Hot 100 Year-End Predictions (2019) - Year 6

[Deleted]

I calculated all the songs that are currently charting and have a chance to sneak into the year end list late.

First of all, there are currently 69 songs that are locked for the 2019 year end list, as Beer Never Broke My Heart, Money In The Grave & You Need To Calm Down all locked this week. I also expect the 9 songs below to lock in the future, totaling the number of locked songs to 78 (I won't be including them in the predictions list I made below).

1) Someone You Loved (Already above the projected cutoff, will lock next week.)

2) The London (Already above the projected cutoff, will lock next week.)

3) The Git Up
4) Ran$om
5) Goodbyes
6) Panini
7) Beautiful People
8) My Type
9) Boyfriend

This leaves us with the following songs that can still make the list (including those that have dropped out without locking but can still scrape in).

78) Rumor 2012 (This is the lowest song points wise that is locked).

- - - - - LOCKED (2000 Points) - - - - -
79) Clout 1991 (+105)
80) Good As You 1968
81) Look What God Gave Her 1965
82) Trip 1952
83) Tequila 1866
84) Love Lies 1803
- - - - - PROJECTED CUTOFF - - - - -
85) Eyes On You 1795
86) This Is It 1774
87) Talk You Out Of It 1768
88) Walk Me Home 1733
89) Shotta Flow 1652 (+115)
90) Knockin' Boots 1640 (+128)
91) Never Really Over 1555 (+90)
92) Go Loko 1513 (+93)
93) Earfquake 1485 (+67)
94) All To Myself 1441 (+118)
95) Press 1212 (+85)
96) Easier 1175 (+102)
97) Rearview Town 1158 (+122)
98) Callaita 959 (+100)
99) Trampoline 945 (+120)
100) Call You Mine 941 (+94)
101) Otro Trago 882 (+110)
102) Cash s**t 852 (+123)
103) One Thing Right 785 (+109)
104) Only Human 722 (+114)
105) How Do You Sleep? 624 (+126)
106) Baby 615 (+142)
107) China 553 (+108)
108) Hot Girl Summer 359 (+146)
109) Lover 157 (+157)

110) Motivation 129 (+129)

I'm also going to post what the cutoff will be if the week of November 24th, 2018 is not counted towards this year's list.

82) Eyes On You 1795

83) Trip 1788

84) This Is It 1774
- - - - - PROJECTED CUTOFF - - - - -

85) Talk You Out Of It 1768
86) Tequila 1742

87) Walk Me Home 1733
88) Love Lies 1653 (This will definitely not make the list in this scenario.)

[spicymapping]

big boi week here

TL, DR:
Locked: Ran$om, Goodbyes, Someone You Loved, The Git Up, Clout
Added: Panini, Beautiful People


1. Without Me (=)
2. Sunflower (=)
3. Old Town Road (=)
4. Happier (=)
5. 7 Rings (=)
6. Wow. (=)
7. SICKO MODE (=)
8. thank u, next (=)
9. High Hopes (=)
10. bad guy (+1)
11. Sucker (-1)
12. Talk (=)
13. Eastside (=)
14. Shallow (=)
15. Dancing With a Stranger (+1)
16. Going Bad (-1)
17. Better (=)
18. Girls Like You (=)
19. Sweet But Psycho (=)
20. MIDDLE CHILD (=)
21. Drip Too Hard (=)
22. I Don't Care (=)
23. Please Me (=)
24. ZEZE (=)
25. Better Now (=)
26. Suge (+1)
27. Truth Hurts (+3)
28. Youngblood (-2)
29. break up with your girlfriend, i’m bored (-1)
30. Money (-1)
31. If I Can’t Have You (+3)
32. Señorita (+11)
33. a lot (-2)
34. MIA (-2)
35. Look Back At It (-2)
36. Thotiana (-1)
37. Beautiful Crazy (-1)
38. Lucid Dreams (-1)
39. Speechless (=)
40. Mo Bamba (-2)
41. Wake Up In The Sky (-1)
42. Be Alright (-1)
43. God's Country (+1)
44. Pure Water (-2)
45. Whiskey Glasses (+2)
46. ME! (=)
47. Pop Out (+3)
48. Close To Me (-3)
49. Taki Taki (-1)
50. You Say (-1)
51. Envy Me (=)
52. No Guidance (+2)
53. Con Calma (-1)
54. when the party’s over (-1)
55. Hey Look Ma, I Made It (+2)
56. Murder on My Mind (-1)
57. Act Up (-1)
58. I Like It (=)
59. Leave Me Alone (=)
60. Breathin (=)
61. Beer Never Broke My Heart (+3)
62. Close Friends (-1)
63. bury a friend (-1)
64. Money In The Grave (+2)
65. Baby Shark (-2)
66. You Need To Calm Down (+4)
67. Worth It (-2)
68. The London (+4)
69. Ran$om (+14)
70. Trip (-3)
71. Swervin (-3)
72. Rumor (-3)
73. Tequila (-2)
74. Goodbyes (+7)
75. Someone You Loved (+5)
76. Look What God Gave Her (-6)
77. The Git Up (+7) 
78. Clout (-1)
79. Good as You (-5)
80. Love Lies (-5)
81. Talk You Out Of It (-5)

