Billboard Hot 100: 4/7/2018

[renaboss]

Taylor Swift apparently has a new video out for "Delicate". Seems like an awful lot of money to waste on a song that is so clearly not gonna take off.

[kanfad]

Seems like shes gotten horrible at picking singles for her album. Getaway car and Dont blame me sound like actual songs the gp would eat up

[rickroller]

Mar 30, 2018 6:03:59 GMT -5 renaboss said:

Taylor Swift apparently has a new video out for "Delicate". Seems like an awful lot of money to waste on a song that is actually gonna take off.

I corrected you, enjoy.

[chartslovergermany]

Mar 30, 2018 6:03:59 GMT -5 renaboss said:

Taylor Swift apparently has a new video out for "Delicate". Seems like an awful lot of money to waste on a song that is so clearly not gonna take off.

that was not an expensive video,really cheap i must say
and the song is doing better than most of us on the forum thought
currently #30 on spotify and it’s gaining (also it will get more streams tomorrow because of the new video).It‘s slowly rising at radio and she’s rising in itunes too.
Nobody can really say that the song is not really taking off.
I don’t think it will reach top 10 but top20 in the hot 100 would be possible if she promotes the song.
youtu.be/_iOnj_x5FpY
link for the spotify video of delicate(one pf the cheapest music videos😉)

[renaboss]

Believe me when I tell you guys that I wanna be proven wrong.

[renaboss]

Ok I didn't even finish that video, what a bore. xD

[Golden Bluebird]

kworb.net/airadio/

*** = Dropped or added a format

Overall AI (Top 20) - 03/30/2018
1. (=) BRUNO MARS & CARDI B - Finesse (194.109) (-1.808)
2. (=) BEBE REXHA - Meant To Be f/F.G.L. (169.223) (+2.619)
3. (=) ED SHEERAN - Perfect (153.301) (-0.250)
4. (=) DRAKE - God's Plan (150.986) (+0.717)
5. (=) ZEDD/MAREN MORRIS/GREY - The Middle (138.000) (+1.915)
6. (=) MAX - Lights Down Low (116.022) (+0.007)
7. (=) THE WEEKND & KENDRICK LAMAR - Pray For Me (115.972) (+2.045)
8. (=) DUA LIPA - New Rules (110.912) (-0.699)
9. (=) G-EAZY & HALSEY - Him & I (100.957) (-1.574)
10. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Havana f/Young Thug (97.945) (-0.357)
11. (=) NF - Let You Down (92.612) (-1.056)
12. (=) CAMILA CABELLO - Never Be The Same (90.545) (+1.860)
13. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Whatever It Takes (86.589) (+1.247)
14. (=) LUKE BRYAN - Most People Are Good (72.426) (+0.251)
15. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (71.443) (+0.402)
16. (=) HALSEY - Bad At Love (67.167) (-0.502)
17. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Thunder (66.587) (-0.290)
18. (=) KENDRICK LAMAR & SZA - All The Stars (66.417) (-0.322)
19. (+1) MAROON 5 - Wait (64.816) (+1.396)
20. (-1) CHARLIE PUTH - How Long (63.697) (-0.714)

Outside the Top 20:
21. (+3) JORDAN DAVIS - Singles You Up (60.045) (+1.032)
33. (+1) POST MALONE - Psycho f/Ty Dolla $ign (50.930) (+1.648)
34. (+1) BLOCBOY JB - Look Alive f/Drake (50.291) (+1.225)
38. (+3) BAZZI - Mine (44.990) (+1.348)
47. (+3) MEGHAN TRAINOR - No Excuses (40.615) (+1.212)
60. (+6) MARSHMELLO & ANNE-MARIE - Friends (31.308) (+1.018)
65. (+4) DJ KHALED - Top Off f/Jay Z, Future & B (29.815) (+1.046) ***
71. (-20) SHAWN MENDES - In My Blood (28.519) (-10.458) *eighth-day effect*

[renaboss]

What is the 8th day effect?

Also, what is happening to "Whatever It Takes"? It was climbing up the chart so fast and now it feels stagnant.

[rickroller]

Mar 30, 2018 8:17:21 GMT -5 renaboss said:

What is the 8th day effect?

Also, what is happening to "Whatever It Takes"? It was climbing up the chart so fast and now it feels stagnant.

+1.3 AI isn't a trouble... It's still climbing, but not that fast.

[Deleted]

Mar 30, 2018 8:17:21 GMT -5 renaboss said:

What is the 8th day effect?

its when a song dips in airplay numbers after its 8th day after officially being sent to adds

[fhas]

The Middle is discounted... coming for a #4 or #5 peak next week.

