Billboard Hot 100: 6/30/2018

[Gary]

Cardi B, Bad Bunny & J Balvin's 'I Like It' Vying for No. 1 on Billboard Hot 100 Next Week

6/22/2018 by Gary Trust


MediaPunch/REX/Shutterstock
Bad Bunny, Cardi B and J Balvin on the set of Cardi B's 'I Like It' music video.
Plus, XXXTentacion's "Sad!" should return to the top 10 & The Carters' new single "Apeshit" could launch in the top 25.

In what will likely be a tight race for the top spot on next week's Billboard Hot 100 chart (dated June 30), Cardi B, Bad Bunny and J Balvin's "I Like It" should challenge for No. 1; the Hot 100 songs survey blends weekly streaming, airplay and sales data, according to Nielsen Music.

"Like" held at its No. 3 peak to date on the June 23-dated chart. If it crowns the Hot 100, Cardi B would earn her second leader, following her debut hit "Bodak Yellow (Money Moves)," which ruled for three weeks last October. Bad Bunny and J Balvin would each earn their first Hot 100 No. 1.

According to building Nielsen Music data, "Like" should sport over 35 million U.S. streams in the tracking week ending June 21, along with over 25,000 downloads sold (in the week ending June 21) and 60 million in radio audience (in the tracking week ending June 24).

Those sums could be enough for the song to climb to No. 1 on the Hot 100, dethroning Drake's "Nice for What," which rebounded 2-1 on the June 23 chart for its seventh total week atop the tally. Post Malone's former No. 1 "Psycho," featuring Ty Dolla $ign, currently at No. 2, should also be in the mix for the top three next week.

Additionally, Juice WRLD's "Lucid Dreams," up 9-6 on the June 23-dated Hot 100, could reach the top five next week and will likely top the Streaming Songs chart for a second week, with over 40 million U.S. streams.

Meanwhile, Maroon 5's No. 4-peaking "Girls Like You," featuring Cardi B, currently at No. 5, is aiming to remain in the top five and should top the Digital Song Sales chart for a third week (over 40,000 sold).

Elsewhere in the Hot 100's top 10 next week, XXXTentacion is likely to return to the tier with "Sad!," which became his first top 10, reaching No. 7 on March 31; it ranked at No. 52 on the June 23 chart. The song could surge 34-2 on Streaming Songs with over 35 million streams. The rapper/singer died Monday (June 18) at age 20 after being shot in Deerfield, Florida.

In other likely Hot 100 action next week, Drake's "I'm Upset" should surpass its No. 19 debut and peak (June 9), following the first full week of tracking for its official video, which premiered June 13. It could climb to the Streaming Songs top five (besting its prior No. 11 high) with over 30 million clicks.

Plus, JAY-Z and Beyoncé's "Apeshit," billed as by The Carters from their album Everything Is Love, which is challenging for a No. 1 bow on the Billboard 200, could start in the Hot 100's top 25, powered heavily by over 15 million U.S. streams. The song will be promoted as a single to R&B/hip-hop and rhythmic radio beginning Monday (June 25). The husband-and-wife superstars have logged eight shared Hot 100 entries so far, including the eight-week No. 1 "Crazy in Love" (credited to Beyoncé featuring JAY-Z) in 2003.

Highlights of next week's Hot 100 will post on Billboard.com Monday (June 25), with all charts posting the following day (June 26).

[Sherane Lamar]

Jun 22, 2018 13:17:07 GMT -5 thabb said:

do you guys think that, should Scorpion take up a huge amount of the top 10, billboard might enact a new rule about album cuts charting?

No. We already know that Billboard is enacting a new rule to make album takeovers bigger. It will be enacted the first week of July. 

[slw84]

So if I like it gets #1 this monday then Maroon 5 should have discounted Girls like you today if the discount wasn't really needed for I like it.

[Deleted]

Tbh even if XXX was a good person I don't get how people could listen too SAD! Listening to a song about wanting to die from somebody who just died is fucking morbid and I'd just get super creepy vibes the entire time

[Sherane Lamar]

I like Cardi, but it's really doubtful she'll celebrated to the extent that XXXTentacion will be in the next decade, or have the same type of impact.

