Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2016 15:49:19 GMT -5
Ravi , do you think there's any chance that WFH falls below ITAPII this week and the latter returns to the top ten? I'd be ecstatic if it got one more week in the top ten (plus it's rare to see songs fall out of the top ten, after being in it longer than a week or two, and then returning to the top ten afterwards; other than Love Yourself I don't recall any song doing that recently) Shake It Off if you consider that recent eh, true but that was more than a year ago lol. I'm still upset it fell to #11 that week or else it would've held that record to this day :( |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2016 21:02:21 GMT -5
Credit to kworb.net YouTube Building Chart (7/5/2016) * Out of nowhere, Work From Home has just collapsed out of the top 20 completely.
* Man, are SYA and UF ever gonna die? |
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85la
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Posts: 3,916 
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Post by 85la on Jul 7, 2016 21:55:43 GMT -5
^ Sorry to nitpick with more questions about this chart, but is it only for views of the official video, or does it combine all video and audio versions of the song on YouTube that are eligible to count for the Hot 100?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 7, 2016 23:27:06 GMT -5
^ Sorry to nitpick with more questions about this chart, but is it only for views of the official video, or does it combine all video and audio versions of the song on YouTube that are eligible to count for the Hot 100? I'm pretty sure it's only the official videos. Keeping track of every single user-generated stream would be an absolute nightmare to script, unless he's getting the data from Soundscan itself. Then again, Panda has an absurd amount of its official youtube streams counting for the US chart, so maybe it does count user-generated ones. I don't know how much effort Kworb put into getting this data, or if the youtube insights counts everything. |
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Ravi
Charting
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Posts: 420
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Post by Ravi on Jul 8, 2016 0:47:10 GMT -5
Ravi , do you think there's any chance that WFH falls below ITAPII this week and the latter returns to the top ten? I'd be ecstatic if it got one more week in the top ten (plus it's rare to see songs fall out of the top ten, after being in it longer than a week or two, and then returning to the top ten afterwards; other than Love Yourself I don't recall any song doing that recently) I doubt that..... this week both are pretty much equal in sales and ITAPII is around 15M ahead in airplay. So the streaming gap to neutralize that would be 1.8M. Last week WFH was 3.5M ahead in airplay and this week also it should stay around ~3M ahead. But there is a chance Pink re-enters Top-10 or Adele may make a surprise entry in Top-10. Rough estimates as of now.... may not be able to post detailed predictions as I am very busy this week. 1. One Dance - 39.5k 2. CSTF - 37k 3. DLMD - 31.5k 4. TIWYCF - 31k 5. Cheap Thrills - 30.5k 6. Panda - 30k 7. Ride - 24k 8/9 Needed Me - 23.5k 8/9 Don't Mind - 23.5k 10. WFH - 20k 11/12 JLF - 19.5k 11/12 SML-19.5k 13. ITAPII - 19k As you can see #3-6 are very close and any two consecutive songs may exchange their ranks. |
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Ravi
Charting
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Posts: 420
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Post by Ravi on Jul 8, 2016 1:07:14 GMT -5
Credit to kworb.net YouTube Building Chart (7/5/2016)![]() * Out of nowhere, Work From Home has just collapsed out of the top 20 completely.
* Man, are SYA and UF ever gonna die?It seems you have added data for 6 days. But 7/5/2016 (Tuesday) is only the 5th day of the current tracking week (which began on 7/1/2016). |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2016 2:18:19 GMT -5
Credit to kworb.net YouTube Building Chart (7/5/2016)![]() * Out of nowhere, Work From Home has just collapsed out of the top 20 completely.
* Man, are SYA and UF ever gonna die?It seems you have added data for 6 days. But 7/5/2016 (Tuesday) is only the 5th day of the current tracking week (which began on 7/1/2016). Huh. I wonder if Kworb made a typo and the chart is supposed to represent the 6th? I've got data for every day since last Friday. Edit: Never mind. Kworb's just a day later than I thought. Guess I have to delete the first day. Okay, fixed.  |
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carreramd
Charting
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Posts: 406
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Post by carreramd on Jul 8, 2016 6:57:16 GMT -5
Credit to kworb.net YouTube Building Chart (7/5/2016)* Out of nowhere, Work From Home has just collapsed out of the top 20 completely.