Predicted Cutoff - 1500

82. Eyes on You (-4)
83. Robbery (-4)
84. Beautiful (-2)
85. GIRL (=)
86. Walk Me Home (=)
87. Shotta Flow (+7) - WA: 2
88. Never Really Over (+5) - WA: 3, WL: 8
89. Here Tonight (-2)
90. All I Want For Christmas is You (-2)
91. Knockin' Boots (+8) - WA: 2
92. This Is It (-3)
93. Miss Me More (-3)
94. Girls Need Love (-3)
95. Put a Date On It (-3)
96. EARFQUAKE (+5) - WA: 5, WL: 6
97. Natural (-3)
98. Here With Me (-2)
99. Mixed Personalities (-2)
100. Girl Like You (-2)

101. Backin It Up (-1)
102. Cool (=)
103. Armed And Dangerous (=)
104. Uproar (=)
105. All To Myself (+8) - WA: 4
106. Go Loko (+4) - WL: 5, WL: 4
107. Make It Sweet (-2)
108. Ella Quire Beber (-2)
109. Who Do You Love (-2)
110. Calma (-2)
111. Sanguine Paradise (-2)
112. Calling My Spirit (-1)
113. This Feeling (-1)
114. Panini (NEW) - WA: 5
115. Love Ain't (-1)
116. Beautiful People (NEW) - WL: 3
117. 24/7 (-2)
118. Ocean Eyes (-2)
119. Millionaire (-2)
120. Twerk (-2)
121. Sixteen (-2)
122. Arms Around You (-2)

[GPMB]

wait how do we know that talk you out of it is gone? are we just guessing or

[Deleted]

Aug 26, 2019 21:54:23 GMT -5 GPMB said:

wait how do we know that talk you out of it is gone? are we just guessing or

The charts came out early today. Here's the link to the full charts. pulsemusic.proboards.com/post/7109604/thread

[hydraflare]

Yay we might be spared from FGL's worst song making the year-end after all

[reputainbow]