[Au$tin]

Mar 30, 2018 8:31:00 GMT -5 @statemusix said:

Mar 30, 2018 8:17:21 GMT -5 renaboss said:

What is the 8th day effect?

its when a song dips in airplay numbers after its 8th day after officially being sent to adds

To be more precise, it's when a song meets the rolling effect after a week of release and it's something only songs with large hype receive.

The airplay charts are based on a seven day rolling period, meaning today's chart reflects airplay data from March 23-March 29 and tomorrow's chart will reflect March 24-March 30, etc. When an artist releases a new song as a single, it generally grows from small amounts to large amounts over a lengthy period of time and therefore it just always shows growth on the airplay charts until it begins to die. However, when an A-list artist releases a brand new song, they're going to both get a lot of first day curiosity spins from radio stations as well as a large spike from any first day deal they might have (which is extremely common these days). So they'll start off their first week of airplay with some huge number, but the next day, it will return to those "low" numbers where it has to start from and grow from. On the 8th day of airplay, it likely will not have grown enough to match its first day airplay and that will be reflected with a negative update in the airplay charts. It's actually still growing and was probably even played more on its 8th day than its 2nd through 7th, but that first day was just so large it can't compete with that.

To put it in numerical terms:

Biggest Artist of the Moment - Hyped Lead Single

Week 1
Day 1: 37.852 (Daily Update: +37.852) [Total for Week: 37.852]
Day 2: 3.487 (+3.487) [41.339]
Day 3: 4.562 (+4.562) [45.901]
Day 4: 5.892 (+5.892) [51.793]
Day 5: 5.944 (+5.944) [57.787]
Day 6: 6.002 (+6.002) [63.789]
Day 7: 6.744 (+6.744) [70.533]

Week 2
Day 8: 7.893 (-29.959) [40.574]
Day 9: 7.997 (+4.510) [45.084]

[Au$tin]

The Weeknd on iTunes: (New EP + PFM)
9 The Weeknd Call Out My Name
19 The Weeknd, Kendrick Lamar Pray For Me
55 The Weeknd Wasted Times
80 The Weeknd Try Me
98 The Weeknd Hurt You (feat. Gesaffelstein)
132 The Weeknd Privilege
151 The Weeknd, Kendrick Lamar Pray For Me
210 The Weeknd I Was Never There (feat. Gesaffelstein)

Cardi B's "Be Careful" is #1.

[rickroller]

Mar 30, 2018 8:31:00 GMT -5 @ said:

Day 8: 7.893 (-29.959) [40.574]
Day 9: 7.997 (+4.510) [45.084]

Is it a LWYMMD drop?

[fhas]

Mar 30, 2018 11:41:17 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

The Weeknd on iTunes: (New EP + PFM)
9 The Weeknd Call Out My Name
19 The Weeknd, Kendrick Lamar Pray For Me
55 The Weeknd Wasted Times
80 The Weeknd Try Me
98 The Weeknd Hurt You (feat. Gesaffelstein)
132 The Weeknd Privilege
151 The Weeknd, Kendrick Lamar Pray For Me
210 The Weeknd I Was Never There (feat. Gesaffelstein)

Cardi B's "Be Careful" is #1.

Apple Music:

1. The Weeknd - Call Out My Name
3. The Weeknd - Try Me
4. The Weeknd - Wasted Times
7. The Weeknd f/Gesaffelstein - I Was Never There
8. The Weeknd f/Gesaffelstein - Hurt You
10. The Weeknd - Privilege

Source: alexanderao (ATRL user)

[Au$tin]

It'll definitely be interesting to see how it all stacks up on Spotify tomorrow. Looks like "Call Out My Name" and "Be Careful" are both aiming towards top 20 debuts at least, if not top ten.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Regarding the 8th day effect, it should be noted that the tracking week for Radio Songs and how it is accounted towards the Hot 100 is actually Monday-Sunday, while the actual radio week is aligned to the digital song sales week, which goes from Friday (the day songs are usually released) to Thursday. That means that if a song suffered a 8th day effect, it would actually have two days (Saturday and Sunday) to recover some of the AI it lost.

^^Several songs from major artists have suffered the 8th day effect, with LWYMMD's drop as one of the more extreme cases. Usually, they grew a lot since their release and dropped (cough, pay*la) significantly on their eighth day. Another song that had quite a fall by a major artist in its eighth day:

Filthy (-14.390) 48.528

As you probably know it didn't quite recover ...

[Gary]

In the end it doesn't really matter, if a song is popular it will reach its natural peak regardless of what day it is.

[Deleted]

I'm hoping Welcome To The Rodeo gains some traction after the Music Video.
Would love to see the best song from the album chart albeit a bit later

[annoymous1]

Finesse has finally reached his Peak on radio . What are the chances Meant to be is the next number 1 on the BB hot 100?

[Gary]

Next to nothing

[Choco]

Can't see Cardi's new single or any of The Weeknd's tracks challenging for #1 either... it's gonna be a while until God's Plan drops.