* Man, are SYA and UF ever gonna die?SYA, UF and Watch Me too. |
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carreramd
Charting
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Posts: 406
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Post by carreramd on Jul 8, 2016 6:58:43 GMT -5
Where's Into You? :( I'm losing the hope it will be on top 20 of BB Hot 100
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2016 7:00:47 GMT -5
Ugh, computer's dead. Can someone take over the youtube updates for now?
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Post by Mike is BAD on Jul 8, 2016 8:53:30 GMT -5
Ravi , do you think there's any chance that WFH falls below ITAPII this week and the latter returns to the top ten? I'd be ecstatic if it got one more week in the top ten (plus it's rare to see songs fall out of the top ten, after being in it longer than a week or two, and then returning to the top ten afterwards; other than Love Yourself I don't recall any song doing that recently) I doubt that..... this week both are pretty much equal in sales and ITAPII is around 15M ahead in airplay. So the streaming gap to neutralize that would be 1.8M. Last week WFH was 3.5M ahead in airplay and this week also it should stay around ~3M ahead. But there is a chance Pink re-enters Top-10 or Adele may make a surprise entry in Top-10. Rough estimates as of now.... may not be able to post detailed predictions as I am very busy this week. 1. One Dance - 39.5k 2. CSTF - 37k 3. DLMD - 31.5k 4. TIWYCF - 31k 5. Cheap Thrills - 30.5k 6. Panda - 30k 7. Ride - 24k 8/9 Needed Me - 23.5k 8/9 Don't Mind - 23.5k 10. WFH - 20k 11/12 JLF - 19.5k 11/12 SML-19.5k 13. ITAPII - 19k
As you can see #3-6 are very close and any two consecutive songs may exchange their ranks.So are 10-13. #TeamP!nk |
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Post by Mike is BAD on Jul 8, 2016 8:59:29 GMT -5
I think the One Dance video is gonna come soon. So, after this I'd imagine 11 or 12 weeks at #1 for One Dance. 7/23 will be its 9th week.
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Daniel Collins
4x Platinum Member
With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Jul 8, 2016 10:45:02 GMT -5
2016/07/08
*** = dropped or added a format
1. JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE - Can't Stop The Feeling: 203.689 (+0.040)
2. DRAKE - One Dance f/Wizkid & Kyla: 195.645 (-0.233)
3. THE CHAINSMOKERS - Don't Let Me Down f/Daya: 163.056 (-0.485)
4. SIA - Cheap Thrills: 134.657 (+3.136)
5. CALVIN HARRIS - This Is What You... f/Rihanna: 127.718 (+0.703)
6. PINK - Just Like Fire: 124.985 (+0.554)
7. KENT JONES - Don't Mind: 107.521 (+0.091)
8. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Ride: 105.308 (+2.264) â–²
9. ARIANA GRANDE - Dangerous Woman: 104.803 (-1.042) â–¼
10. MIKE POSNER - I Took A Pill In Ibiza: 97.212 (-0.962)
11. JAMES BAY - Let It Go: 88.926 (-0.887)
12. ADELE - Send My Love (To Your New...: 84.224 (+1.720) â–²
13. JUSTIN BIEBER - Love Yourself: 82.545 (-0.701) â–¼
14. RIHANNA - Needed Me: 82.464 (+0.951)
15. FIFTH HARMONY - Work From Home: 77.681 (-1.579)
16. DNCE - Cake By The Ocean: 69.874 (-0.338)
17. JASON ALDEAN - Lights Come On: 69.121 (+0.749) â–²
18. LUKAS GRAHAM - 7 Years: 67.632 (-0.528) â–²
19. DESIIGNER - Panda: 67.331 (-1.682) â–¼
20. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Church Bells: 64.424 (+0.317) â–²
21. KEITH URBAN - Wasted Time: 63.142 (-1.561) â–¼
22. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - H.O.L.Y.: 62.781 (+0.582)
23. NICK JONAS - Close f/Tove Lo: 61.915 (-0.156)
24. TWENTY ONE PILOTS - Stressed Out: 60.230 (+0.021)
25. ZAYN - Pillowtalk: 58.597 (-0.447)
26. RUTH B. - Lost Boy: 58.005 (-0.029)
27. FLO RIDA - My House: 57.257 (-0.209)
28. DRAKE - Controlla: 56.115 (+0.516)
29. BEYONCE - Sorry: 54.238 (-0.615)
30. ERIC CHURCH - Record Year: 53.661 (+0.517)
31. KENNY CHESNEY - Noise: 53.253 (+0.292)
32. DJ KHALED - For Free f/Drake: 50.672 (+0.724) â–²