SPOILER: Click to show

{Spoiler}{Top 100}[] = 2019 Peak | Locked | Nearing/Most Likely | Slight Chance (for those not charting) | Currently Charting | Recurrent/Not Charting
1(=) Sunflower (Post Malone/Swae Lee) 5581 [1] (+349)
2(=) Without Me (Halsey) 5497 [1] (+303)
3(=) Old Town Road (Lil Nas X/Billy Ray Cyrus) 5303 [1] (+830)
4(+1) 7 rings (Ariana Grande) 4421 [1] (+278)
5(-1) Happier (Marshmello/Bastille) 4400 [2] (+222)
6(+1) Wow. (Post Malone) 4205 [2] (+306)
7(-1) Sicko Mode (Travis Scott) 3959 [1] (+51)
8(=) High Hopes (Panic! at the Disco) 3788 [4] (+69)
9(=) thank u, next (Ariana Grande) 3589 [1]
10(=) Sucker (Jonas Brothers) 3427 [1] (+377)
11(+5) Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) 3380 [1] (+790)
12(+2) Talk (Khalid) 3241 [3] (+590)
13(-2) Shallow (Lady Gaga/Bradley Cooper) 3033 [1] (+106)
14(-1) Going Bad (Meek Mill/Drake) 2910 [6] (+160)
15(+2) Dancing With a Stranger (Sam Smith/Normani) 2891 [7] (+320)
16(-4) Eastside (Benny Blanco/Halsey/Khalid) 2847 [9]
17(-2) Better (Khalid) 2810 [8] (+171)
18(+2) Sweet But Psycho (Ava Max) 2612 [10] (+194)
19(-1) MIDDLE CHILD (J. Cole) 2513 [4]
20(-1) Girls Like You (Maroon 5/Cardi B) 2472 [7]
21(=) Drip Too Hard (Lil Baby/Yung Gunna) 2310 [8]
22(+5) I Don't Care (Ed Sheeran/Justin Bieber) 2250 [2] (+510)
23(-1) Please Me (Cardi B/Bruno Mars) 1911 [3]
24(-1) Look Back At It (A Boogie Wit da Hoodie) 1819 [27]
25(+32) Truth Hurts (Lizzo) 1799 [3] (+650)
26(-2) ZEZE (Kodak Black/Travis Scott/Offset) 1798 [7]
27(+13) Suge (DaBaby) 1793 [7] (+342)
28(-3) Better Now (Post Malone) 1782 [10]
29(-3) Youngblood (5 Seconds of Summer) 1764 [12]
30(-2) break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored (Ariana Grande) 1731 [2]
31(-2) A Lot (21 Savage) 1704 [12]
32(-2) Money (Cardi B) 1697 [13]
33(-2) Beautiful Crazy (Luke Combs) 1668 [21]
34(+7) Speechless (Dan + Shay) 1661 [24] (+291)
35(-3) MIA (Bad Bunny/Drake) 1623 [18]
36(+35) Senorita (Shawn Mendes/Camila Cabello) 1580 [1] (+770)
37(-4) Pure Water (Mustard/Migos) 1559 [23]
38(+18) If I Can't Have You (Shawn Mendes) 1531 [2] (+379)
39(-5) Be Alright (Dean Lewis) 1528 [23]
40(-5) Thotiana (Blueface) 1522 [8]
41(+7) God's Country (Blake Shelton) 1508 [17] (+275)
42(-6) Envy Me (Calboy) 1498 [31]
43(+4) Whiskey Glasses (Morgan Wallen) 1492 [17] (+251)
44(-7) You Say (Lauren Daigle) 1477 [29]
45(-7) Close to Me (Ellie Goulding/Diplo/Swae Lee) 1458 [24]
46(-7) Lucid Dreams (Juice WRLD) 1452 [5]
47(-5) Mo Bamba (Sheck Wes) 1363 [6]
48(+11) Pop Out (Polo G/Lil Tjay) 1360 [11] (+301)
49(+1) ME! (Taylor Swift/Brendon Urie) 1360 [2] (+156)
50(-7) Taki Taki (DJ Snake/Selena Gomez/Ozuna/Cardi B) 1350 [18]
51(-7) Wake Up In the Sky (Gucci Mane/Bruno Mars/Kodak Black) 1337 [11]
52(-7) Con Calma (Daddy Yankee/Katy Perry/Snow) 1335 [22]
53(-7) Act Up (City Girls) 1320 [26]
54(+25) No Guidance (Chris Brown/Drake) 1259 [6] (+550)
55(+10) Hey Look Ma, I Made It (Panic! At the Disco) 1219 [16] (+319)
56(-7) I Like It (Cardi B/Bad Bunny/J Balvin) 1211 [24]
57(-6) Baby Shark (Pinkfong) 1189 [32]
58(-6) Bury a Friend (Billie Eilish) 1176 [14]
59(-6) Murder On My Mind (YNW Melly) 1168 [14]
60(-6) When the Party's Over (Billie Eilish) 1163 [29]
61(-6) Leave Me Alone (Flipp Dinero) 1157 [20]
62(+8) Beer Never Broke My Heart (Luke Combs) 1133 [21] (+314)
63(-5) Swervin (A Boogie Wit da Hoodie/6ix9ine) 1060 [38]
64(-3) Worth It (YK Osiris) 1043 [48] (+101)
65(+15) The London (Young Thug/J. Cole/Travis Scott) 990 [12] (+301)
66(-6) Breathin (Ariana Grande) 988 [12]
67(+27) Money In the Grave (Drake/Rick Ross) 959 [7] (+352)
68(+24) You Need to Calm Down (Taylor Swift) 951 [2] (+338)
69(+5) Clout (Offset/Cardi B) 944 [39] (+202)
70(-8) Close Friends (Lil Baby) 939 [47]
71(-8) Rumor (Lee Brice) 931 [25]
72(NEW) Ran$om (Lil Tecca) 914 [5]
73(-9) Look What God Gave Her (Thomas Rhett) 911 [32]
74(-8) Tequila (Dan + Shay) 898 [29]
75(-8) Good as You (Kane Brown) 893 [36]
76(-8) Trip (Ella Mai) 887 [15]
77(NEW) Goodbyes (Post Malone/Young Thug) 880 [3]
78(NEW) Someone You Loved (Lewis Capaldi) 872 [11]
79(-10) Love Lies (Khalid/Normani) 838 [19]
80(NEW) The Git Up (Blanco Brown) 834 [14]
81(+17) Never Really Over (Katy Perry) 808 [15] (+222)
82(-10) Beautiful (Bazzi/Camila Cabello) 803 [26]
83(-10) Eyes on You (Chase Rice) 779 [38]
84(NEW) Knockin' Boots (Luke Bryan) 744 [32]
85(-10) Walk Me Home (P!nk) 737 [49]
86(-10) All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 729 [3]
87(-10) Robbery (Juice WRLD) 727 [27]
88(-10) Here With Me (Marshmello/CHVRCHES) 723 [31]
89(NEW) Shotta Flow (NLE Choppa) 709 [36]
90(+7) EARFQUAKE (Tyler, the Creator) 692 [13] (+97)
91(NEW) Go Loko (YG/Tyga/Jon Z) 679 [49]
92(-11) GIRL (Maren Morris) 677 [44]
93(-11) This Is It (Scotty McCreery) 676 [42]
94(-11) Backin' It Up (Pardison Fontaine/Cardi B) 669 [40]
95(-11) Natural (Imagine Dragons) 663 [20]
96(-11) Uproar (Lil Wayne) 662 [35]
97(-11) Girl Like You (Jason Aldean) 652 [46]
98(NEW) Panini (Lil Nas X) 651 [16]
99(-12) Miss Me More (Kelsea Ballerini) 637 [47]
100(-12) Who Do You Love (The Chainsmokers/5 Seconds of Summer) 635 [52]