I know many here are still very happy that an artist they didn't like was shot to death, but "Sad!" going #1 would be a cathartic historical moment.

[Sherane Lamar]

Jun 22, 2018 15:45:12 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

I liked the idea that a song should be top 100 in two of the three fromates too chart, so if a song sells enough then it can debut with its high streams

That would break the whole chart so badly. 

Aren't there a ton of big streaming hits that have virtually zero radio?

[Sherane Lamar]

Jun 22, 2018 5:21:05 GMT -5 shayonce said:

Jun 22, 2018 5:02:07 GMT -5 Sherane Lamar said:

consuming an album is something you do over weeks/months, it's not frontloaded


Uh... wut? It's like the exact opposite though. Have you seen some of these album takeovers? They're usually gone in two weeks. 

because they're flop..?

in sales days, 1 sales added in one week, done. now, people don't buy it but streaming probably like 150 times for 1 week, that's 0.1 album sales.
and they will keep listening the album through wks to even years, less and less each week and it takes long time to reach 1 SEA from 1 person.
so first weeks sales are smaller than before but will have long leg in general.

I'm talking about even huge albums like 4YEO, Lemonade, and KOD. I wouldn't call any of those flops. 

[Deleted]

Jun 22, 2018 17:44:00 GMT -5 Sherane Lamar said:

Jun 22, 2018 15:45:12 GMT -5 @drakeisskinny said:

I liked the idea that a song should be top 100 in two of the three fromates too chart, so if a song sells enough then it can debut with its high streams

That would break the whole chart so badly. 

Aren't there a ton of big streaming hits that have virtually zero radio?

Well I meant in terms of album bombs debuting not every song 

[jeiboy]

Seems like I Like It is going #1 if BB posted so

[tanooki]

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

[chartslovergermany]

Sad is one of the worst songs i've heard this year,
I like it was since the release of invasion of privacy my favorite song on the album,because it's so catchy,you can sing along to the chorus too, that's a reason why I like NFW too,these songs are giving me fresh vibes.
Sad is just a depressing shitty ass song, that's so lame and boring.(not even mentioning how shitty the artist is).

[Choco]

Jun 22, 2018 17:58:39 GMT -5 jeiboy said:

Seems like I Like It is going #1 if BB posted so

They had a similar article about Lucid Dreams and it didn't even come close last week.

I actually thought that the part about SAD! "only" reaching #2 on the Streaming chart was way more important. If it's not the most streamed track of the week I don't see a path for it to get to #1 with little airplay and Cardi outselling it.

[tanooki]

I Like It is forced as hell. It's the musical equivalent of white people on Cinco de Mayo

[willapted33]

yeah I Like It is such a formulaic song. and I agree with Melinda that SAD! going to number 1 would be a cultural moment, and would be linked to a tragic death.

[Gary]

Lucid Dreams thing was a data error

Assuming the data errors were fixed, it is 'I Like It' for #1, otherwise anything can happen

[chartslovergermany]

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

[Deleted]

I don't understand the "I Like It" hate, it's a really fun song, perfect for the summer. Don't understand why it would be "forced" either, it's a song by three artists with hispanic/latin roots, it's not like Post Malone suddenly started singing Spanish.

[ListenToItTwice]

Jun 22, 2018 18:03:45 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I Like It is forced as hell. It's the musical equivalent of white people on Cinco de Mayo

Except for everything about it

[willapted33]

Jun 22, 2018 18:07:46 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

get over it? if it weren't for X i wouldn't still be here. and just because a lot of people here don't care about X doesn't mean some people do and you should be able to respect that.

[ListenToItTwice]

Jun 22, 2018 17:31:48 GMT -5 Sherane Lamar said:

Jun 22, 2018 13:17:07 GMT -5 thabb said:

do you guys think that, should Scorpion take up a huge amount of the top 10, billboard might enact a new rule about album cuts charting?