33. JON PARDI - Head Over Boots: 49.395 (+0.766) â–²
34. FAT JOE & REMY MA - All The Way Up: 49.127 (-1.039) â–¼
35. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 48.742 (+0.276)
36. CHRIS LANE - Fix: 48.691 (+0.982)
37. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Me Too: 45.446 (+0.343)
38. JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 43.326 (-0.459) â–²
39. LUKE BRYAN - Huntin', Fishin' And Lovin'...: 42.877 (-1.062) â–¼
40. DAN + SHAY - From The Ground Up: 41.188 (+0.550) â–²
41. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 41.119 (+0.346) â–¼
42. JAKE OWEN - American Country Love Song: 40.070 (+0.332) â–²
43. THOMAS RHETT - T-Shirt: 39.868 (-0.229) â–¼
44. SHAWN MENDES - Treat You Better: 39.607 (+1.141) â–²
45. RIHANNA - Work f/Drake: 39.082 (-0.671***) â–¼
46. ZARA LARSSON & MNEK - Never Forget You: 38.836 (+0.216) â–¼
47. G-EAZY - Me Myself And I f/Bebe Rexha: 37.288 (-0.224)
48. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 36.699 (-0.108) â–²
49. DIERKS BENTLEY - Somewhere On A Beach: 36.371 (-0.500) â–¼
50. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 36.355 (-0.181)
51. SAM HUNT - Make You Miss Me: 36.316 (+0.076)
52. CHARLIE PUTH - One Call Away: 35.685 (+0.240)
53. JUSTIN MOORE - You Look Like I Need A Drink: 35.058 (+0.172)
54. BEN RECTOR - Brand New: 34.801 (+0.151)
55. FIFTH HARMONY - All In My Head (Flex): 34.664 (+0.874) â–²
56. KELSEA BALLERINI - Peter Pan: 34.649 (+0.602) â–¼
57. ONEREPUBLIC - Wherever I Go: 34.413 (+0.489) â–¼
58. DAVID NAIL - Night's On Fire: 33.808 (+0.231)
59. FRANKIE BALLARD - It All Started With A Beer: 33.014 (+0.166) â–²
60. ADELE - Hello: 32.886 (-0.128) â–¼
61. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 32.754 (+0.328)
62. CHRIS YOUNG & CASSADEE POPE - Think Of You: 31.805 (-0.254)
63. CHARLIE PUTH - We Don't Talk...f/Selena Gomez: 31.215 (+0.309)
64. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 30.791 (+0.182)
65. TIM MCGRAW - Humble And Kind: 29.437 (-0.861)
66. FLUME - Never Be Like You f/Kai: 29.066 (+0.727) â–²
67. FUTURE - Wicked: 28.999 (-0.273)
68. BLAKE SHELTON - Came Here To Forget: 28.983 (-0.152)
69. KIP MOORE - Running For You: 28.758 (+0.308)
70. O.T. GENASIS - Cut It f/Young Dolph: 28.684 (-0.635) â–¼
71. WALE - MY PYT: 28.304 (+0.575)
72. BRAD PAISLEY - Without A Fight f/Demi Lovato: 27.734 (+0.126)
73. OLD DOMINION - Snapback: 26.890 (+0.175)
74. ZAC BROWN BAND - Castaway: 26.157 (-0.139)
75. DNCE - Toothbrush: 25.628 (+0.442) â–²
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MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
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Post by MTSChart21 on Jul 8, 2016 14:35:48 GMT -5
Daniel Collins, thanks for doing it today!  I should be able to post the AI update tomorrow
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Kworb
5x Platinum Member
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Posts: 5,268
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Post by Kworb on Jul 8, 2016 16:55:43 GMT -5
Sales estimates 1. Can't Stop The Feeling 100,000 2. Cheap Thrills 85,000 3. Me Too 70,000 4. H.O.L.Y. 69,000 5. One Dance 69,000 6. M.I.L.F. $ 66,000 7. Don't Let Me Down 61,000 8. This Is What You Came For 60,000 9. Ride 59,000 10. Just Like Fire 50,000 11. Send My Love 48,000 12. Lost Boy 46,000 13. Let It Go 45,000 14. You Don't Own Me 44,000 15. Unsteady 42,000 16. Heathens 42,000 17. Don't Mind 41,000 18. Panda 39,000 19. Needed Me 38,000 20. Never Be Like You 34,000 21. Sorry 34,000 22. Treat You Better 33,000 kworb.net/cc |
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Deleted
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Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2016 19:31:11 GMT -5
this may be the last week of CSTF being sales #1 before Sia takes over. I wonder whether she'll take over atop the Hot 100 or Drake will stay there for who knows how long...
