart won't be counted. After all, if the 2018 year end chart didn't count it, shouldn't 2019 do?

it depends, what did Billboard do for those year end lists during like the 60s-80s when the dates of the beginning and end of the chart year varied? did they ever skip weeks in counting them towards the year end or did they include all of them? we could probably get a good precedent from that

[Lukas]

Oct 15, 2019 21:17:23 GMT -5 GPMB said:

is it bad that i'm starting to worry about Cash s**t's chances? even though it's pretty certain at this point, it took a pretty sharp hit this week and the worst case scenario is that it follows in Go Loko's footsteps and drops out before it can reach 20 weeks

Oct 15, 2019 17:10:32 GMT -5 Lukas said:

I'm really curious as to why people think the November 24 chart won't be counted. After all, if the 2018 year end chart didn't count it, shouldn't 2019 do?

it depends, what did Billboard do for those year end lists during like the 60s-80s when the dates of the beginning and end of the chart year varied? did they ever skip weeks in counting them towards the year end or did they include all of them? we could probably get a good precedent from that

I don't think they did, and if you can prove me wrong, than do so.

Even then, that was over three decades ago. The fact that Billboard would arbitrary skip a week for the first time in 25 years is very unlikely, since it now has all the raw data, unlike back then.

The reason why it ended on Nov. 17 and not Nov. 24 for 2018 is because there was a week (Jan. 3) where Billboard decided to change the tracking week from two weeks ahead to only one week.

[iggyamo]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

I will include songs that are currently borderline in some lists

Fav: Sunflower, Truth Hurts, Look Back At It, Better Now, A Lot, MIA, Worth It, Robbery, Go Loko, and Circles (I didn’t include some due to me not really listening to them)

Least fav: Without Me, 7 Rings, Drip Too Hard, ME!, Close To Me, Con Calma remix (just the remix), Taki Taki, Shotta Flow and Boyfriend (although barely, I love the hook, just when Social House start singing I feel like I’m having an internal breakdown)

And some songs that I’ve somehow managed to avoid listening to the entire year due to a mix of lack of interest and my radio stations just not playing it: Be Alright, You Say, When The Party’s Over, Leave Me Alone, Breathin, Rumor, and Good as You

I’ll probably listen to the ones that’ll actually appear on the year end, although from what I’ve heard from some of them, I’ll probably not like them, but who knows. I like Robbery by Juice WRLD so I’m a loose canon.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favorite: Sunflower, Circles, High Hopes, ME!, Goodbyes, Sweet But Psycho, Old Town Road, Sicko Mode, Someone You Loved, Drip Too Hard, Hey Look Ma, I Made It (I would definitely add Beautiful if it does enter)
Least Favorite: Murder On My Mind, Envy Me, Thotiana, Worth It, ZEZE, Pop Out, Con Calma, Leave Me Alone, Close Friends, Baby Shark

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Best: OTR, bad guy, Truth Hurts, Goodbyes, when the party's over, a lot, bury a friend, Mo Bamba, My Type (yes, all Billie Eilish songs made my list)
Worst: not a lot of outright terrible songs like last year but if I had to choose - No Guidance, Only Human, ZEZE, Someone You Loved, Wake Up in the Sky, High Hopes

if Robbery somehow makes the list, that's the clear worst song of the year. It's basically Someone You Loved but with exponentially worse singing and writing, and no amount amount of Lewis Capaldi hilariously screaming AAAAAAAAAAAAAA can make for a worse listening experience than Juice WRLD doing a bad Simple Plan impression.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Really disappointed Ballin' is going to get stuck in between years. Such a great, fun, chill rap song, Mustard has really grown out of his old sound into something new, and it's my favorite Roddy Ricch song to this point.

