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Post by Mike is BAD on Aug 29, 2016 7:32:40 GMT -5
1. Closer (52% lead, will definitely increase this) 2. Cold Water 3. Heathens 4. Cheap Thrills 5. Ride 6. Don't Let Me Down 7. Send My Love 8. Treat You Better 9. We Don't Talk Anymore 10. TIWYCF 11. One Dance 12. Needed Me
7-12 are all within 1,000 points, so there's a (very small) possibility that Needed Me can rebound back to #7. Send My Love isn't that far behind DLMD either. Can't Stop The Feeling may collapse down to #18-22, the same range where Make Me... should finish (15k) Closer is a f**king god and will likely be #1 for a while (like 10 weeks)
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 29, 2016 10:30:42 GMT -5
This week we may just see Britney jump from like 60... to its possible #2 peak. Yes I am evil. No way that is happening. Sure, its sales will help and so will its streaming, but radio isn't doing it any favors right now. (Thoughts w/o calculations): 4. Make Me... Lol, still nope
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Leo ✔
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Post by Leo ✔ on Aug 29, 2016 10:36:31 GMT -5
The jump of Britney is kinda impossible, like MTS says, radio isn't her strongest point right now
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 29, 2016 11:45:18 GMT -5
Make Me.. Won't even be top 20 most likely
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 29, 2016 13:22:29 GMT -5
Just guessing this week: 1 Closer 2 Cold Water 3 Heathens 4 Cheap Thrills 5 Ride 6 Don't Let Me Down 7 Send My Love (To Your New Lover) 8 This Is What You Came For 9 Treat You Better 10 One Dance
Make Me.. will be #17 Mama Said goes top 40 Needed Me may be #10 again this week, it could be close.
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Post by mrchartknowitall on Aug 29, 2016 14:27:37 GMT -5
? For you chart gods Won't Britney's make me downloads that were purchased with pre order of album be subtracted from her total this week ? Or have they stopped doing that ?
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Leo ✔
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Post by Leo ✔ on Aug 29, 2016 14:35:02 GMT -5
My predictions
1. Closer 2. Cold Water 3. Cheap Thrills 4. Heathens 5. Ride 6. Don't Let Me Down 7. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) 8. Treat You Better 9. This Is What You Came For 10. One Dance
Will be a boring week
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Aug 29, 2016 15:47:48 GMT -5
My predictions:
1. Closer 2. Cold Water 3. Heathens 4. Cheap Thrills 5. Ride 6. Seny My Love 7. Don't let me down 8. One Dance 9. This is what you came for 10. Treat you better
11. We don't talk anymore 12. Needed me 13. Too good 14. Can't stop the feeling 15. Into you 16. Luv 17. Broccoli 18. Gold 19. For free 20. Sit still, look pretty
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feoba
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Post by feoba on Aug 29, 2016 15:58:20 GMT -5
1. Closer (=) 2. Cold Water (=) 3. Heathens (+1) 4. Cheap Thrills (-1) 5. Ride (=) 6. Don't Let Me Down (+1) 7. This Is What You Came For (-1) 8. Send My Love (to Your New Lover) (+1) 9. Treat You Better (+1) 10. One Dance (-2)
11. Needed Me (=) 12. We Don't Talk Anymore (+1) 13. Too Good (+1) 14. CAN'T STOP THE FEELING! (-2) 15. Make Me... (+43) 16. Into You (-1) 17. Let Me Love You (-1) 18. Sucka for Pain (-1) 19. Broccoli (=) 20. Gold (=)
(I only edited this to add my predictions for the top 11-20 spots, so this shouldn't harm/disqualify me because I didn't edit the top 10 haha)
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atg
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Post by atg on Aug 29, 2016 16:37:05 GMT -5
1. Closer 2. Cold Water 3. Heathens 4. Cheap Thrills 5. Ride 6. Send My Love 7. TIWYCF 8. Don't Let Me Down 9. Treat You Better 10. One Dance
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jtd Thee Stallion
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Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Aug 29, 2016 19:15:10 GMT -5
1. Closer 2. Cold Water 3. Heathens 4. Cheap Thrills 5. Ride 6. Don't Let Me Down 7. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) 8. This Is What You Came For 9. Treat You Better 10. One Dance
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 29, 2016 19:59:23 GMT -5
This might be edited in the next couple of days All edits will be fine if done before Wednesday 11:59 PM EST
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Chris Ng
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Post by Chris Ng on Aug 29, 2016 20:59:40 GMT -5
Make Me.. Won't even be top 20 most likely I don't get your logic? Kelly Clarkson's Piece by Piece had zero streaming and airplay, yet still reach Top 10 Hot 100. I can't see how Brit couldn't enter Top 20 this week. Her radio is almost the same with her first week, streaming is increasing obviously, sales is unpredictable but there is quite a chance it sold 90k this week. Top 20 is very possible.