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Post by Mike is BAD on Jul 9, 2016 8:41:58 GMT -5
this may be the last week of CSTF being sales #1 before Sia takes over. I wonder whether she'll take over atop the Hot 100 or Drake will stay there for who knows how long... I think Sia will take #1 away from Drake, but she has to watch out for Calvin/Rihanna, Katy Perry (With her upcoming single) and Kent Jones (Eh, not so much Kent). |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Jul 9, 2016 8:58:46 GMT -5
this may be the last week of CSTF being sales #1 before Sia takes over. I wonder whether she'll take over atop the Hot 100 or Drake will stay there for who knows how long... I think Sia will take #1 away from Drake, but she has to watch out for Calvin/Rihanna, Katy Perry (With her upcoming single) and Kent Jones (Eh, not so much Kent). At this point what would get Calvin/Rihanna to #1 over Sia? |
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MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
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Post by MTSChart21 on Jul 9, 2016 11:22:53 GMT -5
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85la
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Post by 85la on Jul 9, 2016 11:27:11 GMT -5
I really think the One Dance video might not extend Drake's run that much. It really is too late, and many people probably won't be excited about it. Has there been official confirmation that it has even been filmed?
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bobbybob
Charting
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 42
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Post by bobbybob on Jul 9, 2016 11:57:28 GMT -5
I really think the One Dance video might not extend Drake's run that much. It really is too late, and many people probably won't be excited about it. Has there been official confirmation that it has even been filmed? Well, right now, you can't really find "One Dance" on YouTube, which is where a lot of people primarily listen to music. A video would probably do really well for it, since YouTube is the only thing "One Dance" is missing. It is still #1 on the charts, so it still does have attention, to say the least. Because of this, a video probably would keep it up at least a little. I do imagine you're right about it not spending THAT much longer at #1, especially with competition starting to come up. Should be enough to block CSTF from re-taking the top, at least, since it's getting closer. |
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Mr. Thonk Eyes
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The great Mr. Eyes
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Post by Mr. Thonk Eyes on Jul 9, 2016 12:11:56 GMT -5
I think Sia will take #1 away from Drake, but she has to watch out for Calvin/Rihanna, Katy Perry (With her upcoming single) and Kent Jones (Eh, not so much Kent). At this point what would get Calvin/Rihanna to #1 over Sia? Streaming. Calvin/Rihanna might be lagging behind on sales and airplay, but with the video having come out recently, it made a huge surge to the top 3 of the streaming chart. I'm pretty sure "This Is What You Came For" was behind "Cheap Thrills" in streaming before the video came out, so I have a feeling maybe the Calvin song will stabilize after a while and fall back below Sia on streaming, but if not, then Harris and Rihanna have a chance because of how much streaming is weighed on the charts nowadays. |
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Post by Mike is BAD on Jul 9, 2016 14:21:07 GMT -5
I really think the One Dance video might not extend Drake's run that much. It really is too late, and many people probably won't be excited about it. Has there been official confirmation that it has even been filmed? Yes, Drake confirmed about a week and a half ago that he was in the middle of filming, so I guess they're trying to edit as fast as possible. |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Jul 9, 2016 14:39:34 GMT -5
At this point what would get Calvin/Rihanna to #1 over Sia? Streaming. Calvin/Rihanna might be lagging behind on sales and airplay, but with the video having come out recently, it made a huge surge to the top 3 of the streaming chart. I'm pretty sure "This Is What You Came For" was behind "Cheap Thrills" in streaming before the video came out, so I have a feeling maybe the Calvin song will stabilize after a while and fall back below Sia on streaming, but if not, then Harris and Rihanna have a chance because of how much streaming is weighed on the charts nowadays. It fell 3-4 in streaming last chart week and "Cheap Thrills" rose 11-9. That combined with "CT" passing "TIWYCF" in both sales and airplay shows it is the hotter song at the moment. Unless something comes along to cause some big rise in interest for "TIWYCF," I don't see where it's going to be a threat for #1. |
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Bigfatliar 3
Platinum Member
cool people call songs "joint" which is little inappropriate to me cuz i think of an elbow or someth
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Post by Bigfatliar 3 on Jul 9, 2016 15:17:58 GMT -5
For the last 24 hours, only Cheap thrills (combined), Treat You Better and Ride that keep the momentum (no fall) on sales. 🙌
I hope there is alternative MV for Ride tho.