[spicymapping]

all songs hold positions thing. gonna do this for the remaining weeks.

1. Old Town Road
2. Sunflower
3. Without Me
4. Bad Guy
5. 7 Rings
6. Wow.
7. Talk
8. Señorita
9. Sucker
10. Happier
11. Sicko Mode
12. Truth Hurts
13. thank u, next
14. High Hopes
15. Dancing With a Stranger
16. I Don't Care
17. Eastside
18. Shallow
19. If I Can't Have You
20. Going Bad
21. Suge
22. No Guidance
23. Ran$om
24. Better
25. Girls Like You
26. Sweet But Psycho
27. MIDDLE CHILD
28. Drip Too Hard
29. Speechless
30. Goodbyes
31. Pop Out
32. Money In The Grave
33. Someone You Loved
34. You Need To Calm Down
35. God's Country
36. Hey Look Ma, I Made It
37. Whiskey Glasses
38. Beer Never Broke My Heart
39. The Git Up
40. Please Me
41. ZEZE
42. The London
43. Better Now
44. Youngblood
45. BUWYG, IB
46. Money
47. A Lot
48. MIA
49. Beautiful People
50. Look Back At It
51. Thotiana
52. Beautiful Crazy
53. Lucid Dreams
54. Mo Bamba
55. ME!
56. Wake Up In The Sky
57. Be Alright
58. Knockin' Boots
59. Pure Water
60. Close To Me
61. Taki Taki
62. You Say
63. Shotta Flow
64. Envy Me
65. Con Calma
66. Panini
67. Boyfriend
68. All To Myself
69. When the Party's Over
70. Baby
71. Murder on My Mind
72. Act Up
73. Rearview Town
74. I Like It
75. Leave Me Alone
76. Hot Girl Summer
77. Breathin
78. Lover
79. My Type
80. Close Friends
81. Bury a Friend
82. Never Really Over
83. Trampoline
84. Baby Shark
85. Cash s**t
86. Worth It
87. Otro Trago
88. How Do You Sleep?
89. Trip
90. Swervin
91. Rumor
92. Hot
93. Tequila
94. One Thing Right
95. EARFQUAKE
96. Look What God Gave Her
97. Clout
98. Good as You
99. Love Lies
100. Talk You Out of It

101. Only Human
102. Press
103. The Ones That Didn't Make It Back Home
104. Easier
105. Go Loko
106. Eyes on You
107. Callaita
108. Robbery
109. Beautiful
110. Bad Bad Bad

[rockgolf]

Twelve weeks out and we're developing a consensus not on the #1 song of the year, but on #100.