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 29, 2016 21:18:48 GMT -5
Make Me.. Won't even be top 20 most likely I don't get your logic? Kelly Clarkson's Piece by Piece had zero streaming and airplay, yet still reach Top 10 Hot 100. I can't see how Brit couldn't enter Top 20 this week. Her radio is almost the same with her first week, streaming is increasing obviously, sales is unpredictable but there is quite a chance it sold 90k this week. Top 20 is very possible. Piece By Piece had over 200k sales that week though. Make Me might not even get half of that, But anyways, I could see Make Me getting like 90k-100k sales, 15m AI, and maybe 6.5m streams. That would give it about 17.5k points which would put it at around #15. I don't see it really getting anymore than that since I might have overestimated it streaming. I'll have my prediction post up probably tomorrow night.
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Chris Ng
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Post by Chris Ng on Aug 29, 2016 21:56:19 GMT -5
I don't get your logic? Kelly Clarkson's Piece by Piece had zero streaming and airplay, yet still reach Top 10 Hot 100. I can't see how Brit couldn't enter Top 20 this week. Her radio is almost the same with her first week, streaming is increasing obviously, sales is unpredictable but there is quite a chance it sold 90k this week. Top 20 is very possible. Piece By Piece had over 200k sales that week though. Make Me might not even get half of that, But anyways, I could see Make Me getting like 90k-100k sales, 15m AI, and maybe 6.5m streams. That would give it about 17.5k points which would put it at around #15. I don't see it really getting anymore than that since I might have overestimated it streaming. I'll have my prediction post up probably tomorrow night. I agree with you that it has a very small chance to crack Top 10 but someone said it couldn't crack Top 20 is another thing. In fact, it is probably back to Top 20 this week and even has a chance to have a new peak. I brought Kelly into this because some said Brit didn't have airplay, so i just want to give an example. I understand that Kelly's sales are much stronger but compare to its own first week, Make Me seems to have stronger points now (in case sales are on par with our prediction).
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 29, 2016 21:59:36 GMT -5
Piece By Piece had over 200k sales that week though. Make Me might not even get half of that, But anyways, I could see Make Me getting like 90k-100k sales, 15m AI, and maybe 6.5m streams. That would give it about 17.5k points which would put it at around #15. I don't see it really getting anymore than that since I might have overestimated it streaming. I'll have my prediction post up probably tomorrow night. I agree with you that it has a very small chance to crack Top 10 but someone said it couldn't crack Top 20 is another thing. In fact, it is probably back to Top 20 this week and even has a chance to have a new peak. I brought Kelly into this because some said Brit didn't have airplay, so i just want to give an example. I understand that Kelly's sales are much stronger but compare to its own first week, Make Me seems to have stronger points now (in case sales are on par with our prediction). Oh, ok :) Yeah, I saw the original post and I also thought it wouldn't be top 20 this week until I added up the stats. I think Make Me is getting at least 5m streams, so even then it would still be top 20
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Bigfatliar 3
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Post by Bigfatliar 3 on Aug 30, 2016 0:29:26 GMT -5
Pure guess 1. Closer 2. Cold Water 3. Heathens 4, Cheap Thrills 5. Ride 6. Dont Let Me Down 7. Send My Love 8. This Is What You Came For 9. One Dance 10. Treat You Better
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jarhys
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Post by jarhys on Aug 30, 2016 5:23:29 GMT -5
1. Closer (=) 2. Cold Water (=) 3. Heathens (+1) 4. Cheap Thrills (-1) 5. Ride (=) 6. Don't Let Me Down (+1) 7. Send My Love (to Your New Lover) (+2) 8. This Is What You Came For (-2) 9. One Dance (-1) 10. Treat You Better (=)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 30, 2016 7:05:05 GMT -5
Make Me.. Won't even be top 20 most likely I don't get your logic? Kelly Clarkson's Piece by Piece had zero streaming and airplay, yet still reach Top 10 Hot 100. I can't see how Brit couldn't enter Top 20 this week. Her radio is almost the same with her first week, streaming is increasing obviously, sales is unpredictable but there is quite a chance it sold 90k this week. Top 20 is very possible. Yeah I was wrong if it sells 95,000 it will be top 20.