No. We already know that Billboard is enacting a new rule to make album takeovers bigger. It will be enacted the first week of July. 

Can you clarify? I missed this somehow

[Gary]

www.billboard.com/articles/news/8427967/billboard-changes-streaming-weighting-hot-100-billboard-200

[chartslovergermany]

Jun 22, 2018 18:14:28 GMT -5 willapted33 said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:07:46 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

get over it? if it weren't for X i wouldn't still be here. and just because a lot of people here don't care about X doesn't mean some people do and you should be able to respect that.

you want to cry now?,so sad :(
This complete thread is already a mess,and no I don't respect someone that beaten up a pregnant woman,are you completely insane

[tanooki]

Jun 22, 2018 18:07:46 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

someones salty

Let's be real here, even if you hate X's guts and wish he was shot earlier, he is the new Tupac. He is the new Elvis. Kurt Cobain, Jimi Hendrix, Buddy Holly, Michael Jackson, Amy Winehouse, Janis Joplin, Ian Curtis, Biggie Smalls, Chester Bennington, Jim Morrison, John Lennon, Cliff Burton, etc. I could go on and on but you get the point. His death will be a huge part in how we remember X 20 years from now and I do believe he will be loved and remembered for decades to come. That was my point, his death will make him a cultural icon. Disregard what I said about I Like It and just focus on X. If SAD! goes number 1 this week, he will join the small lists of artists with a posthumous #1 hit. He will have a defining song you can put to his name. Because he is now gone, I don't think the song will be forgotten. I don't think his other big hits will be forgotten. X has left a massive legacy and he will be romanticized by our culture. That's just how it is. Expect his biopic in 25 years. Expect to see "XXXTentacion Murdered ___ Years Ago" articles every year. Hell, expect him to be considered the frontrunner of the Soundcloud scene, kinda like how Kurt Cobain is seen as the frontman of the entire grunge scene. He's an icon now and even if a small internet community doesn't care for him, an entire culture does and will for years to come.

[jeiboy]

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

Bad Bunny and Balvin aren't just "random reggaetoneros". They're up there in the prominence with Daddy Yankee and Ozuna.

SAD! will be likely more forgotten. He will be known by his death. And not how SAD! Had impact when he was still alive

[jeiboy]

Jun 22, 2018 18:22:59 GMT -5 tanooki said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:07:46 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

someones salty

Let's be real here, even if you hate X's guts and wish he was shot earlier, he is the new Tupac. He is the new Elvis. Kurt Cobain, Jimi Hendrix, Buddy Holly, Michael Jackson, Amy Winehouse, Janis Joplin, Ian Curtis, Biggie Smalls, Chester Bennington, Jim Morrison, John Lennon, Cliff Burton, etc. I could go on and on but you get the point. His death will be a huge part in how we remember X 20 years from now and I do believe he will be loved and remembered for decades to come. That was my point, his death will make him a cultural icon. Disregard what I said about I Like It and just focus on X. If SAD! goes number 1 this week, he will join the small lists of artists with a posthumous #1 hit. He will have a defining song you can put to his name. Because he is now gone, I don't think the song will be forgotten. I don't think his other big hits will be forgotten. X has left a massive legacy and he will be romanticized by our culture. That's just how it is. Expect his biopic in 25 years. Expect to see "XXXTentacion Murdered ___ Years Ago" articles every year. Hell, expect him to be considered the frontrunner of the Soundcloud scene, kinda like how Kurt Cobain is seen as the frontman of the entire grunge scene. He's an icon now and even if a small internet community doesn't care for him, an entire culture does and will for years to come.

Tupac sweetie I'm so sorry... He will be known for his wrongdoings and that's that.

[Sherane Lamar]

Jun 22, 2018 18:15:02 GMT -5 ListenToItTwice said:

Jun 22, 2018 17:31:48 GMT -5 Sherane Lamar said:

No. We already know that Billboard is enacting a new rule to make album takeovers bigger. It will be enacted the first week of July. 