Wow.

[Deleted]

On the subject of predicting the #100 song, here are some possible candidates starting off with those that have already dropped out.

1) Trip (Without November 24th)
2) Tequila (Without November 24th)
3) Love Lies (With November 24th)
4) Eyes On You
5) This Is It
6) Talk You Out Of It
7) Walk Me Home

Here are the songs that are still charting that can possibly get that #100 spot.

1) Earfquake
2) Press
3) One Thing Right
4) Go Loko
5) Trampoline
6) Easier
7) China
8) Callaita
9) Only Human
10) Lover
11) All To Myself
12) Rearview Town
13) Motivation

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^That's a lot of candidates. Particularly, for the songs still charting, that's a lot of ifs.

[avatar]

Could Call You Mine Slip Into The List?

[Deleted]

Aug 27, 2019 23:02:21 GMT -5 avatar said:

Could Call You Mine Slip Into The List?

It would first need to make the top 50 for it to even have a chance.

[tallen2001]

On the year end we could have 5 Ariana songs from 3 different albums. Has that ever happened before?

[moonlite]

Aug 29, 2019 18:52:22 GMT -5 tallen2001 said:

On the year end we could have 5 Ariana songs from 3 different albums. Has that ever happened before?

Could be Post this year as well if Circles is a smash

Beerbongs - Better Now

Spiderman Soundtrack - Sunflower

Hollywoods Bleeding - Wow, Goodbyes, Circles

[rockgolf]

My guesstimates of what the Top 100 songs of 2019 will be including data from the August 31, 2019 chart.

Given there's only about 11 chart weeks left until the end of the year, I've decided on a new criteria for inclusion on this list. All songs in the top 100 will be listed as will any songs still on the chart that could theoretically reach the year-end top 100, if they maintain the points they received this week as an average for the next 11 weeks.

Obviously not all songs on that list will make it. Many will drop off the chart way earlier than the end of November, and other newcomers could challenge for a coveted spot if the enter high or climb quickly. But time is running out. If a song enters the chart in early November, even if it debuts at #1 and stays there, there won't be enough time to make the *magic* 1100 estimated points required to get on the year-end.

Other new, finally, Sunflower has moved to silver, and Without Me shifted down to bronze. Jonas Brothers' Sucker is still looking like it could reach the year-end top ten, and at this point only Khalid could spoil that.

Only new "lock" on the final list this week is Katy Perry's Never Really Over, but it will be very close to the bottom. A tsunami of Taylor tracks are to be expected next week, but the only songs in this weeks top 50 that could be de-charted by this look to be the God's Country and Whiskey Glasses.

The tracks I think that have the best shot to make the year-end that aren't already in the top 100 are Saweetie, Boyfriend, Baby & Lover.

Coincidentally, all those titles are terms of endearment.

[inverse]

TOP 100 SONG PREDICTION

I know this page is kinda full of big lists like this but whatever! Probably not as accurate as fhas/rimetm's list, I have a feeling that some early hits like Swervin and Trip should be a bit higher