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 30, 2016 7:07:22 GMT -5
I don't get your logic? Kelly Clarkson's Piece by Piece had zero streaming and airplay, yet still reach Top 10 Hot 100. I can't see how Brit couldn't enter Top 20 this week. Her radio is almost the same with her first week, streaming is increasing obviously, sales is unpredictable but there is quite a chance it sold 90k this week. Top 20 is very possible. Piece By Piece had over 200k sales that week though. Make Me might not even get half of that, But anyways, I could see Make Me getting like 90k-100k sales, 15m AI, and maybe 6.5m streams. That would give it about 17.5k points which would put it at around #15. I don't see it really getting anymore than that since I might have overestimated it streaming. I'll have my prediction post up probably tomorrow night. Holy shit, when I did that estimate, I put 95k in as my sales estimate (you know, right in between 90k and 100k) and that's exactly what kworb's prediction ended up being :O
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BRhap786
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Post by BRhap786 on Aug 30, 2016 7:44:54 GMT -5
Can someone remind me if live performances uploaded onto Youtube (such as Ariana's, Britney's, etc. from the VMAs) count towards Hot 100 points? Thanks in advance!
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Post by leredlum on Aug 30, 2016 8:31:12 GMT -5
01. Closer 02. Cold Water 03. Heathens 04. Cheap Thrills 05. Ride 06. Send My Love (To Your New Lover) 07. This is What You Came For 08. Don't Let Me Down 09. Treat You Better 10. One Dance
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bigbertha
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Post by bigbertha on Aug 30, 2016 8:47:38 GMT -5
Can someone remind me if live performances uploaded onto Youtube (such as Ariana's, Britney's, etc. from the VMAs) count towards Hot 100 points? Thanks in advance! Yes, they do.
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BRhap786
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Post by BRhap786 on Aug 30, 2016 8:49:39 GMT -5
Can someone remind me if live performances uploaded onto Youtube (such as Ariana's, Britney's, etc. from the VMAs) count towards Hot 100 points? Thanks in advance! Yes, they do. Thanks!
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atg
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Post by atg on Aug 30, 2016 9:40:42 GMT -5
Side to side may debut high. It got 6M views in one day on the vma live performance on YouTube and almost a million in 12 hours on the music video. Also it's in the top 20 on iTunes and still rising and on Spotify it should make the top 50 since it's right now number 66. One more thing, it's also got released on the radio
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Harx
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Post by Harx on Aug 30, 2016 9:46:07 GMT -5
"Love on the brain" should have had "Side to side" treatment...
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 30, 2016 10:00:57 GMT -5
Side to side may debut high. It got 6M views in one day on the vma live performance on YouTube and almost a million in 12 hours on the music video. Also it's in the top 20 on iTunes and still rising and on Spotify it should make the top 50 since it's right now number 66. One more thing, it's also got released on the radio I see Side To Side getting about 21k sales, 5M AI, and 4M streams (the 6M views on the live performance were worldwide views, not just the US) So, that should give it about 6.1k points and a debut at around #67
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Post by mrchartknowitall on Aug 30, 2016 10:01:51 GMT -5
Piece By Piece had over 200k sales that week though. Make Me might not even get half of that, But anyways, I could see Make Me getting like 90k-100k sales, 15m AI, and maybe 6.5m streams. That would give it about 17.5k points which would put it at around #15. I don't see it really getting anymore than that since I might have overestimated it streaming. I'll have my prediction post up probably tomorrow night. Holy s**t, when I did that estimate, I put 95k in as my estimate (you know, right in between 90k and 100k) and that's exactly what kworb's prediction ended up being :O Hey .. Wont MAKE ME downloads that were part of album pre-sale be subtracted from the sales week this week??? Or did they stop doing that
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MTSChart21
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Post by MTSChart21 on Aug 30, 2016 10:03:13 GMT -5
Holy s**t, when I did that estimate, I put 95k in as my estimate (you know, right in between 90k and 100k) and that's exactly what kworb's prediction ended up being :O Hey .. Wont MAKE ME downloads that were part of album pre-sale be subtracted from the sales week this week??? Or did they stop doing that I don't think they will be subtracted, but I'm not completely sure.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 30, 2016 13:13:13 GMT -5
Hey .. Wont MAKE ME downloads that were part of album pre-sale be subtracted from the sales week this week??? Or did they stop doing that I don't think they will be subtracted, but I'm not completely sure. They are never subtracted from weekly sales totals for chart purposes... only from cumulative sales totals.
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