[n13l5]

Oct 16, 2019 1:13:57 GMT -5 iggyamo said:

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

I will include songs that are currently borderline in some lists

Fav: Sunflower, Truth Hurts, Look Back At It, Better Now, A Lot, MIA, Worth It, Robbery, Go Loko, and Circles (I didn’t include some due to me not really listening to them)

Least fav: Without Me, 7 Rings, Drip Too Hard, ME!, Close To Me, Con Calma remix (just the remix), Taki Taki, Shotta Flow and Boyfriend (although barely, I love the hook, just when Social House start singing I feel like I’m having an internal breakdown)

And some songs that I’ve somehow managed to avoid listening to the entire year due to a mix of lack of interest and my radio stations just not playing it: Be Alright, You Say, When The Party’s Over, Leave Me Alone, Breathin, Rumor, and Good as You

I’ll probably listen to the ones that’ll actually appear on the year end, although from what I’ve heard from some of them, I’ll probably not like them, but who knows. I like Robbery by Juice WRLD so I’m a loose canon.

You were able to avoid You Say due to the radio not playing it? How I envy you, they still play it almost every day here and I cant stand it

[Deleted]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favourite:
1) God's Country
2) Circles
3) Better
4) Money In The Grave
5) All To Myself
6) Beautiful People
7) Sunflower
8) High Hopes
9) Worth It

10) Pure Water or This Is It (Depending if the latter makes the YE or not).

Note: I excluded Tequila (if it makes the 2019 YE list), Better Now and Youngblood since they already made 2018's year end list.

Least Favourite:
1) 7 Rings
2) Baby
3) Swervin
4) Clout
5) Thotiana
6) Shotta Flow
7) Taki Taki
8) Break Up With Your Girlfriend, I'm Bored
9) You Need To Calm Down

10) Thank U, Next

PS: I do not hate Ariana Grande, but I can't stand her singles off of Thank U, Next. Breathin on the other hand narrowly missed by best list.

[lights]

Best: Sweet but Psycho, High Hopes, Close To Me, How Do You Sleep?, You Need To Calm Down, Shallow, Beautiful Crazy, Rumor, Speechless, God's Country, Money in the Grave, Pop Out, Goodbyes, Pure Water, bury a friend, when the party's over, Trampoline, Cricles.

Worst: 7 rings, break up with your girlfriend i'm bored, Someone You Loved, Please Me, I Don't Care, Mo Bamba, Baby, No Guidance, Eyes On You, Panini, Murder on my Mind, Thotiana, Swervin, Money, Knockin Boots, Act Up, My Type.

[whales10268]

Best
1. Breathin
2. Without Me
3. Shallow
4. You Say
5. Beautiful Crazy
6. Bad Guy
7. High Hopes
8. Close To Me
9. Thank U, Next
10. Tequila

Worst
1. MIA
2. Lucid Dreams
3. Wake Up In The Sky
4. Please Me
5. Look What God Gave Her
6. If I Can't Have You
7. Girls Like You
8. One Thing Right
9. All To Myself


Taki Taki

[GPMB]

favorite: Sunflower, Wow, bad guy, Sweet but Psycho, Drip Too Hard, a lot, Pure Water, when the party’s over, Act Up, breathin, Clout, Pop Out, ZEZE, Shotta Flow, Thotiana, Panini, Ransom, Murder on My Mind, Circles, My Type

least favorite: High Hopes, Middle Child, ME!, Mo Bamba, You Say, Hey Look Ma I Made It, The Git Up, Worth It, Girls like You, Go Loko (if it makes it)

[Dadude#0839]

Still finalizing my favorites, here's my least favorites: I Don't Care, Baby Shark, Thotiana, Swervin, Leave me alone, Be alright, Robbery, Girls like you, The Git up, virtually every country song to make the YE