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85la
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Post by 85la on Jul 9, 2016 18:39:33 GMT -5
On the subject of Cheap Thrills, good for her for having a top 10 for an artist in their 40s! That almost never happens nowadays.
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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My Charts
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 9, 2016 18:53:29 GMT -5
I really think the One Dance video might not extend Drake's run that much. It really is too late, and many people probably won't be excited about it. Has there been official confirmation that it has even been filmed? Well, right now, you can't really find "One Dance" on YouTube, which is where a lot of people primarily listen to music. A video would probably do really well for it, since YouTube is the only thing "One Dance" is missing. It is still #1 on the charts, so it still does have attention, to say the least. Because of this, a video probably would keep it up at least a little. I do imagine you're right about it not spending THAT much longer at #1, especially with competition starting to come up. Should be enough to block CSTF from re-taking the top, at least, since it's getting closer. Actually, in the US, Spotify is slightly larger than YouTube for streaming currently. Also, "One Dance" is likely very large on Spotify for the fact that it's not on YouTube. What would likely happen is a small increase from YouTube users that do not use Spotify, but mostly it would be a lot of people who are listening to it on Spotify switching to YouTube, so not much of a change. I don't see the video extending the chart run very much if at all unless the video is really, really good and has the re-watch factor for the video itself rather than the song. |
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jenglisbe
Diamond Member
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Posts: 35,611
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Post by jenglisbe on Jul 9, 2016 19:27:22 GMT -5
If people are mostly just listening on YouTube, then why do official videos even matter? As in, why don't most lyric videos or just the "audio" videos have huge streams?
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 9, 2016 19:32:56 GMT -5
If people are mostly just listening on YouTube, then why do official videos even matter? As in, why don't most lyric videos or just the "audio" videos have huge streams? Usually, the music video is released early in the song's run when most people don't even know the song exists and it acts as a strong promotional tool to get people to both watch the video and hear the song for the first time. From there on out, the video is then the first thing that pops up when it is searched for on YouTube. |
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Ravi
Charting
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Posts: 420
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Post by Ravi on Jul 10, 2016 3:29:14 GMT -5
Predictions: | Rank | Song | Sales | Airplay | Streams | Points | | 1 | One Dance | 70 | 155 | 19.5 | 39,500 | | 2 | Can't Stop The Feeling | 100 | 165 | 11.0 | 36,800 | | 3 | Don't Let Me Down | 60 | 130 | 14.5 | 31,700 | | 4/5 | This is What You Came For | 60 | 105 | 16.0 | 30,500 | | 4/5 | Cheap Thrills | 85 | 115 | 11.5 | 30,500 | | 6 | Panda | 40 | 50 | 23.5 | 29,000 | | 7/8 | Needed Me | 40 | 65 | 16.0 | 24,300 | | 7/8 | Ride | 60 | 85 | 11.0 | 24,300 | | 9 | Don't Mind | 40 | 90 | 11.5 | 23,000 | | 10-12 | Work From Home | 30 | 60 | 12.0 | 19,300 | | 10-12 | Just Like Fire | 50 | 100 | 4.5 | 19,300 | | 10-12 | Send My Love | 50 | 70 | 8.0 | 19,200 |
* Cheap Thrills should end Top-5 this week and will be in a close battle with TIWYCF for #4. * It's a very very close fight for #10. It could go any way. |
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