[85la]

Yeah, My Dear Melancholy is too PBR&B and in the vein of his earliest work to make too much of a splash on the Hot 100. The album as a whole is #1 on iTunes, but other than Call Out My Name, the individual tracks aren't very high. I'm not even sure streaming will be very high or even mainstream urban radio; yeah his poppier stuff did well there, but I'm not sure how exactly this particular style will do.

Another question I have is will this even count as an album, since it's only 6 tracks? I wonder what the minimum requirements are for an album, because this seems to be cutting it pretty close. If it does count as an album, it also seems it will be harder for him to get Album Equivalent Units, because even though there's six tracks, he will still have to get 10 track sales and 1500 streams for one album unit, no?

[iHype.]

Mar 30, 2018 23:44:34 GMT -5 85la said:

Yeah, My Dear Melancholy is too PBR&B and in the vein of his earliest work to make too much of a splash on the Hot 100. The album as a whole is #1 on iTunes, but other than Call Out My Name, the individual tracks aren't very high. I'm not even sure streaming will be very high or even mainstream urban radio; yeah his poppier stuff did well there, but I'm not sure how exactly this particular style will do.

Another question I have is will this even count as an album, since it's only 6 tracks? I wonder what the minimum requirements are for an album, because this seems to be cutting it pretty close. If it does count as an album, it also seems it will be harder for him to get Album Equivalent Units, because even though there's six tracks, he will still have to get 10 track sales and 1500 streams for one album unit, no? 

His songs are pulling monster numbers on Spotify/Apple Music already. As if iTunes matters now (being realistic), or Radio when it comes to discussing tracks not pushed as singles / album tracks charting high.

The songs might not continue charting for a long time without good Radio/iTunes support, but he verywell is looking to probably get 3+ Top 40 entries if he continues to do so well on Spotify/Apple Music.

[Naos]

Mar 30, 2018 23:44:34 GMT -5 85la said:

Yeah, My Dear Melancholy is too PBR&B and in the vein of his earliest work to make too much of a splash on the Hot 100. The album as a whole is #1 on iTunes, but other than Call Out My Name, the individual tracks aren't very high. I'm not even sure streaming will be very high or even mainstream urban radio; yeah his poppier stuff did well there, but I'm not sure how exactly this particular style will do.

Another question I have is will this even count as an album, since it's only 6 tracks? I wonder what the minimum requirements are for an album, because this seems to be cutting it pretty close. If it does count as an album, it also seems it will be harder for him to get Album Equivalent Units, because even though there's six tracks, he will still have to get 10 track sales and 1500 streams for one album unit, no?

He would. I believe EPs and albums are the same in that regard.

[pnobelysk]

I think to quality for the album sales chart you need to have a minimum of four tracks

[kanfad]

Whats the record for the most songs in the top 20? Cause it feels like thats whats going to happen. Anxiously waiting for the first day spotify numbers.

[Sherane Lamar]

Mar 31, 2018 0:22:07 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Mar 30, 2018 23:44:34 GMT -5 85la said:

Yeah, My Dear Melancholy is too PBR&B and in the vein of his earliest work to make too much of a splash on the Hot 100. The album as a whole is #1 on iTunes, but other than Call Out My Name, the individual tracks aren't very high. I'm not even sure streaming will be very high or even mainstream urban radio; yeah his poppier stuff did well there, but I'm not sure how exactly this particular style will do.

Another question I have is will this even count as an album, since it's only 6 tracks? I wonder what the minimum requirements are for an album, because this seems to be cutting it pretty close. If it does count as an album, it also seems it will be harder for him to get Album Equivalent Units, because even though there's six tracks, he will still have to get 10 track sales and 1500 streams for one album unit, no? 

His songs are pulling monster numbers on Spotify/Apple Music already. As if iTunes matters now (being realistic), or Radio when it comes to discussing tracks not pushed as singles / album tracks charting high.

The songs might not continue charting for a long time without good Radio/iTunes support, but he verywell is looking to probably get 3+ Top 40 entries if he continues to do so well on Spotify/Apple Music.

Where do you get the Spotify numbers this early?

[Sherane Lamar]

Mar 31, 2018 0:42:41 GMT -5 kanfad said:

Whats the record for the most songs in the top 20? Cause it feels like thats whats going to happen. Anxiously waiting for the first day spotify numbers.

The Beatles had 6 on 4/11/1964. 

He already has 1 in the top 20, so I suppose it's possible.

[Dylan :)]

Just listened to Call Out My Name. It sounds like a boring version of Earned It mixed with The Hills. And was 2:19 really necessary? Is he trying to injure people's ears?

I don't think Meant To Be will hit #1, but I also didn't expect it to hit the top 5 or top 2 so who knows!