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Decade Defining Songs of the 2010s - these aren't the biggest or most successful songs, more of the most iconic (one song per artist to avoid representation by artists with multiple iconic songs [Drake, Adele, Bieber, etc.]):
Adele: Rolling in the Deep
Ariana Grande: thank u, next
Avicii - Wake Me Up!
Carly Rae Jepsen: Call Me Maybe
Drake: Hotline Bling
Ed Sheeran: Shape of You
Gotye: Somebody that I Used to Know
Katy Perry: Firework
Kendrick Lamar: HUMBLE.
Kesha: Tik Tok
Justin Bieber: Sorry
Lil Nas X: Old Town Road
LMFAO: Party Rock Anthem
Lorde: Royals
Luis Fonsi: Despacito
Mark Ronson: Uptown Funk!
One Direction: What Makes You Beautiful
Pharell Williams: Happy
PSY: Gangnam Style
Taylor Swift: Shake It Off
The Chainsmokers: Closer
The Weeknd: The Hills
Travis Scott: SICKO MODE
twenty one pilots: Stressed Out
Wiz Khalifa: See You Again

as for artists, these are the big personalities and characters that shaped the decade. Again not the most popular (why Maroon 5 and Rihanna aren't here), but when people think which artists made the 2010s, I think these 20 are the most representative:
Adele
Ariana Grande
Billie Eilish
Bruno Mars
Calvin Harris
Drake
Ed Sheeran
Katy Perry
Kendrick Lamar
Kesha
Justin Bieber
Lorde
Nicki Minaj
One Direction
Post Malone
Sia
Taylor Swift
The Weeknd
Travis Scott
twenty one pilots

[twelvevinylrecords]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

As for myself

Favorites: When the party's over, SICKO MODE, Trampoline, Bury a Friend, Breathin, Sunflower, Without Me (yes actually) Truth Hurts, Talk, Shallow, Better, DWAS, Hey Look Ma, I Made it, A lot, Lover, Circles, Middle Child. 

Least Favorites: Robbery, Baby, Happier, Baby Shark, Swervin, Taki Taki, The London, Act Up, Eyes on You, Lucid Dreams, Thotiana, Money, Drip Too Hard, Leave Me Alone, My Type, Worth It, and the worst song of the decade, Girls Like You.

[jtd Thee Stallion]

I'll just wait for the YE rankdown lol.

[lukulele]

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favs:
1. Pop Out
2. Project Dreams - Marshmello ft. Roddy Ricch
3. Look Back at it
4. SICKO MODE
5. Old town Road
6. Sanguine Paradise - Lil Uzi Vert
7. MIDDLE CHILD
8. One Thing Right
9. I - Lil Skies
10. Virtual (Blue Balenciagas) - YNW Melly
11. Girls Have Fun - Tyga ft. Rich the Kid and G-Eazy
12. Lucid Dreams
13. Shotta Flow (Blueface Remix)
14. Horses - Pnb Rock ft. Kodak Black and A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie
15 Ransom (Juice WRLD Remix)

Least favs:
1. Dancing With A Stranger
2. You Say
3. Baby Shark
4. ME!
5. Please Me
6. thank u, next
7. Circles
8. Thotiana
9. I like it
10. I don't care

[n13l5]

Oct 16, 2019 22:37:38 GMT -5 lukulele said:

Oct 15, 2019 15:00:32 GMT -5 twelvevinylrecords said:

While we are getting close to the end of the year, what are your guy's fav/least fav songs to make the YE of 2019 so far?

Favs:
1. Pop Out
2. Project Dreams - Marshmello ft. Roddy Ricch
3. Look Back at it
4. SICKO MODE
5. Old town Road
6. Sanguine Paradise - Lil Uzi Vert
7. MIDDLE CHILD
8. One Thing Right
9. I - Lil Skies
10. Virtual (Blue Balenciagas) - YNW Melly
11. Girls Have Fun - Tyga ft. Rich the Kid and G-Eazy
12. Lucid Dreams
13. Shotta Flow (Blueface Remix)
14. Horses - Pnb Rock ft. Kodak Black and A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie
15 Ransom (Juice WRLD Remix)

Least favs:
1. Dancing With A Stranger
2. You Say
3. Baby Shark
4. ME!
5. Please Me
6. thank u, next
7. Circles
8. Thotiana
9. I like it
10. I don't care