Can you clarify? I missed this somehow

Gary link above. 

Fingers crossed that they aren't pairing the streaming update with some sort of anti-album takeover update. I really doubt that they would though. It would change the whole meaning of the chart.

[tanooki]

Jun 22, 2018 18:22:47 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:14:28 GMT -5 willapted33 said:

get over it? if it weren't for X i wouldn't still be here. and just because a lot of people here don't care about X doesn't mean some people do and you should be able to respect that.

you want to cry now?,so sad
This complete thread is already a mess,and no I don't respect someone that beaten up a pregnant woman,are you completely insane

Sorry if I derail the main conversation (this weeks chart) but Geneva wasn't even pregnant dude

[thabb]

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

you're on a different level of ignorant to even say this, ESPECIALLY when I Like It and Mi Gente are influenced by two entirely different genres (boogaloo and moombahton, respectively)
and "two random reggaetón artists"? Bad Bunny isn't even reggaetón to begin with. and they aren't "random" neither. they're two of the hottest acts in the mainstream latin music scene. they're everything BUT "random" at this period in time.
i feel like you just wrote this post to sound ~different~ from some other people in this thread who said they'd feel indifferent if SAD! were to go #1.

[chartslovergermany]

Jun 22, 2018 18:22:59 GMT -5 tanooki said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:07:46 GMT -5 chartslovergermany said:

He's dead now,get over it,most people here doesn't care about x

someones salty

Let's be real here, even if you hate X's guts and wish he was shot earlier, he is the new Tupac. He is the new Elvis. Kurt Cobain, Jimi Hendrix, Buddy Holly, Michael Jackson, Amy Winehouse, Janis Joplin, Ian Curtis, Biggie Smalls, Chester Bennington, Jim Morrison, John Lennon, Cliff Burton, etc. I could go on and on but you get the point. His death will be a huge part in how we remember X 20 years from now and I do believe he will be loved and remembered for decades to come. That was my point, his death will make him a cultural icon. Disregard what I said about I Like It and just focus on X. If SAD! goes number 1 this week, he will join the small lists of artists with a posthumous #1 hit. He will have a defining song you can put to his name. Because he is now gone, I don't think the song will be forgotten. I don't think his other big hits will be forgotten. X has left a massive legacy and he will be romanticized by our culture. That's just how it is. Expect his biopic in 25 years. Expect to see "XXXTentacion Murdered ___ Years Ago" articles every year. Hell, expect him to be considered the frontrunner of the Soundcloud scene, kinda like how Kurt Cobain is seen as the frontman of the entire grunge scene. He's an icon now and even if a small internet community doesn't care for him, an entire culture does and will for years to come.

it's a shame that you compare x with Chester Bennington,Amy Winehouse,Elvis and Michael Jackson.
He doesn't near them a bit,these are legends,x is just a guy that got famous trough SoundCloud and will be reminded in how he was beating up a woman

[tanooki]

Jun 22, 2018 18:23:46 GMT -5 jeiboy said:

Jun 22, 2018 18:00:46 GMT -5 tanooki said:

I really hope I Like It doesn't become #1, I really don't want the precedent set that you can get a hit by having a big name artist make an upbeat song with 2 random reggaeton artists. If SAD! went to number 1, it would be a song we remember for ages and would be the song we link to the tragic murder of a young artist. Like it or not, X is gonna be one of those cultural "too early" deaths, and will probably be the most talked-about dead celebrity of this decade. I Like It is literally just Mi Gente 2.

Bad Bunny and Balvin aren't just "random reggaetoneros". They're up there in the prominence with Daddy Yankee and Ozuna.

SAD! will be likely more forgotten. He will be known by his death. And not how SAD! Had impact when he was still alive

They're all prominent in the scene, I'm not stupid. Ozuna, Bad Bunny, J Balvin, or Nicky Jam can literally just be thrown on any song and it automatically becomes Latin, even if the songs have no reggaeton or Latin music besides the artist and the language. Just look at the "Latin" remix of Rockstar.