Billboard Hot 100: 04/09/2016

[jtd Thee Stallion]

Mar 29, 2016 7:43:19 GMT -5 Ravi said:

Mar 28, 2016 14:53:34 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

I mean it would to slip HARD. It's at 3 with only 3 weeks left til the record is broken.

I know..... Love Yourself will in all probability should get that 22nd week..... but there is a very small chance it doesn't

This is the rough projection of points I have for the 22nd week:

1. Work - 37k
2. 7 Years - 35k
3. NO - 32k
4. My House - 27k
5. Love Yourself - 24k

6. Work From Home - 23.5k
7. Me, Myself & I - 23k
8. Stressed Out - 22.5k
9. PILLOWTALK - 22.5k
10. Cake By The Ocean - 22.5k
11. I Took a Pill in Ibiza - 22.5k

So if Love Yourself follow normal drops,it will actually be #5 in its 22nd week, but if it crashes for some reason, it might go out of Top-10, as there is not much spread in #6-11 songs. But the chances of that happening are very low.

In fact, if Love Yourself holds a bit better, it might even get a 23rd week.

So in summary I see the following scenarios for LY's Top-10 run depending on drops:

Very Harsh drops - Out of Top-10 in 22nd week
Harsh drop - #6-10 in 22nd week, out of Top-10 in 23rd week
Normal drop - #5/6 in 22nd week, out of Top-10 in 23rd week
Good drop - #5 in 22nd week, #6-10 in 23rd week

And it's STILL #7 lol.