1	Lil Nas X f/ Billy Ray Cyrus	Old Town Road	1366050
2	Post Malone & Swae Lee	Sunflower	1033250
3	Halsey	Without Me	1015150
4	Marshmello & Bastille	Happier	824400
5	Ariana Grande	7 Rings	771920
6	Post Malone	Wow	760830
7	Travis Scott	Sicko Mode	744700
8	Panic! At The Disco	High Hopes	734750
9	Ariana Grande	thank u, next	663250
10	Billie Eilish	Bad Guy	634250
11	Jonas Brothers	Sucker	598400
12	Khalid	Talk	595600
13	Benny Blanco f/ Halsey, Khalid	Eastside	590400
14	Meek Mill f/ Drake	Going Bad	577760
15	Lady Gaga & Bradley Cooper	Shallow	568200
16	Sam Smith & Normani	Dancing With A Stranger	560080
17	Khalid	Better	536600
18	Ava Max	Sweet But Psycho	511800
19	Maroon 5 f/ Cardi B	Girls Like You	490500
20	J. Cole	Middle Child	489200
21	Lil Baby & Gunna	Drip Too Hard	448130
22	Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber	I Don't Care	410900
23	Cardi B f/ Bruno Mars	Please Me	360350
24	Ariana Grande	break up with your girlfriend, i'm bored	360220
25	DaBaby	Suge	357700
26	Post Malone	Better Now	346450
27	5 Seconds Of Summer	Youngblood	341950
28	Lizzo	Truth Hurts	341700
29	Kodak Black f/ Offset, Travis Scott	ZEZE	340520
30	A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie	Look Back At It	338450
31	Cardi B	Money	331850
32	21 Savage	A Lot	328150
33	Luke Combs	Beautiful Crazy	318800
34	Shawn Mendes	If I Can't Have You	307930
35	Blueface	Thotiana	306400
36	Taylor Swift f/ Brendon Urie	ME!	305900
37	Bad Bunny f/ Drake	MIA	302400
38	Dan + Shay	Speechless	300300
39	Mustard f/ Migos	Pure Water	292430
40	Morgan Wallen	Whiskey Glasses	285600
41	Dean Lewis	Be Alright	284500
42	Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello	Senorita	283500
43	Calboy	Envy Me	280100
44	Blake Shelton	God's Country	280000
45	Ellie Goulding X Diplo f/ Swae Lee	Close To Me	274600
46	Polo G f/ Lil Tjay	Pop Out	272500
47	Juice WRLD	Lucid Dreams	268580
48	Lauren Daigle	You Say	264400
49	Daddy Yankee f/ Snow	Con Calma	263850
50	Gucci Mane f/ Bruno Mars, Kodak Black	Wake Up In The Sky	263270
51	Sheck Wes	Mo Bamba	263000
52	YNW Melly	Murder On My Mind	254350
53	Chris Brown f/ Drake	No Guidance	251270
54	DJ Snake f/ Ozuna, Cardi B, Selena Gomez	Taki Taki	248350
55	City Girls	Act Up	246500
56	Billie Eilish	When The Party's Over	246030
57	Panic! At The Disco	Hey Look Ma, I Made It	240650
58	Billie Eilish	Bury A Friend	226400
59	YK Osiris	Worth It	221300
60	Lil Baby	Close Friends	215000
61	Cardi B f/ Bad Bunny, J Balvin	I Like It	212750
62	Pinkfong	Baby Shark	211950
63	Flipp Dinero	Leave Me Alone	209830
64	Luke Combs	Beer Never Broke My Heart	207400
65	Lee Brice	Rumor	200900
66	Drake f/ Rick Ross	Money In The Grave	198200
67	Ariana Grande	Breathin	196100
68	Thomas Rhett	Look What God Gave Her	193030
69	Taylor Swift	You Need To Calm Down	191800
70	A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie f/ 6ix9ine	Swervin	191400
71	Offset f/ Cardi B	Clout	190450
72	Kane Brown	Good As You	189550
73	Florida Georgia Line	Talk You Out Of It	187150
74	Lewis Capaldi	Someone You Loved	181200
75	Young Thug, J. Cole, Travis Scott	The London	180250
76	Lil Tecca	Ran$om	180200
77	Chase Rice	Eyes On You	173000
78	P!nk	Walk Me Home	172950
79	Maren Morris	Girl	171280
80	Juice WRLD	Robbery	168900
81	Blanco Brown	The Git Up	168700
82	Post Malone f/ Young Thug	Goodbyes	164450
83	Ella Mai	Trip	164120
84	NLE Choppa	Shotta Flow	162500
85	Kelsea Ballerini	Miss Me More	160070
86	Dan + Shay	Tequila	159850
87	Luke Bryan	Knockin' Boots	158850
88	Summer Walker f/ Drake	Girls Need Love	156320
89	Brett Young	Here Tonight	156280
90	Scotty McCreery	This Is It	153950
91	Yo Gotti f/ Lil Baby	Put A Date On It	152450
92	Marshmello f/ CHVRCHES	Here With Me	151970
93	Jonas Brothers	Cool	149950
94	Khalid & Normani	Love Lies	149850
95	Katy Perry	Never Really Over	147320
96	Tyler The Creator	Earthquake	145700
97	YNW Melly f/ Kanye West	Mixed Personalities	145230
98	YG, Tyga & Jon Z	Go Loko	145100
99	Jason Aldean	Girl Like You	141450
100	Bazzi f/ Camila Cabello	Beautiful	140450

It's possible that a couple of low songs like Who Do You Love, Make It Sweet, Calma, or Sanguine Paradise are right near the bottom as of now. (Edit: Looked at all these and even though they all had over 130,000 none of them are in the top 100 right now) If anyone wants to know how many points something else has just ask!