Half of you best list isnt even close on making a chance on making the YE list, sorry

[n13l5]

Oct 16, 2019 10:25:46 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Decade Defining Songs of the 2010s - these aren't the biggest or most successful songs, more of the most iconic (one song per artist to avoid representation by artists with multiple iconic songs [Drake, Adele, Bieber, etc.]):
Adele: Rolling in the Deep
Ariana Grande: thank u, next
Avicii - Wake Me Up!
Carly Rae Jepsen: Call Me Maybe
Drake: Hotline Bling
Ed Sheeran: Shape of You
Gotye: Somebody that I Used to Know
Katy Perry: Firework
Kendrick Lamar: HUMBLE.
Kesha: Tik Tok
Justin Bieber: Sorry
Lil Nas X: Old Town Road
LMFAO: Party Rock Anthem
Lorde: Royals
Luis Fonsi: Despacito
Mark Ronson: Uptown Funk!
One Direction: What Makes You Beautiful
Pharell Williams: Happy
PSY: Gangnam Style
Taylor Swift: Shake It Off
The Chainsmokers: Closer
The Weeknd: The Hills
Travis Scott: SICKO MODE
twenty one pilots: Stressed Out
Wiz Khalifa: See You Again

as for artists, these are the big personalities and characters that shaped the decade. Again not the most popular (why Maroon 5 and Rihanna aren't here), but when people think which artists made the 2010s, I think these 20 are the most representative:
Adele
Ariana Grande
Billie Eilish
Bruno Mars
Calvin Harris
Drake
Ed Sheeran
Katy Perry
Kendrick Lamar
Kesha
Justin Bieber
Lorde
Nicki Minaj
One Direction
Post Malone
Sia
Taylor Swift
The Weeknd
Travis Scott
twenty one pilots

Maybe also Cruise by FGL since that opened the floodgates for brocountry for the upcoming years

[iggyamo]

Oct 17, 2019 7:56:35 GMT -5 n13l5 said:

Oct 16, 2019 10:25:46 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Decade Defining Songs of the 2010s - these aren't the biggest or most successful songs, more of the most iconic (one song per artist to avoid representation by artists with multiple iconic songs [Drake, Adele, Bieber, etc.]):
Adele: Rolling in the Deep
Ariana Grande: thank u, next
Avicii - Wake Me Up!
Carly Rae Jepsen: Call Me Maybe
Drake: Hotline Bling
Ed Sheeran: Shape of You
Gotye: Somebody that I Used to Know
Katy Perry: Firework
Kendrick Lamar: HUMBLE.
Kesha: Tik Tok
Justin Bieber: Sorry
Lil Nas X: Old Town Road
LMFAO: Party Rock Anthem
Lorde: Royals
Luis Fonsi: Despacito
Mark Ronson: Uptown Funk!
One Direction: What Makes You Beautiful
Pharell Williams: Happy
PSY: Gangnam Style
Taylor Swift: Shake It Off
The Chainsmokers: Closer
The Weeknd: The Hills
Travis Scott: SICKO MODE
twenty one pilots: Stressed Out
Wiz Khalifa: See You Again

as for artists, these are the big personalities and characters that shaped the decade. Again not the most popular (why Maroon 5 and Rihanna aren't here), but when people think which artists made the 2010s, I think these 20 are the most representative:
Adele
Ariana Grande
Billie Eilish
Bruno Mars
Calvin Harris
Drake
Ed Sheeran
Katy Perry
Kendrick Lamar
Kesha
Justin Bieber
Lorde
Nicki Minaj
One Direction
Post Malone
Sia
Taylor Swift
The Weeknd
Travis Scott
twenty one pilots

Maybe also Cruise by FGL since that opened the floodgates for brocountry for the upcoming years

I would probably remove Sorry and What Makes You Beautiful, sure they were big, but I don’t think they influenced a large amount of music. I would also probably add Trap Queen to the list