[nathanalbright]

From the looks of this I'm guessing you didn't include 11/24 in your calcs, right?

[inverse]

That's correct, if you're curious about that here's what it would look like if those were included

Sunflower +14700
Without Me +25100
Speechless +10500
Happier 851300
Sicko Mode 772000
High Hopes 756250
thank u next 702150
Eastside 605400
Shallow 581900
Better 545500
Girls Like You 515000
Drip Too Hard 468930
Better Now 366750
ZEZE 361920
Youngblood 361750
Money 345450
MIA 317700
Lucid Dreams 292280
Be Alright 290100
Mo Bamba 284550
Wake Up In The Sky 279270
You Say 271600
Taki Taki 264850
When The Party's Over 253630
I Like It 225050
Close Friends 222650
Leave Me Alone 220360
Breathin 213700
Trip 179520
Tequila 170420
Love Lies 165050
Beautiful 151650

[Deleted]

Since Spicymapping did it, I'm also going to do the total number of points certain songs will get if the charts stay the same for the rest of the year. The only difference is I will only do the songs that I tracked earlier this week (I will not be able to tell the positions of anything above 2000 points because of this).

?) Knockin' Boots 3176
?) Shotta Flow 3032
?) All To Myself 2857
?) Rearview Town 2502
?) Trampoline 2385
?) Cash Shit 2328
?) Baby 2319
?) Never Really Over 2275
?) Otro Trago 2202
?) How Do You Sleep? 2136
?) Hot Girl Summer 2111
?) One Thing Right 2093
?) Only Human 2090
91) Lover 2041
92) Rumor 2012
93) Clout 1991
94) Good As You 1968
95) Look What God Gave Her 1965
96) Trip 1952
97) Press 1892
98) Easier 1889
99) Earfquake 1887
100) Go Loko 1885
-- -- -- -- -- CUTOFF -- -- -- -- --
101) Tequila 1866
102) Callaita 1859 (This is projected #100 if November 24th, 2018 doesn't count.)
103) China 1849
104) Love Lies 1803
105) Eyes On You 1795
106) This Is It 1774
107) Talk You Out Of It 1768
108) Walk Me Home 1733
(Songs like Beautiful, Robbery & GIRL could be above the next 2 songs but I never tracked those 3.)
?) Call You Mine 1693
?) Motivation 1677

PS: Trip, Tequila & Love Lies will all miss the 2019 year end list if November 24th, 2018 is not counted in this scenario.

[earth]

Sunflower will be on post's new album apparently, but I doubt that'll change much

[GPMB]

so rimetm is gonna post both the 8/24 and 8/31 updates around the same time im assuming

[rimetm]

My posts are dependent on fhas getting his 20-song estimates out, which he posts a sample of publicly. He hasn’t gotten to 8/24 yet, so if he blazes through the both then I can do the same but it’s not a guarantee.

I did produce my own estimates off his Sunday numbers updated with Billboard info from articles along with adjustments for bullets, so that’ll be feeding a 3 Seasons YE video dropping today.

EDIT: It's out now!

[Nick P]

will Knockin Boots make the list?

[hydraflare]

Aug 31, 2019 8:47:20 GMT -5 Nick P said:

will Knockin Boots make the list?

Unfortunately, yes

[earth]

How many weeks for EARFQUAKE to make it?

[Deleted]

Aug 31, 2019 10:28:18 GMT -5 earth said:

How many weeks for EARFQUAKE to make it?

It needs at least 5 more weeks at its current position.

[earth]

If Post Malone's album does really well, does he have a chance at artist of the year?

[Groovy]

Just a crazy fact, I don’t know if people know this but this might be the first year since her debut in 2005 that we won’t have a song on the year end chart from Rihanna whether she’s the lead or the guest.

[moonlite]

Aug 31, 2019 12:07:52 GMT -5 earth said:

If Post Malone's album does really well, does he have a chance at artist of the year?

Yea I would think he's the frontrunner. He'll have 2 songs and 2 albums in the top 10 year end for the Hot 100 and BB200

[GPMB]

wait so is the week of November 30, 2019 gonna be counted towards the final list or no